Final · 5 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026 · Neutral site

Morehead St. def. Fairfield 3–2

Morehead St. beat Fairfield 3-2 (25-22, 20-25, 25-19, 23-25, 15-13) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026 at a neutral site. Morehead St.'s Hollan Everett led with 20 kills.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set12345Sets
FAIR22251925132
MOREST25202523153

Win probability

Morehead St. above 50 · Fairfield below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+28.9% MORESTrally 212 · set 5

Biggest swing: 28.9% to Morehead St. — set 5, FAIR 13-15 MOREST. Kill by Hollan Everett (set by Josie Certa). MOREST win probability 71% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FAIR 62.9%37.1% MOREST

Fairfield wins

3-0
18.8%
3-1
24.1%
3-2
20.0%

Morehead St. wins

3-0
7.8%
3-1
13.4%
3-2
15.9%
FAIR break %
44.1% vs this opp
MOREST break %
41.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Hollan EverettKill+28.9%

    Kill by Hollan Everett (set by Josie Certa)

    Set 5 · FAIR 13-15 MOREST · MOREST 71% → 100%

  2. 02
    Harlan WycheAttack error+27.2%

    Attack error by Harlan Wyche

    Set 5 · FAIR 13-14 MOREST · MOREST 44% → 71%

  3. 03
    Morehead St.Ace+19.7%

    Morehead St. ace on Aislin Oldach

    Set 5 · FAIR 13-13 MOREST · MOREST 24% → 44%

  4. 04
    Amelia NottAttack error+15.2%

    Attack error by Amelia Nott

    Set 5 · FAIR 11-10 MOREST · FAIR 52% → 67%

  5. 05

    Ella Warrick stuffed by Emma Bortolotti & Harlan Wyche

    Set 5 · FAIR 12-10 MOREST · FAIR 67% → 81%

  6. 06
    Katelyn CookKill+12.0%

    Kill by Katelyn Cook (set by Zofia Sykut)

    Set 5 · FAIR 13-11 MOREST · FAIR 73% → 85%

  7. 07
    Ella WarrickAttack error+11.9%

    Attack error by Ella Warrick

    Set 5 · FAIR 8-8 MOREST · FAIR 41% → 52%

  8. 08
    Amelia NottKill+10.8%

    Kill by Amelia Nott (set by Sydney Sennett)

    Set 5 · FAIR 9-10 MOREST · MOREST 48% → 59%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514739.1790002002115
510318.38900000132.512.5
59516.25021150052.512.5
59733.06121180010.510.5
5014-.2503012140010.51.5
46123.217001130006
512424.3330003014315
5002.0002322700002
5012-.5001111200001
4000–110700001
2205.400000010002
2000–1001400000
Team totals6229166.199607873821610104
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520754.2411003112222
514336.30632350031.517.5
511832.094042141031.516.5
57116.37510020052.59.5
56217.235000201228
5215.20025121300003
53313.000000200214
5000–110300001
5005.000210120010.50.5
5000–4011400000
1000–000200000
Team totals6325178.213568962721811108

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 FAIR · MOREST 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 FAIRMOREST 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 6 FAIRMOREST 6

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 FAIRMOREST 5

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 5 FAIRMOREST 3

Set 5

13-15

Longest run 4 FAIRMOREST 4

Bars above the line = Morehead St. leads, below = Fairfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Fairfield

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%13/26
35%6/17
2
50%12/24
24%4/17
3
56%9/16
58%15/26
4
75%9/12
40%6/15
5
82%9/11
47%8/17
6
50%9/18
31%4/13
All
57%61/107
41%43/105

Morehead St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
68%13/19
56%14/25
2
62%13/21
46%11/24
3
43%9/21
55%12/22
4
56%9/16
31%4/13
5
60%9/15
18%2/11
6
69%9/13
25%3/12
All
59%62/105
43%46/107

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

212 rallies

#FAIR-MORESTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MORESTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+2.4
20-2MORESTMORESTBlockedAislin Oldachblk Haidyn Carter, Anna Schiltz+2.5
31-2MORESTFAIRBlockedSydney Sennettblk Zofia Sykut, Harlan Wyche+1.8
41-3FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.9
52-3MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+1.8
62-4FAIRMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+1.9
72-5MORESTMOREST×3AceMorehead St.aced Aislin Oldach+2.6
82-6MORESTMOREST×3Attack errKatelyn Cook+2.5
93-6MORESTFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut+1.6
104-6FAIRFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+2.4
114-7FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+2.0
125-7MORESTFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut+1.8
135-8FAIRMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Amelia Nott+2.1
145-9MORESTMORESTBlockedSophia Nagyblk Ella Warrick, Amelia Nott+2.6
156-9MORESTFAIRAttack errElla Warrick+1.7
166-10FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+2.0
177-10MORESTFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+1.7
187-11FAIRMORESTServe errFairfield+2.1
198-11MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+1.7
208-12FAIRMORESTKillAnna Schiltzset Haidyn Carter+2.1
219-12MORESTFAIR×4KillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+1.8
2210-12FAIRFAIR×4AceFairfield+2.7
2311-12FAIRFAIR×4Attack errRiley McCloskey+3.0
2412-12FAIRFAIR×4Attack errHaidyn Carter+3.2
2512-13FAIRMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+2.6
2612-14MORESTMOREST×3KillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+3.5
2712-15MORESTMOREST×3Attack errMamie Krubally+3.4
2813-15MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.2
2913-16FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+2.6
3013-17MORESTMORESTBlockedKatelyn Cookblk Riley McCloskey, Josie Certa+3.1
3114-17MORESTFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+1.8
3215-17FAIRFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Natalie Carlin+3.0
3315-18FAIRMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+2.8
3416-18MORESTFAIRServe errMorehead St.+2.3
3516-19FAIRMOREST×3KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+3.0
3616-20MORESTMOREST×3Attack errHarlan Wyche+3.3
3716-21MORESTMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+2.4
3817-21MORESTFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Noella Migliuri+1.0
3918-21FAIRFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+2.1
4018-22FAIRMORESTAttack errMamie Krubally+2.5
4119-22MORESTFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+1.4
4219-23FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.4
4319-24MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+1.5
4420-24MORESTFAIR×3KillKatelyn Cookset Julie Dufourt+0.3
4521-24FAIRFAIR×3KillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut+0.9
4622-24FAIRFAIR×3Attack errHollan Everett+1.9
4722-25FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+3.5
Set 2
11-0FAIRFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.7
21-1FAIRMORESTServe errFairfield+2.0
31-2MORESTMORESTAttack errKatelyn Cook+2.8
42-2MORESTFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+2.1
53-2FAIRFAIRBlockedElla Warrickblk Sophia Nagy+2.8
63-3FAIRMORESTKillAnna Schiltzset Sydney Sennett+2.1
73-4MORESTMORESTBlockedMamie Kruballyblk Haidyn Carter, Hollan Everett+3.0
84-4MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.2
94-5FAIRMORESTAttack errEmma Bortolotti+2.3
105-5MORESTFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+2.2
115-6FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+2.4
126-6MORESTFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+2.3
137-6FAIRFAIRAceFairfield+3.1
147-7FAIRMORESTKillSydney Sennettset Ella Warrick+2.3
158-7MORESTFAIR×4Serve errMorehead St.+2.4
169-7FAIRFAIR×4AceFairfield+3.1
1710-7FAIRFAIR×4KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.8
1811-7FAIRFAIR×4KillMamie Kruballyset Katelyn Cook+2.5
1911-8FAIRMORESTServe errFairfield+1.7
2011-9MORESTMORESTAceMorehead St.aced Aislin Oldach+2.7
2112-9MORESTFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+2.2
2212-10FAIRMORESTBlockedKatelyn Cookblk Amelia Nott, Anna Schiltz+2.1
2313-10MORESTFAIRServe errMorehead St.+2.3
2414-10FAIRFAIRAttack errHollan Everett+2.7
2514-11FAIRMORESTServe errFairfield+1.7
2615-11MORESTFAIR×6BlockedHollan Everettblk Sophia Nagy, Mamie Krubally+2.0
2716-11FAIRFAIR×6AceFairfield+2.2
2817-11FAIRFAIR×6KillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+1.6
2918-11FAIRFAIR×6BlockedHollan Everettblk Sophia Nagy, Katelyn Cook+1.1
3019-11FAIRFAIR×6KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+0.6
3120-11FAIRFAIR×6Attack errElla Warrick+0.3
3220-12FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+0.1
3321-12MORESTFAIRAttack errRiley McCloskey+0.2
3421-13FAIRMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+0.1
3522-13MORESTFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+0.1
3623-13FAIRFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+0.1
3723-14FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa·
3824-14MORESTFAIRKillLindsey Healeyset Noella Migliuri·
3924-15FAIRMOREST×6KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett·
4024-16MORESTMOREST×6BlockedHarlan Wycheblk Hollan Everett·
4124-17MORESTMOREST×6AceMorehead St.·
4224-18MORESTMOREST×6Attack errZofia Sykut+0.1
4324-19MORESTMOREST×6KillAmelia Nottset Ella Warrick+0.1
4424-20MORESTMOREST×6KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+0.3
4525-20MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.5
Set 3
11-0MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.3
21-1FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+2.4
31-2MORESTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+3.3
42-2MORESTFAIRAttack errAmelia Nott+2.4
52-3FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Amelia Nott+2.6
63-3MORESTFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+2.5
74-3FAIRFAIRBlockedHollan Everettblk Emma Bortolotti, Harlan Wyche+3.4
84-4FAIRMORESTAttack errEmma Bortolotti+2.6
94-5MORESTMORESTKillHaidyn Carter+3.6
105-5MORESTFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Noella Migliuri+2.6
115-6FAIRMORESTServe errFairfield+2.8
126-6MORESTFAIRKillLindsey Healeyset Noella Migliuri+2.7
136-7FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+2.9
147-7MORESTFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+2.8
157-8FAIRMOREST×5KillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+2.9
167-9MORESTMOREST×5AceMorehead St.aced Lindsey Healey+4.0
177-10MORESTMOREST×5KillElla Warrickset Tinsley Brown+3.9
187-11MORESTMOREST×5BlockedSophia Nagyblk Anna Schiltz+3.7
197-12MORESTMOREST×5KillAnna Schiltzset Sydney Sennett+3.3
208-12MORESTFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+2.0
219-12FAIRFAIRAceFairfield+3.2
229-13FAIRMORESTKillAnna Schiltzset Sydney Sennett+2.9
239-14MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+3.4
2410-14MORESTFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut+2.0
2510-15FAIRMORESTKillAnna Schiltzset Sydney Sennett+2.6
2610-16MORESTMORESTAceMorehead St.+2.7
2711-16MORESTFAIRServe errMorehead St.+1.4
2811-17FAIRMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Sydney Sennett+2.0
2912-17MORESTFAIR×3Serve errMorehead St.+1.4
3013-17FAIRFAIR×3AceFairfieldaced Hollan Everett+2.5
3114-17FAIRFAIR×3KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+3.3
3214-18FAIRMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+3.2
3315-18MORESTFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Harlan Wyche+2.4
3416-18FAIRFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+4.2
3516-19FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrick+4.0
3617-19MORESTFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+3.2
3717-20FAIRMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Amelia Nott+4.2
3817-21MORESTMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+4.5
3918-21MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.1
4018-22FAIRMOREST×3KillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+3.4
4118-23MORESTMOREST×3KillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.7
4218-24MORESTMOREST×3KillAnna Schiltzset Sydney Sennett+1.1
4319-24MORESTFAIRServe errMorehead St.+0.2
4419-25FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+0.4
Set 4
10-1FAIRMORESTAttack errKatelyn Cook+2.8
20-2MORESTMORESTAttack errJulie Dufourt+3.8
31-2MORESTFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut+2.7
41-3FAIRMOREST×3Attack errMamie Krubally+2.9
51-4MORESTMOREST×3AceMorehead St.+3.9
61-5MORESTMOREST×3KillHollan Everett+3.7
72-5MORESTFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut+2.5
83-5FAIRFAIRAttack errAnna Schiltz+3.6
93-6FAIRMORESTServe errFairfield+3.0
104-6MORESTFAIR×3Serve errMorehead St.+2.8
115-6FAIRFAIR×3KillEmma Bortolottiset Harlan Wyche+4.0
126-6FAIRFAIR×3KillAislin Oldachset Nicole Macalintal+4.1
136-7FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+3.2
147-7MORESTFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+3.1
157-8FAIRMORESTKillRiley McCloskeyset Josie Certa+3.3
167-9MORESTMORESTBlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Haidyn Carter, Ella Warrick+4.5
178-9MORESTFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+3.2
188-10FAIRMORESTKillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+3.5
199-10MORESTFAIRBlockedElla Warrickblk Sophia Nagy, Mamie Krubally+3.3
2010-10FAIRFAIRAttack errElla Warrick+4.6
2110-11FAIRMOREST×3Serve errFairfield+3.7
2210-12MORESTMOREST×3KillElla Warrickset Sydney Sennett+5.0
2310-13MORESTMOREST×3Attack errMamie Krubally+4.8
2411-13MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+3.2
2511-14FAIRMORESTAttack errKatelyn Cook+3.8
2612-14MORESTFAIR×5KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+3.2
2713-14FAIRFAIR×5KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+5.0
2814-14FAIRFAIR×5KillKatelyn Cookset Noella Migliuri+5.4
2915-14FAIRFAIR×5BlockedHollan Everettblk Emma Bortolotti+5.5
3016-14FAIRFAIR×5Attack errAmelia Nott+5.3
3116-15FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+3.7
3217-15MORESTFAIR×3BlockedAnna Schiltzblk Emma Bortolotti, Harlan Wyche+4.1
3318-15FAIRFAIR×3BlockedHollan Everettblk Harlan Wyche, Emma Bortolotti+4.9
3419-15FAIRFAIR×3KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+3.9
3519-16FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+2.2
3619-17MORESTMORESTBlockedHarlan Wycheblk Haidyn Carter, Hollan Everett+4.2
3720-17MORESTFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+4.0
3820-18FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+3.2
3921-18MORESTFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+4.2
4021-19FAIRMORESTKillElla Warrickset Josie Certa+3.1
4121-20MORESTMORESTBlockedMamie Kruballyblk Amelia Nott, Riley McCloskey+6.1
4222-20MORESTFAIRServe errMorehead St.+6.0
4322-21FAIRMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+4.8
4423-21MORESTFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+6.7
4524-21FAIRFAIRAttack errElla Warrick+6.2
4624-22FAIRMORESTAttack errHarlan Wyche+1.9
4724-23MORESTMORESTKillHollan Everettset Sydney Sennett+5.9
4825-23MORESTFAIRServe errMorehead St.+9.1
Set 5
11-0FAIRFAIRAceFairfieldaced Ella Warrick+8.3
21-1FAIRMOREST×3KillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+6.3
31-2MORESTMOREST×3AceMorehead St.+9.0
41-3MORESTMOREST×3Attack errKatelyn Cook+9.3
52-3MORESTFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+6.4
62-4FAIRMORESTAttack errEmma Bortolotti+7.3
73-4MORESTFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Noella Migliuri+6.6
83-5FAIRMOREST×3KillHaidyn Carterset Josie Certa+7.6
93-6MORESTMOREST×3Attack errSophia Nagy+9.6
103-7MORESTMOREST×3KillSydney Sennettset Hollan Everett+8.6
114-7MORESTFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+5.0
124-8FAIRMORESTKillHollan Everettset Courtney Fitzgerald+6.6
135-8MORESTFAIR×4KillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+4.9
146-8FAIRFAIR×4Attack errRiley McCloskey+8.5
157-8FAIRFAIR×4Bad setSydney Sennett+10.4
168-8FAIRFAIR×4Attack errElla Warrick+11.9
178-9FAIRMORESTBlockedMamie Kruballyblk Haidyn Carter, Ella Warrick+9.9
189-9MORESTFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+9.5
199-10FAIRMORESTKillAmelia Nottset Sydney Sennett+10.8
2010-10MORESTFAIR×3KillMamie Kruballyset Katelyn Cook+10.4
2111-10FAIRFAIR×3Attack errAmelia Nott+15.2
2212-10FAIRFAIR×3BlockedElla Warrickblk Emma Bortolotti, Harlan Wyche+14.4
2312-11FAIRMORESTServe errFairfield+8.7
2413-11MORESTFAIRKillKatelyn Cookset Zofia Sykut+12.0
2513-12FAIRMOREST×4KillAmelia Nottset Josie Certa+8.8
2613-13MORESTMOREST×4AceMorehead St.aced Aislin Oldach+19.7
2713-14MORESTMOREST×4Attack errHarlan Wyche+27.2
2813-15MORESTMOREST×4KillHollan Everettset Josie Certa+28.9

Score shown after each rally, Fairfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).