Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 19, 2026

Middle Tenn. def. Fairfield 3–1

Middle Tenn. won at Fairfield 3-1 (25-11, 22-25, 25-21, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Middle Tenn.'s Gabrielle Clinkscale led with 17 kills, and Marianne Garcia added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set1234Sets
MIDTEN252225253
FAIR112521201

Win probability

Fairfield above 50 · Middle Tenn. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.0% FAIRrally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.0% to Fairfield — set 2, MIDTEN 22-24 FAIR. Attack error by Gabrielle Clinkscale. FAIR win probability 32% → 39%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MIDTEN 58.8%41.2% FAIR

Middle Tenn. wins

3-0
16.6%
3-1
22.4%
3-2
19.8%

Fairfield wins

3-0
9.2%
3-1
15.1%
3-2
17.0%
MIDTEN break %
44.5% vs this opp
FAIR break %
42.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Gabrielle ClinkscaleAttack error+7.0%

    Attack error by Gabrielle Clinkscale

    Set 2 · MIDTEN 22-24 FAIR · FAIR 32% → 39%

  2. 02
    Aislin OldachKill+5.5%

    Kill by Aislin Oldach (set by Zofia Sykut)

    Set 2 · MIDTEN 22-23 FAIR · FAIR 26% → 32%

  3. 03
    Middle Tenn.Service error+4.7%

    Middle Tenn. service error

    Set 2 · MIDTEN 21-22 FAIR · FAIR 26% → 31%

  4. 04

    Kill by Michaela Dlouhá

    Set 2 · MIDTEN 22-22 FAIR · MIDTEN 69% → 74%

  5. 05
    Jaslyn ReedKill+4.3%

    Kill by Jaslyn Reed (set by Danit Cohen)

    Set 2 · MIDTEN 19-19 FAIR · MIDTEN 70% → 74%

  6. 06
    Michaela DlouháBall handling+4.2%

    Ball handling error by Michaela Dlouhá

    Set 2 · MIDTEN 22-25 FAIR · FAIR 39% → 43%

  7. 07

    Kill by Emma Bortolotti (set by Noella Migliuri)

    Set 2 · MIDTEN 20-21 FAIR · FAIR 26% → 30%

  8. 08
    Sophia HenryKill+4.0%

    Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Caroline Macander)

    Set 4 · MIDTEN 14-12 FAIR · MIDTEN 82% → 86%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414225.4800213002117
411326.3080406202116
414021.6670002000014
46314.21400000010.56.5
4103.333104610001
4002.0002900500000
417534.3530001000017
4107.143234220010.55.5
4000–5421310004
4000–2211020002
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
Team totals6413132.38660161048606397
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414432.3131125302116
411223.39100020010.511.5
48321.23801125010.59.5
48014.57110010010.58.5
4318.25013041031.57.5
4000–2001710000
43012.250000100003
4001.0002011700001
4014-.250000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000320000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–3011040000
4000–000000000
2Lilly GuinaneL/DS
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
4000–000000000
Team totals4711115.3134666421608477

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MIDTEN · FAIR 5

Set 1

25-11

Longest run 5 MIDTENFAIR 3

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 MIDTENFAIR 3

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 3 MIDTENFAIR 5

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 MIDTENFAIR 3

Bars above the line = Fairfield leads, below = Middle Tenn. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Middle Tenn.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
92%11/12
36%5/14
2
77%10/13
58%14/24
3
75%9/12
47%8/17
4
73%8/11
40%6/15
5
44%8/18
47%7/15
6
58%7/12
36%4/11
All
68%53/78
46%44/96

Fairfield

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%11/23
36%5/14
2
50%9/18
0%0/11
3
53%9/17
31%4/13
4
60%9/15
18%2/11
5
58%7/12
53%9/17
6
64%7/11
42%5/12
All
54%52/96
32%25/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

174 rallies

#MIDTEN-FAIRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FAIRMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+1.8
22-0MIDTENMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+2.3
32-1MIDTENFAIRAttack errSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+1.7
43-1FAIRMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+1.8
53-2MIDTENFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Katelyn Cook+1.8
63-3FAIRFAIRAttack errMichaela Dlouhá+2.5
74-3FAIRMIDTEN×5KillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+1.9
85-3MIDTENMIDTEN×5AceMiddle Tenn.aced Katelyn Cook+2.5
96-3MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+2.3
107-3MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errAislin Oldach+2.1
118-3MIDTENMIDTEN×5AceMiddle Tenn.aced Katelyn Cook+1.9
128-4MIDTENFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+1.3
139-4FAIRMIDTEN×3KillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.5
1410-4MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errMia Jean claude+1.6
1511-4MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.3
1611-5MIDTENFAIR×3KillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+0.8
1711-6FAIRFAIR×3KillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+1.3
1811-7FAIRFAIR×3KillEmma Bortolottiset Sophia Nagy+1.6
1912-7FAIRMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.5
2013-7MIDTENMIDTENAceMiddle Tenn.aced Aislin Oldach+1.6
2113-8MIDTENFAIRServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.0
2213-9FAIRFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Emma Bortolotti+1.6
2314-9FAIRMIDTEN×3KillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+1.5
2415-9MIDTENMIDTEN×3BlockedHarlan Wycheblk Sophia Henry, Logan Carr+1.6
2516-9MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errEmma Bortolotti+1.1
2616-10MIDTENFAIRServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.6
2717-10FAIRMIDTEN×4KillLogan Carrset Danit Cohen+0.8
2818-10MIDTENMIDTEN×4AceMiddle Tenn.aced Aislin Oldach+0.7
2919-10MIDTENMIDTEN×4Attack errAislin Oldach+0.4
3020-10MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+0.2
3120-11MIDTENFAIRServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.1
3221-11FAIRMIDTEN×5KillMichaela Dlouhá+0.1
3322-11MIDTENMIDTEN×5BlockedMamie Kruballyblk Caroline Macander, Michaela Dlouhá+0.1
3423-11MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillCaroline Macanderset Addison Burks·
3524-11MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander·
3625-11MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errAislin Oldach·
Set 2
10-1MIDTENFAIRServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.7
21-1FAIRMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+1.7
31-2MIDTENFAIRKillLindsey Healeyset Harlan Wyche+1.8
41-3FAIRFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.3
52-3FAIRMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+1.7
62-4MIDTENFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+1.8
72-5FAIRFAIRAceFairfieldaced Kendall Mignerey+2.3
83-5FAIRMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.7
93-6MIDTENFAIRBlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Harlan Wyche, Mamie Krubally+1.8
104-6FAIRMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.7
115-6MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+2.4
125-7MIDTENFAIR×3KillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+2.0
135-8FAIRFAIR×3AceFairfieldaced Addison Burks+2.5
145-9FAIRFAIR×3KillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+2.3
156-9FAIRMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.6
166-10MIDTENFAIR×3Serve errMiddle Tenn.+1.9
176-11FAIRFAIR×3Attack errLogan Carr+2.1
186-12FAIRFAIR×3BlockedLogan Carrblk Emma Bortolotti, Sophia Nagy+1.8
197-12FAIRMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+1.1
207-13MIDTENFAIRAttack errLogan Carrset Danit Cohen+1.4
218-13FAIRMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+1.1
229-13MIDTENMIDTENAceMiddle Tenn.aced Emma Bortolotti+1.8
239-14MIDTENFAIRKillHarlan Wycheset Noella Migliuri+1.7
2410-14FAIRMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+1.4
2510-15MIDTENFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+1.7
2610-16FAIRFAIRBlockedMichaela Dlouháblk Harlan Wyche, Aislin Oldach+1.8
2711-16FAIRMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.0
2811-17MIDTENFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+1.4
2912-17FAIRMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.9
3013-17MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Emma Bortolotti+1.7
3114-17MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+2.2
3214-18MIDTENFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.2
3315-18FAIRMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.7
3415-19MIDTENFAIRKillLindsey Healeyset Noella Migliuri+2.2
3516-19FAIRMIDTEN×4KillLogan Carr+1.6
3617-19MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+2.9
3718-19MIDTENMIDTEN×4Attack errEmma Bortolotti+3.6
3819-19MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+4.3
3919-20MIDTENFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+3.7
4020-20FAIRMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Danit Cohen+3.6
4120-21MIDTENFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+4.1
4221-21FAIRMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+4.0
4321-22MIDTENFAIRServe errMiddle Tenn.+4.7
4422-22FAIRMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouhá+4.5
4522-23MIDTENFAIR×3KillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+5.5
4622-24FAIRFAIR×3Attack errGabrielle Clinkscale+7.0
4722-25FAIRFAIR×3Ball handlingMichaela Dlouhá+4.2
Set 3
11-0FAIRMIDTEN×3KillLogan Carrset Danit Cohen+2.4
22-0MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errEmma Bortolotti+3.1
33-0MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillMichaela Dlouhá+2.9
43-1MIDTENFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+2.2
54-1FAIRMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+2.3
64-2MIDTENFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+2.2
75-2FAIRMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+2.4
85-3MIDTENFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.2
96-3FAIRMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+2.4
107-3MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Addison Burks+2.9
118-3MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Aislin Oldach+2.5
128-4MIDTENFAIR×5KillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+1.7
138-5FAIRFAIR×5Attack errGabrielle Clinkscale+2.6
148-6FAIRFAIR×5AceFairfieldaced Sophia Henry+3.0
158-7FAIRFAIR×5AceFairfieldaced Sophia Henry+3.4
168-8FAIRFAIR×5AceFairfieldaced Addison Burks+3.8
179-8FAIRMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+3.0
189-9MIDTENFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+3.0
1910-9FAIRMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Danit Cohen+3.1
2010-10MIDTENFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+3.1
2111-10FAIRMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+3.2
2212-10MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillMichaela Dlouhá+4.0
2313-10MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Daniella Suarez+3.7
2413-11MIDTENFAIRServe errMiddle Tenn.+2.6
2514-11FAIRMIDTENServe errFairfield+3.0
2614-12MIDTENFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+2.7
2715-12FAIRMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+3.1
2815-13MIDTENFAIRKillGabrielle Clinkscale+2.7
2916-13FAIRMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+3.2
3016-14MIDTENFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Zofia Sykut+2.8
3117-14FAIRMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+3.3
3218-14MIDTENMIDTENAceMiddle Tenn.aced Emma Bortolotti+3.6
3318-15MIDTENFAIRKillAislin Oldach+2.2
3419-15FAIRMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Danit Cohen+2.8
3519-16MIDTENFAIRServe errMiddle Tenn.+2.1
3619-17FAIRFAIRKillLindsey Healeyset Noella Migliuri+3.8
3720-17FAIRMIDTENKillKendall Mignereyset Danit Cohen+3.8
3821-17MIDTENMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+3.7
3921-18MIDTENFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+1.9
4022-18FAIRMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+2.8
4122-19MIDTENFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+1.7
4223-19FAIRMIDTENServe errFairfield+2.7
4323-20MIDTENFAIRAttack errSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.3
4424-20FAIRMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia+2.5
4524-21MIDTENFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Katelyn Cook+0.8
4625-21FAIRMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Marianne Garcia+1.8
Set 4
10-1MIDTENFAIRServe errMiddle Tenn.+2.3
21-1FAIRMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Kendall Mignerey+2.3
32-1MIDTENMIDTENBlockedEmma Bortolottiblk Sophia Henry, Michaela Dlouhá+3.0
42-2MIDTENFAIR×3BlockedSophia Henryblk Emma Bortolotti, Harlan Wyche+2.3
52-3FAIRFAIR×3KillHarlan Wycheset Zofia Sykut+3.2
62-4FAIRFAIR×3KillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+3.2
73-4FAIRMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+2.4
84-4MIDTENMIDTENAttack errMamie Krubally+3.2
94-5MIDTENFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Zofia Sykut+2.6
105-5FAIRMIDTENServe errFairfield+2.5
115-6MIDTENFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.6
126-6FAIRMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouhá+2.6
136-7MIDTENFAIR×3Serve errMiddle Tenn.+2.7
146-8FAIRFAIR×3Attack errGabrielle Clinkscale+3.5
156-9FAIRFAIR×3Attack errGabrielle Clinkscale+3.5
167-9FAIRMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+2.4
177-10MIDTENFAIRKillAislin Oldachset Noella Migliuri+2.8
188-10FAIRMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Danit Cohen+2.5
198-11MIDTENFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+2.8
209-11FAIRMIDTEN×4KillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+2.5
2110-11MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillSophia Henryset Danit Cohen+3.7
2211-11MIDTENMIDTEN×4AceMiddle Tenn.aced Daniella Suarez+3.9
2312-11MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+4.0
2412-12MIDTENFAIRKillEmma Bortolottiset Noella Migliuri+3.1
2513-12FAIRMIDTEN×4KillMichaela Dlouháset Danit Cohen+3.2
2614-12MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+4.0
2715-12MIDTENMIDTEN×4AceMiddle Tenn.aced Zofia Sykut+3.7
2816-12MIDTENMIDTEN×4AceMiddle Tenn.aced Katelyn Cook+3.2
2916-13MIDTENFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+2.0
3017-13FAIRMIDTEN×3Serve errFairfield+2.5
3118-13MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Harlan Wyche+2.5
3219-13MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Katelyn Cook+1.8
3319-14MIDTENFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+0.9
3419-15FAIRFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+1.7
3520-15FAIRMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.9
3620-16MIDTENFAIRKillMamie Kruballyset Zofia Sykut+1.2
3721-16FAIRMIDTEN×3Serve errFairfield+1.8
3822-16MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Aislin Oldach+1.4
3923-16MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Aislin Oldach+0.6
4023-17MIDTENFAIR×3KillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+0.2
4123-18FAIRFAIR×3AceFairfieldaced Marianne Garcia+0.4
4223-19FAIRFAIR×3KillEmma Bortolottiset Katelyn Cook+0.8
4324-19FAIRMIDTENServe errFairfield+1.2
4424-20MIDTENFAIRKillSophia Nagyset Noella Migliuri+0.3
4525-20FAIRMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Danit Cohen+0.7

Score shown after each rally, Middle Tenn. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).