FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on B1G+

Penn St. def. Northwestern 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Penn St. 93.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 6:26 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Penn St. beat visiting Northwestern 3-0 (25-18, 25-17, 25-19) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Penn St.'s Kennedy Martin led with 15 kills.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set123Sets
NW1817190
PENNST2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.560 and 15 kills for Kennedy Martin as Penn St. rolled past Northwestern.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.7 points. Northwestern peaked at 7% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Penn St. went in as RallyIQ's 94% pick.

NorthwesternPenn St.
  • Break %+18.2 pts
    34.552.7

    39 of 74 on serve vs 19 of 55, so Northwestern's sideout was 47.3%.

  • Hitting+.252
    .169.421

    52 kills, 12 errors vs 31 kills, 16 errors.

  • Longest run+-3
    85

    Penn St. scored 5 straight in the third set to stretch an 18–17 lead to 23–17. The set finished 25–19.

Penn St. above 50Northwestern belowMax swing 0.7%

NorthwesternPenn St.

Aces
Northwestern 3·Penn St. 6
Serve err
Northwestern 0·Penn St. 8
Blocks
Northwestern 3·Penn St. 70 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Northwestern 25·Penn St. 33

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Penn St. above 50 · Northwestern below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 129 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Penn St. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NW 2.9%97.1% PENNST

Northwestern wins

3-0
0.3%
3-1
0.8%
3-2
1.9%

Penn St. wins

3-0
62.5%
3-1
27.2%
3-2
7.3%
NW break %
33.8% vs this opp
PENNST break %
48.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38420.20000000010.58.5
3729.55600000010.57.5
35110.400000000216
33419-.053000120003
3115.0002500400212
3014-.250000330000
34216.125000000004
3000–020510002
3000–210800001
3001.000100400000
1315.400000000003
Team totals311689.169283025606354
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315125.56011240031.517.5
312013.9230010012214
39214.50001240010.510.5
38115.4670001004210
36620.000101610217
3216.1674520100004
3000–120510002
3000–002200000
3000–000400000
3000–100610000
1001.000000000000
1011-1.000100000000
Team totals521295.4215068333112775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 NW · PENNST 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 NWPENNST 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 4 NWPENNST 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 8 NWPENNST 5

Bars above the line = Penn St. leads, below = Northwestern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northwestern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
25%2/8
2
38%6/16
36%4/11
3
32%6/19
54%7/13
4
55%6/11
14%1/7
5
83%5/6
40%4/10
6
56%5/9
17%1/6
All
47%35/74
35%19/55

Penn St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
56%9/16
2
43%6/14
57%8/14
3
100%6/6
67%12/18
4
75%6/8
60%9/15
5
56%5/9
17%1/6
6
71%5/7
0%0/5
All
65%36/55
53%39/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#NW-PENNSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0PENNSTNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle
21-1NWPENNST×4KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky
31-2PENNSTPENNST×4Attack errCate Schnell
41-3PENNSTPENNST×4AcePenn St.aced Cate Schnell
51-4PENNSTPENNST×4KillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky
62-4PENNSTNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle
72-5NWPENNST×4KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky
82-6PENNSTPENNST×4KillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky
92-7PENNSTPENNST×4KillKennedy Martinset Lexi Gin
102-8PENNSTPENNST×4AcePenn St.aced Cate Schnell
113-8PENNSTNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle
123-9NWPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky
133-10PENNSTPENNSTAcePenn St.aced Gigi Navarrete
144-10PENNSTNWServe errPenn St.
155-10NWNWAttack errHaley Burgdorf
165-11NWPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky
176-11PENNSTNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle
187-11NWNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle
197-12NWPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky
208-12PENNSTNWServe errPenn St.
218-13NWPENNST×3KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky
228-14PENNSTPENNST×3KillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky
238-15PENNSTPENNST×3AcePenn St.aced Mara Stiglic
249-15PENNSTNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle
259-16NWPENNSTAttack errMara Stiglic
269-17PENNSTPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky
2710-17PENNSTNWServe errPenn St.
2810-18NWPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky
2911-18PENNSTNWKillKayla Kauffmanset Ellie Stiernagle
3011-19NWPENNST×3KillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky
3111-20PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errIsabella Bullington
3211-21PENNSTPENNST×3KillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky
3312-21PENNSTNWKillEllie Stiernagleset Lauren Dignan
3412-22NWPENNSTKillAlexis Stuckyset Haley Burgdorf
3513-22PENNSTNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle
3613-23NWPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky
3714-23PENNSTNW×3KillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle
3815-23NWNW×3KillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle
3916-23NWNW×3Attack errKennedy Martin
4016-24NWPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky
4117-24PENNSTNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle
4218-24NWNWAttack errGabrielle Nichols
4318-25NWPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky
Set 2
10-1NWPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky
21-1PENNSTNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle
31-2NWPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky
41-3PENNSTPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky
52-3PENNSTNWKillCampbell Parisset Lauren Dignan
62-4NWPENNST×3KillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky
72-5PENNSTPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky
82-6PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedMara Stiglicblk Kendall Northern, Kennedy Martin
93-6PENNSTNWAttack errHaley Burgdorf
103-7NWPENNSTAttack errIsabella Bullington
114-7PENNSTNW×4Attack errAlexis Stucky
125-7NWNW×4KillMaya Stillwellset Haley Burgdorf
136-7NWNW×4KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle
147-7NWNW×4KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle
157-8NWPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky
168-8PENNSTNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle
178-9NWPENNST×4KillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky
188-10PENNSTPENNST×4KillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky
198-11PENNSTPENNST×4KillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky
208-12PENNSTPENNST×4KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky
219-12PENNSTNWServe errPenn St.
229-13NWPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky
239-14PENNSTPENNSTAcePenn St.aced Mara Stiglic
2410-14PENNSTNWKillCampbell Parisset Drew Wright
2511-14NWNWKillKayla Kauffmanset Ellie Stiernagle
2611-15NWPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky
2711-16PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedCampbell Parisblk Gabrielle Nichols, Haley Burgdorf
2811-17PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedCampbell Parisblk Gabrielle Nichols, Haley Burgdorf
2912-17PENNSTNWServe errPenn St.
3012-18NWPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky
3112-19PENNSTPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky
3212-20PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedEllie Stiernagleblk Kendall Northern
3313-20PENNSTNWKillKayla Kauffmanset Ellie Stiernagle
3414-20NWNWAttack errHaley Burgdorf
3514-21NWPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky
3615-21PENNSTNWServe errPenn St.
3715-22NWPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Ava Falduto
3816-22PENNSTNWServe errPenn St.
3916-23NWPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky
4016-24PENNSTPENNSTBlockedMaya Stillwellblk Gabrielle Nichols, Whitney Lauenstein
4117-24PENNSTNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle
4217-25NWPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky
Set 3
10-1PENNSTPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky
20-2PENNSTPENNSTAttack errCampbell Paris
31-2PENNSTNWBlockedWhitney Lauensteinblk Maya Stillwell, Campbell Paris
41-3NWPENNST×3KillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky
51-4PENNSTPENNST×3Bad setEllie Stiernagle
61-5PENNSTPENNST×3KillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky
72-5PENNSTNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle
82-6NWPENNST×3BlockedMara Stiglicblk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin
92-7PENNSTPENNST×3AcePenn St.aced Cate Schnell
102-8PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedMara Stiglicblk Kendall Northern, Kennedy Martin
113-8PENNSTNWKillLily Wagnerset Ellie Stiernagle
123-9NWPENNST×3KillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky
133-10PENNSTPENNST×3KillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky
143-11PENNSTPENNST×3KillAlexis Stuckyset Kennedy Martin
154-11PENNSTNWKillKayla Kauffmanset Ellie Stiernagle
164-12NWPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky
174-13PENNSTPENNSTAttack errMaya Stillwell
185-13PENNSTNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle
195-14NWPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky
206-14PENNSTNWServe errPenn St.
216-15NWPENNSTAttack errCampbell Paris
226-16PENNSTPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Ellie Stiernagle
237-16PENNSTNW×3KillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle
248-16NWNW×3AceNorthwesternaced Haley Burgdorf
259-16NWNW×3Attack errWhitney Lauenstein
269-17NWPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Danielle Whitmire
279-18PENNSTPENNSTKillGabrielle Nichols
2810-18PENNSTNW×8KillLily Wagnerset Ellie Stiernagle
2911-18NWNW×8BlockedHaley Burgdorfblk Ellie Stiernagle, Kayla Kauffman
3012-18NWNW×8AceNorthwesternaced Lexi Gin
3113-18NWNW×8Attack errDanielle Whitmire
3214-18NWNW×8AceNorthwesternaced Ava Falduto
3315-18NWNW×8KillLily Wagnerset Ellie Stiernagle
3416-18NWNW×8Attack errHaley Burgdorf
3517-18NWNW×8KillKayla Kauffmanset Ellie Stiernagle
3617-19NWPENNST×5KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky
3717-20PENNSTPENNST×5Attack errKayla Kauffman
3817-21PENNSTPENNST×5Attack errLily Wagner
3917-22PENNSTPENNST×5KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky
4017-23PENNSTPENNST×5KillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky
4118-23PENNSTNWBlockedHaley Burgdorfblk Kayla Kauffman, Ellie Stiernagle
4218-24NWPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky
4319-24PENNSTNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle
4419-25NWPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky

Score shown after each rally, Northwestern first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).