Final · 4 setsSun, Sep 20, 2026

Coppin St. def. New Haven 3–1

Coppin St. won at New Haven 3-1 (25-22, 25-14, 25-27, 25-19) on Sun, Sep 20, 2026. Deviana Walker led Coppin St. with 14 kills; New Haven's Lauren MacKellar had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Sep 20

Set1234Sets
COPPIN252525253
NEWHAV221427191

Win probability

New Haven above 50 · Coppin St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.5% NEWHAVrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.5% to New Haven — set 3, COPPIN 25-27 NEWHAV. Kill by Lauren MacKellar (set by Zaira Kearns). NEWHAV win probability 5% → 7%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

COPPIN 88.9%11.1% NEWHAV

Coppin St. wins

3-0
42.6%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.6%

New Haven wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.4%
3-2
6.2%
COPPIN break %
49.4% vs this opp
NEWHAV break %
40.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Lauren MacKellar (set by Zaira Kearns)

    Set 3 · COPPIN 25-27 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 5% → 7%

  2. 02
    Josie FosterKill+2.1%

    Kill by Josie Foster (set by Zaira Kearns)

    Set 4 · COPPIN 8-9 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 8% → 10%

  3. 03
    Cherisse AtilanoAttack error+2.1%

    Attack error by Cherisse Atilano

    Set 4 · COPPIN 5-7 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 10% → 12%

  4. 04
    Ivanna LunaKill+2.1%

    Kill by Ivanna Luna (set by Eva Rovello)

    Set 3 · COPPIN 24-24 NEWHAV · COPPIN 95% → 97%

  5. 05

    Kill by Lauren MacKellar (set by Payton Malinoski)

    Set 3 · COPPIN 25-26 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 3% → 5%

  6. 06

    Kill by Lauren MacKellar (set by Zaira Kearns)

    Set 4 · COPPIN 2-4 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 9% → 11%

  7. 07
    Ivanna LunaKill+1.9%

    Kill by Ivanna Luna (set by Coco Figueroa)

    Set 4 · COPPIN 10-9 NEWHAV · COPPIN 91% → 93%

  8. 08
    Ivanna LunaKill+1.9%

    Kill by Ivanna Luna (set by Coco Figueroa)

    Set 4 · COPPIN 7-7 NEWHAV · COPPIN 90% → 92%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411219.4740000028617
414426.3850000104216
412225.4001001004214
411120.50000000010.511.5
46017.35342011001017
22311-.091101210002
4002.0005221900002
4001.000022500002
4000–011100001
4000–000410000
34417.00010171111.55.5
1113.000000100001
Team totals6117141.312505850441813100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4161140.12501040010.517.5
413125.48001010010.514.5
47628.03600012010.57.5
43113.1543222900216
4139-.222000000212
4000–000510000
48320.25000041010.58.5
4005.0003001110000
4002.000203500000
Team totals4825142.162374540508482

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 COPPIN · NEWHAV 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 COPPINNEWHAV 5

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 9 COPPINNEWHAV 3

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 7 COPPINNEWHAV 3

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 3 COPPINNEWHAV 3

Bars above the line = New Haven leads, below = Coppin St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Coppin St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%6/11
72%13/18
2
50%6/12
40%4/10
3
67%6/9
68%13/19
4
46%6/13
25%2/8
5
50%5/10
44%4/9
6
83%5/6
50%5/10
All
56%34/61
55%41/74

New Haven

SlotSideout %Break %
1
35%7/20
25%2/8
2
35%6/17
54%7/13
3
60%6/10
33%3/9
4
56%5/9
60%9/15
5
63%5/8
44%4/9
6
40%4/10
29%2/7
All
45%33/74
44%27/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#COPPIN-NEWHAVSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0COPPINCOPPIN×3Bad setZaira Kearns+1.0
22-0COPPINCOPPIN×3BlockedMarley Alefaioblk Rori Gray, Ivanna Luna+0.9
33-0COPPINCOPPIN×3KillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+0.8
43-1COPPINNEWHAVAttack errIvanna Luna+0.7
53-2NEWHAVNEWHAVBlockedIvanna Lunablk Marley Alefaio, Kira Lynch+1.0
64-2NEWHAVCOPPINKillRori Grayset Eva Rovello+0.8
74-3COPPINNEWHAVKillKira Lynchset Zaira Kearns+0.8
85-3NEWHAVCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+0.8
95-4COPPINNEWHAVServe errCoppin St.+0.9
105-5NEWHAVNEWHAVAttack errDeviana Walker+1.2
116-5NEWHAVCOPPINKillKayden Cupidset Eva Rovello+0.9
126-6COPPINNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Payton Malinoski+1.1
137-6NEWHAVCOPPINKillKayden Cupidset Eva Rovello+1.0
148-6COPPINCOPPINAceCoppin St.aced Marley Alefaio+1.1
158-7COPPINNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+0.9
169-7NEWHAVCOPPIN×5KillEva Rovelloset Cherisse Atilano+0.9
1710-7COPPINCOPPIN×5KillRori Grayset Cherisse Atilano+1.0
1811-7COPPINCOPPIN×5KillRori Grayset Eva Rovello+0.8
1912-7COPPINCOPPIN×5KillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+0.7
2013-7COPPINCOPPIN×5KillRori Grayset Eva Rovello+0.5
2113-8COPPINNEWHAVServe errCoppin St.+0.3
2214-8NEWHAVCOPPINKillRori Grayset Eva Rovello+0.4
2315-8COPPINCOPPINAttack errMarley Alefaio+0.3
2415-9COPPINNEWHAVServe errCoppin St.+0.2
2515-10NEWHAVNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Payton Malinoski+0.4
2616-10NEWHAVCOPPINServe errNew Haven+0.4
2717-10COPPINCOPPINServe errCoppin St.+0.3
2817-11COPPINNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.2
2917-12NEWHAVNEWHAVAttack errDeviana Walker+0.4
3018-12NEWHAVCOPPIN×5KillKayden Cupidset Eva Rovello+0.4
3119-12COPPINCOPPIN×5Attack errLauren MacKellar+0.3
3220-12COPPINCOPPIN×5Attack errLauren MacKellar+0.2
3321-12COPPINCOPPIN×5BlockedLauren MacKellarblk Deviana Walker, Kayden Cupid+0.1
3422-12COPPINCOPPIN×5AceCoppin St.aced Payton Malinoski·
3522-13COPPINNEWHAV×4Serve errCoppin St.·
3622-14NEWHAVNEWHAV×4AceNew Havenaced Deviana Walker·
3722-15NEWHAVNEWHAV×4KillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns·
3822-16NEWHAVNEWHAV×4Bad setKayden Cupid+0.1
3923-16NEWHAVCOPPINKillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+0.1
4023-17COPPINNEWHAVAttack errPamela De Jesus Tejedor·
4124-17NEWHAVCOPPINBlockedJosie Fosterblk Pamela De Jesus Tejedor+0.1
4224-18NEWHAV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
4324-19NEWHAVNEWHAV×5AceNew Havenaced Karina Diaz+0.1
4424-20NEWHAVNEWHAV×5Bad setEva Rovello+0.1
4524-21NEWHAVNEWHAV×5BlockedPamela De Jesus Tejedorblk Zaira Kearns, Kira Lynch+0.3
4624-22NEWHAVNEWHAV×5Attack errRori Gray+0.8
4725-22NEWHAVCOPPINKillEva Rovello+1.3
Set 2
11-0NEWHAVCOPPINKillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Ivanna Luna+0.6
21-1COPPINNEWHAVAttack errDeviana Walker+0.6
31-2NEWHAVNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.9
42-2NEWHAVCOPPINKillKayden Cupidset Eva Rovello+0.6
53-2COPPINCOPPINKillKayden Cupid+0.8
63-3COPPINNEWHAVAttack errKayden Cupid+0.7
74-3NEWHAVCOPPINKillKayden Cupidset Zaira Kearns+0.6
84-4COPPINNEWHAV×3KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.7
94-5NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+1.0
104-6NEWHAVNEWHAV×3Bad setPamela De Jesus Tejedor+1.1
115-6NEWHAVCOPPINKillRori Grayset Eva Rovello+0.8
125-7COPPINNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+0.9
136-7NEWHAVCOPPINKillRori Grayset Eva Rovello+0.8
147-7COPPINCOPPINKillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+1.0
157-8COPPINNEWHAVServe errCoppin St.+0.9
168-8NEWHAVCOPPIN×3KillRori Grayset Eva Rovello+0.8
179-8COPPINCOPPIN×3BlockedMarley Alefaioblk Ivanna Luna, Kayden Cupid+0.9
1810-8COPPINCOPPIN×3BlockedLauren MacKellarblk Deviana Walker, Kayden Cupid+0.8
1910-9COPPINNEWHAVKillZaira Kearns+0.7
2011-9NEWHAVCOPPINKillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+0.7
2112-9COPPINCOPPINBlockedLauren MacKellarblk Deviana Walker, Kayden Cupid+0.7
2212-10COPPINNEWHAVServe errCoppin St.+0.6
2313-10NEWHAVCOPPIN×9KillDeviana Walkerset Coco Figueroa+0.6
2414-10COPPINCOPPIN×9KillKayden Cupidset Eva Rovello+0.6
2515-10COPPINCOPPIN×9BlockedQuinn Yenshawblk Eva Rovello+0.5
2616-10COPPINCOPPIN×9Attack errQuinn Yenshaw+0.3
2717-10COPPINCOPPIN×9BlockedLauren MacKellarblk Pamela De Jesus Tejedor, Kayden Cupid+0.2
2818-10COPPINCOPPIN×9Attack errLauren MacKellar+0.1
2919-10COPPINCOPPIN×9Bad setZaira Kearns+0.1
3020-10COPPINCOPPIN×9BlockedKira Lynchblk Kayden Cupid·
3121-10COPPINCOPPIN×9KillEva Rovelloset Camryn Harris·
3221-11COPPINNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns·
3322-11NEWHAVCOPPINKillIsabella Ortizset Eva Rovello·
3422-12COPPINNEWHAV×3Serve errCoppin St.·
3522-13NEWHAVNEWHAV×3Attack errIsabella Ortiz·
3622-14NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns·
3723-14NEWHAVCOPPIN×3KillRori Grayset Eva Rovello·
3824-14COPPINCOPPIN×3KillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello·
3925-14COPPINCOPPIN×3KillRori Grayset Eva Rovello·
Set 3
11-0COPPINCOPPINAttack errLauren MacKellar+0.3
22-0COPPINCOPPINKillDeviana Walkerset Pamela De Jesus Tejedor+0.3
32-1COPPINNEWHAVServe errCoppin St.+0.3
42-2NEWHAVNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Camryn Harris+0.4
53-2NEWHAVCOPPINServe errNew Haven+0.3
63-3COPPINNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.3
73-4NEWHAVNEWHAVKillJosie Foster+0.4
84-4NEWHAVCOPPINKillKayden Cupidset Eva Rovello+0.3
94-5COPPINNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+0.4
104-6NEWHAVNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+0.5
115-6NEWHAVCOPPINKillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Eva Rovello+0.4
125-7COPPINNEWHAVServe errCoppin St.+0.4
136-7NEWHAVCOPPINKillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Coco Figueroa+0.4
146-8COPPINNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+0.4
156-9NEWHAVNEWHAVAttack errPamela De Jesus Tejedor+0.6
167-9NEWHAVCOPPINKillRori Grayset Eva Rovello+0.4
178-9COPPINCOPPINKillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+0.5
188-10COPPINNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+0.5
199-10NEWHAVCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+0.4
2010-10COPPINCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+0.5
2110-11COPPINNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.5
2210-12NEWHAVNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.6
2311-12NEWHAVCOPPINKillDeviana Walkerset Coco Figueroa+0.4
2411-13COPPINNEWHAV×3KillQuinn Yenshawset Camryn Harris+0.5
2511-14NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillJosie Foster+0.7
2611-15NEWHAVNEWHAV×3Bad setEva Rovello+0.7
2712-15NEWHAVCOPPIN×3KillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+0.4
2813-15COPPINCOPPIN×3KillKayden Cupidset Karina Diaz+0.6
2914-15COPPINCOPPIN×3Attack errQuinn Yenshaw+0.6
3014-16COPPINNEWHAV×3KillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+0.6
3114-17NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillJosie Foster+0.8
3214-18NEWHAVNEWHAV×3BlockedKayden Cupidblk Quinn Yenshaw, Josie Foster+0.8
3315-18NEWHAVCOPPINKillPamela De Jesus Tejedorset Eva Rovello+0.5
3415-19COPPINNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+0.7
3515-20NEWHAVNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Lauren MacKellar+0.7
3616-20NEWHAVCOPPINKillEva Rovelloset Zaira Kearns+0.3
3716-21COPPINNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+0.5
3816-22NEWHAVNEWHAVAttack errPamela De Jesus Tejedor+0.5
3917-22NEWHAVCOPPINAttack errZaira Kearns+0.2
4018-22COPPINCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+0.3
4118-23COPPINNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+0.5
4218-24NEWHAVNEWHAVAceNew Havenaced Pamela De Jesus Tejedor+0.3
4319-24NEWHAVCOPPIN×7Serve errNew Haven·
4420-24COPPINCOPPIN×7BlockedMarley Alefaioblk Ivanna Luna, Kayden Cupid+0.1
4521-24COPPINCOPPIN×7BlockedLauren MacKellarblk Kayden Cupid, Deviana Walker+0.3
4622-24COPPINCOPPIN×7AceCoppin St.aced Marley Alefaio+0.5
4723-24COPPINCOPPIN×7Attack errLauren MacKellar+1.0
4824-24COPPINCOPPIN×7KillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+2.1
4925-24COPPINCOPPIN×7KillDeviana Walkerset Pamela De Jesus Tejedor+1.7
5025-25COPPINNEWHAV×3KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+1.3
5125-26NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillLauren MacKellarset Payton Malinoski+2.0
5225-27NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+2.5
Set 4
10-1NEWHAVNEWHAVAceNew Havenaced Cherisse Atilano+1.6
21-1NEWHAVCOPPINKillKayden Cupidset Eva Rovello+1.2
32-1COPPINCOPPINAttack errKira Lynch+1.4
42-2COPPINNEWHAV×3KillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+1.2
52-3NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+1.7
62-4NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+1.9
73-4NEWHAVCOPPINServe errNew Haven+1.4
84-4COPPINCOPPINAttack errLauren MacKellar+1.7
94-5COPPINNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+1.5
105-5NEWHAVCOPPINKillCherisse Atilanoset Eva Rovello+1.4
115-6COPPINNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+1.6
125-7NEWHAVNEWHAVAttack errCherisse Atilano+2.1
136-7NEWHAVCOPPIN×3KillEva Rovello+1.5
147-7COPPINCOPPIN×3KillIvanna Lunaset Coco Figueroa+1.9
158-7COPPINCOPPIN×3KillIvanna Lunaset Coco Figueroa+1.7
168-8COPPINNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+1.5
178-9NEWHAVNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+2.1
189-9NEWHAVCOPPIN×3KillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+1.6
1910-9COPPINCOPPIN×3KillIvanna Lunaset Coco Figueroa+1.9
2011-9COPPINCOPPIN×3KillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+1.7
2111-10COPPINNEWHAVBlockedDeviana Walkerblk Lauren MacKellar, Zaira Kearns+1.4
2212-10NEWHAVCOPPINKillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+1.4
2313-10COPPINCOPPINBlockedMarley Alefaioblk Ivanna Luna, Kayden Cupid+1.5
2413-11COPPINNEWHAVKillZaira Kearns+1.2
2514-11NEWHAVCOPPIN×3Serve errNew Haven+1.2
2615-11COPPINCOPPIN×3AceCoppin St.aced Alejandra Mejia+1.3
2716-11COPPINCOPPIN×3BlockedKira Lynchblk Kayden Cupid+0.9
2816-12COPPINNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.6
2917-12NEWHAVCOPPINKillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+0.8
3018-12COPPINCOPPINKillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+0.6
3118-13COPPINNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+0.4
3219-13NEWHAVCOPPIN×3KillDeviana Walkerset Eva Rovello+0.5
3320-13COPPINCOPPIN×3Bad setLauren MacKellar+0.4
3421-13COPPINCOPPIN×3AceCoppin St.aced Quinn Yenshaw+0.2
3521-14COPPINNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.1
3621-15NEWHAVNEWHAVAttack errCherisse Atilano+0.2
3722-15NEWHAVCOPPINKillEva Rovelloset Quinn Yenshaw+0.2
3822-16COPPINNEWHAV×3KillQuinn Yenshawset Karina Diaz+0.1
3922-17NEWHAVNEWHAV×3Attack errCherisse Atilano+0.2
4022-18NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+0.5
4123-18NEWHAVCOPPINAttack errMarley Alefaio+0.6
4223-19COPPINNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+0.3
4324-19NEWHAVCOPPINKillIvanna Lunaset Eva Rovello+0.5
4425-19COPPINCOPPINKillKayden Cupidset Eva Rovello+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Coppin St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).