Final · 5 setsTue, Sep 15, 2026

AwayBIG-WEST

3:2

HomeWCC

CSU Bakersfield def. Saint Mary's (CA) 3–2

(18-25, 25-18, 23-25, 25-21, 15-9)

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
CSUBAK	18	25	23	25	15	3
STMARY	25	18	25	21	9	2

RallyIQ model

Win probability

STMARY above 50 · CSUBAK below

Biggest swing: 9.3% to Saint Mary's (CA) — set 3, CSUBAK 22-24 STMARY. Kill by Antonie Kelnárová (set by Caitlin Prior). STMARY win probability 66% → 75%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CSUBAK 37.5%62.5% STMARY

CSU Bakersfield wins

3-0

7.9%

3-1

13.6%

3-2

16.0%

Saint Mary's (CA) wins

3-0

18.5%

3-1

23.9%

3-2

20.0%

CSUBAK break %: 41.3% vs this opp
STMARY break %: 43.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Antonie KelnárováKill+9.3%
Kill by Antonie Kelnárová (set by Caitlin Prior)
Set 3 · CSUBAK 22-24 STMARY · STMARY 66% → 75%
02
Suelen LimaKill+9.3%
Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Samantha Capinpin)
Set 5 · CSUBAK 5-2 STMARY · CSUBAK 63% → 72%
03
Suelen LimaKill+9.0%
Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Samantha Capinpin)
Set 5 · CSUBAK 2-0 STMARY · CSUBAK 52% → 61%
04
CSUBAK serverService error+8.9%
CSU Bakersfield service error
Set 3 · CSUBAK 23-25 STMARY · STMARY 72% → 81%
05
Antonie KelnárováAttack error+8.4%
Antonie Kelnárová stuffed by Defne Yanik
Set 3 · CSUBAK 22-22 STMARY · CSUBAK 33% → 41%
06
Suelen LimaKill+8.4%
Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Samantha Capinpin)
Set 5 · CSUBAK 6-2 STMARY · CSUBAK 72% → 80%
07
Maddie WayKill+7.5%
Kill by Maddie Way (set by Caitlin Prior)
Set 3 · CSUBAK 22-23 STMARY · STMARY 59% → 66%
08
Leylah DuranKill+7.2%
Kill by Leylah Duran (set by Samantha Capinpin)
Set 5 · CSUBAK 4-2 STMARY · CSUBAK 56% → 63%

Official NCAA box

Box score

CSU Bakersfieldaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Suelen LimaOH	5	19	3	51	.314	3	0	0	14	1	0	0	0	19
19Leylah DuranMB	5	7	0	17	.412	0	1	2	2	0	3	1	3.5	11.5
6Anna BacchinOH	5	8	6	31	.065	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	2.5	10.5
20Jordyn Waite-WardMB	5	9	4	21	.238	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	10.5
14Defne YanikMB	5	3	0	8	.375	0	0	0	4	0	5	2	6	9
10Ella PallagiS	2	1	0	2	.500	7	0	2	5	0	1	0	1	2
5Analiese GaglianoL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	2	2	7	0	0	0	0	2
1Luiza Da CruzS	5	0	0	0	–	5	0	2	19	2	0	0	0	0
15Samantha CapinpinS	4	3	0	8	.375	31	0	3	7	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
3Ana Franca BenjaminOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	2	1	3	0	0	0	0	2
11Boden LiljedahlL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	11	0	0	0	0	1
2Torrin HigginbothamOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		50	13	139	.266	46	6	12	74	9	12	6	15	106

Saint Mary's (CA)home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Antonie KelnárováOH	5	20	8	59	.203	2	6	5	17	2	1	0.5	26.5
10Ava GalvanMB	5	9	3	18	.333	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	9.5
4Makenzie JacksonOPP	5	8	1	20	.350	1	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	8.5
6Mikayla HanerOH	5	1	2	6	-.167	2	1	2	5	0	0	0	2
22Caitlin PriorS	5	0	1	3	-.333	46	0	6	9	0	1	0.5	0.5
19Maddie WayMB	3	5	4	15	.067	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
9Layne DentOH	5	16	7	43	.209	0	0	0	7	1	1	0.5	16.5
13Lainey DayMB	5	3	2	10	.100	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
24Alayna PearsonL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	4	2	3	14	0	0	0	2
12Natalie PeeteL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	0
1Hadlee GrayOH	2	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1
21Sadie WhiteS	2	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
7Caroline FormankovaOPP	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		63	28	178	.197	59	9	20	69	6	8	4	98

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 CSUBAK · STMARY 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 CSUBAKSTMARY 5

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 CSUBAKSTMARY 3

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 6 CSUBAKSTMARY 5

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 4 CSUBAKSTMARY 4

Set 5

15-9

Longest run 5 CSUBAKSTMARY 2

Bars above the line = Saint Mary's (CA) leads, below = CSU Bakersfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

CSU Bakersfield

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	55%12/22	27%4/15
2	58%11/19	50%11/22
3	71%10/14	17%2/12
4	53%9/17	59%13/22
5	64%9/14	31%4/13
6	69%9/13	57%12/21
All	61%60/99	44%46/105

Saint Mary's (CA)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%13/26	29%5/17
2	77%10/13	58%15/26
3	50%9/18	9%1/11
4	64%9/14	36%5/14
5	50%9/18	55%11/20
6	56%9/16	18%2/11
All	56%59/105	39%39/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

204 rallies

Rally log

#	CSUBAK-STMARY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+1.7
2	1-1	STMARY	CSUBAK	Attack err	Layne Dent		+1.8
3	1-2	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+1.7
4	2-2	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Ella Pallagi	+1.8
5	2-3	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Caitlin Prior	+1.8
6	2-4	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Caitlin Prior	+2.4
7	3-4	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Ella Pallagi	+1.7
8	3-5	CSUBAK	STMARY×4	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Caitlin Prior	+1.8
9	3-6	STMARY	STMARY×4	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Alayna Pearson	+2.2
10	3-7	STMARY	STMARY×4	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+2.0
11	3-8	STMARY	STMARY×4	Ace	STMARY server	aced Team	+1.8
12	4-8	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Ella Pallagi	set Luiza Da Cruz	+1.1
13	4-9	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Caitlin Prior	+1.3
14	5-9	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Ella Pallagi	+1.1
15	6-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová		+1.9
16	6-10	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+1.6
17	6-11	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		+1.8
18	7-11	STMARY	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Maddie Way	blk Leylah Duran, Anna Bacchin	+1.1
19	8-11	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Bad set	Caitlin Prior		+1.9
20	9-11	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Anna Bacchin	+2.3
21	9-12	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+1.9
22	10-12	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Ella Pallagi	+1.8
23	11-12	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Ella Pallagi	+2.8
24	11-13	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+2.2
25	11-14	STMARY	STMARY	Bad set	Luiza Da Cruz		+2.8
26	12-14	STMARY	CSUBAK	Attack err	Layne Dent		+1.9
27	12-15	CSUBAK	STMARY	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+2.1
28	12-16	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Alayna Pearson	+2.4
29	13-16	STMARY	CSUBAK	Attack err	Lainey Day		+1.5
30	14-16	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Layne Dent	blk Ella Pallagi	+2.6
31	14-17	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+2.3
32	15-17	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	STMARY server		+2.0
33	16-17	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Ava Galvan		+3.4
34	16-18	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+2.8
35	16-19	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+3.4
36	17-19	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Ella Pallagi	+2.0
37	17-20	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+2.6
38	18-20	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Ella Pallagi	+2.0
39	18-21	CSUBAK	STMARY×5	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+2.7
40	18-22	STMARY	STMARY×5	Kill	Layne Dent	set Ella Pallagi	+2.6
41	18-23	STMARY	STMARY×5	Ace	STMARY server	aced Team	+1.4
42	18-24	STMARY	STMARY×5	Attack err	Anna Bacchin	blk Maddie Way, Layne Dent	+0.5
43	18-25	STMARY	STMARY×5	Ace	STMARY server	aced Team	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	STMARY	CSUBAK×4	Serve err	STMARY server		+1.6
2	2-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Attack err	Maddie Way		+2.2
3	3-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.2
4	4-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.1
5	4-1	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+1.4
6	5-1	STMARY	CSUBAK	Attack err	Maddie Way		+1.6
7	5-2	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Caitlin Prior	+1.4
8	6-2	STMARY	CSUBAK	Attack err	Layne Dent		+1.6
9	7-2	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Caitlin Prior	blk Leylah Duran	+2.0
10	7-3	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+1.3
11	7-4	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+2.0
12	8-4	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Samantha Capinpin	set Suelen Lima	+1.7
13	8-5	CSUBAK	STMARY×3	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+1.5
14	8-6	STMARY	STMARY×3	Ace	STMARY server	aced Suelen Lima	+2.2
15	8-7	STMARY	STMARY×3	Ace	STMARY server	aced Team	+2.4
16	9-7	STMARY	CSUBAK×3	Serve err	STMARY server		+1.9
17	10-7	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Samantha Capinpin, Defne Yanik	+2.6
18	11-7	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová		+2.4
19	11-8	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Alayna Pearson	+1.5
20	12-8	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	STMARY server		+1.8
21	13-8	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Mikayla Haner	blk Defne Yanik	+2.2
22	13-9	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Maddie Way	set Caitlin Prior	+1.3
23	14-9	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	STMARY server		+1.6
24	14-10	CSUBAK	STMARY×3	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+1.3
25	14-11	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+2.1
26	14-12	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Layne Dent	set Antonie Kelnárová	+2.5
27	15-12	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.2
28	16-12	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran		+2.7
29	16-13	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+1.6
30	17-13	STMARY	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.0
31	18-13	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Ace	CSUBAK server	aced Layne Dent	+2.2
32	19-13	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Attack err	Ava Galvan	blk Leylah Duran	+1.6
33	20-13	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Ace	CSUBAK server	aced Team	+1.0
34	20-14	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+0.4
35	21-14	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.7
36	21-15	CSUBAK	STMARY	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		+0.3
37	21-16	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		+0.7
38	22-16	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.9
39	22-17	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+0.4
40	23-17	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.7
41	23-18	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+0.3
42	24-18	STMARY	CSUBAK	Attack err	Makenzie Jackson	blk Jordyn Waite-Ward, Defne Yanik	+0.5
43	25-18	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Ace	CSUBAK server	aced Antonie Kelnárová	+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Maddie Way		+3.3
2	1-1	CSUBAK	STMARY×4	Kill	Maddie Way	set Caitlin Prior	+2.4
3	1-2	STMARY	STMARY×4	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+3.2
4	1-3	STMARY	STMARY×4	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Mikayla Haner	+3.1
5	1-4	STMARY	STMARY×4	Kill	Maddie Way	set Caitlin Prior	+2.9
6	2-4	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	STMARY server		+2.1
7	2-5	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Maddie Way	set Caitlin Prior	+2.2
8	3-5	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	STMARY server		+2.1
9	3-6	CSUBAK	STMARY×3	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+2.2
10	3-7	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Ava Galvan		+2.8
11	3-8	STMARY	STMARY×3	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+2.4
12	4-8	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	STMARY server		+1.5
13	4-9	CSUBAK	STMARY×5	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+1.8
14	4-10	STMARY	STMARY×5	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+2.0
15	4-11	STMARY	STMARY×5	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+1.6
16	4-12	STMARY	STMARY×5	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+1.2
17	4-13	STMARY	STMARY×5	Kill	Mikayla Haner	set Caitlin Prior	+0.8
18	5-13	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	STMARY server		+0.4
19	5-14	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+0.6
20	6-14	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.4
21	6-15	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+0.5
22	6-16	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová		+0.4
23	7-16	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	STMARY server		+0.2
24	7-17	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+0.3
25	7-18	STMARY	STMARY	Ace	STMARY server	aced Team	+0.2
26	8-18	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	STMARY server		+0.1
27	8-19	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+0.1
28	9-19	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.1
29	9-20	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Alayna Pearson	+0.1
30	10-20	STMARY	CSUBAK×4	Serve err	STMARY server		+0.0
31	11-20	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Samantha Capinpin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.1
32	12-20	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.2
33	13-20	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Ace	CSUBAK server	aced Team	+0.3
34	13-21	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Caitlin Prior	+0.4
35	14-21	STMARY	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.2
36	15-21	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.4
37	16-21	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Samantha Capinpin	set Caitlin Prior	+0.8
38	16-22	CSUBAK	STMARY	Attack err	Anna Bacchin	blk Ava Galvan, Caitlin Prior	+1.0
39	17-22	STMARY	CSUBAK×6	Serve err	STMARY server		+0.4
40	18-22	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.1
41	19-22	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Suelen Lima	+2.0
42	20-22	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Defne Yanik	+3.5
43	21-22	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Attack err	Mikayla Haner		+5.7
44	22-22	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Defne Yanik	+8.4
45	22-23	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Maddie Way	set Caitlin Prior	+7.5
46	22-24	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+9.3
47	23-24	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	STMARY server		+3.9
48	23-25	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+8.9
Set 4
1	0-1	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Lainey Day	set Caitlin Prior	+2.8
2	1-1	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	STMARY server		+2.1
3	2-1	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Ace	CSUBAK server	aced Team	+3.0
4	2-2	CSUBAK	STMARY×4	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+2.2
5	2-3	STMARY	STMARY×4	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+3.0
6	2-4	STMARY	STMARY×4	Ace	STMARY server	aced Luiza Da Cruz	+2.9
7	2-5	STMARY	STMARY×4	Ace	STMARY server	aced Team	+2.7
8	3-5	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.9
9	3-6	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+2.0
10	4-6	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.9
11	4-7	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+2.1
12	5-7	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.0
13	5-8	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Antonie Kelnárová	+2.1
14	5-9	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		+2.6
15	6-9	STMARY	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.7
16	7-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Ace	CSUBAK server	aced Antonie Kelnárová	+2.7
17	8-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Attack err	Ava Galvan		+3.2
18	9-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Anna Bacchin	+3.5
19	9-10	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Caitlin Prior	+2.7
20	10-10	STMARY	CSUBAK	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Defne Yanik	+2.7
21	10-11	CSUBAK	STMARY	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward	blk Lainey Day, Antonie Kelnárová	+2.7
22	11-11	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	STMARY server		+2.8
23	12-11	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Lainey Day		+4.0
24	12-12	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Makenzie Jackson	+2.9
25	12-13	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+4.0
26	13-13	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.0
27	13-14	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent		+3.1
28	14-14	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.1
29	15-14	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+4.6
30	15-15	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+3.3
31	16-15	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	STMARY server		+3.6
32	17-15	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+4.9
33	17-16	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+3.3
34	18-16	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.9
35	18-17	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+3.4
36	19-17	STMARY	CSUBAK	Attack err	Layne Dent	blk Defne Yanik	+4.2
37	19-18	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+3.6
38	20-18	STMARY	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Samantha Capinpin	+4.5
39	21-18	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Samantha Capinpin	+5.3
40	22-18	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+4.0
41	23-18	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.4
42	23-19	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+0.7
43	23-20	STMARY	STMARY	Ace	STMARY server	aced Luiza Da Cruz	+1.8
44	24-20	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	STMARY server		+2.6
45	24-21	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+0.8
46	25-21	STMARY	CSUBAK	Attack err	Layne Dent	blk Jordyn Waite-Ward	+2.9
Set 5
1	1-0	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Suelen Lima	+6.5
2	2-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+9.0
3	2-1	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Lainey Day	set Caitlin Prior	+6.1
4	3-1	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+6.9
5	3-2	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+6.3
6	4-2	STMARY	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+7.2
7	5-2	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+9.3
8	6-2	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+8.4
9	7-2	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+6.9
10	8-2	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Attack err	Layne Dent	blk Leylah Duran	+5.3
11	8-3	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Sadie White	+2.5
12	9-3	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.8
13	9-4	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Hadlee Gray	set Sadie White	+2.3
14	10-4	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	STMARY server		+3.5
15	11-4	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.8
16	11-5	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Mikayla Haner	+1.0
17	11-6	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Lainey Day	set Caitlin Prior	+2.2
18	12-6	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	STMARY server		+2.9
19	12-7	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+1.2
20	12-8	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward	blk Makenzie Jackson, Lainey Day	+3.0
21	13-8	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Samantha Capinpin	+4.0
22	13-9	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSUBAK server		+1.5
23	14-9	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.1
24	15-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima		+1.1

Score shown after each rally, CSU Bakersfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.