Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

Fairfield def. Brown 3–1

Fairfield beat visiting Brown 3-1 (25-20, 25-17, 21-25, 25-18) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Fairfield's Emma Bortolotti led with 16 kills.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set1234Sets
BROWN201725181
FAIR252521253

Win probability

Fairfield above 50 · Brown below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.6% BROWNrally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.6% to Brown — set 4, BROWN 17-17 FAIR. Brown ace on Aislin Oldach. FAIR win probability 87% → 83%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

BROWN 31.0%69.0% FAIR

Brown wins

3-0
6.0%
3-1
10.9%
3-2
14.1%

Fairfield wins

3-0
22.6%
3-1
26.5%
3-2
19.9%
BROWN break %
40.0% vs this opp
FAIR break %
43.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    BrownAce+4.6%

    Brown ace on Aislin Oldach

    Set 4 · BROWN 17-17 FAIR · BROWN 13% → 17%

  2. 02

    Kill by Mia Jean Claude (set by Noella Migliuri)

    Set 4 · BROWN 17-19 FAIR · FAIR 86% → 91%

  3. 03
    Fisayo AfonjaAttack error+3.8%

    Attack error by Fisayo Afonja

    Set 4 · BROWN 17-20 FAIR · FAIR 91% → 95%

  4. 04
    Aislin OldachAttack error+3.7%

    Attack error by Aislin Oldach

    Set 4 · BROWN 16-17 FAIR · BROWN 9% → 13%

  5. 05
    BrownService error+3.5%

    Brown service error

    Set 4 · BROWN 17-18 FAIR · FAIR 83% → 86%

  6. 06

    Aislin Oldach stuffed by Sophia Wolfson & Julia Kakkis

    Set 4 · BROWN 7-6 FAIR · BROWN 16% → 20%

  7. 07
    FairfieldAce+3.2%

    Fairfield ace on Lawson Monroe

    Set 4 · BROWN 8-9 FAIR · FAIR 83% → 86%

  8. 08

    Kill by Emma Bortolotti (set by Noella Migliuri)

    Set 4 · BROWN 8-10 FAIR · FAIR 86% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Brownaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413839.1280037100013
411226.3460001004213
47518.11100000174.511.5
44215.13300230052.56.5
4325.2003301700636
41411-.273111600002
48326.19211211302110
41011.0004211110003
4000–312610001
Team totals4826141.156425125261241380
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416532.344011131132.519.5
411022.5001001004213
49731.06512010302112
46211.3640002016410
43316.000011300426
4102.5002611700002
4000–2111110001
4000–100500000
4000–1800400000
33414-.07100020010.53.5
2004.000000200000
Team totals4921132.21249646052201296

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 BROWN · FAIR 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 BROWNFAIR 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 BROWNFAIR 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 BROWNFAIR 5

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 4 BROWNFAIR 5

Bars above the line = Fairfield leads, below = Brown leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Brown

SlotSideout %Break %
1
39%7/18
40%4/10
2
50%6/12
30%3/10
3
67%6/9
40%4/10
4
75%6/8
14%1/7
5
60%6/10
57%8/14
6
38%5/13
40%4/10
All
51%36/70
39%24/61

Fairfield

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
72%13/18
2
70%7/10
46%6/13
3
75%6/8
45%5/11
4
86%6/7
40%4/10
5
35%6/17
25%2/8
6
83%5/6
40%4/10
All
61%37/61
49%34/70

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#BROWN-FAIRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FAIRBROWNKillElle Holleyset Julia Kakkis+1.7
21-1BROWNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+1.6
31-2FAIRFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+2.2
42-2FAIRBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+1.6
52-3BROWNFAIRBlockedElle Holleyblk Harlan Wyche, Aislin Oldach+1.6
63-3FAIRBROWN×3KillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.7
74-3BROWNBROWN×3AceBrownaced Aislin Oldach+2.5
85-3BROWNBROWN×3AceBrownaced Emma Bortolotti+2.6
95-4BROWNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+1.7
106-4FAIRBROWNKillJulia Kakkisset Sophie Haskell+1.9
116-5BROWNFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+1.8
12–137-6BROWN · FAIR
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
147-7BROWNFAIR×4KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+1.9
157-8FAIRFAIR×4KillHarlan Wycheset Noella Migliuri+2.6
167-9FAIRFAIR×4BlockedElle Holleyblk Harlan Wyche, Emma Bortolotti+2.4
177-10FAIRFAIR×4BlockedSarah Shawblk Emma Bortolotti+2.2
188-10FAIRBROWNBad setSophia Nagy+1.5
198-11BROWNFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+1.6
209-11FAIRBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Eve McLaury+1.5
2110-11BROWNBROWNKillSophia Wolfson+2.5
2210-12BROWNFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+1.9
2310-13FAIRFAIRBlockedJulia Kakkisblk Harlan Wyche+2.4
2411-13FAIRBROWNBlockedAislin Oldachblk Julia Kakkis, Sophia Wolfson+1.6
2511-14BROWNFAIR×3Serve errBrown+1.8
2611-15FAIRFAIR×3BlockedElle Holleyblk Sophia Nagy, Aislin Oldach+2.1
2711-16FAIRFAIR×3Attack errFisayo Afonja+1.6
2812-16FAIRBROWNServe errFairfield+0.9
2913-16BROWNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.7
3013-17BROWNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+1.6
3113-18FAIRFAIRServe errFairfield+1.6
3214-18FAIRBROWNKillSarah Shawset Julia Kakkis+0.8
3315-18BROWNBROWNBlockedMia Jean Claudeblk Sarah Shaw, Ally Panzloff+1.7
3415-19BROWNFAIRServe errBrown+1.6
3516-19FAIRBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Eve McLaury+1.2
3616-20BROWNFAIR×3Serve errBrown+1.6
3716-21FAIRFAIR×3KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+1.5
3816-22FAIRFAIR×3KillMia Jean Claudeset Noella Migliuri+0.8
3917-22FAIRBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+0.3
4017-23BROWNFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+0.5
4118-23FAIRBROWNServe errFairfield+0.2
4219-23BROWNBROWNBlockedHarlan Wycheblk Sophia Wolfson, Julia Kakkis+0.5
4319-24BROWNFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+0.7
4420-24FAIRBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+0.2
4520-25BROWNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.4
Set 2
10-1BROWNFAIRServe errBrown+1.3
20-2FAIRFAIRBlockedLawson Monroeblk Harlan Wyche, Mamie Krubally+1.7
31-2FAIRBROWNServe errFairfield+1.2
41-3BROWNFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Mamie Krubally+1.2
52-3FAIRBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+1.3
62-4BROWNFAIR×4Serve errBrown+1.3
72-5FAIRFAIR×4Bad setJulia Kakkis+1.7
82-6FAIRFAIR×4BlockedFisayo Afonjablk Mia Jean Claude, Sophia Nagy+1.5
92-7FAIRFAIR×4Attack errSophia Wolfson+1.3
103-7FAIRBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+0.8
113-8BROWNFAIRAttack errFisayo Afonja+0.9
124-8FAIRBROWNKillSarah Shawset Julia Kakkis+0.8
134-9BROWNFAIRBad setJulia Kakkis+0.9
145-9FAIRBROWNBlockedMia Jean Claudeblk Ally Panzloff, Sarah Shaw+0.8
155-10BROWNFAIRServe errBrown+0.9
166-10FAIRBROWN×3KillLawson Monroeset Eve McLaury+0.8
177-10BROWNBROWN×3BlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Sophia Wolfson, Lawson Monroe+1.4
188-10BROWNBROWN×3BlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Lawson Monroe, Sophia Wolfson+1.7
198-11BROWNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+1.4
209-11FAIRBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+1.3
219-12BROWNFAIR×4KillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+1.4
229-13FAIRFAIR×4Attack errLawson Monroe+1.7
239-14FAIRFAIR×4Attack errJulia Kakkis+1.4
249-15FAIRFAIR×4KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+1.0
2510-15FAIRBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+0.6
2610-16BROWNFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+0.7
2711-16FAIRBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Sophie Haskell+0.5
2811-17BROWNFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+0.7
2912-17FAIRBROWN×3BlockedMia Jean Claudeblk Sarah Shaw, Julia Kakkis+0.5
3013-17BROWNBROWN×3BlockedMia Jean Claudeblk Sarah Shaw, Ally Panzloff+1.0
3114-17BROWNBROWN×3Attack errSophia Nagy+1.5
3214-18BROWNFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+1.3
3315-18FAIRBROWNServe errFairfield+1.0
3415-19BROWNFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+1.3
3516-19FAIRBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+1.0
3616-20BROWNFAIR×4KillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+1.4
3716-21FAIRFAIR×4KillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+1.2
3816-22FAIRFAIR×4KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.7
3916-23FAIRFAIR×4KillMamie Kruballyset Katelyn Cook+0.3
4017-23FAIRBROWNKillLawson Monroeset Julia Kakkis+0.1
4117-24BROWNFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+0.1
4217-25FAIRFAIRAttack errSophia Wolfson·
Set 3
10-1FAIRFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+1.0
20-2FAIRFAIRBlockedSarah Shawblk Harlan Wyche, Mamie Krubally+0.9
31-2FAIRBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+0.7
42-2BROWNBROWNAttack errEmma Bortolotti+1.0
52-3BROWNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.7
62-4FAIRFAIRAceFairfieldaced Lawson Monroe+1.0
73-4FAIRBROWN×4KillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+0.7
84-4BROWNBROWN×4KillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+1.1
95-4BROWNBROWN×4BlockedAislin Oldachblk Sophia Wolfson, Ally Panzloff+1.2
106-4BROWNBROWN×4KillAlly Panzloffset Elle Holley+1.2
116-5BROWNFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+0.8
127-5FAIRBROWNAttack errAislin Oldach+0.9
137-6BROWNFAIRServe errBrown+0.8
148-6FAIRBROWNKillJulia Kakkisset Eve McLaury+0.9
159-6BROWNBROWNBlockedSophia Nagyblk Sophia Wolfson+1.3
169-7BROWNFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+0.8
1710-7FAIRBROWN×4KillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+1.0
1811-7BROWNBROWN×4KillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.3
1912-7BROWNBROWN×4Bad setNoella Migliuri+1.1
2013-7BROWNBROWN×4KillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.0
2113-8BROWNFAIRServe errBrown+0.5
2214-8FAIRBROWNKillLawson Monroeset Julia Kakkis+0.7
2315-8BROWNBROWNAttack errEmma Bortolotti+0.8
2415-9BROWNFAIR×5KillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+0.4
2515-10FAIRFAIR×5KillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+0.7
2615-11FAIRFAIR×5AceFairfieldaced Eve McLaury+0.9
2715-12FAIRFAIR×5BlockedFisayo Afonjablk Mamie Krubally, Harlan Wyche+1.1
2815-13FAIRFAIR×5Attack errAlly Panzloff+1.3
2916-13FAIRBROWN×3KillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.2
3017-13BROWNBROWN×3KillLawson Monroe+1.4
3118-13BROWNBROWN×3AceBrownaced Katelyn Cook+1.2
3218-14BROWNFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Natalie Carlin+0.6
3319-14FAIRBROWNKillSarah Shawset Julia Kakkis+0.8
3419-15BROWNFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Katelyn Cook+0.5
3520-15FAIRBROWNKillSophia Wolfsonset Julia Kakkis+0.8
3621-15BROWNBROWNAceBrownaced Aislin Oldach+0.7
3721-16BROWNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.3
3821-17FAIRFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Zofia Sykut+0.6
3922-17FAIRBROWNKillLawson Monroeset Julia Kakkis+0.7
4022-18BROWNFAIRKillZofia Sykutset Aislin Oldach+0.4
4122-19FAIRFAIRAttack errSophia Wolfson+0.8
4223-19FAIRBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.1
4324-19BROWNBROWNBlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Sarah Shaw, Julia Kakkis+0.7
4424-20BROWNFAIRAttack errFisayo Afonja+0.1
4524-21FAIRFAIRAceFairfieldaced Sophie Haskell+0.4
4625-21FAIRBROWNAttack errHarlan Wyche+0.7
Set 4
10-1BROWNFAIRKillMia Jean Claudeset Noella Migliuri+1.9
20-2FAIRFAIRAceFairfieldaced Lawson Monroe+2.5
31-2FAIRBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.8
41-3BROWNFAIRBlockedLawson Monroeblk Emma Bortolotti, Harlan Wyche+1.8
51-4FAIRFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+2.3
62-4FAIRBROWNKillLawson Monroeset Julia Kakkis+1.6
73-4BROWNBROWNKillAlly Panzloffset Julia Kakkis+2.5
83-5BROWNFAIRServe errBrown+1.9
94-5FAIRBROWNKillLawson Monroeset Julia Kakkis+1.9
104-6BROWNFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+1.9
115-6FAIRBROWN×3KillJulia Kakkis+1.9
126-6BROWNBROWN×3KillEve McLauryset Zofia Sykut+3.0
137-6BROWNBROWN×3BlockedAislin Oldachblk Sophia Wolfson, Julia Kakkis+3.2
147-7BROWNFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.2
158-7FAIRBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+2.4
168-8BROWNFAIR×5KillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+2.3
178-9FAIRFAIR×5AceFairfieldaced Lawson Monroe+3.2
188-10FAIRFAIR×5KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+3.0
198-11FAIRFAIR×5Attack errFisayo Afonja+2.8
208-12FAIRFAIR×5AceFairfieldaced Fisayo Afonja+2.4
219-12FAIRBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+1.5
2210-12BROWNBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Julia Kakkis+2.6
2310-13BROWNFAIRAttack errFisayo Afonja+2.1
2411-13FAIRBROWNKillFisayo Afonjaset Lawson Monroe+1.9
2511-14BROWNFAIRAttack errAlly Panzloff+2.2
2612-14FAIRBROWNKillSarah Shawset Julia Kakkis+2.0
2712-15BROWNFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+2.2
2813-15FAIRBROWNAttack errAislin Oldach+2.0
2913-16BROWNFAIRServe errBrown+2.3
3013-17FAIRFAIRBlockedSophia Wolfsonblk Mamie Krubally, Sophia Nagy+2.6
3114-17FAIRBROWN×4KillLawson Monroeset Sophie Haskell+1.5
3215-17BROWNBROWN×4Attack errSophia Nagy+2.9
3316-17BROWNBROWN×4Attack errAislin Oldach+3.7
3417-17BROWNBROWN×4AceBrownaced Aislin Oldach+4.6
3517-18BROWNFAIR×4Serve errBrown+3.5
3617-19FAIRFAIR×4KillMia Jean Claudeset Noella Migliuri+4.6
3717-20FAIRFAIR×4Attack errFisayo Afonja+3.8
3817-21FAIRFAIR×4Attack errSophia Wolfson+2.8
3918-21FAIRBROWNBlockedAislin Oldachblk Sophia Wolfson, Julia Kakkis+1.3
4018-22BROWNFAIR×4KillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+1.9
4118-23FAIRFAIR×4BlockedElle Holleyblk Sophia Nagy, Emma Bortolotti+1.5
4218-24FAIRFAIR×4KillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+0.5
4318-25FAIRFAIR×4KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Brown first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).