Final · 4 setsSun, Nov 8, 2026Watch on B1G+

Oregon def. Northwestern 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Oregon 95.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Oregon beat visiting Northwestern 3-1 (25-20, 26-24, 18-25, 25-11) on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. Valentina Vaulet led Oregon with 16 kills; Northwestern's Isabella Bullington had a match-high 20.

Data through · final Nov 8

Set1234Sets
NW202425111
OREGN252618253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Northwestern hit .110. Oregon held them there all match.

Win probability never moved more than 2.0 points on one rally; Northwestern topped out at 6% in Set 2. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Oregon at 95%.

NorthwesternOregon
  • Break %+9.5 pts
    34.644.1

    On serve: 41/93 against 28/81 (Northwestern sideout 55.9%).

  • Hitting+.142
    .110.252

    56 K / 23 E against 40 K / 25 E.

  • Longest run+1
    45

    5 straight Oregon points in the fourth set stretched a 19–10 lead to 24–10. Final score of the set: 25–11.

Oregon above 50Northwestern belowMax swing 2.0%

NorthwesternOregon

Aces
Northwestern 3·Oregon 5
Serve err
Northwestern 7·Oregon 12
Blocks
Northwestern 10·Oregon 136 BS · 8 BA vs 3 BS · 20 BA
Digs
Northwestern 40·Oregon 58

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Oregon above 50 · Northwestern below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.0% OREGNrally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.0% to Oregon — set 2, NW 24-25 OREGN. Attack error by Ellie Stiernagle. OREGN win probability 96% → 98%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NW 5.0%95.0% OREGN

Northwestern wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.4%
3-2
3.0%

Oregon wins

3-0
55.3%
3-1
29.7%
3-2
9.9%
NW break %
34.9% vs this opp
OREGN break %
47.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ellie StiernagleAttack error+2.0%

    Attack error by Ellie Stiernagle

    Set 2 · NW 24-25 OREGN · OREGN 96% → 98%

  2. 02
    Mara StiglicBlock+2.0%

    Alanah Clemente stuffed by Mara Stiglic

    Set 2 · NW 23-22 OREGN · NW 4% → 6%

  3. 03
    Mara StiglicKill+1.9%

    Kill by Mara Stiglic (set by Ellie Stiernagle)

    Set 2 · NW 24-23 OREGN · NW 4% → 6%

  4. 04

    Kill by Alaina Pollard (set by Marina Crownover)

    Set 2 · NW 24-24 OREGN · OREGN 94% → 96%

  5. 05
    Isabella BullingtonAttack error+1.5%

    Attack error by Isabella Bullington

    Set 2 · NW 24-26 OREGN · OREGN 98% → 99%

  6. 06
    Alanah ClementeAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Alanah Clemente

    Set 2 · NW 22-22 OREGN · NW 2% → 4%

  7. 07

    Kill by Sjakkie Donkers (set by Marina Crownover)

    Set 2 · NW 23-23 OREGN · OREGN 94% → 96%

  8. 08

    Clara Schramm stuffed by Alanah Clemente & Alaina Pollard

    Set 4 · NW 1-2 OREGN · OREGN 96% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
49633.09100233212.511.5
4339.00000000132.55.5
4015-.2003611300212
4000–101610000
22113.077000000002
2000–000000000
420643.32601280111.522.5
43316.00000000212.55.5
4001.0001111210001
4001.000000800000
33515-.133000000003
3000–000000000
Team totals4025136.1103837405681080
Oregonhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416329.4482134012219
413831.16100060132.515.5
410430.2001113202112
49218.3890000014312
4026-.3334600210031.51.5
3239-.11100210052.54.5
4000–323710002
41011.0001001200001
4000–011200001
2415.60000220010.54.5
1102.500000000001
Team totals5623131.252535125833201394

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NW · OREGN 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 2 NWOREGN 4

Set 2

24-26

Longest run 4 NWOREGN 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 4 NWOREGN 3

Set 4

11-25

Longest run 2 NWOREGN 5

Bars above the line = Oregon leads, below = Northwestern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northwestern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
47%7/15
2
63%10/16
17%2/12
3
67%10/15
33%5/15
4
50%9/18
38%6/16
5
47%7/15
40%6/15
6
60%6/10
25%2/8
All
56%52/93
35%28/81

Oregon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
47%7/15
2
83%10/12
47%9/19
3
53%10/19
29%4/14
4
71%10/14
44%8/18
5
64%7/11
50%7/14
6
55%6/11
46%6/13
All
65%53/81
44%41/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

174 rallies

#NW-OREGNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NWOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.4
21-1OREGNNWAttack errAlanah Clemente+0.4
32-1NWNWAceLauren Dignanaced Sjakkie Donkers+0.7
42-2NWOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.5
53-2OREGNNWServe errDalia Vîrlan+0.5
63-3NWOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+0.5
73-4OREGNOREGNBad setEllie Stiernagle+0.6
84-4OREGNNWBad setMarina Crownover+0.5
94-5NWOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+0.4
105-5OREGNNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.5
116-5NWNWBlockedAlaina Pollardblk Maya Stillwell+0.8
126-6NWOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.5
136-7OREGNOREGNAttack errIsabella Bullington+0.7
147-7OREGNNWServe errReese Sheppard+0.5
157-8NWOREGN×3Serve errEllie Stiernagle+0.5
167-9OREGNOREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.6
177-10OREGNOREGN×3KillValentina Vauletset Reese Sheppard+0.5
188-10OREGNNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.4
198-11NWOREGN×4KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+0.4
208-12OREGNOREGN×4KillDalia Vîrlanset Marina Crownover+0.4
218-13OREGNOREGN×4AceValentina Vauletaced Drew Wright+0.3
228-14OREGNOREGN×4Attack errMaya Stillwell+0.2
239-14OREGNNWKillCampbell Parisset Lauren Dignan+0.1
249-15NWOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.1
259-16OREGNOREGNBlockedHayley Schaafblk Alanah Clemente+0.1
2610-16OREGNNWKillCampbell Parisset Ellie Stiernagle+0.1
2711-16NWNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.2
2811-17NWOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+0.1
2912-17OREGNNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.1
3012-18NWOREGNServe errMara Stiglic+0.1
3112-19OREGNOREGNAttack errIsabella Bullington+0.1
3213-19OREGNNWServe errSjakkie Donkers·
3313-20NWOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.1
3414-20OREGNNWKillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle·
3515-20NWNWBlockedDalia Vîrlanblk Isabella Bullington+0.1
3615-21NWOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Reese Sheppard+0.1
3716-21OREGNNWAttack errValentina Vaulet+0.1
3816-22NWOREGNServe errIsabella Bullington+0.1
3917-22OREGNNWServe errValentina Vaulet·
4017-23NWOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.1
4118-23OREGNNWAttack errSjakkie Donkers·
4219-23NWNWAttack errSjakkie Donkers+0.1
4319-24NWOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+0.1
4420-24OREGNNWKillHayley Schaafset Ellie Stiernagle·
4520-25NWOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.1
Set 2
10-1OREGNOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Sjakkie Donkers+0.4
20-2OREGNOREGNAttack errMaya Stillwell+0.3
31-2OREGNNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.2
41-3NWOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.2
52-3OREGNNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.2
62-4NWOREGNAttack errCampbell Paris+0.2
73-4OREGNNW×3Serve errDalia Vîrlan+0.2
84-4NWNW×3BlockedAlaina Pollardblk Hayley Schaaf+0.4
95-4NWNW×3KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.5
105-5NWOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.3
115-6OREGNOREGNKillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+0.4
126-6OREGNNWKillHayley Schaafset Ellie Stiernagle+0.3
137-6NWNWBlockedMarina Crownoverblk Hayley Schaaf+0.6
147-7NWOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.4
157-8OREGNOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.5
168-8OREGNNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.4
178-9NWOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Alanah Clemente+0.3
188-10OREGNOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.4
199-10OREGNNW×4KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.3
2010-10NWNW×4KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.5
2111-10NWNW×4KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.7
2212-10NWNW×4AceEllie Stiernagleaced Reese Sheppard+0.8
2312-11NWOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.5
2412-12OREGNOREGNAttack errClara Schramm+0.7
2513-12OREGNNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.5
2613-13NWOREGN×3KillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.5
2713-14OREGNOREGN×3BlockedMara Stiglicblk Alanah Clemente, Dalia Vîrlan+0.6
2813-15OREGNOREGN×3KillAlanah Clementeset Valentina Vaulet+0.5
2914-15OREGNNWServe errValentina Vaulet+0.4
3014-16NWOREGNKillMaila Ribeiro+0.4
3115-16OREGNNWBad setMaila Ribeiro+0.4
3215-17NWOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.4
3316-17OREGNNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.4
3416-18NWOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.4
3517-18OREGNNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.5
3617-19NWOREGNBlockedIsabella Bullingtonblk Alaina Pollard, Marina Crownover+0.5
3718-19OREGNNWServe errReese Sheppard+0.5
3818-20NWOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.5
3919-20OREGNNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.5
4019-21NWOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.6
4120-21OREGNNWAttack errDalia Vîrlan+0.5
4220-22NWOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.6
4321-22OREGNNW×3KillHayley Schaafset Ellie Stiernagle+0.6
4422-22NWNW×3Attack errAlanah Clemente+1.3
4523-22NWNW×3BlockedAlanah Clementeblk Mara Stiglic+2.0
4623-23NWOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+1.3
4724-23OREGNNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+1.9
4824-24NWOREGN×3KillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+1.9
4924-25OREGNOREGN×3Attack errEllie Stiernagle+2.0
5024-26OREGNOREGN×3Attack errIsabella Bullington+1.5
Set 3
11-0NWNWBlockedAlanah Clementeblk Ellie Stiernagle, Maya Stillwell+0.2
22-0NWNWBlockedValentina Vauletblk Maya Stillwell, Isabella Bullington+0.2
32-1NWOREGNServe errDrew Wright+0.1
42-2OREGNOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.2
53-2OREGNNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.2
64-2NWNWAttack errAlanah Clemente+0.3
74-3NWOREGNBlockedClara Schrammblk Sjakkie Donkers, Dalia Vîrlan+0.2
85-3OREGNNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.2
95-4NWOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.2
106-4OREGNNWAttack errSjakkie Donkers+0.2
116-5NWOREGNServe errLauren Dignan+0.2
126-6OREGNOREGNAceSjakkie Donkersaced Mara Stiglic+0.2
137-6OREGNNWKillClara Schrammset Ellie Stiernagle+0.2
147-7NWOREGN×3KillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.2
157-8OREGNOREGN×3BlockedMara Stiglicblk Dalia Vîrlan, Marina Crownover+0.2
167-9OREGNOREGN×3AceReese Sheppardaced Lauren Dignan+0.2
178-9OREGNNWServe errReese Sheppard+0.1
189-9NWNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Valentina Vaulet+0.2
199-10NWOREGNServe errMara Stiglic+0.2
2010-10OREGNNW×3KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.2
2111-10NWNW×3BlockedAlanah Clementeblk Ellie Stiernagle, Maya Stillwell+0.3
2212-10NWNW×3Attack errDalia Vîrlan+0.4
2312-11NWOREGNBlockedIsabella Bullingtonblk Valentina Vaulet, Dalia Vîrlan+0.2
2413-11OREGNNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.3
2513-12NWOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.2
2614-12OREGNNW×4KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.3
2715-12NWNW×4AceIsabella Bullingtonaced Sjakkie Donkers+0.5
2816-12NWNW×4KillMaya Stillwellset Ellie Stiernagle+0.5
2917-12NWNW×4KillMaya Stillwell+0.4
3017-13NWOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.2
3117-14OREGNOREGNAceLizzy Robinsonaced Mara Stiglic+0.4
3218-14OREGNNW×3KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.4
3319-14NWNW×3BlockedMarina Crownoverblk Mara Stiglic+0.4
3420-14NWNW×3KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.4
3520-15NWOREGNKillIva Sucurovicset Marina Crownover+0.1
3620-16OREGNOREGNAttack errMara Stiglic+0.3
3721-16OREGNNW×4KillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.3
3822-16NWNW×4KillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.3
3923-16NWNW×4Attack errValentina Vaulet+0.1
4024-16NWNW×4Attack errIva Sucurovic+0.1
4124-17NWOREGNKillIva Sucurovicset Marina Crownover·
4224-18OREGNOREGNBlockedHayley Schaafblk Valentina Vaulet, Dalia Vîrlan·
4325-18OREGNNWAttack errAlanah Clemente·
Set 4
11-0OREGNNWServe errIva Sucurovic+0.8
21-1NWOREGNKillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.7
31-2OREGNOREGNBlockedClara Schrammblk Alanah Clemente, Alaina Pollard+0.9
42-2OREGNNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.7
52-3NWOREGN×3KillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+0.7
62-4OREGNOREGN×3Attack errMara Stiglic+0.8
72-5OREGNOREGN×3BlockedClara Schrammblk Sjakkie Donkers, Alaina Pollard+0.7
83-5OREGNNWServe errValentina Vaulet+0.5
93-6NWOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Marina Crownover+0.5
103-7OREGNOREGNKillIva Sucurovicset Marina Crownover+0.6
114-7OREGNNWKillMara Stiglicset Ellie Stiernagle+0.4
125-7NWNWAttack errAlanah Clemente+0.7
135-8NWOREGNKillIva Sucurovicset Marina Crownover+0.5
145-9OREGNOREGNAttack errMara Stiglic+0.6
156-9OREGNNWServe errLizzy Robinson+0.4
166-10NWOREGNKillAlanah Clementeset Marina Crownover+0.4
176-11OREGNOREGNBlockedHayley Schaafblk Valentina Vaulet+0.5
187-11OREGNNWKillIsabella Bullingtonset Ellie Stiernagle+0.3
197-12NWOREGN×3KillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.3
207-13OREGNOREGN×3Attack errIsabella Bullington+0.3
217-14OREGNOREGN×3KillValentina Vauletset Marina Crownover+0.2
228-14OREGNNWServe errIva Sucurovic+0.1
238-15NWOREGN×3BlockedMaya Stillwellblk Alaina Pollard+0.1
248-16OREGNOREGN×3KillAlaina Pollardset Marina Crownover+0.1
258-17OREGNOREGN×3KillAlaina Pollardset Maya Stillwell+0.1
269-17OREGNNWKillClara Schrammset Drew Wright·
279-18NWOREGNServe errIsabella Bullington·
289-19OREGNOREGNKillSjakkie Donkersset Valentina Vaulet·
2910-19OREGNNWAttack errSjakkie Donkers·
3010-20NWOREGN×5KillAlanah Clementeset Reese Sheppard·
3110-21OREGNOREGN×5KillSjakkie Donkersset Maila Ribeiro·
3210-22OREGNOREGN×5BlockedMara Stiglicblk Alanah Clemente, Iva Sucurovic·
3310-23OREGNOREGN×5AceReese Sheppardaced Mara Stiglic·
3410-24OREGNOREGN×5Attack errClara Schramm·
3511-24OREGNNWKillClara Schrammset Ellie Stiernagle·
3611-25NWOREGNKillHolley McFaddenset Marina Crownover·

Score shown after each rally, Northwestern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).