Georgia State vs Ga. Southern: Ga. Southern Wins 3-0 (Nov 6)

FinalFri, Nov 6, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Ga. Southern 92.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Ga. Southern beat visiting Georgia St. 3-0 (25-9, 25-22, 25-12) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Ga. Southern's Reagan Barth led with 14 kills, and Maddie Cugino added 19 digs.

Data through Nov 10, 6:25 PM CT · final Nov 6

Set	1	2	3	Sets
GA ST	9	22	12	0
GA SOU	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

14 kills in 3 sets for Reagan Barth. Ga. Southern swept Georgia St.

Win probability never moved more than 1.7 points on one rally; Georgia St. topped out at 10% in Set 2. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Ga. Southern at 92%.

Georgia St.Ga. Southern

Break %+31.8 pts
24.456.2
41 of 73 on serve vs 11 of 45, so Georgia St.'s sideout was 43.8%.
Hitting+.321
.038.359
Kills and errors: 46–9 vs 21–17.
Longest run+4
37
Up 13–6 in the first set, Ga. Southern scored 7 straight to make it 20–6. The set finished 25–9.

Ga. Southern above 50Georgia St. belowMax swing 1.7%

Georgia St.Ga. Southern

Aces: Georgia St. 3·Ga. Southern 7
Serve err: Georgia St. 5·Ga. Southern 5
Blocks: Georgia St. 3·Ga. Southern 81 BS · 4 BA vs 6 BS · 4 BA
Digs: Georgia St. 42·Ga. Southern 57

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Ga. Southern above 50 · Georgia St. below

Biggest swing: 1.7% to Georgia St. — set 2, GA ST 19-17 GA SOU. Ace by Julie Arias on Reagan Barth. GA SOU win probability 94% → 92%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GA ST 6.2%93.8% GA SOU

Georgia St. wins

3-0

0.7%

3-1

1.8%

3-2

3.7%

Ga. Southern wins

3-0

52.3%

3-1

30.5%

3-2

11.0%

GA ST break %: 36.8% vs this opp
GA SOU break %: 48.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Julie AriasAce+1.7%
Ace by Julie Arias on Reagan Barth
Set 2 · GA ST 19-17 GA SOU · GA ST 6% → 8%
02
Manuela Altieri LievAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Manuela Altieri Liev
Set 2 · GA ST 20-21 GA SOU · GA SOU 94% → 96%
03
Sam BowronKill+1.6%
Kill by Sam Bowron (set by Maddie Cugino)
Set 2 · GA ST 21-23 GA SOU · GA SOU 96% → 98%
04
Kayla KnowlesBlock+1.5%
Julie Arias stuffed by Kayla Knowles
Set 2 · GA ST 19-19 GA SOU · GA SOU 93% → 94%
05
Manuela Altieri LievKill+1.3%
Kill by Manuela Altieri Liev (set by Sophia Johnson)
Set 2 · GA ST 20-19 GA SOU · GA ST 6% → 7%
06
Reagan BarthBlock+1.3%
Manuela Altieri Liev stuffed by Reagan Barth
Set 2 · GA ST 21-22 GA SOU · GA SOU 95% → 96%
07
Beka PfefferkornKill+1.3%
Kill by Beka Pfefferkorn (set by Lexi Duffy)
Set 2 · GA ST 22-24 GA SOU · GA SOU 97% → 98%
08
Reagan BarthKill+1.3%
Kill by Reagan Barth (set by Lexi Duffy)
Set 2 · GA ST 17-17 GA SOU · GA SOU 93% → 95%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Georgia St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Mina OlgarMB	3	6	1	15	.333	1	0	2	0	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
14Akira BurtMB	3	5	7	29	-.069	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	5
13Manuela Altieri LievOPP	3	4	5	21	-.048	1	0	0	7	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
15Jayden EakerOPP	3	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
10Annelore EngelsS	3	2	0	5	.400	13	0	2	10	0	0	0	0	2
11Sophia JohnsonOH	3	1	1	17	.000	1	0	0	7	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
12Julie AriasOH	3	0	2	6	-.333	0	3	0	2	0	0	0	0	3
2Dariana ValenciaS	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
20Isabel MoralesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Sigrun JonsdottirL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	0
3Leilani-Kai GiustaOH	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1
Team totals		21	17	104	.038	19	3	5	42	7	1	4	3	43

Ga. Southernhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
25Reagan BarthOH	3	14	3	30	.367	1	2	2	15	2	1	1	1.5	17.5
7Alex MyersMB	3	10	1	25	.360	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	12
12Beka PfefferkornOH	3	7	3	16	.250	2	0	1	12	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
3Mayte CamachoDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	4	1	4	0	0	0	0	4
2Lexi DuffyS	3	2	0	6	.333	37	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	2
11Kayla KnowlesOH	3	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2
8Sam BowronOH	3	11	2	23	.391	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	2	13
5Maddie CuginoL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	1	1	1	19	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		46	9	103	.359	42	7	5	57	3	6	4	8	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Georgia St. vs Ga. Southern

Season series · Ga. Southern leads 2-0

Thu, Nov 5, 2026Georgia St. at Ga. Southern · Ga. Southern won 3-0Result →
Fri, Nov 6, 2026Georgia St. at Ga. Southern · Ga. Southern won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 GA ST · GA SOU 7

Set 1

9-25

Longest run 1 GA STGA SOU 7

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 GA STGA SOU 3

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 2 GA STGA SOU 7

Bars above the line = Ga. Southern leads, below = Georgia St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Georgia St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	31%4/13	20%1/5
2	57%4/7	0%0/4
3	44%4/9	0%0/4
4	25%3/12	0%0/4
5	67%2/3	25%1/4
6	50%2/4	0%0/2
All	40%19/48	9%2/23

Ga. Southern

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%4/5	50%2/4
2	100%4/4	69%9/13
3	100%4/4	43%3/7
4	100%4/4	56%5/9
5	75%3/4	75%9/12
6	100%2/2	33%1/3
All	91%21/23	60%29/48

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

118 rallies

#	GA ST-GA SOU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	GA ST	GA SOU×3	Attack err	Akira Burt		+0.6
2	0-2	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Lexi Duffy	+0.7
3	0-3	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Ace	Ga. Southern	aced Dariana Valencia	+0.6
4	1-3	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Sam Bowron	+0.5
5	1-4	GA ST	GA SOU×3	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Reagan Barth	+0.5
6	1-5	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.5
7	1-6	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Ace	Ga. Southern		+0.4
8	2-6	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Annelore Engels	set Isabel Morales	+0.3
9	2-7	GA ST	GA SOU	Blocked	Akira Burt	blk Beka Pfefferkorn	+0.3
10	3-7	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Annelore Engels	+0.3
11	3-8	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.3
12	4-8	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Sophia Johnson	set Manuela Altieri Liev	+0.3
13	4-9	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.3
14	4-10	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Manuela Altieri Liev		+0.3
15	5-10	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Manuela Altieri Liev	set Annelore Engels	+0.2
16	5-11	GA ST	GA SOU×3	Serve err	Georgia St.		+0.2
17	5-12	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Attack err	Manuela Altieri Liev		+0.2
18	5-13	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Mayte Camacho	+0.2
19	6-13	GA SOU	GA ST	Bad set	Mayte Camacho		+0.1
20	6-14	GA ST	GA SOU×7	Serve err	Georgia St.		+0.1
21	6-15	GA SOU	GA SOU×7	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.1
22	6-16	GA SOU	GA SOU×7	Kill	Maddie Cugino	set Manuela Altieri Liev	+0.1
23	6-17	GA SOU	GA SOU×7	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Lexi Duffy	·
24	6-18	GA SOU	GA SOU×7	Kill	Kayla Knowles	set Lexi Duffy	·
25	6-19	GA SOU	GA SOU×7	Attack err	Akira Burt		·
26	6-20	GA SOU	GA SOU×7	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Lexi Duffy	·
27	7-20	GA SOU	GA ST	Blocked	Reagan Barth	blk Jayden Eaker	·
28	7-21	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	·
29	8-21	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Jayden Eaker	set Sigrun Jonsdottir	·
30	8-22	GA ST	GA SOU×3	Blocked	Akira Burt	blk Alex Myers, Beka Pfefferkorn	·
31	8-23	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Beka Pfefferkorn	·
32	8-24	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Alex Myers		·
33	9-24	GA SOU	GA ST	Serve err	Beka Pfefferkorn		·
34	9-25	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Lexi Duffy	·
Set 2
1	0-1	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Jayden Eaker		+0.5
2	1-1	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Manuela Altieri Liev	set Annelore Engels	+0.4
3	2-1	GA ST	GA ST	Attack err	Reagan Barth		+0.7
4	2-2	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.5
5	3-2	GA SOU	GA ST	Serve err	Reagan Barth		+0.5
6	4-2	GA ST	GA ST	Attack err	Beka Pfefferkorn		+0.8
7	4-3	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.5
8	5-3	GA SOU	GA ST×3	Kill	Akira Burt	set Annelore Engels	+0.6
9	6-3	GA ST	GA ST×3	Bad set	Lexi Duffy		+0.9
10	7-3	GA ST	GA ST×3	Blocked	Beka Pfefferkorn	blk Sophia Johnson, Mina Olgar	+1.0
11	7-4	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.6
12	8-4	GA SOU	GA ST	Attack err	Sam Bowron		+0.8
13	8-5	GA ST	GA SOU×3	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.6
14	8-6		GA SOU	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.9
15	8-7	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Attack err	Sophia Johnson		+0.8
16	9-7	GA SOU	GA ST×3	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Annelore Engels	+0.7
17	10-7	GA ST	GA ST×3	Ace	Julie Arias		+1.1
18	11-7	GA ST	GA ST×3	Ace	Julie Arias	aced Reagan Barth	+1.1
19	11-8	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Lexi Duffy	+0.7
20	11-9	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Manuela Altieri Liev		+0.9
21	12-9	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Jayden Eaker	set Annelore Engels	+0.9
22	12-10	GA ST	GA SOU	Serve err	Georgia St.		+0.7
23	13-10	GA SOU	GA ST×3	Kill	Manuela Altieri Liev	set Annelore Engels	+0.9
24	14-10	GA ST	GA ST×3	Serve err	Georgia St.		+1.2
25	15-10	GA ST	GA ST×3	Attack err	Sam Bowron		+1.2
26	15-11	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Lexi Duffy	+0.6
27	15-12	GA SOU	GA SOU	Blocked	Akira Burt	blk Sam Bowron	+1.0
28	16-12	GA SOU	GA ST	Serve err	Maddie Cugino		+1.0
29	16-13	GA ST	GA SOU	Blocked	Julie Arias	blk Sam Bowron	+0.7
30	16-14	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+1.1
31	17-14	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Annelore Engels	+1.1
32	17-15	GA ST	GA SOU×3	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Lexi Duffy	+0.8
33	17-16	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+1.3
34	17-17	GA SOU	GA SOU×3	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+1.3
35	18-17	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Annelore Engels	+1.1
36	19-17	GA ST	GA ST	Ace	Julie Arias	aced Reagan Barth	+1.7
37	19-18	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Lexi Duffy		+1.0
38	19-19	GA SOU	GA SOU	Blocked	Julie Arias	blk Kayla Knowles	+1.5
39	20-19	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Manuela Altieri Liev	set Sophia Johnson	+1.3
40	20-20	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Lexi Duffy	+1.2
41	20-21	GA SOU	GA SOU	Attack err	Manuela Altieri Liev		+1.6
42	21-21	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Annelore Engels	set Mina Olgar	+1.3
43	21-22	GA ST	GA SOU	Blocked	Manuela Altieri Liev	blk Reagan Barth	+1.3
44	21-23	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Maddie Cugino	+1.6
45	22-23	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Annelore Engels	+0.9
46	22-24	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Lexi Duffy	+1.3
47	22-25	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.8
Set 3
1	0-1	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.2
2	0-2	GA SOU	GA SOU	Ace	Reagan Barth		+0.2
3	1-2	GA SOU	GA ST	Serve err	Reagan Barth		+0.2
4	1-3	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.2
5	1-4	GA SOU	GA SOU	Kill	Beka Pfefferkorn	set Lexi Duffy	+0.2
6	2-4	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Leilani-Kai Giusta	set Sigrun Jonsdottir	+0.2
7	2-5	GA ST	GA SOU	Attack err	Akira Burt		+0.1
8	3-5	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Akira Burt	set Annelore Engels	+0.2
9	3-6	GA ST	GA SOU×7	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Lexi Duffy	+0.2
10	3-7	GA SOU	GA SOU×7	Blocked	Mina Olgar	blk Alex Myers	+0.2
11	3-8	GA SOU	GA SOU×7	Ace	Ga. Southern	aced Leilani-Kai Giusta	+0.1
12	3-9	GA SOU	GA SOU×7	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	+0.1
13	3-10	GA SOU	GA SOU×7	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	+0.1
14	3-11	GA SOU	GA SOU×7	Ace	Ga. Southern	aced Leilani-Kai Giusta	+0.1
15	3-12	GA SOU	GA SOU×7	Ace	Ga. Southern	aced Manuela Altieri Liev	·
16	4-12	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Annelore Engels	·
17	5-12	GA ST	GA ST	Bad set	Lexi Duffy		·
18	5-13	GA ST	GA SOU	Serve err	Georgia St.		·
19	6-13	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Annelore Engels	·
20	6-14	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	·
21	7-14	GA SOU	GA ST	Kill	Mina Olgar	set Annelore Engels	·
22	8-14	GA ST	GA ST	Bad set	Lexi Duffy		+0.1
23	8-15	GA ST	GA SOU	Serve err	Georgia St.		+0.1
24	9-15	GA SOU	GA ST	Blocked	Beka Pfefferkorn	blk Manuela Altieri Liev, Jayden Eaker	·
25	9-16	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Lexi Duffy	·
26	10-16	GA SOU	GA ST	Attack err	Reagan Barth		·
27	10-17	GA ST	GA SOU×4	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	·
28	10-18	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	·
29	10-19	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Lexi Duffy	·
30	10-20	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Kill	Sam Bowron	set Lexi Duffy	·
31	11-20	GA SOU	GA ST	Attack err	Alex Myers		·
32	11-21	GA ST	GA SOU×4	Kill	Alex Myers	set Lexi Duffy	·
33	11-22	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Beka Pfefferkorn	·
34	11-23	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Blocked	Akira Burt	blk Reagan Barth, Alex Myers	·
35	11-24	GA SOU	GA SOU×4	Kill	Reagan Barth	set Lexi Duffy	·
36	12-24	GA SOU	GA ST	Serve err	Mayte Camacho		·
37	12-25	GA ST	GA SOU	Kill	Lexi Duffy	set Annelore Engels	·

Score shown after each rally, Georgia St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Ga. Southern def. Georgia St. 3–0

14 kills in 3 sets for Reagan Barth. Ga. Southern swept Georgia St.