Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on B1G+

Ohio St. def. Northwestern 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Northwestern 57.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 6:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Ohio St. won at Northwestern 3-1 (25-19, 21-25, 25-21, 25-23) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Ohio St.'s Naomy Govou led with 22 kills, and Emily Avshalomov added 17 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set1234Sets
OHIOST252125253
NW192521231

Match story · written from the play-by-play

5 aces from Naomy Govou, and Ohio St. needed each of them.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Ohio St.'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ had Northwestern at 58% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Ohio St. 14–18 Northwestern

    Down 14–18, Ohio St. had 5 straight kills to lead 19–18. The match swung to Ohio St.

    Ohio St. 28% → 51%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Ohio St. 21–21 Northwestern

    Ohio St. won 4 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–21 and lead 2–1. The match swung to Ohio St.

    Ohio St. 47% → 72%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Ohio St. 10–12 Northwestern

    Down 10–12, Ohio St. scored 7 straight to lead 17–12.

    Ohio St. 63% → 94%

Northwestern above 50Ohio St. belowMax swing 10.1%

Ohio St.Northwestern

Sideout %
Ohio St. 58.4·Northwestern 53.7
Break %
Ohio St. 46.3·Northwestern 41.6
Hitting
Ohio St. .276·Northwestern .221
Longest run
Ohio St. 7·Northwestern 4

Hannah Jones
6 kills inside the turning points, 16 K and .389 for the match (20 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Northwestern above 50 · Ohio St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.1% OHIOSTrally 184 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.1% to Ohio St. — set 4, OHIOST 25-23 NW. Northwestern service error. NW win probability 10% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

OHIOST 48.0%52.0% NW

Ohio St. wins

3-0
11.7%
3-1
17.9%
3-2
18.4%

Northwestern wins

3-0
13.3%
3-1
19.6%
3-2
19.1%
OHIOST break %
40.3% vs this opp
NW break %
40.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    NorthwesternService error+10.1%

    Northwestern service error

    Set 4 · OHIOST 25-23 NW · OHIOST 90% → 100%

  2. 02
    Clara SchrammAttack error+9.3%

    Attack error by Clara Schramm

    Set 3 · OHIOST 23-21 NW · OHIOST 54% → 63%

  3. 03
    Ohio St.Ace+8.4%

    Ohio St. ace on Drew Wright

    Set 3 · OHIOST 21-20 NW · OHIOST 44% → 53%

  4. 04
    Naomy GovouKill+7.6%

    Kill by Naomy Govou (set by Bailey Nakanelua)

    Set 4 · OHIOST 24-22 NW · OHIOST 86% → 94%

  5. 05

    Kill by Alia Schoonover

    Set 4 · OHIOST 20-18 NW · OHIOST 78% → 86%

  6. 06
    Hannah JonesAttack error+7.4%

    Attack error by Hannah Jones

    Set 3 · OHIOST 19-20 NW · NW 53% → 60%

  7. 07
    Hannah JonesKill+6.9%

    Kill by Hannah Jones (set by Bailey Nakanelua)

    Set 3 · OHIOST 19-18 NW · OHIOST 44% → 51%

  8. 08

    Kill by Isabella Bullington (set by Ellie Stiernagle)

    Set 4 · OHIOST 18-18 NW · NW 20% → 27%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422754.2780537100027
416236.3891000024420
413530.2671029000013
49320.300201500009
4014-.2504031901014
2118.00010000010.51.5
4000–8111700001
4000–0011300000
3214.25000000031.53.5
3000–003000000
1000–400100000
Team totals6320156.2765791261338796
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420645.3112105000021
415644.2050004200015
46110.500100200217
4119.0003700801223
4002.000301920000
24317.05900030010.54.5
4103.333103600001
4000–1101220001
4000–301700000
3328.125000000003
3209.22200040010.52.5
1002.000010210001
1000–000100000
Team totals5219149.221483563916488

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 OHIOST · NW 4

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 7 OHIOSTNW 3

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 5 OHIOSTNW 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 5 OHIOSTNW 4

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 7 OHIOSTNW 4

Bars above the line = Northwestern leads, below = Ohio St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ohio St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
50%9/18
2
69%9/13
60%15/25
3
53%8/15
33%4/12
4
53%8/15
33%4/12
5
89%8/9
47%7/15
6
42%8/19
38%5/13
All
58%52/89
46%44/95

Northwestern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%10/24
38%6/16
2
53%9/17
47%8/17
3
62%8/13
36%5/14
4
47%8/17
33%4/12
5
62%8/13
43%6/14
6
73%8/11
50%8/16
All
54%51/95
42%37/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

184 rallies

#OHIOST-NWSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0OHIOSTOHIOSTAceOhio St.aced Isabella Bullington+2.6
22-0OHIOSTOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Emily Avshalomov+2.7
32-1OHIOSTNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle+1.7
42-2NWNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+2.7
53-2NWOHIOST×7Attack errCampbell Paris+1.8
64-2OHIOSTOHIOST×7KillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+2.8
75-2OHIOSTOHIOST×7BlockedCampbell Parisblk Hannah Jones, Aneta Valentova+2.7
86-2OHIOSTOHIOST×7AceOhio St.aced Drew Wright+2.6
97-2OHIOSTOHIOST×7Attack errCampbell Paris+2.3
108-2OHIOSTOHIOST×7AceOhio St.+2.0
119-2OHIOSTOHIOST×7KillAneta Valentovaset Ellie Stiernagle+1.6
129-3OHIOSTNWServe errOhio St.+0.8
1310-3NWOHIOSTKillHannah Jonesset Kalli Jioshvili Ravva+1.1
1410-4OHIOSTNWServe errOhio St.+0.8
1510-5NWNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+1.6
1611-5NWOHIOSTKillAlia Schoonoverset Bailey Nakanelua+1.3
1711-6OHIOSTNWAttack errAlia Schoonover+1.0
1812-6NWOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+1.3
1912-7OHIOSTNWServe errOhio St.+1.0
2013-7NWOHIOSTServe errNorthwestern+1.3
2113-8OHIOSTNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.9
2214-8NWOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+1.3
2315-8OHIOSTOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+1.4
2415-9OHIOSTNW×3BlockedNaomy Govoublk Ellie Stiernagle, Maya Stillwell+0.6
2515-10NWNW×3KillCampbell Parisset Drew Wright+1.3
2615-11NWNW×3Attack errAneta Valentova+1.8
2716-11NWOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+1.6
2816-12OHIOSTNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+1.2
2917-12NWOHIOSTKillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Hannah Jones+1.6
3017-13OHIOSTNWServe errOhio St.+1.1
3118-13NWOHIOST×4KillAlia Schoonoverset Bailey Nakanelua+1.6
3219-13OHIOSTOHIOST×4Attack errIsabella Bullington+1.7
3320-13OHIOSTOHIOST×4KillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Emily Avshalomov+1.0
3421-13OHIOSTOHIOST×4KillAlia Schoonoverset Bailey Nakanelua+0.5
3521-14OHIOSTNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Gigi Navarrete+0.1
3621-15NWNWAttack errKalli Jioshvili Ravva+0.4
3722-15NWOHIOSTKillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Bailey Nakanelua+0.4
3823-15OHIOSTOHIOSTKillAlia Schoonoverset Bailey Nakanelua+0.2
3923-16OHIOSTNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle·
4024-16NWOHIOSTAttack errMara Stiglic+0.1
4124-17OHIOSTNW×3Serve errOhio St.·
4224-18NWNW×3KillMara Stiglicset Cate Schnell·
4324-19NWNW×3KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.1
4425-19NWOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+0.2
Set 2
10-1NWNWKillMara Stiglicset Maya Stillwell+2.8
20-2NWNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle+2.7
31-2NWOHIOSTKillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+1.7
41-3OHIOSTNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle+1.8
52-3NWOHIOSTKillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+1.8
62-4OHIOSTNWServe errOhio St.+1.8
73-4NWOHIOSTKillAlia Schoonoverset Bailey Nakanelua+1.8
83-5OHIOSTNW×3Serve errOhio St.+1.9
93-6NWNW×3KillClara Schramm+2.7
103-7NWNW×3KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+2.5
114-7NWOHIOSTKillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Bailey Nakanelua+1.4
124-8OHIOSTNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+1.6
135-8NWOHIOST×5KillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+1.4
146-8OHIOSTOHIOST×5KillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+2.6
157-8OHIOSTOHIOST×5Attack errIsabella Bullington+3.0
168-8OHIOSTOHIOST×5Attack errIsabella Bullington+3.3
179-8OHIOSTOHIOST×5KillNaomy Govouset Aneta Valentova+3.5
189-9OHIOSTNW×3KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+2.2
199-10NWNW×3KillMara Stiglicset Gigi Navarrete+3.5
209-11NWNW×3KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+3.4
2110-11NWOHIOSTServe errNorthwestern+2.1
2210-12OHIOSTNWKillCate Schnellset Mara Stiglic+2.3
2310-13NWNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+3.2
2411-13NWOHIOSTKillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+1.9
2511-14OHIOSTNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+2.2
2611-15NWNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle+2.8
2712-15NWOHIOSTAttack errMara Stiglic+1.5
2812-16OHIOSTNWKillMara Stiglicset Lauren Dignan+1.9
2913-16NWOHIOSTKillHannah Jonesset Emily Avshalomov+1.5
3013-17OHIOSTNWKillClara Schrammset Ellie Stiernagle+1.9
3114-17NWOHIOST×5KillNaomy Govouset Mia Tuman+1.5
3215-17OHIOSTOHIOST×5Attack errClara Schramm+3.0
3316-17OHIOSTOHIOST×5KillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Mia Tuman+3.9
3417-17OHIOSTOHIOST×5KillAlia Schoonoverset Mia Tuman+4.7
3518-17OHIOSTOHIOST×5KillNaomy Govouset Mia Tuman+5.2
3618-18OHIOSTNWKillClara Schrammset Ellie Stiernagle+3.3
3719-18NWOHIOSTKillAlia Schoonoverset Mia Tuman+3.7
3819-19OHIOSTNW×4KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+3.5
3919-20NWNW×4BlockedNaomy Govoublk Gabrielle Gerry, Ellie Stiernagle+6.0
4019-21NWNW×4KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+5.7
4119-22NWNW×4KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+4.5
4220-22NWOHIOSTServe errNorthwestern+1.9
4320-23OHIOSTNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+3.0
4421-23NWOHIOSTKillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+1.6
4521-24OHIOSTNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+3.0
4621-25NWNWBad setBailey Nakanelua+1.6
Set 3
10-1OHIOSTNWServe errOhio St.+2.2
21-1NWOHIOSTKillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+2.3
31-2OHIOSTNWAttack errLauren Wiese+2.3
42-2NWOHIOSTKillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Bailey Nakanelua+2.3
52-3OHIOSTNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+2.3
63-3NWOHIOSTServe errNorthwestern+2.4
73-4OHIOSTNW×4KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+2.4
83-5NWNW×4KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+3.6
93-6NWNW×4AceNorthwesternaced Naomy Govou+3.4
103-7NWNW×4KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+3.0
114-7NWOHIOSTKillAlia Schoonoverset Bailey Nakanelua+1.8
124-8OHIOSTNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+2.0
135-8NWOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Emily Avshalomov+1.8
146-8OHIOSTOHIOSTKillLauren Wieseset Alia Schoonover+3.2
156-9OHIOSTNWAttack errKalli Jioshvili Ravva+2.3
166-10NWNWKillEllie Stiernagle+3.2
177-10NWOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+1.8
187-11OHIOSTNWAttack errHannah Jones+2.1
198-11NWOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+1.8
209-11OHIOSTOHIOSTAceOhio St.aced Lauren Dignan+3.4
219-12OHIOSTNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+2.5
2210-12NWOHIOSTBlockedIsabella Bullingtonblk Hannah Jones, Lauren Wiese+2.3
2311-12OHIOSTOHIOSTKillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Emily Avshalomov+4.1
2411-13OHIOSTNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle+2.9
2511-14NWNWAttack errAlia Schoonover+4.1
2612-14NWOHIOSTKillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+2.4
2712-15OHIOSTNWKillGabrielle Gerryset Ellie Stiernagle+2.8
2812-16NWNWAttack errAlia Schoonover+3.6
2913-16NWOHIOSTAttack errIsabella Bullington+1.8
3013-17OHIOSTNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+2.4
3114-17NWOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+1.8
3214-18OHIOSTNWAttack errNaomy Govou+2.4
3315-18NWOHIOST×5KillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+1.8
3416-18OHIOSTOHIOST×5KillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+3.8
3517-18OHIOSTOHIOST×5KillHannah Jonesset Ellie Stiernagle+5.1
3618-18OHIOSTOHIOST×5KillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+6.2
3719-18OHIOSTOHIOST×5KillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+6.9
3819-19OHIOSTNWAttack errNaomy Govou+4.4
3919-20NWNWAttack errHannah Jones+7.4
4020-20NWOHIOSTAttack errMara Stiglic+4.7
4121-20OHIOSTOHIOSTAceOhio St.aced Drew Wright+8.4
4221-21OHIOSTNWServe errOhio St.+5.2
4322-21NWOHIOST×4KillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Bailey Nakanelua+6.2
4423-21OHIOSTOHIOST×4Attack errClara Schramm+9.3
4524-21OHIOSTOHIOST×4KillHannah Jones+6.4
4625-21OHIOSTOHIOST×4AceOhio St.aced Isabella Bullington+2.3
Set 4
11-0NWOHIOSTBlockedEllie Stiernagleblk Hannah Jones+2.5
22-0OHIOSTOHIOSTAttack errMara Stiglic+3.8
32-1OHIOSTNWServe errOhio St.+2.4
42-2NWNWKillMara Stiglicset Drew Wright+3.8
53-2NWOHIOSTBlockedMara Stiglicblk Hannah Jones, Lauren Wiese+2.6
63-3OHIOSTNW×3KillCampbell Parisset Mara Stiglic+2.5
73-4NWNW×3KillMaya Stillwell+4.0
83-5NWNW×3AceNorthwestern+3.9
94-5NWOHIOSTKillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Bailey Nakanelua+2.4
104-6OHIOSTNWAttack errBailey Nakanelua+2.6
115-6NWOHIOSTKillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Emily Avshalomov+2.5
126-6OHIOSTOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Alia Schoonover+4.2
136-7OHIOSTNWServe errOhio St.+2.8
146-8NWNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+4.2
157-8NWOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+2.6
167-9OHIOSTNW×3KillGabrielle Gerryset Ellie Stiernagle+2.8
177-10NWNW×3AceNorthwestern+4.0
187-11NWNW×3Attack errNaomy Govou+3.5
198-11NWOHIOST×3KillNaomy Govouset Emily Avshalomov+2.0
209-11OHIOSTOHIOST×3AceOhio St.aced Lily Wagner+3.6
2110-11OHIOSTOHIOST×3AceOhio St.+4.3
2210-12OHIOSTNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+3.0
2311-12NWOHIOST×7KillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+2.9
2412-12OHIOSTOHIOST×7KillLauren Wiese+5.0
2513-12OHIOSTOHIOST×7KillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+5.3
2614-12OHIOSTOHIOST×7BlockedMara Stiglicblk Hannah Jones, Lauren Wiese+5.4
2715-12OHIOSTOHIOST×7KillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Bailey Nakanelua+5.1
2816-12OHIOSTOHIOST×7AceOhio St.aced Lauren Dignan+4.4
2917-12OHIOSTOHIOST×7Attack errMaya Stillwell+3.5
3017-13OHIOSTNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+1.6
3117-14NWNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+3.4
3218-14NWOHIOSTKillHannah Jonesset Bailey Nakanelua+3.0
3318-15OHIOSTNW×4Serve errOhio St.+2.2
3418-16NWNW×4KillIsabella Bullingtonset Drew Wright+4.5
3518-17NWNW×4BlockedKalli Jioshvili Ravvablk Campbell Paris, Maya Stillwell+5.7
3618-18NWNW×4KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+6.8
3719-18NWOHIOSTKillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Emily Avshalomov+4.9
3820-18OHIOSTOHIOSTKillAlia Schoonover+7.4
3920-19OHIOSTNWAttack errKalli Jioshvili Ravva+4.0
4021-19NWOHIOSTKillKalli Jioshvili Ravvaset Bailey Nakanelua+5.3
4122-19OHIOSTOHIOSTAttack errIsabella Bullington+6.6
4222-20OHIOSTNWAttack errNaomy Govou+2.7
4323-20NWOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+4.5
4423-21OHIOSTNWAttack errKalli Jioshvili Ravva+2.3
4523-22NWNWBlockedNaomy Govoublk Ellie Stiernagle+6.7
4624-22NWOHIOSTKillNaomy Govouset Bailey Nakanelua+7.6
4724-23OHIOSTNWKillMara Stiglicset Gigi Navarrete+3.9
4825-23NWOHIOSTServe errNorthwestern+10.1

Score shown after each rally, Ohio St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).