FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwaySOCON

0:3

HomeBIG-SOUTH

Radford def. Chattanooga 3–0

(25-20, 29-27, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CHAT	20	27	19	0
RADFRD	25	29	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

RADFRD above 50 · CHAT below

Biggest swing: 8.8% to Radford — set 2, CHAT 24-24 RADFRD. Attack error by Gracie Rose. RADFRD win probability 67% → 76%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CHAT 37.6%62.4% RADFRD

Chattanooga wins

3-0

7.9%

3-1

13.6%

3-2

16.0%

Radford wins

3-0

18.5%

3-1

23.9%

3-2

20.0%

CHAT break %: 41.8% vs this opp
RADFRD break %: 44.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Gracie RoseAttack error+8.8%
Attack error by Gracie Rose
Set 2 · CHAT 24-24 RADFRD · RADFRD 67% → 76%
02
Jordin GlassAttack error+8.3%
Attack error by Jordin Glass
Set 2 · CHAT 25-26 RADFRD · RADFRD 76% → 84%
03
Ashley ReynoldsAttack error+7.9%
Attack error by Ashley Reynolds
Set 2 · CHAT 27-29 RADFRD · RADFRD 84% → 92%
04
Lea GageAttack error+6.6%
Attack error by Lea Gage
Set 2 · CHAT 25-24 RADFRD · CHAT 24% → 31%
05
Addison CunnaginKill+6.6%
Kill by Addison Cunnagin (set by Lea Gage)
Set 2 · CHAT 25-25 RADFRD · RADFRD 69% → 76%
06
Jordin GlassKill+6.3%
Kill by Jordin Glass (set by Mallory Merz)
Set 2 · CHAT 26-26 RADFRD · CHAT 16% → 22%
07
Macie PotterKill+6.3%
Kill by Macie Potter (set by Lea Gage)
Set 2 · CHAT 26-27 RADFRD · RADFRD 78% → 84%
08
Kynli KirkendollKill+6.3%
Kill by Kynli Kirkendoll (set by Ashley Reynolds)
Set 2 · CHAT 27-27 RADFRD · CHAT 16% → 22%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Chattanoogaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Kynli KirkendollMB	3	8	4	28	.143	0	0	0	6	1	1	3	2.5	10.5
16Ashley ReynoldsS	3	1	1	3	.000	22	0	0	6	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
23Gracie RoseOH	2	5	3	21	.095	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
1Addison WalkerOH	2	3	5	14	-.143	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
12Sophia GarridoOH	1	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
21Finley HilliardL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
39Elena VukmanovOH	3	7	1	17	.353	1	0	1	2	0	1	1	1.5	8.5
5Jordin GlassMB	3	6	1	12	.417	0	0	1	2	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
9Caiti BarthelL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	3	0	13	1	0	0	0	3
17Caroline PetersonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	6	1	0	0	0	1
4Mallory MerzS	3	0	0	1	.000	8	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
2Ryan OdenL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	9	2	0	0	0	0
0Bailey BurgessMB	1	3	0	5	.600	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
6Delaney WingenbachOH	1	1	2	13	-.077	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
Team totals		35	17	118	.153	33	4	4	51	9	2	12	8	66

Radfordhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Addison CunnaginOH	3	17	4	36	.361	0	1	1	17	2	0	2	1	19
24Aubrey HatchOH	3	9	4	23	.217	0	3	1	8	0	1	2	2	14
2Macie PotterOH	3	9	7	32	.063	0	1	3	8	2	0	0	0	10
18Taryn RobertsMB	3	8	1	19	.368	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	9
25Maja BochenekMB	3	5	2	12	.250	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6
22Lea GageS	3	1	1	5	.000	44	0	0	11	0	0	2	1	2
1Mia JannazzoOH	3	0	0	0	–	2	3	1	19	0	0	0	0	3
7Rose WhitemountainDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		49	19	127	.236	47	9	7	64	4	2	8	6	79

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 CHAT · RADFRD 5

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 CHATRADFRD 4

Set 2

27-29

Longest run 5 CHATRADFRD 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 CHATRADFRD 5

Bars above the line = Radford leads, below = Chattanooga leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Chattanooga

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	53%8/15
2	30%7/23	27%3/11
3	58%7/12	30%3/10
4	64%7/11	22%2/9
5	60%6/10	56%9/16
6	67%6/9	0%0/6
All	53%41/78	37%25/67

Radford

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	22%2/9
2	58%7/12	65%13/20
3	100%7/7	59%10/17
4	50%7/14	36%4/11
5	64%7/11	36%4/11
6	55%6/11	40%4/10
All	63%42/67	47%37/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

145 rallies

Rally log

#	CHAT-RADFRD	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	RADFRD	RADFRD	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Team	+2.3
2	0-2	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Addison Walker		+2.2
3	1-2	RADFRD	CHAT	Attack err	Aubrey Hatch	blk Addison Walker, Kynli Kirkendoll	+1.7
4	2-2	CHAT	CHAT	Attack err	Aubrey Hatch	blk Gracie Rose, Kynli Kirkendoll	+2.4
5	2-3	CHAT	RADFRD	Serve err	CHAT server		+1.8
6	3-3	RADFRD	CHAT×3	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.8
7	4-3	CHAT	CHAT×3	Kill	Jordin Glass	set Ashley Reynolds	+2.6
8	5-3	CHAT	CHAT×3	Bad set	Lea Gage		+2.6
9	5-4	CHAT	RADFRD×4	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Mia Jannazzo	+1.9
10	5-5	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+2.6
11	5-6	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Lea Gage	+2.6
12	5-7	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+2.5
13	6-7	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Sophia Garrido	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.8
14	6-8	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Lea Gage	+1.9
15	6-9	RADFRD	RADFRD	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Kynli Kirkendoll	+2.4
16	7-9	RADFRD	CHAT	Serve err	RADFRD server		+1.7
17	7-10	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Mia Jannazzo	+1.8
18	8-10	RADFRD	CHAT	Attack err	Macie Potter		+1.7
19	8-11	CHAT	RADFRD×3	Attack err	Addison Walker		+1.9
20	8-12	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Attack err	Addison Walker	blk Aubrey Hatch	+2.2
21	8-13	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Attack err	Addison Walker	blk Aubrey Hatch, Taryn Roberts	+1.8
22	9-13	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Ashley Reynolds	set Elena Vukmanov	+1.2
23	9-14	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+1.4
24	10-14	RADFRD	CHAT	Serve err	RADFRD server		+1.1
25	10-15	CHAT	RADFRD×4	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+1.4
26	10-16	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Lea Gage	+1.4
27	10-17	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Caiti Barthel	+1.0
28	10-18	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Lea Gage	+0.6
29	11-18	RADFRD	CHAT	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin		+0.3
30	11-19	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+0.4
31	11-20	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Gracie Rose		+0.3
32	12-20	RADFRD	CHAT	Serve err	RADFRD server		+0.1
33	12-21	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Lea Gage	+0.2
34	12-22	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Gracie Rose		+0.1
35	13-22	RADFRD	CHAT×3	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.0
36	14-22	CHAT	CHAT×3	Ace	CHAT server	aced Macie Potter	+0.1
37	15-22	CHAT	CHAT×3	Attack err	Macie Potter	blk Ashley Reynolds, Jordin Glass	+0.1
38	15-23	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+0.2
39	16-23	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.0
40	16-24	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Lea Gage	set Caiti Barthel	+0.1
41	17-24	RADFRD	CHAT×4	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.0
42	18-24	CHAT	CHAT×4	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.0
43	19-24	CHAT	CHAT×4	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Caiti Barthel	+0.1
44	20-24	CHAT	CHAT×4	Attack err	Macie Potter	blk Kynli Kirkendoll	+0.3
45	20-25	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+0.5
Set 2
1	0-1	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+1.5
2	1-1	RADFRD	CHAT×3	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.6
3	2-1	CHAT	CHAT×3	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+2.2
4	3-1	CHAT	CHAT×3	Kill	Addison Walker	set Ashley Reynolds	+2.2
5	3-2	CHAT	RADFRD×5	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Lea Gage	+1.6
6	3-3	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Ryan Oden	+2.2
7	3-4	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Gracie Rose	+2.2
8	3-5	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+2.1
9	3-6	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Ryan Oden	+2.0
10	4-6	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.4
11	4-7	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Lea Gage	+1.5
12	5-7	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.4
13	6-7	CHAT	CHAT	Ace	CHAT server	aced Macie Potter	+2.2
14	6-8	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+1.7
15	6-9	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Rose Whitemountain	+2.1
16	7-9	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.5
17	7-10	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+1.6
18	8-10	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Jordin Glass	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.5
19	8-11	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+1.7
20	9-11	RADFRD	CHAT×4	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.6
21	10-11	CHAT	CHAT×4	Attack err	Aubrey Hatch	blk Kynli Kirkendoll, Elena Vukmanov	+2.4
22	11-11	CHAT	CHAT×4	Attack err	Aubrey Hatch	blk Elena Vukmanov	+2.7
23	12-11	CHAT	CHAT×4	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin		+2.9
24	12-12	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+2.1
25	13-12	RADFRD	CHAT	Attack err	Maja Bochenek		+2.3
26	13-13	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+2.2
27	13-14	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+3.0
28	14-14	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Mallory Merz	+2.3
29	14-15	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+2.4
30	15-15	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Addison Walker	set Mallory Merz	+2.4
31	16-15	CHAT	CHAT	Attack err	Maja Bochenek		+3.5
32	16-16	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+2.5
33	17-16	RADFRD	CHAT×5	Serve err	RADFRD server		+2.8
34	18-16	CHAT	CHAT×5	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin		+3.7
35	19-16	CHAT	CHAT×5	Attack err	Macie Potter	blk Ashley Reynolds, Jordin Glass	+3.5
36	20-16	CHAT	CHAT×5	Ace	CHAT server	aced Addison Cunnagin	+2.9
37	21-16	CHAT	CHAT×5	Attack err	Macie Potter	blk Jordin Glass, Ashley Reynolds	+2.1
38	21-17	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+0.9
39	22-17	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Jordin Glass	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.5
40	22-18	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+0.7
41	23-18	RADFRD	CHAT	Serve err	RADFRD server		+1.3
42	23-19	CHAT	RADFRD×4	Attack err	Addison Walker	blk Addison Cunnagin, Taryn Roberts	+0.5
43	23-20	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Addison Walker	+1.3
44	23-21	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Attack err	Kynli Kirkendoll	blk Lea Gage, Addison Cunnagin	+2.4
45	23-22	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+4.2
46	24-22	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Addison Walker	set Mallory Merz	+5.2
47	24-23	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+2.9
48	24-24	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Gracie Rose		+8.8
49	25-24	RADFRD	CHAT	Attack err	Lea Gage		+6.6
50	25-25	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+6.6
51	25-26	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Jordin Glass		+8.3
52	26-26	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Jordin Glass	set Mallory Merz	+6.3
53	26-27	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+6.3
54	27-27	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+6.3
55	27-28	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+6.3
56	27-29	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Ashley Reynolds		+7.9
Set 3
1	1-0	RADFRD	CHAT	Serve err	RADFRD server		+0.9
2	1-1	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+0.9
3	2-1	RADFRD	CHAT	Serve err	RADFRD server		+1.0
4	2-2	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+0.9
5	3-2	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Jordin Glass	set Lea Gage	+1.0
6	3-3	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Lea Gage	+1.0
7	3-4	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Delaney Wingenbach		+1.3
8	4-4	RADFRD	CHAT×3	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.0
9	5-4	CHAT	CHAT×3	Ace	CHAT server	aced Addison Cunnagin	+1.4
10	6-4	CHAT	CHAT×3	Attack err	Macie Potter		+1.4
11	6-5	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+1.0
12	6-6	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Elena Vukmanov		+1.4
13	7-6	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Jordin Glass	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.1
14	7-7	CHAT	RADFRD	Serve err	CHAT server		+1.1
15	8-7	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.1
16	9-7	CHAT	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.5
17	9-8	CHAT	RADFRD	Attack err	Kynli Kirkendoll		+1.1
18	10-8	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Mallory Merz	+1.2
19	10-9	CHAT	RADFRD×4	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+1.1
20	10-10	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Mia Jannazzo	+1.5
21	10-11	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+1.6
22	10-12	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Attack err	Kynli Kirkendoll	blk Maja Bochenek	+1.5
23	11-12	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Bailey Burgess	set Mallory Merz	+1.1
24	12-12	CHAT	CHAT	Kill	Bailey Burgess	set Mallory Merz	+1.6
25	12-13	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Lea Gage	+1.3
26	13-13	RADFRD	CHAT	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin		+1.3
27	13-14	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+1.3
28	14-14	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Delaney Wingenbach	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.3
29	15-14	CHAT	CHAT	Attack err	Macie Potter		+1.9
30	15-15	CHAT	RADFRD×3	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Lea Gage	+1.4
31	15-16	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Attack err	Kynli Kirkendoll		+1.9
32	15-17	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Caroline Peterson	+1.9
33	16-17	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Caroline Peterson	+1.3
34	16-18	CHAT	RADFRD	Serve err	CHAT server		+1.5
35	16-19	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Lea Gage	+1.7
36	17-19	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.1
37	18-19	CHAT	CHAT	Attack err	Taryn Roberts		+1.9
38	18-20	CHAT	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+1.7
39	19-20	RADFRD	CHAT	Kill	Bailey Burgess	set Mallory Merz	+1.5
40	19-21	CHAT	RADFRD×5	Serve err	CHAT server		+1.8
41	19-22	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Attack err	Delaney Wingenbach	blk Lea Gage, Aubrey Hatch	+2.0
42	19-23	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+1.3
43	19-24	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Delaney Wingenbach	+0.6
44	19-25	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Lea Gage	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Chattanooga first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.