Belmont vs Illinois State Volleyball: Belmont Wins 3-0

FinalSun, Oct 25, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Illinois St. 57.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 25, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Belmont won at Illinois St. 3-0 (25-19, 25-20, 25-12) on Sun, Oct 25, 2026. Belmont's Brenna Kauffeld led with 12 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 9:55 PM CT · final Oct 25

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BELMNT	25	25	25	3
ILL ST	19	20	12	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No set was closer than 5 points: Belmont swept Illinois St.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.2 points. Illinois St. peaked at 62% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, Illinois St. was RallyIQ's 58% pick.

BelmontIllinois St.

Break %+23.6 pts
48.625.0
On serve: 36/74 against 13/52 (Illinois St. sideout 51.4%).
Hitting+.211
.356.145
41 K / 5 E against 34 K / 18 E.
Longest run+3
63
6 straight Belmont points in the third set stretched a 14–9 lead to 20–9. That set ended 25–12.

Illinois St. above 50Belmont belowMax swing 3.2%

BelmontIllinois St.

Aces: Belmont 6·Illinois St. 2
Serve err: Belmont 9·Illinois St. 8
Blocks: Belmont 7·Illinois St. 30 BS · 14 BA vs 0 BS · 6 BA
Digs: Belmont 52·Illinois St. 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Illinois St. above 50 · Belmont below

Biggest swing: 3.2% to Belmont — set 1, BELMNT 12-10 ILL ST. Ace by Madison Lansdown on Ayla Klingenberg. ILL ST win probability 54% → 51%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BELMNT 51.2%48.8% ILL ST

Belmont wins

3-0

13.0%

3-1

19.3%

3-2

18.9%

Illinois St. wins

3-0

12.0%

3-1

18.2%

3-2

18.5%

BELMNT break %: 43.4% vs this opp
ILL ST break %: 43.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Madison LansdownAce+3.2%
Ace by Madison Lansdown on Ayla Klingenberg
Set 1 · BELMNT 12-10 ILL ST · BELMNT 46% → 49%
02
Lucy Kay&Emily WarmenhovenBlock+3.1%
Oliwia Caputa stuffed by Lucy Kay & Emily Warmenhoven
Set 1 · BELMNT 11-10 ILL ST · BELMNT 42% → 46%
03
Sydnee NelsonKill+3.1%
Kill by Sydnee Nelson (set by Alivia Keegan)
Set 1 · BELMNT 19-15 ILL ST · BELMNT 54% → 57%
04
Madison LansdownAce+3.1%
Ace by Madison Lansdown on Samantha Bunch
Set 1 · BELMNT 13-10 ILL ST · BELMNT 49% → 52%
05
Jillian GregoryAttack error+3.1%
Attack error by Jillian Gregory
Set 2 · BELMNT 10-7 ILL ST · BELMNT 68% → 72%
06
Ella CraggsAce+3.0%
Ace by Ella Craggs on Lauren Evans
Set 1 · BELMNT 17-15 ILL ST · ILL ST 46% → 49%
07
Oliwia CaputaKill+3.0%
Kill by Oliwia Caputa (set by Ella Kohnen)
Set 1 · BELMNT 9-10 ILL ST · ILL ST 57% → 60%
08
Ella CraggsService error+2.9%
Service error by Ella Craggs
Set 1 · BELMNT 18-15 ILL ST · BELMNT 51% → 54%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Belmontaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3Brenna KauffeldOH	3	12	1	19	.579	0	0	0	13	0	2	1	13
15Lucy KayMB	3	10	1	14	.643	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	11
11Erin McMullenMB	3	7	1	15	.400	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	9.5
10Sydnee NelsonOH	3	6	1	24	.208	0	3	3	5	0	0	0	9
2Jordan CzajkowskiS	3	0	0	0	–	24	0	1	6	0	0	0	0
0Lauren EvansDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	7	2	0	0	0
9Emily WarmenhovenOH	3	5	0	23	.217	0	0	0	4	0	2	1	6
4Madison LansdownL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	3	1	1	0	0	0	3
7Alivia KeeganS	3	1	1	5	.000	13	0	0	3	0	3	1.5	2.5
12Mya BoltonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	13	0	0	0	0
5Teagan BrandsmaOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	5	101	.356	40	6	9	52	2	14	7	75

Illinois St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
1Ruth ZieglerOPP	3	8	5	28	.107	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
16Abby ReckOH	3	5	0	14	.357	0	0	3	2	0	1	0.5	5.5
10Oliwia CaputaOH	3	5	6	19	-.053	1	0	1	11	0	0	0	5
18Ayla KlingenbergMB	3	3	0	9	.333	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	4
9Ella CraggsS	3	1	0	1	1.000	12	1	1	8	0	0	0	2
17Peyton TurnerDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
11Jillian GregoryOH	3	6	4	23	.087	0	1	0	3	1	1	0.5	7.5
14Jillian FerrillOH	3	4	2	12	.167	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	5
3Ella KohnenS	3	0	0	0	–	11	0	1	8	0	0	0	0
5Samantha BunchL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	2	10	3	0	0	0
2Emilija ArsicOH	1	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
4Madison SmithL/DS	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
21Audrey ClarkS	1	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
12Ellie BurrL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Team totals		34	18	110	.145	31	2	8	48	6	6	3	51

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Belmont vs Illinois St.

Season series · Belmont leads 1-0

Sun, Oct 25, 2026Belmont at Illinois St. · Belmont won 3-0This match
Sat, Nov 14, 2026Illinois St. at BelmontPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 BELMNT · ILL ST 3

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 4 BELMNTILL ST 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 BELMNTILL ST 3

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 6 BELMNTILL ST 3

Bars above the line = Illinois St. leads, below = Belmont leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Belmont

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	89%8/9	42%5/12
2	80%8/10	58%11/19
3	64%7/11	59%10/17
4	86%6/7	33%3/9
5	71%5/7	29%2/7
6	63%5/8	50%5/10
All	75%39/52	49%36/74

Illinois St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	25%2/8
2	50%8/16	0%0/8
3	40%6/15	33%4/12
4	67%6/9	33%3/9
5	71%5/7	0%0/6
6	56%5/9	44%4/9
All	51%38/74	25%13/52

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#	BELMNT-ILL ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Craggs	+1.8
2	1-1	ILL ST	BELMNT	Serve err	Abby Reck		+1.9
3	1-2	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Samantha Bunch	+1.9
4	1-3	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Oliwia Caputa		+2.3
5	2-3	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.8
6	2-4	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Oliwia Caputa	set Ella Kohnen	+1.9
7	3-4	ILL ST	BELMNT	Serve err	Oliwia Caputa		+1.8
8	3-5	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Ella Kohnen	+1.9
9	4-5	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+1.9
10	4-6	BELMNT	ILL ST	Serve err	Lauren Evans		+2.0
11	5-6	ILL ST	BELMNT×3	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Alivia Keegan	+1.9
12	6-6	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Blocked	Jillian Gregory	blk Alivia Keegan, Erin McMullen	+2.6
13	7-6	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Alivia Keegan	+2.8
14	7-7	BELMNT	ILL ST	Blocked	Erin McMullen	blk Jillian Gregory, Abby Reck	+2.1
15	8-7	ILL ST	BELMNT	Blocked	Oliwia Caputa	blk Alivia Keegan, Erin McMullen	+2.3
16	8-8	BELMNT	ILL ST	Serve err	Jordan Czajkowski		+2.2
17	9-8	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+2.3
18	9-9	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Craggs	+2.3
19	9-10	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Oliwia Caputa	set Ella Kohnen	+3.0
20	10-10	ILL ST	BELMNT×4	Serve err	Ella Kohnen		+2.3
21	11-10	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Blocked	Oliwia Caputa	blk Lucy Kay, Emily Warmenhoven	+3.1
22	12-10	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Ace	Madison Lansdown	aced Ayla Klingenberg	+3.2
23	13-10	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Ace	Madison Lansdown	aced Samantha Bunch	+3.1
24	13-11	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Ayla Klingenberg	set Ella Kohnen	+2.1
25	14-11	ILL ST	BELMNT×3	Kill	Emily Warmenhoven	set Mya Bolton	+2.5
26	15-11	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Attack err	Jillian Ferrill		+2.9
27	16-11	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Attack err	Jillian Gregory		+2.4
28	16-12	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Ella Kohnen	+1.5
29	17-12	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+1.9
30	17-13	BELMNT	ILL ST×3	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Samantha Bunch	+1.4
31	17-14	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Attack err	Lucy Kay		+2.4
32	17-15	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Ace	Ella Craggs	aced Lauren Evans	+3.0
33	18-15	ILL ST	BELMNT×3	Serve err	Ella Craggs		+2.9
34	19-15	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Alivia Keegan	+3.1
35	20-15	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Attack err	Ruth Ziegler		+2.4
36	20-16	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Ella Craggs	+1.2
37	20-17	ILL ST	ILL ST	Ace	Jillian Gregory	aced Lauren Evans	+2.2
38	21-17	ILL ST	BELMNT×3	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Alivia Keegan	+2.5
39	22-17	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski	+2.2
40	23-17	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Blocked	Oliwia Caputa	blk Brenna Kauffeld, Erin McMullen	+1.2
41	23-18	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Craggs	+0.3
42	24-18	ILL ST	BELMNT	Serve err	Abby Reck		+0.7
43	24-19	BELMNT	ILL ST	Serve err	Sydnee Nelson		+0.1
44	25-19	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.3
Set 2
1	1-0	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Mya Bolton	+2.1
2	1-1	BELMNT	ILL ST	Serve err	Sydnee Nelson		+2.0
3	2-1	ILL ST	BELMNT	Serve err	Samantha Bunch		+2.1
4	3-1	BELMNT	BELMNT	Attack err	Jillian Ferrill		+2.7
5	3-2	BELMNT	ILL ST	Serve err	Madison Lansdown		+2.0
6	4-2	ILL ST	BELMNT	Attack err	Ruth Ziegler		+2.2
7	4-3	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Ella Craggs	+2.1
8	4-4	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Samantha Bunch	+2.8
9	5-4	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+2.3
10	6-4	BELMNT	BELMNT	Blocked	Oliwia Caputa	blk Alivia Keegan, Lucy Kay	+2.9
11	6-5	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Abby Reck	set Ella Craggs	+2.2
12	7-5	ILL ST	BELMNT	Serve err	Abby Reck		+2.4
13	7-6	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Craggs	+2.2
14	8-6	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Alivia Keegan	+2.4
15	8-7	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Oliwia Caputa	set Ella Kohnen	+2.3
16	9-7	ILL ST	BELMNT×3	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Jordan Czajkowski	+2.5
17	10-7	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Attack err	Jillian Gregory		+3.1
18	11-7	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+2.9
19	11-8	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Ella Kohnen	+1.9
20	12-8	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+2.3
21	13-8	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Emily Warmenhoven	set Jordan Czajkowski	+2.6
22	13-9	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Abby Reck	set Ella Kohnen	+1.6
23	14-9	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Jordan Czajkowski	+2.1
24	15-9	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+2.1
25	15-10	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Abby Reck	set Ella Craggs	+1.2
26	16-10	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+1.7
27	16-11	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Abby Reck	set Ella Craggs	+1.2
28	17-11	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+1.6
29	18-11	BELMNT	BELMNT	Attack err	Oliwia Caputa		+1.5
30	18-12	BELMNT	ILL ST×3	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Craggs	+0.7
31	18-13	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Blocked	Sydnee Nelson	blk Jillian Ferrill, Ayla Klingenberg	+1.4
32	18-14	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Attack err	Oliwia Caputa		+1.9
33	19-14	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Alivia Keegan	+2.1
34	19-15	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Ayla Klingenberg	+1.4
35	19-16	ILL ST	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Ferrill	set Oliwia Caputa	+2.5
36	20-16	ILL ST	BELMNT×4	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+2.7
37	21-16	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Emily Warmenhoven	set Jordan Czajkowski	+2.5
38	22-16	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Bad set	Ella Kohnen		+1.5
39	23-16	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Ace	Sydnee Nelson	aced Ellie Burr	+0.7
40	23-17	BELMNT	ILL ST	Serve err	Sydnee Nelson		+0.2
41	24-17	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.4
42	24-18	BELMNT	ILL ST×3	Kill	Abby Reck	set Ella Kohnen	+0.1
43	24-19	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Samantha Bunch	+0.2
44	24-20	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Bad set	Emily Warmenhoven		+0.4
45	25-20	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.8
Set 3
1	1-0	BELMNT	BELMNT	Blocked	Oliwia Caputa	blk Erin McMullen, Brenna Kauffeld	+1.9
2	2-0	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.9
3	2-1	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Ella Craggs		+1.4
4	3-1	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.5
5	4-1	BELMNT	BELMNT	Attack err	Ruth Ziegler		+1.9
6	4-2	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Jillian Gregory	set Ella Craggs	+1.4
7	5-2	ILL ST	BELMNT×4	Kill	Emily Warmenhoven	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.5
8	6-2	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Emily Warmenhoven	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.9
9	7-2	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.7
10	8-2	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Attack err	Jillian Gregory		+1.5
11	8-3	BELMNT	ILL ST×3	Kill	Ruth Ziegler	set Ella Craggs	+1.0
12	8-4	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Kill	Ayla Klingenberg	set Ella Kohnen	+1.5
13	8-5	ILL ST	ILL ST×3	Attack err	Brenna Kauffeld		+1.7
14	9-5	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.5
15	9-6	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Ayla Klingenberg	set Ella Kohnen	+1.4
16	10-6	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+1.6
17	11-6	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Alivia Keegan	set Lauren Evans	+1.8
18	11-7	BELMNT	ILL ST	Serve err	Lauren Evans		+1.2
19	12-7	ILL ST	BELMNT	Serve err	Samantha Bunch		+1.4
20	12-8	BELMNT	ILL ST	Serve err	Mya Bolton		+1.2
21	13-8	ILL ST	BELMNT	Attack err	Ruth Ziegler		+1.5
22	14-8	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.5
23	14-9	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Oliwia Caputa	set Peyton Turner	+0.9
24	15-9	ILL ST	BELMNT×6	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.2
25	16-9	BELMNT	BELMNT×6	Ace	Sydnee Nelson	aced Jillian Gregory	+1.2
26	17-9	BELMNT	BELMNT×6	Ace	Sydnee Nelson	aced Samantha Bunch	+0.8
27	18-9	BELMNT	BELMNT×6	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.5
28	19-9	BELMNT	BELMNT×6	Blocked	Ruth Ziegler	blk Erin McMullen, Emily Warmenhoven	+0.3
29	20-9	BELMNT	BELMNT×6	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.2
30	20-10	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Emilija Arsic	set Audrey Clark	·
31	21-10	ILL ST	BELMNT×3	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.1
32	22-10	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Ace	Madison Lansdown	aced Samantha Bunch	·
33	23-10	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Bad set	Madison Smith		·
34	23-11	BELMNT	ILL ST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Madison Lansdown	·
35	24-11	ILL ST	BELMNT	Attack err	Emilija Arsic		·
36	24-12	BELMNT	ILL ST	Serve err	Teagan Brandsma		·
37	25-12	ILL ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	·

Score shown after each rally, Belmont first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Belmont def. Illinois St. 3–0

No set was closer than 5 points: Belmont swept Illinois St.