Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Belmont def. UIC 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Belmont 79.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Belmont beat visiting UIC 3-2 (25-23, 19-25, 25-14, 17-25, 15-13) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Belmont's Sydnee Nelson led with 15 kills, and Mya Bolton added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set12345Sets
UIC23251425132
BELMNT25192517153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Down 12–16 in the first, Belmont took the set, dropped the second, and won the match 3–2.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Belmont's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ gave Belmont 80% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · UIC 2–3 Belmont

    Down 2–3, UIC scored 5 straight to lead 7–3. The match swung to UIC.

    Belmont 71% → 23%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · UIC 7–3 Belmont

    Down 3–7, Belmont scored 3 straight to pull within 6–7.

    Belmont 23% → 48%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · UIC 12–12 Belmont

    Belmont won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 15–13 and win the match 3–2.

    Belmont 55% → >99%

Belmont above 50UIC belowMax swing 25.2%

UICBelmont

Sideout %
UIC 56.4·Belmont 57.0
Break %
UIC 43.0·Belmont 43.6
Hitting
UIC .190·Belmont .171
Longest run
UIC 6·Belmont 6

Connie Kofoed
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 4 K, .571, 4 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Belmont above 50 · UIC below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+25.2% BELMNTrally 201 · set 5

Biggest swing: 25.2% to Belmont — set 5, UIC 13-14 BELMNT. Kill by Connie Kofoed (set by Madison Lansdown). BELMNT win probability 53% → 78%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UIC 22.1%77.9% BELMNT

UIC wins

3-0
3.7%
3-1
7.4%
3-2
10.9%

Belmont wins

3-0
29.5%
3-1
29.6%
3-2
18.8%
UIC break %
38.8% vs this opp
BELMNT break %
44.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Connie KofoedKill+25.2%

    Kill by Connie Kofoed (set by Madison Lansdown)

    Set 5 · UIC 13-14 BELMNT · BELMNT 53% → 78%

  2. 02
    Lucy KayKill+21.6%

    Kill by Lucy Kay (set by Jordan Czajkowski)

    Set 5 · UIC 13-15 BELMNT · BELMNT 78% → 100%

  3. 03
    Sydnee NelsonAttack error+18.8%

    Attack error by Sydnee Nelson

    Set 5 · UIC 12-11 BELMNT · UIC 39% → 58%

  4. 04
    Ana PetridesKill+16.2%

    Kill by Ana Petrides (set by Paulina Ströh)

    Set 5 · UIC 13-12 BELMNT · UIC 45% → 62%

  5. 05
    Erin McMullenKill+14.8%

    Kill by Erin McMullen (set by Jordan Czajkowski)

    Set 5 · UIC 13-13 BELMNT · BELMNT 38% → 53%

  6. 06

    Gabi Peter stuffed by Alivia Keegan & Erin McMullen

    Set 5 · UIC 9-10 BELMNT · BELMNT 58% → 71%

  7. 07
    Erin McMullenKill+12.5%

    Kill by Erin McMullen (set by Jordan Czajkowski)

    Set 5 · UIC 12-12 BELMNT · BELMNT 42% → 55%

  8. 08
    Sydnee NelsonKill+12.1%

    Kill by Sydnee Nelson (set by Alivia Keegan)

    Set 5 · UIC 8-8 BELMNT · BELMNT 46% → 59%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UICaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513845.11100191132.515.5
512220.5001010004214
511526.23110020111.512.5
5000–2011011011
21011.000811300002
1024-.500000000000
511630.1671022102112
56212.33310000233.59.5
5011-1.000162150010.52.5
27Ava YoungL/DS
5001.0004102320001
4000–2011500001
3337.000000001014
2216.167000300002
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5930153.190545862761413100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
515840.17500291010.515.5
511119.5260000014314
59624.12500010153.512.5
531028-.250033800639
5002.0002130600003
51011.000002620001
55217.17600032010.55.5
5204.5002100301224
5000–0111300001
5000–100200000
2407.571000200004
1204.50000000010.52.5
Team totals5227146.171437853532013101

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UIC vs Belmont

Season series · Belmont leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 UIC · BELMNT 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 6 UICBELMNT 6

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 6 UICBELMNT 5

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 3 UICBELMNT 5

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 6 UICBELMNT 4

Set 5

13-15

Longest run 5 UICBELMNT 3

Bars above the line = Belmont leads, below = UIC leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UIC

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
0%0/4
2
88%7/8
50%7/14
3
45%5/11
36%4/11
4
45%5/11
44%4/9
5
42%5/12
0%0/5
6
67%4/6
29%2/7
All
51%33/65
34%17/50

Belmont

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
59%10/17
2
64%7/11
13%1/8
3
56%5/9
55%6/11
4
100%5/5
55%6/11
5
71%5/7
58%7/12
6
100%4/4
33%2/6
All
66%33/50
49%32/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

201 rallies

#UIC-BELMNTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0BELMNTUICKillTamara Kisicset Lianna Ortiz+1.4
21-1UICBELMNTBlockedTamara Kisicblk Erin McMullen, Brenna Kauffeld+1.3
32-1BELMNTUICKillGabi Peterset Judy Asar+1.4
42-2UICBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+1.3
53-2BELMNTUICKillAna Petridesset Mihaela Harizanova+1.4
63-3UICBELMNTKillLucy Kayset Jordan Czajkowski+1.3
74-3BELMNTUICAttack errBrenna Kauffeld+1.5
84-4UICBELMNTKillLucy Kayset Alivia Keegan+1.4
95-4BELMNTUIC×3KillMartina Cerratoset Mihaela Harizanova+1.5
106-4UICUIC×3KillJudy Asar+2.2
117-4UICUIC×3KillMartina Cerratoset Judy Asar+2.3
127-5UICBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+1.5
138-5BELMNTUICKillMartina Cerratoset Judy Asar+1.7
148-6UICBELMNT×6Attack errRobyn Ward+1.5
158-7BELMNTBELMNT×6Attack errRobyn Ward+2.2
168-8BELMNTBELMNT×6KillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+2.2
178-9BELMNTBELMNT×6AceJordan Czajkowskiaced Ava Young+2.1
188-10BELMNTBELMNT×6KillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+1.9
198-11BELMNTBELMNT×6Attack errTamara Kisic+1.7
209-11BELMNTUIC×6KillTamara Kisicset Judy Asar+1.2
2110-11UICUIC×6KillGabi Peterset Lianna Ortiz+2.0
2211-11UICUIC×6AceAva Youngaced Lauren Evans+2.3
2312-11UICUIC×6Attack errSydnee Nelson+2.6
2413-11UICUIC×6Attack errBrenna Kauffeld+2.8
2514-11UICUIC×6Attack errSydnee Nelson+2.9
2614-12UICBELMNTBlockedGabi Peterblk Sydnee Nelson, Erin McMullen+1.7
2715-12BELMNTUICKillTamara Kisicset Ava Young+2.2
2816-12UICUICBlockedBrenna Kauffeldblk Tamara Kisic, Ana Petrides+2.8
2916-13UICBELMNT×3KillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+1.5
3016-14BELMNTBELMNT×3BlockedSasha Pellettieriblk Brenna Kauffeld, Lucy Kay+2.6
3116-15BELMNTBELMNT×3KillEmily Warmenhoven+2.9
3217-15BELMNTUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+2.5
3317-16UICBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Alivia Keegan+2.1
3418-16BELMNTUICServe errBrenna Kauffeld+2.7
3518-17UICBELMNT×4KillLucy Kayset Alivia Keegan+2.2
3618-18BELMNTBELMNT×4Attack errSasha Pellettieri+3.5
3718-19BELMNTBELMNT×4Attack errMartina Cerrato+3.5
3818-20BELMNTBELMNT×4BlockedMartina Cerratoblk Alivia Keegan, Lucy Kay+3.2
3919-20BELMNTUICServe errLauren Evans+2.0
4019-21UICBELMNTKillLucy Kayset Alivia Keegan+2.4
4120-21BELMNTUICKillGabi Peterset Judy Asar+2.1
4220-22UICBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+2.7
4321-22BELMNTUICKillMaryam Husseinset Judy Asar+2.2
4421-23UICBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+3.0
4522-23BELMNTUICKillGabi Peterset Judy Asar+2.2
4623-23UICUICKillAna Petrides+5.5
4723-24UICBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+5.1
4823-25BELMNTBELMNTAttack errTamara Kisic+6.3
Set 2
11-0UICUIC×4KillMaryam Husseinset Paulina Ströh+1.4
22-0UICUIC×4KillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+1.5
33-0UICUIC×4Attack errSydnee Nelson+1.6
44-0UICUIC×4KillTamara Kisicset Gabi Peter+1.6
54-1UICBELMNTBlockedTamara Kisicblk Brenna Kauffeld, Alexia Smollen+1.0
65-1BELMNTUICKillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+1.2
76-1UICUICKillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+1.6
86-2UICBELMNTAttack errTamara Kisic+0.9
97-2BELMNTUICBlockedEmily Warmenhovenblk Gabi Peter, Ana Petrides+1.2
108-2UICUICAceJudy Asaraced Emily Warmenhoven+1.5
118-3UICBELMNT×4Serve errJudy Asar+0.9
128-4BELMNTBELMNT×4AceBrenna Kauffeldaced Lianna Ortiz+1.4
138-5BELMNTBELMNT×4KillLucy Kay+1.5
148-6BELMNTBELMNT×4KillLucy Kayset Alivia Keegan+1.6
159-6BELMNTUICServe errBrenna Kauffeld+1.4
169-7UICBELMNTServe errTamara Kisic+1.2
1710-7BELMNTUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Judy Asar+1.4
1810-8UICBELMNT×5KillLauren Evansset Alivia Keegan+1.2
1910-9BELMNT
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.8
2010-10BELMNTBELMNT×5AceMya Bolton+1.8
2110-11BELMNTBELMNT×5Attack errMaryam Hussein+1.7
2210-12BELMNTBELMNT×5Bad setJudy Asar+1.6
2311-12BELMNTUICKillMaryam Husseinset Mihaela Harizanova+1.1
2411-13UICBELMNTAttack errMartina Cerrato+1.1
2512-13BELMNTUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+1.2
2612-14UICBELMNTKillAlexia Smollenset Alivia Keegan+1.2
2713-14BELMNTUICKillMaryam Husseinset Paulina Ströh+1.2
2814-14UICUICBlockedBrenna Kauffeldblk Tamara Kisic, Ana Petrides+2.0
2914-15UICBELMNTKillAlexia Smollenset Alivia Keegan+1.4
3015-15BELMNTUICKillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+1.5
3115-16UICBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Alivia Keegan+1.5
3216-16BELMNTUICAttack errLucy Kay+1.6
3317-16UICUICAttack errLucy Kay+2.6
3417-17UICBELMNTKillAlivia Keegan+1.7
3518-17BELMNTUICKillAna Petridesset Mihaela Harizanova+2.0
3618-18UICBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+1.9
3719-18BELMNTUIC×6BlockedBrenna Kauffeldblk Martina Cerrato, Maryam Hussein+2.2
3820-18UICUIC×6BlockedSydnee Nelsonblk Maryam Hussein+3.2
3921-18UICUIC×6Bad setAlivia Keegan+3.0
4022-18UICUIC×6KillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+2.4
4123-18UICUIC×6Attack errSydnee Nelson+1.4
4224-18UICUIC×6KillGabi Peterset Ava Young+0.6
4324-19UICBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+0.1
4425-19BELMNTUICAttack errBrenna Kauffeld+0.2
Set 3
10-1BELMNTBELMNT×3KillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+2.6
20-2BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errMaryam Hussein+2.4
30-3BELMNTBELMNT×3KillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+2.1
41-3BELMNTUICKillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+1.5
51-4UICBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+1.5
62-4BELMNTUICKillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+1.5
72-5UICBELMNTServe errMihaela Harizanova+1.5
82-6BELMNTBELMNTBlockedAna Petridesblk Lucy Kay+1.9
93-6BELMNTUICKillSasha Pellettieriset Mihaela Harizanova+1.3
103-7UICBELMNTKillEmily Warmenhovenset Jordan Czajkowski+1.4
114-7BELMNTUICKillMartina Cerratoset Ava Young+1.3
124-8UICBELMNTKillLucy Kayset Alivia Keegan+1.4
134-9BELMNTBELMNTAttack errSasha Pellettieri+1.6
145-9BELMNTUICKillMartina Cerratoset Mihaela Harizanova+1.0
155-10UICBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+1.1
166-10BELMNTUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+1.0
176-11UICBELMNT×3Serve errMartina Cerrato+1.2
186-12BELMNTBELMNT×3KillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+1.3
196-13BELMNTBELMNT×3BlockedTamara Kisicblk Erin McMullen, Brenna Kauffeld+0.9
207-13BELMNTUICKillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+0.5
218-13UICUICKillAna Petrides+1.0
228-14UICBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+0.9
239-14BELMNTUIC×3KillAna Petridesset Paulina Ströh+0.7
2410-14UICUIC×3KillSasha Pellettieriset Mihaela Harizanova+1.4
2511-14UICUIC×3Attack errBrenna Kauffeld+1.9
2611-15UICBELMNTBad setMihaela Harizanova+1.6
2712-15BELMNTUICKillTamara Kisicset Mihaela Harizanova+1.4
2812-16UICBELMNT×5Serve errMartina Cerrato+1.7
2912-17BELMNTBELMNT×5AceBrenna Kauffeld+1.8
3012-18BELMNTBELMNT×5AceBrenna Kauffeldaced Ava Young+1.2
3112-19BELMNTBELMNT×5BlockedMartina Cerratoblk Erin McMullen+0.7
3212-20BELMNTBELMNT×5Attack errMihaela Harizanova+0.4
3313-20BELMNTUICBlockedLucy Kayblk Sasha Pellettieri+0.1
3413-21UICBELMNT×3KillAlivia Keegan+0.2
3513-22BELMNTBELMNT×3Bad setMartina Cerrato+0.1
3613-23BELMNTBELMNT×3Bad setAva Young·
3714-23BELMNTUICKillMartina Cerratoset Mihaela Harizanova·
3814-24UICBELMNTServe errPaulina Ströh·
3914-25BELMNTBELMNTKillErin McMullen·
Set 4
10-1UICBELMNTAttack errGabi Peter+1.4
21-1BELMNTUICServe errSydnee Nelson+1.5
31-2UICBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+1.5
41-3BELMNTBELMNTAttack errTamara Kisic+1.9
52-3BELMNTUIC×6KillGabi Peterset Paulina Ströh+1.4
63-3UICUIC×6BlockedBrenna Kauffeldblk Tamara Kisic+2.2
74-3UICUIC×6BlockedLucy Kayblk Tamara Kisic, Ana Petrides+2.5
85-3UICUIC×6Attack errBrenna Kauffeld+2.7
96-3UICUIC×6Attack errEmily Warmenhoven+2.8
107-3UICUIC×6AceMihaela Harizanovaaced Emily Warmenhoven+2.8
117-4UICBELMNTKillLucy Kayset Jordan Czajkowski+1.7
128-4BELMNTUICKillNathàlia Souza da Silvaset Martina Cerrato+2.1
138-5UICBELMNTBlockedAna Petridesblk Emily Warmenhoven, Lucy Kay+1.7
149-5BELMNTUICKillMartina Cerratoset Mihaela Harizanova+2.1
1510-5UICUICBlockedSydnee Nelsonblk Mihaela Harizanova, Maryam Hussein+2.8
1610-6UICBELMNTServe errAna Petrides+1.6
1711-6BELMNTUICKillMaryam Husseinset Mihaela Harizanova+2.1
1812-6UICUICAcePaulina Ströhaced Lauren Evans+2.5
1912-7UICBELMNT×4KillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+1.3
2012-8BELMNTBELMNT×4AceJordan Czajkowskiaced Martina Cerrato+2.3
2112-9BELMNTBELMNT×4Attack errGabi Peter+2.6
2212-10BELMNTBELMNT×4AceJordan Czajkowskiaced Tamara Kisic+2.9
2313-10BELMNTUICKillMartina Cerratoset Paulina Ströh+2.5
2413-11UICBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+2.1
2513-12BELMNTBELMNTAttack errGabi Peter+3.2
2614-12BELMNTUICServe errSydnee Nelson+2.6
2714-13UICBELMNTKillBrenna Kauffeldset Jordan Czajkowski+2.3
2815-13BELMNTUICKillAna Petridesset Paulina Ströh+2.8
2916-13UICUICAceMihaela Harizanovaaced Sydnee Nelson+3.8
3016-14UICBELMNTBlockedTamara Kisicblk Brenna Kauffeld, Lucy Kay+2.2
3117-14BELMNTUICKillNathàlia Souza da Silvaset Mihaela Harizanova+2.9
3218-14UICUICKillAna Petridesset Mihaela Harizanova+3.6
3318-15UICBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+1.9
3419-15BELMNTUICServe errLauren Evans+2.7
3520-15UICUICKillMartina Cerratoset Ana Petrides+2.9
3620-16UICBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+1.2
3721-16BELMNTUICKillMartina Cerratoset Mihaela Harizanova+2.0
3821-17UICBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Ava Young+1.1
3922-17BELMNTUIC×4BlockedSydnee Nelsonblk Gabi Peter+1.9
40–4124-17UIC 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
4225-17UICUIC×4KillTamara Kisicset Paulina Ströh+1.3
Set 5
11-0BELMNTUICBlockedErin McMullenblk Maryam Hussein+6.3
21-1UICBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Jordan Czajkowski+5.9
31-2BELMNTBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+8.1
42-2BELMNTUICKillAna Petridesset Maryam Hussein+6.1
52-3UICBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+5.9
63-3BELMNTUIC×5KillAna Petridesset Mihaela Harizanova+6.3
74-3UICUIC×5KillMartina Cerratoset Ava Young+9.9
85-3UICUIC×5KillAna Petrides+10.7
96-3UICUIC×5Attack errLucy Kay+10.7
107-3UICUIC×5KillAna Petrides+10.0
117-4UICBELMNT×3BlockedMartina Cerratoblk Brenna Kauffeld, Lucy Kay+5.3
127-5BELMNTBELMNT×3Attack errNathàlia Souza da Silva+9.2
137-6BELMNTBELMNT×3KillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+10.5
148-6BELMNTUICServe errBrenna Kauffeld+9.2
158-7UICBELMNTKillConnie Kofoedset Alivia Keegan+7.7
168-8BELMNTBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+12.1
179-8BELMNTUICBlockedLucy Kayblk Martina Cerrato, Maryam Hussein+9.8
189-9UICBELMNTKillSydnee Nelsonset Alivia Keegan+9.1
199-10BELMNTBELMNTBlockedGabi Peterblk Alivia Keegan, Erin McMullen+13.3
2010-10BELMNTUICServe errMya Bolton+9.7
2110-11UICBELMNTServe errLianna Ortiz+10.3
2211-11BELMNTUICKillMaryam Husseinset Paulina Ströh+10.6
2312-11UICUICAttack errSydnee Nelson+18.8
2412-12UICBELMNTKillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+12.5
2513-12BELMNTUICKillAna Petridesset Paulina Ströh+16.2
2613-13UICBELMNT×3KillErin McMullenset Jordan Czajkowski+14.8
2713-14BELMNTBELMNT×3KillConnie Kofoedset Madison Lansdown+25.2
2813-15BELMNTBELMNT×3KillLucy Kayset Jordan Czajkowski+21.6

Score shown after each rally, UIC first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).