FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayMETRO

3:0

HomePATRIOT

Fairfield def. Army West Point 3–0

(27-25, 25-22, 25-12)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
FAIR	27	25	25	3
ARMY	25	22	12	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ARMY above 50 · FAIR below

Biggest swing: 10.1% to Fairfield — set 1, FAIR 27-25 ARMY. Attack error by Michelle Parker. ARMY win probability 45% → 35%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

FAIR 45.9%54.1% ARMY

Fairfield wins

3-0

10.9%

3-1

17.0%

3-2

18.0%

Army West Point wins

3-0

14.3%

3-1

20.5%

3-2

19.3%

FAIR break %: 43.3% vs this opp
ARMY break %: 44.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Michelle ParkerAttack error+10.1%
Attack error by Michelle Parker
Set 1 · FAIR 27-25 ARMY · FAIR 55% → 65%
02
Aislin OldachKill+10.0%
Kill by Aislin Oldach (set by Emma Bortolotti)
Set 1 · FAIR 26-25 ARMY · FAIR 45% → 55%
03
Mia Jean ClaudeAttack error+9.8%
Attack error by Mia Jean Claude
Set 1 · FAIR 23-24 ARMY · ARMY 53% → 63%
04
Mamie KruballyKill+7.8%
Kill by Mamie Krubally (set by Natalie Carlin)
Set 1 · FAIR 23-22 ARMY · FAIR 45% → 53%
05
Mia Jean ClaudeKill+7.6%
Kill by Mia Jean Claude (set by Zofia Sykut)
Set 1 · FAIR 24-24 ARMY · FAIR 37% → 45%
06
Mia Jean ClaudeAttack error+7.6%
Mia Jean Claude stuffed by Kennedy Jones & Michelle Parker
Set 1 · FAIR 24-25 ARMY · ARMY 55% → 63%
07
Michelle ParkerAttack error+7.6%
Attack error by Michelle Parker
Set 1 · FAIR 25-25 ARMY · FAIR 37% → 45%
08
Marlee LightseyAttack error+6.9%
Attack error by Marlee Lightsey
Set 2 · FAIR 22-21 ARMY · FAIR 65% → 72%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Fairfieldaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
21Mia Jean ClaudeOH	3	9	5	26	.154	1	2	0	8	0	0	3	1.5	12.5
1Mamie KruballyOH	3	7	2	15	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
22Harlan WycheMB	3	3	0	11	.273	1	0	2	2	0	1	5	3.5	6.5
3Sophia NagyMB	3	2	0	8	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
11Zofia SykutS	3	0	0	0	–	15	1	1	7	0	0	0	0	1
18Natalie CarlinL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	11	0	0	0	0	0
6Emma BortolottiOH	3	10	2	21	.381	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	1.5	11.5
7Aislin OldachOH	3	10	1	24	.375	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	10.5
8Katelyn CookOH	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	15	1	0	0	0	1
15Daniella SuarezOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Noella MigliuriS	3	0	0	0	–	17	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	0
4Courtney VinesMB	1	0	0	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	10	110	.282	40	4	6	55	5	2	12	8	77

Army West Pointhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
9Kennedy JonesOH	3	9	4	25	.200	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	9.5
6Kealakai BandyOH	3	6	2	19	.211	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	6
28Corrine BlackburnMB	3	6	1	13	.385	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	6
21Marlee LightseyOH	3	4	5	21	-.048	0	1	1	7	1	1	0.5	5.5
3Juliette MyrickS	3	4	1	16	.188	21	0	1	5	0	0	0	4
7Michelle ParkerMB	2	4	2	12	.167	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
19Audrey St.ClairL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	3
14Hannah HankersonOH	3	2	2	5	.000	0	0	1	9	0	0	0	2
10Naomi ChincharS	3	0	0	0	–	15	1	3	4	0	0	0	1
23Annette LeeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Nicole StroudL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	17	0	0	0	0
24Janie DeapenOH	2	2	2	9	.000	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	2
22Breelyn BenderMB	1	1	2	4	-.250	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1
27Liliana FoxOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Victoria KasanganayMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	22	127	.126	37	5	8	50	4	4	2	59

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 FAIR · ARMY 5

Set 1

27-25

Longest run 4 FAIRARMY 5

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 FAIRARMY 3

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 6 FAIRARMY 2

Bars above the line = Army West Point leads, below = Fairfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Fairfield

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	73%8/11	0%0/6
2	67%8/12	47%7/15
3	73%8/11	58%11/19
4	46%6/13	65%11/17
5	63%5/8	55%6/11
6	83%5/6	29%2/7
All	66%40/61	49%37/75

Army West Point

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	30%3/10
2	47%8/17	38%5/13
3	37%7/19	20%2/10
4	38%5/13	46%6/13
5	63%5/8	38%3/8
6	100%5/5	29%2/7
All	51%38/75	34%21/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

136 rallies

Rally log

#	FAIR-ARMY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ARMY	FAIR	Serve err	ARMY server		+1.9
2	1-1	FAIR	ARMY×4	Kill	Kealakai Bandy	set Juliette Myrick	+1.9
3	1-2	ARMY	ARMY×4	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+2.5
4	1-3	ARMY	ARMY×4	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+2.4
5	1-4	ARMY	ARMY×4	Attack err	Mamie Krubally		+2.3
6	2-4	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+1.7
7	3-4	FAIR	FAIR	Attack err	Kealakai Bandy		+2.4
8	3-5	FAIR	ARMY	Serve err	FAIR server		+2.0
9	4-5	ARMY	FAIR	Serve err	ARMY server		+1.9
10	4-6	FAIR	ARMY×5	Kill	Michelle Parker	set Naomi Chinchar	+2.0
11	4-7	ARMY	ARMY×5	Attack err	Aislin Oldach		+2.5
12	4-8	ARMY	ARMY×5	Attack err	Emma Bortolotti	blk Marlee Lightsey, Michelle Parker	+2.3
13	4-9	ARMY	ARMY×5	Kill	Michelle Parker	set Naomi Chinchar	+2.0
14	4-10	ARMY	ARMY×5	Kill	Hannah Hankerson	set Naomi Chinchar	+1.7
15	5-10	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Noella Migliuri	+1.1
16	5-11	FAIR	ARMY	Serve err	FAIR server		+1.3
17	5-12	ARMY	ARMY	Ace	ARMY server	aced Team	+1.4
18	6-12	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+0.8
19	6-13	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Juliette Myrick	set Naomi Chinchar	+1.0
20	7-13	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Zofia Sykut	+0.8
21	7-14	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Corrine Blackburn	set Juliette Myrick	+1.0
22	8-14	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.8
23	9-14	FAIR	FAIR	Attack err	Marlee Lightsey		+1.3
24	9-15	FAIR	ARMY	Attack err	Mia Jean Claude		+1.3
25	10-15	ARMY	FAIR	Serve err	ARMY server		+1.0
26	11-15	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Mia Jean Claude	set Noella Migliuri	+1.7
27	11-16	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+1.7
28	11-17	ARMY	ARMY	Kill	Kealakai Bandy	set Naomi Chinchar	+1.6
29	12-17	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Mia Jean Claude	set Noella Migliuri	+0.9
30	13-17	FAIR	FAIR	Ace	FAIR server	aced Kealakai Bandy	+1.6
31	13-18	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Michelle Parker	set Naomi Chinchar	+1.7
32	14-18	ARMY	FAIR	Serve err	ARMY server		+1.2
33	15-18	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Noella Migliuri	+2.2
34	15-19	FAIR	ARMY	Serve err	FAIR server		+2.2
35	16-19	ARMY	FAIR×3	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+1.7
36	17-19	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Sophia Nagy	set Zofia Sykut	+2.9
37	18-19	FAIR	FAIR×3	Ace	FAIR server	aced Team	+3.8
38	18-20	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Corrine Blackburn	set Naomi Chinchar	+3.6
39	19-20	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Zofia Sykut	+3.1
40	19-21	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Hannah Hankerson	set Juliette Myrick	+3.9
41	19-22	ARMY	ARMY	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+4.2
42	20-22	ARMY	FAIR×4	Kill	Mia Jean Claude	set Zofia Sykut	+2.2
43	21-22	FAIR	FAIR×4	Attack err	Kennedy Jones	blk Mia Jean Claude, Harlan Wyche	+4.4
44	22-22	FAIR	FAIR×4	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Zofia Sykut	+6.3
45	23-22	FAIR	FAIR×4	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Natalie Carlin	+7.8
46	23-23	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+5.8
47	23-24	ARMY	ARMY	Attack err	Mia Jean Claude		+9.8
48	24-24	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Mia Jean Claude	set Zofia Sykut	+7.6
49	24-25	FAIR	ARMY	Attack err	Mia Jean Claude	blk Kennedy Jones, Michelle Parker	+7.6
50	25-25	ARMY	FAIR×3	Attack err	Michelle Parker		+7.6
51	26-25	FAIR	FAIR×3	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Emma Bortolotti	+10.0
52	27-25	FAIR	FAIR×3	Attack err	Michelle Parker		+10.1
Set 2
1	0-1	FAIR	ARMY	Serve err	FAIR server		+1.9
2	1-1	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+2.0
3	1-2	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+2.0
4	2-2	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+2.0
5	3-2	FAIR	FAIR	Attack err	Marlee Lightsey		+2.7
6	3-3	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Marlee Lightsey	set Juliette Myrick	+2.0
7	3-4	ARMY	ARMY	Ace	ARMY server	aced Team	+2.7
8	4-4	ARMY	FAIR×4	Serve err	ARMY server		+2.1
9	5-4	FAIR	FAIR×4	Attack err	Hannah Hankerson		+2.8
10	6-4	FAIR	FAIR×4	Attack err	Juliette Myrick		+2.8
11	7-4	FAIR	FAIR×4	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Katelyn Cook	+2.7
12	7-5	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Marlee Lightsey	set Naomi Chinchar	+2.0
13	8-5	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Noella Migliuri	+2.2
14	8-6	FAIR	ARMY×3	Kill	Michelle Parker	set Naomi Chinchar	+2.0
15	8-7	ARMY	ARMY×3	Ace	ARMY server	aced Katelyn Cook	+2.8
16	8-8	ARMY	ARMY×3	Ace	ARMY server	aced Emma Bortolotti	+3.0
17	9-8	ARMY	FAIR	Bad set	Naomi Chinchar		+2.4
18	9-9	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Juliette Myrick	set Naomi Chinchar	+2.4
19	10-9	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Zofia Sykut	+2.5
20	10-10	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+2.5
21	11-10	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Mia Jean Claude	set Zofia Sykut	+2.6
22	11-11	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Corrine Blackburn	set Juliette Myrick	+2.5
23	12-11	ARMY	FAIR	Attack err	Kennedy Jones	blk Mia Jean Claude, Harlan Wyche	+2.7
24	12-12	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Marlee Lightsey	set Juliette Myrick	+2.6
25	13-12	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Mia Jean Claude	set Natalie Carlin	+2.8
26	13-13	FAIR	ARMY×3	Kill	Marlee Lightsey	set Naomi Chinchar	+2.7
27	13-14	ARMY	ARMY×3	Kill	Kealakai Bandy	set Juliette Myrick	+3.7
28	13-15	ARMY	ARMY×3	Ace	ARMY server	aced Aislin Oldach	+3.6
29	14-15	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+2.6
30	15-15	FAIR	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Noella Migliuri	+3.8
31	15-16	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Kealakai Bandy	set Naomi Chinchar	+3.1
32	16-16	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Noella Migliuri	+3.1
33	16-17	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Corrine Blackburn	set Naomi Chinchar	+3.3
34	16-18	ARMY	ARMY	Kill	Corrine Blackburn	set Juliette Myrick	+4.2
35	17-18	ARMY	FAIR	Attack err	Kennedy Jones	blk Sophia Nagy, Aislin Oldach	+3.0
36	17-19	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Corrine Blackburn	set Juliette Myrick	+3.5
37	17-20	ARMY	ARMY	Attack err	Mia Jean Claude		+4.0
38	18-20	ARMY	FAIR×3	Kill	Mia Jean Claude	set Zofia Sykut	+2.4
39	19-20	FAIR	FAIR×3	Attack err	Kennedy Jones	blk Mia Jean Claude, Harlan Wyche	+4.2
40	20-20	FAIR	FAIR×3	Attack err	Marlee Lightsey	blk Harlan Wyche, Mamie Krubally	+5.3
41	20-21	FAIR	ARMY	Attack err	Mamie Krubally		+4.6
42	21-21	ARMY	FAIR×4	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Zofia Sykut	+4.6
43	22-21	FAIR	FAIR×4	Attack err	Marlee Lightsey		+6.9
44	23-21	FAIR	FAIR×4	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+6.8
45	24-21	FAIR	FAIR×4	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+5.0
46	24-22	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+1.6
47	25-22	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Mia Jean Claude	set Noella Migliuri	+3.6
Set 3
1	0-1	ARMY	ARMY	Attack err	Mia Jean Claude		+1.8
2	1-1	ARMY	FAIR	Serve err	ARMY server		+1.4
3	1-2	FAIR	ARMY	Serve err	FAIR server		+1.4
4	2-2	ARMY	FAIR	Attack err	Corrine Blackburn		+1.4
5	2-3	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Janie Deapen	set Juliette Myrick	+1.4
6	2-4	ARMY	ARMY	Kill	Janie Deapen	set Juliette Myrick	+1.8
7	3-4	ARMY	FAIR×6	Serve err	ARMY server		+1.4
8	4-4	FAIR	FAIR×6	Attack err	Breelyn Bender		+1.9
9	5-4	FAIR	FAIR×6	Attack err	Janie Deapen	blk Emma Bortolotti, Harlan Wyche	+2.0
10	6-4	FAIR	FAIR×6	Ace	FAIR server	aced Janie Deapen	+2.0
11	7-4	FAIR	FAIR×6	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Katelyn Cook	+1.9
12	8-4	FAIR	FAIR×6	Attack err	Hannah Hankerson		+1.8
13	8-5	FAIR	ARMY	Attack err	Emma Bortolotti		+1.2
14	9-5	ARMY	FAIR×5	Attack err	Breelyn Bender	blk Harlan Wyche	+1.4
15	10-5	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Aislin Oldach	set Noella Migliuri	+1.6
16	11-5	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Harlan Wyche	+1.4
17	12-5	FAIR	FAIR×5	Kill	Sophia Nagy	set Noella Migliuri	+1.1
18	13-5	FAIR	FAIR×5	Attack err	Janie Deapen		+0.9
19	13-6	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Juliette Myrick	set Naomi Chinchar	+0.5
20	14-6	ARMY	FAIR	Attack err	Kealakai Bandy		+0.7
21	14-7	FAIR	ARMY	Serve err	FAIR server		+0.5
22	15-7	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Zofia Sykut	+0.6
23	15-8	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Kealakai Bandy	set Naomi Chinchar	+0.4
24	16-8	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Mamie Krubally	set Natalie Carlin	+0.6
25	17-8	FAIR	FAIR	Ace	FAIR server	aced Marlee Lightsey	+0.5
26	17-9	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Kealakai Bandy	set Juliette Myrick	+0.2
27	18-9	ARMY	FAIR×6	Kill	Harlan Wyche	set Zofia Sykut	+0.4
28	19-9	FAIR	FAIR×6	Attack err	Marlee Lightsey	blk Emma Bortolotti	+0.3
29	20-9	FAIR	FAIR×6	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Mia Jean Claude	+0.1
30	21-9	FAIR	FAIR×6	Bad set	Marlee Lightsey		+0.1
31	22-9	FAIR	FAIR×6	Kill	Emma Bortolotti	set Noella Migliuri	+0.0
32	23-9	FAIR	FAIR×6	Attack err	Liliana Fox		+0.0
33	23-10	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Juliette Myrick	+0.0
34	24-10	ARMY	FAIR	Kill	Mia Jean Claude	set Noella Migliuri	+0.0
35	24-11	FAIR	ARMY	Kill	Breelyn Bender	set Juliette Myrick	+0.0
36	24-12	ARMY	ARMY	Kill	Juliette Myrick	set Nicole Stroud	+0.0
37	25-12	ARMY	FAIR	Serve err	ARMY server		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Fairfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.