Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 3, 2026

AwaySUN-BELT

1:3

HomeACC

North Carolina def. James Madison 3–1

(21-25, 25-21, 25-18, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
JMU	25	21	18	19	1
UNC	21	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UNC above 50 · JMU below

Biggest swing: 7.4% to North Carolina — set 2, JMU 21-22 UNC. Kill by Chelsea Thorpe (set by Zoe Behrendt). UNC win probability 55% → 62%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

JMU 20.0%80.0% UNC

James Madison wins

3-0

3.3%

3-1

6.7%

3-2

10.1%

North Carolina wins

3-0

31.5%

3-1

30.2%

3-2

18.3%

JMU break %: 39.1% vs this opp
UNC break %: 45.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Chelsea ThorpeKill+7.4%
Kill by Chelsea Thorpe (set by Zoe Behrendt)
Set 2 · JMU 21-22 UNC · UNC 55% → 62%
02
Addie NormanKill+7.0%
Kill by Addie Norman (set by Lindsey Large)
Set 2 · JMU 21-19 UNC · JMU 49% → 56%
03
Kennedy LouisellAttack error+6.9%
Kennedy Louisell stuffed by Chelsea Thorpe & Lauren Schutter
Set 2 · JMU 21-21 UNC · UNC 48% → 55%
04
Kennedy LouisellAttack error+6.5%
Kennedy Louisell stuffed by Chelsea Thorpe & Lauren Schutter
Set 2 · JMU 21-23 UNC · UNC 62% → 69%
05
Anna WilsonKill+6.0%
Kill by Anna Wilson (set by Lindsey Large)
Set 2 · JMU 19-18 UNC · JMU 43% → 49%
06
Anna WilsonKill+4.9%
Kill by Anna Wilson (set by Lindsey Large)
Set 2 · JMU 20-19 UNC · JMU 44% → 49%
07
Ayen NhialKill+4.6%
Kill by Ayen Nhial (set by Grace Wenrich)
Set 2 · JMU 15-14 UNC · JMU 42% → 46%
08
Chelsea ThorpeKill+4.3%
Kill by Chelsea Thorpe (set by Zoe Behrendt)
Set 2 · JMU 15-16 UNC · UNC 57% → 61%

Official NCAA box

Box score

James Madisonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Kennedy LouisellOH	4	15	9	50	.120	0	0	1	7	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
6Addie NormanOH	4	9	2	24	.292	0	0	0	0	0	2	7	5.5	14.5
9Ayen NhialMB	4	8	0	9	.889	0	3	4	1	0	0	5	2.5	13.5
8Anna WilsonMB	4	8	1	14	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	10.5
5Lindsey LargeS	4	1	0	1	1.000	23	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
16Shelby DavisL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	6	1	0	0	0	1
4Ella Grace HollowayOH	4	5	4	19	.053	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
13Ana ToumazatosOH	4	2	4	11	-.182	2	0	0	3	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
2Grace WenrichS	4	1	0	2	.500	17	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	2
17Sydney LewisL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	1	3	9	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		49	20	130	.223	45	6	10	36	3	2	20	12	83

North Carolinahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
77Chelsea ThorpeOPP	4	14	4	25	.400	1	0	0	1	0	1	4	3	17
22Safi HamptonOH	4	13	7	28	.214	0	0	1	9	3	0	2	1	14
21Jackie TaylorMB	4	9	0	11	.818	0	2	2	1	0	0	4	2	13
10Bridget MaloneOH	4	11	6	30	.167	1	0	2	11	0	0	0	0	11
3Lauren SchutterMB	4	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	6
1Zoe BehrendtS	4	0	0	2	.000	31	1	0	11	0	0	0	0	1
23Laynie SmithOPP	4	9	1	18	.444	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	11
18Carly MarkhamL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	0
6Julia BohlingerL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Sienna CozzaS	3	0	0	0	–	11	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
14Emily BobbittS	2	0	0	0	–	8	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		60	19	122	.336	56	3	7	48	6	2	16	10	96

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 JMU · UNC 6

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 5 JMUUNC 3

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 6 JMUUNC 6

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 JMUUNC 4

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 4 JMUUNC 4

Bars above the line = North Carolina leads, below = James Madison leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

James Madison

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	46%11/24	50%10/20
2	71%10/14	21%3/14
3	73%8/11	31%4/13
4	62%8/13	11%1/9
5	73%8/11	47%7/15
6	36%8/22	38%5/13
All	56%53/95	36%30/84

North Carolina

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	79%11/14	61%14/23
2	69%11/16	39%7/18
3	80%8/10	36%5/14
4	67%8/12	11%1/9
5	57%8/14	43%6/14
6	44%8/18	53%9/17
All	64%54/84	44%42/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

179 rallies

Rally log

#	JMU-UNC	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	JMU	UNC×3	Serve err	JMU server		+1.2
2	0-2	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.5
3	0-3	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.4
4	1-3	UNC	JMU	Serve err	UNC server		+1.0
5	2-3	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Bridget Malone		+1.6
6	2-4	JMU	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.2
7	3-4	UNC	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+1.2
8	4-4	JMU	JMU	Ace	JMU server	aced Safi Hampton	+1.9
9	4-5	JMU	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Carly Markham	+1.3
10	5-5	UNC	JMU	Serve err	UNC server		+1.4
11	5-6	JMU	UNC	Attack err	Ella Grace Holloway		+1.4
12	5-7	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Ana Toumazatos	blk Laynie Smith	+1.8
13	6-7	UNC	JMU×5	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+1.3
14	7-7	JMU	JMU×5	Kill	Ana Toumazatos		+2.0
15	8-7	JMU	JMU×5	Ace	JMU server	aced Carly Markham	+2.3
16	9-7	JMU	JMU×5	Ace	JMU server	aced Safi Hampton	+2.5
17	10-7	JMU	JMU×5	Ace	JMU server	aced Carly Markham	+2.5
18	10-8	JMU	UNC	Serve err	JMU server		+1.6
19	10-9	UNC	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Emily Bobbitt	+2.3
20	11-9	UNC	JMU×4	Serve err	UNC server		+2.0
21	12-9	JMU	JMU×4	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Sydney Lewis	+2.7
22	13-9	JMU	JMU×4	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+2.6
23	14-9	JMU	JMU×4	Attack err	Safi Hampton	blk Addie Norman, Anna Wilson	+2.4
24	14-10	JMU	UNC	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Emily Bobbitt	+1.3
25	14-11	UNC	UNC	Kill	Lauren Schutter		+2.2
26	15-11	UNC	JMU×3	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+2.1
27	16-11	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Lauren Schutter		+2.5
28	17-11	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Chelsea Thorpe		+2.0
29	17-12	JMU	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.0
30	17-13	UNC	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.8
31	18-13	UNC	JMU	Attack err	Bridget Malone	blk Addie Norman, Anna Wilson	+1.9
32	18-14	JMU	UNC	Serve err	JMU server		+1.2
33	19-14	UNC	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+1.8
34	19-15	JMU	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.2
35	20-15	UNC	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.8
36	20-16	JMU	UNC	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Emily Bobbitt	+1.1
37	20-17	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Ella Grace Holloway		+2.1
38	21-17	UNC	JMU	Serve err	UNC server		+2.4
39	21-18	JMU	UNC	Serve err	JMU server		+1.4
40	22-18	UNC	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+2.3
41	22-19	JMU	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Emily Bobbitt	+1.3
42	23-19	UNC	JMU	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+2.3
43	23-20	JMU	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.0
44	24-20	UNC	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+2.1
45	24-21	JMU	UNC	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.6
46	25-21	UNC	JMU	Attack err	Chelsea Thorpe		+1.5
Set 2
1	1-0	UNC	JMU	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+2.1
2	1-1	JMU	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Zoe Behrendt	+2.0
3	1-2	UNC	UNC	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Carly Markham	+2.6
4	2-2	UNC	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+2.0
5	2-3	JMU	UNC	Kill	Lauren Schutter	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.9
6	2-4	UNC	UNC	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Zoe Behrendt	+2.5
7	3-4	UNC	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+1.8
8	3-5	JMU	UNC	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.8
9	4-5	UNC	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Safi Hampton	+1.9
10	4-6	JMU	UNC	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Emily Bobbitt	+1.9
11	5-6	UNC	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+1.9
12	5-7	JMU	UNC×3	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Emily Bobbitt	+1.9
13	5-8	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Emily Bobbitt	+2.4
14	5-9	UNC	UNC×3	Ace	UNC server	aced Ana Toumazatos	+2.0
15	6-9	UNC	JMU×6	Serve err	UNC server		+1.4
16	7-9	JMU	JMU×6	Attack err	Laynie Smith		+2.3
17	8-9	JMU	JMU×6	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+2.8
18	9-9	JMU	JMU×6	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+3.3
19	10-9	JMU	JMU×6	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+3.7
20	11-9	JMU	JMU×6	Attack err	Safi Hampton		+4.0
21	11-10	JMU	UNC×3	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Emily Bobbitt	+2.6
22	11-11	UNC	UNC×3	Ace	UNC server	aced Shelby Davis	+3.7
23	11-12	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+3.6
24	12-12	UNC	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+2.7
25	12-13	JMU	UNC	Kill	Lauren Schutter	set Zoe Behrendt	+2.7
26	12-14	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+3.4
27	13-14	UNC	JMU×3	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+2.5
28	14-14	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Chelsea Thorpe	blk Kennedy Louisell, Ayen Nhial	+4.0
29	15-14	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+4.6
30	15-15	JMU	UNC	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Zoe Behrendt	+3.2
31	15-16	UNC	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+4.3
32	16-16	UNC	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Bridget Malone	+3.3
33	16-17	JMU	UNC	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Zoe Behrendt	+3.3
34	17-17	UNC	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+3.5
35	17-18	JMU	UNC	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Kennedy Louisell	+3.5
36	18-18	UNC	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+3.7
37	19-18	JMU	JMU	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+6.0
38	19-19	JMU	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Sienna Cozza	+4.1
39	20-19	UNC	JMU	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+4.9
40	21-19	JMU	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+7.0
41	21-20	JMU	UNC×6	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Sienna Cozza	+4.1
42	21-21	UNC	UNC×6	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell	blk Chelsea Thorpe, Lauren Schutter	+6.9
43	21-22	UNC	UNC×6	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+7.4
44	21-23	UNC	UNC×6	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell	blk Chelsea Thorpe, Lauren Schutter	+6.5
45	21-24	UNC	UNC×6	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell	blk Chelsea Thorpe, Lauren Schutter	+4.2
46	21-25	UNC	UNC×6	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Carly Markham	+1.5
Set 3
1	0-1	JMU	UNC	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.8
2	1-1	UNC	JMU	Attack err	Safi Hampton	blk Anna Wilson, Addie Norman	+2.0
3	1-2	JMU	UNC×3	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.9
4	1-3	UNC	UNC×3	Ace	UNC server	aced Team	+2.4
5	1-4	UNC	UNC×3	Attack err	Addie Norman		+2.2
6	2-4	UNC	JMU	Bad set	Chelsea Thorpe		+1.6
7	2-5	JMU	UNC	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.6
8	3-5	UNC	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+1.6
9	3-6	JMU	UNC	Serve err	JMU server		+1.6
10	4-6	UNC	JMU	Serve err	UNC server		+1.6
11	4-7	JMU	UNC	Attack err	Ana Toumazatos		+1.7
12	5-7	UNC	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+1.7
13	5-8	JMU	UNC×3	Attack err	Addie Norman	blk Jackie Taylor, Safi Hampton	+1.7
14	5-9	UNC	UNC×3	Attack err	Anna Wilson	blk Chelsea Thorpe	+2.0
15	5-10	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Bridget Malone	set Chelsea Thorpe	+1.7
16	6-10	UNC	JMU	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+1.1
17	6-11	JMU	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.2
18	6-12	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell	blk Chelsea Thorpe, Jackie Taylor	+1.3
19	7-12	UNC	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+0.8
20	7-13	JMU	UNC	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.9
21	8-13	UNC	JMU	Kill	Lindsey Large	set Shelby Davis	+0.8
22	9-13	JMU	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+1.4
23	9-14	JMU	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.3
24	10-14	UNC	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+1.1
25	11-14	JMU	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Ana Toumazatos	+2.0
26	11-15	JMU	UNC×3	Attack err	Ana Toumazatos		+1.7
27	11-16	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Sienna Cozza	+1.8
28	11-17	UNC	UNC×3	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell	blk Lauren Schutter, Safi Hampton	+1.2
29	12-17	UNC	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+0.7
30	12-18	JMU	UNC	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Sienna Cozza	+0.9
31	13-18	UNC	JMU	Attack err	Safi Hampton	blk Ella Grace Holloway, Anna Wilson	+0.6
32	13-19	JMU	UNC×4	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Sienna Cozza	+0.8
33	13-20	UNC	UNC×4	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Bridget Malone	+0.7
34	13-21	UNC	UNC×4	Attack err	Ana Toumazatos		+0.3
35	13-22	UNC	UNC×4	Bad set	Lindsey Large		+0.1
36	14-22	UNC	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
37	15-22	JMU	JMU	Ace	JMU server	aced Team	+0.1
38	15-23	JMU	UNC	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.1
39	15-24	UNC	UNC	Bad set	Lindsey Large		+0.0
40	16-24	UNC	JMU×3	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Sydney Lewis	+0.0
41	17-24	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
42	18-24	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Bridget Malone	blk Addie Norman	+0.0
43	18-25	JMU	UNC	Serve err	JMU server		+0.1
Set 4
1	0-1	UNC	UNC	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Zoe Behrendt	+2.0
2	1-1	UNC	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+1.6
3	1-2	JMU	UNC	Serve err	JMU server		+1.5
4	2-2	UNC	JMU	Attack err	Chelsea Thorpe	blk Anna Wilson, Ana Toumazatos	+1.6
5	2-3	JMU	UNC	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+1.5
6	3-3	UNC	JMU	Attack err	Bridget Malone	blk Addie Norman	+1.6
7	3-4	JMU	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.6
8	3-5	UNC	UNC	Kill	Lauren Schutter	set Sienna Cozza	+2.0
9	4-5	UNC	JMU×4	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+1.5
10	5-5	JMU	JMU×4	Attack err	Bridget Malone	blk Addie Norman, Ayen Nhial	+2.3
11	6-5	JMU	JMU×4	Ace	JMU server	aced Safi Hampton	+2.6
12	7-5	JMU	JMU×4	Attack err	Bridget Malone	blk Addie Norman, Ayen Nhial	+2.8
13	7-6	JMU	UNC×3	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Sienna Cozza	+1.9
14	7-7	UNC	UNC×3	Bad set	Ayen Nhial		+2.6
15	7-8	UNC	UNC×3	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Sienna Cozza	+2.5
16	8-8	UNC	JMU	Attack err	Safi Hampton	blk Ayen Nhial, Addie Norman	+1.9
17	8-9	JMU	UNC×4	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Sienna Cozza	+1.8
18	8-10	UNC	UNC×4	Attack err	Ella Grace Holloway		+2.3
19	8-11	UNC	UNC×4	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Julia Bohlinger	+2.1
20	8-12	UNC	UNC×4	Attack err	Ella Grace Holloway	blk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith	+1.7
21	9-12	UNC	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+1.1
22	10-12	JMU	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+2.0
23	10-13	JMU	UNC	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Sienna Cozza	+1.6
24	11-13	UNC	JMU	Kill	Grace Wenrich	set Ana Toumazatos	+1.5
25	11-14	JMU	UNC	Kill	Jackie Taylor	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.6
26	12-14	UNC	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+1.5
27	12-15	JMU	UNC	Kill	Safi Hampton	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.7
28	13-15	UNC	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+1.6
29	13-16	JMU	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+1.8
30	14-16	UNC	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+1.6
31	14-17	JMU	UNC	Serve err	JMU server		+1.8
32	15-17	UNC	JMU	Attack err	Safi Hampton	blk Ayen Nhial, Addie Norman	+1.7
33	16-17	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Safi Hampton		+3.0
34	16-18	JMU	UNC×4	Serve err	JMU server		+2.4
35	16-19	UNC	UNC×4	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Julia Bohlinger	+2.8
36	16-20	UNC	UNC×4	Kill	Laynie Smith		+2.0
37	16-21	UNC	UNC×4	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell	blk Laynie Smith, Jackie Taylor	+1.3
38	17-21	UNC	JMU	Serve err	UNC server		+0.6
39	17-22	JMU	UNC	Kill	Laynie Smith	set Sienna Cozza	+0.9
40	18-22	UNC	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+0.5
41	18-23	JMU	UNC	Serve err	JMU server		+0.8
42	19-23	UNC	JMU	Bad set	Zoe Behrendt		+0.3
43	19-24	JMU	UNC	Kill	Chelsea Thorpe	set Zoe Behrendt	+0.6
44	19-25	UNC	UNC	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+0.2

Score shown after each rally, James Madison first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.