Southern California def. Northwestern 3-0 (Sep 24)

FinalThu, Sep 24, 2026B1G+

3:0

Southern California won at Northwestern 3-0 (25-20, 25-19, 25-16) on Thu, Sep 24, 2026. Southern California's London Wijay and Mia Tvrdy led with 11 kills each, and Taylor Deckert added 8 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Sep 24

Set	1	2	3	Sets
USC	25	25	25	3
NW	20	19	16	0

Win probability

Northwestern above 50 · Southern California below

Biggest swing: 2.8% to Northwestern — set 1, USC 11-11 NW. Attack error by London Wijay. NW win probability 25% → 28%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

USC 72.6%27.4% NW

Southern California wins

3-0

25.2%

3-1

27.8%

3-2

19.6%

Northwestern wins

3-0

5.0%

3-1

9.5%

3-2

12.9%

USC break %: 42.2% vs this opp
NW break %: 37.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
London WijayAttack error+2.8%
Attack error by London Wijay
Set 1 · USC 11-11 NW · NW 25% → 28%
02
Lilli Etter&Taliyah HanksBlock+2.7%
Campbell Paris stuffed by Lilli Etter & Taliyah Hanks
Set 1 · USC 13-11 NW · USC 74% → 76%
03
Southern CaliforniaAce+2.7%
Southern California ace on Gigi Navarrete
Set 1 · USC 17-14 NW · USC 77% → 79%
04
NorthwesternAce+2.6%
Northwestern ace on Taylor Deckert
Set 2 · USC 12-13 NW · NW 16% → 18%
05
Mia TvrdyKill+2.6%
Kill by Mia Tvrdy (set by Lilli Etter)
Set 1 · USC 9-8 NW · USC 71% → 74%
06
Clara SchrammAttack error+2.6%
Attack error by Clara Schramm
Set 2 · USC 17-15 NW · USC 86% → 89%
07
Southern CaliforniaAce+2.6%
Southern California ace on Isabella Bullington
Set 1 · USC 7-7 NW · USC 69% → 71%
08
Campbell ParisKill+2.6%
Kill by Campbell Paris (set by Ellie Stiernagle)
Set 1 · USC 3-5 NW · NW 30% → 33%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Southern Californiaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2London WijayOH	3	11	2	31	.290	2	1	3	6	0	0	2	1	13
8Mia TvrdyMB	3	11	1	17	.588	0	1	1	2	0	0	2	1	13
5Abigail MullenOPP	3	9	6	25	.120	0	1	3	5	0	0	2	1	11
14Taliyah HanksMB	3	4	1	12	.250	0	0	0	1	1	0	7	3.5	7.5
16Lilli EtterS	3	0	0	2	.000	21	1	3	4	0	0	2	1	2
17Paisley DouglasL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
18Riley MalloyOH	3	7	3	16	.250	0	3	5	3	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
3Layli OstovarOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
6Taylor DeckertL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	8	1	0	0	0	0
24Milly McGeeS	2	2	0	4	.500	13	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
20Addison CoadyMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	13	107	.290	40	9	16	39	2	1	19	10.5	75

Northwesternhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
12Mara StiglicOH	3	9	3	18	.333	0	0	0	3	0	3	1.5	10.5
17Maya StillwellMB	3	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	3.5
11Ellie StiernagleS	3	2	0	4	.500	14	1	1	6	0	0	0	3
22Isabella BullingtonOH	3	2	4	23	-.087	0	0	2	0	6	1	0.5	2.5
2Drew WrightL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	2	4	0	0	0	0
25Campbell ParisOH	2	2	5	13	-.231	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
9Hayley SchaafMB	3	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
20Lily WagnerOH	3	0	2	6	-.333	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	1
23Gigi NavarreteL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	8	1	0	0	0
7Lauren DignanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	12	0	0	0	0
6Clara SchrammOH	2	2	1	12	.083	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
16Ava PrattOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
5Kaitlyn BodnarS	1	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		23	17	91	.066	22	2	5	39	9	8	4	55

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 USC · NW 4

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 USCNW 4

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 4 USCNW 3

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 5 USCNW 2

Bars above the line = Northwestern leads, below = Southern California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern California

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	75%9/12	50%7/14
2	58%7/12	30%3/10
3	67%6/9	33%3/9
4	86%6/7	57%8/14
5	75%6/8	50%6/12
6	67%6/9	57%8/14
All	70%40/57	48%35/73

Northwestern

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	20%2/10
2	67%6/9	33%4/12
3	43%6/14	33%3/9
4	67%6/9	33%3/9
5	40%6/15	14%1/7
6	43%6/14	40%4/10
All	52%38/73	30%17/57

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

130 rallies

#	USC-NW	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	NW	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Ellie Stiernagle	+2.3
2	1-1	NW	USC×3	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+1.5
3	2-1	USC	USC×3	Ace	Southern California	aced Isabella Bullington	+2.2
4	3-1	USC	USC×3	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+2.0
5	3-2	USC	NW×4	Serve err	Southern California		+1.3
6	3-3	NW	NW×4	Bad set	Lilli Etter		+2.3
7	3-4	NW	NW×4	Attack err	London Wijay		+2.5
8	3-5	NW	NW×4	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+2.6
9	4-5	NW	USC	Attack err	Campbell Paris		+1.6
10	4-6	USC	NW	Blocked	Abigail Mullen	blk Isabella Bullington, Hayley Schaaf	+1.8
11	5-6	NW	USC	Kill	Riley Malloy	set Lilli Etter	+1.6
12	5-7	USC	NW	Attack err	Abigail Mullen		+1.8
13	6-7	NW	USC	Serve err	Northwestern		+1.7
14	7-7	USC	USC	Ace	Southern California	aced Isabella Bullington	+2.6
15	7-8	USC	NW	Serve err	Southern California		+1.9
16	8-8	NW	USC×4	Serve err	Northwestern		+1.7
17	9-8	USC	USC×4	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Lilli Etter	+2.6
18	10-8	USC	USC×4	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+2.5
19	11-8	USC	USC×4	Ace	Southern California	aced Isabella Bullington	+2.2
20	11-9	USC	NW×3	Serve err	Southern California		+1.3
21	11-10	NW	NW×3	Blocked	Abigail Mullen	blk Mara Stiglic, Maya Stillwell	+2.4
22	11-11	NW	NW×3	Attack err	London Wijay		+2.8
23	12-11	NW	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+1.9
24	13-11	USC	USC	Blocked	Campbell Paris	blk Lilli Etter, Taliyah Hanks	+2.7
25	13-12	USC	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.7
26	14-12	NW	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+1.9
27	14-13	USC	NW	Kill	Campbell Paris	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.8
28	15-13	NW	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+1.9
29	15-14	USC	NW	Serve err	Southern California		+1.9
30	16-14	NW	USC×5	Blocked	Isabella Bullington	blk Abigail Mullen, Taliyah Hanks	+2.0
31	17-14	USC	USC×5	Ace	Southern California	aced Gigi Navarrete	+2.7
32	18-14	USC	USC×5	Attack err	Isabella Bullington		+2.1
33	19-14	USC	USC×5	Ace	Southern California		+1.4
34	20-14	USC	USC×5	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Lilli Etter	+0.9
35	20-15	USC	NW	Kill	Hayley Schaaf	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.3
36	21-15	NW	USC	Serve err	Northwestern		+0.5
37	21-16	USC	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.3
38	22-16	NW	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Lilli Etter	+0.4
39	22-17	USC	NW	Serve err	Southern California		+0.2
40	22-18	NW	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Drew Wright	+0.6
41	23-18	NW	USC	Attack err	Campbell Paris		+0.7
42	23-19	USC	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Drew Wright	+0.3
43	24-19	NW	USC	Blocked	Lily Wagner	blk Taliyah Hanks, Lilli Etter	+0.5
44	24-20	USC	NW	Serve err	Southern California		+0.1
45	25-20	NW	USC	Kill	Taliyah Hanks	set Lilli Etter	+0.3
Set 2
1	1-0	USC	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Taylor Deckert	+1.7
2	1-1	USC	NW	Serve err	Southern California		+1.2
3	1-2	NW	NW	Attack err	Abigail Mullen		+1.9
4	2-2	NW	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+1.2
5	3-2	USC	USC	Ace	Southern California		+1.8
6	3-3	USC	NW	Serve err	Southern California		+1.2
7	4-3	NW	USC	Blocked	Campbell Paris	blk Taliyah Hanks, Riley Malloy	+1.2
8	4-4	USC	NW×3	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Lauren Dignan	+1.3
9	4-5	NW	NW×3	Attack err	Abigail Mullen		+2.0
10	4-6	NW	NW×3	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Ellie Stiernagle	+2.1
11	5-6	NW	USC	Kill	Riley Malloy	set Lilli Etter	+1.3
12	6-6	USC	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Lilli Etter	+2.0
13	6-7	USC	NW	Serve err	Southern California		+1.4
14	7-7	NW	USC×3	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Milly McGee	+1.4
15	8-7	USC	USC×3	Blocked	Campbell Paris	blk Mia Tvrdy, London Wijay	+2.0
16	9-7	USC	USC×3	Ace	Southern California	aced Isabella Bullington	+1.9
17	9-8	USC	NW	Serve err	Southern California		+1.2
18	10-8	NW	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Taylor Deckert	+1.3
19	10-9	USC	NW	Serve err	Southern California		+1.3
20	11-9	NW	USC	Kill	Taliyah Hanks	set Milly McGee	+1.3
21	11-10	USC	NW	Kill	Hayley Schaaf	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.3
22	12-10	NW	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+1.4
23	12-11	USC	NW×3	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.4
24	12-12	NW	NW×3	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+2.4
25	12-13	NW	NW×3	Ace	Northwestern	aced Taylor Deckert	+2.6
26	13-13	NW	USC	Kill	Riley Malloy	set Lilli Etter	+1.7
27	14-13	USC	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+2.6
28	14-14	USC	NW	Kill	Clara Schramm	set Ellie Stiernagle	+1.7
29	15-14	NW	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Lilli Etter	+1.7
30	15-15	USC	NW	Serve err	Southern California		+1.8
31	16-15	NW	USC×3	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Milly McGee	+1.8
32	17-15	USC	USC×3	Attack err	Clara Schramm		+2.6
33	18-15	USC	USC×3	Kill	London Wijay	set Milly McGee	+2.2
34	18-16	USC	NW	Serve err	Southern California		+1.2
35	18-17	NW	NW	Attack err	Mia Tvrdy		+2.5
36	19-17	NW	USC×4	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Milly McGee	+1.9
37	20-17	USC	USC×4	Ace	Southern California	aced Isabella Bullington	+2.4
38	21-17	USC	USC×4	Kill	London Wijay	set Milly McGee	+1.7
39	22-17	USC	USC×4	Attack err	Isabella Bullington		+1.0
40	22-18	USC	NW	Kill	Hayley Schaaf	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.3
41	23-18	NW	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Milly McGee	+0.5
42	24-18	USC	USC	Attack err	Hayley Schaaf		+0.3
43	24-19	USC	NW	Attack err	Taliyah Hanks		·
44	25-19	NW	USC	Serve err	Northwestern		+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	NW	USC	Attack err	Mara Stiglic		+0.6
2	1-1	USC	NW	Kill	Ellie Stiernagle	set Lauren Dignan	+0.7
3	2-1	NW	USC×3	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+0.6
4	3-1	USC	USC×3	Blocked	Mara Stiglic	blk Abigail Mullen, Taliyah Hanks	+0.9
5	4-1	USC	USC×3	Blocked	Maya Stillwell	blk Riley Malloy, Taliyah Hanks	+0.8
6	4-2	USC	NW	Serve err	Southern California		+0.5
7	4-3	NW	NW	Blocked	Abigail Mullen	blk Maya Stillwell, Mara Stiglic	+0.9
8	5-3	NW	USC	Serve err	Northwestern		+0.6
9	6-3	USC	USC	Blocked	Mara Stiglic	blk Riley Malloy, Mia Tvrdy	+0.9
10	6-4	USC	NW	Blocked	Riley Malloy	blk Mara Stiglic, Maya Stillwell	+0.6
11	7-4	NW	USC	Kill	Riley Malloy	set Taylor Deckert	+0.6
12	8-4	USC	USC	Kill	Riley Malloy	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.8
13	8-5	USC	NW	Attack err	Riley Malloy		+0.5
14	8-6	NW	NW	Kill	Ellie Stiernagle	set Milly McGee	+0.9
15	9-6	NW	USC	Kill	Riley Malloy	set Milly McGee	+0.6
16	9-7	USC	NW	Serve err	Southern California		+0.6
17	10-7	NW	USC×5	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Milly McGee	+0.6
18	11-7	USC	USC×5	Blocked	Lily Wagner	blk Milly McGee, Taliyah Hanks	+0.8
19	12-7	USC	USC×5	Kill	Taliyah Hanks	set Milly McGee	+0.7
20	13-7	USC	USC×5	Blocked	Isabella Bullington	blk Milly McGee	+0.5
21	14-7	USC	USC×5	Kill	Taliyah Hanks	set Milly McGee	+0.3
22	14-8	USC	NW	Kill	Hayley Schaaf	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.2
23	15-8	NW	USC	Kill	Milly McGee	set Abigail Mullen	+0.2
24	15-9	USC	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Ellie Stiernagle	+0.2
25	16-9	NW	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Paisley Douglas	+0.2
26	16-10	USC	NW	Attack err	Riley Malloy		+0.1
27	17-10	NW	USC×3	Kill	Riley Malloy	set London Wijay	+0.2
28	18-10	USC	USC×3	Kill	Mia Tvrdy		+0.2
29	19-10	USC	USC×3	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Lilli Etter	+0.1
30	19-11	USC	NW	Kill	Mara Stiglic	set Kaitlyn Bodnar	·
31	19-12	NW	NW	Kill	Isabella Bullington	set Kaitlyn Bodnar	+0.1
32	20-12	NW	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+0.1
33	20-13	USC	NW	Kill	Maya Stillwell	set Kaitlyn Bodnar	·
34	21-13	NW	USC×3	Kill	Milly McGee	set London Wijay	+0.1
35	22-13	USC	USC×3	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Milly McGee	·
36	23-13	USC	USC×3	Ace	Southern California	aced Isabella Bullington	·
37	23-14	USC	NW	Kill	Clara Schramm	set Kaitlyn Bodnar	·
38	24-14	NW	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Milly McGee	·
39	24-15	USC	NW	Serve err	Southern California		·
40	24-16	NW	NW	Ace	Northwestern	aced Taliyah Hanks	·
41	25-16	NW	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Milly McGee	·

Score shown after each rally, Southern California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Southern California def. Northwestern 3–0