Middle Tenn. def. Fairfield 3–1
Middle Tenn. won at Fairfield 3-1 (25-11, 22-25, 25-21, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Middle Tenn.'s Gabrielle Clinkscale led with 17 kills, and Marianne Garcia added 13 digs.
Data through · final Sep 19
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIDTEN | 25 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| FAIR | 11 | 25 | 21 | 20 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 7.0% to Fairfield — set 2, MIDTEN 22-24 FAIR. Attack error by Gabrielle Clinkscale. FAIR win probability 32% → 39%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Middle Tenn. wins
Fairfield wins
- MIDTEN break %
- 44.5% vs this opp
- FAIR break %
- 42.8% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Gabrielle ClinkscaleAttack error+7.0%
Attack error by Gabrielle Clinkscale
Set 2 · MIDTEN 22-24 FAIR · FAIR 32% → 39%
- 02Aislin OldachKill+5.5%
Kill by Aislin Oldach (set by Zofia Sykut)
Set 2 · MIDTEN 22-23 FAIR · FAIR 26% → 32%
- 03Middle Tenn.Service error+4.7%
Middle Tenn. service error
Set 2 · MIDTEN 21-22 FAIR · FAIR 26% → 31%
- 04
- 05Jaslyn ReedKill+4.3%
Kill by Jaslyn Reed (set by Danit Cohen)
Set 2 · MIDTEN 19-19 FAIR · MIDTEN 70% → 74%
- 06Michaela DlouháBall handling+4.2%
Ball handling error by Michaela Dlouhá
Set 2 · MIDTEN 22-25 FAIR · FAIR 39% → 43%
- 07Emma BortolottiKill+4.1%
Kill by Emma Bortolotti (set by Noella Migliuri)
Set 2 · MIDTEN 20-21 FAIR · FAIR 26% → 30%
- 08Sophia HenryKill+4.0%
Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Caroline Macander)
Set 4 · MIDTEN 14-12 FAIR · MIDTEN 82% → 86%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14 | 2 | 25 | .480 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | |
| 4 | 11 | 3 | 26 | .308 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | |
| 4 | 14 | 0 | 21 | .667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | .214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 17 | 5 | 34 | .353 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | .143 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 64 | 13 | 132 | .386 | 60 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 97 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14 | 4 | 32 | .313 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | |
| 4 | 11 | 2 | 23 | .391 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 3 | 21 | .238 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 0 | 14 | .571 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | .250 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 20 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -.250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
2Lilly GuinaneL/DS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 47 | 11 | 115 | .313 | 46 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 77 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-11
Set 2
22-25
Set 3
25-21
Set 4
25-20
Bars above the line = Fairfield leads, below = Middle Tenn. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Middle Tenn.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 92%11/12 | 36%5/14 |
| 2 | 77%10/13 | 58%14/24 |
| 3 | 75%9/12 | 47%8/17 |
| 4 | 73%8/11 | 40%6/15 |
| 5 | 44%8/18 | 47%7/15 |
| 6 | 58%7/12 | 36%4/11 |
| All | 68%53/78 | 46%44/96 |
Fairfield
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 48%11/23 | 36%5/14 |
| 2 | 50%9/18 | 0%0/11 |
| 3 | 53%9/17 | 31%4/13 |
| 4 | 60%9/15 | 18%2/11 |
| 5 | 58%7/12 | 53%9/17 |
| 6 | 64%7/11 | 42%5/12 |
| All | 54%52/96 | 32%25/78 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
174 rallies
| # | MIDTEN-FAIR | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Danit Cohen | +1.8 |
| 2 | 2-0 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Marianne Garcia | +2.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Attack err | Sophia Henry | set Marianne Garcia | +1.7 |
| 4 | 3-1 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Danit Cohen | +1.8 |
| 5 | 3-2 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Aislin Oldach | set Katelyn Cook | +1.8 |
| 6 | 3-3 | FAIR | FAIR | Attack err | Michaela Dlouhá | +2.5 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | FAIR | MIDTEN×5 | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Marianne Garcia | +1.9 |
| 8 | 5-3 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×5 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Katelyn Cook | +2.5 |
| 9 | 6-3 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×5 | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +2.3 |
| 10 | 7-3 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×5 | Attack err | Aislin Oldach | +2.1 | |
| 11 | 8-3 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×5 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Katelyn Cook | +1.9 |
| 12 | 8-4 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Sophia Nagy | set Noella Migliuri | +1.3 |
| 13 | 9-4 | FAIR | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Caroline Macander | +1.5 |
| 14 | 10-4 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Attack err | Mia Jean claude | +1.6 | |
| 15 | 11-4 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +1.3 |
| 16 | 11-5 | MIDTEN | FAIR×3 | Kill | Sophia Nagy | set Noella Migliuri | +0.8 |
| 17 | 11-6 | FAIR | FAIR×3 | Kill | Emma Bortolotti | set Noella Migliuri | +1.3 |
| 18 | 11-7 | FAIR | FAIR×3 | Kill | Emma Bortolotti | set Sophia Nagy | +1.6 |
| 19 | 12-7 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +1.5 |
| 20 | 13-7 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Aislin Oldach | +1.6 |
| 21 | 13-8 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +1.0 | |
| 22 | 13-9 | FAIR | FAIR | Kill | Mamie Krubally | set Emma Bortolotti | +1.6 |
| 23 | 14-9 | FAIR | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Danit Cohen | +1.5 |
| 24 | 15-9 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Blocked | Harlan Wyche | blk Sophia Henry, Logan Carr | +1.6 |
| 25 | 16-9 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Attack err | Emma Bortolotti | +1.1 | |
| 26 | 16-10 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +0.6 | |
| 27 | 17-10 | FAIR | MIDTEN×4 | Kill | Logan Carr | set Danit Cohen | +0.8 |
| 28 | 18-10 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Aislin Oldach | +0.7 |
| 29 | 19-10 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Attack err | Aislin Oldach | +0.4 | |
| 30 | 20-10 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Danit Cohen | +0.2 |
| 31 | 20-11 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +0.1 | |
| 32 | 21-11 | FAIR | MIDTEN×5 | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | +0.1 | |
| 33 | 22-11 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×5 | Blocked | Mamie Krubally | blk Caroline Macander, Michaela Dlouhá | +0.1 |
| 34 | 23-11 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×5 | Kill | Caroline Macander | set Addison Burks | · |
| 35 | 24-11 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×5 | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | · |
| 36 | 25-11 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×5 | Attack err | Aislin Oldach | · | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +1.7 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Danit Cohen | +1.7 |
| 3 | 1-2 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Lindsey Healey | set Harlan Wyche | +1.8 |
| 4 | 1-3 | FAIR | FAIR | Kill | Mamie Krubally | set Zofia Sykut | +2.3 |
| 5 | 2-3 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Danit Cohen | +1.7 |
| 6 | 2-4 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Emma Bortolotti | set Zofia Sykut | +1.8 |
| 7 | 2-5 | FAIR | FAIR | Ace | Fairfield | aced Kendall Mignerey | +2.3 |
| 8 | 3-5 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Caroline Macander | +1.7 |
| 9 | 3-6 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Blocked | Gabrielle Clinkscale | blk Harlan Wyche, Mamie Krubally | +1.8 |
| 10 | 4-6 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +1.7 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +2.4 |
| 12 | 5-7 | MIDTEN | FAIR×3 | Kill | Aislin Oldach | set Zofia Sykut | +2.0 |
| 13 | 5-8 | FAIR | FAIR×3 | Ace | Fairfield | aced Addison Burks | +2.5 |
| 14 | 5-9 | FAIR | FAIR×3 | Kill | Sophia Nagy | set Noella Migliuri | +2.3 |
| 15 | 6-9 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +1.6 |
| 16 | 6-10 | MIDTEN | FAIR×3 | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +1.9 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | FAIR | FAIR×3 | Attack err | Logan Carr | +2.1 | |
| 18 | 6-12 | FAIR | FAIR×3 | Blocked | Logan Carr | blk Emma Bortolotti, Sophia Nagy | +1.8 |
| 19 | 7-12 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Danit Cohen | +1.1 |
| 20 | 7-13 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Attack err | Logan Carr | set Danit Cohen | +1.4 |
| 21 | 8-13 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Danit Cohen | +1.1 |
| 22 | 9-13 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Emma Bortolotti | +1.8 |
| 23 | 9-14 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Harlan Wyche | set Noella Migliuri | +1.7 |
| 24 | 10-14 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Danit Cohen | +1.4 |
| 25 | 10-15 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Emma Bortolotti | set Zofia Sykut | +1.7 |
| 26 | 10-16 | FAIR | FAIR | Blocked | Michaela Dlouhá | blk Harlan Wyche, Aislin Oldach | +1.8 |
| 27 | 11-16 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +1.0 |
| 28 | 11-17 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Aislin Oldach | set Zofia Sykut | +1.4 |
| 29 | 12-17 | FAIR | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +0.9 |
| 30 | 13-17 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Emma Bortolotti | +1.7 |
| 31 | 14-17 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Logan Carr | set Caroline Macander | +2.2 |
| 32 | 14-18 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Mamie Krubally | set Zofia Sykut | +2.2 |
| 33 | 15-18 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +1.7 |
| 34 | 15-19 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Lindsey Healey | set Noella Migliuri | +2.2 |
| 35 | 16-19 | FAIR | MIDTEN×4 | Kill | Logan Carr | +1.6 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Danit Cohen | +2.9 |
| 37 | 18-19 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Attack err | Emma Bortolotti | +3.6 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Danit Cohen | +4.3 |
| 39 | 19-20 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Emma Bortolotti | set Noella Migliuri | +3.7 |
| 40 | 20-20 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Logan Carr | set Danit Cohen | +3.6 |
| 41 | 20-21 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Emma Bortolotti | set Noella Migliuri | +4.1 |
| 42 | 21-21 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Danit Cohen | +4.0 |
| 43 | 21-22 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +4.7 | |
| 44 | 22-22 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | +4.5 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | MIDTEN | FAIR×3 | Kill | Aislin Oldach | set Zofia Sykut | +5.5 |
| 46 | 22-24 | FAIR | FAIR×3 | Attack err | Gabrielle Clinkscale | +7.0 | |
| 47 | 22-25 | FAIR | FAIR×3 | Ball handling | Michaela Dlouhá | +4.2 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | FAIR | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Logan Carr | set Danit Cohen | +2.4 |
| 2 | 2-0 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Attack err | Emma Bortolotti | +3.1 | |
| 3 | 3-0 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | +2.9 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Emma Bortolotti | set Noella Migliuri | +2.2 |
| 5 | 4-1 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Danit Cohen | +2.3 |
| 6 | 4-2 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Emma Bortolotti | set Noella Migliuri | +2.2 |
| 7 | 5-2 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Caroline Macander | +2.4 |
| 8 | 5-3 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Mamie Krubally | set Zofia Sykut | +2.2 |
| 9 | 6-3 | FAIR | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +2.4 |
| 10 | 7-3 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Addison Burks | +2.9 |
| 11 | 8-3 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Aislin Oldach | +2.5 |
| 12 | 8-4 | MIDTEN | FAIR×5 | Kill | Emma Bortolotti | set Zofia Sykut | +1.7 |
| 13 | 8-5 | FAIR | FAIR×5 | Attack err | Gabrielle Clinkscale | +2.6 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | FAIR | FAIR×5 | Ace | Fairfield | aced Sophia Henry | +3.0 |
| 15 | 8-7 | FAIR | FAIR×5 | Ace | Fairfield | aced Sophia Henry | +3.4 |
| 16 | 8-8 | FAIR | FAIR×5 | Ace | Fairfield | aced Addison Burks | +3.8 |
| 17 | 9-8 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +3.0 |
| 18 | 9-9 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Aislin Oldach | set Zofia Sykut | +3.0 |
| 19 | 10-9 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Danit Cohen | +3.1 |
| 20 | 10-10 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Sophia Nagy | set Noella Migliuri | +3.1 |
| 21 | 11-10 | FAIR | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Danit Cohen | +3.2 |
| 22 | 12-10 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | +4.0 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Daniella Suarez | +3.7 |
| 24 | 13-11 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +2.6 | |
| 25 | 14-11 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Serve err | Fairfield | +3.0 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Emma Bortolotti | set Noella Migliuri | +2.7 |
| 27 | 15-12 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +3.1 |
| 28 | 15-13 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | +2.7 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +3.2 |
| 30 | 16-14 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Aislin Oldach | set Zofia Sykut | +2.8 |
| 31 | 17-14 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +3.3 |
| 32 | 18-14 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Emma Bortolotti | +3.6 |
| 33 | 18-15 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Aislin Oldach | +2.2 | |
| 34 | 19-15 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Danit Cohen | +2.8 |
| 35 | 19-16 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +2.1 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | FAIR | FAIR | Kill | Lindsey Healey | set Noella Migliuri | +3.8 |
| 37 | 20-17 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Kendall Mignerey | set Danit Cohen | +3.8 |
| 38 | 21-17 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Danit Cohen | +3.7 |
| 39 | 21-18 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Sophia Nagy | set Noella Migliuri | +1.9 |
| 40 | 22-18 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Marianne Garcia | +2.8 |
| 41 | 22-19 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Emma Bortolotti | set Noella Migliuri | +1.7 |
| 42 | 23-19 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Serve err | Fairfield | +2.7 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Attack err | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +1.3 |
| 44 | 24-20 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Marianne Garcia | +2.5 |
| 45 | 24-21 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Mamie Krubally | set Katelyn Cook | +0.8 |
| 46 | 25-21 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Marianne Garcia | +1.8 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +2.3 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Kendall Mignerey | +2.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Blocked | Emma Bortolotti | blk Sophia Henry, Michaela Dlouhá | +3.0 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MIDTEN | FAIR×3 | Blocked | Sophia Henry | blk Emma Bortolotti, Harlan Wyche | +2.3 |
| 5 | 2-3 | FAIR | FAIR×3 | Kill | Harlan Wyche | set Zofia Sykut | +3.2 |
| 6 | 2-4 | FAIR | FAIR×3 | Kill | Mamie Krubally | set Zofia Sykut | +3.2 |
| 7 | 3-4 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Danit Cohen | +2.4 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Attack err | Mamie Krubally | +3.2 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Emma Bortolotti | set Zofia Sykut | +2.6 |
| 10 | 5-5 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Serve err | Fairfield | +2.5 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Mamie Krubally | set Zofia Sykut | +2.6 |
| 12 | 6-6 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | +2.6 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | MIDTEN | FAIR×3 | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +2.7 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | FAIR | FAIR×3 | Attack err | Gabrielle Clinkscale | +3.5 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | FAIR | FAIR×3 | Attack err | Gabrielle Clinkscale | +3.5 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +2.4 |
| 17 | 7-10 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Aislin Oldach | set Noella Migliuri | +2.8 |
| 18 | 8-10 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Danit Cohen | +2.5 |
| 19 | 8-11 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Sophia Nagy | set Noella Migliuri | +2.8 |
| 20 | 9-11 | FAIR | MIDTEN×4 | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Danit Cohen | +2.5 |
| 21 | 10-11 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Danit Cohen | +3.7 |
| 22 | 11-11 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Daniella Suarez | +3.9 |
| 23 | 12-11 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Danit Cohen | +4.0 |
| 24 | 12-12 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Emma Bortolotti | set Noella Migliuri | +3.1 |
| 25 | 13-12 | FAIR | MIDTEN×4 | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Danit Cohen | +3.2 |
| 26 | 14-12 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +4.0 |
| 27 | 15-12 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Zofia Sykut | +3.7 |
| 28 | 16-12 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Katelyn Cook | +3.2 |
| 29 | 16-13 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Mamie Krubally | set Zofia Sykut | +2.0 |
| 30 | 17-13 | FAIR | MIDTEN×3 | Serve err | Fairfield | +2.5 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Harlan Wyche | +2.5 |
| 32 | 19-13 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Katelyn Cook | +1.8 |
| 33 | 19-14 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Mamie Krubally | set Zofia Sykut | +0.9 |
| 34 | 19-15 | FAIR | FAIR | Kill | Mamie Krubally | set Zofia Sykut | +1.7 |
| 35 | 20-15 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Caroline Macander | +1.9 |
| 36 | 20-16 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Mamie Krubally | set Zofia Sykut | +1.2 |
| 37 | 21-16 | FAIR | MIDTEN×3 | Serve err | Fairfield | +1.8 | |
| 38 | 22-16 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Aislin Oldach | +1.4 |
| 39 | 23-16 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Aislin Oldach | +0.6 |
| 40 | 23-17 | MIDTEN | FAIR×3 | Kill | Sophia Nagy | set Noella Migliuri | +0.2 |
| 41 | 23-18 | FAIR | FAIR×3 | Ace | Fairfield | aced Marianne Garcia | +0.4 |
| 42 | 23-19 | FAIR | FAIR×3 | Kill | Emma Bortolotti | set Katelyn Cook | +0.8 |
| 43 | 24-19 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Serve err | Fairfield | +1.2 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | MIDTEN | FAIR | Kill | Sophia Nagy | set Noella Migliuri | +0.3 |
| 45 | 25-20 | FAIR | MIDTEN | Kill | Logan Carr | set Danit Cohen | +0.7 |
Score shown after each rally, Middle Tenn. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).