Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 3, 2026

Mississippi St. def. Iowa 3–1

Mississippi St. beat visiting Iowa 3-1 (27-25, 25-23, 24-26, 25-20) on Thu, Sep 3, 2026. Mississippi St.'s Bernardita Aguilar led with 20 kills, and McKenna Yates added 22 digs.

Data through · final Sep 3

Set1234Sets
IOWA252326201
MISSST272524253

Win probability

Mississippi St. above 50 · Iowa below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+7.9% IOWArally 195 · set 4

Biggest swing: 7.9% to Iowa — set 1, IOWA 24-23 MISSST. Attack error by Lindsey Mangelson. MISSST win probability 79% → 71%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IOWA 18.8%81.2% MISSST

Iowa wins

3-0
3.0%
3-1
6.2%
3-2
9.6%

Mississippi St. wins

3-0
32.8%
3-1
30.5%
3-2
17.9%
IOWA break %
38.4% vs this opp
MISSST break %
45.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lindsey MangelsonAttack error+7.9%

    Attack error by Lindsey Mangelson

    Set 1 · IOWA 24-23 MISSST · IOWA 21% → 29%

  2. 02

    Kill by Lindsey Mangelson (set by Cayley Hanson)

    Set 1 · IOWA 24-25 MISSST · MISSST 77% → 84%

  3. 03
    Carmel VaresAttack error+6.0%

    Attack error by Carmel Vares

    Set 1 · IOWA 25-27 MISSST · MISSST 84% → 90%

  4. 04

    Kill by Lindsey Mangelson (set by Cayley Hanson)

    Set 1 · IOWA 24-24 MISSST · MISSST 71% → 77%

  5. 05
    Hallie SteponaitisAttack error+5.6%

    Attack error by Hallie Steponaitis

    Set 1 · IOWA 22-23 MISSST · MISSST 78% → 83%

  6. 06
    Ksenija TomicKill+4.9%

    Kill by Ksenija Tomic (set by Jenna Meitzler)

    Set 1 · IOWA 25-25 MISSST · IOWA 16% → 21%

  7. 07

    Kill by Bernardita Aguilar (set by Cayley Hanson)

    Set 1 · IOWA 25-26 MISSST · MISSST 79% → 84%

  8. 08
    Olivia StantAttack error+4.5%

    Attack error by Olivia Stant

    Set 1 · IOWA 21-19 MISSST · IOWA 25% → 29%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Iowaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416535.31402214000018
414527.33300000111.515.5
414331.3550020002115
411534.17600050010.511.5
4106.16757031400001
4000–000300000
410636.11100110000010
4002.000021140010.52.5
4000–511930001
2000–010300001
1102.50000000010.51.5
Team totals6724173.2496261072716494
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420245.400131170111.524.5
419445.33302111002122
46214.28600010052.58.5
44214.143011012238
4116.0004411150031.53.5
32213.000000300002
44423.000000010004
4001.0006002210000
4000–100530000
3000–000000000
21011.00000000010.51.5
Team totals5717162.247527474631410101

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 IOWA · MISSST 10

Set 1

25-27

Longest run 6 IOWAMISSST 10

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 IOWAMISSST 5

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 6 IOWAMISSST 3

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 4 IOWAMISSST 5

Bars above the line = Mississippi St. leads, below = Iowa leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Iowa

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
31%4/13
2
82%9/11
47%8/17
3
32%9/28
50%9/18
4
69%9/13
50%9/18
5
43%9/21
40%6/15
6
54%7/13
36%5/14
All
53%53/100
43%41/95

Mississippi St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
53%9/17
2
64%9/14
10%1/10
3
41%9/22
59%13/22
4
69%9/13
55%11/20
5
50%9/18
36%5/14
6
75%9/12
47%8/17
All
57%54/95
47%47/100

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

195 rallies

#IOWA-MISSSTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0MISSSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.3
22-0IOWAIOWAAttack errGha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+1.9
32-1IOWAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset McKenna Yates+1.3
43-1MISSSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.5
53-2IOWAMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+1.3
63-3MISSSTMISSSTAceMississippi St.aced Jaimie Marquardt+1.8
74-3MISSSTIOWA×3KillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+1.4
85-3IOWAIOWA×3KillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+2.1
96-3IOWAIOWA×3AceIowaaced Noella Obi+2.2
106-4IOWAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.4
117-4MISSSTIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+1.7
127-5IOWAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Jenna Meitzler+1.4
137-6MISSSTMISSSTBlockedKsenija Tomicblk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss, Cayley Hanson+2.1
148-6MISSSTIOWA×3KillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+1.7
159-6IOWAIOWA×3KillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+2.4
1610-6IOWAIOWA×3Attack errLindsey Mangelson+2.4
1710-7IOWAMISSSTServe errIowa+1.4
1811-7MISSSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+1.8
1912-7IOWAIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jaimie Marquardt+2.3
2012-8IOWAMISSSTServe errIowa+1.3
2113-8MISSSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.7
2213-9IOWAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.3
2314-9MISSSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.7
2415-9IOWAIOWAAttack errBernardita Aguilar+2.0
2515-10IOWAMISSST×10KillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.0
2615-11MISSSTMISSST×10KillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.8
2715-12MISSSTMISSST×10AceMississippi St.+2.1
2815-13MISSSTMISSST×10KillPaloma Routaboulset Bernardita Aguilar+2.5
2915-14MISSSTMISSST×10Attack errCarmel Vares+2.7
3015-15MISSSTMISSST×10Attack errLiv Mogridge+2.8
3115-16MISSSTMISSST×10KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+2.8
3215-17MISSSTMISSST×10KillPaloma Routaboulset Cayley Hanson+2.5
3315-18MISSSTMISSST×10Attack errHallie Steponaitis+2.1
3415-19MISSSTMISSST×10Attack errCarmel Vares+1.6
3516-19MISSSTIOWA×6BlockedPaloma Routaboulblk Marichka Hoshylyk, Liv Mogridge+0.9
3617-19IOWAIOWA×6KillHallie Steponaitisset Jaimie Marquardt+1.8
3718-19IOWAIOWA×6KillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+2.6
3819-19IOWAIOWA×6KillHallie Steponaitisset Jaimie Marquardt+3.4
3920-19IOWAIOWA×6KillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+4.2
4021-19IOWAIOWA×6Attack errOlivia Stant+4.5
4121-20IOWAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+2.6
4221-21MISSSTMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset McKenna Yates+4.4
4322-21MISSSTIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+3.9
4422-22IOWAMISSSTServe errIowa+3.5
4522-23MISSSTMISSSTAttack errHallie Steponaitis+5.6
4623-23MISSSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+3.9
4724-23IOWAIOWAAttack errLindsey Mangelson+7.9
4824-24IOWAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+5.8
4924-25MISSSTMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+7.1
5025-25MISSSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+4.9
5125-26IOWAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+4.9
5225-27MISSSTMISSSTAttack errCarmel Vares+6.0
Set 2
10-1IOWAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+0.8
21-1MISSSTIOWAServe errMississippi St.+0.9
31-2IOWAMISSSTServe errIowa+0.9
42-2MISSSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+0.9
53-2IOWAIOWAAceIowaaced Olivia Stant+1.4
63-3IOWAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.0
73-4MISSSTMISSSTKillOlivia Stant+1.3
84-4MISSSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jaimie Marquardt+1.0
94-5IOWAMISSSTServe errIowa+0.9
105-5MISSSTIOWABlockedCayley Hansonblk Hannah Whittingstall+1.0
115-6IOWAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+1.0
125-7MISSSTMISSSTBlockedHannah Whittingstallblk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss, Lindsey Mangelson+1.3
136-7MISSSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+0.9
146-8IOWAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+0.9
156-9MISSSTMISSSTAceMississippi St.+1.1
167-9MISSSTIOWAKillJenna Meitzlerset Jaimie Marquardt+0.8
177-10IOWAMISSSTAttack errCarmel Vares+0.8
188-10MISSSTIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+0.8
199-10IOWAIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+1.4
209-11IOWAMISSSTBlockedHallie Steponaitisblk Bernardita Aguilar+1.0
2110-11MISSSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.0
2210-12IOWAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.0
2311-12MISSSTIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+1.1
2411-13IOWAMISSSTBlockedKsenija Tomicblk Cayley Hanson, Noella Obi+1.1
2512-13MISSSTIOWA×3KillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+1.1
2613-13IOWAIOWA×3Attack errLindsey Mangelson+1.8
2714-13IOWAIOWA×3KillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+2.1
2814-14IOWAMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+1.4
2915-14MISSSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.6
3015-15IOWAMISSSTServe errIowa+1.5
3116-15MISSSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.7
3216-16IOWAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Cayley Hanson+1.6
3317-16MISSSTIOWAAttack errBernardita Aguilar+1.8
3417-17IOWAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Cayley Hanson+1.7
3518-17MISSSTIOWAKillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+1.9
3618-18IOWAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.8
3719-18MISSSTIOWAServe errMississippi St.+2.1
3820-18IOWAIOWAKillHannah Whittingstall+3.1
3920-19IOWAMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+1.8
4021-19MISSSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+2.5
4122-19IOWAIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Ksenija Tomic+3.1
4222-20IOWAMISSST×5KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+1.4
4322-21MISSSTMISSST×5KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+2.9
4422-22MISSSTMISSST×5Attack errHannah Whittingstall+3.8
4522-23MISSSTMISSST×5BlockedKsenija Tomicblk Ava Anderson, Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+4.2
4622-24MISSSTMISSST×5KillLindsey Mangelsonset Mary Neal+3.6
4723-24MISSSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.4
4823-25IOWAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+3.2
Set 3
10-1MISSSTMISSSTAceMississippi St.aced Jaimie Marquardt+0.6
20-2MISSSTMISSSTKillOlivia Stantset Cayley Hanson+0.5
31-2MISSSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.4
41-3IOWAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Cayley Hanson+0.4
52-3MISSSTIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+0.4
63-3IOWAIOWAAttack errNoella Obi+0.6
73-4IOWAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset McKenna Yates+0.5
83-5MISSSTMISSSTBlockedLiv Mogridgeblk Noella Obi+0.6
94-5MISSSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+0.4
104-6IOWAMISSST×3KillOlivia Stantset Cayley Hanson+0.4
114-7MISSSTMISSST×3Attack errKsenija Tomic+0.5
124-8MISSSTMISSST×3BlockedKsenija Tomicblk Noella Obi, Cayley Hanson+0.5
135-8MISSSTIOWA×3KillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+0.3
146-8IOWAIOWA×3BlockedNoella Obiblk Hannah Whittingstall, Rosa Vesty+0.5
157-8IOWAIOWA×3KillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.6
167-9IOWAMISSSTServe errIowa+0.5
177-10MISSSTMISSSTAceMississippi St.+0.6
188-10MISSSTIOWA×3Serve errMississippi St.+0.4
199-10IOWAIOWA×3KillRosa Vesty+0.7
2010-10IOWAIOWA×3Attack errLindsey Mangelson+0.8
2110-11IOWAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Cayley Hanson+0.6
2211-11MISSSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.6
2311-12IOWAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+0.6
2412-12MISSSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+0.6
2512-13IOWAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset McKenna Yates+0.6
2612-14MISSSTMISSSTKillNoella Obiset Cayley Hanson+0.8
2713-14MISSSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+0.6
2814-14IOWAIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+0.9
2914-15IOWAMISSSTServe errIowa+0.7
3014-16MISSSTMISSSTKillOlivia Stantset Cayley Hanson+0.9
3115-16MISSSTIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+0.6
3215-17IOWAMISSSTBad setJenna Meitzler+0.7
3315-18MISSSTMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+0.8
3416-18MISSSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+0.5
3516-19IOWAMISSST×3KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+0.6
3616-20MISSSTMISSST×3BlockedHallie Steponaitisblk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss, Lindsey Mangelson+0.6
3716-21MISSSTMISSST×3KillLindsey Mangelson+0.4
3817-21MISSSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+0.2
3917-22IOWAMISSSTKillGha'Naye Whitfield-Mossset Cayley Hanson+0.2
4018-22MISSSTIOWA×3Serve errMississippi St.+0.1
4119-22IOWAIOWA×3AceIowaaced Mary Neal+0.3
4220-22IOWAIOWA×3AceIowaaced Mary Neal+0.6
4320-23IOWAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset McKenna Yates+0.7
4420-24MISSSTMISSSTAceMississippi St.+0.5
4521-24MISSSTIOWA×6KillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+0.1
4622-24IOWAIOWA×6Attack errOlivia Stant+0.4
4723-24IOWAIOWA×6KillLiv Mogridgeset Cayley Hanson+1.0
4824-24IOWAIOWA×6AceIowaaced McKenna Yates+2.5
4925-24IOWAIOWA×6KillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+3.0
5026-24IOWAIOWA×6KillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+3.5
Set 4
10-1IOWAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.4
21-1MISSSTIOWAKillCarmel Varesset Jenna Meitzler+1.5
31-2IOWAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+1.4
41-3MISSSTMISSSTAttack errCarmel Vares+1.9
52-3MISSSTIOWA×3KillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+1.4
63-3IOWAIOWA×3Attack errOlivia Stant+2.1
74-3IOWAIOWA×3KillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+2.4
84-4IOWAMISSST×3Serve errIowa+1.6
94-5MISSSTMISSST×3Attack errHallie Steponaitis+2.2
104-6MISSSTMISSST×3Bad setJenna Meitzler+2.0
115-6MISSSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+1.5
126-6IOWAIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+2.3
136-7IOWAMISSSTAttack errHannah Whittingstall+1.6
147-7MISSSTIOWAKillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+1.8
158-7IOWAIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+2.7
168-8IOWAMISSST×3KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+1.8
178-9MISSSTMISSST×3KillCayley Hanson+2.5
188-10MISSSTMISSST×3Attack errHannah Whittingstall+2.3
199-10MISSSTIOWAKillHannah Whittingstallset Jenna Meitzler+1.6
209-11IOWAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+1.7
219-12MISSSTMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+2.1
2210-12MISSSTIOWAAttack errGha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+1.4
2311-12IOWAIOWAAceIowaaced Mary Neal+2.4
2411-13IOWAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset McKenna Yates+1.8
2512-13MISSSTIOWAKillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+1.8
2613-13IOWAIOWABlockedOlivia Stantblk Carmel Vares, Liv Mogridge+3.0
2713-14IOWAMISSSTServe errIowa+2.1
2814-14MISSSTIOWA×4KillHallie Steponaitisset Jenna Meitzler+2.3
2915-14IOWAIOWA×4KillLiv Mogridge+3.6
3016-14IOWAIOWA×4Attack errPaloma Routaboul+3.9
3117-14IOWAIOWA×4KillLiv Mogridgeset Jenna Meitzler+3.9
3217-15IOWAMISSST×5KillAva Andersonset Cayley Hanson+2.2
3317-16MISSSTMISSST×5BlockedLiv Mogridgeblk Noella Obi+3.7
3417-17MISSSTMISSST×5KillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+3.9
3517-18MISSSTMISSST×5Attack errHallie Steponaitis+3.9
3617-19MISSSTMISSST×5AceMississippi St.aced Jaimie Marquardt+3.5
3718-19MISSSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+2.3
3818-20IOWAMISSSTKillBernardita Aguilarset Cayley Hanson+2.6
3919-20MISSSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+2.4
4019-21IOWAMISSSTKillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+2.9
4120-21MISSSTIOWAKillKsenija Tomicset Jenna Meitzler+2.5
4220-22IOWAMISSST×4KillLindsey Mangelsonset Cayley Hanson+3.2
4320-23MISSSTMISSST×4BlockedCarmel Varesblk Bernardita Aguilar, Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+3.2
4420-24MISSSTMISSST×4Attack errHannah Whittingstall+1.6
4520-25MISSSTMISSST×4KillGha'Naye Whitfield-Moss+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Iowa first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).