Middle Tenn. at Fairfield

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

MIDTEN 32.1%67.9% FAIR

Middle Tenn. wins

3-0

6.3%

3-1

11.4%

3-2

14.4%

Fairfield wins

3-0

21.8%

3-1

26.1%

3-2

20.0%

MIDTEN break %: 43.0% vs this opp
FAIR break %: 46.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.