Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 18, 2026Watch on BTN

Oregon def. Rutgers 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Oregon 92.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 18, 2:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Oregon beat visiting Rutgers 3-1 (25-13, 30-32, 25-18, 25-12) on Sun, Oct 18, 2026. Oregon's Sjakkie Donkers led with 20 kills.

Data through · final Oct 18

Set1234Sets
RUTGER133218121
OREGN253025253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Rutgers hit .068. Oregon held them there all match.

Win probability never moved more than 4.4 points on one rally; Rutgers topped out at 22% in Set 3. Oregon went in as RallyIQ's 93% pick.

RutgersOregon
  • Break %+19.4 pts
    31.651.0

    On serve: 53/104 against 24/76 (Rutgers sideout 49.0%).

  • Hitting+.322
    .068.390

    58 kills, 12 errors vs 46 kills, 36 errors.

  • Longest run+7
    411

    11 straight Oregon points in the fourth set broke an 8–8 tie and made it 19–8. Final score of the set: 25–12.

Oregon above 50Rutgers belowMax swing 4.4%

RutgersOregon

Aces
Rutgers 6·Oregon 3
Serve err
Rutgers 5·Oregon 11
Blocks
Rutgers 1·Oregon 90 BS · 2 BA vs 2 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Rutgers 43·Oregon 54

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Oregon above 50 · Rutgers below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.4% RUTGERrally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.4% to Rutgers — set 2, RUTGER 32-30 OREGN. Kill by Kaila Kalama-Bajet (set by Lily Bolen). OREGN win probability 92% → 87%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

RUTGER 6.2%93.8% OREGN

Rutgers wins

3-0
0.7%
3-1
1.8%
3-2
3.7%

Oregon wins

3-0
52.2%
3-1
30.5%
3-2
11.1%
RUTGER break %
35.5% vs this opp
OREGN break %
47.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Kaila Kalama-Bajet (set by Lily Bolen)

    Set 2 · RUTGER 32-30 OREGN · RUTGER 8% → 13%

  2. 02

    Kill by Zharia Harris-Waddy (set by Lily Bolen)

    Set 2 · RUTGER 26-25 OREGN · RUTGER 5% → 8%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kaila Kalama-Bajet (set by Kenzie Dyrstad)

    Set 2 · RUTGER 29-28 OREGN · RUTGER 5% → 8%

  4. 04
    Imani HowellKill+3.4%

    Kill by Imani Howell

    Set 2 · RUTGER 31-30 OREGN · RUTGER 5% → 8%

  5. 05
    RutgersAce+3.1%

    Rutgers ace on Maila Ribeiro

    Set 3 · RUTGER 9-6 OREGN · RUTGER 18% → 22%

  6. 06
    RutgersAce+2.9%

    Rutgers ace

    Set 3 · RUTGER 14-14 OREGN · RUTGER 12% → 15%

  7. 07
    Dalia VîrlanAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Dalia Vîrlan

    Set 3 · RUTGER 11-10 OREGN · RUTGER 14% → 17%

  8. 08
    Skylar GeorgeAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Skylar George

    Set 2 · RUTGER 27-28 OREGN · OREGN 94% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4121038.0530000000012
46930-.10003210010.59.5
48319.26300000010.58.5
46112.417010300007
44621-.095110700005
4000–1611300001
48421.190000210008
4012-.5002001700000
4001.0004001420000
4000–001100000
32021.000100500002
1022-1.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4636148.068426543302175
Oregonhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420140.475101111111.521.5
417532.3750028002118
410116.56300120153.513.5
46215.267000000217
4014-.25047121100001
4000–310230001
4000–0111000001
2405.800000000215
2126-.1670041000212
1000–000000000
Team totals5812118.390513115462149105

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 RUTGER · OREGN 11

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 3 RUTGEROREGN 4

Set 2

32-30

Longest run 4 RUTGEROREGN 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 2 RUTGEROREGN 4

Set 4

12-25

Longest run 2 RUTGEROREGN 11

Bars above the line = Oregon leads, below = Rutgers leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rutgers

SlotSideout %Break %
1
37%11/30
25%3/12
2
39%9/23
38%6/16
3
60%9/15
10%1/10
4
80%8/10
40%6/15
5
41%7/17
33%4/12
6
78%7/9
36%4/11
All
49%51/104
32%24/76

Oregon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%11/16
40%6/15
2
64%9/14
71%25/35
3
75%9/12
36%5/14
4
64%9/14
36%5/14
5
78%7/9
53%8/15
6
64%7/11
36%4/11
All
68%52/76
51%53/104

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

180 rallies

#RUTGER-OREGNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1OREGNOREGN×3KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+0.8
20-2OREGNOREGN×3Attack errMalia Romes+0.7
30-3OREGNOREGN×3Bad setBrooke Baldwin+0.6
41-3OREGNRUTGERAttack errAlanah Clemente+0.4
51-4RUTGEROREGN×3KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+0.4
61-5OREGNOREGN×3KillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.5
71-6OREGNOREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.4
82-6OREGNRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+0.2
92-7RUTGEROREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+0.3
103-7OREGNRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Lily Bolen+0.2
114-7RUTGERRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Lily Bolen+0.5
124-8RUTGEROREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.3
134-9OREGNOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.4
145-9OREGNRUTGERServe errValentina Vaulet+0.3
155-10RUTGEROREGN×3KillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.3
165-11OREGNOREGN×3Attack errSkylar George+0.3
175-12OREGNOREGN×3KillSjakkie Donkersset Lily Bolen+0.2
186-12OREGNRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Lily Bolen+0.1
196-13RUTGEROREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.1
206-14OREGNOREGNAttack errSkylar George+0.1
217-14OREGNRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+0.1
227-15RUTGEROREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.1
238-15OREGNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Brooke Baldwin+0.1
248-16RUTGEROREGN×4KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+0.1
258-17OREGNOREGN×4KillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.1
268-18OREGNOREGN×4Attack errMalia Romes·
278-19OREGNOREGN×4Attack errKaris Willow·
289-19OREGNRUTGERKillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin·
299-20RUTGEROREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover·
3010-20OREGNRUTGER×3Serve errAlanah Clemente·
3111-20RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errValentina Vaulet·
3212-20RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errMarina Crownover·
3312-21RUTGEROREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover·
3413-21OREGNRUTGERServe errValentina Vaulet·
3513-22RUTGEROREGN×4Attack errAspen Maxwell·
3613-23OREGNOREGN×4AceReese Sheppardaced Kenzie Dyrstad·
3713-24OREGNOREGN×4Attack errSkylar George·
3813-25OREGNOREGN×4KillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover·
Set 2
10-1RUTGEROREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.3
20-2OREGNOREGN×3Attack errKaris Willow+0.5
30-3OREGNOREGN×3Attack errKaris Willow+0.4
41-3OREGNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Brooke Baldwin+0.3
52-3RUTGERRUTGERAttack errAlanah Clemente+0.5
62-4RUTGEROREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.3
73-4OREGNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Brooke Baldwin+0.4
83-5RUTGEROREGNAttack errKaris Willow+0.3
94-5OREGNRUTGER×4Attack errAlanah Clemente+0.4
105-5RUTGERRUTGER×4Attack errValentina Vaulet+0.6
116-5RUTGERRUTGER×4AceRutgersaced Sjakkie Donkers+0.8
127-5RUTGERRUTGER×4KillAspen Maxwellset Lily Bolen+0.9
137-6RUTGEROREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.5
147-7OREGNOREGNBad setLily Bolen+0.8
158-7OREGNRUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+0.6
168-8RUTGEROREGNServe errAlleigh Dutton+0.5
179-8OREGNRUTGER×4Serve errValentina Vaulet+0.6
1810-8RUTGERRUTGER×4KillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+1.0
1911-8RUTGERRUTGER×4KillMalia Romesset Brooke Baldwin+1.1
2012-8RUTGERRUTGER×4AceRutgersaced Maila Ribeiro+1.1
2112-9RUTGEROREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.6
2213-9OREGNRUTGER×3KillSkylar Georgeset Brooke Baldwin+0.8
2314-9RUTGERRUTGER×3Attack errSjakkie Donkers+1.1
2415-9RUTGERRUTGER×3KillKaris Willowset Brooke Baldwin+1.0
2515-10RUTGEROREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Maila Ribeiro+0.5
2616-10OREGNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Brooke Baldwin+0.7
2716-11RUTGEROREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.4
2817-11OREGNRUTGERServe errSjakkie Donkers+0.7
2917-12RUTGEROREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.4
3017-13OREGNOREGNBlockedAspen Maxwellblk Valentina Vaulet, Alaina Pollard+0.8
3118-13OREGNRUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+0.9
3218-14RUTGEROREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.5
3319-14OREGNRUTGERServe errAlanah Clemente+0.9
3419-15RUTGEROREGN×4KillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+0.5
3519-16OREGNOREGN×4KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.0
3619-17OREGNOREGN×4KillSjakkie Donkers+1.2
3719-18OREGNOREGN×4Attack errSkylar George+1.4
3820-18OREGNRUTGERServe errValentina Vaulet+1.3
3920-19RUTGEROREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+1.0
4021-19OREGNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Kenzie Dyrstad+1.4
4121-20RUTGEROREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+1.0
4222-20OREGNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Brooke Baldwin+1.6
4322-21RUTGEROREGN×3KillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+1.1
4422-22OREGNOREGN×3BlockedMalia Romesblk Valentina Vaulet, Dalia Vîrlan+2.1
4522-23OREGNOREGN×3BlockedImani Howellblk Alanah Clemente, Dalia Vîrlan+2.2
4623-23OREGNRUTGERBlockedAlanah Clementeblk Karis Willow, Imani Howell+1.5
4723-24RUTGEROREGNServe errLily Bolen+1.8
4824-24OREGNRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Lily Bolen+1.8
4924-25RUTGEROREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.8
5025-25OREGNRUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+1.8
5126-25RUTGERRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Lily Bolen+3.4
5226-26RUTGEROREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+2.4
5327-26OREGNRUTGERAttack errAlanah Clemente+2.4
5427-27RUTGEROREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+2.4
5527-28OREGNOREGNAttack errSkylar George+2.8
5628-28OREGNRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Lily Bolen+1.8
5729-28RUTGERRUTGERKillKaila Kalama-Bajetset Kenzie Dyrstad+3.4
5829-29RUTGEROREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+2.4
5929-30OREGNOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+2.8
6030-30OREGNRUTGER×3KillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+1.8
6131-30RUTGERRUTGER×3KillImani Howell+3.4
6232-30RUTGERRUTGER×3KillKaila Kalama-Bajetset Lily Bolen+4.4
Set 3
11-0OREGNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Brooke Baldwin+1.4
21-1RUTGEROREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+1.2
32-1OREGNRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Kenzie Dyrstad+1.4
42-2RUTGEROREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+1.3
53-2OREGNRUTGERKillImani Howellset Brooke Baldwin+1.5
63-3RUTGEROREGNAttack errKaris Willow+1.3
74-3OREGNRUTGERAttack errAlaina Pollard+1.5
85-3RUTGERRUTGERAceRutgers+2.5
95-4RUTGEROREGNServe errKaris Willow+1.5
106-4OREGNRUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen+1.8
116-5RUTGEROREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+1.5
127-5OREGNRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Kaila Kalama-Bajet+1.9
137-6RUTGEROREGNServe errBrooke Baldwin+1.6
148-6OREGNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Brooke Baldwin+2.0
159-6RUTGERRUTGERAceRutgersaced Maila Ribeiro+3.1
169-7RUTGEROREGN×4KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+1.8
179-8OREGNOREGN×4Attack errKaris Willow+2.6
189-9OREGNOREGN×4KillMarlee Arrington+2.5
199-10OREGNOREGN×4BlockedMalia Romesblk Marlee Arrington, Dalia Vîrlan+2.3
2010-10OREGNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Brooke Baldwin+1.7
2111-10RUTGERRUTGERAttack errDalia Vîrlan+2.9
2211-11RUTGEROREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.8
2311-12OREGNOREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+2.5
2411-13OREGNOREGN×3Attack errMalia Romes+2.2
2512-13OREGNRUTGERServe errDalia Vîrlan+1.5
2612-14RUTGEROREGNKillMarlee Arringtonset Marina Crownover+1.5
2713-14OREGNRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Lily Bolen+1.6
2814-14RUTGERRUTGERAceRutgers+2.9
2914-15RUTGEROREGN×3KillAlaina Pollardset Imani Howell+1.9
3014-16OREGNOREGN×3Attack errImani Howell+2.5
3114-17OREGNOREGN×3AceMaila Ribeiroaced Aspen Maxwell+2.0
3215-17OREGNRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Lily Bolen+1.2
3315-18RUTGEROREGNAttack errSkylar George+1.4
3416-18OREGNRUTGERServe errReese Sheppard+1.3
3516-19RUTGEROREGN×3KillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+1.4
3616-20OREGNOREGN×3BlockedMalia Romesblk Sjakkie Donkers+1.5
3716-21OREGNOREGN×3BlockedImani Howellblk Dalia Vîrlan+0.9
3817-21OREGNRUTGERServe errMarina Crownover+0.4
3918-21RUTGERRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Kenzie Dyrstad+1.0
4018-22RUTGEROREGN×4KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+1.0
4118-23OREGNOREGN×4Attack errMalia Romes+0.7
4218-24OREGNOREGN×4Attack errKaris Willow+0.2
4318-25OREGNOREGN×4Bad setBrooke Baldwin·
Set 4
10-1RUTGEROREGNAttack errKaris Willow+0.8
20-2OREGNOREGNAttack errMalia Romes+1.0
31-2OREGNRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Skylar George+0.7
41-3RUTGEROREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.7
52-3OREGNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Brooke Baldwin+0.8
62-4RUTGEROREGNKillMarlee Arringtonset Marina Crownover+0.7
72-5OREGNOREGNKillMarlee Arringtonset Sjakkie Donkers+0.9
83-5OREGNRUTGERKillKaris Willowset Lily Bolen+0.6
93-6RUTGEROREGNServe errKaris Willow+0.6
104-6OREGNRUTGERKillSkylar Georgeset Lily Bolen+0.7
115-6RUTGERRUTGERAttack errAlaina Pollard+1.2
125-7RUTGEROREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+0.8
136-7OREGNRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Lily Bolen+0.9
147-7RUTGERRUTGERKillZharia Harris-Waddyset Brooke Baldwin+1.5
157-8RUTGEROREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+1.0
168-8OREGNRUTGERKillMalia Romesset Maila Ribeiro+1.1
178-9RUTGEROREGN×11Attack errKaris Willow+1.0
188-10OREGNOREGN×11KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.4
198-11OREGNOREGN×11BlockedMalia Romesblk Sjakkie Donkers, Dalia Vîrlan+1.1
208-12OREGNOREGN×11Attack errAddison Wiemann+0.9
218-13OREGNOREGN×11Attack errZharia Harris-Waddy+0.7
228-14OREGNOREGN×11KillSjakkie Donkersset Maila Ribeiro+0.5
238-15OREGNOREGN×11KillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.3
248-16OREGNOREGN×11Attack errMalia Romes+0.2
258-17OREGNOREGN×11BlockedAddison Wiemannblk Alanah Clemente, Dalia Vîrlan+0.1
268-18OREGNOREGN×11KillSjakkie Donkersset Maila Ribeiro·
278-19OREGNOREGN×11AceMarina Crownoveraced Kenzie Dyrstad·
289-19OREGNRUTGERServe errMarina Crownover·
2910-19RUTGERRUTGERAceRutgersaced Maila Ribeiro·
3010-20RUTGEROREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover·
3110-21OREGNOREGNAttack errLily Bolen·
3211-21OREGNRUTGERKillImani Howellset Lily Bolen·
3311-22RUTGEROREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover·
3411-23OREGNOREGN×3Attack errAspen Maxwell·
3511-24OREGNOREGN×3BlockedAspen Maxwellblk Alaina Pollard, Marlee Arrington·
3612-24OREGNRUTGERKillAspen Maxwellset Lily Bolen·
3712-25RUTGEROREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover·

Score shown after each rally, Rutgers first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).