FinalSun, Oct 4, 2026Watch on SECN+

Tennessee def. Auburn 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Tennessee 76.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 4, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Tennessee won at Auburn 3-0 (25-19, 25-18, 25-13) on Sun, Oct 4, 2026. Tennessee's Kennedi Rogers led with 15 kills.

Data through · final Oct 4

Set123Sets
TENN2525253
AUBURN1918130

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Kennedi Rogers needed just 3 sets for 15 kills. Tennessee swept Auburn.

Win probability never moved more than 2.8 points on one rally; Auburn topped out at 27% in Set 1. Tennessee went in as RallyIQ's 76% pick.

TennesseeAuburn
  • Break %+23.3 pts
    52.729.4

    39 of 74 on serve vs 15 of 51, so Auburn's sideout was 47.3%.

  • Hitting+.189
    .300.111

    49 K / 13 E against 32 K / 19 E.

  • Longest run+1
    54

    Tennessee scored 5 straight in the first set to stretch a 16–15 lead to 21–15. The set finished 25–19.

Auburn above 50Tennessee belowMax swing 2.8%

TennesseeAuburn

Aces
Tennessee 2·Auburn 0
Serve err
Tennessee 3·Auburn 5
Blocks
Tennessee 10·Auburn 34 BS · 12 BA vs 1 BS · 4 BA
Digs
Tennessee 58·Auburn 49

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Auburn above 50 · Tennessee below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.8% AUBURNrally 125 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.8% to Auburn — set 1, TENN 11-12 AUBURN. Attack error by Caroline Kerr. AUBURN win probability 24% → 27%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TENN 83.2%16.8% AUBURN

Tennessee wins

3-0
34.9%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
17.3%

Auburn wins

3-0
2.6%
3-1
5.5%
3-2
8.8%
TENN break %
45.1% vs this opp
AUBURN break %
37.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Caroline KerrAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Caroline Kerr

    Set 1 · TENN 11-12 AUBURN · AUBURN 24% → 27%

  2. 02

    Kill by Kennedi Rogers (set by Caroline Kerr)

    Set 1 · TENN 13-12 AUBURN · TENN 75% → 78%

  3. 03
    Lauren DrevesKill+2.6%

    Kill by Lauren Dreves (set by Carson Eickenloff)

    Set 1 · TENN 16-15 AUBURN · AUBURN 19% → 22%

  4. 04
    Lauren DrevesKill+2.5%

    Kill by Lauren Dreves (set by Shanelle Puetz)

    Set 1 · TENN 11-11 AUBURN · AUBURN 22% → 24%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kennedi Rogers

    Set 1 · TENN 14-12 AUBURN · TENN 78% → 80%

  6. 06
    Greer ChamblessAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Greer Chambless

    Set 1 · TENN 18-15 AUBURN · TENN 81% → 83%

  7. 07

    Kill by Kennedi Rogers (set by Caroline Kerr)

    Set 1 · TENN 16-13 AUBURN · TENN 80% → 83%

  8. 08
    Jalyn StoutAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Jalyn Stout

    Set 1 · TENN 11-10 AUBURN · AUBURN 19% → 22%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315138.368301110010.515.5
311428.2501008012213
38112.58300030254.512.5
36110.50000000010.56.5
3114.00034021301223
3114.000010600002
37424.12500030010.57.5
3000–010000001
3000–000100000
3000–6001300000
Team totals4913120.30044235804121075
Auburnhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310236.222001110111.511.5
37214.357000100007
36725-.0401021210006
31311-.18200000010.51.5
3102.5001701400001
2206.33300120010.52.5
33314.00000000010.53.5
3002.0001200300000
3000–0001110000
3000–000000000
2204.500000100002
2023-.667000000000
2000–000400000
Team totals3219117.111300549214350

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TENN · AUBURN 4

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 5 TENNAUBURN 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 5 TENNAUBURN 3

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 4 TENNAUBURN 2

Bars above the line = Auburn leads, below = Tennessee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tennessee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
88%7/8
65%11/17
2
70%7/10
22%2/9
3
75%6/8
57%8/14
4
60%6/10
25%2/8
5
75%6/8
57%8/14
6
57%4/7
67%8/12
All
71%36/51
53%39/74

Auburn

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
38%3/8
2
75%6/8
30%3/10
3
38%6/16
25%2/8
4
75%6/8
33%3/9
5
43%6/14
25%2/8
6
27%4/15
25%2/8
All
47%35/74
29%15/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#TENN-AUBURNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.8
21-1TENNAUBURNBlockedJalyn Stoutblk Lauren Dreves, Grace Havlicek+1.4
32-1AUBURNTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+1.3
42-2TENNAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Shanelle Puetz+1.4
53-2AUBURNTENN×4KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+1.4
64-2TENNTENN×4BlockedKate Mansfieldblk Chelsea Sutton+1.8
75-2TENNTENN×4Attack errGreer Chambless+1.6
86-2TENNTENN×4KillMaggie Dosticset Kennedi Rogers+1.4
96-3TENNAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Carson Eickenloff+1.0
107-3AUBURNTENNBlockedBelle Patrickblk Caroline Kerr, Chelsea Sutton+1.0
117-4TENNAUBURN×3KillLauren Drevesset Carson Eickenloff+1.0
127-5AUBURNAUBURN×3KillGreer Chamblessset Carson Eickenloff+1.6
137-6AUBURNAUBURN×3Attack errMaggie Dostic+1.9
148-6AUBURNTENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+1.4
159-6TENNTENNBlockedBelle Patrickblk Jalyn Stout+1.8
169-7TENNAUBURNAttack errAnni Tang+1.2
179-8AUBURNAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Shanelle Puetz+2.0
1810-8AUBURNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.5
1911-8TENNTENNKillAnni Tang+1.9
2011-9TENNAUBURN×4KillBelle Patrickset Shanelle Puetz+1.3
2111-10AUBURNAUBURN×4Attack errJalyn Stout+2.2
2211-11AUBURNAUBURN×4KillLauren Drevesset Shanelle Puetz+2.5
2311-12AUBURNAUBURN×4Attack errCaroline Kerr+2.8
2412-12AUBURNTENN×3Serve errAuburn+1.9
2513-12TENNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+2.7
2614-12TENNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogers+2.5
2714-13TENNAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Shanelle Puetz+1.8
2815-13AUBURNTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+1.8
2916-13TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+2.3
3016-14TENNAUBURNBad setCaroline Kerr+1.5
3116-15AUBURNAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Carson Eickenloff+2.6
3217-15AUBURNTENN×5KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+2.0
3318-15TENNTENN×5Attack errGreer Chambless+2.4
3419-15TENNTENN×5KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.9
3520-15TENNTENN×5KillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+1.3
3621-15TENNTENN×5KillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+0.7
3721-16TENNAUBURNServe errTennessee+0.3
3822-16AUBURNTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Jalyn Stout+0.5
3922-17TENNAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Carson Eickenloff+0.2
4023-17AUBURNTENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+0.4
4124-17TENNTENNAttack errBelle Patrick+0.2
4224-18TENNAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Carson Eickenloff·
4324-19AUBURNAUBURNAttack errNia Hall+0.1
4425-19AUBURNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Raegan Burns+0.1
Set 2
11-0AUBURNTENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+1.0
21-1TENNAUBURNKillGrace Havlicekset Shanelle Puetz+1.1
31-2AUBURNAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Shanelle Puetz+1.6
42-2AUBURNTENNServe errAuburn+1.1
52-3TENNAUBURNKillKate Mansfieldset Shanelle Puetz+1.2
62-4AUBURNAUBURNKillGreer Chamblessset Carson Eickenloff+1.8
73-4AUBURNTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+1.2
84-4TENNTENNBlockedLauren Drevesblk Chelsea Sutton, Nia Hall+1.7
94-5TENNAUBURN×3KillBelle Patrickset Carson Eickenloff+1.3
104-6AUBURNAUBURN×3Attack errKennedi Rogers+1.9
114-7AUBURNAUBURN×3KillBelle Patrickset Carson Eickenloff+1.9
125-7AUBURNTENNKillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+1.2
136-7TENNTENNAttack errBelle Patrick+1.8
146-8TENNAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Carson Eickenloff+1.5
157-8AUBURNTENNKillNia Hallset Raegan Burns+1.3
168-8TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.9
178-9TENNAUBURNAttack errJalyn Stout+1.5
189-9AUBURNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Raegan Burns+1.4
1910-9TENNTENNAceTennesseeaced Belle Patrick+1.9
2010-10TENNAUBURNKillGrace Havlicekset Shanelle Puetz+1.4
2111-10AUBURNTENNServe errAuburn+1.4
2211-11TENNAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Shanelle Puetz+1.5
2312-11AUBURNTENNBlockedLauren Drevesblk Chelsea Sutton, Jalyn Stout+1.4
2412-12TENNAUBURNAttack errChelsea Sutton+1.5
2513-12AUBURNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.5
2614-12TENNTENNKillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+2.0
2714-13TENNAUBURNBad setNia Hall+1.4
2815-13AUBURNTENNBlockedBelle Patrickblk Chelsea Sutton, Caroline Kerr+1.5
2916-13TENNTENNAceTennesseeaced Emily Keiran+1.8
3016-14TENNAUBURNBlockedNia Hallblk Kate Mansfield, Greer Chambless+1.1
3117-14AUBURNTENNBlockedGreer Chamblessblk Caroline Kerr+1.3
3218-14TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.4
3318-15TENNAUBURNServe errTennessee+0.8
3419-15AUBURNTENN×5Serve errAuburn+1.0
3520-15TENNTENN×5KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.0
3621-15TENNTENN×5KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.6
3722-15TENNTENN×5Attack errBelle Patrick+0.3
3823-15TENNTENN×5KillKennedi Rogersset Raegan Burns+0.1
3923-16TENNAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Shanelle Puetz·
4024-16AUBURNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr·
4124-17TENNAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Shanelle Puetz·
4224-18AUBURNAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Maggie Dostic·
4325-18AUBURNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr·
Set 3
11-0TENNTENNBlockedAnastasija Ivkovicblk Kennedi Rogers, Chelsea Sutton+0.7
21-1TENNAUBURNKillEmma Mooreset Shanelle Puetz+0.6
32-1AUBURNTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.5
43-1TENNTENNBlockedKate Mansfieldblk Chelsea Sutton+0.7
53-2TENNAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Shanelle Puetz+0.5
64-2AUBURNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.5
75-2TENNTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.7
85-3TENNAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Carson Eickenloff+0.5
95-4AUBURNAUBURNKillGreer Chamblessset Carson Eickenloff+0.7
106-4AUBURNTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.5
116-5TENNAUBURNAttack errNia Hall+0.6
127-5AUBURNTENN×3KillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+0.6
138-5TENNTENN×3KillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+0.7
149-5TENNTENN×3KillJalyn Stoutset Kennedi Rogers+0.6
159-6TENNAUBURNServe errTennessee+0.4
1610-6AUBURNTENN×3Attack errAnastasija Ivkovic+0.4
1711-6TENNTENN×3Attack errReese Shugart+0.5
1812-6TENNTENN×3BlockedReese Shugartblk Anni Tang, Jalyn Stout+0.4
1912-7TENNAUBURNKillEmma Mooreset Shanelle Puetz+0.2
2013-7AUBURNTENN×3KillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+0.3
2114-7TENNTENN×3KillChelsea Sutton+0.3
2215-7TENNTENN×3KillJalyn Stoutset Kennedi Rogers+0.2
2315-8TENNAUBURNKillAnastasija Ivkovicset Shanelle Puetz+0.1
2415-9AUBURNAUBURNBlockedJalyn Stoutblk Lauren Dreves+0.2
2516-9AUBURNTENNAttack errKate Mansfield+0.2
2616-10TENNAUBURNKillLauren Drevesset Shanelle Puetz+0.1
2717-10AUBURNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Raegan Burns+0.2
2817-11TENNAUBURNAttack errNia Hall+0.1
2918-11AUBURNTENNServe errAuburn+0.2
3018-12TENNAUBURNKillBelle Patrickset Shanelle Puetz+0.1
3119-12AUBURNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.2
3220-12TENNTENN×3KillJalyn Stoutset Raegan Burns+0.1
3321-12TENNTENN×3KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.1
3421-13TENNAUBURNKillShanelle Puetzset Belle Patrick·
3522-13AUBURNTENN×4KillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr·
3623-13TENNTENN×4Attack errBelle Patrick·
3724-13TENNTENN×4KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr·
3825-13TENNTENN×4KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr·

Score shown after each rally, Tennessee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).