Fresno St. def. Saint Mary's (CA) 3–2
Fresno St. won at Saint Mary's (CA) 3-2 (19-25, 25-23, 20-25, 25-23, 15-12) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Jenna Legault led Fresno St. with 15 kills; Saint Mary's (CA)'s Antonie Kelnárová had a match-high 18.
Data through · final Sep 19
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRESNO | 19 | 25 | 20 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
| STMARY | 25 | 23 | 25 | 23 | 12 | 2 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 23.5% to Fresno St. — set 5, FRESNO 14-12 STMARY. Attack error by Antonie Kelnárová. STMARY win probability 39% → 15%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Fresno St. wins
Saint Mary's (CA) wins
- FRESNO break %
- 40.0% vs this opp
- STMARY break %
- 47.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Antonie KelnárováAttack error+23.5%
Attack error by Antonie Kelnárová
Set 5 · FRESNO 14-12 STMARY · FRESNO 61% → 85%
- 02Antonie KelnárováAttack error+21.8%
Attack error by Antonie Kelnárová
Set 5 · FRESNO 13-12 STMARY · FRESNO 39% → 61%
- 03Jenna LegaultKill+16.1%
Kill by Jenna Legault (set by Gabby Lombardi)
Set 5 · FRESNO 12-12 STMARY · FRESNO 23% → 39%
- 04Sadie WhiteAttack error+15.4%
Attack error by Sadie White
Set 5 · FRESNO 15-12 STMARY · FRESNO 85% → 100%
- 05Anaya ThrowerBlock+12.6%
Jenna Legault stuffed by Anaya Thrower
Set 5 · FRESNO 10-12 STMARY · STMARY 72% → 85%
- 06
- 07
- 08Saint Mary's (CA)Ace+11.6%
Saint Mary's (CA) ace on Olivia Lombardi
Set 5 · FRESNO 8-9 STMARY · STMARY 60% → 71%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 54 | .148 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 22 | |
| 5 | 6 | 0 | 14 | .429 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | .091 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 6.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 25 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -.143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -.250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| 5 | 6 | 0 | 15 | .400 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | .174 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | |
| Team totals | 44 | 22 | 145 | .152 | 40 | 8 | 4 | 53 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 104 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 18 | 14 | 56 | .071 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 22.5 | |
| 5 | 16 | 4 | 25 | .480 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 18 | .222 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | |
| 5 | 5 | 1 | 10 | .400 | 56 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 5 | 6 | 21 | -.048 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 23 | .261 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | .067 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Team totals | 67 | 37 | 173 | .173 | 65 | 15 | 14 | 69 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 108 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
19-25
Set 2
25-23
Set 3
20-25
Set 4
25-23
Set 5
15-12
Bars above the line = Saint Mary's (CA) leads, below = Fresno St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Fresno St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 53%9/17 | 36%4/11 |
| 2 | 47%9/19 | 40%6/15 |
| 3 | 64%7/11 | 65%13/20 |
| 4 | 50%7/14 | 30%3/10 |
| 5 | 43%6/14 | 36%4/11 |
| 6 | 55%6/11 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 51%44/86 | 45%35/78 |
Saint Mary's (CA)
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 64%9/14 | 50%8/16 |
| 2 | 40%8/20 | 57%12/21 |
| 3 | 54%7/13 | 20%2/10 |
| 4 | 58%7/12 | 53%8/15 |
| 5 | 60%6/10 | 54%7/13 |
| 6 | 67%6/9 | 45%5/11 |
| All | 55%43/78 | 49%42/86 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
212 rallies
| # | FRESNO-STMARY | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +1.5 |
| 2 | 1-1 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Isabel Smart | set Anna Bolich | +1.2 |
| 3 | 1-2 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +1.2 |
| 4 | 2-2 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Andee May | set Anna Bolich | +1.3 |
| 5 | 2-3 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +1.2 |
| 6 | 2-4 | STMARY | STMARY | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Olivia Lombardi | +1.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Andee May | set Gabby Lombardi | +1.2 |
| 8 | 3-5 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +1.1 |
| 9 | 4-5 | STMARY | FRESNO | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +1.2 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Blocked | Anaya Thrower | blk Alivia Schneider, Brooklyn Washington | +1.7 |
| 11 | 5-6 | FRESNO | STMARY×3 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +1.3 |
| 12 | 5-7 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Attack err | Brooklyn Washington | +1.6 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Sadie White | set Alayna Pearson | +1.4 |
| 14 | 6-8 | STMARY | FRESNO | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.1 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +1.1 |
| 16 | 7-9 | STMARY | FRESNO | Attack err | Layne Dent | +1.1 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | FRESNO | STMARY×5 | Blocked | Brooklyn Washington | blk Ava Galvan | +1.1 |
| 18 | 7-11 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Blocked | Brooklyn Washington | blk Ava Galvan | +1.3 |
| 19 | 7-12 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Attack err | Jenna Legault | +1.0 | |
| 20 | 7-13 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Jenna Legault | +0.8 |
| 21 | 7-14 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +0.6 |
| 22 | 8-14 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Isabel Smart | set Anna Bolich | +0.3 |
| 23 | 9-14 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Makenzie Jackson | +0.6 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +0.6 |
| 25 | 9-16 | STMARY | STMARY | Blocked | Isabel Smart | blk Antonie Kelnárová, Ava Galvan | +0.5 |
| 26 | 10-16 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +0.3 |
| 27 | 11-16 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Blocked | Makenzie Jackson | blk Jenna Legault | +0.6 |
| 28 | 11-17 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +0.6 |
| 29 | 12-17 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.4 |
| 30 | 12-18 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +0.5 |
| 31 | 13-18 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Kiley Devery | set Olivia Lombardi | +0.4 |
| 32 | 14-18 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +0.8 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | FRESNO | STMARY×3 | Blocked | Kiley Devery | blk Anaya Thrower | +0.8 |
| 34 | 14-20 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Alivia Schneider | +0.7 |
| 35 | 14-21 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | +0.4 | |
| 36 | 15-21 | STMARY | FRESNO×3 | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +0.1 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Ace | Fresno St. | aced Layne Dent | +0.3 |
| 38 | 17-21 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +0.6 | |
| 39 | 17-22 | FRESNO | STMARY×3 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +0.7 |
| 40 | 17-23 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +0.4 |
| 41 | 17-24 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Natalie Peete | +0.1 |
| 42 | 18-24 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | · |
| 43 | 19-24 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Layne Dent | +0.1 | |
| 44 | 19-25 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +0.1 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +1.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +0.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | STMARY | STMARY | Attack err | Isabel Smart | +1.1 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +0.9 |
| 5 | 3-2 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Andee May, Kiley Devery | +1.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +1.0 |
| 7 | 4-3 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Andee May | set Gabby Lombardi | +1.1 |
| 8 | 4-4 | FRESNO | STMARY | Serve err | Fresno St. | +1.0 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Brooke Jenkins | set Olivia Lombardi | +1.1 |
| 10 | 6-4 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +1.5 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Sadie White | set Antonie Kelnárová | +1.1 |
| 12 | 7-5 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Brooke Jenkins | set Gabby Lombardi | +1.2 |
| 13 | 7-6 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +1.1 |
| 14 | 8-6 | STMARY | FRESNO | Attack err | Layne Dent | +1.3 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Blocked | Layne Dent | blk Isabel Smart | +1.7 |
| 16 | 9-7 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +1.1 |
| 17 | 9-8 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | +1.6 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | STMARY | FRESNO | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.4 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +1.2 |
| 20 | 10-10 | STMARY | STMARY | Blocked | Isabel Smart | blk Antonie Kelnárová, Ava Galvan | +1.6 |
| 21 | 11-10 | STMARY | FRESNO | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.4 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +1.9 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +1.3 |
| 24 | 13-11 | STMARY | FRESNO | Blocked | Makenzie Jackson | blk Jenna Legault | +1.5 |
| 25 | 13-12 | FRESNO | STMARY×3 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +1.3 |
| 26 | 13-13 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Jenna Legault | +1.8 |
| 27 | 13-14 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +1.7 |
| 28 | 14-14 | STMARY | FRESNO | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.4 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +1.4 |
| 30 | 14-16 | STMARY | STMARY | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Brooke Jenkins | +1.7 |
| 31 | 15-16 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Brooklyn Washington | set Gabby Lombardi | +1.3 |
| 32 | 15-17 | FRESNO | STMARY×3 | Kill | Sadie White | set Antonie Kelnárová | +1.3 |
| 33 | 15-18 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Blocked | Brooke Jenkins | blk Sadie White | +1.5 |
| 34 | 15-19 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Brooke Jenkins | +1.1 |
| 35 | 16-19 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Brooke Jenkins | set Anna Bolich | +0.7 |
| 36 | 16-20 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +0.9 |
| 37 | 16-21 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | +0.7 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +0.4 |
| 39 | 18-21 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Olivia Lombardi | +0.8 |
| 40 | 18-22 | FRESNO | STMARY | Blocked | Isabel Smart | blk Layne Dent, Ava Galvan | +0.9 |
| 41 | 19-22 | STMARY | FRESNO | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +0.5 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Blocked | Makenzie Jackson | blk Jenna Legault | +1.3 |
| 43 | 20-23 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +1.4 |
| 44 | 21-23 | STMARY | FRESNO×5 | Kill | Andee May | set Gabby Lombardi | +0.9 |
| 45 | 22-23 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Ace | Fresno St. | +2.2 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Ace | Fresno St. | aced Mikayla Haner | +3.9 |
| 47 | 24-23 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Andee May | +5.8 |
| 48 | 25-23 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Blocked | Makenzie Jackson | blk Brooke Jenkins | +6.8 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | STMARY | FRESNO×3 | Blocked | Layne Dent | blk Brooklyn Washington | +2.1 |
| 2 | 2-0 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Blocked | Layne Dent | blk Brooklyn Washington | +2.9 |
| 3 | 3-0 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +3.1 |
| 4 | 3-1 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Hadlee Gray | set Sadie White | +2.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +2.8 |
| 6 | 4-2 | STMARY | FRESNO | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +2.4 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +3.2 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +2.2 |
| 9 | 6-3 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Gabby Lombardi | set Anna Bolich | +2.6 |
| 10 | 7-3 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Ace | Fresno St. | +3.4 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +2.2 |
| 12 | 8-4 | STMARY | FRESNO | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Andee May, Kiley Devery | +2.7 |
| 13 | 9-4 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Kill | Andee May | +3.3 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | FRESNO | STMARY×3 | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +2.1 |
| 15 | 9-6 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +3.0 |
| 16 | 9-7 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | +3.2 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Brooke Jenkins | set Gabby Lombardi | +2.9 |
| 18 | 11-7 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Anaya Thrower | +3.7 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +2.3 |
| 20 | 12-8 | STMARY | FRESNO | Attack err | Hadlee Gray | +3.0 | |
| 21 | 13-8 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Ace | Fresno St. | aced Alayna Pearson | +3.6 |
| 22 | 13-9 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +2.1 |
| 23 | 13-10 | STMARY | STMARY | Attack err | Brooke Jenkins | +3.2 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Brooke Jenkins | set Anna Bolich | +3.1 |
| 25 | 14-11 | FRESNO | STMARY×6 | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +2.4 |
| 26 | 14-12 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Kill | Hadlee Gray | set Ava Galvan | +3.6 |
| 27 | 14-13 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Jenna Legault | +3.9 |
| 28 | 14-14 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +4.0 |
| 29 | 14-15 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Jenna Legault | +3.9 |
| 30 | 14-16 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Attack err | Jenna Legault | +3.5 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | STMARY | FRESNO×4 | Kill | Gabby Lombardi | set Anna Bolich | +2.7 |
| 32 | 16-16 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Attack err | Ava Galvan | +4.2 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Blocked | Ava Galvan | blk Jenna Legault | +4.9 |
| 34 | 18-16 | FRESNO | FRESNO×4 | Blocked | Hadlee Gray | blk Andee May | +5.4 |
| 35 | 18-17 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Makenzie Jackson | +3.5 |
| 36 | 18-18 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +5.1 |
| 37 | 19-18 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Gabby Lombardi | set Anna Bolich | +4.5 |
| 38 | 19-19 | FRESNO | STMARY×6 | Serve err | Fresno St. | +4.1 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +5.5 |
| 40 | 19-21 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +5.0 |
| 41 | 19-22 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Jenna Legault | +3.8 |
| 42 | 19-23 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Attack err | Jenna Legault | +2.4 | |
| 43 | 19-24 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +1.0 |
| 44 | 20-24 | STMARY | FRESNO | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +0.2 | |
| 45 | 20-25 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +0.4 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +2.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | FRESNO | STMARY×3 | Attack err | Jenna Legault | +1.5 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +1.9 |
| 4 | 1-3 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +1.8 |
| 5 | 2-3 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Gabby Lombardi | set Anna Bolich | +1.4 |
| 6 | 3-3 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Kill | Kiley Devery | set Gabby Lombardi | +2.0 |
| 7 | 3-4 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +1.5 |
| 8 | 3-5 | STMARY | STMARY | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Olivia Lombardi | +1.9 |
| 9 | 4-5 | STMARY | FRESNO | Bad set | Sadie White | +1.5 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Anaya Thrower | +2.2 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +1.6 |
| 12 | 5-7 | STMARY | STMARY | Attack err | Brooke Jenkins | +2.0 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Brooke Jenkins | set Olivia Lombardi | +1.5 |
| 14 | 6-8 | FRESNO | STMARY | Blocked | Brooke Jenkins | blk Anaya Thrower, Sadie White | +1.5 |
| 15 | 7-8 | STMARY | FRESNO | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.6 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Kill | Gabby Lombardi | set Anna Bolich | +2.4 |
| 17 | 8-9 | FRESNO | STMARY×3 | Kill | Hadlee Gray | set Sadie White | +1.8 |
| 18 | 8-10 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Hadlee Gray | set Sadie White | +2.2 |
| 19 | 8-11 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Blocked | Brooke Jenkins | blk Ava Galvan, Sadie White | +1.9 |
| 20 | 9-11 | STMARY | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Brooke Jenkins | set Anna Bolich | +1.4 |
| 21 | 10-11 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +2.2 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Attack err | Hadlee Gray | +2.6 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +2.0 |
| 24 | 12-12 | STMARY | FRESNO×5 | Kill | Brooklyn Washington | set Anna Bolich | +2.2 |
| 25 | 13-12 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Ace | Fresno St. | aced Hadlee Gray | +3.1 |
| 26 | 14-12 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Ace | Fresno St. | aced Alayna Pearson | +3.4 |
| 27 | 15-12 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Kill | Gabby Lombardi | set Olivia Lombardi | +3.5 |
| 28 | 16-12 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Attack err | Ava Galvan | +3.3 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +2.0 |
| 30 | 17-13 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Andee May | set Anna Bolich | +2.7 |
| 31 | 17-14 | FRESNO | STMARY×4 | Serve err | Fresno St. | +2.0 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Antonie Kelnárová | +3.1 |
| 33 | 17-16 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Blocked | Kiley Devery | blk Anaya Thrower, Antonie Kelnárová | +3.5 |
| 34–35 | 18-17 | FRESNO · STMARY | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.5 | |||
| 36 | 18-18 | FRESNO | STMARY | Blocked | Jenna Legault | blk Anaya Thrower | +3.0 |
| 37 | 19-18 | STMARY | FRESNO | Attack err | Anaya Thrower | +3.5 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Sadie White | set Natalie Peete | +3.3 |
| 39 | 20-19 | STMARY | FRESNO | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +3.9 | |
| 40 | 20-20 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +3.6 |
| 41 | 21-20 | STMARY | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Brooke Jenkins | set Anna Bolich | +4.3 |
| 42 | 22-20 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +5.9 |
| 43 | 23-20 | FRESNO | FRESNO×3 | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Olivia Lombardi | +5.2 |
| 44 | 23-21 | FRESNO | STMARY×3 | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +2.2 |
| 45 | 23-22 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +4.8 |
| 46 | 23-23 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Attack err | Alivia Schneider | +7.2 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +7.5 |
| 48 | 25-23 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | +12.2 | |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | STMARY | FRESNO | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +6.5 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | FRESNO | STMARY×3 | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +6.0 |
| 3 | 1-2 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +7.7 |
| 4 | 1-3 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +7.1 |
| 5 | 2-3 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Anna Bolich | +5.4 |
| 6 | 2-4 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Sadie White | set Antonie Kelnárová | +5.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | STMARY | FRESNO | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +5.6 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Ace | Fresno St. | +8.7 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | FRESNO | STMARY | Attack err | Jenna Legault | +6.7 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | STMARY | STMARY | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Jenna Legault | +8.1 |
| 11 | 5-6 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Brooke Jenkins | set Gabby Lombardi | +6.1 |
| 12 | 6-6 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Kill | Brooklyn Washington | +9.7 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +7.5 |
| 14 | 7-7 | STMARY | FRESNO | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +8.0 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | FRESNO | FRESNO | Attack err | Ava Galvan | +12.1 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | FRESNO | STMARY | Serve err | Fresno St. | +8.7 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | STMARY | STMARY | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Olivia Lombardi | +11.6 |
| 18 | 9-9 | STMARY | FRESNO | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +9.3 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +9.5 |
| 20 | 10-10 | STMARY | FRESNO | Kill | Brooklyn Washington | set Anna Bolich | +10.1 |
| 21 | 10-11 | FRESNO | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +10.6 |
| 22 | 10-12 | STMARY | STMARY | Blocked | Jenna Legault | blk Anaya Thrower | +12.6 |
| 23 | 11-12 | STMARY | FRESNO×5 | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Andee May | +8.1 |
| 24 | 12-12 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Kill | Jenna Legault | set Gabby Lombardi | +16.1 |
| 25 | 13-12 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +21.8 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +23.5 | |
| 27 | 15-12 | FRESNO | FRESNO×5 | Attack err | Sadie White | +15.4 | |
Score shown after each rally, Fresno St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).