Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on B1G+

Penn St. def. Iowa 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Penn St. 88.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Penn St. beat visiting Iowa 3-1 (22-25, 25-17, 25-22, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Penn St.'s Kennedy Martin led with 24 kills.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set1234Sets
IOWA251722191
PENNST222525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Penn St. outhit Iowa .317 to .162.

Win probability never moved more than 4.2 points on one rally; Iowa topped out at 28% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Penn St. 89% before first serve.

IowaPenn St.
  • Break %+9.8 pts
    29.839.6

    38 of 96 on serve vs 25 of 84, so Iowa's sideout was 60.4%.

  • Hitting+.155
    .162.317

    63 K / 23 E against 38 K / 19 E.

Penn St. above 50Iowa belowMax swing 4.2%

IowaPenn St.

Aces
Iowa 4·Penn St. 7
Serve err
Iowa 7·Penn St. 17
Blocks
Iowa 8·Penn St. 83 BS · 10 BA vs 0 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Iowa 36·Penn St. 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Penn St. above 50 · Iowa below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+4.2% IOWArally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.2% to Iowa — set 1, IOWA 24-22 PENNST. Kill by Ksenija Tomic (set by Jenna Meitzler). PENNST win probability 80% → 76%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IOWA 6.1%93.9% PENNST

Iowa wins

3-0
0.7%
3-1
1.7%
3-2
3.6%

Penn St. wins

3-0
52.6%
3-1
30.4%
3-2
11.0%
IOWA break %
35.2% vs this opp
PENNST break %
46.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ksenija TomicKill+4.2%

    Kill by Ksenija Tomic (set by Jenna Meitzler)

    Set 1 · IOWA 24-22 PENNST · IOWA 20% → 24%

  2. 02
    Finley KrystkowiakAttack error+3.7%

    Attack error by Finley Krystkowiak

    Set 1 · IOWA 25-22 PENNST · IOWA 24% → 28%

  3. 03
    Liv MogridgeKill+3.5%

    Kill by Liv Mogridge (set by Jenna Meitzler)

    Set 1 · IOWA 23-21 PENNST · IOWA 19% → 23%

  4. 04

    Kill by Kennedy Martin (set by Alexis Stucky)

    Set 1 · IOWA 22-21 PENNST · PENNST 78% → 81%

  5. 05
    Carmel VaresKill+2.9%

    Kill by Carmel Vares (set by Jenna Meitzler)

    Set 3 · IOWA 11-11 PENNST · IOWA 16% → 19%

  6. 06
    Whitney LauensteinAttack error+2.7%

    Attack error by Whitney Lauenstein

    Set 1 · IOWA 18-15 PENNST · IOWA 18% → 21%

  7. 07
    IowaAce+2.7%

    Iowa ace on Ava Falduto

    Set 1 · IOWA 22-18 PENNST · IOWA 23% → 25%

  8. 08
    Carmel VaresKill+2.6%

    Kill by Carmel Vares (set by Jenna Meitzler)

    Set 1 · IOWA 20-16 PENNST · IOWA 21% → 24%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Iowaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
48120.3500105012211
49526.154000100009
46425.08000000132.58.5
41411-.273301430132.54.5
4013-.333001310000
4000–000310000
48323.21700020010.58.5
4619.55600011010.56.5
4000–511900001
4000–011940001
Team totals3819117.1623547367310883
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
424438.526343140031.529.5
413730.2000022002114
411117.588103111010.511.5
47515.133001200218
45112.333000100638
4103.3335402500212
4000–022510002
4000–313410001
4000–100300000
22511-.273000100002
2000–001000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6323126.31762717484016897

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 IOWA · PENNST 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 IOWAPENNST 3

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 2 IOWAPENNST 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 IOWAPENNST 4

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 5 IOWAPENNST 3

Bars above the line = Penn St. leads, below = Iowa leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Iowa

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%12/22
38%6/16
2
55%11/20
29%5/17
3
71%10/14
8%1/12
4
64%9/14
29%4/14
5
53%8/15
38%5/13
6
73%8/11
33%4/12
All
60%58/96
30%25/84

Penn St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%12/22
33%5/15
2
92%12/13
52%13/25
3
79%11/14
31%5/16
4
67%8/12
10%1/10
5
62%8/13
43%6/14
6
80%8/10
50%8/16
All
70%59/84
40%38/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

180 rallies

#IOWA-PENNSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PENNSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.0
21-1IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.9
31-2PENNSTPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+1.1
42-2PENNSTIOWAServe errPenn St.+0.9
52-3IOWAPENNSTServe errIowa+0.8
63-3PENNSTIOWAKillRosa Vestyset Jenna Meitzler+0.9
73-4IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.9
84-4PENNSTIOWA×3BlockedFinley Krystkowiakblk Liv Mogridge, Rosa Vesty+1.0
95-4IOWAIOWA×3Attack errFinley Krystkowiak+1.5
106-4IOWAIOWA×3Attack errKendall Northern+1.6
116-5IOWAPENNSTServe errIowa+1.1
126-6PENNSTPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.4
137-6PENNSTIOWAServe errPenn St.+1.2
148-6IOWAIOWAKillJenna Meitzlerset Henlee Moszkowicz+1.8
158-7IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.1
168-8PENNSTPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.6
179-8PENNSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.3
189-9IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.1
199-10PENNSTPENNSTBlockedCarmel Varesblk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin+1.5
2010-10PENNSTIOWABlockedWhitney Lauensteinblk Jenna Meitzler+1.2
2111-10IOWAIOWAKillLiv Mogridge+1.8
2211-11IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Ava Falduto+1.2
2312-11PENNSTIOWAServe errPenn St.+1.4
2412-12IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.3
2513-12PENNSTIOWAServe errPenn St.+1.5
2613-13IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.4
2714-13PENNSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+1.6
2814-14IOWAPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+1.4
2915-14PENNSTIOWAKillRosa Vestyset Jenna Meitzler+1.7
3016-14IOWAIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Henlee Moszkowicz+2.5
3116-15IOWAPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+1.6
3217-15PENNSTIOWAServe errPenn St.+2.0
3318-15IOWAIOWAAttack errWhitney Lauenstein+2.7
3418-16IOWAPENNSTServe errIowa+1.5
3519-16PENNSTIOWAAttack errKennedy Martin+2.2
3620-16IOWAIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+2.6
3720-17IOWAPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.2
3820-18PENNSTPENNSTKillFinley Krystkowiakset Alexis Stucky+2.3
3921-18PENNSTIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+2.4
4022-18IOWAIOWAAceIowaaced Ava Falduto+2.7
4122-19IOWAPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.0
4222-20PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errRosa Vesty+2.2
4322-21PENNSTPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+3.1
4423-21PENNSTIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+3.5
4523-22IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+2.3
4624-22PENNSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+4.2
4725-22IOWAIOWAAttack errFinley Krystkowiak+3.7
Set 2
10-1IOWAPENNST×4KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.5
20-2PENNSTPENNST×4Attack errLiv Mogridge+1.9
30-3PENNSTPENNST×4Attack errJenna Meitzler+1.7
40-4PENNSTPENNST×4Attack errMarichka Hoshylyk+1.4
51-4PENNSTIOWAAttack errWhitney Lauenstein+1.0
61-5IOWAPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+1.0
72-5PENNSTIOWAKillRosa Vestyset Jenna Meitzler+1.0
82-6IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.0
93-6PENNSTIOWAAttack errFinley Krystkowiak+1.0
103-7IOWAPENNSTKillFinley Krystkowiakset Alexis Stucky+1.1
113-8PENNSTPENNSTAcePenn St.aced Jaimie Marquardt+1.2
124-8PENNSTIOWABlockedKendall Northernblk Ksenija Tomic, Hannah Whittingstall+0.8
135-8IOWAIOWABlockedFinley Krystkowiakblk Jenna Meitzler, Hannah Whittingstall+1.4
145-9IOWAPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Ava Falduto+1.1
155-10PENNSTPENNSTBad setJenna Meitzler+1.2
166-10PENNSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Henlee Moszkowicz+0.8
177-10IOWAIOWAAttack errKennedy Martin+1.5
187-11IOWAPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.2
198-11PENNSTIOWAAttack errKendall Northern+1.1
208-12IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.2
219-12PENNSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.2
229-13IOWAPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.3
239-14PENNSTPENNSTBlockedCarmel Varesblk Gabrielle Nichols, Haley Burgdorf+1.3
2410-14PENNSTIOWAKillRosa Vestyset Henlee Moszkowicz+0.8
2510-15IOWAPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+1.0
2611-15PENNSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+0.8
2711-16IOWAPENNSTKillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+1.0
2811-17PENNSTPENNSTAcePenn St.aced Jaimie Marquardt+0.9
2912-17PENNSTIOWAServe errPenn St.+0.5
3012-18IOWAPENNST×3KillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+0.6
3112-19PENNSTPENNST×3KillKendall Northern+0.5
3212-20PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errKsenija Tomic+0.3
3313-20PENNSTIOWAServe errPenn St.+0.1
3413-21IOWAPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.2
3514-21PENNSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.1
3615-21IOWAIOWAAttack errWhitney Lauenstein+0.2
3715-22IOWAPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+0.2
3815-23PENNSTPENNSTAttack errLiv Mogridge+0.1
3916-23PENNSTIOWAServe errPenn St.·
4016-24IOWAPENNSTServe errIowa·
4117-24PENNSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler·
4217-25IOWAPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky·
Set 3
10-1PENNSTPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Kennedy Martin+2.0
21-1PENNSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.5
31-2IOWAPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+1.4
41-3PENNSTPENNSTAcePenn St.aced Marichka Hoshylyk+1.8
52-3PENNSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.4
62-4IOWAPENNSTServe errIowa+1.3
72-5PENNSTPENNSTAcePenn St.aced Rosa Vesty+1.6
83-5PENNSTIOWA×3KillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+1.2
94-5IOWAIOWA×3BlockedKendall Northernblk Liv Mogridge+1.9
105-5IOWAIOWA×3Attack errHaley Burgdorf+2.3
115-6IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.6
126-6PENNSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Henlee Moszkowicz+1.8
136-7IOWAPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+1.7
147-7PENNSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.9
157-8IOWAPENNSTBlockedKsenija Tomicblk Alexis Stucky, Kendall Northern+1.8
168-8PENNSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+1.9
178-9IOWAPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.8
188-10PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errCarmel Vares+2.3
198-11PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedHannah Whittingstallblk Whitney Lauenstein, Gabrielle Nichols+1.9
209-11PENNSTIOWA×3KillCarmel Varesset Henlee Moszkowicz+1.4
2110-11IOWAIOWA×3BlockedKennedy Martinblk Jenna Meitzler, Liv Mogridge+2.4
2211-11IOWAIOWA×3KillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+2.9
2311-12IOWAPENNST×4KillKennedy Martinset Ava Falduto+2.1
2411-13PENNSTPENNST×4AcePenn St.aced Allison Berent+2.6
2511-14PENNSTPENNST×4BlockedLiv Mogridgeblk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin+2.2
2611-15PENNSTPENNST×4Attack errCarmel Vares+1.7
2712-15PENNSTIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+1.1
2812-16IOWAPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+1.3
2913-16PENNSTIOWAServe errPenn St.+1.1
3013-17IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.3
3114-17PENNSTIOWAServe errPenn St.+1.1
3214-18IOWAPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Kennedy Martin+1.3
3315-18PENNSTIOWAServe errPenn St.+1.1
3416-18IOWAIOWABlockedKennedy Martinblk Hannah Whittingstall+2.2
3516-19IOWAPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.9
3616-20PENNSTPENNSTAttack errJenna Meitzler+1.9
3717-20PENNSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+1.0
3817-21IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.4
3918-21PENNSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.0
4019-21IOWAIOWABlockedWhitney Lauensteinblk Jenna Meitzler, Liv Mogridge+2.2
4119-22IOWAPENNSTKillGabrielle Nicholsset Alexis Stucky+2.2
4219-23PENNSTPENNSTBlockedLiv Mogridgeblk Gabrielle Nichols, Kennedy Martin+1.8
4320-23PENNSTIOWAServe errPenn St.+0.7
4420-24IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.1
4521-24PENNSTIOWAServe errPenn St.+0.4
4622-24IOWAIOWAAceIowaaced Lexi Gin+1.3
4722-25IOWAPENNSTServe errIowa+2.1
Set 4
10-1IOWAPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.0
21-1PENNSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.2
31-2IOWAPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Haley Burgdorf+1.1
42-2PENNSTIOWABad setAlexis Stucky+1.2
52-3IOWAPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+1.1
62-4PENNSTPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.4
73-4PENNSTIOWAKillRosa Vestyset Jenna Meitzler+1.1
84-4IOWAIOWAAceIowaaced Haley Burgdorf+1.7
94-5IOWAPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+1.2
104-6PENNSTPENNSTAcePenn St.aced Jaimie Marquardt+1.5
115-6PENNSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.1
125-7IOWAPENNST×3KillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+1.1
135-8PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedKsenija Tomicblk Kendall Northern, Alexis Stucky+1.3
145-9PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errJenna Meitzler+1.1
156-9PENNSTIOWAAttack errWhitney Lauenstein+0.8
166-10IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.8
176-11PENNSTPENNSTKillAlexis Stuckyset Kennedy Martin+0.9
187-11PENNSTIOWA×5Serve errPenn St.+0.6
198-11IOWAIOWA×5Attack errWhitney Lauenstein+1.1
209-11IOWAIOWA×5AceIowa+1.4
2110-11IOWAIOWA×5Attack errGabrielle Nichols+1.8
2211-11IOWAIOWA×5KillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+2.2
2311-12IOWAPENNST×3KillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+1.6
2411-13PENNSTPENNST×3KillKennedy Martinset Jocelyn Nathan+2.0
2511-14PENNSTPENNST×3BlockedCarmel Varesblk Whitney Lauenstein, Gabrielle Nichols+1.6
2612-14PENNSTIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+1.1
2712-15IOWAPENNSTServe errIowa+1.2
2812-16PENNSTPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+1.3
2913-16PENNSTIOWAServe errPenn St.+0.8
3013-17IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+1.0
3114-17PENNSTIOWAKillRosa Vestyset Jenna Meitzler+0.8
3214-18IOWAPENNST×3KillKendall Northernset Alexis Stucky+1.0
3314-19PENNSTPENNST×3AcePenn St.aced Jaimie Marquardt+0.9
3414-20PENNSTPENNST×3Attack errJenna Meitzler+0.6
3515-20PENNSTIOWAServe errPenn St.+0.3
3616-20IOWAIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.6
3716-21IOWAPENNSTKillHaley Burgdorfset Alexis Stucky+0.6
3816-22PENNSTPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.4
3917-22PENNSTIOWAAttack errKendall Northern+0.2
4017-23IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.3
4118-23PENNSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Alexis Stucky+0.1
4218-24IOWAPENNSTKillKennedy Martinset Alexis Stucky+0.2
4319-24PENNSTIOWAServe errPenn St.·
4419-25IOWAPENNSTKillWhitney Lauensteinset Alexis Stucky+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Iowa first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).