FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwaySOCON

3:0

HomeOVC

Chattanooga def. UT Martin 3–0

(25-15, 25-14, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CHAT	25	25	25	3
UT MAR	15	14	21	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UT MAR above 50 · CHAT below

Biggest swing: 1.5% to Chattanooga — set 1, CHAT 1-0 UT MAR. Dylan Sulcer stuffed by Delaney Wingenbach. UT MAR win probability 18% → 17%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CHAT 81.9%18.1% UT MAR

Chattanooga wins

3-0

33.5%

3-1

30.7%

3-2

17.7%

UT Martin wins

3-0

2.9%

3-1

5.9%

3-2

9.3%

CHAT break %: 47.8% vs this opp
UT MAR break %: 40.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Dylan SulcerAttack error+1.5%
Dylan Sulcer stuffed by Delaney Wingenbach
Set 1 · CHAT 1-0 UT MAR · CHAT 82% → 83%
02
Addison WalkerKill+1.4%
Kill by Addison Walker (set by Caiti Barthel)
Set 1 · CHAT 2-0 UT MAR · CHAT 83% → 85%
03
Maddy GladsonAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Maddy Gladson
Set 1 · CHAT 3-0 UT MAR · CHAT 85% → 86%
04
Kynli KirkendollKill+1.1%
Kill by Kynli Kirkendoll (set by Ashley Reynolds)
Set 1 · CHAT 4-0 UT MAR · CHAT 86% → 87%
05
Riley RushingAttack error+1.0%
Attack error by Riley Rushing
Set 2 · CHAT 2-0 UT MAR · CHAT 91% → 92%
06
Mia SaenzKill+1.0%
Kill by Mia Saenz
Set 3 · CHAT 10-13 UT MAR · UT MAR 5% → 6%
07
Kynli KirkendollKill+0.9%
Kill by Kynli Kirkendoll (set by Ashley Reynolds)
Set 3 · CHAT 14-14 UT MAR · CHAT 95% → 96%
08
Sophie DioufAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Sophie Diouf
Set 2 · CHAT 3-0 UT MAR · CHAT 92% → 93%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Chattanoogaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Kynli KirkendollMB	3	11	0	19	.579	0	1	2	3	0	1	2	2	14
1Addison WalkerOH	3	8	2	15	.400	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	1	9
23Gracie RoseOH	3	8	2	19	.316	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	8
5Jordin GlassMB	3	5	1	12	.333	0	0	1	3	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
6Delaney WingenbachOH	3	2	4	14	-.143	0	2	1	2	0	1	0	1	5
16Ashley ReynoldsS	3	0	0	1	.000	28	4	2	5	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
17Caroline PetersonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	3
9Caiti BarthelL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	16	1	0	0	0	0
21Finley HilliardL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
2Ryan OdenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
15Destiny WigginsOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Mallory MerzS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	9	80	.313	32	10	9	39	3	2	6	5	75

UT Martinhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
10Sophie DioufMB	3	11	4	30	.233	0	1	2	3	0	1	0.5	12.5
22Carly MuellerMB	3	8	4	17	.235	0	0	1	2	0	1	0.5	8.5
5Maddy GladsonOPP	3	2	4	14	-.143	0	0	0	4	0	2	1	3
7Dylan SulcerL/DS	3	0	1	6	-.167	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
24Ida WiszomirskaS	2	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Mari HaasOH	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0
11Chyler MartinOH	3	4	4	14	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
6Abby FreundL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	2	0	7	0	0	0	2
3Lauren MariscalL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
1Penny KirkhamL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	2	0	0	0
16Mia SaenzMB	2	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
13Addie RosalesS	2	0	0	1	.000	15	0	2	0	1	0	0	0
8Reagan HammS	2	0	1	1	-1.000	3	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
12Riley RushingOH	1	0	2	4	-.500	1	0	0	6	1	0	0	0
9Rylee KeyMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		27	23	94	.043	25	3	7	34	10	4	2	50

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 9 CHAT · UT MAR 5

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 9 CHATUT MAR 5

Set 2

25-14

Longest run 7 CHATUT MAR 5

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 CHATUT MAR 3

Bars above the line = UT Martin leads, below = Chattanooga leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Chattanooga

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	71%15/21
2	50%7/14	63%12/19
3	100%5/5	50%5/10
4	56%5/9	55%6/11
5	100%4/4	0%0/4
6	50%4/8	56%5/9
All	63%32/51	58%43/74

UT Martin

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	26%7/27	44%4/9
2	64%7/11	42%5/12
3	42%5/12	46%6/13
4	50%4/8	44%4/9
5	67%4/6	0%0/4
6	40%4/10	0%0/4
All	42%31/74	37%19/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

125 rallies

Rally log

#	CHAT-UT MAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	CHAT	CHAT×9	Attack err	Dylan Sulcer	blk Delaney Wingenbach	+1.5
2	2-0	CHAT	CHAT×9	Kill	Addison Walker	set Caiti Barthel	+1.4
3	3-0	CHAT	CHAT×9	Attack err	Maddy Gladson		+1.2
4	4-0	CHAT	CHAT×9	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.1
5	5-0	CHAT	CHAT×9	Ace	CHAT server	aced Mari Haas	+0.9
6	6-0	CHAT	CHAT×9	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.7
7	7-0	CHAT	CHAT×9	Ace	CHAT server	aced Mari Haas	+0.6
8	8-0	CHAT	CHAT×9	Ace	CHAT server	aced Penny Kirkham	+0.4
9	9-0	CHAT	CHAT×9	Attack err	Maddy Gladson	blk Kynli Kirkendoll, Addison Walker	+0.3
10	9-1	CHAT	UT MAR	Serve err	CHAT server		+0.2
11	9-2	UT MAR	UT MAR	Kill	Carly Mueller		+0.4
12	10-2	UT MAR	CHAT	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.3
13	11-2	CHAT	CHAT	Attack err	Carly Mueller	blk Kynli Kirkendoll	+0.3
14	11-3	CHAT	UT MAR	Serve err	CHAT server		+0.2
15	12-3	UT MAR	CHAT×3	Attack err	Mari Haas	blk Kynli Kirkendoll, Addison Walker	+0.2
16	13-3	CHAT	CHAT×3	Attack err	Maddy Gladson		+0.2
17	14-3	CHAT	CHAT×3	Attack err	Reagan Hamm		+0.1
18	14-4	CHAT	UT MAR	Serve err	CHAT server		+0.1
19	15-4	UT MAR	CHAT	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.1
20	16-4	CHAT	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Caiti Barthel	+0.1
21	16-5	CHAT	UT MAR	Attack err	Gracie Rose		+0.0
22	17-5	UT MAR	CHAT	Kill	Jordin Glass	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.0
23	17-6	CHAT	UT MAR	Kill	Chyler Martin	set Reagan Hamm	+0.0
24	18-6	UT MAR	CHAT	Bad set	Reagan Hamm		+0.0
25	18-7	CHAT	UT MAR	Serve err	CHAT server		+0.0
26	18-8	UT MAR	UT MAR	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Reagan Hamm	+0.0
27	19-8	UT MAR	CHAT	Serve err	UT MAR server		+0.0
28	20-8	CHAT	CHAT	Attack err	Carly Mueller		+0.0
29	20-9	CHAT	UT MAR	Serve err	CHAT server		+0.0
30	20-10	UT MAR	UT MAR	Bad set	Ashley Reynolds		+0.0
31	21-10	UT MAR	CHAT×3	Kill	Addison Walker	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.0
32	22-10	CHAT	CHAT×3	Ace	CHAT server	aced Team	+0.0
33	23-10	CHAT	CHAT×3	Ace	CHAT server	aced Mari Haas	+0.0
34	23-11	CHAT	UT MAR×5	Serve err	CHAT server		+0.0
35	23-12	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Reagan Hamm	+0.0
36	23-13	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Team	+0.0
37	23-14	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Team	+0.0
38	23-15	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Attack err	Gracie Rose	blk Sophie Diouf, Maddy Gladson	+0.0
39	24-15	UT MAR	CHAT	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.0
40	25-15	CHAT	CHAT	Attack err	Sophie Diouf		+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	UT MAR	CHAT×3	Kill	Delaney Wingenbach	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.9
2	2-0	CHAT	CHAT×3	Attack err	Riley Rushing		+1.0
3	3-0	CHAT	CHAT×3	Attack err	Sophie Diouf		+0.9
4	3-1	CHAT	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Ida Wiszomirska	+0.7
5	4-1	UT MAR	CHAT	Kill	Addison Walker	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.7
6	4-2	CHAT	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Ida Wiszomirska	+0.7
7	5-2	UT MAR	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.7
8	6-2	CHAT	CHAT	Kill	Jordin Glass	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.8
9	6-3	CHAT	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Ida Wiszomirska	+0.6
10	7-3	UT MAR	CHAT	Serve err	UT MAR server		+0.7
11	7-4	CHAT	UT MAR	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Ida Wiszomirska	+0.6
12	8-4	UT MAR	CHAT×3	Attack err	Chyler Martin	blk Ashley Reynolds, Jordin Glass	+0.7
13	9-4	CHAT	CHAT×3	Attack err	Chyler Martin		+0.7
14	10-4	CHAT	CHAT×3	Attack err	Carly Mueller		+0.6
15	10-5	CHAT	UT MAR	Attack err	Delaney Wingenbach	blk Carly Mueller, Maddy Gladson	+0.4
16	11-5	UT MAR	CHAT×4	Kill	Delaney Wingenbach	set Caiti Barthel	+0.4
17	12-5	CHAT	CHAT×4	Kill	Addison Walker	set Caiti Barthel	+0.4
18	13-5	CHAT	CHAT×4	Kill	Addison Walker	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.3
19	14-5	CHAT	CHAT×4	Attack err	Riley Rushing		+0.2
20	14-6	CHAT	UT MAR	Attack err	Addison Walker		+0.1
21	15-6	UT MAR	CHAT×7	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.1
22	16-6	CHAT	CHAT×7	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.1
23	17-6	CHAT	CHAT×7	Ace	CHAT server	aced Addie Rosales	+0.1
24	18-6	CHAT	CHAT×7	Ace	CHAT server	aced Riley Rushing	+0.0
25	19-6	CHAT	CHAT×7	Attack err	Maddy Gladson		+0.0
26	20-6	CHAT	CHAT×7	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll		+0.0
27	21-6	CHAT	CHAT×7	Kill	Addison Walker	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.0
28	21-7	CHAT	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Riley Rushing	+0.0
29	21-8	UT MAR	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Addie Rosales	+0.0
30	22-8	UT MAR	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.0
31	22-9	CHAT	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Addie Rosales	+0.0
32	23-9	UT MAR	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.0
33	24-9	CHAT	CHAT	Attack err	Chyler Martin		+0.0
34	24-10	CHAT	UT MAR×5	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Addie Rosales	+0.0
35	24-11	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Addie Rosales	+0.0
36	24-12	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Addie Rosales	+0.0
37	24-13	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Kill	Chyler Martin	set Lauren Mariscal	+0.0
38	24-14	UT MAR	UT MAR×5	Ace	UT MAR server	aced Caiti Barthel	+0.0
39	25-14	UT MAR	CHAT	Serve err	UT MAR server		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	CHAT	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Addie Rosales	+0.5
2	0-2	UT MAR	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Addie Rosales	+0.7
3	1-2	UT MAR	CHAT	Serve err	UT MAR server		+0.5
4	2-2	CHAT	CHAT	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.6
5	2-3	CHAT	UT MAR	Kill	Sophie Diouf	set Dylan Sulcer	+0.5
6	2-4	UT MAR	UT MAR	Bad set	Ashley Reynolds		+0.7
7	3-4	UT MAR	CHAT	Serve err	UT MAR server		+0.5
8	3-5	CHAT	UT MAR	Attack err	Addison Walker		+0.6
9	4-5	UT MAR	CHAT	Kill	Jordin Glass	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.5
10	4-6	CHAT	UT MAR	Kill	Chyler Martin	set Addie Rosales	+0.6
11	5-6	UT MAR	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.5
12	5-7	CHAT	UT MAR	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Addie Rosales	+0.6
13	6-7	UT MAR	CHAT	Attack err	Carly Mueller		+0.6
14	6-8	CHAT	UT MAR	Kill	Chyler Martin	set Addie Rosales	+0.6
15	6-9	UT MAR	UT MAR	Attack err	Delaney Wingenbach		+0.8
16	7-9	UT MAR	CHAT×3	Serve err	UT MAR server		+0.6
17	8-9	CHAT	CHAT×3	Ace	CHAT server	aced Penny Kirkham	+0.8
18	9-9	CHAT	CHAT×3	Kill	Addison Walker	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.8
19	9-10	CHAT	UT MAR	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Addie Rosales	+0.7
20	9-11	UT MAR	UT MAR	Kill	Mia Saenz	set Addie Rosales	+0.9
21	10-11	UT MAR	CHAT	Attack err	Sophie Diouf		+0.6
22	10-12	CHAT	UT MAR	Attack err	Jordin Glass		+0.7
23	10-13	UT MAR	UT MAR	Kill	Mia Saenz		+1.0
24	11-13	UT MAR	CHAT	Serve err	UT MAR server		+0.6
25	12-13	CHAT	CHAT	Kill	Jordin Glass	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.9
26	12-14	CHAT	UT MAR	Serve err	CHAT server		+0.8
27	13-14	UT MAR	CHAT×4	Kill	Jordin Glass	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.7
28	14-14	CHAT	CHAT×4	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.9
29	15-14	CHAT	CHAT×4	Attack err	Mia Saenz		+0.9
30	16-14	CHAT	CHAT×4	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.8
31	16-15	CHAT	UT MAR	Serve err	CHAT server		+0.6
32	17-15	UT MAR	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.7
33	17-16	CHAT	UT MAR	Kill	Maddy Gladson	set Addie Rosales	+0.7
34	18-16	UT MAR	CHAT×4	Attack err	Sophie Diouf		+0.7
35	19-16	CHAT	CHAT×4	Attack err	Abby Freund		+0.8
36	20-16	CHAT	CHAT×4	Ace	CHAT server	aced Team	+0.6
37	21-16	CHAT	CHAT×4	Attack err	Chyler Martin		+0.4
38	21-17	CHAT	UT MAR×3	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Addie Rosales	+0.2
39	21-18	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Attack err	Delaney Wingenbach		+0.4
40	21-19	UT MAR	UT MAR×3	Attack err	Delaney Wingenbach		+0.7
41	22-19	UT MAR	CHAT	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.7
42	22-20	CHAT	UT MAR	Kill	Carly Mueller	set Addie Rosales	+0.5
43	23-20	UT MAR	CHAT	Kill	Addison Walker	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.7
44	23-21	CHAT	UT MAR	Serve err	CHAT server		+0.5
45	24-21	UT MAR	CHAT	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.8
46	25-21	CHAT	CHAT	Ace	CHAT server	aced Team	+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Chattanooga first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.