FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayMETRO

0:3

HomeIVY-LEAGUE

Harvard def. Fairfield 3–0

(25-17, 26-24, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
FAIR	17	24	22	0
HARV	25	26	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

HARV above 50 · FAIR below

Biggest swing: 9.7% to Fairfield — set 2, FAIR 24-24 HARV. Attack error by Bridget Egan. HARV win probability 80% → 71%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

FAIR 48.6%51.4% HARV

Fairfield wins

3-0

11.9%

3-1

18.1%

3-2

18.5%

Harvard wins

3-0

13.1%

3-1

19.4%

3-2

19.0%

FAIR break %: 44.4% vs this opp
HARV break %: 44.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Bridget EganAttack error+9.7%
Attack error by Bridget Egan
Set 2 · FAIR 24-24 HARV · FAIR 20% → 29%
02
HARV serverAce+9.6%
Harvard ace on Mia Jean Claude
Set 2 · FAIR 24-26 HARV · HARV 78% → 88%
03
Ali FarquharKill+7.8%
Kill by Ali Farquhar (set by Sophia Wei)
Set 2 · FAIR 24-25 HARV · HARV 71% → 78%
04
Ryleigh PattersonKill+5.8%
Kill by Ryleigh Patterson (set by Sophia Wei)
Set 2 · FAIR 22-24 HARV · HARV 78% → 84%
05
Sofia RossiKill+5.0%
Kill by Sofia Rossi (set by Sophia Wei)
Set 2 · FAIR 21-23 HARV · HARV 77% → 82%
06
Harlan WycheAttack error+4.7%
Attack error by Harlan Wyche
Set 3 · FAIR 22-24 HARV · HARV 93% → 97%
07
Masina OgbechieKill+4.4%
Kill by Masina Ogbechie (set by Catlin Shao)
Set 2 · FAIR 20-22 HARV · HARV 76% → 80%
08
HARV serverAce+4.1%
Harvard ace on Katelyn Cook
Set 3 · FAIR 21-22 HARV · HARV 88% → 92%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Fairfieldaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Mamie KruballyOH	3	9	3	24	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	10
8Katelyn CookOH	3	3	1	10	.200	0	2	1	1	3	0	0	0	5
22Harlan WycheMB	3	3	3	10	.000	1	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	4
3Sophia NagyMB	3	3	1	9	.222	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
11Zofia SykutS	3	0	0	1	.000	13	1	0	4	1	0	0	0	1
7Aislin OldachOH	2	2	3	16	-.063	1	0	1	8	3	1	1	1.5	3.5
6Emma BortolottiOH	3	5	3	18	.111	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
21Mia Jean ClaudeOH	3	1	1	5	.000	1	1	1	5	3	0	0	0	2
10Noella MigliuriS	3	1	0	2	.500	8	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	1
18Natalie CarlinL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	17	1	0	0	0	0
14Lindsey HealeyOH	1	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	3
12Julie DufourtL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	16	102	.137	28	4	4	47	15	1	8	5	63

Harvardhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
23Sofia RossiOH	3	11	5	30	.200	0	6	2	10	2	1	0	1	18
13Ali FarquharOH	3	9	5	27	.148	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
15Bridget EganOH	3	7	3	24	.167	0	1	2	7	2	0	3	1.5	9.5
21Ryleigh PattersonMB	3	5	2	12	.250	0	0	3	2	0	0	4	2	7
18Riley ResmerMB	3	4	1	6	.500	0	1	0	0	0	1	2	2	7
1Sophia WeiS	3	0	0	0	–	23	4	1	7	0	0	0	0	4
4Masina OgbechieOH	3	4	1	12	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
2Catlin ShaoS	3	0	0	0	–	11	2	1	5	0	0	0	0	2
16Yvette EastonL/DS	3	1	0	3	.333	3	0	0	12	0	0	0	0	1
44Jordan ShelorL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		41	17	114	.211	37	15	9	46	4	2	12	8	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 FAIR · HARV 10

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 4 FAIRHARV 10

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 5 FAIRHARV 6

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 FAIRHARV 4

Bars above the line = Harvard leads, below = Fairfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Fairfield

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	36%8/22	33%3/9
2	33%7/21	47%7/15
3	42%5/12	56%9/16
4	71%5/7	29%2/7
5	71%5/7	44%4/9
6	83%5/6	38%3/8
All	47%35/75	44%28/64

Harvard

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	56%9/16
2	54%7/13	73%19/26
3	55%6/11	40%4/10
4	45%5/11	38%3/8
5	63%5/8	38%3/8
6	71%5/7	29%2/7
All	56%36/64	53%40/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

139 rallies

Rally log

#	FAIR-HARV	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	HARV	HARV	Attack err	Sophia Nagy		+2.4
2	1-1	HARV	FAIR	Kill	Katelyn Cook	set Aislin Oldach	+1.9
3	1-2	FAIR	HARV×10	Kill	Ali Farquhar	set Yvette Easton	+2.0
4	1-3	HARV	HARV×10	Kill	Ali Farquhar	set Sophia Wei	+2.4
5	1-4	HARV	HARV×10	Ace	HARV server	aced Julie Dufourt	+2.3
6	1-5	HARV	HARV×10	Attack err	Mamie Krubally	blk Ryleigh Patterson, Bridget Egan	+2.2
7	1-6	HARV	HARV×10	Attack err	Aislin Oldach		+2.0
8	1-7	HARV	HARV×10	Kill	Ali Farquhar		+1.7
9	1-8	HARV	HARV×10	Kill	Bridget Egan	set Sophia Wei	+1.5
10	1-9	HARV	HARV×10	Attack err	Katelyn Cook		+1.2
11	1-10	HARV	HARV×10	Kill	Bridget Egan		+0.9
12	1-11	HARV	HARV×10	Ace	HARV server	aced Julie Dufourt	+0.7
13	2-11	HARV	FAIR×4	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Zofia Sykut	+0.4
14	3-11	FAIR	FAIR×4	Bad set	Sophia Wei		+0.7
15	4-11	FAIR	FAIR×4	Attack err	Ali Farquhar	blk Harlan Wyche, Aislin Oldach	+0.9
16	5-11	FAIR	FAIR×4	Bad set	Sophia Wei		+1.1
17	5-12	FAIR	HARV	Serve err	FAIR server		+1.2
18	5-13	HARV	HARV	Attack err	Mamie Krubally		+1.1
19	6-13	HARV	FAIR	Serve err	HARV server		+0.6
20	6-14	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Sophia Wei	+0.9
21	7-14	HARV	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Noella Migliuri	+0.6
22	8-14	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Noella Migliuri	+1.0
23	8-15	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Riley Resmer	set Catlin Shao	+1.1
24	8-16	HARV	HARV	Ace	HARV server	aced Noella Migliuri	+1.0
25	9-16	HARV	FAIR	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Noella Migliuri	+0.5
26	10-16	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+0.9
27	10-17	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Yvette Easton	set Harlan Wyche	+1.0
28	11-17	HARV	FAIR×3	Kill	Noella Migliuri	set Natalie Carlin	+0.7
29	12-17	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Katelyn Cook	set Zofia Sykut	+1.2
30	13-17	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+1.7
31	13-18	FAIR	HARV×6	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Catlin Shao	+1.8
32	13-19	HARV	HARV×6	Ace	HARV server	aced Katelyn Cook	+1.6
33	13-20	HARV	HARV×6	Kill	Ryleigh Patterson	set Sophia Wei	+1.0
34	13-21	HARV	HARV×6	Ace	HARV server	aced Mia Jean Claude	+0.6
35	13-22	HARV	HARV×6	Ace	HARV server	aced Aislin Oldach	+0.3
36	13-23	HARV	HARV×6	Attack err	Mia Jean Claude	blk Ryleigh Patterson, Ali Farquhar	+0.1
37	14-23	HARV	FAIR×3	Serve err	HARV server		+0.0
38	15-23	FAIR	FAIR×3	Attack err	Sofia Rossi	blk Mamie Krubally, Sophia Nagy	+0.0
39	16-23	FAIR	FAIR×3	Attack err	Sofia Rossi		+0.1
40	16-24	FAIR	HARV	Serve err	FAIR server		+0.2
41	17-24	HARV	FAIR	Kill	Sophia Nagy	set Zofia Sykut	+0.0
42	17-25	FAIR	HARV	Attack err	Mamie Krubally	blk Bridget Egan, Ryleigh Patterson	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	FAIR	FAIR	Ace	FAIR server	aced Bridget Egan	+2.4
2	1-1	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Ali Farquhar	set Sophia Wei	+1.9
3	2-1	HARV	FAIR	Serve err	HARV server		+1.9
4	3-1	FAIR	FAIR	Ace	FAIR server	aced Sofia Rossi	+2.4
5	3-2	FAIR	HARV	Serve err	FAIR server		+1.9
6	4-2	HARV	FAIR	Serve err	HARV server		+2.0
7	4-3	FAIR	HARV	Attack err	Aislin Oldach	blk Riley Resmer, Ali Farquhar	+1.9
8	5-3	HARV	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+2.0
9	6-3	FAIR	FAIR	Attack err	Riley Resmer		+2.4
10	6-4	FAIR	HARV×3	Kill	Bridget Egan	set Catlin Shao	+1.8
11	6-5	HARV	HARV×3	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Catlin Shao	+2.5
12	6-6	HARV	HARV×3	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Yvette Easton	+2.6
13	7-6	HARV	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Natalie Carlin	+2.2
14	7-7	FAIR	HARV	Serve err	FAIR server		+2.2
15	7-8	HARV	HARV	Attack err	Emma Bortolotti	blk Sofia Rossi	+2.8
16	8-8	HARV	FAIR	Kill	Katelyn Cook	set Harlan Wyche	+2.2
17	8-9	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Masina Ogbechie	set Catlin Shao	+2.3
18	9-9	HARV	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+2.3
19	9-10	FAIR	HARV×6	Kill	Ryleigh Patterson	set Sophia Wei	+2.4
20	9-11	HARV	HARV×6	Ace	HARV server	aced Katelyn Cook	+2.9
21	9-12	HARV	HARV×6	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Sophia Wei	+2.8
22	9-13	HARV	HARV×6	Ace	HARV server	aced Aislin Oldach	+2.5
23	9-14	HARV	HARV×6	Ace	HARV server	aced Aislin Oldach	+2.2
24	9-15	HARV	HARV×6	Kill	Ryleigh Patterson	set Sophia Wei	+1.7
25	10-15	HARV	FAIR	Attack err	Bridget Egan	blk Mamie Krubally, Sophia Nagy	+1.1
26	11-15	FAIR	FAIR	Ace	FAIR server	aced Sofia Rossi	+1.7
27	11-16	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Bridget Egan	set Sophia Wei	+1.8
28	12-16	HARV	FAIR×5	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+1.4
29	13-16	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+2.2
30	14-16	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+2.8
31	15-16	FAIR	FAIR×5	Attack err	Ali Farquhar	blk Aislin Oldach	+3.3
32	16-16	FAIR	FAIR×5	Attack err	Sofia Rossi		+3.8
33	16-17	FAIR	HARV×3	Kill	Ali Farquhar	set Sophia Wei	+3.2
34	16-18	HARV	HARV×3	Attack err	Aislin Oldach		+4.0
35	16-19	HARV	HARV×3	Ace	HARV server	aced Natalie Carlin	+3.6
36	17-19	HARV	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+2.4
37	18-19	FAIR	FAIR	Attack err	Bridget Egan		+3.8
38	18-20	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Bridget Egan	set Catlin Shao	+3.7
39	19-20	HARV	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Natalie Carlin	+3.2
40	19-21	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Riley Resmer	set Catlin Shao	+4.0
41	20-21	HARV	FAIR	Bad set	Ryleigh Patterson		+3.4
42	20-22	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Masina Ogbechie	set Catlin Shao	+4.4
43	21-22	HARV	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+3.6
44	21-23	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Sophia Wei	+5.0
45	22-23	HARV	FAIR	Kill	Sophia Nagy	set Zofia Sykut	+3.7
46	22-24	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Ryleigh Patterson	set Sophia Wei	+5.8
47	23-24	HARV	FAIR	Serve err	HARV server		+3.5
48	24-24	FAIR	FAIR	Attack err	Bridget Egan		+9.7
49	24-25	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Ali Farquhar	set Sophia Wei	+7.8
50	24-26	HARV	HARV	Ace	HARV server	aced Mia Jean Claude	+9.6
Set 3
1	1-0	HARV	FAIR×3	Kill	Lindsey Healey	set Noella Migliuri	+1.2
2	2-0	FAIR	FAIR×3	Ace	FAIR server	aced Bridget Egan	+1.5
3	3-0	FAIR	FAIR×3	Attack err	Ryleigh Patterson		+1.5
4	3-1	FAIR	HARV×4	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Sophia Wei	+1.1
5	3-2	HARV	HARV×4	Ace	HARV server	aced Mia Jean Claude	+1.5
6	3-3	HARV	HARV×4	Attack err	Emma Bortolotti	blk Bridget Egan, Ryleigh Patterson	+1.6
7	3-4	HARV	HARV×4	Attack err	Harlan Wyche		+1.6
8	4-4	HARV	FAIR	Attack err	Ali Farquhar		+1.3
9	4-5	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Sophia Wei	+1.3
10	5-5	HARV	FAIR	Attack err	Ali Farquhar		+1.3
11	5-6	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Riley Resmer	set Sophia Wei	+1.4
12	6-6	HARV	FAIR	Serve err	HARV server		+1.4
13	7-6	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Sophia Nagy	set Zofia Sykut	+1.8
14	7-7	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Bridget Egan	set Catlin Shao	+1.4
15	8-7	HARV	FAIR	Serve err	HARV server		+1.5
16	8-8	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Yvette Easton	+1.5
17	9-8	HARV	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+1.5
18	9-9	FAIR	HARV×3	Kill	Masina Ogbechie	set Catlin Shao	+1.5
19	9-10	HARV	HARV×3	Attack err	Emma Bortolotti		+1.9
20	9-11	HARV	HARV×3	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Sophia Wei	+1.9
21	10-11	HARV	FAIR	Attack err	Ali Farquhar	blk Emma Bortolotti, Harlan Wyche	+1.5
22	11-11	FAIR	FAIR	Attack err	Ryleigh Patterson		+2.0
23	11-12	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Sofia Rossi	set Sophia Wei	+1.7
24	12-12	HARV	FAIR	Serve err	HARV server		+1.7
25	13-12	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Lindsey Healey	set Mia Jean Claude	+2.2
26	13-13	FAIR	HARV×4	Kill	Ali Farquhar	set Sophia Wei	+1.7
27	13-14	HARV	HARV×4	Ace	HARV server	aced Lindsey Healey	+2.2
28	13-15	HARV	HARV×4	Attack err	Lindsey Healey	blk Ali Farquhar, Riley Resmer	+2.2
29	13-16	HARV	HARV×4	Kill	Riley Resmer	set Sophia Wei	+2.1
30	14-16	HARV	FAIR	Kill	Lindsey Healey	set Emma Bortolotti	+1.5
31	14-17	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Ali Farquhar	set Sophia Wei	+1.7
32	15-17	HARV	FAIR×3	Attack err	Sofia Rossi		+1.5
33	16-17	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Mamie Krubally		+2.2
34	17-17	FAIR	FAIR×3	Attack err	Masina Ogbechie		+2.6
35	17-18	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Bridget Egan	set Catlin Shao	+2.2
36	18-18	HARV	FAIR×3	Serve err	HARV server		+2.2
37	19-18	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Harlan Wyche		+3.0
38	20-18	FAIR	FAIR×3	Attack err	Sofia Rossi		+3.0
39	20-19	FAIR	HARV	Attack err	Harlan Wyche	blk Riley Resmer	+2.1
40	20-20	HARV	HARV	Ace	HARV server	aced Zofia Sykut	+3.2
41	21-20	HARV	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+2.9
42	21-21	FAIR	HARV	Kill	Masina Ogbechie	set Catlin Shao	+2.9
43	21-22	HARV	HARV	Ace	HARV server	aced Katelyn Cook	+4.1
44	22-22	HARV	FAIR	Kill	Mia Jean Claude	set Noella Migliuri	+3.2
45	22-23	FAIR	HARV×3	Kill	Ali Farquhar	set Sophia Wei	+3.9
46	22-24	HARV	HARV×3	Attack err	Harlan Wyche		+4.7
47	22-25	HARV	HARV×3	Kill	Ryleigh Patterson	set Sophia Wei	+2.8

Score shown after each rally, Fairfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.