FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on SECN+

Florida def. Tennessee 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Florida 55.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Florida beat visiting Tennessee 3-0 (25-22, 25-18, 25-23) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Florida's Logan King led with 15 kills.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
TENN2218230
FLA2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

15 kills in 3 sets for Logan King. Florida swept Tennessee.

No single rally moved win probability more than 6.0 points. Tennessee peaked at 53% in Set 1. These are the numbers behind it. RallyIQ gave Florida 56% before first serve.

TennesseeFlorida
  • Break %+10.0 pts
    33.843.8

    32 of 73 on serve vs 22 of 65, so Tennessee's sideout was 56.2%.

  • Hitting+.086
    .190.276

    Kills and errors: 43–14 vs 42–19.

  • Longest run+1
    45

    5 straight Florida points in the first set turned a 4–7 deficit into a 9–7 lead. That set ended 25–22.

Florida above 50Tennessee belowMax swing 6.0%

TennesseeFlorida

Aces
Tennessee 1·Florida 4
Serve err
Tennessee 8·Florida 5
Blocks
Tennessee 10·Florida 83 BS · 14 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Tennessee 45·Florida 55

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Florida above 50 · Tennessee below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+6.0% FLArally 138 · set 3

Biggest swing: 6.0% to Florida — set 3, TENN 23-25 FLA. Bad set by Caroline Kerr. FLA win probability 94% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TENN 36.0%64.0% FLA

Tennessee wins

3-0
7.4%
3-1
12.9%
3-2
15.6%

Florida wins

3-0
19.5%
3-1
24.5%
3-2
20.1%
TENN break %
38.3% vs this opp
FLA break %
41.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Caroline KerrBad set+6.0%

    Bad set by Caroline Kerr

    Set 3 · TENN 23-25 FLA · FLA 94% → 100%

  2. 02
    Anni TangKill+4.7%

    Kill by Anni Tang (set by Raegan Burns)

    Set 3 · TENN 23-23 FLA · TENN 5% → 10%

  3. 03
    Logan KingKill+4.1%

    Kill by Logan King (set by Taylor Parks)

    Set 3 · TENN 23-24 FLA · FLA 90% → 94%

  4. 04

    Kill by Brooklyn Briscoe (set by Logan King)

    Set 1 · TENN 10-11 FLA · FLA 55% → 58%

  5. 05
    Logan KingAttack error+3.3%

    Attack error by Logan King

    Set 1 · TENN 10-9 FLA · TENN 44% → 48%

  6. 06
    FloridaAce+3.3%

    Florida ace on Jalyn Stout

    Set 1 · TENN 10-12 FLA · FLA 58% → 61%

  7. 07
    Chelsea SuttonBlock+3.1%

    Brooklyn Briscoe stuffed by Chelsea Sutton

    Set 1 · TENN 9-9 FLA · TENN 41% → 44%

  8. 08

    Kennedi Rogers stuffed by Logan King & Alec Rothe

    Set 3 · TENN 18-19 FLA · FLA 89% → 92%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315843.1630026012217
37215.33300000153.510.5
37219.263000001229
37421.14300160010.57.5
33212.08300261031.54.5
3116.0003800600001
3000–012600001
3000–1011110000
3000–000400000
2000–000000000
1205.40000000010.52.5
Team totals4219121.19039184543141063
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315536.27833070052.520.5
39324.2500012010110
38114.500101300219
3439.11100010052.56.5
3204.50031101000214
3304.750002500003
32214.000000210002
21Bella LeeL/DS
3000–1001200000
3000–000100000
3000–3011200000
Team totals4314105.2763945551114875

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 TENN · FLA 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 TENNFLA 5

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 4 TENNFLA 4

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 TENNFLA 4

Bars above the line = Florida leads, below = Tennessee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tennessee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
40%2/5
0%0/2
2
100%2/2
0%0/2
3
67%2/3
0%0/2
4
40%2/5
33%1/3
5
40%2/5
67%4/6
6
40%2/5
33%1/3
All
48%12/25
33%6/18

Florida

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%2/2
60%3/5
2
100%2/2
0%0/2
3
67%2/3
33%1/3
4
33%2/6
60%3/5
5
67%2/3
60%3/5
6
100%2/2
60%3/5
All
67%12/18
52%13/25

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

138 rallies

#TENN-FLASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TENNTENNBlockedKamryn Chaneyblk Anni Tang, Jalyn Stout+2.6
22-0TENNTENNBad setTaylor Parks+2.7
32-1TENNFLAKillBrooklyn Briscoeset Taylor Parks+1.7
42-2FLAFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+2.7
53-2FLATENNServe errFlorida+1.8
63-3TENNFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+1.8
74-3FLATENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.9
85-3TENNTENNAttack errKamryn Chaney+2.8
95-4TENNFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+1.8
106-4FLATENNServe errFlorida+1.9
117-4TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+2.8
127-5TENNFLA×5Serve errTennessee+1.7
137-6FLAFLA×5BlockedKennedi Rogersblk Brooklyn Briscoe, Logan King+2.8
147-7FLAFLA×5KillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+3.0
157-8FLAFLA×5BlockedKennedi Rogersblk Brooklyn Briscoe, Logan King+3.1
167-9FLAFLA×5KillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+3.0
178-9FLATENN×3KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+1.9
189-9TENNTENN×3BlockedBrooklyn Briscoeblk Chelsea Sutton+3.1
1910-9TENNTENN×3Attack errLogan King+3.3
2010-10TENNFLA×4Serve errTennessee+2.2
2110-11FLAFLA×4KillBrooklyn Briscoeset Logan King+3.4
2210-12FLAFLA×4AceFloridaaced Jalyn Stout+3.3
23–2411-13TENN · FLA
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.2
2511-14TENNFLABlockedCaroline Kerrblk Kamryn Chaney+2.1
2612-14FLATENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+1.8
2712-15TENNFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.1
2813-15FLATENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+1.8
2913-16TENNFLAAttack errJalyn Stout+2.2
3014-16FLATENNBlockedKamryn Chaneyblk Jalyn Stout, Anni Tang+1.9
3114-17TENNFLA×4KillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.3
3214-18FLAFLA×4KillKira Hutsonset Lily Hayes+2.8
3314-19FLAFLA×4KillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+2.0
3414-20FLAFLA×4KillAlec Rothe+1.3
3515-20FLATENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.5
3616-20TENNTENN×3KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+1.2
3717-20TENNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.9
3817-21TENNFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+1.9
3918-21FLATENNBlockedLogan Kingblk Kennedi Rogers, Chelsea Sutton+1.2
4018-22TENNFLAServe errTennessee+1.8
4119-22FLATENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+1.0
4220-22TENNTENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+2.7
4320-23TENNFLAAttack errKennedi Rogers+2.9
4421-23FLATENNKillMaggie Dosticset Raegan Burns+1.5
4521-24TENNFLAKillTaylor Parksset Logan King+2.9
4622-24FLATENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+1.0
4722-25TENNFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.6
Set 2
10-1FLAFLAAttack errJalyn Stout+2.4
21-1FLATENNBlockedAlec Rotheblk Kennedi Rogers+1.6
31-2TENNFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+1.6
42-2FLATENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.7
52-3TENNFLAServe errTennessee+1.7
63-3FLATENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.7
74-3TENNTENNAttack errLogan King+2.6
84-4TENNFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+1.7
95-4FLATENNServe errFlorida+1.8
106-4TENNTENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+2.7
116-5TENNFLA×3KillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+1.7
126-6FLAFLA×3KillBrooklyn Briscoeset Jalyn Stout+2.7
136-7FLAFLA×3AceFloridaaced Raegan Burns+2.8
147-7FLATENNAttack errBrooklyn Briscoe+1.9
158-7TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+2.9
168-8TENNFLA×4KillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+1.9
178-9FLAFLA×4Attack errMaggie Dostic+3.0
188-10FLAFLA×4KillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+2.9
198-11FLAFLA×4BlockedMaggie Dosticblk Brooklyn Briscoe, Taylor Parks+2.7
209-11FLATENNBlockedLogan Kingblk Anni Tang+1.6
219-12TENNFLAServe errTennessee+1.8
2210-12FLATENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.6
2310-13TENNFLAServe errTennessee+1.9
2411-13FLATENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.7
2511-14TENNFLAAttack errChelsea Sutton+1.9
2611-15FLAFLABlockedKennedi Rogersblk Logan King, Alec Rothe+2.5
2712-15FLATENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.4
2812-16TENNFLA×4KillLogan Kingset Lily Hayes+1.7
2912-17FLAFLA×4KillLogan Kingset Bella Lee+2.0
3012-18FLAFLA×4Attack errKennedi Rogers+1.4
3112-19FLAFLA×4KillJordyn Byrdset Taylor Parks+0.8
3213-19FLATENN×4KillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+0.3
3314-19TENNTENN×4KillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+0.8
3415-19TENNTENN×4KillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+1.2
3516-19TENNTENN×4AceEmma Frietchaced Jordyn Byrd+1.9
3616-20TENNFLABlockedMaggie Dosticblk Logan King, Brooklyn Briscoe+1.8
3716-21FLAFLABlockedMaggie Dosticblk Brooklyn Briscoe, Taylor Parks+1.8
3817-21FLATENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+0.6
3917-22TENNFLAKillJordyn Byrdset Anni Tang+1.1
4018-22FLATENNServe errFlorida+0.5
4118-23TENNFLA×3KillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+0.9
4218-24FLAFLA×3KillKamryn Chaneyset Taylor Parks+0.5
4318-25FLAFLA×3Attack errAnni Tang+0.1
Set 3
11-0TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.6
21-1TENNFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Logan King+1.1
32-1FLATENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.1
42-2TENNFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+1.1
53-2TENN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
63-3TENNFLAKillKira Hutsonset Taylor Parks+1.1
74-3FLATENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+1.1
84-4TENNFLAKillKira Hutsonset Alec Rothe+1.1
95-4FLATENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.2
105-5TENNFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+1.1
115-6FLAFLAAceFlorida+1.8
126-6FLATENNBlockedJordyn Byrdblk Mackenzie Plante, Anni Tang+1.2
136-7TENNFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+1.2
146-8FLAFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+1.8
157-8FLATENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.1
167-9TENNFLAAttack errKennedi Rogers+1.2
178-9FLATENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.2
188-10TENNFLAKillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+1.2
199-10FLATENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.2
209-11TENNFLAKillTaylor Parksset Caroline Kerr+1.3
2110-11FLATENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+1.2
2211-11TENNTENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+2.0
2311-12TENNFLAAttack errKennedi Rogers+1.4
2411-13FLAFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+2.1
2512-13FLATENNKillMackenzie Planteset Caroline Kerr+1.3
2613-13TENNTENNKillMackenzie Plante+2.2
2713-14TENNFLAKillBrooklyn Briscoeset Taylor Parks+1.5
2813-15FLAFLAAttack errAnni Tang+2.2
2914-15FLATENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+1.4
3015-15TENNTENNBlockedJordyn Byrdblk Jalyn Stout, Anni Tang+2.4
3115-16TENNFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+1.7
3216-16FLATENNServe errFlorida+1.7
3317-16TENNTENNBlockedBrooklyn Briscoeblk Kennedi Rogers, Chelsea Sutton+2.7
3417-17TENNFLAKillKamryn Chaneyset Lily Hayes+1.8
3518-17FLATENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.9
3618-18TENNFLA×4KillAlec Rotheset Taylor Parks+1.9
3718-19FLAFLA×4BlockedKennedi Rogersblk Logan King, Alec Rothe+3.1
3818-20FLAFLA×4Attack errChelsea Sutton+3.0
3918-21FLAFLA×4AceFlorida+2.5
4019-21FLATENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+1.2
4119-22TENNFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+1.7
4220-22FLATENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.1
4320-23TENNFLAServe errTennessee+1.8
4421-23FLATENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.9
4522-23TENNTENN×3BlockedLogan Kingblk Maggie Dostic, Anni Tang+2.7
4623-23TENNTENN×3KillAnni Tangset Raegan Burns+4.7
4723-24TENNFLAKillLogan Kingset Taylor Parks+4.1
4823-25FLAFLABad setCaroline Kerr+6.0

Score shown after each rally, Tennessee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).