New Haven vs LIU Volleyball: LIU Wins 3-0 (Oct 17, 2026)

FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026NEC Front Row

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: LIU 94.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

LIU beat visiting New Haven 3-0 (25-22, 25-16, 25-18) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. LIU's Sara van Gisteren led with 14 kills, and Reese Teves added 10 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 8:05 PM CT · final Oct 17

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NEWHAV	22	16	18	0
LIU	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Sara Van gisteren hit .448 with 14 kills as LIU rolled past New Haven.

Win probability never moved more than 1.0 points on one rally; New Haven topped out at 6% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave LIU 95% before first serve.

New HavenLIU

Break %+16.9 pts
31.047.9
35 of 73 on serve vs 18 of 58, so New Haven's sideout was 52.1%.
Hitting+.117
.216.333
41 kills, 10 errors vs 38 kills, 16 errors.
Longest run+1
56
6 straight LIU points in the third set stretched a 13–11 lead to 19–11. Final score of the set: 25–18.

LIU above 50New Haven belowMax swing 1.0%

New HavenLIU

Aces: New Haven 4·LIU 9
Serve err: New Haven 8·LIU 4
Blocks: New Haven 5·LIU 61 BS · 8 BA vs 2 BS · 8 BA
Digs: New Haven 38·LIU 37

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

LIU above 50 · New Haven below

Biggest swing: 1.0% to New Haven — set 1, NEWHAV 13-13 LIU. Ace by Payton Malinoski on Reese Teves. LIU win probability 95% → 94%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NEWHAV 4.5%95.5% LIU

New Haven wins

3-0

0.5%

3-1

1.2%

3-2

2.7%

LIU wins

3-0

57.0%

3-1

29.2%

3-2

9.3%

NEWHAV break %: 38.0% vs this opp
LIU break %: 51.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Payton MalinoskiAce+1.0%
Ace by Payton Malinoski on Reese Teves
Set 1 · NEWHAV 13-13 LIU · NEWHAV 5% → 6%
02
LIUAce+0.9%
LIU ace on Camryn Harris
Set 1 · NEWHAV 13-15 LIU · LIU 95% → 95%
03
Josie FosterKill+0.8%
Kill by Josie Foster (set by Zaira Kearns)
Set 1 · NEWHAV 12-13 LIU · NEWHAV 4% → 5%
04
Lauren MacKellarAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Lauren MacKellar
Set 1 · NEWHAV 13-14 LIU · LIU 94% → 95%
05
Sara van GisterenKill+0.8%
Kill by Sara van Gisteren (set by Dilara Elmacioglu)
Set 1 · NEWHAV 19-22 LIU · LIU 96% → 97%
06
Bella CorreiaKill+0.8%
Kill by Bella Correia (set by Dilara Elmacioglu)
Set 1 · NEWHAV 15-18 LIU · LIU 95% → 96%
07
Zaira Kearns&Josie FosterBlock+0.8%
Mia Rojas-Avila stuffed by Zaira Kearns & Josie Foster
Set 1 · NEWHAV 4-3 LIU · NEWHAV 5% → 6%
08
LIUService error+0.8%
LIU service error
Set 1 · NEWHAV 15-16 LIU · NEWHAV 5% → 5%

Box score

Official NCAA box

New Havenaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Lauren MacKellarOH	3	11	3	29	.276	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	11
20Marley AlefaioOH	3	10	5	22	.227	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	10
18Josie FosterMB	3	4	2	11	.182	0	0	1	3	0	0	4	2	6
21Kira LynchMB	3	2	1	8	.125	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3
14Zaira KearnsS	3	0	0	0	–	24	1	1	7	0	0	2	1	2
1Alejandra MejiaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	4	0	0	0	0
12Quinn YenshawOH	3	6	3	22	.136	0	1	1	1	0	0	2	1	8
2Payton MalinoskiL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	2	1	8	1	0	0	0	2
8Camryn HarrisL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	2	7	3	0	0	0	0
13Jordan NorthcuttOH	1	5	1	8	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
22Caroline JohnstonS	1	0	1	1	-1.000	8	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
3Lauren FickOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	16	102	.216	35	4	8	38	9	1	8	5	56

LIUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Sara van GisterenOH	3	14	1	29	.448	0	3	1	8	0	0	1	0.5	17.5
14Bella CorreiaOH	3	12	5	24	.292	0	0	1	6	1	0	1	0.5	12.5
3Mia Rojas-AvilaOH	3	7	3	18	.222	0	2	1	4	0	0	0	0	9
15Yasmeen MuhammadMB	3	3	1	10	.200	0	0	0	2	0	2	2	3	6
24Sara GarciaMB	3	3	0	7	.429	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
7Dilara ElmaciogluS	3	2	0	5	.400	31	2	1	5	0	0	2	1	5
9Reese TevesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	0	10	3	0	0	0	1
5Miabella MusignacL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	10	93	.333	38	9	4	37	4	2	8	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

New Haven vs LIU

Season series · LIU leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 16, 2026New Haven at LIU · LIU won 3-0Result →
Sat, Oct 17, 2026New Haven at LIU · LIU won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NEWHAV · LIU 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 5 NEWHAVLIU 3

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 NEWHAVLIU 5

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 4 NEWHAVLIU 6

Bars above the line = LIU leads, below = New Haven leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

New Haven

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	22%2/9
2	47%7/15	27%3/11
3	64%7/11	42%5/12
4	50%6/12	22%2/9
5	38%5/13	40%4/10
6	71%5/7	29%2/7
All	52%38/73	31%18/58

LIU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	57%8/14
2	80%8/10	27%3/11
3	58%7/12	46%6/13
4	86%6/7	40%4/10
5	55%6/11	57%8/14
6	63%5/8	55%6/11
All	69%40/58	48%35/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

131 rallies

#	NEWHAV-LIU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	NEWHAV	LIU	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar		+0.4
2	1-1	LIU	NEWHAV	Serve err	Bella Correia		+0.5
3	1-2	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.5
4	2-2	LIU	NEWHAV	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.5
5	2-3	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.5
6	3-3	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.5
7	4-3	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Blocked	Mia Rojas-Avila	blk Zaira Kearns, Josie Foster	+0.8
8	4-4	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.6
9	5-4	LIU	NEWHAV	Blocked	Bella Correia	blk Zaira Kearns, Josie Foster	+0.7
10	5-5	NEWHAV	LIU×3	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.6
11	5-6	LIU	LIU×3	Blocked	Josie Foster	blk Bella Correia, Sara Garcia	+0.7
12	5-7	LIU	LIU×3	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar		+0.6
13	6-7	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.5
14	6-8	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.5
15	6-9	LIU	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.5
16	7-9	LIU	NEWHAV	Serve err	Dilara Elmacioglu		+0.4
17	7-10	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.4
18	8-10	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.4
19	8-11	NEWHAV	LIU×3	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Reese Teves	+0.4
20	8-12	LIU	LIU×3	Ace	LIU	aced Camryn Harris	+0.4
21	8-13	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Sara Garcia	+0.3
22	9-13	LIU	NEWHAV×5	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.2
23	10-13	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×5	Kill	Josie Foster		+0.4
24	11-13	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×5	Blocked	Sara van Gisteren	blk Quinn Yenshaw, Josie Foster	+0.6
25	12-13	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×5	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+0.8
26	13-13	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×5	Ace	Payton Malinoski	aced Reese Teves	+1.0
27	13-14	NEWHAV	LIU	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar		+0.8
28	13-15	LIU	LIU	Ace	LIU	aced Camryn Harris	+0.9
29	14-15	LIU	NEWHAV	Serve err	LIU		+0.7
30	14-16	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.7
31	15-16	LIU	NEWHAV	Serve err	LIU		+0.8
32	15-17	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.8
33	15-18	LIU	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.8
34	16-18	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.6
35	16-19	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.6
36	17-19	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.6
37	17-20	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.7
38	18-20	LIU	NEWHAV	Attack err	Mia Rojas-Avila		+0.6
39	18-21	NEWHAV	LIU	Serve err	New Haven		+0.7
40	19-21	LIU	NEWHAV	Blocked	Bella Correia	blk Kira Lynch	+0.6
41	19-22	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.8
42	19-23	LIU	LIU	Ace	LIU	aced Camryn Harris	+0.6
43	20-23	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+0.3
44	20-24	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.4
45	21-24	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Camryn Harris	+0.1
46	22-24	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.5
47	22-25	NEWHAV	LIU	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+0.8
Set 2
1	0-1	LIU	LIU×3	Ace	LIU	aced Alejandra Mejia	+0.4
2	0-2	LIU	LIU×3	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+0.3
3	0-3	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Bella Correia	set Reese Teves	+0.3
4	1-3	LIU	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Payton Malinoski	+0.2
5	2-3	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.3
6	3-3	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Kira Lynch	+0.4
7	3-4	NEWHAV	LIU×3	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.3
8	3-5	LIU	LIU×3	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw		+0.3
9	3-6	LIU	LIU×3	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Reese Teves	+0.3
10	4-6	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Kira Lynch	set Zaira Kearns	+0.2
11	5-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Ace	Payton Malinoski	aced Reese Teves	+0.4
12	5-7	NEWHAV	LIU	Serve err	New Haven		+0.3
13	5-8	LIU	LIU	Kill	Dilara Elmacioglu	set Sara Garcia	+0.3
14	6-8	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+0.3
15	7-8	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Blocked	Yasmeen Muhammad	blk Josie Foster, Quinn Yenshaw	+0.4
16	7-9	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.3
17	7-10	LIU	LIU	Ace	LIU	aced Payton Malinoski	+0.3
18	8-10	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+0.3
19	8-11	NEWHAV	LIU×4	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.3
20	8-12	LIU	LIU×4	Ace	LIU	aced Alejandra Mejia	+0.3
21	8-13	LIU	LIU×4	Ace	LIU	aced Alejandra Mejia	+0.2
22	8-14	LIU	LIU×4	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+0.2
23	9-14	LIU	NEWHAV	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.1
24	10-14	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.2
25	10-15	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.2
26	10-16	LIU	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia		+0.2
27	11-16	LIU	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.1
28	12-16	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Ace	Zaira Kearns	aced Bella Correia	+0.2
29	13-16	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Bella Correia		+0.3
30	13-17	NEWHAV	LIU×5	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.3
31	13-18	LIU	LIU×5	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+0.2
32	13-19	LIU	LIU×5	Ace	LIU	aced Alejandra Mejia	+0.1
33	13-20	LIU	LIU×5	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Lauren MacKellar	+0.1
34	13-21	LIU	LIU×5	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	·
35	14-21	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	·
36	14-22	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Sara Garcia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	·
37	14-23	LIU	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Reese Teves	·
38	15-23	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	·
39	15-24	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	·
40	16-24	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	·
41	16-25	NEWHAV	LIU	Serve err	New Haven		·
Set 3
1	0-1	NEWHAV	LIU	Serve err	New Haven		+0.1
2	1-1	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.1
3	1-2	NEWHAV	LIU	Serve err	New Haven		+0.1
4	2-2	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.2
5	2-3	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
6	2-4	LIU	LIU	Kill	Yasmeen Muhammad		+0.2
7	3-4	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.1
8	3-5	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
9	4-5	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Caroline Johnston	+0.1
10	4-6	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Dilara Elmacioglu	set Miabella Musignac	+0.1
11	5-6	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Caroline Johnston	+0.1
12	6-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Caroline Johnston	+0.2
13	6-7	NEWHAV	LIU	Serve err	New Haven		+0.2
14	7-7	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Caroline Johnston	+0.2
15	7-8	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.2
16	8-8	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Kira Lynch	set Zaira Kearns	+0.2
17	9-8	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Mia Rojas-Avila		+0.3
18	9-9	NEWHAV	LIU×4	Kill	Mia Rojas-Avila	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.2
19	9-10	LIU	LIU×4	Blocked	Kira Lynch	blk Yasmeen Muhammad	+0.2
20	9-11	LIU	LIU×4	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw		+0.2
21	9-12	LIU	LIU×4	Blocked	Quinn Yenshaw	blk Yasmeen Muhammad, Sara van Gisteren	+0.2
22	10-12	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.1
23	10-13	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
24	11-13	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+0.1
25	11-14	NEWHAV	LIU×6	Blocked	Josie Foster	blk Yasmeen Muhammad	+0.1
26	11-15	LIU	LIU×6	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
27	11-16	LIU	LIU×6	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	+0.1
28	11-17	LIU	LIU×6	Bad set	Caroline Johnston		+0.1
29	11-18	LIU	LIU×6	Blocked	Jordan Northcutt	blk Dilara Elmacioglu, Yasmeen Muhammad	·
30	11-19	LIU	LIU×6	Attack err	Caroline Johnston		·
31	12-19	LIU	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Caroline Johnston	·
32	13-19	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Ace	Quinn Yenshaw	aced Reese Teves	·
33	14-19	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Marley Alefaio		·
34	15-19	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Caroline Johnston	+0.1
35	15-20	NEWHAV	LIU×3	Serve err	New Haven		+0.1
36	15-21	LIU	LIU×3	Blocked	Marley Alefaio	blk Dilara Elmacioglu, Sara Garcia	+0.1
37	15-22	LIU	LIU×3	Ace	LIU	aced Marley Alefaio	·
38	16-22	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Caroline Johnston	·
39	16-23	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Bella Correia	set Dilara Elmacioglu	·
40	17-23	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Jordan Northcutt	set Caroline Johnston	·
41	17-24	NEWHAV	LIU	Kill	Sara van Gisteren	set Dilara Elmacioglu	·
42	18-24	LIU	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Caroline Johnston	·
43	18-25	NEWHAV	LIU	Serve err	New Haven		·

Score shown after each rally, New Haven first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

LIU def. New Haven 3–0

Sara Van gisteren hit .448 with 14 kills as LIU rolled past New Haven.