FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayNEC

0:3

HomeAMERICAN

Temple def. New Haven 3–0

(26-24, 25-21, 25-16)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NEWHAV	24	21	16	0
TEMPLE	26	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TEMPLE above 50 · NEWHAV below

Biggest swing: 3.5% to New Haven — set 1, NEWHAV 24-24 TEMPLE. Kill by Lauren MacKellar (set by Mirella Rederer). TEMPLE win probability 95% → 91%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NEWHAV 6.1%93.9% TEMPLE

New Haven wins

3-0

0.7%

3-1

1.7%

3-2

3.6%

Temple wins

3-0

52.5%

3-1

30.4%

3-2

11.0%

NEWHAV break %: 37.9% vs this opp
TEMPLE break %: 49.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Lauren MacKellarKill+3.5%
Kill by Lauren MacKellar (set by Mirella Rederer)
Set 1 · NEWHAV 24-24 TEMPLE · NEWHAV 5% → 9%
02
Khenedi GuestKill+2.8%
Kill by Khenedi Guest (set by Daniella Gonzalez-Murati)
Set 1 · NEWHAV 24-26 TEMPLE · TEMPLE 94% → 97%
03
Olivia HummelKill+2.8%
Kill by Olivia Hummel (set by Claudia Rivera)
Set 1 · NEWHAV 24-25 TEMPLE · TEMPLE 91% → 94%
04
Lauren MacKellarKill+2.2%
Kill by Lauren MacKellar (set by Caroline Johnston)
Set 1 · NEWHAV 21-21 TEMPLE · NEWHAV 6% → 8%
05
Olivia HummelKill+2.0%
Kill by Olivia Hummel (set by Lexi Yoza)
Set 1 · NEWHAV 21-23 TEMPLE · TEMPLE 93% → 95%
06
Lauren MacKellarAttack error+1.8%
Lauren MacKellar stuffed by Ella Sinai & Olivia Hummel
Set 1 · NEWHAV 21-22 TEMPLE · TEMPLE 92% → 93%
07
Kennedy CraytonAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Kennedy Crayton
Set 1 · NEWHAV 18-18 TEMPLE · NEWHAV 6% → 8%
08
Kennedy CraytonAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Kennedy Crayton
Set 1 · NEWHAV 13-10 TEMPLE · NEWHAV 10% → 11%

Official NCAA box

Box score

New Havenaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Lauren MacKellarOH	3	12	7	35	.143	1	0	2	4	0	0	5	2.5	14.5
21Kira LynchMB	3	2	1	9	.111	0	0	0	1	0	2	5	4.5	6.5
20Marley AlefaioOH	3	5	5	16	.000	1	0	0	5	3	0	2	1	6
22Caroline JohnstonS	3	2	0	4	.500	16	1	3	5	0	0	0	0	3
18Josie FosterMB	3	1	2	8	-.125	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	2
1Alejandra MejiaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
12Quinn YenshawOH	3	6	4	23	.087	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	6
19Mirella RedererL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	2	1	6	0	0	0	0	2
2Payton MalinoskiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	0
14Zaira KearnsS	2	0	1	1	-1.000	4	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	20	96	.083	26	3	9	36	7	2	14	9	61

Templehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Khenedi GuestMB	3	8	3	16	.313	1	0	2	0	0	0	5	2.5	10.5
20Olivia HummelOH	3	8	4	24	.167	1	0	3	6	3	0	3	1.5	9.5
2Christiana GreeneOH	3	7	2	15	.333	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	1	8
10Ella SinaiMB	3	6	0	12	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
13Kennedy CraytonOH	3	3	2	13	.077	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	0	4
5Lexi YozaS	3	0	0	0	–	15	2	0	3	0	0	0	0	2
4Jaya MooreOH	3	5	5	16	.000	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
16Daniella Gonzalez-MuratiS	3	0	0	0	–	14	4	3	2	0	0	0	0	4
6Claudia RiveraL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
19Maddix TaniguchiL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
17Leah HampsonOH	1	2	1	7	.143	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		39	17	103	.214	33	7	12	34	3	1	12	7	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 NEWHAV · TEMPLE 8

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 4 NEWHAVTEMPLE 5

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 NEWHAVTEMPLE 4

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 NEWHAVTEMPLE 8

Bars above the line = Temple leads, below = New Haven leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

New Haven

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	50%7/14
2	33%7/21	43%6/14
3	100%6/6	46%6/13
4	55%6/11	0%0/6
5	55%6/11	25%2/8
6	50%5/10	25%2/8
All	51%38/74	37%23/63

Temple

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	54%7/13
2	47%8/17	43%6/14
3	75%6/8	67%12/18
4	86%6/7	33%3/9
5	86%6/7	40%4/10
6	67%6/9	40%4/10
All	63%40/63	49%36/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

137 rallies

Rally log

#	NEWHAV-TEMPLE	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Christiana Greene	blk Kira Lynch, Marley Alefaio	+0.8
2	1-1	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Claudia Rivera	+0.6
3	1-2	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Attack err	Marley Alefaio	blk Christiana Greene	+0.7
4	2-2	TEMPLE	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Caroline Johnston	set Marley Alefaio	+0.6
5	3-2	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Attack err	Olivia Hummel		+0.9
6	4-2	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Kira Lynch		+1.0
7	5-2	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Attack err	Khenedi Guest	blk Kira Lynch	+1.1
8	5-3	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Khenedi Guest	+0.7
9	6-3	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Caroline Johnston	+0.9
10	7-3	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Jaya Moore	blk Josie Foster, Lauren MacKellar	+1.3
11	7-4	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Daniella Gonzalez-Murati	+0.8
12	8-4	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+1.0
13	8-5	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+0.8
14	9-5	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Mirella Rederer	+1.1
15	9-6	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Jaya Moore	set Daniella Gonzalez-Murati	+0.8
16	9-7	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Ace	TEMPLE server	aced Marley Alefaio	+1.1
17	10-7	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Caroline Johnston	+1.1
18	11-7	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+1.4
19	11-8	NEWHAV	TEMPLE×3	Kill	Ella Sinai	set Lexi Yoza	+0.9
20	11-9	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Kill	Ella Sinai		+1.2
21	11-10	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Ace	TEMPLE server	aced Marley Alefaio	+1.2
22	12-10	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+1.1
23	13-10	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Kennedy Crayton		+1.6
24	13-11	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+1.0
25	14-11	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+1.3
26	14-12	NEWHAV	TEMPLE×5	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Lexi Yoza	+1.0
27	14-13	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×5	Ace	TEMPLE server	aced Quinn Yenshaw	+1.4
28	14-14	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×5	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar	blk Khenedi Guest, Olivia Hummel	+1.3
29	14-15	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×5	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Daniella Gonzalez-Murati	+1.2
30	14-16	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×5	Ace	TEMPLE server	aced Team	+1.1
31	15-16	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.8
32	15-17	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Daniella Gonzalez-Murati	+0.9
33	16-17	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.9
34	16-18	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw	blk Jaya Moore, Khenedi Guest	+0.9
35	17-18	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Mirella Rederer	+0.9
36	18-18	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Kennedy Crayton		+1.6
37	18-19	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Jaya Moore	set Daniella Gonzalez-Murati	+1.3
38	18-20	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Kill	Kennedy Crayton		+1.4
39	19-20	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+1.1
40	19-21	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Christiana Greene	set Lexi Yoza	+1.2
41	20-21	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Caroline Johnston	+1.1
42	21-21	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+2.2
43	21-22	NEWHAV	TEMPLE×3	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar	blk Ella Sinai, Olivia Hummel	+1.8
44	21-23	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Lexi Yoza	+2.0
45	21-24	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Lexi Yoza	+1.2
46	22-24	TEMPLE	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Olivia Hummel	blk Lauren MacKellar, Kira Lynch	+0.4
47	23-24	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Mirella Rederer	+1.3
48	24-24	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Mirella Rederer	+3.5
49	24-25	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Claudia Rivera	+2.8
50	24-26	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Daniella Gonzalez-Murati	+2.8
Set 2
1	0-1	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Ace	TEMPLE server	aced Marley Alefaio	+0.4
2	0-2	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Daniella Gonzalez-Murati	+0.4
3	0-3	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Ace	TEMPLE server	aced Team	+0.3
4	1-3	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Attack err	Jaya Moore		+0.3
5	1-4	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Daniella Gonzalez-Murati	+0.2
6	2-4	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Mirella Rederer	+0.3
7	2-5	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Khenedi Guest		+0.3
8	3-5	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.3
9	3-6	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+0.3
10	4-6	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Attack err	Leah Hampson		+0.3
11	5-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+0.4
12	5-7	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+0.3
13	6-7	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Caroline Johnston	+0.4
14	6-8	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Ella Sinai	set Lexi Yoza	+0.4
15	6-9	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Kill	Christiana Greene		+0.4
16	7-9	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.3
17	8-9	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Olivia Hummel		+0.5
18	8-10	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+0.4
19	9-10	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Kira Lynch	set Caroline Johnston	+0.4
20	10-10	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Jaya Moore	blk Kira Lynch	+0.7
21	10-11	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Daniella Gonzalez-Murati	+0.5
22	10-12	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar		+0.6
23	11-12	TEMPLE	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Leah Hampson	blk Lauren MacKellar, Kira Lynch	+0.5
24	12-12	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Ace	NEWHAV server	aced Olivia Hummel	+0.7
25	13-12	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+0.9
26	13-13	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Attack err	Josie Foster		+0.6
27	14-13	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+0.7
28	14-14	NEWHAV	TEMPLE×4	Attack err	Josie Foster		+0.7
29	14-15	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×4	Kill	Christiana Greene	set Lexi Yoza	+0.8
30	14-16	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×4	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw		+0.7
31	14-17	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×4	Kill	Leah Hampson	set Lexi Yoza	+0.6
32	15-17	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Caroline Johnston	+0.4
33	15-18	NEWHAV	TEMPLE×3	Kill	Christiana Greene	set Lexi Yoza	+0.4
34	15-19	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+0.4
35	15-20	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+0.3
36	16-20	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.2
37	16-21	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Christiana Greene	set Lexi Yoza	+0.2
38	17-21	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.1
39	17-22	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+0.2
40	18-22	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.1
41	18-23	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+0.2
42	18-24	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Kill	Leah Hampson	set Daniella Gonzalez-Murati	+0.1
43	19-24	TEMPLE	NEWHAV×3	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.0
44	20-24	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Ace	NEWHAV server	aced Olivia Hummel	+0.0
45	21-24	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Jaya Moore	blk Lauren MacKellar, Josie Foster	+0.1
46	21-25	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+0.2
Set 3
1	1-0	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Ace	NEWHAV server	aced Olivia Hummel	+0.2
2	1-1	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Serve err	NEWHAV server		+0.2
3	2-1	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+0.2
4	2-2	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Bad set	Caroline Johnston		+0.2
5	3-2	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Caroline Johnston	+0.2
6	3-3	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Christiana Greene	set Lexi Yoza	+0.2
7	4-3	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.2
8	4-4	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Olivia Hummel	set Lexi Yoza	+0.2
9	5-4	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Caroline Johnston	set Lauren MacKellar	+0.2
10	5-5	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Christiana Greene	set Lexi Yoza	+0.2
11	5-6	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Attack err	Marley Alefaio	blk Jaya Moore, Khenedi Guest	+0.2
12	6-6	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.2
13	7-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Caroline Johnston	+0.3
14	7-7	NEWHAV	TEMPLE×3	Kill	Khenedi Guest	set Daniella Gonzalez-Murati	+0.2
15	7-8	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Attack err	Marley Alefaio	blk Jaya Moore, Khenedi Guest	+0.3
16	7-9	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Kill	Jaya Moore	set Daniella Gonzalez-Murati	+0.2
17	8-9	TEMPLE	NEWHAV×3	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.2
18	9-9	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Khenedi Guest	blk Kira Lynch, Lauren MacKellar	+0.3
19	10-9	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Jaya Moore	blk Marley Alefaio, Kira Lynch	+0.4
20	10-10	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Kill	Jaya Moore	set Daniella Gonzalez-Murati	+0.2
21	10-11	TEMPLE	TEMPLE	Kill	Kennedy Crayton		+0.3
22	11-11	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Serve err	TEMPLE server		+0.3
23	11-12	NEWHAV	TEMPLE×8	Kill	Jaya Moore	set Daniella Gonzalez-Murati	+0.2
24	11-13	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×8	Kill	Ella Sinai	set Lexi Yoza	+0.3
25	11-14	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×8	Ace	TEMPLE server	aced Team	+0.2
26	11-15	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×8	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar		+0.2
27	11-16	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×8	Kill	Kennedy Crayton	set Olivia Hummel	+0.1
28	11-17	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×8	Attack err	Kira Lynch		+0.1
29	11-18	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×8	Kill	Ella Sinai		+0.1
30	11-19	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×8	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar		+0.0
31	12-19	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.0
32	13-19	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Christiana Greene		+0.0
33	13-20	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw		+0.0
34	14-20	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+0.0
35	14-21	NEWHAV	TEMPLE×3	Kill	Ella Sinai	set Lexi Yoza	+0.0
36	14-22	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar		+0.0
37	14-23	TEMPLE	TEMPLE×3	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw		+0.0
38	15-23	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+0.0
39	15-24	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar	blk Khenedi Guest, Olivia Hummel	+0.0
40	16-24	TEMPLE	NEWHAV	Attack err	Olivia Hummel		+0.0
41	16-25	NEWHAV	TEMPLE	Attack err	Zaira Kearns		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, New Haven first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.