FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on SECN+

Tennessee def. Ole Miss 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Tennessee 97.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 5:26 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Tennessee beat visiting Ole Miss 3-0 (25-14, 25-12, 25-14) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Tennessee's Kennedi Rogers led with 14 kills, and Raegan Burns added 9 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set123Sets
MISS1412140
TENN2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Kennedi Rogers served 7 aces in a Tennessee rout.

Win probability never moved more than 0.3 points on one rally; Ole Miss topped out at 2% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Tennessee 98% before first serve.

Ole MissTennessee
  • Break %+34.1 pts
    26.260.3

    44 of 73 on serve vs 11 of 42, so Ole Miss's sideout was 39.7%.

  • Hitting+.346
    .014.360

    Kills and errors: 37–10 vs 19–18.

  • Longest run+4
    48

    8 straight Tennessee points in the third set stretched a 14–12 lead to 22–12. The set finished 25–14.

Tennessee above 50Ole Miss belowMax swing 0.3%

Ole MissTennessee

Aces
Ole Miss 1·Tennessee 12
Serve err
Ole Miss 6·Tennessee 10
Blocks
Ole Miss 4·Tennessee 71 BS · 6 BA vs 2 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Ole Miss 24·Tennessee 29

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Tennessee above 50 · Ole Miss below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 115 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Tennessee stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MISS 0.9%99.1% TENN

Ole Miss wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.2%
3-2
0.6%

Tennessee wins

3-0
75.0%
3-1
20.6%
3-2
3.5%
MISS break %
31.7% vs this opp
TENN break %
49.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38216.375000430008
33619-.15810230031.54.5
3217.143000101224
3136-.33310020010.51.5
3114.000900100001
22413-.154000000002
3000–812000001
3000–000220000
3000–0011110000
3000–001000000
1216.167000000002
Team totals191871.0141916241216440
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314428.3570723000021
310117.5290008002111
3518.50000000132.57.5
33211.091023200216
3429.222000101226
3102.500291260010.52.5
3000–010000001
3000–212900001
3000–101000000
2000–000000000
Team totals371075.360321210291210775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 MISS · TENN 8

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 4 MISSTENN 4

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 2 MISSTENN 7

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 2 MISSTENN 8

Bars above the line = Tennessee leads, below = Ole Miss leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ole Miss

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%4/8
0%0/4
2
67%4/6
43%3/7
3
44%4/9
0%0/4
4
57%4/7
20%1/5
5
23%3/13
20%1/5
6
40%2/5
40%2/5
All
44%21/48
23%7/30

Tennessee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%4/4
60%3/5
2
57%4/7
50%4/8
3
100%4/4
33%2/6
4
80%4/5
56%5/9
5
80%4/5
43%3/7
6
60%3/5
77%10/13
All
77%23/30
56%27/48

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

115 rallies

#MISS-TENNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1MISSTENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr
21-1TENNMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Tenesyn Frye
31-2MISSTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
41-3TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogers
52-3TENNMISSAttack errKennedi Rogers
62-4MISSTENN×4BlockedMelia Johnsonblk Anni Tang
72-5TENNTENN×4KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
82-6TENNTENN×4KillKennedi Rogers
92-7TENNTENN×4KillKennedi Rogers
103-7TENNMISSKillShayla Meyerset Jorda Crook
113-8MISSTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr
124-8TENNMISSKillKeirstyn Carltonset Vivianna Samaniego
134-9MISSTENN×4Attack errMelia Johnson
144-10TENNTENN×4Attack errShayla Meyer
154-11TENNTENN×4AceTennessee
164-12TENNTENN×4KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr
175-12TENNMISSServe errTennessee
186-12MISSMISSBlockedMaggie Dosticblk Nina Moorer, Jorda Crook
196-13MISSTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
206-14TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
217-14TENNMISSServe errTennessee
227-15MISSTENN×3Serve errOle Miss
237-16TENNTENN×3Attack errMelia Johnson
247-17TENNTENN×3BlockedMelia Johnsonblk Jalyn Stout, Anni Tang
258-17TENNMISS×4Attack errAnni Tang
269-17MISSMISS×4KillShayla Meyerset Tenesyn Frye
2710-17MISSMISS×4BlockedAnni Tangblk Nina Moorer
2811-17MISSMISS×4KillNina Moorerset Tenesyn Frye
2911-18MISSTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
3012-18TENNMISSKillShayla Meyerset Tenesyn Frye
3112-19MISSTENNServe errOle Miss
3212-20TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
3313-20TENNMISSServe errTennessee
3413-21MISSTENN×4KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
3513-22TENNTENN×4Attack errShayla Meyer
3613-23TENNTENN×4AceTennessee
3713-24TENNTENN×4BlockedKeirstyn Carltonblk Caroline Kerr, Chelsea Sutton
3814-24TENNMISSKillJorda Crookset Vivianna Samaniego
3914-25MISSTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr
Set 2
10-1TENNTENNBad setTenesyn Frye
21-1TENNMISSServe errTennessee
31-2MISSTENN×3KillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr
41-3TENNTENN×3AceTennesseeaced Shayla Meyer
51-4TENNTENN×3Attack errKeirstyn Carlton
62-4TENNMISSServe errTennessee
73-4MISSMISSBlockedKennedi Rogersblk Keirstyn Carlton, Jorda Crook
83-5MISSTENNServe errOle Miss
94-5TENNMISSAttack errJalyn Stout
104-6MISSTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
114-7TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Emma Frietch
125-7TENNMISSKillMelia Johnsonset Vivianna Samaniego
135-8MISSTENN×7KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr
145-9TENNTENN×7Attack errJorda Crook
155-10TENNTENN×7AceTennesseeaced Cameron Bradley
165-11TENNTENN×7KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
175-12TENNTENN×7KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
185-13TENNTENN×7BlockedJorda Crookblk Maggie Dostic, Chelsea Sutton
195-14TENNTENN×7AceTennesseeaced Shayla Meyer
206-14TENNMISSKillNina Moorerset Vivianna Samaniego
217-14MISSMISSAttack errMaggie Dostic
227-15MISSTENN×3KillCaroline Kerrset Raegan Burns
237-16TENNTENN×3Bad setTenesyn Frye
247-17TENNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
258-17TENNMISSKillJorda Crookset Tenesyn Frye
269-17MISSMISSKillShayla Meyerset Tenesyn Frye
279-18MISSTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
2810-18TENNMISSServe errTennessee
2910-19MISSTENN×3KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
3010-20TENNTENN×3KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
3110-21TENNTENN×3AceTennessee
3211-21TENNMISSKillTenesyn Fryeset Keirstyn Carlton
3312-21MISSMISSAceVivianna Samaniego
3412-22MISSTENN×4Serve errVivianna Samaniego
3512-23TENNTENN×4KillJalyn Stout
3612-24TENN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3712-25TENNTENN×4AceTennesseeaced Bella Bonanno
Set 3
10-1MISSTENNAttack errTenesyn Frye
20-2TENNTENNAceTennesseeaced Bella Bonanno
31-2TENNMISSKillShayla Meyerset Tenesyn Frye
41-3MISSTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
52-3TENNMISSServe errTennessee
62-4MISSTENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr
72-5TENNTENNAttack errJorda Crook
83-5TENNMISSServe errTennessee
94-5MISSMISSKillSophie Taylorset Vivianna Samaniego
104-6MISSTENNAttack errKeirstyn Carlton
115-6TENNMISSKillSophie Taylorset Vivianna Samaniego
125-7MISSTENNBlockedJorda Crookblk Chelsea Sutton
136-7TENNMISSServe errTennessee
146-8MISSTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
157-8TENNMISSAttack errKennedi Rogers
167-9MISSTENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr
177-10TENNTENNBlockedNina Moorerblk Maggie Dostic, Anni Tang
188-10TENNMISSKillJorda Crookset Tenesyn Frye
198-11MISSTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
208-12TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr
219-12TENNMISSServe errTennessee
229-13MISSTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr
2310-13TENNMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego
2410-14MISSTENNAttack errSophie Taylor
2511-14TENNMISSKillShayla Meyerset Vivianna Samaniego
2612-14MISSMISSBlockedKennedi Rogersblk Nina Moorer, Jorda Crook
2712-15MISSTENN×8Serve errOle Miss
2812-16TENNTENN×8AceTennessee
2912-17TENNTENN×8KillMaggie Dosticset Raegan Burns
3012-18TENNTENN×8Attack errJorda Crook
3112-19TENNTENN×8AceTennessee
3212-20TENNTENN×8AceTennessee
3312-21TENNTENN×8AceTennesseeaced Shayla Meyer
3412-22TENNTENN×8KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr
3513-22TENNMISSAttack errChelsea Sutton
3614-22MISSMISSKillShayla Meyerset Tenesyn Frye
3714-23MISSTENN×3Serve errOle Miss
3814-24TENNTENN×3KillMaggie Dosticset Sydney Jaynes
3914-25TENNTENN×3KillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr

Score shown after each rally, Ole Miss first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).