FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwayNEC

0:3

HomeBIG-TEN

Oregon def. LIU 3–0

(25-18, 25-16, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LIU	18	16	19	0
OREGN	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

OREGN above 50 · LIU below

Biggest swing: 0.2% to LIU — set 1, LIU 8-6 OREGN. LIU ace on Valentina Vaulet. OREGN win probability 99% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LIU 0.5%99.5% OREGN

LIU wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.3%

Oregon wins

3-0

79.8%

3-1

17.4%

3-2

2.4%

LIU break %: 32.3% vs this opp
OREGN break %: 52.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
LIU serverAce+0.2%
LIU ace on Valentina Vaulet
Set 1 · LIU 8-6 OREGN · LIU 1% → 1%
02
Dalia VîrlanKill+0.2%
Kill by Dalia Vîrlan (set by Marina Crownover)
Set 1 · LIU 8-8 OREGN · OREGN 99% → 99%
03
Alanah ClementeAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Alanah Clemente
Set 2 · LIU 8-5 OREGN · LIU 0% → 1%
04
Alanah ClementeAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Alanah Clemente
Set 1 · LIU 9-8 OREGN · LIU 1% → 1%
05
Bella CorreiaAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Bella Correia
Set 1 · LIU 9-10 OREGN · OREGN 99% → 99%
06
Iva SucurovicAttack error+0.1%
Iva Sucurovic stuffed by Mia Rojas-Avila
Set 1 · LIU 5-4 OREGN · LIU 1% → 1%
07
Alanah ClementeKill+0.1%
Kill by Alanah Clemente (set by Marina Crownover)
Set 1 · LIU 8-7 OREGN · OREGN 99% → 99%
08
Bella CorreiaKill+0.1%
Kill by Bella Correia (set by Dilara Elmacioglu)
Set 1 · LIU 7-6 OREGN · LIU 1% → 1%

Official NCAA box

Box score

LIUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
23Sara van GisterenOH	3	9	4	23	.217	0	0	0	3	0	1	1	1.5	10.5
3Mia Rojas-AvilaOH	3	6	4	18	.111	1	0	1	5	2	1	1	1.5	7.5
13Bella CorreiaOH	3	6	3	17	.176	0	0	2	1	3	0	1	0.5	6.5
15Yasmeen MuhammadMB	3	3	2	12	.083	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	6
7Dilara ElmaciogluS	3	1	0	3	.333	21	1	2	5	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
24Sara GarciaMB	3	1	2	4	-.250	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2
5Miabella MusignacL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	2	4	1	0	0	0	1
2Neela FelibertyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
9Reese TevesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26Daniela De Los Santos CastilloMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Anna LigartOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		26	16	78	.128	25	3	9	20	6	3	8	7	53

Oregonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Alanah ClementeOPP	3	11	6	22	.227	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	1	12
17Dalia VîrlanMB	3	7	1	10	.600	1	0	1	1	0	2	2	3	10
8Valentina VauletOH	3	6	4	17	.118	3	3	1	5	2	0	0	0	9
22Laura EichertOH	3	6	3	14	.214	1	0	1	4	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
14Iva SucurovicMB	3	6	2	12	.333	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
44Marina CrownoverS	3	2	0	2	1.000	27	3	1	8	0	0	0	0	5
2Reese SheppardL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	7	1	0	0	0	0
11Marlee ArringtonOPP	2	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Kamden MitchellS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
6Lizzy RobinsonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
3Sjakkie DonkersOH	1	3	1	4	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
1Maila RibeiroL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Marlena GraciaS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	18	83	.277	38	6	6	32	3	2	6	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 LIU · OREGN 8

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 LIUOREGN 5

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 LIUOREGN 8

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 LIUOREGN 5

Bars above the line = Oregon leads, below = LIU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

LIU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	29%7/24	33%3/9
2	60%6/10	30%3/10
3	50%6/12	45%5/11
4	55%6/11	45%5/11
5	100%5/5	0%0/6
6	36%4/11	38%3/8
All	47%34/73	35%19/55

Oregon

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	72%13/18
2	70%7/10	61%11/18
3	50%6/12	45%5/11
4	67%6/9	54%7/13
5	86%6/7	25%2/8
6	67%4/6	20%1/5
All	65%36/55	53%39/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

128 rallies

Rally log

#	LIU-OREGN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
2	0-2	OREGN	OREGN	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren	blk Alanah Clemente, Dalia Vîrlan	+0.1
3	1-2	OREGN	LIU	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.0
4	1-3	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
5	2-3	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
6	2-4	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Laura Eichert	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
7	3-4	OREGN	LIU×3	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.1
8	4-4	LIU	LIU×3	Attack err	Valentina Vaulet		+0.1
9	5-4	LIU	LIU×3	Attack err	Iva Sucurovic	blk Mia Rojas-Avila	+0.1
10	5-5	LIU	OREGN	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.1
11	6-5	OREGN	LIU	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.1
12	6-6	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+0.1
13	7-6	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
14	8-6	LIU	LIU	Ace	LIU server	aced Valentina Vaulet	+0.2
15	8-7	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+0.1
16	8-8	OREGN	OREGN	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+0.2
17	9-8	OREGN	LIU	Attack err	Alanah Clemente		+0.1
18	9-9	LIU	OREGN×5	Serve err	LIU server		+0.1
19	9-10	OREGN	OREGN×5	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.1
20	9-11	OREGN	OREGN×5	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan		+0.1
21	9-12	OREGN	OREGN×5	Ace	OREGN server	aced Bella Correia	+0.1
22	9-13	OREGN	OREGN×5	Kill	Laura Eichert	set Valentina Vaulet	+0.1
23	10-13	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
24	10-14	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
25	11-14	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Dilara Elmacioglu	set Mia Rojas-Avila	+0.0
26	11-15	LIU	OREGN	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
27	12-15	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Miabella Musignac	+0.0
28	12-16	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
29	13-16	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
30	13-17	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
31	14-17	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
32	14-18	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+0.1
33	14-19	OREGN	OREGN	Attack err	Mia Rojas-Avila		+0.0
34	15-19	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
35	15-20	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
36	15-21	OREGN	OREGN	Attack err	Daniela De Los Santos Castillo	blk Dalia Vîrlan	+0.0
37	16-21	OREGN	LIU×3	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
38	17-21	LIU	LIU×3	Attack err	Dalia Vîrlan		+0.0
39	18-21	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
40	18-22	LIU	OREGN×4	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+0.1
41	18-23	OREGN	OREGN×4	Kill	Laura Eichert	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
42	18-24	OREGN	OREGN×4	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Dalia Vîrlan	+0.0
43	18-25	OREGN	OREGN×4	Attack err	Mia Rojas-Avila		+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	OREGN	LIU	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.0
2	1-1	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
3	2-1	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
4	2-2	LIU	OREGN	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
5	2-3	OREGN	OREGN	Bad set	Yasmeen Muhammad		+0.0
6	3-3	OREGN	LIU×3	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
7	4-3	LIU	LIU×3	Attack err	Laura Eichert	blk Yasmeen Muhammad, Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
8	5-3	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
9	5-4	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Marina Crownover	+0.1
10	6-4	OREGN	LIU	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.1
11	6-5	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Marina Crownover	set Valentina Vaulet	+0.1
12	7-5	OREGN	LIU	Attack err	Alanah Clemente	blk Bella Correia, Yasmeen Muhammad	+0.1
13	8-5	LIU	LIU	Attack err	Alanah Clemente		+0.1
14	8-6	LIU	OREGN	Serve err	LIU server		+0.1
15	9-6	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
16	9-7	LIU	OREGN×8	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+0.1
17	9-8	OREGN	OREGN×8	Bad set	Dilara Elmacioglu		+0.1
18	9-9	OREGN	OREGN×8	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren	blk Dalia Vîrlan, Alanah Clemente	+0.1
19	9-10	OREGN	OREGN×8	Attack err	Sara Garcia		+0.1
20	9-11	OREGN	OREGN×8	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+0.1
21	9-12	OREGN	OREGN×8	Ace	OREGN server	aced Bella Correia	+0.0
22	9-13	OREGN	OREGN×8	Ace	OREGN server	aced Mia Rojas-Avila	+0.0
23	9-14	OREGN	OREGN×8	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
24	10-14	OREGN	LIU	Attack err	Valentina Vaulet		+0.0
25	11-14	LIU	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
26	11-15	LIU	OREGN	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
27	11-16	OREGN	OREGN	Ace	OREGN server	aced Miabella Musignac	+0.0
28	12-16	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Miabella Musignac	+0.0
29	13-16	LIU	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
30	13-17	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Valentina Vaulet	+0.0
31	13-18	OREGN	OREGN	Kill	Laura Eichert	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
32	14-18	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Miabella Musignac	+0.0
33	14-19	LIU	OREGN×4	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren		+0.0
34	14-20	OREGN	OREGN×4	Attack err	Mia Rojas-Avila		+0.0
35	14-21	OREGN	OREGN×4	Kill	Laura Eichert	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
36	14-22	OREGN	OREGN×4	Kill	Laura Eichert	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
37	15-22	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
38	15-23	LIU	OREGN	Attack err	Yasmeen Muhammad	blk Iva Sucurovic, Laura Eichert	+0.0
39	16-23	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
40	16-24	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Kamden Mitchell	+0.0
41	16-25	OREGN	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Reese Sheppard	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	LIU	LIU	Attack err	Valentina Vaulet		+0.0
2	1-1	LIU	OREGN×3	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
3	1-2	OREGN	OREGN×3	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.0
4	1-3	OREGN	OREGN×3	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Laura Eichert	+0.0
5	2-3	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
6	2-4	LIU	OREGN	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
7	3-4	OREGN	LIU×4	Attack err	Alanah Clemente		+0.0
8	4-4	LIU	LIU×4	Ace	LIU server	aced Valentina Vaulet	+0.0
9	5-4	LIU	LIU×4	Attack err	Alanah Clemente	blk Mia Rojas-Avila, Yasmeen Muhammad	+0.0
10	6-4	LIU	LIU×4	Attack err	Laura Eichert	blk Yasmeen Muhammad, Sara van Gisteren	+0.0
11	6-5	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
12	7-5	OREGN	LIU	Attack err	Laura Eichert	blk Sara van Gisteren	+0.0
13	7-6	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
14	8-6	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
15	8-7	LIU	OREGN	Bad set	Dilara Elmacioglu		+0.0
16	9-7	OREGN	LIU	Attack err	Valentina Vaulet		+0.0
17	10-7	LIU	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
18	10-8	LIU	OREGN×5	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
19	10-9	OREGN	OREGN×5	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan		+0.1
20	10-10	OREGN	OREGN×5	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
21	10-11	OREGN	OREGN×5	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
22	10-12	OREGN	OREGN×5	Ace	OREGN server	aced Mia Rojas-Avila	+0.0
23	11-12	OREGN	LIU×3	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
24	12-12	LIU	LIU×3	Ace	LIU server	aced Reese Sheppard	+0.0
25	13-12	LIU	LIU×3	Attack err	Alanah Clemente		+0.1
26	13-13	LIU	OREGN×3	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0
27	13-14	OREGN	OREGN×3	Ace	OREGN server	aced Bella Correia	+0.0
28	13-15	OREGN	OREGN×3	Attack err	Sara Garcia	blk Dalia Vîrlan	+0.0
29	14-15	OREGN	LIU	Attack err	Sjakkie Donkers		+0.0
30	14-16	LIU	OREGN	Kill	Marina Crownover	set Reese Sheppard	+0.0
31	15-16	OREGN	LIU	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.0
32	16-16	LIU	LIU	Attack err	Iva Sucurovic	blk Yasmeen Muhammad	+0.1
33	16-17	LIU	OREGN×5	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
34	16-18	OREGN	OREGN×5	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers		+0.0
35	16-19	OREGN	OREGN×5	Attack err	Mia Rojas-Avila		+0.0
36	16-20	OREGN	OREGN×5	Attack err	Sara van Gisteren		+0.0
37	16-21	OREGN	OREGN×5	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
38	17-21	OREGN	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.0
39	18-21	LIU	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad		+0.0
40	18-22	LIU	OREGN×3	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Marlena Gracia	+0.0
41	18-23	OREGN	OREGN×3	Attack err	Yasmeen Muhammad		+0.0
42	18-24	OREGN	OREGN×3	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Reese Sheppard	+0.0
43	19-24	OREGN	LIU	Attack err	Marlee Arrington		+0.0
44	19-25	LIU	OREGN	Serve err	LIU server		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, LIU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.