Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 23, 2026Watch on B1G+

Penn St. def. Oregon 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Penn St. 58.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Penn St. beat visiting Oregon 3-1 (25-17, 23-25, 25-19, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Penn St.'s Kennedy Martin led with 25 kills, and Jocelyn Nathan added 11 digs.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set1234Sets
OREGN172519201
PENNST252325253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Kennedy Martin hit .431 on 51 swings as Penn St. edged Oregon.

The match turned twice; each line shows Penn St.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Penn St. went in as RallyIQ's 58% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Oregon 22–22 Penn St.

    Oregon closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and level the match at 1–1.

    Penn St. 73% → 56%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Oregon 14–12 Penn St.

    4 straight Penn St. points turned a 12–14 deficit into a 16–14 lead.

    Penn St. 70% → 87%

Penn St. above 50Oregon belowMax swing 7.2%

OregonPenn St.

Sideout %
Oregon 62.9·Penn St. 75.6
Break %
Oregon 24.4·Penn St. 37.1
Hitting
Oregon .156·Penn St. .346
Longest run
Oregon 4·Penn St. 5

Kennedy Martin
2 kills inside the turning points, 25 K and .431 for the match (27 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Penn St. above 50 · Oregon below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.2% OREGNrally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.2% to Oregon — set 2, OREGN 24-22 PENNST. Whitney Lauenstein stuffed by Valentina Vaulet & Dalia Vîrlan. PENNST win probability 68% → 61%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

OREGN 34.3%65.7% PENNST

Oregon wins

3-0
6.9%
3-1
12.3%
3-2
15.1%

Penn St. wins

3-0
20.4%
3-1
25.2%
3-2
20.1%
OREGN break %
39.4% vs this opp
PENNST break %
42.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Whitney Lauenstein stuffed by Valentina Vaulet & Dalia Vîrlan

    Set 2 · OREGN 24-22 PENNST · OREGN 32% → 39%

  2. 02

    Kill by Sjakkie Donkers (set by Kamden Mitchell)

    Set 2 · OREGN 25-23 PENNST · OREGN 37% → 44%

  3. 03
    Sjakkie DonkersAttack error+5.6%

    Attack error by Sjakkie Donkers

    Set 4 · OREGN 17-18 PENNST · PENNST 77% → 83%

  4. 04

    Kill by Valentina Vaulet (set by Kamden Mitchell)

    Set 2 · OREGN 23-22 PENNST · OREGN 27% → 32%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kennedy Martin (set by Alexis Stucky)

    Set 4 · OREGN 17-19 PENNST · PENNST 83% → 88%

  6. 06

    Ace by Maila Ribeiro on Whitney Lauenstein

    Set 4 · OREGN 17-16 PENNST · OREGN 21% → 26%

  7. 07

    Ace by Maila Ribeiro on Whitney Lauenstein

    Set 4 · OREGN 16-16 PENNST · OREGN 16% → 21%

  8. 08

    Sjakkie Donkers stuffed by Gabrielle Nichols & Kennedy Martin

    Set 4 · OREGN 18-21 PENNST · PENNST 89% → 94%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Oregonaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415845.1564018200015
413935.11400380031.514.5
48114.500000100008
4329.11120110052.55.5
4418.37533011000004
4000–320900002
43211.09100030010.53.5
4000–1211010002
34015.267000000004
31510-.40000010010.51.5
3000–801500000
Team totals5128147.1565148563010581
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
425351.4311047004227
415333.36400192052.517.5
43013.23100111094.57.5
45311.182000100216
4308.375450050031.54.5
4102.500222610003
47318.222002100007
4000–411500001
4000–002100000
4000–1001100000
4000–100400000
Team totals5912136.3465431351402311.598

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 OREGN · PENNST 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 1 OREGNPENNST 3

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 OREGNPENNST 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 OREGNPENNST 5

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 3 OREGNPENNST 4

Bars above the line = Penn St. leads, below = Oregon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Oregon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%12/21
38%6/16
2
60%12/20
33%6/18
3
73%11/15
35%6/17
4
53%9/17
15%2/13
5
100%9/9
0%0/9
6
53%8/15
0%0/9
All
63%61/97
24%20/82

Penn St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
44%8/18
2
67%12/18
43%9/21
3
69%11/16
43%9/21
4
83%10/12
38%6/16
5
100%9/9
18%2/11
6
80%8/10
20%2/10
All
76%62/82
37%36/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#OREGN-PENNSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1PENNSTPENNSTAttack errAlanah Clemente+2.4
20-2PENNSTPENNSTAttack errSjakkie Donkers+2.4
31-2PENNSTOREGNServe errPenn St.+1.7
41-3OREGNPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+1.8
52-3PENNSTOREGNServe errPenn St.+1.7
62-4OREGNPENNST×3Attack errValentina Vaulet+1.8
72-5PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedAlanah Clementeblk Gabrielle Nichols, Whitney Lauenstein+2.3
82-6PENNSTPENNST×3KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+2.1
93-6PENNSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.4
103-7OREGNPENNSTKillAlexis Stuckyset Ava Falduto+1.6
114-7PENNSTOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+1.4
124-8OREGNPENNSTAttack errAlanah Clemente+1.6
135-8PENNSTOREGNServe errPenn St.+1.4
145-9OREGNPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+1.6
155-10PENNSTPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+1.9
166-10PENNSTOREGNServe errPenn St.+1.2
176-11OREGNPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+1.4
187-11PENNSTOREGNKillMarina Crownoverset Maila Ribeiro+1.2
197-12OREGNPENNSTServe errOregon+1.4
208-12PENNSTOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+1.2
218-13OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.4
229-13PENNSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+1.2
239-14OREGNPENNSTBlockedAlanah Clementeblk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin+1.5
2410-14PENNSTOREGNKillMarlee Arringtonset Marina Crownover+1.2
2510-15OREGNPENNSTServe errOregon+1.5
2611-15PENNSTOREGNBad setAlexis Stucky+1.2
2711-16OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.5
2812-16PENNSTOREGNServe errPenn St.+1.1
2912-17OREGNPENNSTServe errOregon+1.5
3013-17PENNSTOREGNAttack errWhitney Lauenstein+1.1
3113-18OREGNPENNSTKillAlexis Stuckyset Haley Burgdorf+1.5
3213-19PENNSTPENNSTAceAva Faldutoaced Reese Sheppard+1.4
3314-19PENNSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.6
3414-20OREGNPENNSTServe errOregon+0.9
3514-21PENNSTPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Haley Burgdorf+0.7
3615-21PENNSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.3
3715-22OREGNPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.4
3815-23PENNSTPENNSTAttack errMarlee Arrington+0.2
3916-23PENNSTOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover·
4016-24OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.1
4117-24PENNSTOREGNServe errPenn St.·
4217-25OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky·
Set 2
11-0OREGNOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+2.3
22-0OREGNOREGNAttack errKendall Northern+2.3
32-1OREGNPENNST×4KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.6
42-2PENNSTPENNST×4KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.3
52-3PENNSTPENNST×4BlockedAlanah Clementeblk Whitney Lauenstein, Gabrielle Nichols+2.3
62-4PENNSTPENNST×4KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+2.3
73-4PENNSTOREGNKillMarina Crownoverset Maila Ribeiro+1.6
84-4OREGNOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+2.4
94-5OREGNPENNSTBlockedDalia Vîrlanblk Gabrielle Nichols, Whitney Lauenstein+1.8
105-5PENNSTOREGNKillMarina Crownoverset Sjakkie Donkers+1.8
116-5OREGNOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+2.6
126-6OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.8
137-6PENNSTOREGN×3KillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+1.9
148-6OREGNOREGN×3Attack errEmmi Sellman+2.7
159-6OREGNOREGN×3BlockedKennedy Martinblk Dalia Vîrlan, Marlee Arrington+2.6
169-7OREGNPENNSTAttack errMarlee Arrington+1.7
1710-7PENNSTOREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+2.0
1810-8OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.8
1911-8PENNSTOREGNServe errPenn St.+2.0
2011-9OREGNPENNST×3Serve errAlanah Clemente+1.8
2111-10PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errAlanah Clemente+2.8
2211-11PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errMarlee Arrington+3.0
2312-11PENNSTOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+2.3
2412-12OREGNPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+2.2
2513-12PENNSTOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+2.4
2614-12OREGNOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+3.3
2714-13OREGNPENNST×3KillWhitney Lauensteinset Ava Falduto+2.2
2814-14PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errMarina Crownover+3.3
2914-15PENNSTPENNST×3KillGabrielle Nichols+3.4
3015-15PENNSTOREGN×4KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+2.5
3116-15OREGNOREGN×4KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+3.7
3217-15OREGNOREGN×4KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+3.8
3318-15OREGNOREGN×4KillSjakkie Donkersset Dalia Vîrlan+3.5
3418-16OREGNPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+2.1
3519-16PENNSTOREGNServe errPenn St.+2.7
3619-17OREGNPENNST×3KillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+2.1
3719-18PENNSTPENNST×3KillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+3.7
3819-19PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errAlanah Clemente+4.4
3920-19PENNSTOREGNBlockedEmmi Sellmanblk Alanah Clemente, Dalia Vîrlan+3.6
4020-20OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+3.5
4121-20PENNSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+4.0
4221-21OREGNPENNSTServe errAlanah Clemente+3.8
4322-21PENNSTOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+4.5
4422-22OREGNPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+4.3
4523-22PENNSTOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Kamden Mitchell+5.4
4624-22OREGNOREGNBlockedWhitney Lauensteinblk Valentina Vaulet, Dalia Vîrlan+7.2
4724-23OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.9
4825-23PENNSTOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Kamden Mitchell+7.0
Set 3
11-0PENNSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+2.5
21-1OREGNPENNSTBlockedSjakkie Donkersblk Kendall Northern, Alexis Stucky, Whitney Lauenstein+2.4
32-1PENNSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+2.5
43-1OREGNOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+3.5
53-2OREGNPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+2.4
64-2PENNSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+2.6
74-3OREGNPENNST×5KillWhitney Lauensteinset Ava Falduto+2.5
84-4PENNSTPENNST×5KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+3.5
94-5PENNSTPENNST×5KillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+3.6
104-6PENNSTPENNST×5KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+3.5
114-7PENNSTPENNST×5KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+3.3
125-7PENNSTOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+2.2
135-8OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.4
146-8PENNSTOREGNServe errPenn St.+2.3
156-9OREGNPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+2.5
167-9PENNSTOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Reese Sheppard+2.3
177-10OREGNPENNSTAttack errAlanah Clemente+2.6
188-10PENNSTOREGNServe errPenn St.+2.4
198-11OREGNPENNST×3Attack errMarlee Arrington+2.6
208-12PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedMarlee Arringtonblk Alexis Stucky, Gabrielle Nichols+3.2
218-13PENNSTPENNST×3KillAlexis Stuckyset Ava Falduto+2.7
229-13PENNSTOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Dalia Vîrlan+1.6
239-14OREGNPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Jocelyn Nathan+2.0
2410-14PENNSTOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+1.6
2510-15OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.0
2611-15PENNSTOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Kamden Mitchell+1.6
2711-16OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.0
2812-16PENNSTOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Kamden Mitchell+1.5
2912-17OREGNPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Alexis Stucky+2.0
3012-18PENNSTPENNSTAttack errSjakkie Donkers+2.0
3113-18PENNSTOREGN×3KillSjakkie Donkersset Kamden Mitchell+0.9
3214-18OREGNOREGN×3Attack errKendall Northern+1.9
3315-18OREGNOREGN×3BlockedEmmi Sellmanblk Alanah Clemente, Dalia Vîrlan+2.8
3415-19OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.7
3515-20PENNSTPENNSTBlockedDalia Vîrlanblk Kendall Northern, Alexis Stucky+2.6
3616-20PENNSTOREGNServe errEmmi Sellman+1.2
3717-20OREGNOREGNAttack errWhitney Lauenstein+2.6
3817-21OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.7
3918-21PENNSTOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Marina Crownover+1.7
4018-22OREGNPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+2.7
4118-23PENNSTPENNSTAttack errAlanah Clemente+2.0
4219-23PENNSTOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.6
4319-24OREGNPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.1
4419-25PENNSTPENNSTBlockedValentina Vauletblk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin+0.4
Set 4
10-1OREGNPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+2.2
20-2PENNSTPENNSTAttack errAlaina Pollard+3.0
31-2PENNSTOREGNKillMarina Crownoverset Sjakkie Donkers+2.1
41-3OREGNPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+2.2
52-3PENNSTOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Maila Ribeiro+2.2
63-3OREGNOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Sjakkie Donkers+3.2
73-4OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.4
84-4PENNSTOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+2.4
94-5OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.4
105-5PENNSTOREGNKillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+2.4
115-6OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.5
126-6PENNSTOREGNServe errKennedy Martin+2.5
136-7OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.5
147-7PENNSTOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Kamden Mitchell+2.6
157-8OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.6
168-8PENNSTOREGN×3KillValentina Vauletset Kamden Mitchell+2.7
179-8OREGNOREGN×3AceReese Sheppardaced Gabrielle Nichols+3.8
1810-8OREGNOREGN×3AceReese Sheppardaced Haley Burgdorf+3.9
1910-9OREGNPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+2.6
2011-9PENNSTOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Kamden Mitchell+2.9
2111-10OREGNPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Kennedy Martin+2.7
2212-10PENNSTOREGNBlockedKennedy Martinblk Alanah Clemente, Dalia Vîrlan+3.0
2312-11OREGNPENNSTKillEmmi Sellmanset Lexi Gin+2.8
2413-11PENNSTOREGNAttack errKendall Northern+3.1
2513-12OREGNPENNSTServe errDalia Vîrlan+2.9
2614-12PENNSTOREGNKillLaura Eichertset Sjakkie Donkers+3.3
2714-13OREGNPENNST×4Serve errKamden Mitchell+3.0
2814-14PENNSTPENNST×4KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+4.5
2914-15PENNSTPENNST×4AceHaley Burgdorfaced Sjakkie Donkers+4.7
3014-16PENNSTPENNST×4AceHaley Burgdorfaced Sjakkie Donkers+4.5
3115-16PENNSTOREGN×3Serve errHaley Burgdorf+3.1
3216-16OREGNOREGN×3AceMaila Ribeiroaced Whitney Lauenstein+4.9
3317-16OREGNOREGN×3AceMaila Ribeiroaced Whitney Lauenstein+5.4
3417-17OREGNPENNST×3Attack errSjakkie Donkers+3.8
3517-18PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errSjakkie Donkers+5.6
3617-19PENNSTPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+5.4
3718-19PENNSTOREGNAttack errKennedy Martin+3.5
3818-20OREGNPENNST×4KillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+4.2
3918-21PENNSTPENNST×4BlockedSjakkie Donkersblk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin+4.9
4018-22PENNSTPENNST×4KillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+3.4
4118-23PENNSTPENNST×4BlockedSjakkie Donkersblk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin+1.9
4219-23PENNSTOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.5
4319-24OREGNPENNSTBlockedSjakkie Donkersblk Gabrielle Nichols, Whitney Lauenstein+1.1
4420-24PENNSTOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.3
4520-25OREGNPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Oregon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).