FinalTue, Sep 8, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

3:0

HomeBIG-12

Iowa def. Iowa St. 3–0

(25-20, 25-21, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
IOWA	25	25	25	3
IOWAST	20	21	23	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

IOWAST above 50 · IOWA below

Biggest swing: 5.7% to Iowa — set 3, IOWA 23-21 IOWAST. Kill by Ksenija Tomic (set by Jenna Meitzler). IOWAST win probability 11% → 5%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

IOWA 41.1%58.9% IOWAST

Iowa wins

3-0

9.1%

3-1

15.0%

3-2

16.9%

Iowa St. wins

3-0

16.6%

3-1

22.5%

3-2

19.8%

IOWA break %: 38.3% vs this opp
IOWAST break %: 39.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ksenija TomicKill+5.7%
Kill by Ksenija Tomic (set by Jenna Meitzler)
Set 3 · IOWA 23-21 IOWAST · IOWA 89% → 95%
02
Hannah WhittingstallKill+5.7%
Kill by Hannah Whittingstall (set by Jenna Meitzler)
Set 3 · IOWA 25-23 IOWAST · IOWA 94% → 100%
03
Liv MogridgeAttack error+4.9%
Attack error by Liv Mogridge
Set 3 · IOWA 21-21 IOWAST · IOWAST 10% → 15%
04
Nayeli Ti'aAttack error+4.4%
Attack error by Nayeli Ti'a
Set 1 · IOWA 21-18 IOWAST · IOWA 51% → 55%
05
Ksenija TomicKill+4.3%
Kill by Ksenija Tomic (set by Jenna Meitzler)
Set 3 · IOWA 24-22 IOWAST · IOWA 92% → 96%
06
Carmel VaresKill+4.3%
Kill by Carmel Vares (set by Jenna Meitzler)
Set 3 · IOWA 20-18 IOWAST · IOWA 87% → 92%
07
Nayeli Ti'aKill+4.0%
Kill by Nayeli Ti'a (set by Ella Florez)
Set 1 · IOWA 18-17 IOWAST · IOWAST 49% → 53%
08
Hannah WhittingstallKill+3.9%
Kill by Hannah Whittingstall (set by Jenna Meitzler)
Set 1 · IOWA 18-15 IOWAST · IOWA 49% → 53%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Iowaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
23Ksenija TomicOH	3	10	1	22	.409	0	1	0	7	0	3	1.5	12.5
15Carmel VaresOH	3	9	2	28	.250	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	9.5
19Liv MogridgeMB	3	7	2	20	.250	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
12Hannah WhittingstallMB	3	6	1	14	.357	0	1	0	3	0	3	1.5	8.5
6Hallie SteponaitisOH	3	5	4	17	.059	0	0	0	5	0	2	1	6
11Jenna MeitzlerS	3	3	0	5	.600	35	2	2	5	0	2	1	6
2Henlee MoszkowiczL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	1	0	3	10	1	0	0	1
21Marichka HoshylykOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	10	0	0	0	0
13Jaimie MarquardtL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	0
Team totals		41	10	108	.287	36	4	6	50	2	14	7	75

Iowa St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Nayeli GonzalezOH	3	8	4	21	.190	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	9
1Pam McCuneMB	3	8	1	16	.438	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
20Nayeli Ti'aOH	3	7	9	33	-.061	1	0	0	8	0	1	0.5	7.5
5Daaliyah KempMB	3	5	2	16	.188	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
17Ava MartinS	3	0	0	3	.000	14	0	5	10	0	0	0	0
13Lilly WachholzOH	1	3	0	3	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
9Mesaiya BettisOH	3	8	2	15	.400	0	0	0	4	0	1	0.5	8.5
30Alea GoolsbyOH	3	7	0	14	.500	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	7
10Rachel Van GorpL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	9	1	2	16	0	0	0	1
11Ella FlorezS	3	0	0	1	.000	19	0	1	3	0	0	0	0
12Abbi BrenizerMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	18	122	.230	43	2	11	52	4	6	3	64

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 IOWA · IOWAST 3

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 IOWAIOWAST 3

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 IOWAIOWAST 3

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 IOWAIOWAST 3

Bars above the line = Iowa St. leads, below = Iowa leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Iowa

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	82%9/11	63%12/19
2	64%9/14	31%4/13
3	73%8/11	27%3/11
4	88%7/8	42%5/12
5	55%6/11	40%4/10
6	55%6/11	25%2/8
All	68%45/66	41%30/73

Iowa St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%9/17	38%5/13
2	73%8/11	31%4/13
3	67%8/12	27%3/11
4	55%6/11	11%1/9
5	67%6/9	50%6/12
6	46%6/13	25%2/8
All	59%43/73	32%21/66

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

139 rallies

Rally log

#	IOWA-IOWAST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	IOWAST	IOWA	Serve err	IOWAST server		+1.7
2	1-1	IOWA	IOWAST×3	Kill	Lilly Wachholz	set Rachel Van Gorp	+1.7
3	1-2	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Kill	Lilly Wachholz	set Ava Martin	+2.6
4	1-3	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Attack err	Hallie Steponaitis	blk Lilly Wachholz, Pam McCune	+2.5
5	2-3	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Carmel Vares	set Jenna Meitzler	+1.6
6	2-4	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Lilly Wachholz	set Ava Martin	+1.7
7	2-5	IOWAST	IOWAST	Attack err	Hallie Steponaitis		+2.4
8	3-5	IOWAST	IOWA	Attack err	Nayeli Gonzalez	blk Ksenija Tomic, Liv Mogridge, Hallie Steponaitis	+1.5
9	3-6	IOWA	IOWAST	Serve err	IOWA server		+1.6
10	4-6	IOWAST	IOWA×3	Kill	Ksenija Tomic	set Jenna Meitzler	+1.5
11	5-6	IOWA	IOWA×3	Attack err	Nayeli Gonzalez		+2.6
12	6-6	IOWA	IOWA×3	Kill	Ksenija Tomic	set Jenna Meitzler	+2.9
13	6-7	IOWA	IOWAST×3	Serve err	IOWA server		+1.9
14	6-8	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Attack err	Hannah Whittingstall		+2.9
15	6-9	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Ace	IOWAST server	aced Jaimie Marquardt	+2.7
16	7-9	IOWAST	IOWA×3	Attack err	Nayeli Ti'a		+1.6
17	8-9	IOWA	IOWA×3	Attack err	Nayeli Ti'a	blk Hannah Whittingstall, Jenna Meitzler	+2.8
18	9-9	IOWA	IOWA×3	Attack err	Daaliyah Kemp		+3.1
19	9-10	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Rachel Van Gorp	+2.1
20	10-10	IOWAST	IOWA×4	Attack err	Nayeli Ti'a		+2.1
21	11-10	IOWA	IOWA×4	Kill	Liv Mogridge	set Jenna Meitzler	+3.4
22	12-10	IOWA	IOWA×4	Attack err	Nayeli Gonzalez		+3.5
23	13-10	IOWA	IOWA×4	Ace	IOWA server	aced Team	+3.3
24	13-11	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Nayeli Ti'a	+1.8
25	14-11	IOWAST	IOWA	Serve err	IOWAST server		+2.2
26	14-12	IOWA	IOWAST	Serve err	IOWA server		+1.9
27	14-13	IOWAST	IOWAST	Attack err	Hallie Steponaitis		+3.4
28	15-13	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Liv Mogridge	set Jenna Meitzler	+2.5
29	15-14	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Pam McCune	set Ava Martin	+2.3
30	16-14	IOWAST	IOWA	Serve err	IOWAST server		+2.6
31	16-15	IOWA	IOWAST	Serve err	IOWA server		+2.3
32	17-15	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Ksenija Tomic	set Jenna Meitzler	+2.8
33	18-15	IOWA	IOWA	Kill	Hannah Whittingstall	set Jenna Meitzler	+3.9
34	18-16	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Daaliyah Kemp	set Ella Florez	+2.0
35	18-17	IOWAST	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ella Florez	+4.0
36	19-17	IOWAST	IOWA	Serve err	IOWAST server		+3.1
37	19-18	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Daaliyah Kemp	set Ella Florez	+2.6
38	20-18	IOWAST	IOWA×4	Serve err	IOWAST server		+3.3
39	21-18	IOWA	IOWA×4	Attack err	Nayeli Ti'a		+4.4
40	22-18	IOWA	IOWA×4	Kill	Carmel Vares	set Jenna Meitzler	+3.1
41	23-18	IOWA	IOWA×4	Kill	Carmel Vares		+1.7
42	23-19	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ella Florez	+0.4
43	24-19	IOWAST	IOWA	Serve err	IOWAST server		+0.8
44	24-20	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ava Martin	+0.2
45	25-20	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Hallie Steponaitis	set Jenna Meitzler	+0.4
Set 2
1	1-0	IOWA	IOWA×4	Attack err	Nayeli Ti'a	blk Liv Mogridge, Carmel Vares	+2.9
2	2-0	IOWA	IOWA×4	Kill	Liv Mogridge	set Jenna Meitzler	+3.0
3	3-0	IOWA	IOWA×4	Attack err	Nayeli Gonzalez		+2.9
4	4-0	IOWA	IOWA×4	Kill	Liv Mogridge	set Jenna Meitzler	+2.8
5	4-1	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ella Florez	+1.6
6	5-1	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Carmel Vares	set Jenna Meitzler	+1.8
7	6-1	IOWA	IOWA	Kill	Liv Mogridge	set Jenna Meitzler	+2.5
8	6-2	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Daaliyah Kemp	set Ella Florez	+1.4
9	7-2	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Ksenija Tomic	set Jenna Meitzler	+1.7
10	8-2	IOWA	IOWA	Attack err	Pam McCune		+2.2
11	8-3	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ella Florez	+1.1
12	9-3	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Hannah Whittingstall	set Jenna Meitzler	+1.4
13	9-4	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Pam McCune	set Ava Martin	+1.1
14	9-5	IOWAST	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a		+2.2
15	10-5	IOWAST	IOWA	Attack err	Nayeli Ti'a	blk Ksenija Tomic, Jenna Meitzler, Hannah Whittingstall	+1.7
16	11-5	IOWA	IOWA	Ace	IOWA server	aced Team	+2.2
17	11-6	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ava Martin	+1.1
18	12-6	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Carmel Vares	set Jenna Meitzler	+1.4
19	12-7	IOWA	IOWAST×3	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ava Martin	+1.1
20	12-8	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Attack err	Liv Mogridge		+2.1
21	12-9	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Kill	Alea Goolsby	set Ella Florez	+2.6
22	13-9	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Liv Mogridge	set Jenna Meitzler	+2.1
23	13-10	IOWA	IOWAST	Serve err	IOWA server		+1.7
24	14-10	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Hallie Steponaitis	set Jenna Meitzler	+2.1
25	14-11	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Daaliyah Kemp	set Jenna Meitzler	+1.7
26	15-11	IOWAST	IOWA	Serve err	IOWAST server		+2.2
27	15-12	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Alea Goolsby	set Ella Florez	+1.7
28	16-12	IOWAST	IOWA	Serve err	IOWAST server		+2.2
29	17-12	IOWA	IOWA	Kill	Henlee Moszkowicz	set Ava Martin	+2.7
30	17-13	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Pam McCune	set Ava Martin	+1.2
31	18-13	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Jenna Meitzler		+1.7
32	18-14	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Pam McCune	set Ava Martin	+1.1
33	19-14	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Jenna Meitzler		+1.7
34	19-15	IOWA	IOWAST	Attack err	Carmel Vares	blk Mesaiya Bettis, Daaliyah Kemp	+1.0
35	19-16	IOWAST	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ella Florez	+2.5
36	20-16	IOWAST	IOWA	Attack err	Nayeli Ti'a		+2.3
37	21-16	IOWA	IOWA	Ace	IOWA server	aced Team	+2.4
38	21-17	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ella Florez	+0.8
39	22-17	IOWAST	IOWA	Attack err	Nayeli Ti'a		+1.4
40	22-18	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ella Florez	+0.6
41	22-19	IOWAST	IOWAST	Ace	IOWAST server	aced Henlee Moszkowicz	+1.8
42	23-19	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Ksenija Tomic	set Jenna Meitzler	+2.1
43	23-20	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Pam McCune	set Ella Florez	+0.9
44	23-21	IOWAST	IOWAST	Kill	Alea Goolsby	set Rachel Van Gorp	+2.7
45	24-21	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Ksenija Tomic	set Jenna Meitzler	+3.4
46	25-21	IOWA	IOWA	Bad set	Ava Martin		+1.9
Set 3
1	0-1	IOWAST	IOWAST	Kill	Alea Goolsby	set Ella Florez	+2.1
2	0-2	IOWAST	IOWAST	Kill	Daaliyah Kemp	set Ella Florez	+2.1
3	1-2	IOWAST	IOWA	Serve err	IOWAST server		+1.3
4	1-3	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Rachel Van Gorp	+1.3
5	2-3	IOWAST	IOWA	Serve err	IOWAST server		+1.3
6	2-4	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+1.4
7	3-4	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Liv Mogridge	set Jenna Meitzler	+1.3
8	4-4	IOWA	IOWA	Kill	Hannah Whittingstall	set Jenna Meitzler	+2.3
9	4-5	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+1.5
10	5-5	IOWAST	IOWA	Serve err	IOWAST server		+1.5
11	5-6	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Pam McCune	set Ava Martin	+1.5
12	6-6	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Hannah Whittingstall	set Jenna Meitzler	+1.5
13	6-7	IOWA	IOWAST×3	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ava Martin	+1.6
14	6-8	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Attack err	Carmel Vares		+2.4
15	6-9	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Attack err	Ksenija Tomic		+2.2
16	7-9	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Carmel Vares	set Jenna Meitzler	+1.3
17	7-10	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Alea Goolsby	set Ava Martin	+1.4
18	8-10	IOWAST	IOWA×4	Kill	Jenna Meitzler		+1.3
19	9-10	IOWA	IOWA×4	Attack err	Mesaiya Bettis		+2.4
20	10-10	IOWA	IOWA×4	Attack err	Daaliyah Kemp	blk Hallie Steponaitis, Liv Mogridge	+2.7
21	11-10	IOWA	IOWA×4	Ace	IOWA server	aced Team	+2.8
22	11-11	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Alea Goolsby	set Ella Florez	+1.8
23	12-11	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Hallie Steponaitis	set Jenna Meitzler	+1.9
24	13-11	IOWA	IOWA	Kill	Ksenija Tomic	set Henlee Moszkowicz	+3.0
25	13-12	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+1.8
26	13-13	IOWAST	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Rachel Van Gorp	+3.0
27	14-13	IOWAST	IOWA×3	Kill	Hallie Steponaitis	set Jenna Meitzler	+2.1
28	15-13	IOWA	IOWA×3	Attack err	Mesaiya Bettis	blk Ksenija Tomic, Hannah Whittingstall	+3.2
29	16-13	IOWA	IOWA×3	Attack err	Nayeli Ti'a		+3.0
30	16-14	IOWA	IOWAST	Serve err	IOWA server		+1.6
31	17-14	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Hannah Whittingstall	set Jenna Meitzler	+2.0
32	17-15	IOWA	IOWAST×3	Kill	Pam McCune	set Ava Martin	+1.6
33	17-16	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Rachel Van Gorp	+3.2
34	17-17	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Rachel Van Gorp	+3.6
35	18-17	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Ksenija Tomic	set Jenna Meitzler	+2.6
36	18-18	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Pam McCune	set Ava Martin	+2.5
37	19-18	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Carmel Vares	set Jenna Meitzler	+2.8
38	20-18	IOWA	IOWA	Kill	Carmel Vares	set Jenna Meitzler	+4.3
39	20-19	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Alea Goolsby	set Rachel Van Gorp	+2.3
40	21-19	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Carmel Vares	set Jenna Meitzler	+3.0
41	21-20	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+2.4
42	21-21	IOWAST	IOWAST	Attack err	Liv Mogridge		+4.9
43	22-21	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Hallie Steponaitis	set Jenna Meitzler	+3.8
44	23-21	IOWA	IOWA	Kill	Ksenija Tomic	set Jenna Meitzler	+5.7
45	23-22	IOWA	IOWAST	Attack err	Hallie Steponaitis	blk Nayeli Ti'a, Daaliyah Kemp	+2.5
46	24-22	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Ksenija Tomic	set Jenna Meitzler	+4.3
47	24-23	IOWA	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Rachel Van Gorp	+2.2
48	25-23	IOWAST	IOWA	Kill	Hannah Whittingstall	set Jenna Meitzler	+5.7

Score shown after each rally, Iowa first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.