Saint Mary's (CA) def. Seattle U 3-0 Volleyball (Oct 8)

FinalThu, Oct 8, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Saint Mary's (CA) 97.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 8, 8:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Saint Mary's (CA) beat visiting Seattle U 3-0 (25-11, 27-25, 27-25) on Thu, Oct 8, 2026. Saint Mary's (CA)'s Layne Dent led with 16 kills, and Alayna Pearson added 10 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 8

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SEATTL	11	25	25	0
STMARY	25	27	27	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Layne Dent needed just 3 sets for 16 kills. Saint Mary's (CA) swept Seattle U.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.5 points, and Seattle U's high was 6% in Set 2. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Saint Mary's (CA) 97% before first serve.

Seattle USaint Mary's (CA)

Break %+13.5 pts
40.353.8
Points won on own serve: 42 of 78 vs 25 of 62. Seattle U sided out 46.2% of the time.
Hitting+.167
.170.337
50 kills, 18 errors vs 30 kills, 15 errors.
Longest run+1
56
6 straight Saint Mary's (CA) points in the first set stretched a 7–3 lead to 13–3. Final score of the set: 25–11.

Saint Mary's (CA) above 50Seattle U belowMax swing 1.5%

Seattle USaint Mary's (CA)

Aces: Seattle U 4·Saint Mary's (CA) 8
Serve err: Seattle U 6·Saint Mary's (CA) 9
Blocks: Seattle U 11·Saint Mary's (CA) 410 BS · 2 BA vs 3 BS · 2 BA
Digs: Seattle U 21·Saint Mary's (CA) 39

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Saint Mary's (CA) above 50 · Seattle U below

Biggest swing: 1.5% to Seattle U — set 2, SEATTL 24-23 STMARY. Antonie Kelnárová stuffed by Hailey McEllrath. STMARY win probability 97% → 96%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SEATTL 3.3%96.7% STMARY

Seattle U wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.9%

3-2

2.1%

Saint Mary's (CA) wins

3-0

61.1%

3-1

27.8%

3-2

7.8%

SEATTL break %: 37.3% vs this opp
STMARY break %: 51.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Hailey McEllrathBlock+1.5%
Antonie Kelnárová stuffed by Hailey McEllrath
Set 2 · SEATTL 24-23 STMARY · SEATTL 3% → 4%
02
Layne DentKill+1.5%
Kill by Layne Dent (set by Sadie White)
Set 2 · SEATTL 24-24 STMARY · STMARY 96% → 97%
03
Teagan MeltonKill+1.5%
Kill by Teagan Melton (set by Grace Jones)
Set 2 · SEATTL 25-24 STMARY · SEATTL 3% → 4%
04
Layne DentKill+1.5%
Kill by Layne Dent (set by Sadie White)
Set 2 · SEATTL 25-25 STMARY · STMARY 96% → 97%
05
Ava GalvanKill+1.4%
Kill by Ava Galvan
Set 2 · SEATTL 25-26 STMARY · STMARY 97% → 99%
06
Tamara UngaKill+1.1%
Kill by Tamara Unga (set by Grace Jones)
Set 2 · SEATTL 23-22 STMARY · SEATTL 3% → 4%
07
Antonie KelnárováKill+1.1%
Kill by Antonie Kelnárová (set by Sadie White)
Set 2 · SEATTL 22-22 STMARY · STMARY 96% → 97%
08
Antonie KelnárováKill+1.0%
Kill by Antonie Kelnárová (set by Sadie White)
Set 2 · SEATTL 23-23 STMARY · STMARY 96% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Seattle Uaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Chloee LeslieOH	3	7	6	21	.048	2	0	1	1	2	1	0	1	8
6Teagan MeltonOH	3	5	3	16	.125	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5
7Hailey McEllrathMB	3	2	1	6	.167	0	0	1	0	0	3	0	3	5
10Grace JonesS	3	0	0	1	.000	10	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
2Elaina DuongL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
18Taniyah PruittMB	1	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Orinayo OlukanmiOH	3	5	2	16	.188	0	0	0	1	0	3	1	3.5	8.5
11Tamara UngaOH	3	7	1	18	.333	0	0	0	2	3	1	0	1	8
1Bella JonesS	3	0	0	0	–	14	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2
12Janae DemantL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	0	8	0	0	0	0	2
4Lexi JonesMB	2	4	1	7	.429	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	2.5	6.5
3Clara GarciaL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		30	15	88	.170	27	4	6	21	8	10	2	11	61

Saint Mary's (CA)home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Antonie KelnárováOH	3	14	6	28	.286	1	4	2	9	0	0	0	0	18
11Anaya ThrowerMB	3	6	1	15	.333	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	2.5	8.5
21Sadie WhiteS	3	3	0	5	.600	38	1	3	9	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
10Ava GalvanMB	3	5	4	10	.100	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
4Makenzie JacksonOPP	3	5	2	10	.300	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
6Mikayla HanerOH	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	0	1
9Layne DentOH	3	16	5	26	.423	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	16
12Natalie PeeteL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	5	0	0	0	0	2
24Alayna PearsonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	7	1	1	10	1	0	0	0	1
7Caroline FormankovaOPP	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		50	18	95	.337	47	8	9	39	4	3	2	4	79

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Seattle U vs Saint Mary's (CA)

Season series · Saint Mary's (CA) leads 1-0

Thu, Oct 8, 2026Seattle U at Saint Mary's (CA) · Saint Mary's (CA) won 3-0This match
Sat, Nov 14, 2026Saint Mary's (CA) at Seattle UPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SEATTL · STMARY 6

Set 1

11-25

Longest run 2 SEATTLSTMARY 6

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 5 SEATTLSTMARY 4

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 5 SEATTLSTMARY 3

Bars above the line = Saint Mary's (CA) leads, below = Seattle U leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Seattle U

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	14%1/7
2	44%7/16	20%2/10
3	40%6/15	53%8/15
4	31%5/16	45%5/11
5	63%5/8	44%4/9
6	45%5/11	50%5/10
All	46%36/78	40%25/62

Saint Mary's (CA)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	89%8/9	46%6/13
2	54%7/13	50%7/14
3	58%7/12	56%9/16
4	38%5/13	71%12/17
5	50%5/10	50%5/10
6	100%5/5	38%3/8
All	60%37/62	54%42/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

140 rallies

#	SEATTL-STMARY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+0.3
2	0-2	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Sadie White	+0.3
3	1-2	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.2
4	1-3	SEATTL	STMARY	Serve err	Seattle U		+0.2
5	1-4	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+0.2
6	2-4	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.2
7	2-5	SEATTL	STMARY×3	Serve err	Seattle U		+0.2
8	2-6	STMARY	STMARY×3	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+0.2
9	2-7	STMARY	STMARY×3	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+0.1
10	3-7	STMARY	SEATTL	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová		+0.1
11	3-8	SEATTL	STMARY×6	Kill	Anaya Thrower	set Sadie White	+0.1
12	3-9	STMARY	STMARY×6	Attack err	Taniyah Pruitt		+0.1
13	3-10	STMARY	STMARY×6	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)	aced Clara Garcia	+0.1
14	3-11	STMARY	STMARY×6	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+0.1
15	3-12	STMARY	STMARY×6	Blocked	Tamara Unga	blk Sadie White, Anaya Thrower	·
16	3-13	STMARY	STMARY×6	Kill	Sadie White	set Antonie Kelnárová	·
17	4-13	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Bella Jones	·
18	4-14	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	·
19	5-14	STMARY	SEATTL	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		·
20	5-15	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	·
21	5-16	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Sadie White	·
22	6-16	STMARY	SEATTL	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		·
23	6-17	SEATTL	STMARY	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		·
24	6-18	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Teagan Melton		·
25	7-18	STMARY	SEATTL	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		·
26	7-19	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	·
27	7-20	STMARY	STMARY	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		·
28	8-20	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	·
29	9-20	SEATTL	SEATTL	Blocked	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Orinayo Olukanmi	·
30	9-21	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Anaya Thrower	set Sadie White	·
31	10-21	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Bella Jones	·
32	11-21	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Tamara Unga	set Chloee Leslie	·
33	11-22	SEATTL	STMARY×4	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Alayna Pearson	·
34	11-23	STMARY	STMARY×4	Kill	Sadie White	set Sadie White	·
35	11-24	STMARY	STMARY×4	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)		·
36	11-25	STMARY	STMARY×4	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)	aced Tamara Unga	·
Set 2
1	1-0	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton		+0.3
2	1-1	SEATTL	STMARY	Blocked	Hailey McEllrath	blk Anaya Thrower	+0.2
3	2-1	STMARY	SEATTL	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.2
4	2-2	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Sadie White	set Alayna Pearson	+0.2
5	2-3	STMARY	STMARY	Blocked	Lexi Jones	blk Sadie White	+0.2
6	3-3	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Janae Demant	+0.2
7	3-4	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.2
8	4-4	STMARY	SEATTL×5	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Bella Jones	+0.2
9	5-4	SEATTL	SEATTL×5	Blocked	Layne Dent	blk Orinayo Olukanmi	+0.3
10	6-4	SEATTL	SEATTL×5	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Bella Jones	+0.4
11	7-4	SEATTL	SEATTL×5	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Bella Jones	+0.4
12	8-4	SEATTL	SEATTL×5	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Bella Jones	+0.5
13	8-5	SEATTL	STMARY	Serve err	Seattle U		+0.3
14	8-6	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Sadie White	+0.4
15	9-6	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Tamara Unga	set Bella Jones	+0.4
16	9-7	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Sadie White	+0.3
17	10-7	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Tamara Unga	set Bella Jones	+0.4
18	10-8	SEATTL	STMARY	Serve err	Seattle U		+0.3
19	11-8	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+0.4
20	11-9	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Anaya Thrower	set Sadie White	+0.3
21	11-10	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.4
22	12-10	STMARY	SEATTL×3	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.4
23	13-10	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Blocked	Anaya Thrower	blk Chloee Leslie	+0.6
24	14-10	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Attack err	Layne Dent		+0.6
25	14-11	SEATTL	STMARY×3	Kill	Anaya Thrower	set Sadie White	+0.4
26	14-12	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Layne Dent	set Ava Galvan	+0.5
27	14-13	STMARY	STMARY×3	Attack err	Teagan Melton		+0.5
28	15-13	STMARY	SEATTL×5	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.5
29	16-13	SEATTL	SEATTL×5	Blocked	Ava Galvan	blk Lexi Jones	+0.7
30	17-13	SEATTL	SEATTL×5	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Bella Jones	+0.7
31	18-13	SEATTL	SEATTL×5	Blocked	Layne Dent	blk Orinayo Olukanmi, Lexi Jones	+0.7
32	19-13	SEATTL	SEATTL×5	Ace	Seattle U		+0.6
33	19-14	SEATTL	STMARY	Serve err	Seattle U		+0.3
34	19-15	STMARY	STMARY	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)	aced Chloee Leslie	+0.5
35	20-15	STMARY	SEATTL	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.6
36	20-16	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Sadie White	+0.3
37	20-17	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+0.6
38	21-17	STMARY	SEATTL	Blocked	Ava Galvan	blk Orinayo Olukanmi	+0.7
39	21-18	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+0.4
40	22-18	STMARY	SEATTL	Blocked	Makenzie Jackson	blk Tamara Unga	+0.7
41	22-19	SEATTL	STMARY×4	Kill	Anaya Thrower	set Hailey McEllrath	+0.4
42	22-20	STMARY	STMARY×4	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)	aced Tamara Unga	+0.7
43	22-21	STMARY	STMARY×4	Attack err	Teagan Melton		+0.9
44	22-22	STMARY	STMARY×4	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+1.1
45	23-22	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Tamara Unga	set Grace Jones	+1.1
46	23-23	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+1.0
47	24-23	STMARY	SEATTL	Blocked	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Hailey McEllrath	+1.5
48	24-24	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+1.5
49	25-24	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+1.5
50	25-25	SEATTL	STMARY×3	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+1.5
51	25-26	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Ava Galvan		+1.4
52	25-27	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Layne Dent	set Alayna Pearson	+1.0
Set 3
1	1-0	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Chloee Leslie	+0.1
2	1-1	SEATTL	STMARY×3	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Sadie White	+0.1
3	1-2	STMARY	STMARY×3	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.1
4	1-3	STMARY	STMARY×3	Blocked	Chloee Leslie	blk Anaya Thrower	+0.1
5	2-3	STMARY	SEATTL×3	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.1
6	3-3	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová		+0.1
7	4-3	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Ace	Seattle U	aced Mikayla Haner	+0.1
8	4-4	SEATTL	STMARY×3	Kill	Makenzie Jackson	set Sadie White	+0.1
9	4-5	STMARY	STMARY×3	Attack err	Orinayo Olukanmi		+0.1
10	4-6	STMARY	STMARY×3	Attack err	Orinayo Olukanmi		+0.1
11	5-6	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Lexi Jones	set Bella Jones	+0.1
12	5-7	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+0.1
13	6-7	STMARY	SEATTL×4	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Bella Jones	+0.1
14	7-7	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Bella Jones	+0.1
15	8-7	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi		+0.2
16	9-7	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Ace	Seattle U	aced Layne Dent	+0.2
17	9-8	SEATTL	STMARY×3	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.1
18	9-9	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Sadie White	+0.1
19	9-10	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.1
20	10-10	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Tamara Unga	set Bella Jones	+0.1
21	11-10	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Grace Jones	+0.2
22	11-11	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Ava Galvan	set Sadie White	+0.1
23	11-12	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Alayna Pearson	+0.1
24	12-12	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Tamara Unga	set Grace Jones	+0.1
25	12-13	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.1
26	13-13	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+0.1
27	13-14	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Alayna Pearson	+0.1
28	13-15	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Mikayla Haner	set Alayna Pearson	+0.1
29	14-15	STMARY	SEATTL	Attack err	Makenzie Jackson		+0.1
30	15-15	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Bella Jones	+0.2
31	15-16	SEATTL	STMARY×3	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+0.1
32	15-17	STMARY	STMARY×3	Kill	Anaya Thrower	set Sadie White	+0.2
33	15-18	STMARY	STMARY×3	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)	aced Chloee Leslie	+0.1
34	16-18	STMARY	SEATTL	Attack err	Antonie Kelnárová		+0.1
35	16-19	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+0.1
36	16-20	STMARY	STMARY	Ace	Saint Mary's (CA)	aced Tamara Unga	+0.1
37	17-20	STMARY	SEATTL	Blocked	Layne Dent	blk Lexi Jones	+0.1
38	18-20	SEATTL	SEATTL	Ace	Seattle U	aced Alayna Pearson	+0.1
39	18-21	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.1
40	18-22	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.1
41	19-22	STMARY	SEATTL×5	Kill	Tamara Unga	set Bella Jones	·
42	20-22	SEATTL	SEATTL×5	Attack err	Ava Galvan		+0.1
43	21-22	SEATTL	SEATTL×5	Blocked	Ava Galvan	blk Hailey McEllrath	+0.2
44	22-22	SEATTL	SEATTL×5	Blocked	Antonie Kelnárová	blk Hailey McEllrath	+0.4
45	23-22	SEATTL	SEATTL×5	Attack err	Layne Dent		+0.6
46	23-23	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Alayna Pearson	+0.4
47	23-24	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Layne Dent	set Sadie White	+0.6
48	24-24	STMARY	SEATTL	Serve err	Saint Mary's (CA)		+0.4
49	24-25	SEATTL	STMARY	Serve err	Seattle U		+0.4
50	25-25	STMARY	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.4
51	25-26	SEATTL	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+0.4
52	25-27	STMARY	STMARY	Kill	Antonie Kelnárová	set Sadie White	+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Seattle U first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Saint Mary's (CA) def. Seattle U 3–0

Layne Dent needed just 3 sets for 16 kills. Saint Mary's (CA) swept Seattle U.