Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026

Belmont def. Drake 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Belmont 73.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Belmont beat visiting Drake 3-1 (25-19, 25-22, 20-25, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Belmont's Sydnee Nelson led with 16 kills, and Mya Bolton added 33 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set1234Sets
DRAKE192225171
BELMNT252520253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Drake hit .100. Belmont held them there all match.

Win probability never moved more than 3.2 points on one rally; Drake topped out at 29% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Belmont at 73%.

DrakeBelmont
  • Longest run+2
    46

    6 straight Belmont points in the fourth set stretched a 19–17 lead to 25–17. The set finished 25–17.

Belmont above 50Drake belowMax swing 3.2%

DrakeBelmont

Hitting
Drake .100·Belmont .164
Aces
Drake 7·Belmont 5
Serve err
Drake 10·Belmont 6
Blocks
Drake 13·Belmont 149 BS · 8 BA vs 3 BS · 22 BA
Digs
Drake 87·Belmont 85

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Belmont above 50 · Drake below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.2% DRAKErally 178 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.2% to Drake — set 2, DRAKE 19-19 BELMNT. Kill by Caroline Smith (set by Katie Quick). BELMNT win probability 87% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DRAKE 24.8%75.2% BELMNT

Drake wins

3-0
4.4%
3-1
8.5%
3-2
12.0%

Belmont wins

3-0
27.2%
3-1
28.7%
3-2
19.3%
DRAKE break %
41.5% vs this opp
BELMNT break %
46.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Caroline Smith (set by Katie Quick)

    Set 2 · DRAKE 19-19 BELMNT · DRAKE 13% → 16%

  2. 02
    Lucy KayKill+3.2%

    Kill by Lucy Kay (set by Alivia Keegan)

    Set 2 · DRAKE 19-21 BELMNT · BELMNT 87% → 90%

  3. 03
    DrakeService error+2.7%

    Drake service error

    Set 2 · DRAKE 20-22 BELMNT · BELMNT 88% → 90%

  4. 04
    Kamryn BehrnsKill+2.7%

    Kill by Kamryn Behrns (set by Finley Schelhaas)

    Set 4 · DRAKE 10-11 BELMNT · DRAKE 9% → 12%

  5. 05
    Kamryn BehrnsBlock+2.7%

    Sydnee Nelson stuffed by Kamryn Behrns

    Set 4 · DRAKE 16-18 BELMNT · DRAKE 5% → 8%

  6. 06
    Aniyah DavisKill+2.7%

    Kill by Aniyah Davis (set by Carolyn Maser)

    Set 4 · DRAKE 6-6 BELMNT · DRAKE 12% → 15%

  7. 07
    Connie KofoedKill+2.7%

    Kill by Connie Kofoed (set by Alivia Keegan)

    Set 4 · DRAKE 11-14 BELMNT · BELMNT 90% → 93%

  8. 08
    Lucy KayKill+2.6%

    Kill by Lucy Kay (set by Jordan Czajkowski)

    Set 2 · DRAKE 19-20 BELMNT · BELMNT 84% → 87%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Drakeaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415648.1880025012217
412440.20010118212214
44314.071000404259
45416.06300010212.57.5
4003.00029401400004
22523-.130021100004
4011-1.000201900000
4000–4032110000
3103.333001810001
26421.09500000010.56.5
2000–010200001
2000–1001300000
1138-.250000001012
1203.667100100002
Team totals4830180.10047710875981383
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416553.2080148102118
411223.39111011004214
47322.18200030254.511.5
47626.0380001016411
41011.0002711600002
32223.00000020010.52.5
4135-.4001700400212
4000–1203320002
4000–2011140000
4000–100500000
24112.250000100215
Team totals4922165.16449568573221495

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Drake vs Belmont

Season series · Belmont leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 DRAKE · BELMNT 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 DRAKEBELMNT 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 DRAKEBELMNT 5

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 3 DRAKEBELMNT 4

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 3 DRAKEBELMNT 6

Bars above the line = Belmont leads, below = Drake leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Drake

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
53%9/17
2
47%9/19
38%6/16
3
69%9/13
44%7/16
4
53%8/15
27%3/11
5
62%8/13
38%5/13
6
40%6/15
27%3/11
All
53%50/94
39%33/84

Belmont

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
58%11/19
2
53%9/17
57%12/21
3
69%9/13
18%2/11
4
73%8/11
40%6/15
5
57%8/14
47%7/15
6
54%7/13
46%6/13
All
61%51/84
47%44/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

178 rallies

#DRAKE-BELMNTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0DRAKEDRAKEBlockedBrenna Kauffeldblk Aniyah Davis+2.1
21-1DRAKEBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+1.6
31-2BELMNTBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+2.0
42-2BELMNTDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.6
53-2DRAKEDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.2
63-3DRAKEBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+1.6
73-4BELMNTBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Madison Lansdown+2.0
84-4BELMNTDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.7
94-5DRAKEBELMNT×4Serve errDrake+1.6
104-6BELMNTBELMNT×4KillLucy Kayset Alivia Keegan+2.0
114-7BELMNTBELMNT×4BlockedKamryn Behrnsblk Emily Warmenhoven, Lucy Kay+1.8
124-8BELMNTBELMNT×4AceBelmontaced Caroline Smith+1.6
135-8BELMNTDRAKEBlockedLucy Kayblk Bliss Beck+1.2
146-8DRAKEDRAKEAttack errLucy Kay+1.8
156-9DRAKEBELMNT×3Serve errDrake+1.5
166-10BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errCaroline Smith+1.7
176-11BELMNTBELMNT×3KillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+1.4
187-11BELMNTDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+1.0
197-12DRAKEBELMNTKillAlivia Keeganset Lauren Evans+1.1
207-13BELMNTBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+1.1
218-13BELMNTDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+0.7
228-14DRAKEBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+0.9
239-14BELMNTDRAKEKillShay McMillenset Katie Quick+0.7
2410-14DRAKEDRAKEAceDrakeaced Lauren Evans+1.2
2510-15DRAKEBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+1.1
2611-15BELMNTDRAKE×3Serve errSydnee Nelson+0.9
2712-15DRAKEDRAKE×3KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.6
2813-15DRAKEDRAKE×3AceDrakeaced Mya Bolton+2.1
2913-16DRAKEBELMNTServe errDrake+1.9
3014-16BELMNTDRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+1.7
3114-17DRAKEBELMNTServe errDrake+1.9
3215-17BELMNTDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.7
3315-18DRAKEBELMNT×3KillLucy Kayset Alivia Keegan+2.0
3415-19BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errBliss Beck+2.0
3515-20BELMNTBELMNT×3KillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+1.4
3616-20BELMNTDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+0.8
3717-20DRAKEDRAKEBlockedAlivia Keeganblk Bliss Beck+1.5
3817-21DRAKEBELMNTAttack errShay McMillen+1.6
3917-22BELMNTBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+1.3
4018-22BELMNTDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+0.6
4119-22DRAKEDRAKEAttack errAlivia Keegan+1.3
4219-23DRAKEBELMNT×3KillErin McMullenset Alivia Keegan+1.6
4319-24BELMNTBELMNT×3KillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.9
4419-25BELMNTBELMNT×3KillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+0.2
Set 2
10-1BELMNTBELMNTBad setShay McMillen+1.5
20-2BELMNTBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+1.4
31-2BELMNTDRAKE×3KillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+1.1
42-2DRAKEDRAKE×3AceDrakeaced Mya Bolton+1.6
53-2DRAKEDRAKE×3Attack errSydnee Nelson+1.7
63-3DRAKEBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+1.3
74-3BELMNTDRAKEServe errSydnee Nelson+1.4
85-3DRAKEDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+1.9
95-4DRAKEBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+1.4
106-4BELMNTDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+1.5
116-5DRAKEBELMNTServe errDrake+1.4
127-5BELMNTDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+1.6
138-5DRAKEDRAKEAttack errLucy Kay+2.0
148-6DRAKEBELMNTKillLucy Kayset Alivia Keegan+1.4
159-6BELMNTDRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+1.7
169-7DRAKEBELMNT×3KillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+1.5
179-8BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errShay McMillen+2.0
189-9BELMNTBELMNT×3AceBelmontaced Matthea Dalton+2.0
1910-9BELMNTDRAKE×4Attack errSydnee Nelson+1.7
2011-9DRAKEDRAKE×4AceDrakeaced Lauren Evans+2.3
2112-9DRAKEDRAKE×4Attack errErin McMullen+2.3
2213-9DRAKEDRAKE×4Attack errSydnee Nelson+2.2
2313-10DRAKEBELMNT×5KillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+1.4
2413-11BELMNTBELMNT×5BlockedAniyah Davisblk Erin McMullen+2.0
2513-12BELMNTBELMNT×5BlockedShay McMillenblk Brenna Kauffeld, Erin McMullen+2.2
2613-13BELMNTBELMNT×5KillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+2.3
2713-14BELMNTBELMNT×5BlockedAniyah Davisblk Brenna Kauffeld, Erin McMullen+2.3
2814-14BELMNTDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.9
2914-15DRAKEBELMNT×4BlockedKamryn Behrnsblk Erin McMullen, Sydnee Nelson+1.9
3014-16BELMNTBELMNT×4Attack errKamryn Behrns+2.3
3114-17BELMNTBELMNT×4Attack errAniyah Davis+2.0
3214-18BELMNTBELMNT×4Attack errCaroline Smith+1.6
3315-18BELMNTDRAKE×3Serve errSydnee Nelson+1.0
3416-18DRAKEDRAKE×3BlockedBrenna Kauffeldblk Caroline Smith+1.8
3517-18DRAKEDRAKE×3BlockedErin McMullenblk Bliss Beck+2.4
3617-19DRAKEBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+2.1
3718-19BELMNTDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.0
3819-19DRAKEDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+3.2
3919-20DRAKEBELMNTKillLucy Kayset Jordan Czajkowski+2.6
4019-21BELMNTBELMNTKillLucy Kayset Alivia Keegan+3.2
4120-21BELMNTDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+2.2
4220-22DRAKEBELMNT×3Serve errDrake+2.7
4320-23BELMNTBELMNT×3BlockedBliss Beckblk Sydnee Nelson, Lucy Kay+2.6
4420-24BELMNTBELMNT×3BlockedShay McMillenblk Alivia Keegan, Lucy Kay+1.4
4521-24BELMNTDRAKEKillMatthea Daltonset Katie Quick+0.4
4622-24DRAKEDRAKEAceDrakeaced Lauren Evans+1.1
4722-25DRAKEBELMNTBlockedShay McMillenblk Alivia Keegan, Lucy Kay+1.9
Set 3
11-0DRAKEDRAKEAceDrakeaced Sydnee Nelson+0.9
21-1DRAKEBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.7
31-2BELMNTBELMNTAttack errIsabelle Kremer+0.9
42-2BELMNTDRAKEServe errSydnee Nelson+0.7
53-2DRAKEDRAKEBlockedErin McMullenblk Aniyah Davis+1.0
63-3DRAKEBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+0.7
74-3BELMNTDRAKEBlockedEmily Warmenhovenblk Aniyah Davis, Kamryn Behrns+0.8
85-3DRAKEDRAKEAttack errLucy Kay+1.0
95-4DRAKEBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.8
106-4BELMNTDRAKEAttack errAlivia Keegan+0.9
116-5DRAKEBELMNTKillLucy Kayset Alivia Keegan+0.8
127-5BELMNTDRAKE×3KillCaroline Smithset Carolyn Maser+0.9
138-5DRAKEDRAKE×3BlockedLucy Kayblk Bliss Beck, Isabelle Kremer+1.1
149-5DRAKEDRAKE×3KillIsabelle Kremerset Carolyn Maser+1.1
159-6DRAKEBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+0.7
1610-6BELMNTDRAKEBlockedSydnee Nelsonblk Lisa Melenciano+0.9
1710-7DRAKEBELMNT×4Attack errLisa Melenciano+0.8
1810-8BELMNTBELMNT×4BlockedIsabelle Kremerblk Brenna Kauffeld, Erin McMullen+1.1
1910-9BELMNTBELMNT×4AceBelmontaced Caroline Smith+1.1
2010-10BELMNTBELMNT×4Attack errLisa Melenciano+1.1
2111-10BELMNTDRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Carolyn Maser+1.0
2212-10DRAKEDRAKEAceKatie Quickaced Lauren Evans+1.3
2312-11DRAKEBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Lauren Evans+0.9
2412-12BELMNTBELMNTAttack errKamryn Behrns+1.2
2513-12BELMNTDRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+1.1
2613-13DRAKEBELMNTServe errFinley Schelhaas+1.0
2714-13BELMNTDRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+1.1
2815-13DRAKEDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.5
2915-14DRAKEBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+1.0
3016-14BELMNTDRAKEBlockedEmily Warmenhovenblk Bliss Beck+1.2
3117-14DRAKEDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Jasmine Dulan+1.5
3217-15DRAKEBELMNTBlockedLisa Melencianoblk Connie Kofoed, Lucy Kay+1.0
3318-15BELMNTDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Carolyn Maser+1.3
3419-15DRAKEDRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Carolyn Maser+1.4
3519-16DRAKEBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+0.8
3620-16BELMNTDRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Carolyn Maser+1.1
3720-17DRAKEBELMNTKillJordan Czajkowskiset Brenna Kauffeld+0.8
3821-17BELMNTDRAKEKillLisa Melencianoset Carolyn Maser+1.2
3921-18DRAKEBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.7
4022-18BELMNTDRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Caroline Smith+1.2
4122-19DRAKEBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+0.7
4223-19BELMNTDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.1
4324-19DRAKEDRAKEBlockedConnie Kofoedblk Kamryn Behrns, Caroline Smith+0.7
4424-20DRAKEBELMNTServe errJasmine Dulan+0.1
4525-20BELMNTDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+0.4
Set 4
11-0BELMNTDRAKEServe errJordan Czajkowski+2.0
21-1DRAKEBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+1.9
31-2BELMNTBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+2.3
42-2BELMNTDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Finley Schelhaas+1.9
52-3DRAKEBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+1.9
62-4BELMNTBELMNTAttack errFinley Schelhaas+2.3
73-4BELMNTDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.8
83-5DRAKEBELMNTBlockedCaroline Smithblk Brenna Kauffeld, Lucy Kay+1.8
94-5BELMNTDRAKEBlockedLucy Kayblk Bliss Beck, Caroline Smith+1.8
104-6DRAKEBELMNTServe errCaroline Smith+1.8
115-6BELMNTDRAKEKillEmily Lisiset Carolyn Maser+1.9
126-6DRAKEDRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Carolyn Maser+2.7
136-7DRAKEBELMNT×3KillLucy Kayset Alivia Keegan+2.1
146-8BELMNTBELMNT×3AceMya Bolton+2.5
156-9BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errIsabelle Kremer+2.3
167-9BELMNTDRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Emily Lisi+1.7
177-10DRAKEBELMNTAttack errIsabelle Kremer+1.8
188-10BELMNTDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Jasmine Dulan+1.8
198-11DRAKEBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+1.9
209-11BELMNTDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+1.8
2110-11DRAKEDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Finley Schelhaas+2.7
2210-12DRAKEBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Jordan Czajkowski+2.2
2311-12BELMNTDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Jasmine Dulan+2.2
2411-13DRAKEBELMNT×3Serve errCarolyn Maser+2.3
2511-14BELMNTBELMNT×3KillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+2.7
2611-15BELMNTBELMNT×3KillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+2.2
2712-15BELMNTDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Jasmine Dulan+1.5
2812-16DRAKEBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Mya Bolton+1.8
2912-17BELMNTBELMNTBlockedBliss Beckblk Lucy Kay+1.8
3013-17BELMNTDRAKEServe errLauren Evans+1.1
3113-18DRAKEBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+1.4
3214-18BELMNTDRAKE×3KillEmily Lisiset Carolyn Maser+1.0
3315-18DRAKEDRAKE×3KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.9
3416-18DRAKEDRAKE×3BlockedSydnee Nelsonblk Kamryn Behrns+2.7
3516-19DRAKEBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+2.5
3617-19BELMNTDRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.2
3717-20DRAKEBELMNT×6BlockedAniyah Davisblk Erin McMullen+2.6
3817-21BELMNTBELMNT×6BlockedKamryn Behrnsblk Connie Kofoed, Erin McMullen+2.5
3917-22BELMNTBELMNT×6Attack errCaroline Smith+1.6
4017-23BELMNTBELMNT×6KillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+0.8
4117-24BELMNTBELMNT×6Attack errKamryn Behrns+0.3
4217-25BELMNTBELMNT×6AceSydnee Nelsonaced Jasmine Dulan·

Score shown after each rally, Drake first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).