Final · 5 setsThu, Oct 22, 2026Watch on B1G+

Southern California def. Iowa 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Southern California 62.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 22, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Southern California won at Iowa 3-2 (25-20, 25-22, 16-25, 28-30, 15-9) on Thu, Oct 22, 2026. Southern California's London Wijay led with 17 kills, and Taylor Deckert added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 22

Set12345Sets
USC25251628153
IOWA2022253092

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Down 2–6 in the fifth, Southern California took the set and then the match.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Southern California's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ gave Southern California 62% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Southern California 27–27 Iowa

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Iowa, enough to take the set 30–28 and level the match at 2–2.

    Southern California 81% → 57%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Southern California 2–2 Iowa

    From 2–2, Iowa scored 4 straight to lead 6–2. The match swung to Iowa.

    Southern California 53% → 18%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Southern California 6–9 Iowa

    9 straight Southern California points turned a 6–9 deficit into a 15–9 lead. The match swung to Southern California.

    Southern California 21% → >99%

Iowa above 50Southern California belowMax swing 14.6%

Southern CaliforniaIowa

Sideout %
Southern California 59.8·Iowa 58.3
Break %
Southern California 41.7·Iowa 40.2
Hitting
Southern California .338·Iowa .297
Longest run
Southern California 9·Iowa 8

Abigail Mullen
16 kills on .343, 20 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Iowa above 50 · Southern California below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+14.6% USCrally 215 · set 5

Biggest swing: 14.6% to Southern California — set 5, USC 10-9 IOWA. Attack error by Liv Mogridge. IOWA win probability 49% → 34%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

USC 60.2%39.8% IOWA

Southern California wins

3-0
17.3%
3-1
23.0%
3-2
19.9%

Iowa wins

3-0
8.7%
3-1
14.5%
3-2
16.6%
USC break %
41.1% vs this opp
IOWA break %
39.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Liv MogridgeAttack error+14.6%

    Attack error by Liv Mogridge

    Set 5 · USC 10-9 IOWA · USC 51% → 66%

  2. 02
    London WijayKill+13.7%

    Kill by London Wijay (set by Milly McGee)

    Set 5 · USC 11-9 IOWA · USC 66% → 79%

  3. 03
    Liv MogridgeAttack error+13.6%

    Attack error by Liv Mogridge

    Set 5 · USC 9-9 IOWA · USC 38% → 51%

  4. 04
    Ksenija TomicKill+12.4%

    Kill by Ksenija Tomic (set by Henlee Moszkowicz)

    Set 4 · USC 27-28 IOWA · IOWA 19% → 31%

  5. 05
    London WijayAttack error+11.7%

    Attack error by London Wijay

    Set 4 · USC 24-24 IOWA · IOWA 7% → 19%

  6. 06
    Ksenija TomicKill+11.6%

    Kill by Ksenija Tomic (set by Jenna Meitzler)

    Set 4 · USC 28-30 IOWA · IOWA 31% → 43%

  7. 07
    Liv MogridgeAttack error+11.3%

    Attack error by Liv Mogridge

    Set 5 · USC 8-9 IOWA · USC 26% → 38%

  8. 08
    Abigail MullenKill+10.8%

    Kill by Abigail Mullen (set by Milly McGee)

    Set 5 · USC 12-9 IOWA · USC 79% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516435.3430252004220
517752.19212141010.519.5
513121.5710001004215
55212.250003000427
5001.000510150010.50.5
5000–001710000
516328.4640005302117
5000–7011630000
4001.000510200001
31011.000001100001
Team totals6817151.338645134380168109
Iowahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516223.60902120031.519.5
514531.29000072010.514.5
512321.4290000002113
55011.455483211014311
5000–101810000
22414-.143000000002
58621.095002100008
5000–9211210002
5000–111200001
5000–001400000
410424.2501005000010
Team totals6724145.29760895251106106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 USC · IOWA 8

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 5 USCIOWA 3

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 USCIOWA 3

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 USCIOWA 8

Set 4

28-30

Longest run 3 USCIOWA 4

Set 5

15-9

Longest run 9 USCIOWA 4

Bars above the line = Iowa leads, below = Southern California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern California

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%12/24
23%3/13
2
80%12/15
33%6/18
3
63%12/19
37%7/19
4
69%11/16
54%13/24
5
64%9/14
33%5/15
6
42%8/19
58%11/19
All
60%64/107
42%45/108

Iowa

SlotSideout %Break %
1
87%13/15
42%8/19
2
60%12/20
43%9/21
3
48%12/25
29%5/17
4
67%10/15
29%5/17
5
38%8/21
44%7/16
6
67%8/12
53%9/17
All
58%63/108
40%43/107

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

215 rallies

#USC-IOWASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1IOWAIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+2.6
21-1IOWAUSCAttack errCarmel Vares+1.7
31-2USCIOWAKillHannah Whittingstall+1.7
42-2IOWAUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+1.7
52-3USCIOWAServe errSouthern California+1.8
62-4IOWAIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+2.8
73-4IOWAUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+1.7
84-4USCUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Milly McGee+2.7
94-5USCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+1.9
105-5IOWAUSCKillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+1.8
115-6USCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+1.9
126-6IOWAUSCKillLeah Fordset Milly McGee+1.9
136-7USCIOWAServe errSouthern California+2.0
147-7IOWAUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+1.9
158-7USCUSC×3Attack errCarmel Vares+2.9
169-7USCUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Taylor Deckert+2.8
179-8USCIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.8
1810-8IOWAUSCKillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+1.9
1910-9USCIOWAServe errSouthern California+1.8
2011-9IOWAUSCKillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+2.0
2112-9USCUSCKillMia Tvrdyset London Wijay+2.7
2212-10USCIOWAServe errSouthern California+1.6
2313-10IOWAUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+1.8
2414-10USCUSCAttack errPeyton Young+2.4
2514-11USCIOWAKillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+1.3
2615-11IOWAUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+1.6
2715-12USCIOWA×3KillLiv Mogridgeset Henlee Moszkowicz+1.3
2815-13IOWAIOWA×3BlockedAdonia Faumuinablk Hannah Whittingstall, Jenna Meitzler+2.6
2915-14IOWAIOWA×3KillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+3.2
3016-14IOWAUSCServe errIowa+2.4
3116-15USCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+2.2
3216-16IOWAIOWAAceJaimie Marquardtaced Adonia Faumuina+4.0
3317-16IOWAUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Taylor Deckert+2.8
3417-17USCIOWAKillJenna Meitzler+2.8
3518-17IOWAUSCKillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+3.0
3618-18USCIOWAServe errSouthern California+3.0
3719-18IOWAUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+3.2
3819-19USCIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+3.2
3920-19IOWAUSC×5KillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+3.5
4021-19USCUSC×5KillAdonia Faumuinaset Milly McGee+5.0
4122-19USCUSC×5AceLondon Wijay+3.9
4223-19USCUSC×5KillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+2.4
4324-19USCUSC×5KillAdonia Faumuinaset Taylor Deckert+1.0
4424-20USCIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+0.1
4525-20IOWAUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+0.3
Set 2
10-1USCIOWAAttack errAbigail Mullen+1.5
20-2IOWAIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jaimie Marquardt+2.3
31-2IOWAUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+1.5
41-3USCIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.6
52-3IOWAUSCKillLeah Fordset Milly McGee+1.5
62-4USCIOWAServe errSouthern California+1.6
73-4IOWAUSC×4Serve errIowa+1.5
84-4USCUSC×4BlockedCarmel Varesblk Mia Tvrdy, London Wijay+2.4
95-4USCUSC×4KillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+2.4
106-4USCUSC×4BlockedLiv Mogridgeblk Milly McGee, Mia Tvrdy+2.3
116-5USCIOWAServe errSouthern California+1.5
126-6IOWAIOWAKillJenna Meitzlerset Milly McGee+2.5
137-6IOWAUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+1.7
147-7USCIOWAKillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+1.7
158-7IOWAUSC×3KillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+1.7
169-7USCUSC×3KillAdonia Faumuina+2.5
1710-7USCUSC×3KillLeah Ford+2.3
1810-8USCIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.4
1911-8IOWAUSCServe errIowa+1.5
2011-9USCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Henlee Moszkowicz+1.4
2112-9IOWAUSC×3Serve errIowa+1.6
2213-9USCUSC×3Attack errCarmel Vares+2.1
2314-9USCUSC×3KillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+1.7
2414-10USCIOWAServe errSouthern California+0.9
2515-10IOWAUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+1.1
2616-10USCUSC×3Attack errPeyton Young+1.2
2717-10USCUSC×3KillLayli Ostovarset Milly McGee+0.8
2817-11USCIOWA×3KillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+0.3
2917-12IOWAIOWA×3AceJenna Meitzleraced Taylor Deckert+0.8
3017-13IOWAIOWA×3KillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+1.2
3118-13IOWAUSCServe errJenna Meitzler+1.1
3218-14USCIOWA×3KillPeyton Youngset Henlee Moszkowicz+0.7
3318-15IOWAIOWA×3KillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+1.7
3418-16IOWAIOWA×3KillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+2.4
3519-16IOWAUSCKillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+2.0
3619-17USCIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+1.6
3720-17IOWAUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Milly McGee+2.1
3820-18USCIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+1.6
3921-18IOWAUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Taylor Deckert+2.2
4022-18USCUSCBad setKsenija Tomic+2.2
4122-19USCIOWABlockedLondon Wijayblk Jenna Meitzler+0.8
4222-20IOWAIOWAAttack errLeah Ford+2.2
4323-20IOWAUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+2.3
4423-21USCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+1.3
4524-21IOWAUSCKillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+2.3
4624-22USCIOWAKillJenna Meitzler+0.8
4725-22IOWAUSCBad setJenna Meitzler+2.0
Set 3
10-1IOWAIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.4
21-1IOWAUSCBlockedHallie Steponaitisblk Leah Ford, Abigail Mullen+0.9
32-1USCUSCBlockedHallie Steponaitisblk Mia Tvrdy, Abigail Mullen+1.4
42-2USCIOWAServe errSouthern California+0.9
52-3IOWAIOWAAceJenna Meitzleraced Taylor Deckert+1.5
63-3IOWAUSCServe errJenna Meitzler+0.9
74-3USCUSCAceAbigail Mullenaced Ksenija Tomic+1.4
84-4USCIOWAServe errSouthern California+1.0
95-4IOWAUSC×3Serve errIowa+1.0
106-4USCUSC×3BlockedLiv Mogridgeblk Mia Tvrdy, Adonia Faumuina+1.4
117-4USCUSC×3Attack errKsenija Tomic+1.3
127-5USCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+0.8
138-5IOWAUSCKillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+0.9
148-6USCIOWAServe errSouthern California+0.8
159-6IOWAUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+0.9
1610-6USCUSCAttack errKsenija Tomic+1.2
1710-7USCIOWA×8KillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+0.7
1810-8IOWAIOWA×8Attack errAbigail Mullen+1.3
1910-9IOWAIOWA×8KillHallie Steponaitisset Allison Berent+1.5
2010-10IOWAIOWA×8Attack errLondon Wijay+1.7
2110-11IOWAIOWA×8KillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.8
2210-12IOWAIOWA×8KillHallie Steponaitisset Henlee Moszkowicz+1.9
2310-13IOWAIOWA×8KillHallie Steponaitisset Henlee Moszkowicz+1.8
2410-14IOWAIOWA×8KillHannah Whittingstall+1.6
2511-14IOWAUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Milly McGee+0.9
2611-15USCIOWA×4KillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.1
2711-16IOWAIOWA×4Attack errAbigail Mullen+1.4
2811-17IOWAIOWA×4AceHannah Whittingstallaced London Wijay+1.0
2911-18IOWAIOWA×4BlockedLondon Wijayblk Peyton Young+0.7
3012-18IOWAUSCKillLeah Fordset Milly McGee+0.3
3112-19USCIOWAKillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+0.4
3213-19IOWAUSCAttack errHallie Steponaitis+0.2
3314-19USCUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.5
3414-20USCIOWAKillPeyton Youngset Hallie Steponaitis+0.6
3515-20IOWAUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+0.3
3615-21USCIOWAKillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+0.5
3715-22IOWAIOWAAceHenlee Moszkowiczaced Taylor Deckert+0.4
3816-22IOWAUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.1
3916-23USCIOWA×3KillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+0.2
4016-24IOWAIOWA×3KillKsenija Tomicset Henlee Moszkowicz+0.1
4116-25IOWAIOWA×3KillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler·
Set 4
10-1USCIOWA×4Attack errAbigail Mullen+2.1
20-2IOWAIOWA×4BlockedLondon Wijayblk Jenna Meitzler, Hannah Whittingstall+3.2
30-3IOWAIOWA×4KillHallie Steponaitis+3.2
40-4IOWAIOWA×4KillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+3.1
51-4IOWAUSC×3KillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+1.8
62-4USCUSC×3Attack errHallie Steponaitis+3.0
73-4USCUSC×3AceAbigail Mullenaced Henlee Moszkowicz+3.2
83-5USCIOWAServe errSouthern California+2.3
94-5IOWAUSC×3KillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+2.1
105-5USCUSC×3AceLondon Wijayaced Allison Berent+3.4
116-5USCUSC×3Attack errKsenija Tomic+3.4
126-6USCIOWAKillHallie Steponaitisset Henlee Moszkowicz+2.3
137-6IOWAUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Milly McGee+2.3
147-7USCIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+2.3
158-7IOWAUSC×3KillAdonia Faumuinaset Taylor Deckert+2.4
169-7USCUSC×3Attack errLiv Mogridge+3.5
1710-7USCUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+3.2
1810-8USCIOWAAttack errLondon Wijay+1.9
1910-9IOWAIOWAAceHenlee Moszkowiczaced Adonia Faumuina+3.4
2011-9IOWAUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Milly McGee+2.4
2111-10USCIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+2.3
2211-11IOWAIOWAKillJenna Meitzlerset Henlee Moszkowicz+4.0
2312-11IOWAUSCKillLondon Wijayset Taylor Deckert+2.7
2412-12USCIOWAKillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+2.7
2512-13IOWAIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+4.5
2613-13IOWAUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+2.9
2714-13USCUSCAttack errHannah Whittingstall+4.5
2814-14USCIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+3.0
2915-14IOWAUSCServe errIowa+3.1
3015-15USCIOWAAttack errJenna Meitzler+3.1
3116-15IOWAUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Milly McGee+3.2
3217-15USCUSCKillLeah Fordset Milly McGee+4.7
3317-16USCIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+2.8
3418-16IOWAUSC×3KillAdonia Faumuinaset Taylor Deckert+3.2
3519-16USCUSC×3KillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+4.3
3620-16USCUSC×3AceLilli Etteraced Ksenija Tomic+3.2
3720-17USCIOWAKillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+1.4
3821-17IOWAUSCServe errIowa+2.1
3921-18USCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+1.3
4021-19IOWAIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+3.2
4122-19IOWAUSCServe errIowa+3.1
4222-20USCIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+2.0
4323-20IOWAUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+3.2
4423-21USCIOWABlockedLondon Wijayblk Jenna Meitzler, Hannah Whittingstall+1.7
4523-22IOWAIOWAAttack errMia Tvrdy+5.1
4624-22IOWAUSCKillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+5.7
4724-23USCIOWAKillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+3.0
4824-24IOWAIOWAAttack errLondon Wijay+11.7
4925-24IOWAUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+7.8
5025-25USCIOWAKillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+7.8
5126-25IOWAUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Milly McGee+7.8
5226-26USCIOWAAttack errAdonia Faumuina+7.8
5327-26IOWAUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Milly McGee+7.8
5427-27USCIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+7.8
5527-28IOWAIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Henlee Moszkowicz+12.4
5628-28IOWAUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+8.3
5728-29USCIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+8.3
5828-30IOWAIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+11.6
Set 5
11-0IOWAUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+5.8
21-1USCIOWAKillJenna Meitzler+5.9
31-2IOWAIOWAAceIowaaced Paisley Douglas+9.6
42-2IOWAUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+6.2
52-3USCIOWA×4Serve errSouthern California+6.6
62-4IOWAIOWA×4AceIowaaced Adonia Faumuina+10.2
72-5IOWAIOWA×4KillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+9.7
82-6IOWAIOWA×4Attack errAdonia Faumuina+8.6
93-6IOWAUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+4.3
104-6USCUSCBlockedPeyton Youngblk Leah Ford, Adonia Faumuina+8.4
114-7USCIOWAKillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+6.9
124-8IOWAIOWABlockedLeah Fordblk Peyton Young, Ksenija Tomic+8.9
135-8IOWAUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Milly McGee+4.2
146-8USCUSCBlockedKsenija Tomicblk Leah Ford, Abigail Mullen+8.6
156-9USCIOWAKillPeyton Youngset Jenna Meitzler+7.5
167-9IOWAUSC×9KillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+5.7
178-9USCUSC×9Attack errLiv Mogridge+11.3
189-9USCUSC×9Attack errLiv Mogridge+13.6
1910-9USCUSC×9Attack errLiv Mogridge+14.6
2011-9USCUSC×9KillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+13.7
2112-9USCUSC×9KillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+10.8
2213-9USCUSC×9BlockedKsenija Tomicblk Leah Ford, Abigail Mullen+6.5
2314-9USCUSC×9KillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+2.7
2415-9USCUSC×9Attack errHannah Whittingstall+0.6

Score shown after each rally, Southern California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).