Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 18, 2026Watch on BTN

Wisconsin def. Iowa 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Wisconsin 92.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 18, 12:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Wisconsin won at Iowa 3-1 (25-16, 26-28, 25-21, 25-17) on Sun, Oct 18, 2026. Wisconsin's Jaela Auguste led with 20 kills, and Anna Bardaro added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 18

Set1234Sets
WISC252625253
IOWA162821171

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.377 to .223: Wisconsin outhit Iowa.

The biggest single-rally swing was 4.6 points, and Iowa's high was 20% in Set 3. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Wisconsin at 92%.

WisconsinIowa
  • Break %+13.5 pts
    40.026.5

    40 of 100 on serve vs 22 of 83, so Iowa's sideout was 60.0%.

  • Hitting+.154
    .377.223

    Kills and errors: 69–20 vs 49–22.

  • Longest run+1
    54

    Wisconsin scored 5 straight in the first set to stretch a 15–11 lead to 20–11. Final score of the set: 25–16.

Iowa above 50Wisconsin belowMax swing 4.6%

WisconsinIowa

Aces
Wisconsin 3·Iowa 1
Serve err
Wisconsin 12·Iowa 7
Blocks
Wisconsin 7·Iowa 60 BS · 14 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Wisconsin 45·Iowa 36

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Iowa above 50 · Wisconsin below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.6% IOWArally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.6% to Iowa — set 2, WISC 26-28 IOWA. Kill by Ksenija Tomic (set by Jenna Meitzler). IOWA win probability 9% → 13%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WISC 92.5%7.5% IOWA

Wisconsin wins

3-0
49.2%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
12.2%

Iowa wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.2%
3-2
4.4%
WISC break %
44.0% vs this opp
IOWA break %
33.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ksenija TomicKill+4.6%

    Kill by Ksenija Tomic (set by Jenna Meitzler)

    Set 2 · WISC 26-28 IOWA · IOWA 9% → 13%

  2. 02
    Eva TravisAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Eva Travis

    Set 3 · WISC 13-14 IOWA · IOWA 16% → 19%

  3. 03

    Ace by Hannah Whittingstall on Audrey Flanagan

    Set 2 · WISC 26-27 IOWA · IOWA 5% → 9%

  4. 04
    Ksenija TomicAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Ksenija Tomic

    Set 3 · WISC 16-15 IOWA · WISC 82% → 86%

  5. 05

    Kill by Audrey Flanagan (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)

    Set 3 · WISC 18-16 IOWA · WISC 86% → 89%

  6. 06
    Ksenija TomicAttack error+2.9%

    Attack error by Ksenija Tomic

    Set 2 · WISC 25-24 IOWA · WISC 94% → 97%

  7. 07
    Carmel VaresKill+2.8%

    Kill by Carmel Vares (set by Jenna Meitzler)

    Set 3 · WISC 12-12 IOWA · IOWA 13% → 16%

  8. 08

    Lynney Tarnow stuffed by Hannah Whittingstall & Liv Mogridge

    Set 3 · WISC 7-8 IOWA · IOWA 14% → 17%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420429.55210030052.522.5
414734.2060126002116
413322.4550002002114
49118.44420371010.59.5
4619.5565512500218
24310.100200100215
4000–4121500001
4000–001500000
2318.250000000003
2000–000000000
2000–002100000
Team totals6920130.377643124510147101
Iowahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413731.19410031010.513.5
410417.35300010031.511.5
48324.2080121012211
48118.389000000219
4317.286420160010.53.5
4001.000101300000
47522.09100010010.57.5
4011-1.0003021220000
4000–001900000
4000–000000000
Team totals4922121.2234717363110682

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 WISC · IOWA 4

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 5 WISCIOWA 2

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 4 WISCIOWA 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 3 WISCIOWA 2

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 4 WISCIOWA 2

Bars above the line = Iowa leads, below = Wisconsin leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Wisconsin

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%12/18
41%7/17
2
75%12/16
40%8/20
3
77%10/13
47%9/19
4
77%10/13
33%5/15
5
69%9/13
33%5/15
6
80%8/10
43%6/14
All
73%61/83
40%40/100

Iowa

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%12/24
38%6/16
2
69%11/16
20%3/15
3
56%10/18
27%4/15
4
56%10/18
23%3/13
5
82%9/11
23%3/13
6
62%8/13
27%3/11
All
60%60/100
27%22/83

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#WISC-IOWASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0IOWAWISCAttack errKsenija Tomic+0.5
22-0WISCWISCKillDecelise Championset Anna Bardaro+0.8
32-1WISCIOWAKillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+0.5
43-1IOWAWISCServe errHenlee Moszkowicz+0.5
53-2WISCIOWAAttack errAudrey Flanagan+0.5
64-2IOWAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.5
74-3WISCIOWAServe errNatalie Wardlow+0.5
85-3IOWAWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.5
96-3WISCWISCBlockedCarmel Varesblk Jaela Auguste, Charlie Fuerbringer+0.7
106-4WISCIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.4
117-4IOWAWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.4
128-4WISCWISCAttack errCarmel Vares+0.6
138-5WISCIOWABlockedJaela Augusteblk Carmel Vares, Peyton Young+0.3
149-5IOWAWISCKillCharlie Fuerbringerset Halle Thompson+0.4
159-6WISCIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+0.4
169-7IOWAIOWAAttack errLynney Tarnow+0.7
1710-7IOWAWISC×4KillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.5
1811-7WISCWISC×4BlockedPeyton Youngblk Lynney Tarnow, Halle Thompson+0.6
1912-7WISCWISC×4AceCharlie Fuerbringeraced Henlee Moszkowicz+0.5
2013-7WISCWISC×4KillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
2113-8WISCIOWAAttack errHalle Thompson+0.2
2213-9IOWAIOWABlockedLynney Tarnowblk Hannah Whittingstall+0.4
2314-9IOWAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
2414-10WISCIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.2
2515-10IOWAWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
2615-11WISCIOWAServe errNatalie Wardlow+0.2
2716-11IOWAWISC×5KillAudrey Flanaganset Jenna Meitzler+0.3
2817-11WISCWISC×5KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
2918-11WISCWISC×5KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.2
3019-11WISCWISC×5Attack errJenna Meitzler+0.1
3120-11WISCWISC×5AceDecelise Championaced Ksenija Tomic·
3220-12WISCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler·
3321-12IOWAWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer·
3422-12WISCWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer·
3522-13WISCIOWAServe errAudrey Flanagan·
3623-13IOWAWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer·
3723-14WISCIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler·
3823-15IOWAIOWAAttack errDecelise Champion·
3924-15IOWAWISCKillCharlie Fuerbringerset Halle Thompson·
4024-16WISCIOWAKillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler·
4125-16IOWAWISCServe errHenlee Moszkowicz·
Set 2
11-0WISCWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.6
21-1WISCIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+0.4
31-2IOWAIOWABlockedDecelise Championblk Peyton Young, Ksenija Tomic+0.7
42-2IOWAWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.4
52-3WISCIOWA×4KillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+0.5
62-4IOWAIOWA×4KillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+0.9
72-5IOWAIOWA×4Attack errDecelise Champion+1.0
82-6IOWAIOWA×4Attack errJaela Auguste+1.0
93-6IOWAWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.5
104-6WISCWISCAttack errLiv Mogridge+0.9
114-7WISCIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.7
125-7IOWAWISC×3KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.5
136-7WISCWISC×3KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.9
147-7WISCWISC×3KillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.8
157-8WISCIOWA×3Serve errAudrey Flanagan+0.6
167-9IOWAIOWA×3BlockedDecelise Championblk Jenna Meitzler, Hannah Whittingstall+1.0
177-10IOWAIOWA×3Attack errHalle Thompson+1.1
188-10IOWAWISCBlockedHannah Whittingstallblk Halle Thompson, Jaela Auguste+0.6
198-11WISCIOWAKillJenna Meitzlerset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.8
209-11IOWAWISC×3Serve errHannah Whittingstall+0.6
2110-11WISCWISC×3KillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.0
2211-11WISCWISC×3KillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.0
2311-12WISCIOWAServe errCharlie Fuerbringer+0.7
2411-13IOWAIOWAKillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+1.2
2512-13IOWAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.7
2612-14WISCIOWAKillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+0.9
2713-14IOWAWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.7
2813-15WISCIOWAKillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+0.9
2914-15IOWAWISC×4KillCharlie Fuerbringerset Audrey Flanagan+0.7
3015-15WISCWISC×4KillCharlie Fuerbringerset Anna Bardaro+1.2
3116-15WISCWISC×4KillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.1
3217-15WISCWISC×4KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.0
3317-16WISCIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+0.6
3418-16IOWAWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.6
3518-17WISCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+0.6
3619-17IOWAWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.7
3719-18WISCIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+0.6
3819-19IOWAIOWAAttack errHalle Thompson+1.4
3920-19IOWAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.9
4020-20WISCIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.0
4120-21IOWAIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Henlee Moszkowicz+2.1
4221-21IOWAWISCServe errJenna Meitzler+1.2
4321-22WISCIOWAKillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+1.6
4422-22IOWAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.4
4522-23WISCIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+1.9
4623-23IOWAWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.6
4723-24WISCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+2.3
4824-24IOWAWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.3
4925-24WISCWISCAttack errKsenija Tomic+2.9
5025-25WISCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+1.8
5126-25IOWAWISCAttack errCarmel Vares+1.8
5226-26WISCIOWA×3KillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.8
5326-27IOWAIOWA×3AceHannah Whittingstallaced Audrey Flanagan+3.5
5426-28IOWAIOWA×3KillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+4.6
Set 3
10-1IOWAIOWAAttack errDecelise Champion+2.1
21-1IOWAWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.2
32-1WISCWISCAttack errKsenija Tomic+1.8
42-2WISCIOWAServe errKristen Simon+1.3
53-2IOWAWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.1
63-3WISCIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.3
74-3IOWAWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.2
84-4WISCIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Ksenija Tomic+1.3
95-4IOWAWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.2
105-5WISCIOWAServe errAudrey Flanagan+1.4
116-5IOWAWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.3
126-6WISCIOWAKillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+1.4
137-6IOWAWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.3
147-7WISCIOWAServe errCharlie Fuerbringer+1.5
157-8IOWAIOWABlockedLynney Tarnowblk Hannah Whittingstall, Liv Mogridge+2.7
168-8IOWAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.6
178-9WISCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+1.9
189-9IOWAWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.6
1910-9WISCWISCAttack errHannah Whittingstall+2.5
2010-10WISCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+1.7
2111-10IOWAWISCKillCharlie Fuerbringer+1.6
2212-10WISCWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.2
2312-11WISCIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.4
2412-12IOWAIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+2.8
2513-12IOWAWISCServe errHannah Whittingstall+1.7
2613-13WISCIOWAKillPeyton Youngset Henlee Moszkowicz+1.9
2713-14IOWAIOWAAttack errEva Travis+3.6
2814-14IOWAWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.1
2914-15WISCIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+2.5
3015-15IOWAWISCServe errMarichka Hoshylyk+2.2
3116-15WISCWISCAttack errKsenija Tomic+3.4
3216-16WISCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+2.3
3317-16IOWAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.2
3418-16WISCWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+3.1
3518-17WISCIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.9
3619-17IOWAWISC×3KillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+2.0
3720-17WISCWISC×3KillAudrey Flanaganset Jaela Auguste+2.5
3821-17WISCWISC×3Attack errKsenija Tomic+1.5
3921-18WISCIOWAServe errAnna Bardaro+0.6
4021-19IOWAIOWAAttack errDecelise Champion+1.8
4122-19IOWAWISCBlockedCarmel Varesblk Decelise Champion, Jaela Auguste+1.6
4223-19WISCWISCKillDecelise Championset Anna Bardaro+1.4
4323-20WISCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+0.4
4424-20IOWAWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.7
4524-21WISCIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+0.2
4625-21IOWAWISCAttack errHenlee Moszkowicz+0.5
Set 4
11-0WISCWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.3
21-1WISCIOWAServe errAnna Bardaro+0.9
31-2IOWAIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+1.6
42-2IOWAWISCBlockedKsenija Tomicblk Jaela Auguste, Decelise Champion+0.9
52-3WISCIOWAAttack errJaela Auguste+1.1
63-3IOWAWISC×3KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.9
74-3WISCWISC×3KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.4
85-3WISCWISC×3Attack errHannah Whittingstall+1.2
95-4WISCIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+0.8
105-5IOWAIOWAAttack errJaela Auguste+1.5
116-5IOWAWISCKillEva Travisset Anna Bardaro+0.9
126-6WISCIOWAKillJenna Meitzlerset Marichka Hoshylyk+1.0
137-6IOWAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.9
147-7WISCIOWAKillJenna Meitzler+1.1
158-7IOWAWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.0
169-7WISCWISCBlockedPeyton Youngblk Lynney Tarnow, Audrey Flanagan+1.4
179-8WISCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+0.9
1810-8IOWAWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.9
1911-8WISCWISCAttack errCarmel Vares+1.2
2011-9WISCIOWAKillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+0.7
2112-9IOWAWISCKillDecelise Championset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.7
2213-9WISCWISCBlockedPeyton Youngblk Jaela Auguste, Charlie Fuerbringer+1.0
2313-10WISCIOWAServe errDecelise Champion+0.5
2414-10IOWAWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.6
2514-11WISCIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.5
2614-12IOWAIOWAAttack errCharlie Fuerbringer+1.2
2715-12IOWAWISCServe errAllison Berent+0.8
2815-13WISCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+0.8
2916-13IOWAWISCKillCharlie Fuerbringerset Audrey Flanagan+0.9
3016-14WISCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+0.8
3117-14IOWAWISCAttack errKsenija Tomic+0.9
3218-14WISCWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.1
3318-15WISCIOWAAttack errDecelise Champion+0.5
3419-15IOWAWISC×4KillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.7
3520-15WISCWISC×4Attack errPeyton Young+0.7
3621-15WISCWISC×4KillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
3722-15WISCWISC×4AceAnna Bardaroaced Henlee Moszkowicz+0.1
3822-16WISCIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler·
3923-16IOWAWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
4024-16WISCWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer·
4124-17WISCIOWAServe errDecelise Champion·
4225-17IOWAWISCKillJaela Augusteset Charlie Fuerbringer·

Score shown after each rally, Wisconsin first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).