South Fla. at Tennessee

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

USF 1.8%98.2% TENN

South Fla. wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.4%

3-2

1.2%

Tennessee wins

3-0

68.4%

3-1

24.4%

3-2

5.4%

USF break %: 32.6% vs this opp
TENN break %: 48.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.