FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayNEC

0:3

HomeCUSA

Delaware def. New Haven 3–0

(25-16, 25-23, 25-20)

Set	1	2*	3	Sets
NEWHAV	16	23	20	0
DEL	25	25	25	3

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

DEL above 50 · NEWHAV below

Biggest swing: 3.1% to Delaware — set 2, NEWHAV 23-25 DEL. Attack error by Lauren MacKellar. DEL win probability 95% → 98%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NEWHAV 12.0%88.0% DEL

New Haven wins

3-0

1.7%

3-1

3.7%

3-2

6.6%

Delaware wins

3-0

41.2%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.2%

NEWHAV break %: 38.9% vs this opp
DEL break %: 47.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lauren MacKellarAttack error+3.1%
Attack error by Lauren MacKellar
Set 2 · NEWHAV 23-25 DEL · DEL 95% → 98%
02
Asia MurrayAttack error+2.9%
Attack error by Asia Murray
Set 2 · NEWHAV 23-23 DEL · NEWHAV 5% → 8%
03
Anna Logan GillensKill+2.9%
Kill by Anna Logan Gillens (set by Kennedi Inman)
Set 2 · NEWHAV 23-24 DEL · DEL 92% → 95%
04
Asia MurrayAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Asia Murray
Set 2 · NEWHAV 22-23 DEL · NEWHAV 3% → 5%
05
Jayda ReddKill+1.2%
Kill by Jayda Redd (set by Kennedi Inman)
Set 1 · NEWHAV 2-3 DEL · DEL 88% → 89%
06
Hannah AdderlyAttack error+1.1%
Attack error by Hannah Adderly
Set 1 · NEWHAV 2-4 DEL · DEL 89% → 90%
07
Quinn YenshawKill+1.1%
Kill by Quinn Yenshaw (set by Caroline Johnston)
Set 1 · NEWHAV 2-1 DEL · NEWHAV 12% → 13%
08
Jayda ReddAttack error+1.0%
Attack error by Jayda Redd
Set 1 · NEWHAV 1-0 DEL · NEWHAV 12% → 13%

Official NCAA box

Box score

New Havenaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Lauren MacKellarOH	3	10	7	37	.081	0	0	0	6	0	1	1	1.5	11.5
20Marley AlefaioOH	3	9	4	24	.208	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	9.5
18Josie FosterMB	3	3	1	11	.182	0	0	2	3	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
22Caroline JohnstonS	3	1	1	7	.000	22	0	2	4	0	0	2	1	2
4Hannah AdderlyMB	3	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	2
1Alejandra MejiaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
12Quinn YenshawOH	3	6	3	20	.150	0	0	0	4	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
19Mirella RedererL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	2	1	7	0	0	0	0	2
2Payton MalinoskiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	0	4	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		30	18	105	.114	27	4	5	34	2	1	10	6	59

Delawarehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
22Anna Logan GillensOH	3	16	6	31	.323	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	17.5
11Jayda ReddOH	3	12	4	27	.296	0	0	0	11	1	2	1	13
17Asia MurrayMB	3	10	3	19	.368	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
21Thalia YanceyOH	3	5	3	17	.118	0	1	0	12	2	0	0	6
18Morgan CampbellMB	3	2	4	8	-.250	0	0	1	1	0	2	1	3
7Kennedi InmanS	3	1	0	4	.250	35	1	1	6	0	0	0	2
8Emily ZgoncL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	7	0	0	0	0
32Jayda GrayL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	5	0	0	0	0
13Taylor HollyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
2Kristyn MembrenoL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	20	106	.245	41	2	4	45	4	10	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 NEWHAV · DEL 5

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 4 NEWHAVDEL 5

Set 2*

23-25

Longest run 3 NEWHAVDEL 3

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 NEWHAVDEL 4

Bars above the line = Delaware leads, below = New Haven leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

New Haven

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	36%4/11	33%1/3
2	67%4/6	60%6/10
3	31%4/13	20%1/5
4	25%3/12	43%3/7
5	33%2/6	40%2/5
6	100%2/2	67%4/6
All	38%19/50	47%17/36

Delaware

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	40%4/10	64%7/11
2	80%4/5	33%2/6
3	57%4/7	69%9/13
4	60%3/5	75%9/12
5	33%2/6	67%4/6
6	67%2/3	0%0/2
All	53%19/36	62%31/50

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

134 rallies

Rally log

#	NEWHAV-DEL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	DEL	NEWHAV	Attack err	Jayda Redd		+1.0
2	1-1	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Anna Logan Gillens	set Kennedi Inman	+0.9
3	2-1	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Caroline Johnston	+1.1
4	2-2	NEWHAV	DEL×5	Kill	Asia Murray	set Kennedi Inman	+1.0
5	2-3	DEL	DEL×5	Kill	Jayda Redd	set Kennedi Inman	+1.2
6	2-4	DEL	DEL×5	Attack err	Hannah Adderly		+1.1
7	2-5	DEL	DEL×5	Kill	Jayda Redd	set Emily Zgonc	+0.9
8	2-6	DEL	DEL×5	Kill	Asia Murray		+0.8
9	3-6	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+0.6
10	4-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Caroline Johnston	+0.9
11	4-7	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Anna Logan Gillens	set Kennedi Inman	+0.7
12	4-8	DEL	DEL	Attack err	Hannah Adderly		+0.8
13	5-8	DEL	NEWHAV	Attack err	Thalia Yancey		+0.6
14	5-9	NEWHAV	DEL×4	Kill	Asia Murray	set Kennedi Inman	+0.6
15	5-10	DEL	DEL×4	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+0.7
16	5-11	DEL	DEL×4	Kill	Jayda Redd	set Kennedi Inman	+0.5
17	5-12	DEL	DEL×4	Kill	Jayda Redd	set Jayda Gray	+0.4
18	6-12	DEL	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Caroline Johnston	+0.2
19	7-12	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Ace	NEWHAV server	aced Thalia Yancey	+0.4
20	8-12	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Thalia Yancey		+0.6
21	8-13	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Kennedi Inman	set Taylor Holly	+0.5
22	9-13	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Caroline Johnston	+0.5
23	9-14	NEWHAV	DEL×5	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+0.5
24	9-15	DEL	DEL×5	Ace	DEL server	aced Marley Alefaio	+0.5
25	9-16	DEL	DEL×5	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar		+0.3
26	9-17	DEL	DEL×5	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar		+0.2
27	9-18	DEL	DEL×5	Kill	Anna Logan Gillens	set Kennedi Inman	+0.1
28	10-18	DEL	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Caroline Johnston	set Marley Alefaio	+0.1
29	11-18	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Ace	NEWHAV server	aced Thalia Yancey	+0.1
30	12-18	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Attack err	Morgan Campbell		+0.2
31	13-18	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Attack err	Anna Logan Gillens		+0.4
32	13-19	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Anna Logan Gillens	set Kennedi Inman	+0.4
33	14-19	DEL	NEWHAV	Serve err	DEL server		+0.3
34	14-20	NEWHAV	DEL×3	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+0.3
35	14-21	DEL	DEL×3	Kill	Asia Murray		+0.2
36	14-22	DEL	DEL×3	Ace	DEL server	aced Quinn Yenshaw	+0.1
37	15-22	DEL	NEWHAV	Serve err	DEL server		+0.0
38	16-22	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Asia Murray	blk Hannah Adderly, Caroline Johnston	+0.1
39	16-23	NEWHAV	DEL×3	Kill	Jayda Redd	set Kennedi Inman	+0.1
40	16-24	DEL	DEL×3	Kill	Thalia Yancey	set Kennedi Inman	+0.0
41	16-25	DEL	DEL×3	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	NEWHAV	DEL×3	Kill	Anna Logan Gillens	set Kennedi Inman	+0.6
2	0-2	DEL	DEL×3	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+0.7
3	0-3	DEL	DEL×3	Kill	Anna Logan Gillens	set Kennedi Inman	+0.6
4	1-3	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Caroline Johnston	+0.5
5	2-3	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Ace	NEWHAV server	aced Jayda Redd	+0.7
6	2-4	NEWHAV	DEL×3	Kill	Asia Murray	set Kennedi Inman	+0.6
7	2-5	DEL	DEL×3	Kill	Anna Logan Gillens	set Kennedi Inman	+0.7
8	2-6	DEL	DEL×3	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar	blk Asia Murray, Anna Logan Gillens	+0.6
9	3-6	DEL	NEWHAV	Attack err	Anna Logan Gillens		+0.4
10	4-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Hannah Adderly		+0.7
11	4-7	NEWHAV	DEL×3	Kill	Anna Logan Gillens	set Kennedi Inman	+0.5
12	4-8	DEL	DEL×3	Kill	Jayda Redd	set Kennedi Inman	+0.6
13	4-9	DEL	DEL×3	Bad set	Caroline Johnston		+0.5
14	5-9	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Payton Malinoski	+0.3
15	6-9	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Caroline Johnston	+0.6
16	6-10	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Asia Murray	set Kennedi Inman	+0.5
17	6-11	DEL	DEL	Kill	Morgan Campbell		+0.5
18	7-11	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Caroline Johnston	+0.3
19	8-11	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Caroline Johnston	+0.6
20	8-12	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Thalia Yancey	set Taylor Holly	+0.5
21	9-12	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Caroline Johnston	+0.5
22	10-12	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.8
23	10-13	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Thalia Yancey	set Kennedi Inman	+0.6
24	10-14	DEL	DEL	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+0.7
25	11-14	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Caroline Johnston	+0.5
26	11-15	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Anna Logan Gillens	set Kennedi Inman	+0.5
27	11-16	DEL	DEL	Kill	Asia Murray	set Kennedi Inman	+0.5
28	12-16	DEL	NEWHAV×3	Serve err	DEL server		+0.3
29	13-16	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Anna Logan Gillens	blk Lauren MacKellar, Josie Foster	+0.6
30	14-16	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Mirella Rederer	+0.9
31	14-17	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Anna Logan Gillens	set Kennedi Inman	+0.7
32	14-18	DEL	DEL	Attack err	Josie Foster		+0.8
33	15-18	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+0.5
34	15-19	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Anna Logan Gillens	set Kennedi Inman	+0.6
35	16-19	DEL	NEWHAV	Attack err	Jayda Redd	blk Hannah Adderly, Quinn Yenshaw	+0.5
36	16-20	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Thalia Yancey	set Kennedi Inman	+0.6
37	17-20	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Mirella Rederer	+0.5
38	18-20	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Jayda Redd		+0.9
39	18-21	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Jayda Redd	set Kennedi Inman	+0.9
40	19-21	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Caroline Johnston	+0.7
41	19-22	NEWHAV	DEL	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+1.0
42	20-22	DEL	NEWHAV	Attack err	Anna Logan Gillens	blk Josie Foster, Caroline Johnston	+0.7
43	20-23	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Morgan Campbell	set Kennedi Inman	+1.0
44	21-23	DEL	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+0.6
45	22-23	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Asia Murray		+1.6
46	23-23	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Asia Murray		+2.9
47	23-24	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Anna Logan Gillens	set Kennedi Inman	+2.9
48	23-25	DEL	DEL	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar		+3.1
Set 3
1	0-1	DEL	DEL	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar	blk Anna Logan Gillens, Morgan Campbell	+0.4
2	0-2	DEL	DEL	Kill	Anna Logan Gillens		+0.3
3	1-2	DEL	NEWHAV×4	Attack err	Jayda Redd	blk Josie Foster, Marley Alefaio	+0.3
4	2-2	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Attack err	Morgan Campbell		+0.4
5	3-2	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Josie Foster	set Caroline Johnston	+0.5
6	4-2	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Attack err	Thalia Yancey		+0.5
7	4-3	NEWHAV	DEL	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar		+0.4
8	5-3	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+0.4
9	6-3	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Anna Logan Gillens	blk Lauren MacKellar	+0.6
10	6-4	NEWHAV	DEL×3	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+0.4
11	6-5	DEL	DEL×3	Kill	Anna Logan Gillens	set Emily Zgonc	+0.5
12	6-6	DEL	DEL×3	Kill	Jayda Redd	set Emily Zgonc	+0.5
13	7-6	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Caroline Johnston	+0.4
14	7-7	NEWHAV	DEL×4	Kill	Asia Murray	set Kennedi Inman	+0.4
15	7-8	DEL	DEL×4	Attack err	Caroline Johnston		+0.5
16	7-9	DEL	DEL×4	Kill	Jayda Redd	set Kennedi Inman	+0.4
17	7-10	DEL	DEL×4	Kill	Jayda Redd	set Payton Malinoski	+0.4
18	8-10	DEL	NEWHAV	Serve err	DEL server		+0.3
19	9-10	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Caroline Johnston	+0.4
20	9-11	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Asia Murray	set Kennedi Inman	+0.3
21	10-11	DEL	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Mirella Rederer	+0.4
22	11-11	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Marley Alefaio		+0.6
23	12-11	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Morgan Campbell		+0.6
24	12-12	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Thalia Yancey	set Kennedi Inman	+0.5
25	13-12	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Caroline Johnston	+0.5
26	14-12	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Morgan Campbell		+0.7
27	14-13	NEWHAV	DEL	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+0.5
28	14-14	DEL	DEL	Bad set	Mirella Rederer		+0.7
29	15-14	DEL	NEWHAV	Attack err	Kennedi Inman		+0.6
30	15-15	NEWHAV	DEL×3	Kill	Anna Logan Gillens	set Kennedi Inman	+0.5
31	15-16	DEL	DEL×3	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar	blk Asia Murray, Anna Logan Gillens	+0.7
32	15-17	DEL	DEL×3	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw		+0.6
33	16-17	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+0.5
34	16-18	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Anna Logan Gillens	set Kennedi Inman	+0.5
35	16-19	DEL	DEL	Bad set	Caroline Johnston		+0.5
36	17-19	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+0.3
37	18-19	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Anna Logan Gillens		+0.6
38	18-20	NEWHAV	DEL×4	Kill	Asia Murray	set Kennedi Inman	+0.6
39	18-21	DEL	DEL×4	Bad set	Lauren MacKellar		+0.6
40	18-22	DEL	DEL×4	Kill	Jayda Redd	set Kennedi Inman	+0.4
41	18-23	DEL	DEL×4	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw	blk Asia Murray, Jayda Redd	+0.2
42	19-23	DEL	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+0.1
43	20-23	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+0.2
44	20-24	NEWHAV	DEL	Kill	Jayda Redd	set Kennedi Inman	+0.2
45	20-25	DEL	DEL	Attack err	Marley Alefaio	blk Jayda Redd, Morgan Campbell	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, New Haven first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.