FinalSun, Oct 11, 2026Watch on SECN+

Tennessee def. LSU 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Tennessee 94.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Tennessee beat visiting LSU 3-0 (25-21, 25-23, 25-13) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Kennedi Rogers led Tennessee with 13 kills; LSU's Jurnee Robinson had a match-high 15.

Data through · final Oct 11

Set123Sets
LSU2123130
TENN2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No. 10 Tennessee left no doubt against LSU.

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.2 points, and LSU's high was 14% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Tennessee at 94%.

LSUTennessee
  • Break %+16.7 pts
    27.143.8

    On serve: 32/73 against 16/59 (LSU sideout 56.2%).

  • Hitting+.088
    .245.333

    50 kills, 13 errors vs 34 kills, 11 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    45

    Tennessee scored 5 straight in the first set to turn a 19–20 deficit into a 24–20 lead. Final score of the set: 25–21.

Tennessee above 50LSU belowMax swing 2.2%

LSUTennessee

Aces
LSU 1·Tennessee 6
Serve err
LSU 7·Tennessee 8
Blocks
LSU 7·Tennessee 42 BS · 10 BA vs 1 BS · 6 BA
Digs
LSU 36·Tennessee 41

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Tennessee above 50 · LSU below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.2% TENNrally 132 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Tennessee — set 1, LSU 20-21 TENN. Kill by Nia Hall (set by Jalyn Stout). TENN win probability 91% → 94%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LSU 6.5%93.5% TENN

LSU wins

3-0
0.8%
3-1
1.9%
3-2
3.9%

Tennessee wins

3-0
51.4%
3-1
30.7%
3-2
11.4%
LSU break %
34.3% vs this opp
TENN break %
45.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Nia HallKill+2.2%

    Kill by Nia Hall (set by Jalyn Stout)

    Set 1 · LSU 20-21 TENN · TENN 91% → 94%

  2. 02

    Kill by Jurnee Robinson (set by Lauren Brooker)

    Set 1 · LSU 17-13 TENN · LSU 12% → 14%

  3. 03

    Jurnee Robinson stuffed by Caroline Kerr & Chelsea Sutton

    Set 1 · LSU 18-18 TENN · TENN 90% → 92%

  4. 04
    TennesseeAce+1.8%

    Tennessee ace on Emilee Prochaska

    Set 1 · LSU 18-17 TENN · TENN 88% → 90%

  5. 05
    Caroline KerrKill+1.8%

    Kill by Caroline Kerr (set by Kennedi Rogers)

    Set 1 · LSU 20-22 TENN · TENN 94% → 95%

  6. 06

    Kill by Jurnee Robinson (set by Lauren Brooker)

    Set 1 · LSU 20-19 TENN · LSU 8% → 10%

  7. 07
    Jalyn StoutKill+1.6%

    Kill by Jalyn Stout (set by Caroline Kerr)

    Set 1 · LSU 17-15 TENN · TENN 87% → 89%

  8. 08

    Kennedi Rogers stuffed by Camryn Jeffery & Sanaa Donaie

    Set 1 · LSU 12-8 TENN · LSU 10% → 12%

Box score

Official NCAA box

LSUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315531.32310382010.515.5
35217.176101202238
3107.143291050010.52.5
3104.25000000031.52.5
3000–000310000
2000–000400000
36117.294002300217
36313.23100010010.56.5
3000–001100000
3000–000000000
3000–000910000
1005.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals341194.2453117366210757
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313333.3032049000013
312221.47620010000012
38317.29400010132.510.5
34210.200361060031.56.5
3418.375000000004
3105.200201100001
38217.353000200008
3000–021300002
3000–120000002
3000–512900001
Team totals5013111.333486841116475

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 LSU · TENN 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 LSUTENN 5

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 LSUTENN 4

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 3 LSUTENN 5

Bars above the line = Tennessee leads, below = LSU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

LSU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
30%3/10
2
57%8/14
33%4/12
3
53%8/15
20%2/10
4
50%6/12
20%2/10
5
75%6/8
14%1/7
6
50%5/10
40%4/10
All
56%41/73
27%16/59

Tennessee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
14%1/7
2
67%8/12
47%7/15
3
80%8/10
38%5/13
4
89%8/9
50%8/16
5
60%6/10
54%7/13
6
83%5/6
44%4/9
All
73%43/59
44%32/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#LSU-TENNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LSUTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Maggie Dostic+0.4
20-2TENNTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Kennedi Rogers+0.6
31-2TENNLSUAttack errChelsea Sutton+0.4
41-3LSUTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.4
52-3TENNLSUServe errTennessee+0.4
62-4LSUTENNServe errLSU+0.4
73-4TENNLSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Sanaa Donaie+0.5
83-5LSUTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Raegan Burns+0.4
94-5TENNLSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Lauren Brooker+0.5
105-5LSULSUKillLauren Brookerset Maggie Dostic+0.8
115-6LSUTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.5
126-6TENNLSUKillSamara Colemanset Lauren Brooker+0.6
136-7LSUTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.5
147-7TENNLSUAttack errKennedi Rogers+0.6
158-7LSULSUBlockedChelsea Suttonblk Sanaa Donaie+1.1
168-8LSUTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.7
179-8TENNLSU×4KillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+0.8
1810-8LSULSU×4KillSanaa Donaie+1.3
1911-8LSULSU×4AceLauren Brooker+1.5
2012-8LSULSU×4BlockedKennedi Rogersblk Camryn Jeffery, Sanaa Donaie+1.6
2112-9LSUTENNBlockedSanaa Donaieblk Chelsea Sutton+0.8
2213-9TENNLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+1.1
2313-10LSUTENNServe errLSU+0.8
2413-11TENNTENNKillAnni Tang+1.4
2514-11TENNLSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Lauren Brooker+1.2
2614-12LSUTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.9
2715-12TENNLSUKillSamara Colemanset Lauren Brooker+1.3
2815-13LSUTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.9
2916-13TENNLSUServe errTennessee+1.3
3017-13LSULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+1.9
3117-14LSUTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.9
3217-15TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.6
3318-15TENNLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+1.5
3418-16LSUTENN×3KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.0
3518-17TENNTENN×3AceTennesseeaced Emilee Prochaska+1.8
3618-18TENNTENN×3BlockedJurnee Robinsonblk Caroline Kerr, Chelsea Sutton+1.9
3719-18TENNLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+1.5
3819-19LSUTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Maggie Dostic+1.3
3920-19TENNLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+1.7
4020-20LSUTENN×5KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.4
4120-21TENNTENN×5KillNia Hallset Jalyn Stout+2.2
4220-22TENNTENN×5KillCaroline Kerrset Kennedi Rogers+1.8
4320-23TENNTENN×5KillAnni Tang+1.1
4420-24TENNTENN×5AceTennessee+0.5
4521-24TENNLSUServe errTennessee+0.1
4621-25LSUTENNServe errLSU+0.2
Set 2
11-0TENNLSUKillJessica Jonesset Lauren Brooker+0.4
22-0LSULSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+0.6
32-1LSUTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.4
42-2TENNTENNAttack errJurnee Robinson+0.5
53-2TENNLSUServe errTennessee+0.4
64-2LSULSUKillSanaa Donaieset Lauren Brooker+0.7
74-3LSUTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.4
85-3TENNLSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Lauren Brooker+0.5
96-3LSULSUAttack errKennedi Rogers+0.8
106-4LSUTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.4
117-4TENNLSUServe errTennessee+0.6
127-5LSUTENNBlockedSamara Colemanblk Caroline Kerr, Chelsea Sutton+0.5
137-6TENNTENNAceTennesseeaced Jurnee Robinson+0.7
148-6TENNLSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Lauren Brooker+0.6
159-6LSULSUAttack errNia Hall+0.9
169-7LSUTENNServe errLSU+0.5
179-8TENNTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.7
1810-8TENNLSUKillSamara Colemanset Lauren Brooker+0.6
1910-9LSUTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.5
2011-9TENNLSUBlockedJalyn Stoutblk Jurnee Robinson, Jessica Jones+0.6
2111-10LSUTENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+0.5
2212-10TENNLSUKillSanaa Donaieset Lauren Brooker+0.7
2312-11LSUTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.5
2413-11TENNLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+0.7
2513-12LSUTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Raegan Burns+0.6
2614-12TENNLSUServe errTennessee+0.7
2714-13LSUTENNKillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+0.6
2814-14TENNTENNAttack errCamryn Jeffery+0.9
2915-14TENNLSUBlockedNia Hallblk Jessica Jones, Camryn Jeffery+0.7
3015-15LSUTENN×4Serve errLSU+0.6
3115-16TENNTENN×4KillNia Hallset Raegan Burns+0.9
3215-17TENNTENN×4KillNia Hallset Jalyn Stout+0.7
3315-18TENNTENN×4AceTennessee+0.6
3416-18TENNLSUKillSamara Colemanset Lauren Brooker+0.3
3516-19LSUTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Raegan Burns+0.4
3617-19TENNLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+0.3
3717-20LSUTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.4
3818-20TENNLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+0.3
3918-21LSUTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.4
4019-21TENNLSUKillCamryn Jefferyset Lauren Brooker+0.3
4119-22LSUTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.4
4219-23TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.4
4320-23TENNLSUServe errTennessee+0.1
4420-24LSUTENNAttack errSamara Coleman+0.2
4521-24TENNLSU×3Bad setMaggie Dostic+0.1
4622-24LSULSU×3KillSamara Colemanset Lauren Brooker+0.3
4723-24LSULSU×3KillSamara Colemanset Jurnee Robinson+0.7
4823-25LSUTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Raegan Burns+1.1
Set 3
10-1LSUTENN×4Attack errJurnee Robinson+0.1
20-2TENNTENN×4Attack errJurnee Robinson+0.2
30-3TENNTENN×4Attack errSanaa Donaie+0.1
40-4TENNTENN×4Attack errJurnee Robinson+0.1
51-4TENNLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+0.1
61-5LSUTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.1
71-6TENNTENNBad setJurnee Robinson+0.1
82-6TENNLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+0.1
92-7LSUTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.1
103-7TENNLSUKillSanaa Donaieset Lauren Brooker+0.1
113-8LSUTENN×3BlockedSamara Colemanblk Caroline Kerr, Chelsea Sutton+0.1
123-9TENNTENN×3KillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+0.1
133-10TENNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr·
144-10TENNLSUAttack errCaroline Kerr·
154-11LSUTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr·
165-11TENNLSUBlockedJalyn Stoutblk Jessica Jones, Samara Coleman·
175-12LSUTENNKillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr·
186-12TENNLSU×3KillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker·
197-12LSULSU×3KillSanaa Donaieset Lauren Brooker+0.1
208-12LSULSU×3BlockedAnni Tangblk Lauren Brooker, Sanaa Donaie+0.1
218-13LSUTENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+0.1
229-13TENNLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker+0.1
239-14LSUTENN×5KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.1
249-15TENNTENN×5KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.1
259-16TENNTENN×5KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr·
269-17TENNTENN×5KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr·
279-18TENNTENN×5KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr·
2810-18TENNLSUKillJurnee Robinsonset Lauren Brooker·
2911-18LSULSUBlockedCaroline Kerrblk Sanaa Donaie·
3011-19LSUTENN×3Serve errLSU·
3111-20TENNTENN×3KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr·
3211-21TENNTENN×3AceTennesseeaced Kiley Brooks·
3312-21TENNLSUServe errTennessee·
3413-21LSULSUAttack errChelsea Sutton·
3513-22LSUTENN×4Serve errLSU·
3613-23TENNTENN×4KillNia Hallset Sydney Jaynes·
3713-24TENNTENN×4KillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr·
3813-25TENNTENN×4AceTennesseeaced Jurnee Robinson·

Score shown after each rally, LSU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).