Fordham at Ga. Southern

Set	1*	2*	3	Sets
FORDHM	6	12	–	0
GA SOU	25	25	–	2

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

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Win probability

GA SOU above 50 · FORDHM below

Biggest swing: 0.7% to Fordham — set 1, FORDHM 4-3 GA SOU. Fordham ace on TEAM. GA SOU win probability 96% → 95%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

FORDHM 4.0%96.0% GA SOU

Fordham wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

1.1%

3-2

2.5%

Ga. Southern wins

3-0

58.6%

3-1

28.7%

3-2

8.7%

FORDHM break %: 36.1% vs this opp
GA SOU break %: 49.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
FORDHM serverAce+0.7%
Fordham ace on TEAM
Set 1 · FORDHM 4-3 GA SOU · FORDHM 4% → 5%
02
Johanna FranzenAttack error+0.5%
Johanna Franzen stuffed by Beka Pfefferkorn
Set 1 · FORDHM 4-5 GA SOU · GA SOU 96% → 96%
03
Gabby BabinskiKill+0.5%
Kill by Gabby Babinski (set by Lexi Duffy)
Set 1 · FORDHM 6-8 GA SOU · GA SOU 96% → 97%
04
GA SOU serverService error+0.5%
Ga. Southern service error
Set 1 · FORDHM 6-6 GA SOU · FORDHM 4% → 4%
05
Alex MyersKill+0.5%
Kill by Alex Myers (set by Lexi Duffy)
Set 1 · FORDHM 0-1 GA SOU · GA SOU 96% → 96%
06
Johanna FranzenKill+0.5%
Kill by Johanna Franzen
Set 1 · FORDHM 5-5 GA SOU · FORDHM 4% → 4%
07
Giada IanualeAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Giada Ianuale
Set 1 · FORDHM 4-4 GA SOU · GA SOU 95% → 96%
08
Sam BowronKill+0.4%
Kill by Sam Bowron (set by Bella Ekeler)
Set 1 · FORDHM 6-7 GA SOU · GA SOU 96% → 96%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Fordhamaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
33Johanna FranzenOH	2	5	4	17	.059	0	0	1	4	0	1	0.5	5.5
23Mila MicunovicOH	2	2	2	17	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
12Sophia OliveiraMB	2	1	0	7	.143	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
8Sophia KuynMB	2	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
19Giada IanualeS	2	0	2	3	-.667	8	0	1	3	0	0	0	0
13Bridget WoodruffOH	2	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14Addison NewblattL/DS	2	0	0	1	.000	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	1
21Avery BootheS	2	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Gabby DestlerOH	2	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22Whitney WoodrowS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Tatum HolderiedMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Andrea StanojevicOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Ozge OzaslanL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0
7Avery LimS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Lola FernandezL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	6	2	0	0	0
1Mikaela BrennanOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Erynn SweeneyOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15Ana Del angel aguilarS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		9	12	58	-.052	8	1	5	18	3	4	2	18

Ga. Southernhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Alex MyersMB	2	8	0	13	.615	0	0	1	1	0	1	3	2.5	10.5
8Sam BowronOH	2	7	1	18	.333	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	1	8
23Gabby BabinskiOH	2	4	1	5	.600	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
25Reagan BarthOH	2	2	0	5	.400	0	0	0	6	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
2Lexi DuffyS	2	1	0	1	1.000	16	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	2
15Amelia RobinsonMB	2	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
12Beka PfefferkornOH	2	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	3
4Ava OlsenOH	2	2	1	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
3Mayte CamachoDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	2
11Kayla KnowlesOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Anna PowellOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29Bella EkelerS	2	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
5Maddie CuginoL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	12	0	0	0	0	0
1Hadley PorterDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		27	4	52	.442	23	3	4	31	1	3	6	6	50

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 2 FORDHM · GA SOU 19

Set 1*

6-25

Longest run 2 FORDHMGA SOU 19

Set 2*

12-25

Longest run 1 FORDHMGA SOU 8

Bars above the line = Ga. Southern leads, below = Fordham leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

68 rallies

Rally log

#	FORDHM-GA SOU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.5
2	1-1	GA SOU	FORDHM	Kill	Sophia Oliveira	set Giada Ianuale	+0.4
3	1-2	FORDHM	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.3
4	2-2	GA SOU	FORDHM	Attack err	Gabby Babinski	set Lexi Duffy	+0.4
5	2-3	FORDHM	GA SOU	Kill	Gabby Babinski	set Lexi Duffy	+0.4
6	3-3	GA SOU	FORDHM	Kill	Johanna Franzen	set Giada Ianuale	+0.4
7	4-3	FORDHM	FORDHM	Ace	FORDHM server	aced TEAM	+0.7
8	4-4	FORDHM	GA SOU	Attack err	Giada Ianuale	set Johanna Franzen	+0.4
9	4-5	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Johanna Franzen	blk Beka Pfefferkorn	+0.5
10	5-5	GA SOU	FORDHM	Kill	Johanna Franzen		+0.5
11	5-6	FORDHM	GA SOU	Kill	Amelia Robinson	set Bella Ekeler	+0.4
12	6-6	GA SOU	FORDHM	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.5
13	6-7	FORDHM	GA SOU×19	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Bella Ekeler	+0.4
14	6-8	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Kill	Gabby Babinski	set Lexi Duffy	+0.5
15	6-9	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.4
16	6-10	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Kill	Gabby Babinski	set Maddie Cugino	+0.3
17	6-11	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Attack err	Giada Ianuale	blk Sam Bowron	+0.2
18	6-12	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Kill	Gabby Babinski	set Lexi Duffy	+0.2
19	6-13	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Ace	GA SOU server	aced Ozge Ozaslan	+0.1
20	6-14	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Attack err	Avery Boothe		+0.1
21	6-15	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Attack err	Mila Micunovic	blk Alex Myers, Gabby Babinski	+0.0
22	6-16	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.0
23	6-17	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.0
24	6-18	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Attack err	Johanna Franzen		+0.0
25	6-19	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Lexi Duffy	+0.0
26	6-20	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Kill	Ava Olsen	set Lexi Duffy	+0.0
27	6-21	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Attack err	Gabby Destler	blk Ava Olsen, Alex Myers	+0.0
28	6-22	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Kill	Ava Olsen	set Lexi Duffy	+0.0
29	6-23	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.0
30	6-24	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Maddie Cugino	+0.0
31	6-25	GA SOU	GA SOU×19	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Lexi Duffy	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	FORDHM	FORDHM	Attack err	Sophia Kuyn	blk Johanna Franzen, Sophia Kuyn	+0.4
2	1-1	FORDHM	GA SOU	Serve err	FORDHM server		+0.3
3	1-2	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Sophia Kuyn		+0.3
4	2-2	GA SOU	FORDHM	Kill	Sophia Kuyn		+0.3
5	2-3	FORDHM	GA SOU	Serve err	FORDHM server		+0.2
6	2-4	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers	set Bella Ekeler	+0.3
7	3-4	GA SOU	FORDHM	Kill	Mila Micunovic	set Giada Ianuale	+0.2
8	3-5	FORDHM	GA SOU×8	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn		+0.2
9	3-6	GA SOU	GA SOU×8	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.2
10	3-7	GA SOU	GA SOU×8	Attack err	Johanna Franzen		+0.2
11	3-8	GA SOU	GA SOU×8	Attack err	Mila Micunovic	blk Alex Myers	+0.1
12	3-9	GA SOU	GA SOU×8	Kill	Sam Bowron		+0.1
13	3-10	GA SOU	GA SOU×8	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.1
14	3-11	GA SOU	GA SOU×8	Attack err	Johanna Franzen		+0.0
15	3-12	GA SOU	GA SOU×8	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Lexi Duffy	+0.0
16	4-12	GA SOU	FORDHM	Attack err	Sam Bowron	set Maddie Cugino	+0.0
17	4-13	FORDHM	GA SOU×3	Serve err	FORDHM server		+0.0
18	4-14	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Ace	GA SOU server	aced Lola Fernandez	+0.0
19	4-15	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Ace	GA SOU server	aced Lola Fernandez	+0.0
20	5-15	GA SOU	FORDHM	Kill	Mila Micunovic	set Giada Ianuale	+0.0
21	5-16	FORDHM	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.0
22	6-16	GA SOU	FORDHM	Kill	Johanna Franzen	set Giada Ianuale	+0.0
23	6-17	FORDHM	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.0
24	7-17	GA SOU	FORDHM	Kill	Mila Micunovic		+0.0
25	7-18	FORDHM	GA SOU	Serve err	FORDHM server		+0.0
26	8-18	GA SOU	FORDHM	Kill	Johanna Franzen	set Giada Ianuale	+0.0
27	8-19	FORDHM	GA SOU	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Bella Ekeler	+0.0
28	8-20	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers		+0.0
29	9-20	GA SOU	FORDHM	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.0
30	9-21	FORDHM	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Bella Ekeler	+0.0
31	10-21	GA SOU	FORDHM	Attack err	Ava Olsen	blk Sophia Oliveira, Mila Micunovic	+0.0
32	10-22	FORDHM	GA SOU	Bad set	Giada Ianuale		+0.0
33	10-23	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Lexi Duffy	set Lexi Duffy	+0.0
34	11-23	GA SOU	FORDHM	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.0
35	11-24	FORDHM	GA SOU	Attack err	Bridget Woodruff	blk Alex Myers, Reagan Barth	+0.0
36	12-24	GA SOU	FORDHM	Serve err	GA SOU server		+0.0
37	12-25	FORDHM	GA SOU	Serve err	FORDHM server		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Fordham first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.