CSU Bakersfield def. Saint Mary's (CA) 3-2 (Sep 15)

Final · 5 setsTue, Sep 15, 2026

3:2

CSU Bakersfield won at Saint Mary's (CA) 3-2 (18-25, 25-18, 23-25, 25-21, 15-9) on Tue, Sep 15, 2026. Suelen Lima led CSU Bakersfield with 19 kills; Saint Mary's (CA)'s Antonie Kelnárová had a match-high 20.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Sep 15

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
CSUBAK	18	25	23	25	15	3
STMARY	25	18	25	21	9	2

Win probability

Saint Mary's (CA) above 50 · CSU Bakersfield below

Biggest swing: 10.1% to CSU Bakersfield — set 5, CSUBAK 5-2 STMARY. Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Samantha Capinpin). STMARY win probability 45% → 35%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CSUBAK 20.7%79.3% STMARY

CSU Bakersfield wins

3-0

3.4%

3-1

6.9%

3-2

10.4%

Saint Mary's (CA) wins

3-0

30.8%

3-1

30.0%

3-2

18.4%

CSUBAK break %: 39.8% vs this opp
STMARY break %: 46.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Suelen LimaKill+10.1%
Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Samantha Capinpin)
Set 5 · CSUBAK 5-2 STMARY · CSUBAK 55% → 65%
02
Suelen LimaKill+9.5%
Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Samantha Capinpin)
Set 5 · CSUBAK 6-2 STMARY · CSUBAK 65% → 75%
03
Suelen LimaKill+9.2%
Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Samantha Capinpin)
Set 5 · CSUBAK 2-0 STMARY · CSUBAK 44% → 53%
04
Suelen LimaKill+8.3%
Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Samantha Capinpin)
Set 5 · CSUBAK 7-2 STMARY · CSUBAK 75% → 83%
05
Antonie KelnárováKill+7.7%
Kill by Antonie Kelnárová (set by Caitlin Prior)
Set 3 · CSUBAK 22-24 STMARY · STMARY 76% → 84%
06
Leylah DuranKill+7.6%
Kill by Leylah Duran (set by Samantha Capinpin)
Set 5 · CSUBAK 4-2 STMARY · CSUBAK 47% → 55%
07
Defne YanikBlock+7.4%
Antonie Kelnárová stuffed by Defne Yanik
Set 3 · CSUBAK 22-22 STMARY · CSUBAK 23% → 30%
08
Suelen LimaKill+7.3%
Kill by Suelen Lima (set by Luiza Da Cruz)
Set 5 · CSUBAK 3-1 STMARY · CSUBAK 47% → 54%

Box score

Official NCAA box

CSU Bakersfieldaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Suelen LimaOH	5	19	3	51	.314	3	0	0	14	1	0	0	0	19
19Leylah DuranMB	5	7	0	17	.412	0	1	2	2	0	3	1	3.5	11.5
6Anna BacchinOH	5	8	6	31	.065	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	2.5	10.5
20Jordyn Waite-WardMB	5	9	4	21	.238	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	10.5
14Defne YanikMB	5	3	0	8	.375	0	0	0	4	0	5	2	6	9
10Ella PallagiS	2	1	0	2	.500	7	0	2	5	0	1	0	1	2
5Analiese GaglianoL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	2	2	7	0	0	0	0	2
1Luiza Da CruzS	5	0	0	0	–	5	0	2	19	2	0	0	0	0
15Samantha CapinpinS	4	3	0	8	.375	31	0	3	7	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
3Ana Franca BenjaminOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	2	1	3	0	0	0	0	2
11Boden LiljedahlL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	11	0	0	0	0	1
2Torrin HigginbothamOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		50	13	139	.266	46	6	12	74	9	12	6	15	106

Saint Mary's (CA)home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Antonie KelnárováOH	5	20	8	59	.203	2	6	5	17	2	1	0.5	26.5
10Ava GalvanMB	5	9	3	18	.333	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	9.5
4Makenzie JacksonOPP	5	8	1	20	.350	1	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	8.5
6Mikayla HanerOH	5	1	2	6	-.167	2	1	2	5	0	0	0	2
22Caitlin PriorS	5	0	1	3	-.333	46	0	6	9	0	1	0.5	0.5
19Maddie WayMB	3	5	4	15	.067	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
9Layne DentOH	5	16	7	43	.209	0	0	0	7	1	1	0.5	16.5
13Lainey DayMB	5	3	2	10	.100	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
24Alayna PearsonL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	4	2	3	14	0	0	0	2
12Natalie PeeteL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	0
1Hadlee GrayOH	2	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1
21Sadie WhiteS	2	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
7Caroline FormankovaOPP	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		63	28	178	.197	59	9	20	69	6	8	4	98

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CSUBAK · STMARY 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 CSUBAKSTMARY 5

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 CSUBAKSTMARY 3

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 6 CSUBAKSTMARY 5

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 4 CSUBAKSTMARY 4

Set 5

15-9

Longest run 5 CSUBAKSTMARY 2

Bars above the line = Saint Mary's (CA) leads, below = CSU Bakersfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

CSU Bakersfield

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	55%12/22	27%4/15
2	58%11/19	50%11/22
3	71%10/14	17%2/12
4	53%9/17	59%13/22
5	64%9/14	31%4/13
6	69%9/13	57%12/21
All	61%60/99	44%46/105

Saint Mary's (CA)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%13/26	29%5/17
2	77%10/13	58%15/26
3	50%9/18	9%1/11
4	64%9/14	36%5/14
5	50%9/18	55%11/20
6	56%9/16	18%2/11
All	56%59/105	39%39/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

204 rallies

#	CSUBAK-STMARY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.2
2	1-1	STMARY	CSUBAK	Attack err	Layne Dent		+1.3
3	1-2	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+1.3
4	2-2	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Ella Pallagi	+1.4
5	2-3	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Caitlin Prior	+1.3
6	2-4	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Caitlin Prior	+1.6
7	3-4	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Ella Pallagi	+1.3
8	3-5	CSUBAK	STMARY×4	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Caitlin Prior	+1.2
9	3-6	STMARY	STMARY×4	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Alayna Pearson	+1.5
10	3-7	STMARY	STMARY×4	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+1.3
11	3-8	STMARY	STMARY×4	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)		+1.1
12	4-8	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Ella Pallagi	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.7
13	4-9	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Caitlin Prior	+0.8
14	5-9	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Ella Pallagi	+0.7
15	6-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová		+1.2
16	6-10	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+1.0
17	6-11	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		+1.1
18	7-11	STMARY	CSUBAK×3	Blocked	Maddie Way	blk Leylah Duran, Anna Bacchin	+0.7
19	8-11	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Bad set	Caitlin Prior		+1.3
20	9-11	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Blocked	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Anna Bacchin	+1.6
21	9-12	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.3
22	10-12	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Ella Pallagi	+1.3
23	11-12	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Ella Pallagi	+2.1
24	11-13	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.6
25	11-14	STMARY	STMARY	Bad set	Luiza Da Cruz		+1.9
26	12-14	STMARY	CSUBAK	Attack err	Layne Dent		+1.3
27	12-15	CSUBAK	STMARY	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+1.5
28	12-16	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Alayna Pearson	+1.6
29	13-16	STMARY	CSUBAK	Attack err	Lainey Day		+1.0
30	14-16	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Blocked	Layne Dent	blk Ella Pallagi	+1.8
31	14-17	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.6
32	15-17	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+1.4
33	16-17	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Ava Galvan		+2.5
34	16-18	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+2.1
35	16-19	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+2.3
36	17-19	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Ella Pallagi	+1.5
37	17-20	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+1.8
38	18-20	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Ella Pallagi	+1.5
39	18-21	CSUBAK	STMARY×5	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+1.9
40	18-22	STMARY	STMARY×5	Kill	Layne Dent	set Ella Pallagi	+1.7
41	18-23	STMARY	STMARY×5	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.9
42	18-24	STMARY	STMARY×5	Blocked	Anna Bacchin	blk Maddie Way, Layne Dent	+0.3
43	18-25	STMARY	STMARY×5	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	STMARY	CSUBAK×4	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+1.1
2	2-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Attack err	Maddie Way		+1.5
3	3-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.6
4	4-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.6
5	4-1	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+1.0
6	5-1	STMARY	CSUBAK	Attack err	Maddie Way		+1.3
7	5-2	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Caitlin Prior	+1.1
8	6-2	STMARY	CSUBAK	Attack err	Layne Dent		+1.3
9	7-2	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Blocked	Caitlin Prior	blk Leylah Duran	+1.6
10	7-3	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+1.0
11	7-4	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+1.5
12	8-4	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Samantha Capinpin	set Suelen Lima	+1.3
13	8-5	CSUBAK	STMARY×3	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+1.1
14	8-6	STMARY	STMARY×3	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)	aced Suelen Lima	+1.6
15	8-7	STMARY	STMARY×3	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)		+1.7
16	9-7	STMARY	CSUBAK×3	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+1.4
17	10-7	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Blocked	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Samantha Capinpin, Defne Yanik	+1.9
18	11-7	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová		+1.9
19	11-8	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Alayna Pearson	+1.2
20	12-8	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+1.5
21	13-8	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Blocked	Mikayla Haner	blk Defne Yanik	+1.8
22	13-9	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Maddie Way	set Caitlin Prior	+1.0
23	14-9	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+1.4
24	14-10	CSUBAK	STMARY×3	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+1.0
25	14-11	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+1.7
26	14-12	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Layne Dent	set Antonie Kelnárová	+1.9
27	15-12	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.7
28	16-12	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran		+2.1
29	16-13	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.2
30	17-13	STMARY	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.7
31	18-13	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Ace	CSU Bakersfield	aced Layne Dent	+1.9
32	19-13	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Blocked	Ava Galvan	blk Leylah Duran	+1.4
33	20-13	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Ace	CSU Bakersfield		+1.0
34	20-14	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+0.4
35	21-14	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.7
36	21-15	CSUBAK	STMARY	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		+0.3
37	21-16	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		+0.6
38	22-16	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.9
39	22-17	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+0.4
40	23-17	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.7
41	23-18	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.2
42	24-18	STMARY	CSUBAK	Blocked	Makenzie Jackson	blk Jordyn Waite-Ward, Defne Yanik	+0.5
43	25-18	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Ace	CSU Bakersfield	aced Antonie Kelnárová	+0.2
Set 3
1	1-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Maddie Way		+2.8
2	1-1	CSUBAK	STMARY×4	Kill	Maddie Way	set Caitlin Prior	+2.0
3	1-2	STMARY	STMARY×4	Attack err	Jordyn Waite-Ward		+2.6
4	1-3	STMARY	STMARY×4	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Mikayla Haner	+2.4
5	1-4	STMARY	STMARY×4	Kill	Maddie Way	set Caitlin Prior	+2.2
6	2-4	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+1.6
7	2-5	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Maddie Way	set Caitlin Prior	+1.6
8	3-5	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+1.7
9	3-6	CSUBAK	STMARY×3	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+1.7
10	3-7	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Ava Galvan		+2.0
11	3-8	STMARY	STMARY×3	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+1.6
12	4-8	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+1.1
13	4-9	CSUBAK	STMARY×5	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+1.2
14	4-10	STMARY	STMARY×5	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+1.3
15	4-11	STMARY	STMARY×5	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+1.0
16	4-12	STMARY	STMARY×5	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+0.7
17	4-13	STMARY	STMARY×5	Kill	Mikayla Haner	set Caitlin Prior	+0.5
18	5-13	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.3
19	5-14	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+0.3
20	6-14	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.2
21	6-15	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.3
22	6-16	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová		+0.3
23	7-16	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.1
24	7-17	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+0.2
25	7-18	STMARY	STMARY	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.1
26	8-18	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		·
27	8-19	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+0.1
28	9-19	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	·
29	9-20	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Alayna Pearson	+0.1
30	10-20	STMARY	CSUBAK×4	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		·
31	11-20	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Samantha Capinpin	set Luiza Da Cruz	+0.1
32	12-20	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.1
33	13-20	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Ace	CSU Bakersfield		+0.2
34	13-21	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Caitlin Prior	+0.3
35	14-21	STMARY	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.1
36	15-21	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.3
37	16-21	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×3	Kill	Samantha Capinpin	set Caitlin Prior	+0.6
38	16-22	CSUBAK	STMARY	Blocked	Anna Bacchin	blk Ava Galvan, Caitlin Prior	+0.7
39	17-22	STMARY	CSUBAK×6	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.3
40	18-22	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+0.8
41	19-22	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Suelen Lima	+1.6
42	20-22	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Blocked	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Defne Yanik	+2.8
43	21-22	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Attack err	Mikayla Haner		+4.8
44	22-22	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×6	Blocked	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Defne Yanik	+7.4
45	22-23	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Maddie Way	set Caitlin Prior	+6.6
46	22-24	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+7.7
47	23-24	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+3.3
48	23-25	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+7.2
Set 4
1	0-1	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Lainey Day	set Caitlin Prior	+2.0
2	1-1	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+1.6
3	2-1	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Ace	CSU Bakersfield		+2.3
4	2-2	CSUBAK	STMARY×4	Attack err	Suelen Lima		+1.7
5	2-3	STMARY	STMARY×4	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+2.1
6	2-4	STMARY	STMARY×4	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)	aced Luiza Da Cruz	+2.0
7	2-5	STMARY	STMARY×4	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)		+1.8
8	3-5	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.3
9	3-6	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+1.3
10	4-6	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.3
11	4-7	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+1.4
12	5-7	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.4
13	5-8	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Antonie Kelnárová	+1.4
14	5-9	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Anna Bacchin		+1.6
15	6-9	STMARY	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+1.2
16	7-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Ace	CSU Bakersfield	aced Antonie Kelnárová	+1.9
17	8-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Attack err	Ava Galvan		+2.3
18	9-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Blocked	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Anna Bacchin	+2.6
19	9-10	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Caitlin Prior	+2.0
20	10-10	STMARY	CSUBAK	Blocked	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Defne Yanik	+2.1
21	10-11	CSUBAK	STMARY	Blocked	Jordyn Waite-Ward	blk Lainey Day, Antonie Kelnárová	+2.0
22	11-11	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+2.2
23	12-11	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Attack err	Lainey Day		+3.2
24	12-12	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Makenzie Jackson	+2.3
25	12-13	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+3.0
26	13-13	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.4
27	13-14	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent		+2.3
28	14-14	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Samantha Capinpin	+2.5
29	15-14	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.7
30	15-15	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+2.6
31	16-15	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+3.0
32	17-15	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+4.2
33	17-16	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+2.7
34	18-16	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Anna Bacchin	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.4
35	18-17	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+2.9
36	19-17	STMARY	CSUBAK	Blocked	Layne Dent	blk Defne Yanik	+3.6
37	19-18	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+3.0
38	20-18	STMARY	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.9
39	21-18	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Samantha Capinpin	+4.8
40	22-18	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.8
41	23-18	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×4	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+2.4
42	23-19	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Caitlin Prior	+0.7
43	23-20	STMARY	STMARY	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)	aced Luiza Da Cruz	+1.7
44	24-20	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+2.6
45	24-21	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Caitlin Prior	+0.8
46	25-21	STMARY	CSUBAK	Blocked	Layne Dent	blk Jordyn Waite-Ward	+2.9
Set 5
1	1-0	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Suelen Lima	+6.5
2	2-0	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+9.2
3	2-1	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Lainey Day	set Caitlin Prior	+6.2
4	3-1	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Luiza Da Cruz	+7.3
5	3-2	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+6.4
6	4-2	STMARY	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+7.6
7	5-2	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+10.1
8	6-2	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+9.5
9	7-2	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+8.3
10	8-2	CSUBAK	CSUBAK×5	Blocked	Layne Dent	blk Leylah Duran	+6.7
11	8-3	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Sadie White	+3.2
12	9-3	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Leylah Duran	set Samantha Capinpin	+4.9
13	9-4	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Hadlee Gray	set Sadie White	+2.9
14	10-4	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+4.7
15	11-4	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima	set Samantha Capinpin	+3.8
16	11-5	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Mikayla Haner	+1.3
17	11-6	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Lainey Day	set Caitlin Prior	+2.9
18	12-6	STMARY	CSUBAK	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+3.8
19	12-7	CSUBAK	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Caitlin Prior	+1.6
20	12-8	STMARY	STMARY	Blocked	Jordyn Waite-Ward	blk Makenzie Jackson, Lainey Day	+3.7
21	13-8	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Defne Yanik	set Samantha Capinpin	+5.1
22	13-9	CSUBAK	STMARY	Serve err	CSU Bakersfield		+1.9
23	14-9	STMARY	CSUBAK	Kill	Jordyn Waite-Ward	set Samantha Capinpin	+4.1
24	15-9	CSUBAK	CSUBAK	Kill	Suelen Lima		+1.5

Score shown after each rally, CSU Bakersfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

CSU Bakersfield def. Saint Mary's (CA) 3–2