Final · 4 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

#25OREGNOregon

3:1

HomeOVC

SEMOSoutheast Mo. St.

Oregon def. Southeast Mo. St. 3–1

(25-14, 25-14, 20-25, 25-21)

Set	1*	2*	3	4	Sets
OREGN	25	25	20	25	3
SEMO	14	14	25	21	1

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SEMO above 50 · OREGN below

Biggest swing: 2.1% to Southeast Mo. St. — set 4, OREGN 3-6 SEMO. Attack error by Alanah Clemente. SEMO win probability 10% → 12%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

OREGN 91.9%8.1% SEMO

Oregon wins

3-0

47.9%

3-1

31.3%

3-2

12.7%

Southeast Mo. St. wins

3-0

1.0%

3-1

2.4%

3-2

4.7%

OREGN break %: 47.1% vs this opp
SEMO break %: 36.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Alanah ClementeAttack error+2.1%
Attack error by Alanah Clemente
Set 4 · OREGN 3-6 SEMO · SEMO 10% → 12%
02
Marina CrownoverBad set+1.9%
Bad set by Marina Crownover
Set 4 · OREGN 3-5 SEMO · SEMO 8% → 10%
03
Laura EichertKill+1.8%
Kill by Laura Eichert (set by Alanah Clemente)
Set 4 · OREGN 5-6 SEMO · OREGN 90% → 91%
04
Laura EichertKill+1.7%
Kill by Laura Eichert (set by Alanah Clemente)
Set 4 · OREGN 7-7 SEMO · OREGN 91% → 93%
05
Reagan NelsonAttack error+1.7%
Reagan Nelson stuffed by Iva Sucurovic & Valentina Vaulet
Set 4 · OREGN 9-8 SEMO · OREGN 93% → 94%
06
Dalia VîrlanAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Dalia Vîrlan
Set 4 · OREGN 3-4 SEMO · SEMO 6% → 8%
07
Marin JohnsonKill+1.5%
Kill by Marin Johnson (set by Ellie Burns)
Set 4 · OREGN 5-7 SEMO · SEMO 9% → 10%
08
OREGN serverAce+1.4%
Oregon ace on Nina Schuberth
Set 4 · OREGN 10-8 SEMO · OREGN 94% → 96%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Oregonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Valentina VauletOH	4	21	3	35	.514	2	4	3	7	2	0	1	0.5	25.5
7Alanah ClementeOPP	4	11	4	23	.304	3	0	3	6	0	1	2	2	13
17Dalia VîrlanMB	4	7	2	13	.385	0	0	3	4	0	0	4	2	9
14Iva SucurovicMB	4	3	0	8	.375	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	2	5
44Marina CrownoverS	4	1	0	3	.333	33	4	2	7	0	0	0	0	5
1Maila RibeiroL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	8	2	0	0	0	0
11Marlee ArringtonOPP	4	3	0	4	.750	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
21Marlena GraciaS	4	2	0	4	.500	12	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
2Reese SheppardL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	15	0	0	0	0	1
22Laura EichertOH	3	8	1	10	.700	0	1	0	4	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
3Sjakkie DonkersOH	3	5	4	14	.071	1	1	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
5Kamden MitchellS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		61	14	114	.412	57	11	16	56	5	1	16	9	95

Southeast Mo. St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Lucy ArndtOH	4	17	1	36	.444	1	2	2	6	3	0	1	0.5	19.5
4Marin JohnsonOH	4	7	3	26	.154	0	1	2	3	1	0	2	1	9
12Reagan NelsonOH	4	5	6	23	-.043	0	0	1	5	1	0	0	0	5
19Jacey YoungMB	4	1	1	4	.000	0	1	1	2	0	0	2	1	3
24Alaina LesterMB	4	1	1	8	.000	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
11Megan HolderS	4	0	0	0	–	16	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	0
6Ellie BurnsS	4	1	0	3	.333	11	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	2
1Nina SchuberthL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	8	2	0	0	0	1
8Holland GuilliamsL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	2	3	0	0	0	0	0
3Paige SmithOH	2	4	1	10	.300	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
14Harper HighfillL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Alayna ChristnerOH	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		37	13	112	.214	33	5	10	38	11	1	10	6	74

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 OREGN · SEMO 6

Set 1*

25-14

Longest run 5 OREGNSEMO 2

Set 2*

25-14

Longest run 6 OREGNSEMO 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 OREGNSEMO 6

Set 4

25-21

Longest run 6 OREGNSEMO 6

Bars above the line = Southeast Mo. St. leads, below = Oregon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Oregon

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	71%5/7	56%5/9
2	44%4/9	17%1/6
3	44%4/9	67%8/12
4	67%4/6	43%3/7
5	80%4/5	20%1/5
6	40%4/10	33%2/6
All	54%25/46	44%20/45

Southeast Mo. St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	55%6/11
2	67%4/6	60%6/10
3	36%4/11	33%2/6
4	67%4/6	56%5/9
5	80%4/5	20%1/5
6	44%4/9	20%1/5
All	56%25/45	46%21/46

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

169 rallies

Rally log

#	OREGN-SEMO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	SEMO	OREGN	Attack err	Marin Johnson		+0.6
2	1-1	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Alaina Lester	+0.7
3	2-1	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+0.6
4	2-2	OREGN	SEMO	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.7
5	3-2	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+0.6
6	4-2	OREGN	OREGN	Ace	OREGN server	aced Team	+0.8
7	4-3	OREGN	SEMO	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.6
8	5-3	SEMO	OREGN×5	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+0.6
9	6-3	OREGN	OREGN×5	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+0.7
10	7-3	OREGN	OREGN×5	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Valentina Vaulet	+0.6
11	8-3	OREGN	OREGN×5	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+0.5
12	9-3	OREGN	OREGN×5	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Marina Crownover	+0.3
13	9-4	OREGN	SEMO	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.2
14	10-4	SEMO	OREGN	Serve err	SEMO server		+0.2
15	10-5	OREGN	SEMO	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.2
16	11-5	SEMO	OREGN×4	Kill	Marlena Gracia	set Valentina Vaulet	+0.2
17	12-5	OREGN	OREGN×4	Kill	Valentina Vaulet		+0.2
18	13-5	OREGN	OREGN×4	Attack err	Alaina Lester	blk Marlena Gracia, Iva Sucurovic	+0.2
19	14-5	OREGN	OREGN×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
20	14-6	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Alayna Christner	set Ellie Burns	+0.0
21	14-7	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder	+0.1
22	15-7	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Marlena Gracia	set Reese Sheppard	+0.1
23	15-8	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Alaina Lester	set Megan Holder	+0.1
24	16-8	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marlena Gracia	+0.1
25	16-9	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder	+0.1
26	17-9	SEMO	OREGN×4	Serve err	SEMO server		+0.1
27	18-9	OREGN	OREGN×4	Ace	OREGN server	aced Team	+0.1
28	19-9	OREGN	OREGN×4	Attack err	Marin Johnson	blk Dalia Vîrlan, Sjakkie Donkers	+0.0
29	20-9	OREGN	OREGN×4	Ace	OREGN server	aced Lucy Arndt	+0.0
30	20-10	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder	+0.0
31	20-11	SEMO	SEMO	Attack err	Sjakkie Donkers	blk Jacey Young	+0.0
32	21-11	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
33	22-11	OREGN	OREGN	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
34	22-12	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns	+0.0
35	23-12	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
36	23-13	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns	+0.0
37	24-13	SEMO	OREGN	Serve err	SEMO server		+0.0
38	24-14	OREGN	SEMO	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.0
39	25-14	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Kamden Mitchell	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	OREGN	SEMO	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.5
2	1-1	SEMO	OREGN×6	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+0.5
3	2-1	OREGN	OREGN×6	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+0.6
4	3-1	OREGN	OREGN×6	Attack err	Reagan Nelson	blk Alanah Clemente	+0.5
5	4-1	OREGN	OREGN×6	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Reese Sheppard	+0.4
6	5-1	OREGN	OREGN×6	Ace	OREGN server	aced Team	+0.4
7	6-1	OREGN	OREGN×6	Ace	OREGN server	aced Lucy Arndt	+0.3
8	6-2	OREGN	SEMO	Attack err	Valentina Vaulet	blk Marin Johnson, Jacey Young	+0.2
9	7-2	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+0.2
10	7-3	OREGN	SEMO	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.2
11	8-3	SEMO	OREGN	Serve err	SEMO server		+0.2
12	8-4	OREGN	SEMO	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.2
13	9-4	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+0.2
14	9-5	OREGN	SEMO×4	Attack err	Sjakkie Donkers	blk Ellie Burns	+0.2
15	9-6	SEMO	SEMO×4	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns	+0.4
16	9-7	SEMO	SEMO×4	Ace	SEMO server	aced Valentina Vaulet	+0.5
17	9-8	SEMO	SEMO×4	Attack err	Sjakkie Donkers		+0.7
18	10-8	SEMO	OREGN	Serve err	SEMO server		+0.5
19	11-8	OREGN	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marlena Gracia	+0.6
20	11-9	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns	+0.4
21	12-9	SEMO	OREGN×3	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marlena Gracia	+0.4
22	13-9	OREGN	OREGN×3	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marlena Gracia	+0.5
23	14-9	OREGN	OREGN×3	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marlena Gracia	+0.3
24	14-10	OREGN	SEMO	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
25	15-10	SEMO	OREGN×5	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marlena Gracia	+0.2
26	16-10	OREGN	OREGN×5	Ace	OREGN server	aced Lucy Arndt	+0.2
27	17-10	OREGN	OREGN×5	Attack err	Reagan Nelson		+0.1
28	18-10	OREGN	OREGN×5	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+0.1
29	19-10	OREGN	OREGN×5	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
30	19-11	OREGN	SEMO	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.0
31	20-11	SEMO	OREGN×3	Attack err	Reagan Nelson		+0.0
32	21-11	OREGN	OREGN×3	Ace	OREGN server	aced Reagan Nelson	+0.0
33	22-11	OREGN	OREGN×3	Attack err	Reagan Nelson	blk Alanah Clemente	+0.0
34	22-12	OREGN	SEMO×3	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Megan Holder	+0.0
35	22-13	SEMO	SEMO×3	Kill	Reagan Nelson		+0.0
36	22-14	SEMO	SEMO×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
37	23-14	SEMO	OREGN×3	Kill	Marlee Arrington	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
38	24-14	OREGN	OREGN×3	Kill	Marlee Arrington	set Sjakkie Donkers	+0.0
39	25-14	OREGN	OREGN×3	Attack err	Reagan Nelson	blk Iva Sucurovic, Marlee Arrington	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+0.2
2	2-0	OREGN	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+0.2
3	2-1	OREGN	SEMO×6	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.2
4	2-2	SEMO	SEMO×6	Ace	SEMO server	aced Maila Ribeiro	+0.3
5	2-3	SEMO	SEMO×6	Attack err	Valentina Vaulet		+0.4
6	2-4	SEMO	SEMO×6	Attack err	Dalia Vîrlan		+0.4
7	2-5	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Marin Johnson		+0.4
8	2-6	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Lucy Arndt	+0.5
9	3-6	SEMO	OREGN×3	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+0.3
10	4-6	OREGN	OREGN×3	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+0.4
11	5-6	OREGN	OREGN×3	Ace	OREGN server	aced Marin Johnson	+0.4
12	5-7	OREGN	SEMO×3	Bad set	Reese Sheppard		+0.3
13	5-8	SEMO	SEMO×3	Attack err	Alanah Clemente	blk Paige Smith	+0.5
14	5-9	SEMO	SEMO×3	Ace	SEMO server	aced Team	+0.5
15	6-9	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+0.3
16	7-9	OREGN	OREGN	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers		+0.4
17	7-10	OREGN	SEMO	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.4
18	7-11	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Holland Guilliams	+0.6
19	8-11	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Marina Crownover	+0.3
20	8-12	OREGN	SEMO	Attack err	Alanah Clemente	blk Alaina Lester	+0.4
21	8-13	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns	+0.6
22	9-13	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+0.3
23	9-14	OREGN	SEMO	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.4
24	10-14	SEMO	OREGN×3	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Marlena Gracia	+0.3
25	11-14	OREGN	OREGN×3	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Marlena Gracia	+0.5
26	12-14	OREGN	OREGN×3	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marlena Gracia	+0.5
27	12-15	OREGN	SEMO	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.5
28	12-16	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Jacey Young	set Reagan Nelson	+0.7
29	13-16	SEMO	OREGN	Serve err	SEMO server		+0.3
30	13-17	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder	+0.5
31	14-17	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marlena Gracia	+0.3
32	14-18	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Paige Smith	set Megan Holder	+0.5
33	15-18	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+0.3
34	15-19	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder	+0.5
35	15-20	SEMO	SEMO	Attack err	Sjakkie Donkers		+0.6
36	16-20	SEMO	OREGN	Serve err	SEMO server		+0.2
37	16-21	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Ellie Burns	+0.4
38	17-21	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+0.2
39	17-22	OREGN	SEMO	Attack err	Alanah Clemente	blk Alaina Lester	+0.4
40	17-23	SEMO	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Holland Guilliams	+0.3
41	18-23	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Laura Eichert	set Marina Crownover	+0.1
42	19-23	OREGN	OREGN	Attack err	Lucy Arndt	blk Marlee Arrington, Iva Sucurovic	+0.2
43	19-24	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Ellie Burns	set Holland Guilliams	+0.3
44	20-24	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Marlee Arrington	set Kamden Mitchell	+0.1
45	20-25	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder	+0.2
Set 4
1	0-1	OREGN	SEMO	Serve err	OREGN server		+1.1
2	1-1	SEMO	OREGN	Serve err	SEMO server		+1.0
3	1-2	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Paige Smith	set Megan Holder	+1.1
4	2-2	SEMO	OREGN	Serve err	SEMO server		+1.0
5	3-2	OREGN	OREGN	Kill	Laura Eichert	set Alanah Clemente	+1.3
6	3-3	OREGN	SEMO×4	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Megan Holder	+1.0
7	3-4	SEMO	SEMO×4	Attack err	Dalia Vîrlan		+1.6
8	3-5	SEMO	SEMO×4	Bad set	Marina Crownover		+1.9
9	3-6	SEMO	SEMO×4	Attack err	Alanah Clemente		+2.1
10	4-6	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+1.3
11	5-6	OREGN	OREGN	Kill	Laura Eichert	set Alanah Clemente	+1.8
12	5-7	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Marin Johnson	set Ellie Burns	+1.5
13	6-7	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Laura Eichert	set Marina Crownover	+1.3
14	7-7	OREGN	OREGN	Kill	Laura Eichert	set Alanah Clemente	+1.7
15	7-8	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Ellie Burns	+1.4
16	8-8	SEMO	OREGN×3	Kill	Laura Eichert	set Marlena Gracia	+1.2
17	9-8	OREGN	OREGN×3	Attack err	Reagan Nelson	blk Iva Sucurovic, Valentina Vaulet	+1.7
18	10-8	OREGN	OREGN×3	Ace	OREGN server	aced Nina Schuberth	+1.4
19	10-9	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns	+1.1
20	11-9	SEMO	OREGN×3	Attack err	Jacey Young		+1.0
21	12-9	OREGN	OREGN×3	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Maila Ribeiro	+1.3
22	13-9	OREGN	OREGN×3	Ace	OREGN server	aced Nina Schuberth	+1.0
23	13-10	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder	+0.6
24	13-11	SEMO	SEMO	Ace	SEMO server	aced Maila Ribeiro	+1.2
25	14-11	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marlena Gracia	+0.9
26	14-12	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Paige Smith	set Megan Holder	+0.9
27	15-12	SEMO	OREGN×6	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+1.0
28	16-12	OREGN	OREGN×6	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan		+1.1
29	17-12	OREGN	OREGN×6	Attack err	Paige Smith	blk Dalia Vîrlan, Laura Eichert	+0.8
30	18-12	OREGN	OREGN×6	Attack err	Marin Johnson	blk Dalia Vîrlan	+0.5
31	19-12	OREGN	OREGN×6	Kill	Laura Eichert	set Marina Crownover	+0.3
32	20-12	OREGN	OREGN×6	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+0.1
33	20-13	OREGN	SEMO	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder	+0.0
34	21-13	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Laura Eichert	set Marina Crownover	+0.1
35	22-13	OREGN	OREGN	Kill	Marina Crownover	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
36	22-14	OREGN	SEMO	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.0
37	23-14	SEMO	OREGN	Serve err	SEMO server		+0.0
38	23-15	OREGN	SEMO	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.0
39	24-15	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
40	24-16	OREGN	SEMO×6	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Ellie Burns	+0.0
41	24-17	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Lucy Arndt	set Megan Holder	+0.0
42	24-18	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Paige Smith	set Megan Holder	+0.0
43	24-19	SEMO	SEMO×6	Kill	Reagan Nelson	set Nina Schuberth	+0.0
44	24-20	SEMO	SEMO×6	Attack err	Laura Eichert		+0.1
45	24-21	SEMO	SEMO×6	Attack err	Valentina Vaulet		+0.3
46	25-21	SEMO	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Kamden Mitchell	+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Oregon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.