North Carolina def. James Madison 3–1
North Carolina beat visiting James Madison 3-1 (21-25, 25-21, 25-18, 25-19) on Thu, Sep 3, 2026. Chelsea Thorpe led North Carolina with 14 kills; James Madison's Kennedy Louisell had a match-high 15.
Data through · final Sep 3
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | 25 | 21 | 18 | 19 | 1 |
| UNC | 21 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 6.8% to James Madison — set 2, JMU 21-19 UNC. Kill by Addie Norman (set by Lindsey Large). UNC win probability 68% → 61%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
James Madison wins
North Carolina wins
- JMU break %
- 36.0% vs this opp
- UNC break %
- 47.0% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Addie NormanKill+6.8%
Kill by Addie Norman (set by Lindsey Large)
Set 2 · JMU 21-19 UNC · JMU 32% → 39%
- 02Chelsea ThorpeKill+6.4%
Kill by Chelsea Thorpe (set by Zoe Behrendt)
Set 2 · JMU 21-22 UNC · UNC 71% → 78%
- 03Chelsea Thorpe&Lauren SchutterBlock+6.3%
Kennedy Louisell stuffed by Chelsea Thorpe & Lauren Schutter
Set 2 · JMU 21-21 UNC · UNC 65% → 71%
- 04
- 05Chelsea Thorpe&Lauren SchutterBlock+5.2%
Kennedy Louisell stuffed by Chelsea Thorpe & Lauren Schutter
Set 2 · JMU 21-23 UNC · UNC 78% → 83%
- 06
- 07
- 08Safi HamptonKill+3.7%
Kill by Safi Hampton (set by Sienna Cozza)
Set 2 · JMU 21-20 UNC · UNC 61% → 65%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 15 | 9 | 50 | .120 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 2 | 24 | .292 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 0 | 9 | .889 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 1 | 14 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 19 | .053 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | -.182 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 49 | 20 | 130 | .223 | 45 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 83 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14 | 4 | 25 | .400 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 28 | .214 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | |
| 4 | 9 | 0 | 11 | .818 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | |
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 30 | .167 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 8 | .375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 9 | 1 | 18 | .444 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 11 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 60 | 19 | 122 | .336 | 56 | 3 | 7 | 48 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 96 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-21
Set 2
21-25
Set 3
18-25
Set 4
19-25
Bars above the line = North Carolina leads, below = James Madison leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
James Madison
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46%11/24 | 50%10/20 |
| 2 | 71%10/14 | 21%3/14 |
| 3 | 73%8/11 | 31%4/13 |
| 4 | 62%8/13 | 11%1/9 |
| 5 | 73%8/11 | 47%7/15 |
| 6 | 36%8/22 | 38%5/13 |
| All | 56%53/95 | 36%30/84 |
North Carolina
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 79%11/14 | 61%14/23 |
| 2 | 69%11/16 | 39%7/18 |
| 3 | 80%8/10 | 36%5/14 |
| 4 | 67%8/12 | 11%1/9 |
| 5 | 57%8/14 | 43%6/14 |
| 6 | 44%8/18 | 53%9/17 |
| All | 64%54/84 | 44%42/95 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
179 rallies
| # | JMU-UNC | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | JMU | UNC×3 | Serve err | James Madison | +0.6 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | UNC | UNC×3 | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.7 |
| 3 | 0-3 | UNC | UNC×3 | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.6 |
| 4 | 1-3 | UNC | JMU | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.4 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | JMU | JMU | Attack err | Bridget Malone | +0.7 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Addie Norman | set Lindsey Large | +0.6 |
| 8 | 4-4 | JMU | JMU | Ace | James Madison | aced Safi Hampton | +0.9 |
| 9 | 4-5 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Carly Markham | +0.6 |
| 10 | 5-5 | UNC | JMU | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.7 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | JMU | UNC | Attack err | Ella Grace Holloway | +0.7 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Ana Toumazatos | blk Laynie Smith | +0.8 |
| 13 | 6-7 | UNC | JMU×5 | Kill | Kennedy Louisell | set Grace Wenrich | +0.6 |
| 14 | 7-7 | JMU | JMU×5 | Kill | Ana Toumazatos | +1.1 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | JMU | JMU×5 | Ace | James Madison | aced Carly Markham | +1.3 |
| 16 | 9-7 | JMU | JMU×5 | Ace | James Madison | aced Safi Hampton | +1.5 |
| 17 | 10-7 | JMU | JMU×5 | Ace | James Madison | aced Carly Markham | +1.6 |
| 18 | 10-8 | JMU | UNC | Serve err | James Madison | +0.9 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Emily Bobbitt | +1.4 |
| 20 | 11-9 | UNC | JMU×4 | Serve err | North Carolina | +1.2 | |
| 21 | 12-9 | JMU | JMU×4 | Kill | Ana Toumazatos | set Sydney Lewis | +1.7 |
| 22 | 13-9 | JMU | JMU×4 | Kill | Addie Norman | set Lindsey Large | +1.8 |
| 23 | 14-9 | JMU | JMU×4 | Blocked | Safi Hampton | blk Addie Norman, Anna Wilson | +1.7 |
| 24 | 14-10 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Emily Bobbitt | +0.9 |
| 25 | 14-11 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Lauren Schutter | +1.5 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | UNC | JMU×3 | Kill | Anna Wilson | set Lindsey Large | +1.4 |
| 27 | 16-11 | JMU | JMU×3 | Attack err | Lauren Schutter | +1.8 | |
| 28 | 17-11 | JMU | JMU×3 | Attack err | Chelsea Thorpe | +1.6 | |
| 29 | 17-12 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.7 |
| 30 | 17-13 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.3 |
| 31 | 18-13 | UNC | JMU | Blocked | Bridget Malone | blk Addie Norman, Anna Wilson | +1.4 |
| 32 | 18-14 | JMU | UNC | Serve err | James Madison | +0.8 | |
| 33 | 19-14 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Addie Norman | set Lindsey Large | +1.4 |
| 34 | 19-15 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.8 |
| 35 | 20-15 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Kennedy Louisell | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.3 |
| 36 | 20-16 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Emily Bobbitt | +0.7 |
| 37 | 20-17 | UNC | UNC | Attack err | Ella Grace Holloway | +1.5 | |
| 38 | 21-17 | UNC | JMU | Serve err | North Carolina | +1.7 | |
| 39 | 21-18 | JMU | UNC | Serve err | James Madison | +0.9 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Kennedy Louisell | set Grace Wenrich | +1.7 |
| 41 | 22-19 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Emily Bobbitt | +0.8 |
| 42 | 23-19 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Anna Wilson | set Lindsey Large | +1.7 |
| 43 | 23-20 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.7 |
| 44 | 24-20 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Kennedy Louisell | set Lindsey Large | +1.5 |
| 45 | 24-21 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.4 |
| 46 | 25-21 | UNC | JMU | Attack err | Chelsea Thorpe | +1.1 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Anna Wilson | set Lindsey Large | +1.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Carly Markham | +1.9 |
| 4 | 2-2 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Kennedy Louisell | set Lindsey Large | +1.5 |
| 5 | 2-3 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Lauren Schutter | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.3 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Ayen Nhial | set Grace Wenrich | +1.3 |
| 8 | 3-5 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.2 |
| 9 | 4-5 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Ayen Nhial | set Safi Hampton | +1.3 |
| 10 | 4-6 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Emily Bobbitt | +1.2 |
| 11 | 5-6 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Ella Grace Holloway | set Grace Wenrich | +1.4 |
| 12 | 5-7 | JMU | UNC×3 | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Emily Bobbitt | +1.3 |
| 13 | 5-8 | UNC | UNC×3 | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Emily Bobbitt | +1.6 |
| 14 | 5-9 | UNC | UNC×3 | Ace | North Carolina | aced Ana Toumazatos | +1.3 |
| 15 | 6-9 | UNC | JMU×6 | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.9 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | JMU | JMU×6 | Attack err | Laynie Smith | +1.6 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | JMU | JMU×6 | Kill | Anna Wilson | set Lindsey Large | +2.1 |
| 18 | 9-9 | JMU | JMU×6 | Kill | Kennedy Louisell | set Lindsey Large | +2.6 |
| 19 | 10-9 | JMU | JMU×6 | Kill | Anna Wilson | set Lindsey Large | +3.1 |
| 20 | 11-9 | JMU | JMU×6 | Attack err | Safi Hampton | +3.6 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | JMU | UNC×3 | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Emily Bobbitt | +2.2 |
| 22 | 11-11 | UNC | UNC×3 | Ace | North Carolina | aced Shelby Davis | +3.1 |
| 23 | 11-12 | UNC | UNC×3 | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +2.8 |
| 24 | 12-12 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Kennedy Louisell | set Lindsey Large | +2.2 |
| 25 | 12-13 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Lauren Schutter | set Zoe Behrendt | +2.0 |
| 26 | 12-14 | UNC | UNC | Attack err | Kennedy Louisell | +2.6 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | UNC | JMU×3 | Kill | Addie Norman | set Lindsey Large | +1.9 |
| 28 | 14-14 | JMU | JMU×3 | Blocked | Chelsea Thorpe | blk Kennedy Louisell, Ayen Nhial | +3.3 |
| 29 | 15-14 | JMU | JMU×3 | Kill | Ayen Nhial | set Grace Wenrich | +4.0 |
| 30 | 15-15 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Zoe Behrendt | +2.6 |
| 31 | 15-16 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +3.6 |
| 32 | 16-16 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Ayen Nhial | set Bridget Malone | +2.7 |
| 33 | 16-17 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Zoe Behrendt | +2.6 |
| 34 | 17-17 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Ayen Nhial | set Grace Wenrich | +2.9 |
| 35 | 17-18 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Kennedy Louisell | +2.8 |
| 36 | 18-18 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Kennedy Louisell | set Grace Wenrich | +3.1 |
| 37 | 19-18 | JMU | JMU | Kill | Anna Wilson | set Lindsey Large | +5.4 |
| 38 | 19-19 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Sienna Cozza | +3.5 |
| 39 | 20-19 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Anna Wilson | set Lindsey Large | +4.4 |
| 40 | 21-19 | JMU | JMU | Kill | Addie Norman | set Lindsey Large | +6.8 |
| 41 | 21-20 | JMU | UNC×6 | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Sienna Cozza | +3.7 |
| 42 | 21-21 | UNC | UNC×6 | Blocked | Kennedy Louisell | blk Chelsea Thorpe, Lauren Schutter | +6.3 |
| 43 | 21-22 | UNC | UNC×6 | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +6.4 |
| 44 | 21-23 | UNC | UNC×6 | Blocked | Kennedy Louisell | blk Chelsea Thorpe, Lauren Schutter | +5.2 |
| 45 | 21-24 | UNC | UNC×6 | Blocked | Kennedy Louisell | blk Chelsea Thorpe, Lauren Schutter | +3.1 |
| 46 | 21-25 | UNC | UNC×6 | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Carly Markham | +1.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | UNC | JMU | Blocked | Safi Hampton | blk Anna Wilson, Addie Norman | +1.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | JMU | UNC×3 | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.1 |
| 4 | 1-3 | UNC | UNC×3 | Ace | North Carolina | +1.5 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | UNC | UNC×3 | Attack err | Addie Norman | +1.2 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | UNC | JMU | Bad set | Chelsea Thorpe | +0.9 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.9 |
| 8 | 3-5 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Kennedy Louisell | set Grace Wenrich | +0.9 |
| 9 | 3-6 | JMU | UNC | Serve err | James Madison | +0.9 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | UNC | JMU | Serve err | North Carolina | +1.0 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | JMU | UNC | Attack err | Ana Toumazatos | +0.9 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Ella Grace Holloway | set Grace Wenrich | +1.0 |
| 13 | 5-8 | JMU | UNC×3 | Blocked | Addie Norman | blk Jackie Taylor, Safi Hampton | +1.0 |
| 14 | 5-9 | UNC | UNC×3 | Blocked | Anna Wilson | blk Chelsea Thorpe | +1.1 |
| 15 | 5-10 | UNC | UNC×3 | Kill | Bridget Malone | set Chelsea Thorpe | +0.9 |
| 16 | 6-10 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Anna Wilson | set Lindsey Large | +0.6 |
| 17 | 6-11 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.6 |
| 18 | 6-12 | UNC | UNC | Blocked | Kennedy Louisell | blk Chelsea Thorpe, Jackie Taylor | +0.6 |
| 19 | 7-12 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Addie Norman | set Lindsey Large | +0.4 |
| 20 | 7-13 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.4 |
| 21 | 8-13 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Lindsey Large | set Shelby Davis | +0.4 |
| 22 | 9-13 | JMU | JMU | Kill | Ella Grace Holloway | set Grace Wenrich | +0.8 |
| 23 | 9-14 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.6 |
| 24 | 10-14 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Ella Grace Holloway | set Grace Wenrich | +0.6 |
| 25 | 11-14 | JMU | JMU | Kill | Ella Grace Holloway | set Ana Toumazatos | +1.2 |
| 26 | 11-15 | JMU | UNC×3 | Attack err | Ana Toumazatos | +0.9 | |
| 27 | 11-16 | UNC | UNC×3 | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Sienna Cozza | +1.0 |
| 28 | 11-17 | UNC | UNC×3 | Blocked | Kennedy Louisell | blk Lauren Schutter, Safi Hampton | +0.6 |
| 29 | 12-17 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Ayen Nhial | set Grace Wenrich | +0.3 |
| 30 | 12-18 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +0.4 |
| 31 | 13-18 | UNC | JMU | Blocked | Safi Hampton | blk Ella Grace Holloway, Anna Wilson | +0.3 |
| 32 | 13-19 | JMU | UNC×4 | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Sienna Cozza | +0.4 |
| 33 | 13-20 | UNC | UNC×4 | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Bridget Malone | +0.3 |
| 34 | 13-21 | UNC | UNC×4 | Attack err | Ana Toumazatos | +0.1 | |
| 35 | 13-22 | UNC | UNC×4 | Bad set | Lindsey Large | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 14-22 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Addie Norman | set Lindsey Large | · |
| 37 | 15-22 | JMU | JMU | Ace | James Madison | · | |
| 38 | 15-23 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | · |
| 39 | 15-24 | UNC | UNC | Bad set | Lindsey Large | · | |
| 40 | 16-24 | UNC | JMU×3 | Kill | Kennedy Louisell | set Sydney Lewis | · |
| 41 | 17-24 | JMU | JMU×3 | Kill | Ayen Nhial | set Lindsey Large | · |
| 42 | 18-24 | JMU | JMU×3 | Blocked | Bridget Malone | blk Addie Norman | · |
| 43 | 18-25 | JMU | UNC | Serve err | James Madison | · | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Kennedy Louisell | set Grace Wenrich | +0.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | JMU | UNC | Serve err | James Madison | +0.8 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | UNC | JMU | Blocked | Chelsea Thorpe | blk Anna Wilson, Ana Toumazatos | +0.9 |
| 5 | 2-3 | JMU | UNC | Attack err | Kennedy Louisell | +0.9 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | UNC | JMU | Blocked | Bridget Malone | blk Addie Norman | +1.0 |
| 7 | 3-4 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.9 |
| 8 | 3-5 | UNC | UNC | Kill | Lauren Schutter | set Sienna Cozza | +1.1 |
| 9 | 4-5 | UNC | JMU×4 | Kill | Kennedy Louisell | set Lindsey Large | +0.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | JMU | JMU×4 | Blocked | Bridget Malone | blk Addie Norman, Ayen Nhial | +1.4 |
| 11 | 6-5 | JMU | JMU×4 | Ace | James Madison | aced Safi Hampton | +1.7 |
| 12 | 7-5 | JMU | JMU×4 | Blocked | Bridget Malone | blk Addie Norman, Ayen Nhial | +1.9 |
| 13 | 7-6 | JMU | UNC×3 | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +1.2 |
| 14 | 7-7 | UNC | UNC×3 | Bad set | Ayen Nhial | +1.7 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | UNC | UNC×3 | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +1.5 |
| 16 | 8-8 | UNC | JMU | Blocked | Safi Hampton | blk Ayen Nhial, Addie Norman | +1.2 |
| 17 | 8-9 | JMU | UNC×4 | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Sienna Cozza | +1.1 |
| 18 | 8-10 | UNC | UNC×4 | Attack err | Ella Grace Holloway | +1.4 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | UNC | UNC×4 | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Julia Bohlinger | +1.1 |
| 20 | 8-12 | UNC | UNC×4 | Blocked | Ella Grace Holloway | blk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith | +0.9 |
| 21 | 9-12 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Kennedy Louisell | set Grace Wenrich | +0.6 |
| 22 | 10-12 | JMU | JMU | Kill | Kennedy Louisell | set Grace Wenrich | +1.1 |
| 23 | 10-13 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +0.8 |
| 24 | 11-13 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Grace Wenrich | set Ana Toumazatos | +0.8 |
| 25 | 11-14 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Jackie Taylor | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.9 |
| 26 | 12-14 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Kennedy Louisell | set Grace Wenrich | +0.9 |
| 27 | 12-15 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Safi Hampton | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.9 |
| 28 | 13-15 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Addie Norman | set Lindsey Large | +0.9 |
| 29 | 13-16 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +1.0 |
| 30 | 14-16 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Addie Norman | set Lindsey Large | +0.9 |
| 31 | 14-17 | JMU | UNC | Serve err | James Madison | +1.0 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | UNC | JMU | Blocked | Safi Hampton | blk Ayen Nhial, Addie Norman | +1.0 |
| 33 | 16-17 | JMU | JMU | Attack err | Safi Hampton | +1.9 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | JMU | UNC×4 | Serve err | James Madison | +1.4 | |
| 35 | 16-19 | UNC | UNC×4 | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Julia Bohlinger | +1.6 |
| 36 | 16-20 | UNC | UNC×4 | Kill | Laynie Smith | +1.1 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | UNC | UNC×4 | Blocked | Kennedy Louisell | blk Laynie Smith, Jackie Taylor | +0.7 |
| 38 | 17-21 | UNC | JMU | Serve err | North Carolina | +0.3 | |
| 39 | 17-22 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Laynie Smith | set Sienna Cozza | +0.4 |
| 40 | 18-22 | UNC | JMU | Kill | Ayen Nhial | set Grace Wenrich | +0.2 |
| 41 | 18-23 | JMU | UNC | Serve err | James Madison | +0.4 | |
| 42 | 19-23 | UNC | JMU | Bad set | Zoe Behrendt | +0.2 | |
| 43 | 19-24 | JMU | UNC | Kill | Chelsea Thorpe | set Zoe Behrendt | +0.3 |
| 44 | 19-25 | UNC | UNC | Attack err | Kennedy Louisell | +0.1 | |
Score shown after each rally, James Madison first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).