CollegeVolleyball
Final · 5 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

Morehead St. def. Fairfield 32

(25-22, 20-25, 25-19, 23-25, 15-13)
Set12345Sets
FAIR22251925132
MOREST25202523153

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MOREST above 50 · FAIR below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100MORESTFAIRBiggest swing +28.3% MOREST · S5 13-15rally 212 · set 5

Biggest swing: 28.3% to Morehead St. — set 5, FAIR 13-15 MOREST. Kill by Hollan Everett (set by Josie Certa). MOREST win probability 72%100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

FAIR 61.8%38.2% MOREST

Fairfield wins

3-0
18.2%
3-1
23.6%
3-2
20.0%

Morehead St. wins

3-0
8.2%
3-1
13.9%
3-2
16.2%
FAIR break %
45.4% vs this opp
MOREST break %
43.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Hollan EverettKill+28.3%

    Kill by Hollan Everett (set by Josie Certa)

    Set 5 · FAIR 13-15 MOREST · MOREST 72%100%

  2. 02
    Harlan WycheAttack error+26.9%

    Attack error by Harlan Wyche

    Set 5 · FAIR 13-14 MOREST · MOREST 45%72%

  3. 03
    MOREST serverAce+19.5%

    Morehead St. ace on Aislin Oldach

    Set 5 · FAIR 13-13 MOREST · MOREST 25%45%

  4. 04
    Amelia NottAttack error+14.8%

    Attack error by Amelia Nott

    Set 5 · FAIR 11-10 MOREST · FAIR 52%67%

  5. 05
    Ella WarrickAttack error+14.1%

    Ella Warrick stuffed by Emma Bortolotti & Harlan Wyche

    Set 5 · FAIR 12-10 MOREST · FAIR 67%81%

  6. 06
    Katelyn CookKill+12.6%

    Kill by Katelyn Cook (set by Zofia Sykut)

    Set 5 · FAIR 13-11 MOREST · FAIR 71%84%

  7. 07
    Ella WarrickAttack error+11.6%

    Attack error by Ella Warrick

    Set 5 · FAIR 8-8 MOREST · FAIR 41%52%

  8. 08
    Amelia NottKill+11.1%

    Kill by Amelia Nott (set by Sydney Sennett)

    Set 5 · FAIR 9-10 MOREST · MOREST 48%59%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514739.1790002002115
510318.38900000132.512.5
59516.25021150052.512.5
59733.06121180010.510.5
5014-.2503012140010.51.5
46123.217001130006
512424.3330003014315
5002.0002322700002
5012-.5001111200001
4000110700001
2205.400000010002
20001001400000
Team totals6229166.199607873821610104
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520754.2411003112222
514336.30632350031.517.5
511832.094042141031.516.5
57116.37510020052.59.5
56217.235000201228
5215.20025121300003
53313.000000200214
5000110300001
5005.000210120010.50.5
50004011400000
1000000200000
Team totals6325178.213568962721811108

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 FAIR · MOREST 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 FAIRMOREST 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 6 FAIRMOREST 6

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 FAIRMOREST 5

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 5 FAIRMOREST 3

Set 5

13-15

Longest run 4 FAIRMOREST 4

Bars above the line = Morehead St. leads, below = Fairfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Fairfield

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%13/26
35%6/17
2
50%12/24
24%4/17
3
56%9/16
58%15/26
4
75%9/12
40%6/15
5
82%9/11
47%8/17
6
50%9/18
31%4/13
All
57%61/107
41%43/105

Morehead St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
68%13/19
56%14/25
2
62%13/21
46%11/24
3
43%9/21
55%12/22
4
56%9/16
31%4/13
5
60%9/15
18%2/11
6
69%9/13
25%3/12
All
59%62/105
43%46/107

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

212 rallies

Rally log

#FAIR-MORESTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MORESTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+2.4
20-2MORESTMORESTAttack errAislin Oldachblk Haidyn Carter, Anna Schiltz+2.4
31-2MORESTFAIRAttack errSydney Sennettblk Zofia Sykut, Harlan Wyche+1.8
41-3FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.0
52-3MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+1.9
62-4FAIRMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+2.0
72-5MORESTMOREST×3AceMOREST serveraced Aislin Oldach+2.5
82-6MORESTMOREST×3Attack errKatelyn Cook+2.4
93-6MORESTFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut+1.7
104-6FAIRFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+2.4
114-7FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+2.1
125-7MORESTFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut+1.9
135-8FAIRMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Amelia Nott+2.1
145-9MORESTMORESTAttack errSophia Nagyblk Ella Warrick, Amelia Nott+2.6
156-9MORESTFAIRAttack errElla Warrick+1.8
166-10FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+2.1
177-10MORESTFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+1.8
187-11FAIRMORESTServe errFAIR server+2.1
198-11MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+1.8
208-12FAIRMORESTKillAnna Schiltzset Haidyn Carter+2.2
219-12MORESTFAIR×4KillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+1.8
2210-12FAIRFAIR×4AceFAIR serveraced Team+2.7
2311-12FAIRFAIR×4Attack errRiley McCloskey+2.9
2412-12FAIRFAIR×4Attack errHaidyn Carter+3.1
2512-13FAIRMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+2.7
2612-14MORESTMOREST×3KillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+3.4
2712-15MORESTMOREST×3Attack errMamie Krubally+3.3
2813-15MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.3
2913-16FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+2.7
3013-17MORESTMORESTAttack errKatelyn Cookblk Riley McCloskey, Josie Certa+3.0
3114-17MORESTFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+1.9
3215-17FAIRFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Natalie Carlin+3.0
3315-18FAIRMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+3.0
3416-18MORESTFAIRServe errMOREST server+2.4
3516-19FAIRMOREST×3KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+3.1
3616-20MORESTMOREST×3Attack errHarlan Wyche+3.2
3716-21MORESTMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+2.4
3817-21MORESTFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Noella Migliuri+1.1
3918-21FAIRFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+2.1
4018-22FAIRMORESTAttack errMamie Krubally+2.6
4119-22MORESTFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+1.5
4219-23FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.5
4319-24MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.6
4420-24MORESTFAIR×3KillKatelyn Cookset Julie Dufourt+0.3
4521-24FAIRFAIR×3KillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut+0.9
4622-24FAIRFAIR×3Attack errHollan Everett+2.0
4722-25FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+3.7
Set 2
11-0FAIRFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.6
21-1FAIRMORESTServe errFAIR server+2.1
31-2MORESTMORESTAttack errKatelyn Cook+2.7
42-2MORESTFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+2.1
53-2FAIRFAIRAttack errElla Warrickblk Sophia Nagy+2.7
63-3FAIRMORESTKillAnna Schiltzset Sydney Sennett+2.2
73-4MORESTMORESTAttack errMamie Kruballyblk Haidyn Carter, Hollan Everett+2.9
84-4MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.2
94-5FAIRMORESTAttack errEmma Bortolotti+2.3
105-5MORESTFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+2.3
115-6FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+2.4
126-6MORESTFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+2.3
137-6FAIRFAIRAceFAIR serveraced Team+3.0
147-7FAIRMORESTKillSydney Sennettset Ella Warrick+2.4
158-7MORESTFAIR×4Serve errMOREST server+2.4
169-7FAIRFAIR×4AceFAIR serveraced Team+3.0
1710-7FAIRFAIR×4KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.8
1811-7FAIRFAIR×4KillMamie Kruballyset Katelyn Cook+2.5
1911-8FAIRMORESTServe errFAIR server+1.8
2011-9MORESTMORESTAceMOREST serveraced Aislin Oldach+2.6
2112-9MORESTFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+2.3
2212-10FAIRMORESTAttack errKatelyn Cookblk Amelia Nott, Anna Schiltz+2.2
2313-10MORESTFAIRServe errMOREST server+2.4
2414-10FAIRFAIRAttack errHollan Everett+2.6
2514-11FAIRMORESTServe errFAIR server+1.8
2615-11MORESTFAIR×6Attack errHollan Everettblk Sophia Nagy, Mamie Krubally+2.1
2716-11FAIRFAIR×6AceFAIR serveraced Team+2.2
2817-11FAIRFAIR×6KillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+1.6
2918-11FAIRFAIR×6Attack errHollan Everettblk Sophia Nagy, Katelyn Cook+1.1
3019-11FAIRFAIR×6KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+0.7
3120-11FAIRFAIR×6Attack errElla Warrick+0.4
3220-12FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+0.1
3321-12MORESTFAIRAttack errRiley McCloskey+0.2
3421-13FAIRMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+0.1
3522-13MORESTFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+0.2
3623-13FAIRFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+0.1
3723-14FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+0.0
3824-14MORESTFAIRKillLindsey Healeyset Noella Migliuri+0.0
3924-15FAIRMOREST×6KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+0.0
4024-16MORESTMOREST×6Attack errHarlan Wycheblk Hollan Everett+0.0
4124-17MORESTMOREST×6AceMOREST serveraced Team+0.0
4224-18MORESTMOREST×6Attack errZofia Sykut+0.1
4324-19MORESTMOREST×6KillAmelia Nottset Ella Warrick+0.2
4424-20MORESTMOREST×6KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+0.4
4525-20MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.6
Set 3
11-0MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.4
21-1FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+2.5
31-2MORESTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+3.3
42-2MORESTFAIRAttack errAmelia Nott+2.5
52-3FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Amelia Nott+2.7
63-3MORESTFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+2.6
74-3FAIRFAIRAttack errHollan Everettblk Emma Bortolotti, Harlan Wyche+3.3
84-4FAIRMORESTAttack errEmma Bortolotti+2.6
94-5MORESTMORESTKillHaidyn Carter+3.5
105-5MORESTFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Noella Migliuri+2.7
115-6FAIRMORESTServe errFAIR server+2.9
126-6MORESTFAIRKillLindsey Healeyset Noella Migliuri+2.8
136-7FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+2.9
147-7MORESTFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+2.9
157-8FAIRMOREST×5KillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+3.0
167-9MORESTMOREST×5AceMOREST serveraced Lindsey Healey+3.9
177-10MORESTMOREST×5KillElla Warrickset Tinsley Brown+3.8
187-11MORESTMOREST×5Attack errSophia Nagyblk Anna Schiltz+3.6
197-12MORESTMOREST×5KillAnna Schiltzset Sydney Sennett+3.2
208-12MORESTFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+2.1
219-12FAIRFAIRAceFAIR serveraced Team+3.2
229-13FAIRMORESTKillAnna Schiltzset Sydney Sennett+3.0
239-14MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+3.3
2410-14MORESTFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut+2.1
2510-15FAIRMORESTKillAnna Schiltzset Sydney Sennett+2.7
2610-16MORESTMORESTAceMOREST serveraced Team+2.7
2711-16MORESTFAIRServe errMOREST server+1.6
2811-17FAIRMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Sydney Sennett+2.1
2912-17MORESTFAIR×3Serve errMOREST server+1.5
3013-17FAIRFAIR×3AceFAIR serveraced Hollan Everett+2.5
3114-17FAIRFAIR×3KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+3.3
3214-18FAIRMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+3.4
3315-18MORESTFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Harlan Wyche+2.6
3416-18FAIRFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+4.1
3516-19FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrick+4.2
3617-19MORESTFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+3.3
3717-20FAIRMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Amelia Nott+4.4
3817-21MORESTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+4.5
3918-21MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.3
4018-22FAIRMOREST×3KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+3.6
4118-23MORESTMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.7
4218-24MORESTMOREST×3KillAnna Schiltzset Sydney Sennett+1.2
4319-24MORESTFAIRServe errMOREST server+0.2
4419-25FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.5
Set 4
10-1FAIRMORESTAttack errKatelyn Cook+2.9
20-2MORESTMORESTAttack errJulie Dufourt+3.7
31-2MORESTFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut+2.8
41-3FAIRMOREST×3Attack errMamie Krubally+3.0
51-4MORESTMOREST×3AceMOREST serveraced Team+3.7
61-5MORESTMOREST×3KillHollan Everett+3.6
72-5MORESTFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut+2.5
83-5FAIRFAIRAttack errAnna Schiltz+3.5
93-6FAIRMORESTServe errFAIR server+3.1
104-6MORESTFAIR×3Serve errMOREST server+2.8
115-6FAIRFAIR×3KillEmma Bortolottiset Harlan Wyche+3.8
126-6FAIRFAIR×3KillAislin Oldachset Nicole Macalintal+3.9
136-7FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+3.3
147-7MORESTFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+3.2
157-8FAIRMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Josie Certa+3.4
167-9MORESTMORESTAttack errEmma Bortolottiblk Haidyn Carter, Ella Warrick+4.3
178-9MORESTFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+3.2
188-10FAIRMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+3.6
199-10MORESTFAIRAttack errElla Warrickblk Sophia Nagy, Mamie Krubally+3.3
2010-10FAIRFAIRAttack errElla Warrick+4.4
2110-11FAIRMOREST×3Serve errFAIR server+3.7
2210-12MORESTMOREST×3KillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+4.8
2310-13MORESTMOREST×3Attack errMamie Krubally+4.7
2411-13MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+3.3
2511-14FAIRMORESTAttack errKatelyn Cook+3.8
2612-14MORESTFAIR×5KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+3.3
2713-14FAIRFAIR×5KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+4.8
2814-14FAIRFAIR×5KillKatelyn Cookset Noella Migliuri+5.2
2915-14FAIRFAIR×5Attack errHollan Everettblk Emma Bortolotti+5.3
3016-14FAIRFAIR×5Attack errAmelia Nott+5.1
3116-15FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+3.8
3217-15MORESTFAIR×3Attack errAnna Schiltzblk Emma Bortolotti, Harlan Wyche+4.3
3318-15FAIRFAIR×3Attack errHollan Everettblk Harlan Wyche, Emma Bortolotti+4.8
3419-15FAIRFAIR×3KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+3.9
3519-16FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.4
3619-17MORESTMORESTAttack errHarlan Wycheblk Haidyn Carter, Hollan Everett+4.2
3720-17MORESTFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+4.2
3820-18FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+3.3
3921-18MORESTFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+4.4
4021-19FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+3.3
4121-20MORESTMORESTAttack errMamie Kruballyblk Amelia Nott, Riley McCloskey+6.1
4222-20MORESTFAIRServe errMOREST server+6.2
4322-21FAIRMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+5.1
4423-21MORESTFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+7.0
4524-21FAIRFAIRAttack errElla Warrick+6.3
4624-22FAIRMORESTAttack errHarlan Wyche+2.1
4724-23MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+6.1
4825-23MORESTFAIRServe errMOREST server+9.8
Set 5
11-0FAIRFAIRAceFAIR serveraced Ella Warrick+8.1
21-1FAIRMOREST×3KillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+6.6
31-2MORESTMOREST×3AceMOREST serveraced Team+8.8
41-3MORESTMOREST×3Attack errKatelyn Cook+9.0
52-3MORESTFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+6.6
62-4FAIRMORESTAttack errEmma Bortolotti+7.5
73-4MORESTFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Noella Migliuri+6.8
83-5FAIRMOREST×3KillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+7.8
93-6MORESTMOREST×3Attack errSophia Nagy+9.4
103-7MORESTMOREST×3KillSydney Sennettset Hollan Everett+8.4
114-7MORESTFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+5.2
124-8FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+6.8
135-8MORESTFAIR×4KillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+5.2
146-8FAIRFAIR×4Attack errRiley McCloskey+8.4
157-8FAIRFAIR×4Bad setSydney Sennett+10.2
168-8FAIRFAIR×4Attack errElla Warrick+11.6
178-9FAIRMORESTAttack errMamie Kruballyblk Haidyn Carter, Ella Warrick+10.2
189-9MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+9.9
199-10FAIRMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+11.1
2010-10MORESTFAIR×3KillMamie Kruballyset Katelyn Cook+10.7
2111-10FAIRFAIR×3Attack errAmelia Nott+14.8
2212-10FAIRFAIR×3Attack errElla Warrickblk Emma Bortolotti, Harlan Wyche+14.1
2312-11FAIRMORESTServe errFAIR server+9.2
2413-11MORESTFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut+12.6
2513-12FAIRMOREST×4KillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+9.5
2613-13MORESTMOREST×4AceMOREST serveraced Aislin Oldach+19.5
2713-14MORESTMOREST×4Attack errHarlan Wyche+26.9
2813-15MORESTMOREST×4KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+28.3

Score shown after each rally, Fairfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.