FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026 · Neutral site

Tennessee def. South Fla. 3–0

Tennessee beat South Fla. 3-0 (28-26, 25-19, 25-19) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026 at a neutral site. Tennessee's Jalyn Stout led with 13 kills, and Raegan Burns added 9 digs.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set123Sets
USF2619190
TENN2825253

Win probability

Tennessee above 50 · South Fla. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.1% USFrally 142 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.1% to South Fla. — set 1, USF 25-24 TENN. Kennedi Rogers stuffed by Amelia Wass de czege & Nina Jioshvili-ravva. TENN win probability 95% → 92%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

USF 2.9%97.1% TENN

South Fla. wins

3-0
0.3%
3-1
0.8%
3-2
1.8%

Tennessee wins

3-0
62.8%
3-1
27.1%
3-2
7.3%
USF break %
33.3% vs this opp
TENN break %
47.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kennedi Rogers stuffed by Amelia Wass de czege & Nina Jioshvili-ravva

    Set 1 · USF 25-24 TENN · USF 5% → 8%

  2. 02

    Paula Tomasa stuffed by Chelsea Sutton & Maggie Dostic

    Set 1 · USF 26-27 TENN · TENN 94% → 97%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kennedi Rogers (set by Caroline Kerr)

    Set 1 · USF 25-25 TENN · TENN 92% → 94%

  4. 04

    Kill by Nina Jioshvili-ravva (set by Addy Brus)

    Set 1 · USF 26-25 TENN · USF 6% → 8%

  5. 05
    Caroline KerrKill+2.2%

    Kill by Caroline Kerr (set by Jalyn Stout)

    Set 1 · USF 26-26 TENN · TENN 92% → 94%

  6. 06
    Mora PampinAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Mora Pampin

    Set 1 · USF 26-28 TENN · TENN 97% → 99%

  7. 07

    Paula Tomasa stuffed by Chelsea Sutton & Kennedi Rogers

    Set 1 · USF 21-21 TENN · TENN 93% → 95%

  8. 08
    Iyanna GarvinAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Iyanna Garvin

    Set 1 · USF 21-22 TENN · TENN 95% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311831.09710030010.511.5
36012.5000231004210
39323.261101600009
3439.11100010010.54.5
3103.3332802100031.52.5
3000–021610002
36320.15000010010.56.5
3011-1.000000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000100000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–4001010000
Team totals371899.1923447392010564
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313021.61950160010.513.5
39628.1070035112211
310015.66728018002111
3619.55600011073.59.5
36319.15831361031.58.5
35212.250000000216
31011.000000000001
31011.000101000001
3000–010000001
3001.000801900000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–001100000
Team totals5112107.364452113641179.578

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 USF · TENN 6

Set 1

26-28

Longest run 3 USFTENN 4

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 2 USFTENN 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 USFTENN 6

Bars above the line = Tennessee leads, below = South Fla. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

South Fla.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%3/6
50%3/6
2
50%3/6
25%1/4
3
100%3/3
0%0/3
4
75%3/4
0%0/3
5
75%3/4
40%2/5
6
50%2/4
50%3/6
All
63%17/27
33%9/27

Tennessee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%3/6
50%2/4
2
75%3/4
50%3/6
3
100%3/3
50%3/6
4
100%3/3
0%0/3
5
60%3/5
25%1/4
6
50%3/6
25%1/4
All
67%18/27
37%10/27

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

142 rallies

#USF-TENNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0USFUSFKillAddy Brus+0.5
22-0USFUSFAceSouth Fla.aced Maggie Dostic+0.6
32-1USFTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+0.3
43-1TENNUSFKillAmelia Wass de czegeset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.4
54-1USFUSFAceSouth Fla.aced Kennedi Rogers+0.7
64-2USFTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.4
75-2TENNUSFServe errTennessee+0.5
85-3USFTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Addy Brus+0.4
96-3TENNUSFKillAddy Brus+0.6
106-4USFTENNServe errSouth Fla.+0.4
117-4TENNUSFServe errTennessee+0.6
128-4USFUSFKillAmelia Wass de czege+0.9
138-5USFTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Jalyn Stout+0.5
148-6TENNTENNBlockedMora Pampinblk Jolene Oddo, Caroline Kerr+0.7
159-6TENNUSF×3Serve errTennessee+0.6
1610-6USFUSF×3KillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+1.0
1711-6USFUSF×3KillAmelia Wass de czegeset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+1.0
1811-7USFTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Jalyn Stout+0.5
1912-7TENNUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.8
2013-7USFUSFKillAmelia Wass de czegeset Sofija Djordjevic+1.0
2113-8USFTENN×4BlockedAddy Brusblk Chelsea Sutton, Caroline Kerr+0.5
2213-9TENNTENN×4KillMaggie Dostic+0.8
2313-10TENNTENN×4Attack errAddy Brus+0.9
2413-11TENNTENN×4KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.9
2514-11TENNUSFServe errTennessee+0.8
2614-12USFTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.6
2715-12TENNUSFServe errTennessee+0.9
2815-13USFTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.6
2916-13TENNUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.9
3016-14USFTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.7
3116-15TENNTENNAttack errIyanna Garvin+1.1
3217-15TENNUSFAttack errJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+0.9
3317-16USFTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.7
3418-16TENNUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+1.0
3519-16USFUSFKillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+1.5
3619-17USFTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Jalyn Stout+0.7
3720-17TENNUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Sofija Djordjevic+1.2
3820-18USFTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Maggie Dostic+0.8
3921-18TENNUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+1.3
4021-19USFTENN×4Serve errSouth Fla.+0.8
4121-20TENNTENN×4KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.5
4221-21TENNTENN×4BlockedPaula Tomasablk Chelsea Sutton, Kennedi Rogers+1.7
4321-22TENNTENN×4Attack errIyanna Garvin+1.6
4422-22TENNUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+1.1
4522-23USFTENNAttack errPaula Tomasaset Sofija Djordjevic+1.2
4623-23TENNUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+1.3
4723-24USFTENNKillAnni Tang+1.6
4824-24TENNUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+1.6
4925-24USFUSFBlockedKennedi Rogersblk Amelia Wass de czege, Nina Jioshvili-ravva+3.1
5025-25USFTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+2.2
5126-25TENNUSFKillNina Jioshvili-ravvaset Addy Brus+2.2
5226-26USFTENN×3KillCaroline Kerrset Jalyn Stout+2.2
5326-27TENNTENN×3BlockedPaula Tomasablk Chelsea Sutton, Maggie Dostic+2.4
5426-28TENNTENN×3Attack errMora Pampin+1.7
Set 2
11-0TENNUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.2
21-1USFTENNServe errSouth Fla.+0.2
32-1TENNUSFKillIyanna Garvin+0.2
42-2USFTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.2
53-2TENNUSFKillAddy Brus+0.2
63-3USFTENN×5KillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+0.2
73-4TENNTENN×5AceTennesseeaced Sofija Djordjevic+0.3
83-5TENN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
93-6TENNTENN×5Attack errPaula Tomasa+0.2
103-7TENNTENN×5KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.1
114-7TENNUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.1
124-8USFTENNKillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+0.1
135-8TENNUSFServe errTennessee+0.1
145-9USFTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+0.1
155-10TENNTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Raegan Burns+0.1
166-10TENNUSFServe errTennessee+0.1
177-10USFUSFAttack errMaggie Dostic+0.1
187-11USFTENNServe errSouth Fla.+0.1
198-11TENNUSFAttack errKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.1
209-11USFUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.2
219-12USFTENNServe errSouth Fla.+0.1
2210-12TENNUSFAttack errKennedi Rogersset Raegan Burns+0.2
2311-12USFUSFAttack errChelsea Sutton+0.3
2411-13USFTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.2
2511-14TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.3
2612-14TENNUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.2
2713-14USFUSFBlockedKennedi Rogersblk Iyanna Garvin, Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.3
2813-15USFTENN×3KillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+0.2
2913-16TENNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogers+0.3
3013-17TENNTENN×3KillEmelyn Stettinset Paula Tomasa+0.2
3114-17TENNUSFAttack errKennedi Rogersset Emma Frietch+0.1
3215-17USFUSFBlockedJolene Oddoblk Amelia Wass de czege, Mora Pampin+0.3
3315-18USFTENNBlockedSamiyah Abdur-rahimblk Jolene Oddo, Kennedi Rogers+0.2
3415-19TENNTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+0.2
3516-19TENNUSFKillMora Pampinset Sofija Djordjevic+0.1
3616-20USFTENNAttack errMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.1
3717-20TENNUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.1
3818-20USFUSFKillAmelia Wass de czege+0.3
3918-21USFTENN×4KillCaroline Kerrset Jalyn Stout+0.2
4018-22TENNTENN×4KillJalyn Stoutset Raegan Burns+0.2
4118-23TENNTENN×4KillJalyn Stoutset Raegan Burns+0.1
4218-24TENNTENN×4BlockedPaula Tomasablk Maggie Dostic, Chelsea Sutton·
4319-24TENNUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-ravva·
4419-25USFTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr·
Set 3
10-1TENN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
21-1TENNUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.1
32-1USFUSFAceSouth Fla.aced Chelsea Sutton+0.1
42-2USFTENN×3KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.1
52-3TENNTENN×3BlockedPaula Tomasablk Chelsea Sutton, Kennedi Rogers+0.1
62-4TENNTENN×3Attack errAddy Brus+0.1
73-4TENNUSFServe errTennessee+0.1
84-4USFUSFAceSouth Fla.+0.1
94-5USFTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.1
105-5TENNUSFServe errTennessee+0.1
115-6USFTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Raegan Burns+0.1
126-6TENNUSFKillIyanna Garvinset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.1
136-7USFTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Maggie Dostic+0.1
147-7TENNUSFServe errTennessee+0.1
158-7USFUSFAttack errKennedi Rogers+0.2
168-8USFTENNKillJolene Oddo+0.1
179-8TENNUSFBlockedMaggie Dosticblk Amelia Wass de czege, Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.1
189-9USFTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Maggie Dostic+0.1
1910-9TENNUSFKillAmelia Wass de czegeset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.1
2010-10USFTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.1
2110-11TENNTENNAceTennesseeaced Miya Thomas+0.2
2211-11TENNUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.1
2311-12USFTENNKillChelsea Sutton+0.1
2412-12TENNUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.1
2512-13USFTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.1
2612-14TENNTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Raegan Burns+0.2
2713-14TENNUSFKillAddy Brusset Paula Tomasa+0.1
2813-15USFTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Raegan Burns+0.1
2914-15TENNUSFServe errTennessee+0.1
3014-16USFTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Raegan Burns+0.1
3115-16TENNUSF×3KillPaula Tomasaset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.1
3216-16USFUSF×3KillMora Pampinset Nina Jioshvili-ravva+0.2
3317-16USFUSF×3BlockedMaggie Dosticblk Amelia Wass de czege, Paula Tomasa+0.3
3417-17USFTENN×6Serve errSouth Fla.+0.2
3517-18TENNTENN×6KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.3
3617-19TENNTENN×6BlockedPaula Tomasablk Maggie Dostic, Chelsea Sutton+0.2
3717-20TENNTENN×6BlockedPaula Tomasablk Chelsea Sutton, Jalyn Stout+0.2
3817-21TENNTENN×6KillJalyn Stoutset Raegan Burns+0.1
3917-22TENNTENN×6KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.1
4018-22TENNUSFKillPaula Tomasaset Sofija Djordjevic·
4118-23USFTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr·
4219-23TENNUSFKillAddy Brusset Nina Jioshvili-ravva·
4319-24USFTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Mackenzie Plante·
4419-25TENNTENNKillMackenzie Plante·

Score shown after each rally, South Fla. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).