FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwayBIG-SOUTH

0:3

HomeSUN-BELT

Ga. Southern def. Radford 3–0

(25-22, 27-25, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
RADFRD	22	25	20	0
GA SOU	25	27	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

GA SOU above 50 · RADFRD below

Biggest swing: 1.2% to Ga. Southern — set 2, RADFRD 25-26 GA SOU. Kill by Reagan Barth (set by Mayte Camacho). GA SOU win probability 98% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

RADFRD 2.0%98.0% GA SOU

Radford wins

3-0

0.2%

3-1

0.5%

3-2

1.3%

Ga. Southern wins

3-0

67.1%

3-1

25.0%

3-2

5.8%

RADFRD break %: 32.7% vs this opp
GA SOU break %: 48.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Reagan BarthKill+1.2%
Kill by Reagan Barth (set by Mayte Camacho)
Set 2 · RADFRD 25-26 GA SOU · GA SOU 98% → 99%
02
GA SOU serverService error+1.1%
Ga. Southern service error
Set 2 · RADFRD 24-23 GA SOU · RADFRD 2% → 3%
03
Alex MyersKill+1.1%
Kill by Alex Myers (set by Lexi Duffy)
Set 2 · RADFRD 24-24 GA SOU · GA SOU 97% → 98%
04
Addison CunnaginKill+1.1%
Kill by Addison Cunnagin (set by Lea Gage)
Set 2 · RADFRD 25-24 GA SOU · RADFRD 2% → 3%
05
Alex MyersKill+1.1%
Kill by Alex Myers (set by Lexi Duffy)
Set 2 · RADFRD 25-25 GA SOU · GA SOU 97% → 98%
06
Beka PfefferkornAttack error+1.0%
Attack error by Beka Pfefferkorn
Set 2 · RADFRD 22-20 GA SOU · RADFRD 2% → 4%
07
Olivia RynoAttack error+0.9%
Olivia Ryno stuffed by Anna Powell
Set 2 · RADFRD 22-22 GA SOU · GA SOU 97% → 98%
08
Addison CunnaginKill+0.8%
Kill by Addison Cunnagin (set by Alyssa Cadavid)
Set 2 · RADFRD 23-22 GA SOU · RADFRD 2% → 3%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Radfordaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	PTS
9Addison CunnaginOH	3	12	5	26	.269	0	1	1	6	0	13
2Macie PotterOH	3	10	3	29	.241	0	1	1	7	0	11
11Olivia RynoOH	3	5	4	21	.048	0	0	0	0	0	5
15Riley GreeneMB	3	3	0	9	.333	1	0	0	0	0	3
6Alyssa CadavidS	3	0	0	0	–	14	0	0	5	0	0
18Taryn RobertsMB	2	2	1	8	.125	0	0	0	1	0	2
24Aubrey HatchOH	3	5	0	11	.455	0	0	0	4	0	5
22Lea GageS	3	2	0	3	.667	18	0	0	2	0	2
1Mia JannazzoOH	3	0	0	1	.000	2	1	0	12	0	1
25Maja BochenekMB	1	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	1	0	2
21Gabriela SmolenskaMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Rose WhitemountainDS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	14	116	.233	36	3	2	38	1	67

Ga. Southernhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
25Reagan BarthOH	3	13	2	31	.355	0	1	1	8	1	0	1	0.5	14.5
12Beka PfefferkornOH	3	14	1	23	.565	0	0	1	3	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
16Anna PowellOH	3	11	4	22	.318	0	0	2	3	0	1	2	2	13
7Alex MyersMB	3	8	0	13	.615	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
11Kayla KnowlesOH	3	3	1	5	.400	0	0	0	1	0	2	3	3.5	6.5
29Bella EkelerS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	31	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
23Gabby BabinskiOH	3	10	1	16	.563	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10
2Lexi DuffyS	3	1	0	1	1.000	20	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	1
5Maddie CuginoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	2	13	0	0	0	0	0
3Mayte CamachoDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	6	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		60	10	112	.446	57	1	10	49	3	3	8	7	77

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 RADFRD · GA SOU 8

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 RADFRDGA SOU 3

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 3 RADFRDGA SOU 3

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 2 RADFRDGA SOU 8

Bars above the line = Ga. Southern leads, below = Radford leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Radford

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%9/9	13%1/8
2	69%9/13	31%4/13
3	53%8/15	25%3/12
4	64%7/11	47%7/15
5	33%6/18	22%2/9
6	60%6/10	45%5/11
All	59%45/76	32%22/68

Ga. Southern

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	90%9/10	27%3/11
2	56%9/16	18%2/11
3	62%8/13	47%7/15
4	78%7/9	42%5/12
5	50%7/14	61%11/18
6	100%6/6	33%3/9
All	68%46/68	41%31/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

144 rallies

Rally log

#	RADFRD-GA SOU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.2
2	1-1	RADFRD	GA SOU×3	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Maddie Cugino	+0.2
3	1-2	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Attack err	Taryn Roberts	blk Kayla Knowles, Anna Powell	+0.3
4	1-3	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Anna Powell	set Bella Ekeler	+0.2
5	2-3	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.2
6	2-4	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Anna Powell	set Bella Ekeler	+0.2
7	3-4	GA SOU	RADFRD×3	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.2
8	4-4	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Kill	Lea Gage	set Reagan Barth	+0.3
9	5-4	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+0.4
10	5-5	RADFRD	GA SOU	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin	blk Alex Myers, Anna Powell	+0.2
11	6-5	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Riley Greene	set Lea Gage	+0.3
12	6-6	RADFRD	GA SOU×3	Kill	Gabby Babinski	set Lexi Duffy	+0.3
13	6-7	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Reagan Barth		+0.4
14	6-8	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Maddie Cugino	+0.3
15	7-8	GA SOU	RADFRD	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.2
16	7-9	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Lexi Duffy	set Mayte Camacho	+0.2
17	8-9	GA SOU	RADFRD	Attack err	Reagan Barth		+0.2
18	8-10	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Gabby Babinski	set Lexi Duffy	+0.2
19	9-10	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.2
20	9-11	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.2
21	10-11	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.2
22	10-12	RADFRD	GA SOU×3	Kill	Kayla Knowles	set Bella Ekeler	+0.2
23	10-13	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.3
24	10-14	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Anna Powell	set Bella Ekeler	+0.2
25	11-14	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.1
26	11-15	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Anna Powell	set Bella Ekeler	+0.1
27	11-16	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Anna Powell		+0.1
28	12-16	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+0.1
29	12-17	RADFRD	GA SOU	Serve err	RADFRD server		+0.1
30	12-18	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Mayte Camacho	+0.1
31	13-18	GA SOU	RADFRD×4	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.0
32	14-18	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Mia Jannazzo	+0.1
33	15-18	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+0.2
34	16-18	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Lea Gage	+0.3
35	16-19	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.3
36	17-19	GA SOU	RADFRD	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.2
37	17-20	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.3
38	18-20	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.2
39	18-21	RADFRD	GA SOU	Serve err	RADFRD server		+0.3
40	19-21	GA SOU	RADFRD	Attack err	Anna Powell		+0.2
41	19-22	RADFRD	GA SOU×3	Kill	Kayla Knowles	set Bella Ekeler	+0.3
42	19-23	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Alex Myers	set Bella Ekeler	+0.2
43	19-24	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin		+0.1
44	20-24	GA SOU	RADFRD×3	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.0
45	21-24	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Kill	Riley Greene		+0.1
46	22-24	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Attack err	Anna Powell		+0.2
47	22-25	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers	set Bella Ekeler	+0.3
Set 2
1	0-1	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Kayla Knowles	set Bella Ekeler	+0.1
2	1-1	GA SOU	RADFRD×3	Kill	Macie Potter	set Mia Jannazzo	+0.1
3	2-1	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Bad set	Bella Ekeler		+0.2
4	3-1	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Reagan Barth	+0.3
5	3-2	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.2
6	4-2	GA SOU	RADFRD	Attack err	Anna Powell		+0.2
7	4-3	RADFRD	GA SOU×3	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.2
8	4-4	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Attack err	Olivia Ryno		+0.2
9	4-5	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin		+0.2
10	5-5	GA SOU	RADFRD×3	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.2
11	6-5	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Kill	Lea Gage	set Lexi Duffy	+0.3
12	7-5	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+0.3
13	7-6	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.2
14	7-7	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Gabby Babinski	set Maddie Cugino	+0.3
15	8-7	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Lea Gage	+0.2
16	9-7	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+0.4
17	9-8	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.2
18	10-8	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+0.3
19	10-9	RADFRD	GA SOU×3	Kill	Gabby Babinski	set Lexi Duffy	+0.2
20	10-10	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Attack err	Macie Potter	blk Kayla Knowles	+0.3
21	10-11	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Bella Ekeler	+0.3
22	11-11	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+0.2
23	11-12	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.2
24	12-12	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.2
25	13-12	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Kayla Knowles		+0.4
26	13-13	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.2
27	13-14	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Anna Powell	set Bella Ekeler	+0.3
28	14-14	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.3
29	14-15	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.2
30	15-15	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.3
31	15-16	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Anna Powell	set Lexi Duffy	+0.2
32	16-16	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+0.3
33	17-16	RADFRD	RADFRD	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Mayte Camacho	+0.5
34	17-17	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.3
35	18-17	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Lea Gage	+0.4
36	18-18	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Maddie Cugino	+0.4
37	18-19	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Bella Ekeler	+0.5
38	19-19	GA SOU	RADFRD	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.4
39	20-19	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Reagan Barth		+0.7
40	20-20	RADFRD	GA SOU	Attack err	Olivia Ryno		+0.4
41	21-20	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.6
42	22-20	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Beka Pfefferkorn		+1.0
43	22-21	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.5
44	22-22	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Olivia Ryno	blk Anna Powell	+0.9
45	23-22	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.8
46	23-23	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.7
47	24-23	GA SOU	RADFRD	Serve err	GA SOU server		+1.1
48	24-24	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+1.1
49	25-24	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+1.1
50	25-25	RADFRD	GA SOU×3	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+1.1
51	25-26	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Mayte Camacho	+1.2
52	25-27	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Attack err	Macie Potter		+0.8
Set 3
1	1-0	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+0.1
2	1-1	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Gabby Babinski	set Lexi Duffy	+0.1
3	2-1	GA SOU	RADFRD	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.1
4	3-1	RADFRD	RADFRD	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Team	+0.1
5	3-2	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Gabby Babinski	set Lexi Duffy	+0.1
6	4-2	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Riley Greene	+0.1
7	5-2	RADFRD	RADFRD	Bad set	Lexi Duffy		+0.1
8	5-3	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Gabby Babinski	set Lexi Duffy	+0.1
9	5-4	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin	blk Kayla Knowles, Beka Pfefferkorn	+0.1
10	6-4	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter		+0.1
11	6-5	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Bella Ekeler	+0.1
12	7-5	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.1
13	8-5	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Rose Whitemountain	+0.2
14	8-6	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Anna Powell	set Bella Ekeler	+0.1
15	8-7	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Macie Potter		+0.1
16	9-7	GA SOU	RADFRD	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.1
17	9-8	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.1
18	10-8	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Riley Greene	set Lea Gage	+0.1
19	10-9	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Anna Powell	set Lexi Duffy	+0.1
20	11-9	GA SOU	RADFRD	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.1
21	12-9	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Lea Gage	+0.2
22	12-10	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Gabby Babinski	set Lexi Duffy	+0.1
23	13-10	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+0.2
24	13-11	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.1
25	13-12	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin	blk Reagan Barth, Kayla Knowles	+0.2
26	14-12	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.1
27	14-13	RADFRD	GA SOU×8	Attack err	Olivia Ryno		+0.1
28	14-14	GA SOU	GA SOU×8	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.2
29	14-15	GA SOU	GA SOU×8	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.1
30	14-16	GA SOU	GA SOU×8	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Bella Ekeler	+0.1
31	14-17	GA SOU	GA SOU×8	Attack err	Maja Bochenek	blk Kayla Knowles	+0.1
32	14-18	GA SOU	GA SOU×8	Kill	Anna Powell	set Bella Ekeler	+0.1
33	14-19	GA SOU	GA SOU×8	Ace	GA SOU server	aced Team	+0.0
34	14-20	GA SOU	GA SOU×8	Kill	Anna Powell	set Bella Ekeler	+0.0
35	15-20	GA SOU	RADFRD	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.0
36	16-20	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Bella Ekeler		+0.0
37	16-21	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.0
38	17-21	GA SOU	RADFRD	Attack err	Anna Powell		+0.0
39	17-22	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.0
40	18-22	GA SOU	RADFRD	Bad set	Lexi Duffy		+0.0
41	18-23	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Gabby Babinski	set Lexi Duffy	+0.0
42	19-23	GA SOU	RADFRD	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Lea Gage	+0.0
43	20-23	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Gabby Babinski		+0.0
44	20-24	RADFRD	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.0
45	20-25	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Gabby Babinski	set Lexi Duffy	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Radford first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.