FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwaySUN-BELT

3:0

HomeSOCON

Ga. Southern def. ETSU 3–0

(25-18, 28-26, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
GA SOU	25	28	25	3
ETSU	18	26	20	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

ETSU above 50 · GA SOU below

Biggest swing: 7.5% to Ga. Southern — set 2, GA SOU 24-24 ETSU. Bad set by Makayla Bays. ETSU win probability 25% → 17%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

GA SOU 74.6%25.4% ETSU

Ga. Southern wins

3-0

26.7%

3-1

28.5%

3-2

19.4%

ETSU wins

3-0

4.5%

3-1

8.7%

3-2

12.2%

GA SOU break %: 42.9% vs this opp
ETSU break %: 37.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Makayla BaysBad set+7.5%
Bad set by Makayla Bays
Set 2 · GA SOU 24-24 ETSU · GA SOU 75% → 83%
02
Beka PfefferkornKill+6.6%
Kill by Beka Pfefferkorn (set by Bella Ekeler)
Set 2 · GA SOU 25-24 ETSU · GA SOU 83% → 89%
03
Beka PfefferkornKill+5.8%
Kill by Beka Pfefferkorn (set by Bella Ekeler)
Set 2 · GA SOU 28-26 ETSU · GA SOU 89% → 95%
04
Sophia DavisKill+4.4%
Kill by Sophia Davis (set by Alex Kreutzmann)
Set 2 · GA SOU 25-25 ETSU · ETSU 11% → 15%
05
Reagan BarthKill+4.4%
Kill by Reagan Barth (set by Bella Ekeler)
Set 2 · GA SOU 26-25 ETSU · GA SOU 85% → 89%
06
Anna PowellAttack error+4.4%
Anna Powell stuffed by Gianna Blair & Makayla Bays
Set 2 · GA SOU 26-26 ETSU · ETSU 11% → 15%
07
Anna PowellKill+4.4%
Kill by Anna Powell (set by Bella Ekeler)
Set 2 · GA SOU 27-26 ETSU · GA SOU 85% → 89%
08
Sophia DavisAttack error+3.2%
Sophia Davis stuffed by Kayla Knowles
Set 2 · GA SOU 23-24 ETSU · GA SOU 72% → 75%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Ga. Southernaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
25Reagan BarthOH	3	19	5	39	.359	0	0	3	7	1	1	0	1	20
16Anna PowellOH	3	10	3	27	.259	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	0	11
7Alex MyersMB	3	5	1	12	.333	1	0	1	3	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
11Kayla KnowlesOH	3	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	4.5
23Gabby BabinskiOH	3	2	1	9	.111	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
2Lexi DuffyS	3	1	0	1	1.000	21	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	1
12Beka PfefferkornOH	3	7	1	12	.500	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
5Maddie CuginoL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	2	0	1	18	1	0	0	0	0
29Bella EkelerS	3	0	0	0	–	18	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	0
3Mayte CamachoDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	6	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	13	108	.315	46	1	10	52	5	3	4	5	78

ETSUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
20Elizabeth AylwardOH	3	12	2	26	.385	0	0	0	4	0	1	0.5	12.5
14Makayla BaysOH	3	8	4	33	.121	1	0	1	5	1	1	0.5	8.5
2Sophia DavisOH	3	5	2	21	.143	1	2	2	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
15Karis ChatfieldOH	3	5	2	16	.188	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	5
12Alex KreutzmannS	3	0	0	1	.000	18	0	0	9	0	0	0	0
8Raegan WallerMB	1	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Gianna BlairMB	3	5	3	13	.154	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	6.5
17Bailey GohlkeS	3	0	0	1	.000	11	3	3	6	0	0	0	3
7Phoenix FogelMB	3	1	2	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
11Melanie MorrisDS	3	0	0	1	.000	5	0	2	10	0	0	0	0
5Darby FeltsOH	1	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Emma MacFerranMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	19	122	.139	36	5	8	44	1	6	3	64

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 GA SOU · ETSU 4

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 GA SOUETSU 3

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 4 GA SOUETSU 4

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 GA SOUETSU 4

Bars above the line = ETSU leads, below = Ga. Southern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Ga. Southern

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	90%9/10	61%11/18
2	64%9/14	0%0/9
3	60%9/15	55%11/20
4	88%7/8	42%5/12
5	60%6/10	25%2/8
6	67%6/9	33%3/9
All	70%46/66	42%32/76

ETSU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%9/14	27%3/11
2	53%9/17	40%6/15
3	54%7/13	18%2/11
4	70%7/10	36%4/11
5	67%6/9	36%4/11
6	46%6/13	14%1/7
All	58%44/76	30%20/66

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

142 rallies

Rally log

#	GA SOU-ETSU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+1.3
2	1-1	GA SOU	ETSU×3	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.4
3	1-2	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Melanie Morris	+2.2
4	1-3	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Alex Kreutzmann	+2.4
5	2-3	ETSU	GA SOU×4	Serve err	ETSU server		+1.5
6	3-3	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Kill	Gabby Babinski	set Lexi Duffy	+2.2
7	4-3	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+2.2
8	5-3	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Attack err	Raegan Waller	blk Reagan Barth	+2.0
9	5-4	GA SOU	ETSU	Serve err	GA SOU server		+1.4
10	6-4	ETSU	GA SOU	Serve err	ETSU server		+1.4
11	6-5	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.4
12	7-5	ETSU	GA SOU	Serve err	ETSU server		+1.4
13	7-6	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Makayla Bays	+1.4
14	8-6	ETSU	GA SOU	Serve err	ETSU server		+1.5
15	9-6	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Maddie Cugino	+2.0
16	9-7	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.3
17	10-7	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Bella Ekeler	+1.3
18	10-8	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.3
19	11-8	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Anna Powell	set Lexi Duffy	+1.4
20	11-9	GA SOU	ETSU	Serve err	GA SOU server		+1.3
21	12-9	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+1.4
22	13-9	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Raegan Waller		+1.8
23	13-10	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.0
24	14-10	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+1.2
25	14-11	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.0
26	15-11	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Bella Ekeler	+1.2
27	15-12	GA SOU	ETSU	Serve err	GA SOU server		+1.0
28	15-13	ETSU	ETSU	Kill	Gianna Blair	set Bailey Gohlke	+2.1
29	16-13	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Kayla Knowles	set Bella Ekeler	+1.6
30	16-14	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.4
31	17-14	ETSU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Anna Powell	set Bella Ekeler	+1.7
32	18-14	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Anna Powell	set Gabby Babinski	+2.0
33	19-14	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Attack err	Karis Chatfield		+1.4
34	19-15	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.6
35	20-15	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Anna Powell	set Lexi Duffy	+0.9
36	20-16	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.6
37	21-16	ETSU	GA SOU	Serve err	ETSU server		+0.8
38	21-17	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.5
39	21-18	ETSU	ETSU	Ace	ETSU server	aced Mayte Camacho	+1.2
40	22-18	ETSU	GA SOU×4	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+1.3
41	23-18	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Attack err	Gianna Blair		+1.0
42	24-18	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.3
43	25-18	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Mayte Camacho	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Reagan Barth		+1.6
2	2-0	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Attack err	Phoenix Fogel		+1.5
3	3-0	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+1.3
4	3-1	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.9
5	4-1	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.9
6	4-2	GA SOU	ETSU	Attack err	Gabby Babinski		+0.9
7	5-2	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.9
8	5-3	GA SOU	ETSU×4	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.9
9	5-4	ETSU	ETSU×4	Attack err	Kayla Knowles		+1.6
10	5-5	ETSU	ETSU×4	Attack err	Reagan Barth	blk Gianna Blair, Sophia Davis	+1.8
11	5-6	ETSU	ETSU×4	Ace	ETSU server	aced Reagan Barth	+2.0
12	6-6	ETSU	GA SOU	Attack err	Makayla Bays		+1.3
13	7-6	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Karis Chatfield		+1.9
14	7-7	GA SOU	ETSU	Serve err	GA SOU server		+1.3
15	8-7	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Anna Powell	set Maddie Cugino	+1.3
16	8-8	GA SOU	ETSU	Serve err	GA SOU server		+1.3
17	8-9	ETSU	ETSU	Attack err	Anna Powell		+2.1
18	9-9	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Anna Powell	set Bella Ekeler	+1.4
19	9-10	GA SOU	ETSU×3	Kill	Gianna Blair	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.5
20	9-11	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Melanie Morris	+2.4
21	9-12	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Melanie Morris	+2.4
22	10-12	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Anna Powell	set Lexi Duffy	+1.4
23	10-13	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.7
24	10-14	ETSU	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+2.3
25	11-14	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Lexi Duffy	set Alex Myers	+1.2
26	11-15	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Phoenix Fogel	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.6
27	12-15	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+1.2
28	12-16	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.7
29	12-17	ETSU	ETSU	Ace	ETSU server	aced Maddie Cugino	+2.0
30	13-17	ETSU	GA SOU	Serve err	ETSU server		+0.9
31	14-17	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Makayla Bays		+1.9
32	14-18	GA SOU	ETSU	Attack err	Beka Pfefferkorn		+1.7
33	14-19	ETSU	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Melanie Morris	+2.0
34	15-19	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.8
35	15-20	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Gianna Blair	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.3
36	16-20	ETSU	GA SOU	Serve err	ETSU server		+0.8
37	17-20	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Anna Powell	set Beka Pfefferkorn	+1.7
38	17-21	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.8
39	17-22	ETSU	ETSU	Attack err	Reagan Barth		+1.7
40	18-22	ETSU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Anna Powell	set Lexi Duffy	+0.5
41	19-22	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Serve err	GA SOU server		+1.4
42	20-22	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Attack err	Elizabeth Aylward	blk Gabby Babinski, Alex Myers	+2.2
43	20-23	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+2.6
44	21-23	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+1.3
45	21-24	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Alex Kreutzmann	+2.6
46	22-24	ETSU	GA SOU×4	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.9
47	23-24	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Attack err	Sophia Davis	blk Kayla Knowles	+3.2
48	24-24	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Bad set	Makayla Bays		+7.5
49	25-24	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+6.6
50	25-25	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Alex Kreutzmann	+4.4
51	26-25	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Bella Ekeler	+4.4
52	26-26	GA SOU	ETSU	Attack err	Anna Powell	blk Gianna Blair, Makayla Bays	+4.4
53	27-26	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Anna Powell	set Bella Ekeler	+4.4
54	28-26	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+5.8
Set 3
1	1-0	ETSU	GA SOU	Attack err	Gianna Blair		+0.6
2	1-1	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.6
3	2-1	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.6
4	3-1	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Bella Ekeler	+0.8
5	3-2	GA SOU	ETSU	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.6
6	4-2	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Bella Ekeler	+0.6
7	4-3	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.6
8	5-3	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Kayla Knowles	set Bella Ekeler	+0.6
9	6-3	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Makayla Bays		+0.8
10	6-4	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Melanie Morris	+0.5
11	7-4	ETSU	GA SOU	Attack err	Phoenix Fogel		+0.5
12	8-4	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Darby Felts		+0.7
13	8-5	GA SOU	ETSU	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.4
14	9-5	ETSU	GA SOU	Serve err	ETSU server		+0.5
15	10-5	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Sophia Davis	blk Alex Myers	+0.6
16	10-6	GA SOU	ETSU	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.3
17	11-6	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.4
18	11-7	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Gianna Blair	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.3
19	12-7	ETSU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Mayte Camacho	+0.4
20	13-7	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Attack err	Reagan Barth		+0.4
21	14-7	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Attack err	Makayla Bays		+0.3
22	14-8	GA SOU	ETSU	Attack err	Reagan Barth		+0.2
23	15-8	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Kayla Knowles	set Bella Ekeler	+0.2
24	15-9	GA SOU	ETSU	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.1
25	16-9	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.2
26	16-10	GA SOU	ETSU×3	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.1
27	16-11	ETSU	ETSU×3	Attack err	Maddie Cugino		+0.3
28	16-12	ETSU	ETSU×3	Attack err	Anna Powell		+0.5
29	17-12	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers	set Bella Ekeler	+0.4
30	17-13	GA SOU	ETSU	Attack err	Alex Myers		+0.3
31	18-13	ETSU	GA SOU×4	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.4
32	19-13	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Ace	GA SOU server	aced Makayla Bays	+0.4
33	20-13	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Attack err	Gianna Blair		+0.2
34	21-13	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Attack err	Darby Felts		+0.1
35	21-14	GA SOU	ETSU	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.0
36	22-14	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Gabby Babinski	set Lexi Duffy	+0.1
37	22-15	GA SOU	ETSU×4	Kill	Gianna Blair	set Sophia Davis	+0.0
38	22-16	ETSU	ETSU×4	Ace	ETSU server	aced Mayte Camacho	+0.1
39	22-17	ETSU	ETSU×4	Ace	ETSU server	aced Team	+0.1
40	22-18	ETSU	ETSU×4	Attack err	Reagan Barth	blk Elizabeth Aylward, Gianna Blair	+0.2
41	23-18	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.3
42	24-18	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Elizabeth Aylward	blk Kayla Knowles, Beka Pfefferkorn	+0.1
43	24-19	GA SOU	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.0
44	24-20	ETSU	ETSU	Attack err	Reagan Barth		+0.1
45	25-20	ETSU	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Ga. Southern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.