FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayWCC

0:3

HomePAC-12

Boise St. def. Saint Mary's (CA) 3–0

(25-18, 25-15, 26-24)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
STMARY	18	15	24	0
BOISE	25	25	26	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

BOISE above 50 · STMARY below

Biggest swing: 2.1% to Boise St. — set 3, STMARY 24-26 BOISE. Kill by Sydney Dreves. BOISE win probability 98% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

STMARY 17.6%82.4% BOISE

Saint Mary's (CA) wins

3-0

2.7%

3-1

5.7%

3-2

9.1%

Boise St. wins

3-0

34.1%

3-1

30.8%

3-2

17.5%

STMARY break %: 40.2% vs this opp
BOISE break %: 47.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Sydney DrevesKill+2.1%
Kill by Sydney Dreves
Set 3 · STMARY 24-26 BOISE · BOISE 98% → 100%
02
Antonie KelnárováKill+2.0%
Kill by Antonie Kelnárová (set by Caitlin Prior)
Set 1 · STMARY 14-15 BOISE · STMARY 14% → 16%
03
Antonie KelnárováAttack error+1.9%
Antonie Kelnárová stuffed by Reese Weinert & Azlynn Tittmann
Set 3 · STMARY 23-24 BOISE · BOISE 96% → 98%
04
Antonie KelnárováKill+1.9%
Kill by Antonie Kelnárová (set by Caitlin Prior)
Set 3 · STMARY 24-24 BOISE · STMARY 2% → 4%
05
Sydney DrevesKill+1.9%
Kill by Sydney Dreves (set by Melia Barlow)
Set 3 · STMARY 24-25 BOISE · BOISE 96% → 98%
06
Caroline FormankovaKill+1.9%
Kill by Caroline Formankova (set by Natalie Peete)
Set 3 · STMARY 23-23 BOISE · STMARY 2% → 4%
07
Antonie KelnárováAttack error+1.9%
Antonie Kelnárová stuffed by Amelia Hansen & Kendall Hastings
Set 1 · STMARY 14-17 BOISE · BOISE 85% → 87%
08
Antonie KelnárováKill+1.8%
Kill by Antonie Kelnárová (set by Sadie White)
Set 1 · STMARY 4-3 BOISE · STMARY 18% → 19%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Saint Mary's (CA)away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Antonie KelnárováOH	3	12	9	43	.070	2	0	3	9	0	2	1	13
11Anaya ThrowerMB	3	5	2	12	.250	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
4Makenzie JacksonOPP	3	5	2	14	.214	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	5
22Caitlin PriorS	3	0	0	3	.000	20	0	0	9	0	0	0	0
1Hadlee GrayOH	2	3	7	14	-.286	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	3
10Ava GalvanMB	1	3	1	5	.400	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
24Alayna PearsonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	3	1	10	1	0	0	3
9Layne DentOH	2	6	5	21	.048	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	6
7Caroline FormankovaOPP	2	3	2	7	.143	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
19Maddie WayMB	2	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
12Natalie PeeteL/DS	2	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	6	0	0	0	0
21Sadie WhiteS	2	0	0	0	–	13	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
6Mikayla HanerOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	1
Team totals		40	29	127	.087	39	3	4	52	4	6	3	57

Boise St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Azlynn TittmannOH	3	10	1	29	.310	0	0	1	4	0	0	2	1	11
7Amelia HansenOH	3	7	2	16	.313	1	0	0	4	0	1	6	4	11
15Sydney DrevesOH	3	8	0	23	.348	0	0	0	6	2	0	1	0.5	8.5
1Kendall HastingsMB	3	4	2	14	.143	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	3.5	7.5
8Tehya MaevaS	3	1	0	3	.333	20	2	1	8	0	0	0	0	3
10Savannah SheridanOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	6	1	0	0	0	1
4Reese WeinertMB	3	3	0	4	.750	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	5.5
23Giselle PaedonOH	3	4	2	16	.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
2Melia BarlowL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	4	1	1	11	0	0	0	0	1
11Jenelle LegatesS	3	0	0	0	–	7	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	0
21Sadie SnyderOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	7	108	.278	33	4	4	48	3	2	20	12	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 STMARY · BOISE 8

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 STMARYBOISE 5

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 2 STMARYBOISE 5

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 6 STMARYBOISE 8

Bars above the line = Boise St. leads, below = Saint Mary's (CA) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Saint Mary's (CA)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	35%6/17	25%2/8
2	55%6/11	33%3/9
3	50%6/12	60%9/15
4	40%6/15	14%1/7
5	60%6/10	25%2/8
6	50%5/10	45%5/11
All	47%35/75	38%22/58

Boise St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	57%8/14
2	43%6/14	63%10/16
3	86%6/7	50%6/12
4	67%6/9	60%9/15
5	55%6/11	45%5/11
6	83%5/6	29%2/7
All	62%36/58	53%40/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

133 rallies

Rally log

#	STMARY-BOISE	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	BOISE	BOISE	Attack err	Hadlee Gray		+1.5
2	1-1	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Caitlin Prior	+1.2
3	1-2	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Tehya Maeva	set Alayna Pearson	+1.1
4	1-3	BOISE	BOISE	Ace	BOISE server	aced Alayna Pearson	+1.4
5	2-3	BOISE	STMARY×3	Kill	Anaya Thrower	set Caitlin Prior	+1.1
6	3-3	STMARY	STMARY×3	Attack err	Kendall Hastings	blk Anaya Thrower, Antonie Kelnárová	+1.6
7	4-3	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+1.8
8	4-4	STMARY	BOISE×5	Kill	Sydney Dreves	set Tehya Maeva	+1.3
9	4-5	BOISE	BOISE×5	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová		+1.6
10	4-6	BOISE	BOISE×5	Attack err	Caroline Formankova	blk Amelia Hansen, Kendall Hastings	+1.5
11	4-7	BOISE	BOISE×5	Attack err	Caroline Formankova		+1.3
12	4-8	BOISE	BOISE×5	Kill	Amelia Hansen		+1.1
13	5-8	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Anaya Thrower	set Sadie White	+0.8
14	5-9	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Azlynn Tittmann	set Tehya Maeva	+0.9
15	6-9	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Hadlee Gray	set Sadie White	+0.9
16	7-9	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Azlynn Tittmann	blk Ava Galvan, Caroline Formankova	+1.4
17	7-10	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Azlynn Tittmann	set Tehya Maeva	+1.1
18	8-10	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Sadie White	+1.1
19	9-10	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Giselle Paedon		+1.7
20	9-11	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Reese Weinert	set Jenelle Legates	+1.4
21	9-12	BOISE	BOISE	Attack err	Ava Galvan		+1.5
22	10-12	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Caitlin Prior	+1.2
23	10-13	STMARY	BOISE×3	Kill	Sydney Dreves		+1.2
24	10-14	BOISE	BOISE×3	Kill	Sydney Dreves	set Savannah Sheridan	+1.3
25	10-15	BOISE	BOISE×3	Kill	Giselle Paedon	set Jenelle Legates	+1.0
26	11-15	BOISE	STMARY×4	Attack err	Kendall Hastings		+0.7
27	12-15	STMARY	STMARY×4	Ace	STMARY server	aced Savannah Sheridan	+1.2
28	13-15	STMARY	STMARY×4	Kill	Anaya Thrower	set Caitlin Prior	+1.6
29	14-15	STMARY	STMARY×4	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+2.0
30	14-16	STMARY	BOISE×3	Serve err	STMARY server		+1.7
31	14-17	BOISE	BOISE×3	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Amelia Hansen, Kendall Hastings	+1.9
32	14-18	BOISE	BOISE×3	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Amelia Hansen, Kendall Hastings	+1.5
33	15-18	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Antonie Kelnárová	+0.9
34	15-19	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Amelia Hansen	set Tehya Maeva	+1.1
35	16-19	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+0.9
36	16-20	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Amelia Hansen	set Tehya Maeva	+1.2
37	17-20	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Hadlee Gray	set Sadie White	+0.9
38	17-21	STMARY	BOISE×3	Kill	Amelia Hansen	set Tehya Maeva	+1.2
39	17-22	BOISE	BOISE×3	Bad set	Caroline Formankova		+0.9
40	17-23	BOISE	BOISE×3	Attack err	Hadlee Gray		+0.4
41	18-23	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Caroline Formankova	set Sadie White	+0.1
42	18-24	STMARY	BOISE	Attack err	Hadlee Gray	blk Azlynn Tittmann, Reese Weinert	+0.2
43	18-25	BOISE	BOISE	Bad set	Caitlin Prior		+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	STMARY	BOISE×3	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová		+0.8
2	0-2	BOISE	BOISE×3	Attack err	Hadlee Gray		+1.0
3	0-3	BOISE	BOISE×3	Attack err	Hadlee Gray	blk Kendall Hastings, Amelia Hansen	+0.9
4	1-3	BOISE	STMARY	Serve err	BOISE server		+0.7
5	1-4	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Sydney Dreves	set Tehya Maeva	+0.7
6	1-5	BOISE	BOISE	Attack err	Layne Dent		+0.8
7	2-5	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.6
8	2-6	STMARY	BOISE	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Kendall Hastings	+0.6
9	2-7	BOISE	BOISE	Attack err	Makenzie Jackson	blk Amelia Hansen, Reese Weinert	+0.7
10	3-7	BOISE	STMARY	Serve err	BOISE server		+0.5
11	4-7	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+0.8
12	4-8	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Azlynn Tittmann	set Tehya Maeva	+0.6
13	5-8	BOISE	STMARY	Serve err	BOISE server		+0.6
14	5-9	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Giselle Paedon	set Jenelle Legates	+0.7
15	6-9	BOISE	STMARY	Serve err	BOISE server		+0.6
16	6-10	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Reese Weinert	set Jenelle Legates	+0.7
17	7-10	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.6
18	8-10	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Hadlee Gray	set Sadie White	+1.0
19	8-11	STMARY	BOISE×5	Kill	Sydney Dreves	set Melia Barlow	+0.8
20	8-12	BOISE	BOISE×5	Ace	BOISE server	aced Team	+0.9
21	8-13	BOISE	BOISE×5	Kill	Kendall Hastings	set Tehya Maeva	+0.7
22	8-14	BOISE	BOISE×5	Attack err	Hadlee Gray	blk Amelia Hansen, Kendall Hastings	+0.6
23	8-15	BOISE	BOISE×5	Attack err	Hadlee Gray		+0.4
24	9-15	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Anaya Thrower	set Sadie White	+0.2
25	9-16	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Sydney Dreves	set Tehya Maeva	+0.3
26	10-16	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.2
27	11-16	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+0.4
28	11-17	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Kendall Hastings	set Tehya Maeva	+0.4
29	12-17	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Maddie Way	set Caitlin Prior	+0.3
30	12-18	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Amelia Hansen	set Tehya Maeva	+0.4
31	12-19	BOISE	BOISE	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová		+0.3
32	13-19	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+0.2
33	13-20	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Giselle Paedon	set Jenelle Legates	+0.2
34	14-20	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+0.1
35	14-21	STMARY	BOISE×4	Kill	Reese Weinert	set Jenelle Legates	+0.2
36	14-22	BOISE	BOISE×4	Attack err	Layne Dent		+0.1
37	14-23	BOISE	BOISE×4	Ace	BOISE server	aced Hadlee Gray	+0.0
38	14-24	BOISE	BOISE×4	Attack err	Anaya Thrower		+0.0
39	15-24	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+0.0
40	15-25	STMARY	BOISE	Serve err	STMARY server		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	BOISE	BOISE	Attack err	Anaya Thrower		+0.5
2	1-1	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Anaya Thrower	set Caitlin Prior	+0.4
3	1-2	STMARY	BOISE	Serve err	STMARY server		+0.4
4	2-2	BOISE	STMARY×6	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+0.5
5	3-2	STMARY	STMARY×6	Attack err	Amelia Hansen		+0.6
6	4-2	STMARY	STMARY×6	Ace	STMARY server	aced Sydney Dreves	+0.7
7	5-2	STMARY	STMARY×6	Ace	STMARY server	aced Sydney Dreves	+0.7
8	6-2	STMARY	STMARY×6	Attack err	Amelia Hansen		+0.8
9	7-2	STMARY	STMARY×6	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Alayna Pearson	+0.7
10	7-3	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Kendall Hastings	set Tehya Maeva	+0.5
11	7-4	BOISE	BOISE	Kill	Amelia Hansen	set Tehya Maeva	+0.7
12	8-4	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Maddie Way	set Caitlin Prior	+0.6
13	8-5	STMARY	BOISE×8	Kill	Azlynn Tittmann	set Amelia Hansen	+0.5
14	8-6	BOISE	BOISE×8	Kill	Amelia Hansen	set Melia Barlow	+0.7
15	8-7	BOISE	BOISE×8	Kill	Azlynn Tittmann	set Melia Barlow	+0.7
16	8-8	BOISE	BOISE×8	Attack err	Layne Dent		+0.7
17	8-9	BOISE	BOISE×8	Kill	Azlynn Tittmann	set Tehya Maeva	+0.7
18	8-10	BOISE	BOISE×8	Kill	Azlynn Tittmann	set Tehya Maeva	+0.6
19	8-11	BOISE	BOISE×8	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová		+0.5
20	8-12	BOISE	BOISE×8	Ace	BOISE server	aced Layne Dent	+0.5
21	9-12	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+0.3
22	10-12	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+0.5
23	10-13	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Azlynn Tittmann	set Tehya Maeva	+0.4
24	10-14	BOISE	BOISE	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Giselle Paedon, Reese Weinert	+0.5
25	11-14	BOISE	STMARY×3	Kill	Mikayla Haner	set Makenzie Jackson	+0.3
26	12-14	STMARY	STMARY×3	Bad set	Jenelle Legates		+0.6
27	13-14	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+0.7
28	13-15	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Giselle Paedon	set Jenelle Legates	+0.6
29	14-15	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+0.6
30	15-15	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Giselle Paedon	blk Antonie Kelnárová, Anaya Thrower	+0.9
31	15-16	STMARY	BOISE	Attack err	Makenzie Jackson	blk Sydney Dreves, Reese Weinert	+0.7
32	16-16	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+0.8
33	16-17	STMARY	BOISE	Serve err	STMARY server		+0.8
34	16-18	BOISE	BOISE	Attack err	Layne Dent	blk Amelia Hansen	+0.9
35	17-18	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Antonie Kelnárová	+0.7
36	18-18	STMARY	STMARY	Bad set	Tehya Maeva		+1.1
37	18-19	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Kendall Hastings	set Tehya Maeva	+0.9
38	19-19	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+0.9
39	19-20	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Azlynn Tittmann	set Tehya Maeva	+1.0
40	19-21	BOISE	BOISE	Attack err	Layne Dent		+1.1
41	20-21	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+0.8
42	20-22	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Azlynn Tittmann	set Tehya Maeva	+1.0
43	20-23	BOISE	BOISE	Attack err	Maddie Way		+0.9
44	21-23	BOISE	STMARY×3	Bad set	Jenelle Legates		+0.4
45	22-23	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Caroline Formankova	set Mikayla Haner	+1.1
46	23-23	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Caroline Formankova	set Natalie Peete	+1.9
47	23-24	STMARY	BOISE	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Reese Weinert, Azlynn Tittmann	+1.9
48	24-24	BOISE	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+1.9
49	24-25	STMARY	BOISE	Kill	Sydney Dreves	set Melia Barlow	+1.9
50	24-26	BOISE	BOISE	Kill	Sydney Dreves		+2.1

Score shown after each rally, Saint Mary's (CA) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.