Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on SECN+

Tennessee def. Arkansas 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Tennessee 91.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 6:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Tennessee won at Arkansas 3-1 (25-23, 19-25, 25-19, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Tennessee's Jalyn Stout led with 19 kills, and Raegan Burns added 23 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set1234Sets
TENN251925253
ARK232519201

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Tennessee won every phase.

The biggest single-rally swing was 3.7 points, and Arkansas's high was 15% in Set 2. The numbers below are where it was won. Tennessee went in as RallyIQ's 91% pick.

TennesseeArkansas
  • Longest run+1
    65

    Down 5–8 in the fourth set, Tennessee scored 6 straight to lead 11–8. Final score of the set: 25–20.

Arkansas above 50Tennessee belowMax swing 3.7%

TennesseeArkansas

Hitting
Tennessee .297·Arkansas .254
Aces
Tennessee 4·Arkansas 3
Serve err
Tennessee 9·Arkansas 7
Blocks
Tennessee 8·Arkansas 60 BS · 16 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Tennessee 56·Arkansas 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Arkansas above 50 · Tennessee below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.7% TENNrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.7% to Tennessee — set 1, TENN 25-23 ARK. Attack error by Laci Bohannan. ARK win probability 8% → 4%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TENN 89.5%10.5% ARK

Tennessee wins

3-0
43.6%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.3%

Arkansas wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-2
5.9%
TENN break %
45.0% vs this opp
ARK break %
35.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Laci BohannanAttack error+3.7%

    Attack error by Laci Bohannan

    Set 1 · TENN 25-23 ARK · TENN 92% → 96%

  2. 02
    Laci BohannanKill+3.5%

    Kill by Laci Bohannan (set by Maggie McCarroll)

    Set 1 · TENN 23-23 ARK · ARK 8% → 11%

  3. 03
    Laci BohannanKill+3.2%

    Kill by Laci Bohannan (set by Aleki Alexander)

    Set 4 · TENN 19-19 ARK · ARK 6% → 9%

  4. 04

    Kill by Chelsea Sutton (set by Caroline Kerr)

    Set 1 · TENN 24-23 ARK · TENN 89% → 92%

  5. 05
    Maggie DosticKill+3.0%

    Kill by Maggie Dostic (set by Jalyn Stout)

    Set 4 · TENN 21-19 ARK · TENN 93% → 96%

  6. 06

    Kill by Romani Thurman (set by Madi Benne)

    Set 4 · TENN 5-8 ARK · ARK 11% → 13%

  7. 07

    Kill by Kennedi Rogers (set by Caroline Kerr)

    Set 4 · TENN 20-19 ARK · TENN 91% → 93%

  8. 08

    Ace by Parker Duncan on Raegan Burns

    Set 4 · TENN 18-17 ARK · ARK 4% → 6%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419433.4554005002120
412227.37000010052.514.5
412838.10510330031.513.5
4609.6674722800219
44111.27300010031.55.5
43310.0003011010003
4000–021100002
4000–6002320000
4000–002100000
39417.29400030010.59.5
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6522145.2976149563016894
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413539.20501064111.515.5
49219.3680001004211
49012.75011020010.510.5
49632.094002800009
4102.5004112900002
4000–000700000
411530.2001001004213
4000–7031400000
Team totals5218134.2545037484110687

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 TENN · ARK 5

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 TENNARK 3

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 TENNARK 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 3 TENNARK 3

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 6 TENNARK 5

Bars above the line = Arkansas leads, below = Tennessee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tennessee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%10/15
43%6/14
2
67%10/15
29%4/14
3
50%9/18
38%6/16
4
53%8/15
53%9/17
5
57%8/14
33%4/12
6
73%8/11
60%12/20
All
60%53/88
44%41/93

Arkansas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
25%3/12
2
67%10/15
33%5/15
3
56%9/16
53%10/19
4
53%8/15
53%10/19
5
38%8/21
33%4/12
6
70%7/10
27%3/11
All
56%52/93
40%35/88

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#TENN-ARKSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1TENNARKKillParker Duncanset Maggie McCarroll+0.8
21-1ARKTENN×3BlockedParker Duncanblk Jalyn Stout, Anni Tang+0.7
32-1TENNTENN×3KillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+1.0
43-1TENNTENN×3Attack errRomani Thurman+0.9
53-2TENNARKServe errTennessee+0.6
63-3ARKARKKillRomani Thurmanset Maggie McCarroll+1.1
74-3ARKTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.7
84-4TENNARKKillLayla Smithset Maggie McCarroll+0.8
95-4ARKTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.7
106-4TENNTENNBlockedLaci Bohannanblk Caroline Kerr, Chelsea Sutton+0.9
116-5TENNARKServe errTennessee+0.7
127-5ARKTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.6
138-5TENNTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.8
148-6TENNARKKillAleki Alexanderset Maggie McCarroll+0.6
159-6ARKTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.6
169-7TENNARKKillAleki Alexanderset Maggie McCarroll+0.6
179-8ARKARKAceArkansasaced Raegan Burns+1.1
1810-8ARKTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.7
1910-9TENNARKServe errTennessee+0.8
2011-9ARKTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.8
2111-10TENNARK×3KillRomani Thurmanset Maggie McCarroll+0.8
2211-11ARKARK×3Attack errKennedi Rogers+1.4
2311-12ARKARK×3BlockedKennedi Rogersblk Romani Thurman, Layla Smith+1.7
2412-12ARKTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.1
2512-13TENNARKKillRomani Thurmanset Maggie McCarroll+1.3
2613-13ARKTENN×4BlockedRomani Thurmanblk Chelsea Sutton, Kennedi Rogers+1.1
2714-13TENNTENN×4AceEmma Frietchaced Parker Duncan+1.6
2815-13TENNTENN×4KillKennedi Rogers+1.4
2916-13TENNTENN×4AceEmma Frietchaced Parker Duncan+1.1
3016-14TENNARKKillRomani Thurmanset Maggie McCarroll+0.7
3117-14ARKTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Maggie Dostic+0.8
3217-15TENNARKServe errTennessee+0.7
3318-15ARKTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.8
3418-16TENNARKKillAleki Alexanderset Maggie McCarroll+0.7
3518-17ARKARKKillLayla Smithset Maggie McCarroll+1.5
3619-17ARKTENN×3KillCaroline Kerrset Jalyn Stout+1.2
3720-17TENNTENN×3Attack errParker Duncan+1.4
3821-17TENNTENN×3KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.9
3921-18TENNARK×3KillLayla Smithset Maggie McCarroll+0.4
4021-19ARKARK×3KillLayla Smithset Maggie McCarroll+1.0
4121-20ARKARK×3Bad setCaroline Kerr+1.8
4222-20ARKTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.5
4322-21TENNARKKillRomani Thurmanset Maggie McCarroll+1.3
4423-21ARKTENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+1.7
4523-22TENNARKKillLayla Smithset Maggie McCarroll+1.3
4623-23ARKARKKillLaci Bohannanset Maggie McCarroll+3.5
4724-23ARKTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+3.1
4825-23TENNTENNAttack errLaci Bohannan+3.7
Set 2
10-1ARKARKAceArkansasaced Maggie Dostic+0.8
21-1ARKTENNServe errArkansas+0.5
31-2TENNARKKillRomani Thurmanset Maggie McCarroll+0.6
41-3ARKARKKillLaci Bohannanset Maggie McCarroll+0.9
52-3ARKTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.6
62-4TENNARKServe errTennessee+0.7
73-4ARKTENN×3Serve errArkansas+0.6
84-4TENNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.8
95-4TENNTENN×3KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.7
105-5TENNARKKillRomani Thurmanset Madi Benne+0.5
116-5ARKTENNKillChelsea Sutton+0.5
126-6TENNARK×3KillAleki Alexanderset Maggie McCarroll+0.6
136-7ARKARK×3Attack errMaggie Dostic+0.9
146-8ARKARK×3KillAleki Alexanderset Maggie McCarroll+1.1
157-8ARKTENNServe errArkansas+0.6
168-8TENNTENNAttack errParker Duncan+0.9
178-9TENNARKKillAleki Alexanderset Maggie McCarroll+0.7
189-9ARKTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+0.6
199-10TENNARKKillParker Duncanset Maggie McCarroll+0.8
2010-10ARKTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Raegan Burns+0.7
2111-10TENNTENNBlockedLayla Smithblk Kennedi Rogers, Anni Tang+0.9
2211-11TENNARKAttack errJalyn Stout+0.7
2312-11ARKTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Maggie Dostic+0.6
2413-11TENNTENNBlockedRomani Thurmanblk Kennedi Rogers, Chelsea Sutton+0.9
2513-12TENNARK×4KillLaci Bohannanset Romani Thurman+0.6
2613-13ARKARK×4Attack errChelsea Sutton+1.1
2713-14ARKARK×4BlockedKennedi Rogersblk Romani Thurman, Aleki Alexander+1.3
2813-15ARKARK×4Attack errMaggie Dostic+1.5
2914-15ARKTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.9
3014-16TENNARK×4Attack errKennedi Rogers+1.1
3114-17ARKARK×4KillLaci Bohannanset Madi Benne+1.6
3214-18ARKARK×4Attack errJalyn Stout+1.6
3314-19ARKARK×4Attack errChelsea Sutton+1.3
3415-19ARKTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.6
3515-20TENNARKAttack errMaggie Dostic+0.9
3616-20ARKTENNKillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+0.5
3716-21TENNARKAttack errKennedi Rogers+0.9
3816-22ARKARKKillParker Duncanset Maggie McCarroll+0.8
3917-22ARKTENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+0.2
4017-23TENNARKKillMaggie McCarrollset Madi Benne+0.5
4118-23ARKTENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+0.1
4218-24TENNARKBlockedJalyn Stoutblk Parker Duncan+0.3
4319-24ARKTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.1
4419-25TENNARKServe errTennessee+0.2
Set 3
11-0TENNTENN×3KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.8
22-0TENNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Raegan Burns+1.6
33-0TENNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Raegan Burns+1.4
43-1TENNARK×3KillRomani Thurmanset Maggie McCarroll+0.9
53-2ARKARK×3Attack errAnni Tang+1.7
63-3ARKARK×3KillAleki Alexanderset Maggie McCarroll+2.0
74-3ARKTENNServe errArkansas+1.3
85-3TENNTENNAttack errRomani Thurman+1.7
95-4TENNARKKillAleki Alexanderset Maggie McCarroll+1.3
106-4ARKTENN×3KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+1.2
117-4TENNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.5
128-4TENNTENN×3Attack errLaci Bohannan+1.2
138-5TENNARKKillLaci Bohannanset Maggie McCarroll+0.8
149-5ARKTENNServe errArkansas+0.8
159-6TENNARKServe errKennedi Rogers+0.8
1610-6ARKTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Jalyn Stout+0.9
1710-7TENNARKKillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+0.8
1811-7ARKTENNKillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+0.9
1911-8TENNARKKillParker Duncanset Maggie McCarroll+0.9
2012-8ARKTENNKillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+0.9
2112-9TENNARKKillLayla Smithset Maggie McCarroll+0.9
2213-9ARKTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.9
2313-10TENNARKAttack errJalyn Stout+0.9
2413-11ARKARKKillLaci Bohannanset Maggie McCarroll+1.7
2514-11ARKTENN×3KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.3
2615-11TENNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Raegan Burns+1.5
2716-11TENNTENN×3KillChelsea Suttonset Caroline Kerr+1.1
2816-12TENNARK×3KillLaci Bohannanset Maggie McCarroll+0.6
2916-13ARKARK×3Attack errKennedi Rogers+1.3
3016-14ARKARK×3KillParker Duncanset Maggie McCarroll+1.9
3117-14ARKTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Kennedi Rogers+1.5
3218-14TENNTENNKillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+1.6
3318-15TENNARKAttack errNia Hall+0.9
3419-15ARKTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.1
3520-15TENNTENN×3KillNia Hallset Jalyn Stout+1.0
3621-15TENNTENN×3KillCaroline Kerr+0.5
3721-16TENNARK×3KillParker Duncanset Maggie McCarroll+0.2
3821-17ARKARK×3BlockedKennedi Rogersblk Layla Smith, Parker Duncan+0.6
3921-18ARKARK×3BlockedNia Hallblk Romani Thurman, Layla Smith+1.1
4022-18ARKTENN×3KillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+1.1
4123-18TENNTENN×3KillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+0.8
4224-18TENNTENN×3KillJalyn Stoutset Raegan Burns+0.3
4324-19TENNARKKillLayla Smithset Maggie McCarroll·
4425-19ARKTENNKillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+0.1
Set 4
11-0ARKTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.9
21-1TENNARKKillParker Duncanset Maggie McCarroll+1.0
32-1ARKTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.9
42-2TENNARK×4KillParker Duncanset Maggie McCarroll+1.0
52-3ARKARK×4Attack errKennedi Rogers+1.7
62-4ARKARK×4KillRomani Thurmanset Maggie McCarroll+1.9
72-5ARKARK×4KillRomani Thurmanset Maggie McCarroll+2.1
83-5ARKTENNBlockedParker Duncanblk Caroline Kerr, Chelsea Sutton+1.2
93-6TENNARKServe errKennedi Rogers+1.6
104-6ARKTENNBlockedRomani Thurmanblk Nia Hall, Chelsea Sutton+1.3
115-6TENNTENNAttack errLayla Smith+1.9
125-7TENNARKKillParker Duncanset Maggie McCarroll+1.5
135-8ARKARKKillRomani Thurmanset Madi Benne+2.3
146-8ARKTENN×6Serve errArkansas+1.4
157-8TENNTENN×6KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+2.0
168-8TENNTENN×6Attack errLaci Bohannan+1.9
179-8TENNTENN×6AceCaroline Kerraced Parker Duncan+1.8
1810-8TENNTENN×6KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.6
1911-8TENNTENN×6KillJalyn Stout+1.3
2011-9TENNARKKillParker Duncanset Maggie McCarroll+0.9
2112-9ARKTENNKillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+0.9
2213-9TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Raegan Burns+1.1
2313-10TENNARKKillAleki Alexanderset Maggie McCarroll+0.7
2414-10ARKTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.7
2514-11TENNARKKillParker Duncanset Maggie McCarroll+0.7
2615-11ARKTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Maggie Dostic+0.7
2716-11TENNTENNAttack errParker Duncan+0.8
2816-12TENNARKKillLayla Smithset Maggie McCarroll+0.4
2917-12ARKTENNServe errArkansas+0.5
3018-12TENNTENNKillNia Hallset Caroline Kerr+0.5
3118-13TENNARK×5KillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+0.2
3218-14ARKARK×5Attack errNia Hall+0.6
3318-15ARKARK×5BlockedNia Hallblk Romani Thurman, Layla Smith+0.9
3418-16ARKARK×5KillLaci Bohannanset Madi Benne+1.5
3518-17ARKARK×5AceParker Duncanaced Raegan Burns+2.2
3619-17ARKTENNAttack errLaci Bohannan+1.6
3719-18TENNARKKillLayla Smithset Maggie McCarroll+1.6
3819-19ARKARKKillLaci Bohannanset Aleki Alexander+3.2
3920-19ARKTENN×5KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+2.3
4021-19TENNTENN×5KillMaggie Dosticset Jalyn Stout+3.0
4122-19TENNTENN×5KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+2.1
4223-19TENNTENN×5AceCaroline Kerraced Parker Duncan+1.2
4324-19TENNTENN×5BlockedLaci Bohannanblk Jalyn Stout, Anni Tang+0.4
4424-20TENNARKServe errCaroline Kerr+0.1
4525-20ARKTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Tennessee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).