Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026 · Neutral site

Liberty def. Fairfield 3–1

Liberty beat Fairfield 3-1 (19-25, 25-18, 25-15, 25-22) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026 at a neutral site. Liberty's Jenna Otts led with 14 kills, and Melis Ural added 17 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set1234Sets
FAIR251815221
LIBRTY192525253

Win probability

Liberty above 50 · Fairfield below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.8% LIBRTYrally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.8% to Liberty — set 4, FAIR 21-23 LIBRTY. Emma Bortolotti stuffed by Jenna Otts & Laney Daniell. LIBRTY win probability 87% → 94%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

FAIR 32.5%67.5% LIBRTY

Fairfield wins

3-0
6.4%
3-1
11.5%
3-2
14.6%

Liberty wins

3-0
21.6%
3-1
25.9%
3-2
20.0%
FAIR break %
39.2% vs this opp
LIBRTY break %
42.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Emma Bortolotti stuffed by Jenna Otts & Laney Daniell

    Set 4 · FAIR 21-23 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 87% → 94%

  2. 02
    Aislin OldachKill+5.8%

    Kill by Aislin Oldach (set by Noella Migliuri)

    Set 4 · FAIR 20-20 LIBRTY · FAIR 12% → 18%

  3. 03
    Harlan WycheAttack error+5.4%

    Attack error by Harlan Wyche

    Set 4 · FAIR 18-19 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 80% → 86%

  4. 04

    Carly O'Brien stuffed by Emma Bortolotti & Harlan Wyche

    Set 4 · FAIR 18-17 LIBRTY · FAIR 18% → 23%

  5. 05
    Charli MorrisKill+5.2%

    Kill by Charli Morris (set by Charli Crowson)

    Set 2 · FAIR 17-18 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 44% → 49%

  6. 06
    Jenna OttsKill+5.1%

    Kill by Jenna Otts (set by Charli Crowson)

    Set 4 · FAIR 21-22 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 82% → 87%

  7. 07
    Charli MorrisKill+5.1%

    Kill by Charli Morris (set by Charli Crowson)

    Set 4 · FAIR 18-20 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 86% → 91%

  8. 08
    Layla CollinsBlock+4.8%

    Sophia Nagy stuffed by Layla Collins

    Set 2 · FAIR 17-19 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 49% → 54%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411540.1500012102112
49532.1250000004211
45212.250000001438
43415-.06700130052.55.5
4213.33315101200003
36726-.03800090010.56.5
45223.130000300216
4000–1710300001
4000–000000000
4000–4021710000
4000–4011000000
1405.800102110004
1001.000001111011
Team totals4526157.12141286142181180
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414540.2250000022317
49217.41212330052.513.5
411430.23300120031.512.5
49216.43800000132.511.5
47535.057002150010.57.5
4000–24031300000
45217.176100200216
4000–4211710002
4000–1801900000
4000–201810000
4000–000000000
Team totals5520155.226504126923161194

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 FAIR · LIBRTY 7

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 6 FAIRLIBRTY 2

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 FAIRLIBRTY 7

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 2 FAIRLIBRTY 5

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 5 FAIRLIBRTY 5

Bars above the line = Liberty leads, below = Fairfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Fairfield

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%10/20
18%2/11
2
50%8/16
44%7/16
3
73%8/11
27%3/11
4
57%8/14
47%7/15
5
54%7/13
43%6/14
6
37%7/19
50%7/14
All
52%48/93
40%32/81

Liberty

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
62%13/21
2
90%9/10
50%9/18
3
50%8/16
43%6/14
4
62%8/13
0%0/8
5
67%8/12
47%7/15
6
54%7/13
59%10/17
All
60%49/81
48%45/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

174 rallies

#FAIR-LIBRTYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errMia Jean Claude+2.2
20-2LIBRTYLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Melis Ural+2.1
31-2LIBRTYFAIR×5KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+1.5
42-2FAIRFAIR×5KillEmma Bortolottiset Katelyn Cook+2.3
53-2FAIRFAIR×5KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+2.5
64-2FAIRFAIR×5KillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+2.6
75-2FAIRFAIR×5KillNoella Migliuri+2.6
85-3FAIRLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+1.6
95-4LIBRTYLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.5
106-4LIBRTYFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+1.9
116-5FAIRLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+1.8
127-5LIBRTYFAIR×6Serve errLiberty+2.0
138-5FAIRFAIR×6AceFairfieldaced Melis Ural+2.8
149-5FAIRFAIR×6BlockedCarly O'Brienblk Sophia Nagy, Mamie Krubally+2.7
1510-5FAIRFAIR×6KillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+2.4
1611-5FAIRFAIR×6KillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+2.1
1712-5FAIRFAIR×6KillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+1.7
1812-6FAIRLIBRTYBlockedAislin Oldachblk Layla Collins, Paige Overcash+0.9
1913-6LIBRTYFAIRServe errLiberty+1.2
2013-7FAIRLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+0.8
2114-7LIBRTYFAIRKillMia Jean Claudeset Natalie Carlin+1.2
2214-8FAIRLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+0.8
2315-8LIBRTYFAIRKillMia Jean Claudeset Zofia Sykut+1.1
2415-9FAIRLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+0.7
2516-9LIBRTYFAIRServe errLiberty+1.1
2616-10FAIRLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+0.7
2716-11LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errMia Jean Claude+1.4
2817-11LIBRTYFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+1.4
2917-12FAIRLIBRTYServe errFairfield+0.9
3017-13LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errSophia Nagy+1.8
3118-13LIBRTYFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Katelyn Cook+1.8
3218-14FAIRLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Mia Jean Claude+1.2
3319-14LIBRTYFAIR×3Attack errCarly O'Brien+1.8
3420-14FAIRFAIR×3KillMia Jean Claudeset Zofia Sykut+1.7
3521-14FAIRFAIR×3Attack errCharli Morris+1.0
3621-15FAIRLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Charli Crowson+0.3
3721-16LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errMia Jean Claude+0.8
3822-16LIBRTYFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.9
3923-16FAIRFAIRAttack errJenna Otts+0.6
4023-17FAIRLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Charli Crowson+0.1
4123-18LIBRTYLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+0.3
4224-18LIBRTYFAIRKillMia Jean Claudeset Zofia Sykut+0.5
4324-19FAIRLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+0.1
4425-19LIBRTYFAIRAttack errJenna Otts+0.2
Set 2
11-0FAIRFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+2.9
22-0FAIRFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Katelyn Cook+3.1
32-1FAIRLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+2.0
43-1LIBRTYFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Noella Migliuri+2.2
53-2FAIRLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.0
64-2LIBRTYFAIRServe errLiberty+2.2
75-2FAIRFAIRAttack errPaige Overcash+3.2
85-3FAIRLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+2.0
96-3LIBRTYFAIR×3KillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+2.3
107-3FAIRFAIR×3Attack errCharli Morris+3.2
118-3FAIRFAIR×3Attack errCarly O'Brien+2.9
128-4FAIRLIBRTYServe errFairfield+1.7
139-4LIBRTYFAIRServe errLiberty+2.1
149-5FAIRLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Morris+1.7
159-6LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errMamie Krubally+2.8
1610-6LIBRTYFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Natalie Carlin+2.4
1711-6FAIRFAIRKillHarlan Wyche+3.0
1811-7FAIRLIBRTY×4KillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+1.7
1911-8LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+2.9
2011-9LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillJenna Ottsset Melis Ural+3.3
2111-10LIBRTYLIBRTY×4Attack errMia Jean Claude+3.6
2212-10LIBRTYFAIRKillMia Jean Claudeset Natalie Carlin+2.8
2312-11FAIRLIBRTY×3KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.5
2412-12LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errHarlan Wyche+3.9
2512-13LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+4.0
2613-13LIBRTYFAIRServe errLiberty+2.8
2713-14FAIRLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+2.8
2813-15LIBRTYLIBRTYAceLibertyaced Katelyn Cook+3.9
2914-15LIBRTYFAIR×3KillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+2.6
3015-15FAIRFAIR×3Attack errPaige Overcash+4.3
3116-15FAIRFAIR×3BlockedPaige Overcashblk Aislin Oldach, Sophia Nagy+4.8
3216-16FAIRLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+3.2
3317-16LIBRTYFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+3.6
3417-17FAIRLIBRTY×7KillLayla Collinsset Charli Crowson+3.4
3517-18LIBRTYLIBRTY×7KillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+5.2
3617-19LIBRTYLIBRTY×7BlockedSophia Nagyblk Layla Collins+4.8
3717-20LIBRTYLIBRTY×7KillLayla Collins+4.0
3817-21LIBRTYLIBRTY×7KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+2.9
3917-22LIBRTYLIBRTY×7KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+1.7
4017-23LIBRTYLIBRTY×7Attack errNoella Migliuri+0.8
4118-23LIBRTYFAIRAttack errLayla Collins+0.2
4218-24FAIRLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+0.4
4318-25LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errHarlan Wyche+0.1
Set 3
10-1LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillJenna Ottsset Alison Bierwagen+3.1
20-2LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Bad setNoella Migliuri+3.0
30-3LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errEmma Bortolotti+2.8
41-3LIBRTYFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+1.8
52-3FAIRFAIRBlockedPaige Overcashblk Emma Bortolotti, Sophia Nagy+3.0
62-4FAIRLIBRTY×3KillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+2.1
72-5LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillCarly O'Brienset Molly Littlefield+2.9
82-6LIBRTYLIBRTY×3BlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Laney Daniell, Carly O'Brien+2.5
93-6LIBRTYFAIRAttack errLaney Daniell+1.6
103-7FAIRLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural+1.8
114-7LIBRTYFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Katelyn Cook+1.6
124-8FAIRLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+1.8
135-8LIBRTYFAIRKillMia Jean Claudeset Zofia Sykut+1.7
145-9FAIRLIBRTYServe errFairfield+1.8
156-9LIBRTYFAIRServe errLiberty+1.7
166-10FAIRLIBRTYAttack errMia Jean Claude+1.9
177-10LIBRTYFAIRBlockedJenna Ottsblk Lindsey Healey+1.7
187-11FAIRLIBRTYServe errFairfield+1.9
197-12LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errAislin Oldach+2.3
208-12LIBRTYFAIRServe errLiberty+1.3
219-12FAIRFAIRBlockedLaney Daniellblk Sophia Nagy+2.4
229-13FAIRLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Laney Daniell+2.0
239-14LIBRTYLIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Molly Littlefield+2.3
2410-14LIBRTYFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+1.3
2510-15FAIRLIBRTY×3KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.6
2610-16LIBRTYLIBRTY×3AceLibertyaced Lindsey Healey+1.7
2710-17LIBRTYLIBRTY×3BlockedMamie Kruballyblk Layla Collins, Paige Overcash+1.1
2811-17LIBRTYFAIRServe errLiberty+0.5
2911-18FAIRLIBRTYBlockedMia Jean Claudeblk Layla Collins, Paige Overcash+0.7
3012-18LIBRTYFAIRServe errLiberty+0.4
3113-18FAIRFAIRBlockedLayla Collinsblk Mia Jean Claude, Harlan Wyche+1.0
3213-19FAIRLIBRTYServe errFairfield+1.0
3314-19LIBRTYFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Natalie Carlin+0.7
3414-20FAIRLIBRTY×5KillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+1.0
3514-21LIBRTYLIBRTY×5BlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Laney Daniell, Charli Morris+0.8
3614-22LIBRTYLIBRTY×5KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+0.3
3714-23LIBRTYLIBRTY×5BlockedHarlan Wycheblk Jenna Otts+0.1
3814-24LIBRTYLIBRTY×5Attack errMia Jean Claude·
3915-24LIBRTYFAIRServe errLiberty·
4015-25FAIRLIBRTYKillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson·
Set 4
10-1FAIRLIBRTYAttack errAislin Oldach+1.9
21-1LIBRTYFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+1.9
32-1FAIRFAIRAttack errJenna Otts+3.0
42-2FAIRLIBRTY×3BlockedAislin Oldachblk Laney Daniell, Jenna Otts+2.0
52-3LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural+2.8
62-4LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+2.7
73-4LIBRTYFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+1.9
83-5FAIRLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+1.9
94-5LIBRTYFAIRKillJulie Dufourtset Zofia Sykut+1.9
104-6FAIRLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+1.9
115-6LIBRTYFAIRKillJulie Dufourtset Zofia Sykut+1.9
126-6FAIRFAIRAceFairfieldaced Molly Littlefield+3.1
136-7FAIRLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Charli Crowson+2.2
146-8LIBRTYLIBRTYKillCharli Morrisset Melis Ural+3.0
157-8LIBRTYFAIR×5KillJulie Dufourtset Noella Migliuri+2.0
168-8FAIRFAIR×5KillEmma Bortolottiset Julie Dufourt+3.3
179-8FAIRFAIR×5BlockedCharli Morrisblk Harlan Wyche, Aislin Oldach+3.6
1810-8FAIRFAIR×5BlockedJenna Ottsblk Harlan Wyche, Emma Bortolotti+3.7
1911-8FAIRFAIR×5KillHarlan Wycheset Julie Dufourt+3.7
2011-9FAIRLIBRTY×5Serve errFairfield+2.2
2111-10LIBRTYLIBRTY×5KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+3.5
2211-11LIBRTYLIBRTY×5AceLibertyaced Aislin Oldach+3.7
2311-12LIBRTYLIBRTY×5BlockedAislin Oldachblk Laney Daniell, Charli Morris+3.7
2411-13LIBRTYLIBRTY×5AceLibertyaced Julie Dufourt+3.5
2512-13LIBRTYFAIRKillNoella Migliuriset Katelyn Cook+2.3
2612-14FAIRLIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+2.5
2713-14LIBRTYFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+2.4
2813-15FAIRLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+2.6
2914-15LIBRTYFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+2.5
3014-16FAIRLIBRTYServe errFairfield+2.7
3115-16LIBRTYFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.6
3215-17FAIRLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.9
3316-17LIBRTYFAIR×3KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.7
3417-17FAIRFAIR×3BlockedCarly O'Brienblk Harlan Wyche, Emma Bortolotti+4.7
3518-17FAIRFAIR×3BlockedCarly O'Brienblk Emma Bortolotti, Harlan Wyche+5.4
3618-18FAIRLIBRTY×3KillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+3.6
3718-19LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errHarlan Wyche+5.4
3818-20LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+5.1
3919-20LIBRTYFAIRKillJulie Dufourtset Noella Migliuri+3.1
4020-20FAIRFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+5.8
4120-21FAIRLIBRTYServe errFairfield+4.5
4221-21LIBRTYFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+4.5
4321-22FAIRLIBRTY×3KillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+5.1
4421-23LIBRTYLIBRTY×3BlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Jenna Otts, Laney Daniell+6.8
4521-24LIBRTYLIBRTY×3BlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Jenna Otts+4.5
4622-24LIBRTYFAIRServe errLiberty+1.2
4722-25FAIRLIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.7

Score shown after each rally, Fairfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).