Tennessee def. Penn St. 3–1
Tennessee won at Penn St. 3-1 (25-19, 25-23, 20-25, 25-20) on Sun, Sep 20, 2026. Tennessee's Kennedi Rogers led with 21 kills, and Raegan Burns added 14 digs.
Data through · final Sep 20
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | 25 | 25 | 20 | 25 | 3 |
| PENNST | 19 | 23 | 25 | 20 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 10.0% to Tennessee — set 2, TENN 24-23 PENNST. Kill by Jalyn Stout (set by Caroline Kerr). PENNST win probability 32% → 22%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Tennessee wins
Penn St. wins
- TENN break %
- 40.1% vs this opp
- PENNST break %
- 39.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Jalyn StoutKill+10.0%
Kill by Jalyn Stout (set by Caroline Kerr)
Set 2 · TENN 24-23 PENNST · TENN 68% → 78%
- 02Kennedi Rogers&Chelsea SuttonBlock+10.0%
Kennedy Martin stuffed by Kennedi Rogers & Chelsea Sutton
Set 2 · TENN 25-23 PENNST · TENN 78% → 88%
- 03
- 04Jalyn Stout&Chelsea SuttonBlock+4.6%
Finley Krystkowiak stuffed by Jalyn Stout & Chelsea Sutton
Set 4 · TENN 13-11 PENNST · TENN 80% → 84%
- 05Jalyn Stout&Chelsea SuttonBlock+4.5%
Whitney Lauenstein stuffed by Jalyn Stout & Chelsea Sutton
Set 2 · TENN 21-22 PENNST · TENN 57% → 62%
- 06Maggie DosticKill+4.5%
Kill by Maggie Dostic (set by Caroline Kerr)
Set 4 · TENN 11-10 PENNST · TENN 75% → 79%
- 07Gabrielle NicholsKill+4.4%
Kill by Gabrielle Nichols (set by Alexis Stucky)
Set 2 · TENN 21-23 PENNST · PENNST 38% → 43%
- 08Kennedi RogersKill+4.3%
Kill by Kennedi Rogers (set by Caroline Kerr)
Set 4 · TENN 10-10 PENNST · TENN 71% → 75%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 21 | 7 | 55 | .255 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 22.5 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 26 | .269 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 3 | 29 | .276 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 4 | 5 | 0 | 12 | .417 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 11 | .364 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -.400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | |
| Team totals | 55 | 19 | 142 | .254 | 52 | 5 | 9 | 54 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 11 | 95 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 20 | 4 | 42 | .381 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | |
| 4 | 10 | 3 | 21 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15 | |
| 4 | 9 | 2 | 15 | .467 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 5 | 26 | -.038 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | .286 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | .067 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | -.167 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 53 | 22 | 142 | .218 | 48 | 2 | 13 | 55 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 87 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-19
Set 2
25-23
Set 3
20-25
Set 4
25-20
Bars above the line = Penn St. leads, below = Tennessee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Tennessee
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 73%8/11 | 36%4/11 |
| 2 | 73%8/11 | 53%9/17 |
| 3 | 58%7/12 | 36%4/11 |
| 4 | 78%7/9 | 42%5/12 |
| 5 | 58%7/12 | 46%6/13 |
| 6 | 63%5/8 | 50%5/10 |
| All | 67%42/63 | 45%33/74 |
Penn St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%8/12 | 40%4/10 |
| 2 | 47%8/17 | 33%4/12 |
| 3 | 64%7/11 | 11%1/9 |
| 4 | 50%7/14 | 42%5/12 |
| 5 | 60%6/10 | 22%2/9 |
| 6 | 50%5/10 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 55%41/74 | 33%21/63 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
182 rallies
| # | TENN-PENNST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | PENNST | PENNST | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Alexis Stucky | +2.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Maggie Dostic | set Caroline Kerr | +1.7 |
| 3 | 2-1 | TENN | TENN | Ace | Tennessee | aced Whitney Lauenstein | +2.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | TENN | PENNST×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | set Alexis Stucky | +1.8 |
| 5 | 2-3 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Bad set | Caroline Kerr | +2.7 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Haley Burgdorf | set Ava Falduto | +2.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Maggie Dostic | set Caroline Kerr | +1.7 |
| 8 | 3-5 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +1.9 |
| 9 | 4-5 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +1.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | TENN | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Jocelyn Nathan | +2.9 |
| 11 | 5-6 | TENN | PENNST | Blocked | Jalyn Stout | blk Haley Burgdorf, Ryla Jones | +2.0 |
| 12 | 6-6 | PENNST | TENN×4 | Serve err | Penn St. | +1.9 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | TENN | TENN×4 | Blocked | Ryla Jones | blk Kennedi Rogers, Jolene Oddo | +3.0 |
| 14 | 8-6 | TENN | TENN×4 | Kill | Jolene Oddo | set Caroline Kerr | +3.0 |
| 15 | 9-6 | TENN | TENN×4 | Attack err | Ryla Jones | +2.8 | |
| 16 | 9-7 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +1.7 |
| 17 | 10-7 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Raegan Burns | +1.9 |
| 18 | 10-8 | TENN | PENNST | Serve err | Tennessee | +1.7 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Maggie Dostic | set Caroline Kerr | +2.0 |
| 20 | 11-9 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | set Alexis Stucky | +1.8 |
| 21 | 12-9 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Chelsea Sutton | set Caroline Kerr | +2.0 |
| 22 | 12-10 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +1.8 |
| 23 | 13-10 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +2.1 |
| 24 | 13-11 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | set Alexis Stucky | +1.8 |
| 25 | 14-11 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +2.2 |
| 26 | 14-12 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +1.9 |
| 27 | 15-12 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +2.2 |
| 28 | 15-13 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +1.9 |
| 29 | 16-13 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +2.3 |
| 30 | 16-14 | TENN | PENNST | Serve err | Tennessee | +1.9 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | PENNST | TENN | Serve err | Penn St. | +2.4 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | TENN | TENN | Attack err | Whitney Lauenstein | +2.9 | |
| 33 | 18-15 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Alexis Stucky | +1.4 |
| 34 | 19-15 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Chelsea Sutton | set Caroline Kerr | +2.0 |
| 35 | 19-16 | TENN | PENNST | Serve err | Tennessee | +1.4 | |
| 36 | 20-16 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Raegan Burns | +2.0 |
| 37 | 21-16 | TENN | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +2.0 |
| 38 | 21-17 | TENN | PENNST | Serve err | Tennessee | +0.7 | |
| 39 | 22-17 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +1.2 |
| 40 | 22-18 | TENN | PENNST | Bad set | Jalyn Stout | +0.6 | |
| 41 | 23-18 | PENNST | TENN | Serve err | Penn St. | +1.0 | |
| 42 | 23-19 | TENN | PENNST | Attack err | Kennedi Rogers | +0.4 | |
| 43 | 24-19 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +0.8 |
| 44 | 25-19 | TENN | TENN | Ace | Tennessee | aced Ava Falduto | +0.3 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TENN | PENNST | Serve err | Tennessee | +1.7 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +1.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +1.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +1.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Ava Falduto | +1.8 |
| 6 | 3-3 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +1.8 |
| 7 | 3-4 | TENN | PENNST | Serve err | Tennessee | +1.8 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Jalyn Stout | +1.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | TENN | TENN | Blocked | Haley Burgdorf | blk Caroline Kerr, Jolene Oddo | +2.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Ryla Jones | set Alexis Stucky | +1.9 |
| 11 | 5-6 | PENNST | PENNST | Blocked | Jolene Oddo | blk Haley Burgdorf | +2.9 |
| 12 | 6-6 | PENNST | TENN×3 | Kill | Caroline Kerr | set Jalyn Stout | +1.9 |
| 13 | 7-6 | TENN | TENN×3 | Kill | Maggie Dostic | set Caroline Kerr | +3.0 |
| 14 | 8-6 | TENN | TENN×3 | Attack err | Kennedy Martin | +2.9 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | TENN | PENNST×3 | Bad set | Raegan Burns | +1.9 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Alexis Stucky | +3.0 |
| 17 | 8-9 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Ace | Haley Burgdorf | aced Jalyn Stout | +3.2 |
| 18 | 9-9 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Maggie Dostic | set Caroline Kerr | +2.1 |
| 19 | 9-10 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Ryla Jones | set Alexis Stucky | +2.2 |
| 20 | 10-10 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Caroline Kerr | set Jalyn Stout | +2.2 |
| 21 | 10-11 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Ava Falduto | +2.3 |
| 22 | 11-11 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +2.2 |
| 23 | 11-12 | TENN | PENNST×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | set Caroline Kerr | +2.3 |
| 24 | 11-13 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | +3.5 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Blocked | Kennedi Rogers | blk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin | +3.2 |
| 26 | 12-14 | PENNST | TENN | Serve err | Penn St. | +1.9 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | TENN | PENNST×3 | Serve err | Tennessee | +2.2 | |
| 28 | 12-16 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +2.9 |
| 29 | 12-17 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Blocked | Anni Tang | blk Ryla Jones | +2.3 |
| 30 | 13-17 | PENNST | TENN×3 | Kill | Anni Tang | set Caroline Kerr | +1.1 |
| 31 | 14-17 | TENN | TENN×3 | Attack err | Haley Burgdorf | +2.2 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | TENN | TENN×3 | Blocked | Kennedy Martin | blk Kennedi Rogers, Anni Tang | +3.0 |
| 33 | 15-18 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Ryla Jones | set Alexis Stucky | +2.5 |
| 34 | 15-19 | PENNST | PENNST | Attack err | Kennedi Rogers | +3.0 | |
| 35 | 16-19 | PENNST | TENN | Serve err | Penn St. | +1.4 | |
| 36 | 16-20 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Haley Burgdorf | set Alexis Stucky | +2.0 |
| 37 | 16-21 | PENNST | PENNST | Ace | Haley Burgdorf | aced Raegan Burns | +2.0 |
| 38 | 17-21 | PENNST | TENN | Blocked | Whitney Lauenstein | blk Caroline Kerr, Anni Tang | +0.7 |
| 39 | 18-21 | TENN | TENN | Blocked | Whitney Lauenstein | blk Caroline Kerr, Chelsea Sutton | +1.8 |
| 40 | 18-22 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Alexis Stucky | +2.0 |
| 41 | 19-22 | PENNST | TENN×3 | Kill | Caroline Kerr | set Maggie Dostic | +1.1 |
| 42 | 20-22 | TENN | TENN×3 | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Raegan Burns | +2.8 |
| 43 | 21-22 | TENN | TENN×3 | Blocked | Whitney Lauenstein | blk Jalyn Stout, Chelsea Sutton | +4.5 |
| 44 | 21-23 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | set Alexis Stucky | +4.4 |
| 45 | 22-23 | PENNST | TENN×4 | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +3.0 |
| 46 | 23-23 | TENN | TENN×4 | Kill | Jalyn Stout | +7.7 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | TENN | TENN×4 | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +10.0 |
| 48 | 25-23 | TENN | TENN×4 | Blocked | Kennedy Martin | blk Kennedi Rogers, Chelsea Sutton | +10.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Maggie Dostic | set Caroline Kerr | +1.2 |
| 2 | 2-0 | TENN | TENN | Kill | Maggie Dostic | set Caroline Kerr | +1.7 |
| 3 | 2-1 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +1.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | PENNST | PENNST | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | set Jocelyn Nathan | +1.8 |
| 5 | 3-2 | PENNST | TENN | Serve err | Penn St. | +1.2 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | TENN | PENNST | Bad set | Raegan Burns | +1.2 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | PENNST | PENNST | Kill | Ryla Jones | +1.9 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Chelsea Sutton | set Caroline Kerr | +1.2 |
| 9 | 4-5 | TENN | PENNST | Serve err | Tennessee | +1.3 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | PENNST | PENNST | Kill | Alexis Stucky | set Ava Falduto | +1.9 |
| 11 | 5-6 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Jalyn Stout | set Caroline Kerr | +1.2 |
| 12 | 5-7 | PENNST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.3 | |||
| 13 | 5-8 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Blocked | Jolene Oddo | blk Ryla Jones, Finley Krystkowiak | +1.9 |
| 14 | 5-9 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Blocked | Jolene Oddo | blk Ryla Jones | +1.7 |
| 15 | 5-10 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +1.5 |
| 16 | 6-10 | PENNST | TENN | Attack err | Ryla Jones | +0.8 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | TENN | TENN | Attack err | Finley Krystkowiak | +1.5 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Finley Krystkowiak | set Alexis Stucky | +1.2 |
| 19 | 8-11 | PENNST | TENN | Blocked | Finley Krystkowiak | blk Caroline Kerr, Anni Tang | +1.0 |
| 20 | 9-11 | TENN | TENN | Attack err | Finley Krystkowiak | +1.8 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | set Alexis Stucky | +1.4 |
| 22 | 10-12 | PENNST | TENN | Attack err | Haley Burgdorf | +1.2 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | TENN | PENNST | Blocked | Jalyn Stout | blk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin | +1.4 |
| 24 | 11-13 | TENN | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.2 | |||
| 25 | 11-14 | TENN | PENNST×3 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +1.5 |
| 26 | 11-15 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Blocked | Jalyn Stout | blk Ryla Jones, Haley Burgdorf | +1.9 |
| 27 | 11-16 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Blocked | Jalyn Stout | blk Haley Burgdorf | +1.5 |
| 28 | 12-16 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +0.7 |
| 29 | 12-17 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Ryla Jones | set Alexis Stucky | +1.0 |
| 30 | 13-17 | PENNST | TENN×4 | Serve err | Penn St. | +0.7 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | TENN | TENN×4 | Blocked | Haley Burgdorf | blk Caroline Kerr, Anni Tang | +1.5 |
| 32 | 15-17 | TENN | TENN×4 | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +2.0 |
| 33 | 16-17 | TENN | TENN×4 | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +2.5 |
| 34 | 16-18 | TENN | PENNST | Blocked | Maggie Dostic | blk Ryla Jones, Haley Burgdorf | +2.0 |
| 35 | 16-19 | PENNST | PENNST | Attack err | Kennedi Rogers | +2.6 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | PENNST | TENN | Serve err | Penn St. | +1.4 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Ryla Jones | set Alexis Stucky | +1.8 |
| 38 | 18-20 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Caroline Kerr | set Jalyn Stout | +1.3 |
| 39 | 18-21 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +1.9 |
| 40 | 18-22 | PENNST | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Ava Falduto | +2.0 |
| 41 | 19-22 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Maggie Dostic | set Raegan Burns | +0.7 |
| 42 | 19-23 | TENN | PENNST | Attack err | Maggie Dostic | +1.3 | |
| 43 | 19-24 | PENNST | PENNST | Attack err | Maggie Dostic | +0.8 | |
| 44 | 20-24 | PENNST | TENN | Serve err | Penn St. | +0.1 | |
| 45 | 20-25 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Haley Burgdorf | set Ava Falduto | +0.3 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | TENN | PENNST×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | set Alexis Stucky | +2.3 |
| 2 | 0-2 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Blocked | Jalyn Stout | blk Gabrielle Nichols, Finley Krystkowiak | +3.5 |
| 3 | 0-3 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Attack err | Kennedi Rogers | +3.3 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Chelsea Sutton | set Caroline Kerr | +2.1 |
| 5 | 1-4 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Finley Krystkowiak | set Haley Burgdorf | +2.3 |
| 6 | 2-4 | PENNST | TENN | Serve err | Penn St. | +2.1 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | TENN | PENNST×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | set Alexis Stucky | +2.3 |
| 8 | 2-6 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Ryla Jones | +3.2 | |
| 9 | 2-7 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +2.9 |
| 10 | 3-7 | PENNST | TENN | Serve err | Penn St. | +1.6 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | TENN | TENN | Ace | Tennessee | aced Jocelyn Nathan | +2.9 |
| 12 | 4-8 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Ryla Jones | set Alexis Stucky | +2.2 |
| 13 | 5-8 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +1.9 |
| 14 | 5-9 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Alexis Stucky | set Ava Falduto | +2.3 |
| 15 | 6-9 | PENNST | TENN×3 | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +2.0 |
| 16 | 7-9 | TENN | TENN×3 | Kill | Maggie Dostic | set Caroline Kerr | +3.4 |
| 17 | 8-9 | TENN | TENN×3 | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +3.9 |
| 18 | 8-10 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Ryla Jones | set Alexis Stucky | +2.8 |
| 19 | 9-10 | PENNST | TENN×3 | Serve err | Penn St. | +2.6 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | TENN | TENN×3 | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +4.3 |
| 21 | 11-10 | TENN | TENN×3 | Kill | Maggie Dostic | set Caroline Kerr | +4.5 |
| 22 | 11-11 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +3.0 |
| 23 | 12-11 | PENNST | TENN×7 | Kill | Chelsea Sutton | set Caroline Kerr | +3.1 |
| 24 | 13-11 | TENN | TENN×7 | Blocked | Finley Krystkowiak | blk Jalyn Stout, Chelsea Sutton | +4.6 |
| 25 | 14-11 | TENN | TENN×7 | Attack err | Gabrielle Nichols | +4.3 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | TENN | TENN×7 | Ace | Tennessee | aced Ava Falduto | +3.7 |
| 27 | 16-11 | TENN | TENN×7 | Blocked | Kennedy Martin | blk Jalyn Stout, Chelsea Sutton | +2.9 |
| 28 | 17-11 | TENN | TENN×7 | Attack err | Gabrielle Nichols | +2.1 | |
| 29 | 18-11 | TENN | TENN×7 | Ace | Tennessee | aced Finley Krystkowiak | +1.4 |
| 30 | 18-12 | TENN | PENNST | Serve err | Tennessee | +0.5 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | PENNST | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +1.3 |
| 32 | 19-13 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +1.3 |
| 33 | 19-14 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +0.8 |
| 34 | 19-15 | PENNST | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +1.8 |
| 35 | 20-15 | PENNST | TENN×4 | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +1.8 |
| 36 | 21-15 | TENN | TENN×4 | Attack err | Haley Burgdorf | +1.6 | |
| 37 | 22-15 | TENN | TENN×4 | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +0.8 |
| 38 | 23-15 | TENN | TENN×4 | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +0.3 |
| 39 | 23-16 | TENN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Jocelyn Nathan | · |
| 40 | 24-16 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Kennedi Rogers | set Caroline Kerr | +0.1 |
| 41 | 24-17 | TENN | PENNST×4 | Kill | Haley Burgdorf | set Alexis Stucky | · |
| 42 | 24-18 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Blocked | Kennedi Rogers | blk Emmi Sellman, Ryla Jones | +0.1 |
| 43 | 24-19 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Attack err | Kennedi Rogers | +0.1 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Emmi Sellman | set Haley Burgdorf | +0.3 |
| 45 | 25-20 | PENNST | TENN | Kill | Maggie Dostic | set Raegan Burns | +0.6 |
Score shown after each rally, Tennessee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).