FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026 · Neutral site

Oregon def. Western Ky. 3–0

Oregon beat Western Ky. 3-0 (25-23, 25-20, 25-23) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026 at a neutral site. Oregon's Dalia Vîrlan led with 8 kills.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set123Sets
OREGN2525253
W KY2320230

Win probability

Western Ky. above 50 · Oregon below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.5% OREGNrally 141 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.5% to Oregon — set 1, OREGN 23-21 W KY. Kill by Dalia Vîrlan. W KY win probability 20% → 15%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

OREGN 79.2%20.8% W KY

Oregon wins

3-0
30.8%
3-1
30.0%
3-2
18.5%

Western Ky. wins

3-0
3.4%
3-1
6.9%
3-2
10.4%
OREGN break %
43.8% vs this opp
W KY break %
37.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Dalia VîrlanKill+4.5%

    Kill by Dalia Vîrlan

    Set 1 · OREGN 23-21 W KY · OREGN 80% → 85%

  2. 02

    Marlee Arrington stuffed by Eliza McKnight & Sonja Laaksonen

    Set 1 · OREGN 21-21 W KY · W KY 19% → 23%

  3. 03

    Kill by Alanah Clemente (set by Marina Crownover)

    Set 1 · OREGN 25-23 W KY · OREGN 84% → 89%

  4. 04

    Kill by Marlee Arrington (set by Kamden Mitchell)

    Set 1 · OREGN 19-18 W KY · OREGN 76% → 80%

  5. 05
    Dalia VîrlanKill+3.6%

    Kill by Dalia Vîrlan (set by Kamden Mitchell)

    Set 1 · OREGN 21-19 W KY · OREGN 80% → 84%

  6. 06

    Alanah Clemente stuffed by Alivia Skidmore & Faith Young

    Set 1 · OREGN 16-17 W KY · W KY 22% → 26%

  7. 07
    Western Ky.Service error+3.5%

    Western Ky. service error

    Set 1 · OREGN 24-22 W KY · OREGN 83% → 86%

  8. 08
    Western Ky.Service error+3.4%

    Western Ky. service error

    Set 1 · OREGN 22-21 W KY · OREGN 77% → 80%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Oregonaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38112.58301410010.59.5
37214.35730373111.58.5
36515.067023300008
3628.500200001017
3012-.5001503200000
3000–000210000
34211.182111100005
3203.667800000002
3001.000023710002
2213.333000000002
2000–400000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals351469.3043361723722375
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38313.38500120111.59.5
3408.5001936401018
36110.500003000217
3307.42910100010.53.5
3001.000200020000
2137-.28600020010.51.5
36314.21401200111.58.5
3001.000222700002
3000–103120000
3000–102200000
2004.000011001012
2000–002000000
Team totals281065.2772672318646766

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 OREGN · W KY 5

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 OREGNW KY 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 OREGNW KY 5

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 3 OREGNW KY 4

Bars above the line = Western Ky. leads, below = Oregon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Oregon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
46%6/13
2
69%9/13
36%5/14
3
70%7/10
50%7/14
4
58%7/12
30%3/10
5
55%6/11
60%9/15
6
86%6/7
14%1/7
All
65%44/68
42%31/73

Western Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
47%7/15
2
62%8/13
25%3/12
3
70%7/10
33%4/12
4
43%6/14
42%5/12
5
67%6/9
14%1/7
6
60%6/10
40%4/10
All
58%42/73
35%24/68

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

141 rallies

#OREGN-W KYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Maila Ribeiro+2.0
20-2W KYW KYBlockedValentina Vauletblk Kaira Knox+2.1
31-2W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+1.3
41-3OREGNW KYAttack errDalia Vîrlan+1.5
52-3W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+1.4
63-3OREGNOREGNAttack errSonja Laaksonen+2.0
73-4OREGNW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.5
84-4W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+1.4
94-5OREGNW KYServe errOregon+1.5
105-5W KYOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.4
115-6OREGNW KYServe errOregon+1.6
126-6W KYOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.5
136-7OREGNW KYServe errOregon+1.6
147-7W KYOREGNKillIva Sucurovicset Marlena Gracia+1.5
157-8OREGNW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.7
167-9W KYW KY×3AceWestern Ky.+2.6
177-10W KYW KY×3Attack errIva Sucurovic+2.6
188-10W KYOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Iva Sucurovic+1.6
199-10OREGNOREGNAttack errSonja Laaksonen+2.5
209-11OREGNW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.9
2110-11W KYOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marlena Gracia+1.7
2211-11OREGNOREGNAttack errSonja Laaksonen+2.6
2311-12OREGNW KYServe errOregon+1.9
2412-12W KYOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.8
2512-13OREGNW KY×3Serve errOregon+2.0
2612-14W KYW KY×3KillAlivia Skidmoreset Cali Foster+3.1
2712-15W KYW KY×3BlockedAlanah Clementeblk Alivia Skidmore+3.1
2813-15W KYOREGN×4Serve errWestern Ky.+1.8
2914-15OREGNOREGN×4Attack errAlivia Skidmore+2.9
3015-15OREGNOREGN×4AceOregonaced Cali Foster+3.1
3116-15OREGNOREGN×4KillIva Sucurovicset Marina Crownover+3.0
3216-16OREGNW KYKillKate Rushset Tayler Baron+2.1
3316-17W KYW KYBlockedAlanah Clementeblk Alivia Skidmore, Faith Young+3.6
3417-17W KYOREGNKillIva Sucurovicset Marina Crownover+2.3
3517-18OREGNW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+2.7
3618-18W KYOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+2.5
3719-18OREGNOREGNKillMarlee Arringtonset Kamden Mitchell+3.7
3819-19OREGNW KYKillKate Rushset Tayler Baron+2.6
3920-19W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+2.7
4021-19OREGNOREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Kamden Mitchell+3.6
4121-20OREGNW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+2.1
4221-21W KYW KYBlockedMarlee Arringtonblk Eliza McKnight, Sonja Laaksonen+4.4
4322-21W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+3.4
4423-21OREGNOREGNKillDalia Vîrlan+4.5
4523-22OREGNW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+2.2
4624-22W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+3.5
4724-23OREGNW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.9
4825-23W KYOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+4.4
Set 2
10-1OREGNW KYAttack errMarina Crownover+1.0
21-1W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+1.0
31-2OREGNW KYServe errOregon+1.1
41-3W KYW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kennedy Cherry+1.6
52-3W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+1.0
62-4OREGNW KYServe errOregon+1.2
73-4W KYOREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.1
84-4OREGNOREGN×3Bad setKate Rush+1.6
95-4OREGNOREGN×3Attack errAlivia Skidmore+1.5
105-5OREGNW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.1
116-5W KYOREGN×4KillSjakkie Donkersset Valentina Vaulet+1.0
127-5OREGNOREGN×4AceOregon+1.4
138-5OREGNOREGN×4AceOregon+1.2
149-5OREGNOREGN×4BlockedAlivia Skidmoreblk Iva Sucurovic+1.1
159-6OREGNW KYServe errOregon+0.7
1610-6W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+0.7
1711-6OREGNOREGNAceOregonaced Cali Foster+0.9
1811-7OREGNW KYAttack errIva Sucurovic+0.5
1911-8W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Valentina Vaulet+1.0
2012-8W KYOREGN×3Serve errWestern Ky.+0.8
2113-8OREGNOREGN×3AceOregonaced Kennedy Cherry+0.9
2214-8OREGNOREGN×3AceOregonaced Kennedy Cherry+0.6
2314-9OREGNW KYKillSonja Laaksonenset Kate Rush+0.3
2415-9W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+0.4
2515-10OREGNW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.3
2616-10W KYOREGN×3Serve errWestern Ky.+0.4
2717-10OREGNOREGN×3KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+0.4
2818-10OREGNOREGN×3KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+0.2
2918-11OREGNW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+0.1
3019-11W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+0.1
3119-12OREGNW KYServe errOregon+0.1
3220-12W KYOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.1
3320-13OREGNW KY×5KillKate Rushset Camila Adams+0.1
3420-14W KYW KY×5Attack errAlanah Clemente+0.2
3520-15W KYW KY×5Attack errSjakkie Donkers+0.3
3620-16W KYW KY×5KillKate Rushset Camila Adams+0.5
3720-17W KYW KY×5AceWestern Ky.aced Valentina Vaulet+0.9
3821-17W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+0.9
3921-18OREGNW KYServe errOregon+0.6
4022-18W KYOREGNKillMarlee Arringtonset Kamden Mitchell+0.9
4123-18OREGNOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Kamden Mitchell+0.6
4223-19OREGNW KYServe errOregon+0.2
4324-19W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+0.3
4424-20OREGNW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.1
4525-20W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+0.2
Set 3
11-0W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+0.5
22-0OREGNOREGNAttack errFaith Young+0.7
32-1OREGNW KY×3KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.5
42-2W KYW KY×3AceWestern Ky.aced Valentina Vaulet+0.7
52-3W KYW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.8
63-3W KYOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.5
73-4OREGNW KY×4KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.6
83-5W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.+0.9
93-6W KYW KY×4Attack errAlanah Clemente+1.0
103-7W KYW KY×4KillKaira Knoxset Eliza McKnight+1.0
114-7W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+0.6
124-8OREGNW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+0.7
135-8W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+0.6
146-8OREGNOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Valentina Vaulet+0.9
156-9OREGNW KYServe errOregon+0.7
167-9W KYOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.6
177-10OREGNW KYServe errOregon+0.8
188-10W KYOREGNKillMarlena Graciaset Sjakkie Donkers+0.6
199-10OREGNOREGNKillMarlena Graciaset Valentina Vaulet+1.0
209-11OREGNW KYBlockedAlanah Clementeblk Kendall Meller+0.8
219-12W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Reese Sheppard+1.1
2210-12W KYOREGNKillIva Sucurovicset Marlena Gracia+0.7
2311-12OREGNOREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marlena Gracia+1.1
2411-13OREGNW KYServe errOregon+0.8
2512-13W KYOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marlena Gracia+0.7
2612-14OREGNW KYServe errOregon+0.9
2713-14W KYOREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+0.8
2814-14OREGNOREGNAttack errKaira Knox+1.2
2914-15OREGNW KY×4KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+0.9
3014-16W KYW KY×4KillAlivia Skidmore+1.4
3114-17W KYW KY×4BlockedSjakkie Donkersblk Kate Rush+1.4
3214-18W KYW KY×4KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kennedy Cherry+1.2
3315-18W KYOREGN×3Serve errWestern Ky.+0.6
3416-18OREGNOREGN×3KillIva Sucurovicset Marina Crownover+1.1
3517-18OREGNOREGN×3KillSjakkie Donkersset Iva Sucurovic+1.3
3617-19OREGNW KYServe errOregon+1.2
3718-19W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+0.9
3818-20OREGNW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.2
3919-20W KYOREGNServe errWestern Ky.+1.0
4020-20OREGNOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Kate Rush+1.7
4120-21OREGNW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.4
4220-22W KYW KYBlockedValentina Vauletblk Faith Young, Kaira Knox+2.1
4321-22W KYOREGNKillIva Sucurovicset Marlena Gracia+1.1
4422-22OREGNOREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marlena Gracia+2.2
4522-23OREGNW KYServe errOregon+1.9
4623-23W KYOREGN×3KillDalia Vîrlanset Marlena Gracia+1.7
4724-23OREGNOREGN×3BlockedKaira Knoxblk Valentina Vaulet+3.1
4825-23OREGNOREGN×3BlockedKaira Knoxblk Valentina Vaulet, Dalia Vîrlan+2.6

Score shown after each rally, Oregon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).