Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on SECN+

Texas A&M def. Tennessee 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Tennessee 54.5% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 6:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Texas A&M beat visiting Tennessee 3-1 (27-25, 33-31, 15-25, 25-23) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Kyndal Stowers led Texas A&M with 19 kills; Tennessee's Kennedi Rogers had a match-high 24.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set1234Sets
TENN253125231
TX A&M273315253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Texas A&M needed all of Kyndal Stowers's 22.5 points to get by Tennessee.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Texas A&M's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Tennessee was RallyIQ's 54% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Tennessee 22–24 Texas A&M

    3 straight Tennessee kills turned a 22–24 deficit into a 25–24 lead. The match swung to Tennessee.

    Texas A&M 61% → 38%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 1 · Tennessee 25–24 Texas A&M

    Down 24–25, Texas A&M scored 3 straight to lead 27–25. The match swung to Texas A&M.

    Texas A&M 38% → 66%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Tennessee 23–21 Texas A&M

    4 of the last 4 rallies went to Texas A&M, enough to take the set 25–23 and win the match 3–1.

    Texas A&M 54% → >99%

Texas A&M above 50Tennessee belowMax swing 14.6%

TennesseeTexas A&M

Sideout %
Tennessee 65.7·Texas A&M 62.9
Break %
Tennessee 37.1·Texas A&M 34.3
Hitting
Tennessee .216·Texas A&M .215
Longest run
Tennessee 4·Texas A&M 6

Kyndal Stowers
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 19 K, .152, 22.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Texas A&M above 50 · Tennessee below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+14.6% TX A&Mrally 204 · set 4

Biggest swing: 14.6% to Texas A&M — set 4, TENN 23-25 TX A&M. Ace by Margot Manning on Raegan Burns. TX A&M win probability 85% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TENN 58.0%42.0% TX A&M

Tennessee wins

3-0
16.2%
3-1
22.1%
3-2
19.8%

Texas A&M wins

3-0
9.4%
3-1
15.4%
3-2
17.1%
TENN break %
40.2% vs this opp
TX A&M break %
38.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ace by Margot Manning on Raegan Burns

    Set 4 · TENN 23-25 TX A&M · TX A&M 85% → 100%

  2. 02
    Kyndal StowersKill+14.3%

    Kill by Kyndal Stowers (set by Gabi Rodriguez)

    Set 4 · TENN 23-24 TX A&M · TX A&M 71% → 85%

  3. 03
    Natalie RingKill+11.0%

    Kill by Natalie Ring (set by Margot Manning)

    Set 2 · TENN 31-33 TX A&M · TX A&M 75% → 86%

  4. 04
    Texas A&MAce+10.8%

    Texas A&M ace on Kennedi Rogers

    Set 2 · TENN 27-28 TX A&M · TX A&M 64% → 75%

  5. 05
    Natalie RingKill+10.8%

    Kill by Natalie Ring (set by Margot Manning)

    Set 2 · TENN 30-31 TX A&M · TX A&M 64% → 75%

  6. 06
    Kaia CastleKill+10.7%

    Kill by Kaia Castle (set by Margot Manning)

    Set 4 · TENN 23-23 TX A&M · TX A&M 60% → 71%

  7. 07
    Eliza SharpAttack error+10.6%

    Attack error by Eliza Sharp

    Set 2 · TENN 25-24 TX A&M · TENN 32% → 43%

  8. 08
    Kennedi RogersKill+10.6%

    Kill by Kennedi Rogers (set by Caroline Kerr)

    Set 2 · TENN 30-29 TX A&M · TENN 32% → 43%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4241259.203002175052.526.5
49628.10731115012212
410532.15601115000011
48418.222000000219
46010.600471280031.58.5
2203.66700000010.52.5
4000–032200003
4000–011000001
4000–7001610000
2103.33300010174.55.5
Team totals6027153.216577974622012104
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419966.152004152073.522.5
418342.3571125000019
47520.10000300012613
48416.25000020132.510.5
4102.50048211600425
4001.000012730001
45216.188000200427
4000–321710002
4000–100510000
2000–100000000
Team totals5823163.2155461359713016100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 TENN · TX A&M 6

Set 1

25-27

Longest run 3 TENNTX A&M 3

Set 2

31-33

Longest run 4 TENNTX A&M 3

Set 3

25-15

Longest run 4 TENNTX A&M 2

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 4 TENNTX A&M 6

Bars above the line = Texas A&M leads, below = Tennessee leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tennessee

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%12/21
45%9/20
2
52%11/21
37%7/19
3
73%11/15
48%10/21
4
92%11/12
35%6/17
5
67%10/15
15%2/13
6
67%10/15
33%5/15
All
66%65/99
37%39/105

Texas A&M

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
38%6/16
2
60%12/20
40%8/20
3
61%11/18
48%10/21
4
65%11/17
15%2/13
5
92%11/12
31%5/16
6
47%9/19
23%3/13
All
63%66/105
34%34/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

204 rallies

#TENN-TX A&MSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TX A&MTENNKillCamille Perryset Caroline Kerr+1.7
21-1TENNTX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Margot Manning+1.7
32-1TX A&MTENN×3KillCamille Perryset Caroline Kerr+1.8
43-1TENNTENN×3KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+2.6
54-1TENNTENN×3Attack errKaia Castle+2.5
64-2TENNTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Addi Applegate+1.5
74-3TX A&MTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Gabi Rodriguez+2.6
85-3TX A&MTENNServe errTexas A&M+1.8
95-4TENNTX A&MBlockedKennedi Rogersblk Kaia Castle, Kyndal Stowers+1.7
106-4TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.8
116-5TENNTX A&MKillKaia Castleset Margot Manning+1.8
126-6TX A&MTX A&MAttack errKennedi Rogers+2.9
137-6TX A&MTENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+2.0
147-7TENNTX A&MServe errTennessee+2.0
157-8TX A&MTX A&MKillMargot Manningset Natalie Ring+3.1
168-8TX A&MTENNServe errTexas A&M+2.0
178-9TENNTX A&MServe errTennessee+2.1
189-9TX A&MTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+2.1
199-10TENNTX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Margot Manning+2.2
2010-10TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+2.2
2111-10TENNTENNAceTennesseeaced Megan Fitch+3.4
2211-11TENNTX A&MBlockedJalyn Stoutblk Kaia Castle, Kyndal Stowers+2.2
2312-11TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Raegan Burns+2.3
2412-12TENNTX A&MKillTaryn Morrisset Margot Manning+2.3
2513-12TX A&MTENNServe errTexas A&M+2.4
2613-13TENNTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+2.4
2714-13TX A&MTENNServe errTexas A&M+2.5
2814-14TENNTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+2.5
2915-14TX A&MTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+2.6
3015-15TENNTX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Margot Manning+2.6
3115-16TX A&MTX A&MAttack errJalyn Stout+4.3
3216-16TX A&MTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+2.8
3317-16TENNTENNKillCamille Perry+4.4
3417-17TENNTX A&MAttack errKennedi Rogers+2.9
3517-18TX A&MTX A&MBlockedJalyn Stoutblk Kyndal Stowers, Kaia Castle+4.8
3618-18TX A&MTENNServe errTexas A&M+3.1
3718-19TENNTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Margot Manning+3.4
3819-19TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+3.3
3920-19TENNTENNBlockedKyndal Stowersblk Anni Tang, Kennedi Rogers+5.5
4020-20TENNTX A&MKillTaryn Morrisset Margot Manning+3.6
4121-20TX A&MTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Jalyn Stout+4.0
4221-21TENNTX A&M×3KillKaia Castleset Margot Manning+3.9
4321-22TX A&MTX A&M×3KillEliza Sharp+7.0
4421-23TX A&MTX A&M×3Attack errMaggie Dostic+6.8
4522-23TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+3.1
4622-24TENNTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+5.3
4723-24TX A&MTENN×3KillCaroline Kerrset Raegan Burns+2.8
4824-24TENNTENN×3KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+10.3
4925-24TENNTENN×3KillMaggie Dosticset Raegan Burns+10.1
5025-25TENNTX A&M×3Serve errTennessee+6.7
5125-26TX A&MTX A&M×3Attack errJalyn Stout+10.3
5225-27TX A&MTX A&M×3AceTexas A&Maced Kennedi Rogers+10.5
Set 2
10-1TENNTX A&MBlockedCamille Perryblk Eliza Sharp+1.8
20-2TX A&MTX A&MBlockedCamille Perryblk Margot Manning, Kaia Castle+2.8
31-2TX A&MTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+1.8
41-3TENNTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Margot Manning+1.9
52-3TX A&MTENNAttack errKyndal Stowers+1.8
62-4TENNTX A&MKillKaia Castleset Margot Manning+1.9
73-4TX A&MTENN×4Serve errTexas A&M+1.8
84-4TENNTENN×4AceTennesseeaced Gabi Rodriguez+2.9
95-4TENNTENN×4KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+3.0
106-4TENNTENN×4KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+2.9
116-5TENNTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+1.9
127-5TX A&MTENNKillAnni Tangset Caroline Kerr+2.0
137-6TENNTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Margot Manning+1.9
148-6TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+2.0
159-6TENNTENNAceTennesseeaced Kyndal Stowers+2.9
169-7TENNTX A&MAttack errMaggie Dostic+1.7
1710-7TX A&MTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+2.0
1810-8TENNTX A&M×3KillKyndal Stowersset Margot Manning+1.8
1910-9TX A&MTX A&M×3AceTexas A&Maced Kennedi Rogers+3.1
2010-10TX A&MTX A&M×3AceTexas A&Maced Kennedi Rogers+3.4
2111-10TX A&MTENNKillCamille Perryset Caroline Kerr+2.3
2211-11TENNTX A&MAttack errCamille Perry+2.3
2312-11TX A&MTENN×4KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+2.4
2413-11TENNTENN×4KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+3.6
2514-11TENNTENN×4KillKennedi Rogers+3.3
2615-11TENNTENN×4BlockedTaryn Morrisblk Jalyn Stout+2.8
2715-12TENNTX A&MBlockedKennedi Rogersblk Kaia Castle, Kyndal Stowers+1.5
2816-12TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.9
2916-13TENNTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+1.5
3017-13TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.9
3117-14TENNTX A&MServe errTennessee+1.5
3218-14TX A&MTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Raegan Burns+2.0
3318-15TENNTX A&MBlockedMaggie Dosticblk Eliza Sharp, Margot Manning+1.5
3418-16TX A&MTX A&MBlockedKennedi Rogersblk Eliza Sharp, Kyndal Stowers+3.1
3519-16TX A&MTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Jalyn Stout+2.6
3619-17TENNTX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Margot Manning+2.0
3719-18TX A&MTX A&MBlockedCamille Perryblk Margot Manning, Kaia Castle+4.2
3820-18TX A&MTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+3.4
3920-19TENNTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Margot Manning+2.9
4021-19TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+3.7
4121-20TENNTX A&M×3KillKyndal Stowersset Margot Manning+3.0
4221-21TX A&MTX A&M×3KillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+6.2
4321-22TX A&MTX A&M×3BlockedKennedi Rogersblk Kaia Castle, Taryn Morris+7.4
4422-22TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+4.7
4522-23TENNTX A&MBlockedKennedi Rogersblk Taryn Morris, Kaia Castle+5.8
4623-23TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+5.4
4723-24TENNTX A&MBlockedMaggie Dosticblk Eliza Sharp, Taryn Morris+7.2
4824-24TX A&MTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Raegan Burns+7.2
4925-24TENNTENNAttack errEliza Sharp+10.6
5025-25TENNTX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Margot Manning+7.0
5126-25TX A&MTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+7.0
5226-26TENNTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Margot Manning+7.0
5327-26TX A&MTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+7.0
5427-27TENNTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Margot Manning+7.0
5527-28TX A&MTX A&MAceTexas A&Maced Kennedi Rogers+10.8
5628-28TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+7.2
5728-29TENNTX A&MKillKaia Castleset Margot Manning+7.2
5829-29TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+7.2
5930-29TENNTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+10.6
6030-30TENNTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Margot Manning+7.0
6130-31TX A&MTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+10.8
6231-31TX A&MTENNKillCaroline Kerrset Raegan Burns+7.2
6331-32TENNTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+7.2
6431-33TX A&MTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+11.0
Set 3
11-0TX A&MTENN×3KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+1.2
22-0TENNTENN×3BlockedEliza Sharpblk Jolene Oddo, Kennedi Rogers+1.8
33-0TENNTENN×3AceEmma Frietchaced Addi Applegate+1.7
43-1TENNTX A&MServe errEmma Frietch+1.1
53-2TX A&MTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Margot Manning+1.8
64-2TX A&MTENN×3Attack errKyndal Stowers+1.3
75-2TENNTENN×3BlockedKaia Castleblk Jolene Oddo, Kennedi Rogers+1.8
86-2TENNTENN×3BlockedKyndal Stowersblk Jolene Oddo, Caroline Kerr+1.6
96-3TENNTX A&MAttack errKennedi Rogers+1.0
106-4TX A&MTX A&MKillKaia Castle+1.7
117-4TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+1.2
128-4TENNTENNBlockedKyndal Stowersblk Caroline Kerr, Jolene Oddo+1.7
138-5TENNTX A&MServe errKennedi Rogers+1.0
149-5TX A&MTENN×3Serve errKyndal Stowers+1.1
1510-5TENNTENN×3Attack errNatalie Ring+1.5
1611-5TENNTENN×3Attack errKaia Castle+1.2
1711-6TENNTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+0.6
1812-6TX A&MTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+0.8
1912-7TENNTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+0.6
2013-7TX A&MTENNServe errMegan Fitch+0.8
2114-7TENNTENNAttack errEliza Sharp+0.9
2214-8TENNTX A&MServe errMaggie Dostic+0.4
2315-8TX A&MTENNKillCamille Perryset Caroline Kerr+0.6
2416-8TENNTENNBad setMargot Manning+0.6
2516-9TENNTX A&MServe errEmma Frietch+0.2
2617-9TX A&MTENNKillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+0.3
2717-10TENNTX A&MServe errJalyn Stout+0.2
2818-10TX A&MTENNAttack errKyndal Stowers+0.3
2918-11TENNTX A&MBlockedMaggie Dosticblk Taryn Morris, Kaia Castle+0.2
3019-11TX A&MTENNKillMaggie Dosticset Caroline Kerr+0.3
3119-12TENNTX A&MKillTaryn Morrisset Margot Manning+0.1
3219-13TX A&MTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Brooke Lacewell+0.4
3320-13TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+0.4
3421-13TENNTENNAceCaroline Kerraced Kyndal Stowers+0.3
3521-14TENNTX A&MKillTaryn Morrisset Margot Manning+0.1
3621-15TX A&MTX A&MAceMegan Fitchaced Kennedi Rogers+0.2
3722-15TX A&MTENN×4KillCamille Perryset Caroline Kerr+0.3
3823-15TENNTENN×4AceMaggie Dosticaced Megan Fitch+0.1
3924-15TENNTENN×4KillKennedi Rogers·
4025-15TENNTENN×4KillMaggie Dosticset Raegan Burns·
Set 4
11-0TENNTENN×3KillCamille Perryset Caroline Kerr+3.6
22-0TENNTENN×3Attack errKyndal Stowers+3.6
33-0TENNTENN×3KillJalyn Stoutset Caroline Kerr+3.4
43-1TENNTX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Margot Manning+2.1
54-1TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+2.3
64-2TENNTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Margot Manning+2.1
74-3TX A&MTX A&MBlockedJalyn Stoutblk Kaia Castle, Kyndal Stowers+3.6
85-3TX A&MTENNKillJolene Oddoset Caroline Kerr+2.5
95-4TENNTX A&MAttack errKennedi Rogers+2.4
106-4TX A&MTENNServe errKyndal Stowers+2.6
116-5TENNTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+2.5
127-5TX A&MTENNServe errKaia Castle+2.6
137-6TENNTX A&MKillTaryn Morrisset Margot Manning+2.5
148-6TX A&MTENNAttack errNatalie Ring+2.7
158-7TENNTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+2.6
169-7TX A&MTENNServe errNatalie Ring+2.8
179-8TENNTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Gabi Rodriguez+2.7
189-9TX A&MTX A&MKillKaia Castleset Margot Manning+4.4
1910-9TX A&MTENNBlockedKaia Castleblk Camille Perry, Kennedi Rogers+3.0
2010-10TENNTX A&MBlockedKennedi Rogersblk Kaia Castle, Margot Manning+3.0
2110-11TX A&MTX A&MBlockedJalyn Stoutblk Kyndal Stowers, Kaia Castle+4.8
2211-11TX A&MTENN×3BlockedKaia Castleblk Jolene Oddo+3.1
2312-11TENNTENN×3BlockedKyndal Stowersblk Jolene Oddo, Caroline Kerr+4.9
2413-11TENNTENN×3BlockedTaryn Morrisblk Kennedi Rogers, Jolene Oddo+4.8
2513-12TENNTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Margot Manning+3.0
2614-12TX A&MTENNKillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+3.3
2714-13TENNTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+3.1
2815-13TX A&MTENNServe errKaia Castle+3.4
2915-14TENNTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+3.2
3016-14TX A&MTENN×3KillCaroline Kerrset Jalyn Stout+3.6
3117-14TENNTENN×3Attack errEliza Sharp+4.9
3218-14TENNTENN×3BlockedNatalie Ringblk Camille Perry, Jalyn Stout+4.0
3318-15TENNTX A&M×3KillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+1.9
3418-16TX A&MTX A&M×3KillEliza Sharpset Margot Manning+4.1
3518-17TX A&MTX A&M×3KillKyndal Stowersset Margot Manning+5.3
3619-17TX A&MTENNServe errNatalie Ring+4.2
3719-18TENNTX A&MKillKyndal Stowersset Margot Manning+3.7
3819-19TX A&MTX A&MAttack errKennedi Rogers+6.9
3920-19TX A&MTENN×4KillCamille Perryset Caroline Kerr+5.1
4021-19TENNTENN×4KillKennedi Rogersset Caroline Kerr+7.4
4122-19TENNTENN×4BlockedKyndal Stowersblk Jalyn Stout, Jolene Oddo+5.9
4223-19TENNTENN×4AceEmma Frietchaced Megan Fitch+3.7
4323-20TENNTX A&M×6KillNatalie Ringset Margot Manning+1.1
4423-21TX A&MTX A&M×6Attack errKennedi Rogers+3.2
4523-22TX A&MTX A&M×6KillKyndal Stowersset Margot Manning+6.2
4623-23TX A&MTX A&M×6KillKaia Castleset Margot Manning+10.7
4723-24TX A&MTX A&M×6KillKyndal Stowersset Gabi Rodriguez+14.3
4823-25TX A&MTX A&M×6AceMargot Manningaced Raegan Burns+14.6

Score shown after each rally, Tennessee first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).