Final · 4 setsSun, Sep 13, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

#24OREGNOregon

3:1

HomeWCC

USDSan Diego

Oregon def. San Diego 3–1

(16-25, 25-19, 27-25, 25-17)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
OREGN	16	25	27	25	3
USD	25	19	25	17	1

RallyIQ model

Win probability

USD above 50 · OREGN below

Biggest swing: 13.4% to Oregon — set 3, OREGN 27-25 USD. Emma Brewer stuffed by Iva Sucurovic & Alanah Clemente. USD win probability 39% → 26%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

OREGN 49.1%50.9% USD

Oregon wins

3-0

12.1%

3-1

18.4%

3-2

18.6%

San Diego wins

3-0

12.9%

3-1

19.1%

3-2

18.9%

OREGN break %: 43.2% vs this opp
USD break %: 43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Emma BrewerAttack error+13.4%
Emma Brewer stuffed by Iva Sucurovic & Alanah Clemente
Set 3 · OREGN 27-25 USD · OREGN 61% → 74%
02
Kierstyn BartonKill+13.3%
Kill by Kierstyn Barton (set by Marina Crownover)
Set 3 · OREGN 24-24 USD · USD 36% → 49%
03
Emma BrewerAttack error+13.3%
Attack error by Emma Brewer
Set 3 · OREGN 26-25 USD · OREGN 47% → 61%
04
Sjakkie DonkersAttack error+13.3%
Attack error by Sjakkie Donkers
Set 3 · OREGN 24-25 USD · USD 49% → 63%
05
Kierstyn BartonAttack error+10.1%
Kierstyn Barton stuffed by Dalia Vîrlan & Sjakkie Donkers
Set 3 · OREGN 25-25 USD · OREGN 37% → 47%
06
USD serverService error+7.7%
San Diego service error
Set 3 · OREGN 24-22 USD · OREGN 61% → 68%
07
OREGN serverAce+7.6%
Oregon ace on Emma Brewer
Set 3 · OREGN 22-20 USD · OREGN 56% → 63%
08
Valentina VauletAttack error+6.9%
Attack error by Valentina Vaulet
Set 3 · OREGN 20-20 USD · USD 43% → 50%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Oregonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Valentina VauletOH	4	12	9	41	.073	3	3	5	14	2	0	1	0.5	15.5
14Iva SucurovicMB	4	8	4	22	.182	1	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	9.5
17Dalia VîrlanMB	4	6	1	14	.357	0	1	0	4	0	0	5	2.5	9.5
44Marina CrownoverS	4	2	3	10	-.100	40	1	3	8	0	1	0	1	4
22Laura EichertOH	1	2	2	9	.000	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
11Marlee ArringtonOPP	1	2	2	5	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
1Maila RibeiroL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	14	0	0	0	0	0
2Reese SheppardL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	17	1	0	0	0	0
3Sjakkie DonkersOH	3	17	2	34	.441	1	1	0	4	0	1	1	1.5	19.5
7Alanah ClementeOPP	3	7	1	19	.316	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	9.5
Team totals		56	24	154	.208	51	7	11	65	4	2	16	10	93

San Diegohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Kierstyn BartonOH	4	15	6	45	.200	1	1	0	10	0	0	2	1	17
1Nemo BeachOH	4	11	2	29	.310	0	1	2	9	2	2	2	3	15
15Meghan ScholzMB	4	8	2	19	.316	1	0	1	3	0	0	6	3	11
18BayLea SparksMB	4	5	1	10	.400	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
12Kylie MundayS	4	1	1	4	.000	35	1	2	10	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
8Ryann KnuthOH	3	2	3	9	-.111	0	0	1	2	0	0	2	1	3
2Lauren LynchL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	6	1	1	17	1	0	0	0	1
13Emma BrewerOH	3	4	5	24	-.042	0	0	0	7	4	0	0	0	4
4Reese BatesDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Kalli LipoL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	20	140	.186	43	4	8	62	7	2	18	11	86

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 OREGN · USD 8

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 4 OREGNUSD 5

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 OREGNUSD 3

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 4 OREGNUSD 8

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 5 OREGNUSD 3

Bars above the line = San Diego leads, below = Oregon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Oregon

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	83%10/12	62%13/21
2	50%9/18	50%9/18
3	47%8/17	53%9/17
4	57%8/14	33%4/12
5	64%7/11	43%6/14
6	47%7/15	30%3/10
All	56%49/87	48%44/92

San Diego

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	43%10/23	18%2/11
2	50%8/16	50%10/20
3	62%8/13	43%6/14
4	50%8/16	47%7/15
5	70%7/10	22%2/9
6	50%7/14	61%11/18
All	52%48/92	44%38/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

179 rallies

Rally log

#	OREGN-USD	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	USD	OREGN	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+1.9
2	1-1	OREGN	USD×4	Serve err	OREGN server		+1.9
3	1-2	USD	USD×4	Kill	Ryann Knuth	set Lauren Lynch	+2.5
4	1-3	USD	USD×4	Attack err	Laura Eichert		+2.5
5	1-4	USD	USD×4	Attack err	Marlee Arrington	blk Meghan Scholz, Ryann Knuth	+2.4
6	2-4	USD	OREGN	Kill	Laura Eichert	set Reese Sheppard	+1.7
7	2-5	OREGN	USD×4	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+1.9
8	2-6	USD	USD×4	Attack err	Iva Sucurovic	blk Kylie Munday, Meghan Scholz	+2.3
9	2-7	USD	USD×4	Ace	USD server	aced Valentina Vaulet	+2.1
10	2-8	USD	USD×4	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+1.8
11	3-8	USD	OREGN	Attack err	Ryann Knuth	blk Marlee Arrington, Iva Sucurovic	+1.1
12	3-9	OREGN	USD×5	Serve err	OREGN server		+1.4
13	3-10	USD	USD×5	Attack err	Valentina Vaulet		+1.5
14	3-11	USD	USD×5	Attack err	Iva Sucurovic	blk Nemo Beach	+1.2
15	3-12	USD	USD×5	Attack err	Laura Eichert	blk Kylie Munday, Meghan Scholz	+0.9
16	3-13	USD	USD×5	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kierstyn Barton	+0.6
17	4-13	USD	OREGN	Kill	Laura Eichert	set Marina Crownover	+0.3
18	5-13	OREGN	OREGN	Ace	OREGN server	aced Nemo Beach	+0.6
19	5-14	OREGN	USD	Attack err	Valentina Vaulet	blk Kylie Munday, Meghan Scholz	+0.6
20	6-14	USD	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+0.4
21	7-14	OREGN	OREGN	Attack err	Nemo Beach		+0.7
22	7-15	OREGN	USD	Kill	BayLea Sparks	set Kylie Munday	+0.8
23	8-15	USD	OREGN×4	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+0.5
24	9-15	OREGN	OREGN×4	Kill	Marlee Arrington	set Marina Crownover	+1.0
25	10-15	OREGN	OREGN×4	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Reese Sheppard	+1.3
26	11-15	OREGN	OREGN×4	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+1.8
27	11-16	OREGN	USD	Serve err	OREGN server		+1.7
28	12-16	USD	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+1.3
29	12-17	OREGN	USD×3	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+1.7
30	12-18	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Valentina Vaulet		+1.7
31	12-19	USD	USD×3	Ace	USD server	aced Valentina Vaulet	+1.1
32	13-19	USD	OREGN	Kill	Marlee Arrington	set Marina Crownover	+0.5
33	13-20	OREGN	USD×4	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+0.8
34	13-21	USD	USD×4	Kill	Ryann Knuth	set Kylie Munday	+0.5
35	13-22	USD	USD×4	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+0.2
36	13-23	USD	USD×4	Attack err	Marlee Arrington		+0.1
37	14-23	USD	OREGN	Attack err	Ryann Knuth		+0.0
38	14-24	OREGN	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+0.0
39	15-24	USD	OREGN	Serve err	USD server		+0.0
40	16-24	OREGN	OREGN	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Marina Crownover	+0.0
41	16-25	OREGN	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	OREGN	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Lauren Lynch	+1.9
2	0-2	USD	USD	Kill	Kylie Munday	set Meghan Scholz	+2.4
3	1-2	USD	OREGN	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Valentina Vaulet	+1.8
4	1-3	OREGN	USD	Attack err	Valentina Vaulet		+1.9
5	2-3	USD	OREGN	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Reese Sheppard	+1.8
6	2-4	OREGN	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+1.9
7	3-4	USD	OREGN	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Marina Crownover	+1.9
8	3-5	OREGN	USD	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+2.0
9	4-5	USD	OREGN	Bad set	Kylie Munday		+1.9
10	4-6	OREGN	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+2.0
11	5-6	USD	OREGN	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+1.9
12	5-7	OREGN	USD	Serve err	OREGN server		+2.1
13	5-8	USD	USD	Attack err	Valentina Vaulet	blk Nemo Beach, Meghan Scholz	+2.6
14	6-8	USD	OREGN×3	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+1.8
15	7-8	OREGN	OREGN×3	Attack err	Nemo Beach	blk Alanah Clemente, Dalia Vîrlan	+2.7
16	8-8	OREGN	OREGN×3	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Reese Sheppard	+2.9
17	8-9	OREGN	USD	Serve err	OREGN server		+2.3
18	9-9	USD	OREGN	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+2.3
19	9-10	OREGN	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+2.3
20	10-10	USD	OREGN	Serve err	USD server		+2.3
21	11-10	OREGN	OREGN	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Marina Crownover	+3.2
22	11-11	OREGN	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+2.4
23	11-12	USD	USD	Attack err	Iva Sucurovic		+3.3
24	12-12	USD	OREGN×4	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Iva Sucurovic	+2.5
25	13-12	OREGN	OREGN×4	Kill	Marina Crownover	set Marina Crownover	+3.4
26	14-12	OREGN	OREGN×4	Ace	OREGN server	aced Nemo Beach	+3.4
27	15-12	OREGN	OREGN×4	Attack err	Emma Brewer	blk Marina Crownover	+3.2
28	15-13	OREGN	USD×3	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+2.1
29	15-14	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Iva Sucurovic		+3.3
30	15-15	USD	USD×3	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Lauren Lynch	+3.7
31	16-15	USD	OREGN×3	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Sjakkie Donkers	+3.0
32	17-15	OREGN	OREGN×3	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton		+3.9
33	18-15	OREGN	OREGN×3	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Marina Crownover	+3.6
34	18-16	OREGN	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+2.3
35	18-17	USD	USD	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+3.7
36	19-17	USD	OREGN	Attack err	Emma Brewer		+3.4
37	19-18	OREGN	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+3.0
38	20-18	USD	OREGN×4	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton	blk Dalia Vîrlan, Alanah Clemente	+3.6
39	21-18	OREGN	OREGN×4	Ace	OREGN server	aced Lauren Lynch	+4.1
40	22-18	OREGN	OREGN×4	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers		+3.0
41	23-18	OREGN	OREGN×4	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Marina Crownover	+1.8
42	23-19	OREGN	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.5
43	24-19	USD	OREGN	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Marina Crownover	+1.1
44	25-19	OREGN	OREGN	Ace	OREGN server	aced Emma Brewer	+0.4
Set 3
1	1-0	USD	OREGN×4	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+2.5
2	2-0	OREGN	OREGN×4	Ace	OREGN server	aced Emma Brewer	+3.3
3	3-0	OREGN	OREGN×4	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+3.2
4	4-0	OREGN	OREGN×4	Ace	OREGN server	aced Emma Brewer	+3.0
5	4-1	OREGN	USD	Serve err	OREGN server		+2.1
6	5-1	USD	OREGN	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Marina Crownover	+2.3
7	5-2	OREGN	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+2.1
8	6-2	USD	OREGN	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+2.4
9	6-3	OREGN	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+2.1
10	7-3	USD	OREGN	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Marina Crownover	+2.4
11	8-3	OREGN	OREGN	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton		+2.8
12	8-4	OREGN	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+1.9
13	9-4	USD	OREGN	Kill	Marina Crownover	set Reese Sheppard	+2.2
14	9-5	OREGN	USD	Attack err	Marina Crownover	blk Nemo Beach	+1.9
15	10-5	USD	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+2.2
16	10-6	OREGN	USD	Serve err	OREGN server		+1.9
17	11-6	USD	OREGN×3	Serve err	USD server		+2.2
18	12-6	OREGN	OREGN×3	Attack err	Ryann Knuth		+2.5
19	13-6	OREGN	OREGN×3	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton		+1.9
20	13-7	OREGN	USD×3	Attack err	Alanah Clemente	blk Ryann Knuth, BayLea Sparks	+1.1
21	13-8	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Sjakkie Donkers	blk Kierstyn Barton, Meghan Scholz	+1.9
22	13-9	USD	USD×3	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+2.4
23	14-9	USD	OREGN×3	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+2.3
24	15-9	OREGN	OREGN×3	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Marina Crownover	+2.4
25	16-9	OREGN	OREGN×3	Attack err	Emma Brewer	blk Iva Sucurovic, Alanah Clemente	+1.8
26	16-10	OREGN	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+0.9
27	17-10	USD	OREGN	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Marina Crownover	+1.3
28	17-11	OREGN	USD	Serve err	OREGN server		+0.9
29	18-11	USD	OREGN	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Marina Crownover	+1.3
30	19-11	OREGN	OREGN	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Marina Crownover	+1.0
31	19-12	OREGN	USD	Bad set	Iva Sucurovic		+0.4
32	20-12	USD	OREGN	Serve err	USD server		+0.7
33	20-13	OREGN	USD×8	Kill	BayLea Sparks	set Kylie Munday	+0.3
34	20-14	USD	USD×8	Attack err	Valentina Vaulet		+0.7
35	20-15	USD	USD×8	Attack err	Valentina Vaulet	blk BayLea Sparks, Kierstyn Barton	+1.2
36	20-16	USD	USD×8	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+1.9
37	20-17	USD	USD×8	Attack err	Marina Crownover	blk Nemo Beach, BayLea Sparks	+2.9
38	20-18	USD	USD×8	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Lauren Lynch	+4.1
39	20-19	USD	USD×8	Ace	USD server	aced Reese Sheppard	+5.5
40	20-20	USD	USD×8	Attack err	Valentina Vaulet		+6.9
41	21-20	USD	OREGN×3	Serve err	USD server		+5.9
42	22-20	OREGN	OREGN×3	Ace	OREGN server	aced Emma Brewer	+7.6
43	23-20	OREGN	OREGN×3	Attack err	Kylie Munday	blk Dalia Vîrlan, Alanah Clemente	+6.1
44	23-21	OREGN	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+2.7
45	23-22	USD	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+6.2
46	24-22	USD	OREGN	Serve err	USD server		+7.7
47	24-23	OREGN	USD×3	Serve err	OREGN server		+4.4
48	24-24	USD	USD×3	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Marina Crownover	+13.3
49	24-25	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Sjakkie Donkers		+13.3
50	25-25	USD	OREGN×3	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton	blk Dalia Vîrlan, Sjakkie Donkers	+10.1
51	26-25	OREGN	OREGN×3	Attack err	Emma Brewer		+13.3
52	27-25	OREGN	OREGN×3	Attack err	Emma Brewer	blk Iva Sucurovic, Alanah Clemente	+13.4
Set 4
1	0-1	OREGN	USD	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+2.5
2	1-1	USD	OREGN	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+2.5
3	1-2	OREGN	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+2.6
4	2-2	USD	OREGN×5	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Marina Crownover	+2.6
5	3-2	OREGN	OREGN×5	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+3.4
6	4-2	OREGN	OREGN×5	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Marina Crownover	+3.4
7	5-2	OREGN	OREGN×5	Bad set	Nemo Beach		+3.3
8	6-2	OREGN	OREGN×5	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+3.1
9	6-3	OREGN	USD	Serve err	OREGN server		+2.1
10	7-3	USD	OREGN	Serve err	USD server		+2.4
11	7-4	OREGN	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+2.2
12	8-4	USD	OREGN	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Marina Crownover	+2.5
13	8-5	OREGN	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Lauren Lynch	+2.2
14	8-6	USD	USD	Attack err	Valentina Vaulet		+3.3
15	9-6	USD	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+2.8
16	9-7	OREGN	USD	Kill	BayLea Sparks	set Kylie Munday	+2.6
17	10-7	USD	OREGN×3	Serve err	USD server		+2.9
18	11-7	OREGN	OREGN×3	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Reese Sheppard	+3.4
19	12-7	OREGN	OREGN×3	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Kylie Munday	+3.0
20	12-8	OREGN	USD	Serve err	OREGN server		+1.9
21	13-8	USD	OREGN×4	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers	set Valentina Vaulet	+2.3
22	14-8	OREGN	OREGN×4	Attack err	Meghan Scholz	blk Sjakkie Donkers	+2.5
23	15-8	OREGN	OREGN×4	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Valentina Vaulet	+1.9
24	16-8	OREGN	OREGN×4	Attack err	Meghan Scholz		+1.3
25	16-9	OREGN	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.7
26	17-9	USD	OREGN	Kill	Alanah Clemente	set Marina Crownover	+1.0
27	17-10	OREGN	USD×3	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.6
28	17-11	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Marina Crownover		+1.1
29	17-12	USD	USD×3	Kill	BayLea Sparks	set Reese Bates	+1.6
30	18-12	USD	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+1.8
31	19-12	OREGN	OREGN	Kill	Valentina Vaulet		+1.5
32	19-13	OREGN	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Lauren Lynch	+0.7
33	20-13	USD	OREGN	Kill	Iva Sucurovic	set Marina Crownover	+1.1
34	20-14	OREGN	USD×3	Kill	BayLea Sparks	set Lauren Lynch	+0.6
35	20-15	USD	USD×3	Ace	USD server	aced Team	+1.2
36	20-16	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Dalia Vîrlan		+1.9
37	21-16	USD	OREGN×3	Kill	Valentina Vaulet	set Marina Crownover	+2.2
38	22-16	OREGN	OREGN×3	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton	blk Dalia Vîrlan, Valentina Vaulet	+1.7
39	23-16	OREGN	OREGN×3	Attack err	BayLea Sparks		+0.8
40	23-17	OREGN	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+0.2
41	24-17	USD	OREGN	Kill	Dalia Vîrlan	set Marina Crownover	+0.4
42	25-17	OREGN	OREGN	Kill	Sjakkie Donkers		+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Oregon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.