Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 3, 2026

North Carolina def. James Madison 3–1

North Carolina beat visiting James Madison 3-1 (21-25, 25-21, 25-18, 25-19) on Thu, Sep 3, 2026. Chelsea Thorpe led North Carolina with 14 kills; James Madison's Kennedy Louisell had a match-high 15.

Data through · final Sep 3

Set1234Sets
JMU252118191
UNC212525253

Win probability

North Carolina above 50 · James Madison below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.8% JMUrally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.8% to James Madison — set 2, JMU 21-19 UNC. Kill by Addie Norman (set by Lindsey Large). UNC win probability 68% → 61%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

JMU 7.4%92.6% UNC

James Madison wins

3-0
0.9%
3-1
2.2%
3-2
4.3%

North Carolina wins

3-0
49.5%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
12.1%
JMU break %
36.0% vs this opp
UNC break %
47.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Addie NormanKill+6.8%

    Kill by Addie Norman (set by Lindsey Large)

    Set 2 · JMU 21-19 UNC · JMU 32% → 39%

  2. 02

    Kill by Chelsea Thorpe (set by Zoe Behrendt)

    Set 2 · JMU 21-22 UNC · UNC 71% → 78%

  3. 03

    Kennedy Louisell stuffed by Chelsea Thorpe & Lauren Schutter

    Set 2 · JMU 21-21 UNC · UNC 65% → 71%

  4. 04
    Anna WilsonKill+5.4%

    Kill by Anna Wilson (set by Lindsey Large)

    Set 2 · JMU 19-18 UNC · JMU 26% → 31%

  5. 05

    Kennedy Louisell stuffed by Chelsea Thorpe & Lauren Schutter

    Set 2 · JMU 21-23 UNC · UNC 78% → 83%

  6. 06
    Anna WilsonKill+4.4%

    Kill by Anna Wilson (set by Lindsey Large)

    Set 2 · JMU 20-19 UNC · JMU 27% → 32%

  7. 07
    Ayen NhialKill+4.0%

    Kill by Ayen Nhial (set by Grace Wenrich)

    Set 2 · JMU 15-14 UNC · JMU 24% → 28%

  8. 08
    Safi HamptonKill+3.7%

    Kill by Safi Hampton (set by Sienna Cozza)

    Set 2 · JMU 21-20 UNC · UNC 61% → 65%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415950.12000170010.515.5
49224.29200000275.514.5
4809.88903410052.513.5
48114.50000000052.510.5
41011.0002300300001
4000–111610001
45419.05300010010.55.5
42411-.18220031010.52.5
4102.5001711600002
4000–213900001
Team totals4920130.223456103632201283
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414425.4001001014317
413728.2140019302114
49011.8180221004213
411630.16710211000011
4418.375000000426
4002.00031101100001
49118.4440000012211
4000–300620000
4000–101000000
3000–1100600000
2000–801300000
Team totals6019122.33656374862161096

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 JMU · UNC 6

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 5 JMUUNC 3

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 6 JMUUNC 6

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 JMUUNC 4

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 4 JMUUNC 4

Bars above the line = North Carolina leads, below = James Madison leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

James Madison

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%11/24
50%10/20
2
71%10/14
21%3/14
3
73%8/11
31%4/13
4
62%8/13
11%1/9
5
73%8/11
47%7/15
6
36%8/22
38%5/13
All
56%53/95
36%30/84

North Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
79%11/14
61%14/23
2
69%11/16
39%7/18
3
80%8/10
36%5/14
4
67%8/12
11%1/9
5
57%8/14
43%6/14
6
44%8/18
53%9/17
All
64%54/84
44%42/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#JMU-UNCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1JMUUNC×3Serve errJames Madison+0.6
20-2UNCUNC×3KillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.7
30-3UNCUNC×3KillBridget Maloneset Zoe Behrendt+0.6
41-3UNCJMUServe errNorth Carolina+0.4
52-3JMUJMUAttack errBridget Malone+0.7
62-4JMUUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.5
73-4UNCJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+0.6
84-4JMUJMUAceJames Madisonaced Safi Hampton+0.9
94-5JMUUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Carly Markham+0.6
105-5UNCJMUServe errNorth Carolina+0.7
115-6JMUUNCAttack errElla Grace Holloway+0.7
125-7UNCUNCBlockedAna Toumazatosblk Laynie Smith+0.8
136-7UNCJMU×5KillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+0.6
147-7JMUJMU×5KillAna Toumazatos+1.1
158-7JMUJMU×5AceJames Madisonaced Carly Markham+1.3
169-7JMUJMU×5AceJames Madisonaced Safi Hampton+1.5
1710-7JMUJMU×5AceJames Madisonaced Carly Markham+1.6
1810-8JMUUNCServe errJames Madison+0.9
1910-9UNCUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Emily Bobbitt+1.4
2011-9UNCJMU×4Serve errNorth Carolina+1.2
2112-9JMUJMU×4KillAna Toumazatosset Sydney Lewis+1.7
2213-9JMUJMU×4KillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+1.8
2314-9JMUJMU×4BlockedSafi Hamptonblk Addie Norman, Anna Wilson+1.7
2414-10JMUUNCKillLaynie Smithset Emily Bobbitt+0.9
2514-11UNCUNCKillLauren Schutter+1.5
2615-11UNCJMU×3KillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+1.4
2716-11JMUJMU×3Attack errLauren Schutter+1.8
2817-11JMUJMU×3Attack errChelsea Thorpe+1.6
2917-12JMUUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+0.7
3017-13UNCUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+1.3
3118-13UNCJMUBlockedBridget Maloneblk Addie Norman, Anna Wilson+1.4
3218-14JMUUNCServe errJames Madison+0.8
3319-14UNCJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+1.4
3419-15JMUUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.8
3520-15UNCJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Zoe Behrendt+1.3
3620-16JMUUNCKillBridget Maloneset Emily Bobbitt+0.7
3720-17UNCUNCAttack errElla Grace Holloway+1.5
3821-17UNCJMUServe errNorth Carolina+1.7
3921-18JMUUNCServe errJames Madison+0.9
4022-18UNCJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+1.7
4122-19JMUUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Emily Bobbitt+0.8
4223-19UNCJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+1.7
4323-20JMUUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.7
4424-20UNCJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+1.5
4524-21JMUUNCKillBridget Maloneset Zoe Behrendt+0.4
4625-21UNCJMUAttack errChelsea Thorpe+1.1
Set 2
11-0UNCJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+1.6
21-1JMUUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+1.4
31-2UNCUNCKillBridget Maloneset Carly Markham+1.9
42-2UNCJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+1.5
52-3JMUUNCKillLauren Schutterset Zoe Behrendt+1.3
62-4UNCUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+1.7
73-4UNCJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+1.3
83-5JMUUNCKillBridget Maloneset Zoe Behrendt+1.2
94-5UNCJMUKillAyen Nhialset Safi Hampton+1.3
104-6JMUUNCKillBridget Maloneset Emily Bobbitt+1.2
115-6UNCJMUKillElla Grace Hollowayset Grace Wenrich+1.4
125-7JMUUNC×3KillSafi Hamptonset Emily Bobbitt+1.3
135-8UNCUNC×3KillSafi Hamptonset Emily Bobbitt+1.6
145-9UNCUNC×3AceNorth Carolinaaced Ana Toumazatos+1.3
156-9UNCJMU×6Serve errNorth Carolina+0.9
167-9JMUJMU×6Attack errLaynie Smith+1.6
178-9JMUJMU×6KillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+2.1
189-9JMUJMU×6KillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+2.6
1910-9JMUJMU×6KillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+3.1
2011-9JMUJMU×6Attack errSafi Hampton+3.6
2111-10JMUUNC×3KillLaynie Smithset Emily Bobbitt+2.2
2211-11UNCUNC×3AceNorth Carolinaaced Shelby Davis+3.1
2311-12UNCUNC×3KillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+2.8
2412-12UNCJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+2.2
2512-13JMUUNCKillLauren Schutterset Zoe Behrendt+2.0
2612-14UNCUNCAttack errKennedy Louisell+2.6
2713-14UNCJMU×3KillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+1.9
2814-14JMUJMU×3BlockedChelsea Thorpeblk Kennedy Louisell, Ayen Nhial+3.3
2915-14JMUJMU×3KillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+4.0
3015-15JMUUNCKillBridget Maloneset Zoe Behrendt+2.6
3115-16UNCUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+3.6
3216-16UNCJMUKillAyen Nhialset Bridget Malone+2.7
3316-17JMUUNCKillBridget Maloneset Zoe Behrendt+2.6
3417-17UNCJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+2.9
3517-18JMUUNCKillBridget Maloneset Kennedy Louisell+2.8
3618-18UNCJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+3.1
3719-18JMUJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+5.4
3819-19JMUUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Sienna Cozza+3.5
3920-19UNCJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+4.4
4021-19JMUJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+6.8
4121-20JMUUNC×6KillSafi Hamptonset Sienna Cozza+3.7
4221-21UNCUNC×6BlockedKennedy Louisellblk Chelsea Thorpe, Lauren Schutter+6.3
4321-22UNCUNC×6KillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+6.4
4421-23UNCUNC×6BlockedKennedy Louisellblk Chelsea Thorpe, Lauren Schutter+5.2
4521-24UNCUNC×6BlockedKennedy Louisellblk Chelsea Thorpe, Lauren Schutter+3.1
4621-25UNCUNC×6KillChelsea Thorpeset Carly Markham+1.0
Set 3
10-1JMUUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+1.1
21-1UNCJMUBlockedSafi Hamptonblk Anna Wilson, Addie Norman+1.3
31-2JMUUNC×3KillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+1.1
41-3UNCUNC×3AceNorth Carolina+1.5
51-4UNCUNC×3Attack errAddie Norman+1.2
62-4UNCJMUBad setChelsea Thorpe+0.9
72-5JMUUNCKillBridget Maloneset Zoe Behrendt+0.9
83-5UNCJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+0.9
93-6JMUUNCServe errJames Madison+0.9
104-6UNCJMUServe errNorth Carolina+1.0
114-7JMUUNCAttack errAna Toumazatos+0.9
125-7UNCJMUKillElla Grace Hollowayset Grace Wenrich+1.0
135-8JMUUNC×3BlockedAddie Normanblk Jackie Taylor, Safi Hampton+1.0
145-9UNCUNC×3BlockedAnna Wilsonblk Chelsea Thorpe+1.1
155-10UNCUNC×3KillBridget Maloneset Chelsea Thorpe+0.9
166-10UNCJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+0.6
176-11JMUUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+0.6
186-12UNCUNCBlockedKennedy Louisellblk Chelsea Thorpe, Jackie Taylor+0.6
197-12UNCJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+0.4
207-13JMUUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+0.4
218-13UNCJMUKillLindsey Largeset Shelby Davis+0.4
229-13JMUJMUKillElla Grace Hollowayset Grace Wenrich+0.8
239-14JMUUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.6
2410-14UNCJMUKillElla Grace Hollowayset Grace Wenrich+0.6
2511-14JMUJMUKillElla Grace Hollowayset Ana Toumazatos+1.2
2611-15JMUUNC×3Attack errAna Toumazatos+0.9
2711-16UNCUNC×3KillSafi Hamptonset Sienna Cozza+1.0
2811-17UNCUNC×3BlockedKennedy Louisellblk Lauren Schutter, Safi Hampton+0.6
2912-17UNCJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+0.3
3012-18JMUUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.4
3113-18UNCJMUBlockedSafi Hamptonblk Ella Grace Holloway, Anna Wilson+0.3
3213-19JMUUNC×4KillJackie Taylorset Sienna Cozza+0.4
3313-20UNCUNC×4KillChelsea Thorpeset Bridget Malone+0.3
3413-21UNCUNC×4Attack errAna Toumazatos+0.1
3513-22UNCUNC×4Bad setLindsey Large+0.1
3614-22UNCJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large·
3715-22JMUJMUAceJames Madison·
3815-23JMUUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt·
3915-24UNCUNCBad setLindsey Large·
4016-24UNCJMU×3KillKennedy Louisellset Sydney Lewis·
4117-24JMUJMU×3KillAyen Nhialset Lindsey Large·
4218-24JMUJMU×3BlockedBridget Maloneblk Addie Norman·
4318-25JMUUNCServe errJames Madison·
Set 4
10-1UNCUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+1.2
21-1UNCJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+0.9
31-2JMUUNCServe errJames Madison+0.8
42-2UNCJMUBlockedChelsea Thorpeblk Anna Wilson, Ana Toumazatos+0.9
52-3JMUUNCAttack errKennedy Louisell+0.9
63-3UNCJMUBlockedBridget Maloneblk Addie Norman+1.0
73-4JMUUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.9
83-5UNCUNCKillLauren Schutterset Sienna Cozza+1.1
94-5UNCJMU×4KillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+0.8
105-5JMUJMU×4BlockedBridget Maloneblk Addie Norman, Ayen Nhial+1.4
116-5JMUJMU×4AceJames Madisonaced Safi Hampton+1.7
127-5JMUJMU×4BlockedBridget Maloneblk Addie Norman, Ayen Nhial+1.9
137-6JMUUNC×3KillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+1.2
147-7UNCUNC×3Bad setAyen Nhial+1.7
157-8UNCUNC×3KillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+1.5
168-8UNCJMUBlockedSafi Hamptonblk Ayen Nhial, Addie Norman+1.2
178-9JMUUNC×4KillSafi Hamptonset Sienna Cozza+1.1
188-10UNCUNC×4Attack errElla Grace Holloway+1.4
198-11UNCUNC×4KillJackie Taylorset Julia Bohlinger+1.1
208-12UNCUNC×4BlockedElla Grace Hollowayblk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith+0.9
219-12UNCJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+0.6
2210-12JMUJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+1.1
2310-13JMUUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.8
2411-13UNCJMUKillGrace Wenrichset Ana Toumazatos+0.8
2511-14JMUUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+0.9
2612-14UNCJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+0.9
2712-15JMUUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+0.9
2813-15UNCJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+0.9
2913-16JMUUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+1.0
3014-16UNCJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+0.9
3114-17JMUUNCServe errJames Madison+1.0
3215-17UNCJMUBlockedSafi Hamptonblk Ayen Nhial, Addie Norman+1.0
3316-17JMUJMUAttack errSafi Hampton+1.9
3416-18JMUUNC×4Serve errJames Madison+1.4
3516-19UNCUNC×4KillLaynie Smithset Julia Bohlinger+1.6
3616-20UNCUNC×4KillLaynie Smith+1.1
3716-21UNCUNC×4BlockedKennedy Louisellblk Laynie Smith, Jackie Taylor+0.7
3817-21UNCJMUServe errNorth Carolina+0.3
3917-22JMUUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.4
4018-22UNCJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+0.2
4118-23JMUUNCServe errJames Madison+0.4
4219-23UNCJMUBad setZoe Behrendt+0.2
4319-24JMUUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.3
4419-25UNCUNCAttack errKennedy Louisell+0.1

Score shown after each rally, James Madison first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).