Final · 4 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026

Oregon def. Southeast Mo. St. 3–1

Oregon won at Southeast Mo. St. 3-1 (25-14, 25-14, 20-25, 25-21) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Oregon's Valentina Vaulet led with 21 kills, and Reese Sheppard added 15 digs.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set1234Sets
OREGN252520253
SEMO141425211

Win probability

Southeast Mo. St. above 50 · Oregon below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.2% SEMOrally 169 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Southeast Mo. St. — set 4, OREGN 3-6 SEMO. Attack error by Alanah Clemente. SEMO win probability 10% → 12%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

OREGN 90.8%9.2% SEMO

Oregon wins

3-0
45.9%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.5%

Southeast Mo. St. wins

3-0
1.2%
3-1
2.8%
3-2
5.2%
OREGN break %
45.9% vs this opp
SEMO break %
35.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Alanah ClementeAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Alanah Clemente

    Set 4 · OREGN 3-6 SEMO · SEMO 10% → 12%

  2. 02
    Marina CrownoverBad set+2.0%

    Bad set by Marina Crownover

    Set 4 · OREGN 3-5 SEMO · SEMO 8% → 10%

  3. 03
    Laura EichertKill+1.9%

    Kill by Laura Eichert (set by Alanah Clemente)

    Set 4 · OREGN 5-6 SEMO · OREGN 89% → 91%

  4. 04
    Laura EichertKill+1.9%

    Kill by Laura Eichert (set by Alanah Clemente)

    Set 4 · OREGN 7-7 SEMO · OREGN 91% → 92%

  5. 05

    Reagan Nelson stuffed by Iva Sucurovic & Valentina Vaulet

    Set 4 · OREGN 9-8 SEMO · OREGN 92% → 94%

  6. 06
    Dalia VîrlanAttack error+1.8%

    Attack error by Dalia Vîrlan

    Set 4 · OREGN 3-4 SEMO · SEMO 7% → 8%

  7. 07
    OregonAce+1.6%

    Oregon ace on Nina Schuberth

    Set 4 · OREGN 10-8 SEMO · OREGN 94% → 96%

  8. 08
    Marin JohnsonKill+1.5%

    Kill by Marin Johnson (set by Ellie Burns)

    Set 4 · OREGN 5-7 SEMO · SEMO 9% → 11%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Oregonaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421335.51424372010.525.5
411423.3043036012213
47213.385003400429
4308.375002000425
4103.3333342700005
4000–100820000
4304.750000000214
4204.500120010010.52.5
4000–2111500001
38110.70001040010.59.5
35414.07111230010.56.5
3000–300100000
Team totals6114114.412571116565116995
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417136.44412263010.519.5
47326.154012310219
45623-.043001510005
4114.000011200213
4118.00010010031.52.5
4000–1601700000
4103.3331100101012
4000–111820001
4000–302300000
24110.30000020010.54.5
2000–000000000
1102.50000000010.51.5
Team totals3713112.214335103811110674

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 OREGN · SEMO 6

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 5 OREGNSEMO 2

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 6 OREGNSEMO 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 OREGNSEMO 6

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 6 OREGNSEMO 6

Bars above the line = Southeast Mo. St. leads, below = Oregon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Oregon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%5/7
56%5/9
2
44%4/9
17%1/6
3
44%4/9
67%8/12
4
67%4/6
43%3/7
5
80%4/5
20%1/5
6
40%4/10
33%2/6
All
54%25/46
44%20/45

Southeast Mo. St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
55%6/11
2
67%4/6
60%6/10
3
36%4/11
33%2/6
4
67%4/6
56%5/9
5
80%4/5
20%1/5
6
44%4/9
20%1/5
All
56%25/45
46%21/46

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

169 rallies

#OREGN-SEMOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SEMOOREGNAttack errMarin Johnson+0.6
21-1OREGNSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Alaina Lester+0.7
32-1SEMOOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.7
42-2OREGNSEMOServe errOregon+0.8
53-2SEMOOREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+0.7
64-2OREGNOREGNAceOregon+0.9
74-3OREGNSEMOServe errOregon+0.7
85-3SEMOOREGN×5KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+0.6
96-3OREGNOREGN×5KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.8
107-3OREGNOREGN×5KillAlanah Clementeset Valentina Vaulet+0.7
118-3OREGNOREGN×5KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.5
129-3OREGNOREGN×5KillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.4
139-4OREGNSEMOServe errOregon+0.2
1410-4SEMOOREGNServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+0.3
1510-5OREGNSEMOServe errOregon+0.2
1611-5SEMOOREGN×4KillMarlena Graciaset Valentina Vaulet+0.3
1712-5OREGNOREGN×4KillValentina Vaulet+0.3
1813-5OREGNOREGN×4BlockedAlaina Lesterblk Marlena Gracia, Iva Sucurovic+0.2
1914-5OREGN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
2014-6OREGNSEMOKillAlayna Christnerset Ellie Burns+0.1
2114-7SEMOSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder+0.1
2215-7SEMOOREGNKillMarlena Graciaset Reese Sheppard+0.1
2315-8OREGNSEMOKillAlaina Lesterset Megan Holder+0.1
2416-8SEMOOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marlena Gracia+0.1
2516-9OREGNSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+0.1
2617-9SEMOOREGN×4Serve errSoutheast Mo. St.+0.1
2718-9OREGNOREGN×4AceOregon+0.1
2819-9OREGNOREGN×4BlockedMarin Johnsonblk Dalia Vîrlan, Sjakkie Donkers·
2920-9OREGNOREGN×4AceOregonaced Lucy Arndt·
3020-10OREGNSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder·
3120-11SEMOSEMOBlockedSjakkie Donkersblk Jacey Young·
3221-11SEMOOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover·
3322-11OREGNOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover·
3422-12OREGNSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns·
3523-12SEMOOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover·
3623-13OREGNSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns·
3724-13SEMOOREGNServe errSoutheast Mo. St.·
3824-14OREGNSEMOServe errOregon·
3925-14SEMOOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Kamden Mitchell·
Set 2
10-1OREGNSEMOServe errOregon+0.6
21-1SEMOOREGN×6KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.5
32-1OREGNOREGN×6KillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.7
43-1OREGNOREGN×6BlockedReagan Nelsonblk Alanah Clemente+0.6
54-1OREGNOREGN×6KillValentina Vauletset Reese Sheppard+0.5
65-1OREGNOREGN×6AceOregon+0.4
76-1OREGNOREGN×6AceOregonaced Lucy Arndt+0.3
86-2OREGNSEMOBlockedValentina Vauletblk Marin Johnson, Jacey Young+0.2
97-2SEMOOREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+0.2
107-3OREGNSEMOServe errOregon+0.2
118-3SEMOOREGNServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+0.2
128-4OREGNSEMOServe errOregon+0.2
139-4SEMOOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.2
149-5OREGNSEMO×4BlockedSjakkie Donkersblk Ellie Burns+0.2
159-6SEMOSEMO×4KillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+0.4
169-7SEMOSEMO×4AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Valentina Vaulet+0.6
179-8SEMOSEMO×4Attack errSjakkie Donkers+0.7
1810-8SEMOOREGNServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+0.5
1911-8OREGNOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marlena Gracia+0.6
2011-9OREGNSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+0.4
2112-9SEMOOREGN×3KillValentina Vauletset Marlena Gracia+0.4
2213-9OREGNOREGN×3KillValentina Vauletset Marlena Gracia+0.5
2314-9OREGNOREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Marlena Gracia+0.4
2414-10SEMO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
2515-10SEMOOREGN×5KillValentina Vauletset Marlena Gracia+0.3
2616-10OREGNOREGN×5AceOregonaced Lucy Arndt+0.3
2717-10OREGNOREGN×5Attack errReagan Nelson+0.2
2818-10OREGNOREGN×5KillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.1
2919-10OREGNOREGN×5KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover·
3019-11OREGNSEMOServe errOregon·
3120-11SEMOOREGN×3Attack errReagan Nelson·
3221-11OREGNOREGN×3AceOregonaced Reagan Nelson·
3322-11OREGNOREGN×3BlockedReagan Nelsonblk Alanah Clemente·
3422-12OREGNSEMO×3KillReagan Nelsonset Megan Holder·
3522-13SEMOSEMO×3KillReagan Nelson·
3622-14SEMO
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
3723-14SEMOOREGN×3KillMarlee Arringtonset Marina Crownover·
3824-14OREGNOREGN×3KillMarlee Arringtonset Sjakkie Donkers·
3925-14OREGNOREGN×3BlockedReagan Nelsonblk Iva Sucurovic, Marlee Arrington·
Set 3
11-0SEMOOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.2
22-0OREGNOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.3
32-1OREGNSEMO×6Serve errOregon+0.2
42-2SEMOSEMO×6AceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Maila Ribeiro+0.3
52-3SEMOSEMO×6Attack errValentina Vaulet+0.4
62-4SEMOSEMO×6Attack errDalia Vîrlan+0.5
72-5SEMOSEMO×6KillMarin Johnson+0.5
82-6SEMOSEMO×6KillMarin Johnsonset Lucy Arndt+0.5
93-6SEMOOREGN×3KillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.3
104-6OREGNOREGN×3KillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.5
115-6OREGNOREGN×3AceOregonaced Marin Johnson+0.5
125-7OREGNSEMO×3Bad setReese Sheppard+0.4
135-8SEMOSEMO×3BlockedAlanah Clementeblk Paige Smith+0.6
145-9SEMOSEMO×3AceSoutheast Mo. St.+0.6
156-9SEMOOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.3
167-9OREGNOREGNKillSjakkie Donkers+0.5
177-10OREGNSEMOServe errOregon+0.4
187-11SEMOSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Holland Guilliams+0.6
198-11SEMOOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.3
208-12OREGNSEMOBlockedAlanah Clementeblk Alaina Lester+0.5
218-13SEMOSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+0.6
229-13SEMOOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.3
239-14OREGNSEMOServe errOregon+0.4
2410-14SEMOOREGN×3KillIva Sucurovicset Marlena Gracia+0.3
2511-14OREGNOREGN×3KillIva Sucurovicset Marlena Gracia+0.5
2612-14OREGNOREGN×3KillValentina Vauletset Marlena Gracia+0.6
2712-15OREGNSEMOServe errOregon+0.5
2812-16SEMOSEMOKillJacey Youngset Reagan Nelson+0.7
2913-16SEMOOREGNServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+0.4
3013-17OREGNSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+0.5
3114-17SEMOOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marlena Gracia+0.4
3214-18OREGNSEMOKillPaige Smithset Megan Holder+0.5
3315-18SEMOOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.4
3415-19OREGNSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+0.6
3515-20SEMOSEMOAttack errSjakkie Donkers+0.6
3616-20SEMOOREGNServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+0.3
3716-21OREGNSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+0.4
3817-21SEMOOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.2
3917-22OREGNSEMOBlockedAlanah Clementeblk Alaina Lester+0.4
4017-23SEMOSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Holland Guilliams+0.3
4118-23SEMOOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+0.1
4219-23OREGNOREGNBlockedLucy Arndtblk Marlee Arrington, Iva Sucurovic+0.2
4319-24OREGNSEMOKillEllie Burnsset Holland Guilliams+0.3
4420-24SEMOOREGNKillMarlee Arringtonset Kamden Mitchell+0.1
4520-25OREGNSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+0.2
Set 4
10-1OREGNSEMOServe errOregon+1.1
21-1SEMOOREGNServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+1.0
31-2OREGNSEMOKillPaige Smithset Megan Holder+1.2
42-2SEMOOREGNServe errSoutheast Mo. St.+1.0
53-2OREGNOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Alanah Clemente+1.4
63-3OREGNSEMO×4KillMarin Johnsonset Megan Holder+1.1
73-4SEMOSEMO×4Attack errDalia Vîrlan+1.8
83-5SEMOSEMO×4Bad setMarina Crownover+2.0
93-6SEMOSEMO×4Attack errAlanah Clemente+2.2
104-6SEMOOREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+1.3
115-6OREGNOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Alanah Clemente+1.9
125-7OREGNSEMOKillMarin Johnsonset Ellie Burns+1.5
136-7SEMOOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+1.3
147-7OREGNOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Alanah Clemente+1.9
157-8OREGNSEMOKillReagan Nelsonset Ellie Burns+1.5
168-8SEMOOREGN×3KillLaura Eichertset Marlena Gracia+1.3
179-8OREGNOREGN×3BlockedReagan Nelsonblk Iva Sucurovic, Valentina Vaulet+1.8
1810-8OREGNOREGN×3AceOregonaced Nina Schuberth+1.6
1910-9OREGNSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns+1.1
2011-9SEMOOREGN×3Attack errJacey Young+1.1
2112-9OREGNOREGN×3KillValentina Vauletset Maila Ribeiro+1.4
2213-9OREGNOREGN×3AceOregonaced Nina Schuberth+1.1
2313-10OREGNSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder+0.7
2413-11SEMOSEMOAceSoutheast Mo. St.aced Maila Ribeiro+1.3
2514-11SEMOOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marlena Gracia+1.0
2614-12OREGNSEMOKillPaige Smithset Megan Holder+1.0
2715-12SEMOOREGN×6KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+1.0
2816-12OREGNOREGN×6KillDalia Vîrlan+1.2
2917-12OREGNOREGN×6BlockedPaige Smithblk Dalia Vîrlan, Laura Eichert+0.8
3018-12OREGNOREGN×6BlockedMarin Johnsonblk Dalia Vîrlan+0.5
3119-12OREGNOREGN×6KillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+0.3
3220-12OREGNOREGN×6KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+0.1
3320-13OREGNSEMOKillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder·
3421-13SEMOOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+0.1
3522-13OREGNOREGNKillMarina Crownoverset Marina Crownover·
3622-14OREGNSEMOServe errOregon·
3723-14SEMOOREGNServe errSoutheast Mo. St.·
3823-15OREGNSEMOServe errOregon·
3924-15SEMOOREGNKillIva Sucurovicset Marina Crownover·
4024-16OREGNSEMO×6KillLucy Arndtset Ellie Burns·
4124-17SEMOSEMO×6KillLucy Arndtset Megan Holder·
4224-18SEMOSEMO×6KillPaige Smithset Megan Holder·
4324-19SEMOSEMO×6KillReagan Nelsonset Nina Schuberth·
4424-20SEMOSEMO×6Attack errLaura Eichert+0.1
4524-21SEMOSEMO×6Attack errValentina Vaulet+0.3
4625-21SEMOOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Kamden Mitchell+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Oregon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).