Final · 4 setsTue, Sep 1, 2026

Oregon def. Missouri 3–1

Oregon won at Missouri 3-1 (16-25, 25-16, 25-20, 25-19) on Tue, Sep 1, 2026. Oregon's Valentina Vaulet led with 16 kills, and Laura Eichert added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 1

Set1234Sets
OREGN162525253
MIZZOU251620191

Win probability

Missouri above 50 · Oregon below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.5% OREGNrally 171 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.5% to Oregon — set 3, OREGN 18-16 MIZZOU. Attack error by Nina Mandovic. MIZZOU win probability 40% → 35%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

OREGN 58.2%41.8% MIZZOU

Oregon wins

3-0
16.3%
3-1
22.2%
3-2
19.8%

Missouri wins

3-0
9.4%
3-1
15.3%
3-2
17.1%
OREGN break %
42.1% vs this opp
MIZZOU break %
40.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Nina MandovicAttack error+5.5%

    Attack error by Nina Mandovic

    Set 3 · OREGN 18-16 MIZZOU · OREGN 60% → 65%

  2. 02
    Ceylin KuyanKill+5.1%

    Kill by Ceylin Kuyan (set by Nina Mandovic)

    Set 3 · OREGN 15-15 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 39% → 44%

  3. 03

    Paige Felder stuffed by Alanah Clemente & Dalia Vîrlan

    Set 3 · OREGN 20-17 MIZZOU · OREGN 66% → 71%

  4. 04
    OregonAce+4.5%

    Oregon ace on Paige Felder

    Set 3 · OREGN 12-11 MIZZOU · OREGN 55% → 59%

  5. 05
    Laura EichertBlock+4.4%

    Maca Lobaglio stuffed by Laura Eichert

    Set 3 · OREGN 13-11 MIZZOU · OREGN 59% → 64%

  6. 06

    Kill by Valentina Vaulet (set by Marlena Gracia)

    Set 4 · OREGN 18-15 MIZZOU · OREGN 87% → 92%

  7. 07
    Laura EichertAttack error+4.3%

    Attack error by Laura Eichert

    Set 4 · OREGN 16-15 MIZZOU · MIZZOU 12% → 16%

  8. 08
    OregonAce+4.2%

    Oregon ace

    Set 3 · OREGN 10-10 MIZZOU · OREGN 51% → 55%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Oregonaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416631.3232221200018
413229.37901430052.516.5
46215.26711000132.59.5
46113.385000100639
4115.00048231100214
1000–000410000
415326.46230013012217
4000–0001000000
1011-1.000000000000
1001.000100000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5716121.33955694332181191
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414223.5220000004216
410527.18500140010.510.5
46010.600004101439
4318.250312190031.56.5
32320-.050000121224
3000–101310000
410423.2610000002111
4000–2101820001
3216.167000000002
3000–900200000
2416.500000200004
1000–001000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5117123.27643384062161080

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 OREGN · MIZZOU 7

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 3 OREGNMIZZOU 7

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 7 OREGNMIZZOU 2

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 OREGNMIZZOU 4

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 4 OREGNMIZZOU 3

Bars above the line = Missouri leads, below = Oregon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Oregon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
22%2/9
2
54%7/13
53%8/15
3
55%6/11
45%5/11
4
67%6/9
45%5/11
5
75%6/8
14%1/7
6
83%5/6
54%7/13
All
63%38/60
42%28/66

Missouri

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
40%4/10
2
50%7/14
50%8/16
3
55%6/11
22%2/9
4
60%6/10
40%4/10
5
75%6/8
40%4/10
6
45%5/11
0%0/5
All
58%38/66
37%22/60

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

171 rallies

#OREGN-MIZZOUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MIZZOUMIZZOUBlockedMarina Crownoverblk Paige Felder+2.5
20-2MIZZOUMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Nina Mandovic+2.6
31-2MIZZOUOREGN×3KillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+1.7
42-2OREGNOREGN×3KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+2.6
53-2OREGNOREGN×3Attack errPaige Felder+2.6
63-3OREGNMIZZOUKillPaige Felderset Nina Mandovic+1.8
74-3MIZZOUOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+1.9
84-4OREGNMIZZOUServe errOregon+1.9
94-5MIZZOUMIZZOUKillMaca Lobaglioset Nina Mandovic+2.8
105-5MIZZOUOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+1.9
116-5OREGNOREGNAceOregonaced Ainoah Cruz+2.8
126-6OREGNMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Nina Mandovic+2.0
136-7MIZZOUMIZZOUAceMissouriaced Valentina Vaulet+2.9
147-7MIZZOUOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+2.0
157-8OREGNMIZZOUKillMaca Lobaglioset Nina Mandovic+2.1
168-8MIZZOUOREGNKillIva Sucurovicset Marina Crownover+2.1
179-8OREGNOREGNAceOregonaced Zoey Matias+3.0
189-9OREGNMIZZOUServe errOregon+2.1
1910-9MIZZOUOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+2.2
2010-10OREGNMIZZOUKillNina Mandovicset Zoey Matias+2.2
2110-11MIZZOUMIZZOUBlockedMarlee Arringtonblk Lauren Larkin, Paige Felder+3.3
2211-11MIZZOUOREGNServe errMissouri+2.3
2311-12OREGNMIZZOU×7KillLauren Larkinset Nina Mandovic+2.4
2411-13MIZZOUMIZZOU×7KillLauren Larkin+3.5
2511-14MIZZOUMIZZOU×7KillLauren Larkin+3.3
2611-15MIZZOUMIZZOU×7AceMissouriaced Maila Ribeiro+3.0
2711-16MIZZOUMIZZOU×7AceMissouriaced Valentina Vaulet+2.5
2811-17MIZZOUMIZZOU×7KillPaige Felderset Ainoah Cruz+1.9
2911-18MIZZOUMIZZOU×7Attack errValentina Vaulet+1.3
3012-18MIZZOUOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.5
3113-18OREGNOREGNAceOregonaced Paige Felder+1.2
3213-19OREGNMIZZOUKillMaca Lobaglioset Nina Mandovic+1.2
3313-20MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errDalia Vîrlan+1.1
3414-20MIZZOUOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.4
3514-21OREGNMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Nina Mandovic+0.7
3615-21MIZZOUOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+0.3
3715-22OREGNMIZZOU×3KillMaca Lobaglioset Nina Mandovic+0.5
3815-23MIZZOUMIZZOU×3BlockedAlanah Clementeblk Eva Smith, Ceylin Kuyan+0.3
3915-24MIZZOUMIZZOU×3BlockedLaura Eichertblk Nina Mandovic, Eva Smith+0.1
4016-24MIZZOUOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover·
4116-25OREGNMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Nina Mandovic·
Set 2
10-1OREGNMIZZOUKillNina Mandovicset Marina Crownover+2.0
21-1MIZZOUOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+1.9
32-1OREGNOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+2.8
42-2OREGNMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Nina Mandovic+2.0
53-2MIZZOUOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+2.0
63-3OREGNMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Nina Mandovic+2.0
73-4MIZZOUMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Nina Mandovic+3.0
84-4MIZZOUOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+2.1
95-4OREGNOREGNBlockedMaca Lobaglioblk Laura Eichert, Iva Sucurovic+3.0
105-5OREGNMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Ainoah Cruz+2.1
116-5MIZZOUOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+2.1
126-6OREGNMIZZOUServe errOregon+2.2
137-6MIZZOUOREGN×7Serve errMissouri+2.2
148-6OREGNOREGN×7KillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+3.0
159-6OREGNOREGN×7KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+2.8
1610-6OREGNOREGN×7Serve errOregon+2.5
1711-6OREGNOREGN×7KillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+2.2
1812-6OREGNOREGN×7KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.7
1913-6OREGNOREGN×7KillIva Sucurovicset Marina Crownover+1.3
2013-7OREGNMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+0.7
2113-8MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errValentina Vaulet+1.3
2214-8MIZZOUOREGNServe errMissouri+1.2
2314-9OREGNMIZZOUKillGrace O'Reillyset Sierra Dudley+0.9
2415-9MIZZOUOREGNServe errMissouri+1.2
2515-10OREGNMIZZOUKillMaca Lobaglioset Nina Mandovic+0.9
2616-10MIZZOUOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.2
2717-10OREGNOREGNAttack errLauren Larkin+1.1
2817-11OREGNMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Nina Mandovic+0.5
2918-11MIZZOUOREGNBlockedCeylin Kuyanblk Dalia Vîrlan, Alanah Clemente+0.8
3019-11OREGNOREGNBlockedCeylin Kuyanblk Iva Sucurovic, Alanah Clemente+0.6
3119-12OREGNMIZZOUBad setValentina Vaulet+0.2
3220-12MIZZOUOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+0.4
3320-13OREGNMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Sierra Dudley+0.2
3421-13MIZZOUOREGNKillIva Sucurovicset Marina Crownover+0.3
3521-14OREGNMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Sierra Dudley+0.1
3622-14MIZZOUOREGNServe errMissouri+0.2
3722-15OREGNMIZZOUAttack errValentina Vaulet+0.1
3822-16MIZZOUMIZZOUBlockedValentina Vauletblk Maca Lobaglio, Lauren Larkin+0.2
3923-16MIZZOUOREGN×3KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+0.3
4024-16OREGNOREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.1
4125-16OREGNOREGN×3KillValentina Vauletset Laura Eichert·
Set 3
11-0MIZZOUOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+2.3
22-0OREGNOREGNKillLaura Eichert+3.2
32-1OREGNMIZZOUBlockedDalia Vîrlanblk Nina Mandovic, Lauren Larkin+2.2
43-1MIZZOUOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+2.3
54-1OREGNOREGNBlockedPaige Felderblk Alanah Clemente, Iva Sucurovic+3.1
64-2OREGNMIZZOUKillMaca Lobaglioset Nina Mandovic+2.1
75-2MIZZOUOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Ceylin Kuyan+2.2
85-3OREGNMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Nina Mandovic+2.1
96-3MIZZOUOREGNBlockedCeylin Kuyanblk Marina Crownover, Iva Sucurovic+2.3
106-4OREGNMIZZOU×4KillMaca Lobaglioset Nina Mandovic+2.2
116-5MIZZOUMIZZOU×4BlockedValentina Vauletblk Eva Smith, Nina Mandovic+3.4
126-6MIZZOUMIZZOU×4Attack errValentina Vaulet+3.7
136-7MIZZOUMIZZOU×4KillCeylin Kuyanset Nina Mandovic+3.9
147-7MIZZOUOREGNServe errMissouri+2.7
157-8OREGNMIZZOUKillEva Smithset Marina Crownover+2.9
167-9MIZZOUMIZZOUBlockedAlanah Clementeblk Paige Felder, Eva Smith+4.1
178-9MIZZOUOREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+2.7
188-10OREGNMIZZOUServe errOregon+3.0
199-10MIZZOUOREGNServe errMissouri+2.8
2010-10OREGNOREGNAceOregon+4.2
2110-11OREGNMIZZOUServe errOregon+3.2
2211-11MIZZOUOREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Valentina Vaulet+3.1
2312-11OREGNOREGN×3AceOregonaced Paige Felder+4.5
2413-11OREGNOREGN×3BlockedMaca Lobaglioblk Laura Eichert+4.4
2513-12OREGNMIZZOUBlockedLaura Eichertblk Maca Lobaglio, Lauren Larkin+2.9
2614-12MIZZOUOREGNKillIva Sucurovicset Marina Crownover+3.2
2714-13OREGNMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Nina Mandovic+3.0
2815-13OREGN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.3
2915-14OREGNMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Nina Mandovic+3.1
3015-15MIZZOUMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Nina Mandovic+5.1
3116-15MIZZOUOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+3.8
3216-16OREGNMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Nina Mandovic+3.8
3317-16MIZZOUOREGNKillMarina Crownoverset Laura Eichert+4.0
3418-16OREGNOREGNAttack errNina Mandovic+5.5
3518-17OREGNMIZZOUKillNina Mandovic+3.5
3619-17MIZZOUOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+4.1
3720-17OREGNOREGNBlockedPaige Felderblk Alanah Clemente, Dalia Vîrlan+5.0
3820-18OREGNMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Nina Mandovic+2.7
3921-18MIZZOUOREGN×4KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+3.7
4022-18OREGNOREGN×4Bad setMaca Lobaglio+3.7
4123-18OREGNOREGN×4KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+2.0
4224-18OREGNOREGN×4KillLaura Eichertset Dalia Vîrlan+0.7
4324-19OREGNMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Sierra Dudley+0.1
4424-20MIZZOUMIZZOUKillLauren Larkin+0.4
4525-20MIZZOUOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.6
Set 4
10-1OREGNMIZZOUKillMaca Lobaglioset Nina Mandovic+2.3
20-2MIZZOUMIZZOUKillMaca Lobaglioset Nina Mandovic+3.2
31-2MIZZOUOREGN×4KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+2.2
42-2OREGNOREGN×4KillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+3.2
53-2OREGNOREGN×4Bad setNina Mandovic+3.2
64-2OREGNOREGN×4KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+3.2
74-3OREGNMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Nina Mandovic+2.2
85-3MIZZOUOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+2.3
96-3OREGNOREGNBlockedGrace O'Reillyblk Laura Eichert, Iva Sucurovic+3.0
106-4OREGNMIZZOU×3KillEva Smithset Sierra Dudley+2.0
116-5MIZZOUMIZZOU×3KillEva Smithset Sierra Dudley+3.2
126-6MIZZOUMIZZOU×3BlockedIva Sucurovicblk Eva Smith+3.5
137-6MIZZOUOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+2.5
148-6OREGNOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+3.5
158-7OREGNMIZZOUServe errOregon+2.4
168-8MIZZOUMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnello+3.7
179-8MIZZOUOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+2.7
189-9OREGNMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Sierra Dudley+2.7
1910-9MIZZOUOREGNKillIva Sucurovicset Marina Crownover+2.7
2010-10OREGNMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Nina Mandovic+2.8
2111-10MIZZOUOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Laura Eichert+2.8
2212-10OREGNOREGNAttack errMaca Lobaglio+3.9
2312-11OREGNMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Nina Mandovic+2.6
2413-11MIZZOUOREGNBlockedMaca Lobaglioblk Alanah Clemente, Dalia Vîrlan+2.9
2513-12OREGNMIZZOUServe errOregon+2.7
2614-12MIZZOUOREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+3.0
2714-13OREGNMIZZOUKillMaca Lobaglioset Sierra Dudley+2.8
2815-13MIZZOUOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+3.1
2916-13OREGNOREGNAttack errMaizy Agnello+4.0
3016-14OREGNMIZZOUServe errOregon+2.4
3116-15MIZZOUMIZZOUAttack errLaura Eichert+4.3
3217-15MIZZOUOREGNServe errMissouri+3.4
3318-15OREGNOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marlena Gracia+4.3
3418-16OREGNMIZZOUKillLauren Larkinset Sierra Dudley+2.5
3519-16MIZZOUOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+3.1
3619-17OREGNMIZZOUKillMaizy Agnelloset Nina Mandovic+2.5
3720-17MIZZOUOREGNBlockedLauren Larkinblk Dalia Vîrlan+3.3
3821-17OREGNOREGNAceOregonaced Ainoah Cruz+3.5
3921-18OREGNMIZZOUServe errOregon+1.6
4022-18MIZZOUOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+2.4
4122-19OREGNMIZZOUKillCeylin Kuyanset Nina Mandovic+1.3
4223-19MIZZOUOREGN×3KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+2.3
4324-19OREGNOREGN×3BlockedCeylin Kuyanblk Marina Crownover, Iva Sucurovic+1.4
4425-19OREGNOREGN×3Attack errCeylin Kuyan+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Oregon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).