Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

AwaySUN-BELT

1:3

HomePAC-12

Colorado St. def. James Madison 3–1

(26-24, 19-25, 25-18, 25-14)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
JMU	24	25	18	14	1
CO ST	26	19	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

CO ST above 50 · JMU below

Biggest swing: 7.0% to Colorado St. — set 1, JMU 24-24 CO ST. Kill by Halle Jameson (set by Erin Debiec). CO ST win probability 76% → 83%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

JMU 12.7%87.3% CO ST

James Madison wins

3-0

1.8%

3-1

4.0%

3-2

6.9%

Colorado St. wins

3-0

40.2%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.5%

JMU break %: 38.5% vs this opp
CO ST break %: 47.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Halle JamesonKill+7.0%
Kill by Halle Jameson (set by Erin Debiec)
Set 1 · JMU 24-24 CO ST · CO ST 76% → 83%
02
Kennedy LouisellAttack error+5.7%
Attack error by Kennedy Louisell
Set 1 · JMU 24-25 CO ST · CO ST 83% → 89%
03
Halle JamesonKill+4.6%
Kill by Halle Jameson (set by Karsyn Fetzer)
Set 1 · JMU 24-26 CO ST · CO ST 89% → 94%
04
Kennedy LouisellKill+4.4%
Kill by Kennedy Louisell (set by Grace Wenrich)
Set 1 · JMU 24-22 CO ST · JMU 22% → 26%
05
Kennedy LouisellKill+3.7%
Kill by Kennedy Louisell (set by Grace Wenrich)
Set 1 · JMU 23-21 CO ST · JMU 20% → 24%
06
Ella Grace HollowayKill+3.2%
Kill by Ella Grace Holloway (set by Grace Wenrich)
Set 1 · JMU 22-20 CO ST · JMU 20% → 23%
07
Kennedy LouisellAttack error+3.0%
Attack error by Kennedy Louisell
Set 1 · JMU 21-20 CO ST · CO ST 77% → 80%
08
Addie NormanKill+2.8%
Kill by Addie Norman (set by Sydney Lewis)
Set 1 · JMU 18-15 CO ST · JMU 19% → 22%

Official NCAA box

Box score

James Madisonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Kennedy LouisellOH	4	16	7	50	.180	1	0	2	6	1	0	1	0.5	16.5
6Addie NormanOH	4	10	4	24	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	8	4	14
9Ayen NhialMB	4	3	0	12	.250	0	0	5	0	0	2	8	6	9
8Anna WilsonMB	4	4	2	10	.200	0	0	0	3	0	0	8	4	8
16Shelby DavisL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
5Lindsey LargeS	4	0	0	0	–	22	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0
4Ella Grace HollowayOH	4	8	2	17	.353	1	0	0	2	0	1	5	3.5	11.5
13Ana ToumazatosOH	4	4	0	15	.267	1	0	1	1	1	0	2	1	5
2Grace WenrichS	4	2	1	5	.200	14	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	3
17Sydney LewisL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	6	1	0	12	2	0	0	0	1
Team totals		47	16	133	.233	47	3	10	44	7	3	32	19	81

Colorado St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
4Halle JamesonOH	4	17	9	38	.211	0	0	1	6	0	1	0.5	17.5
33Kekua RichardsMB	4	12	1	21	.524	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	13.5
27Eve WilsonMB	4	10	4	19	.316	0	3	0	0	0	1	0.5	13.5
23Erin DebiecS	4	5	1	9	.444	49	2	0	18	0	2	1	8
26Maria BrunOH	4	1	3	9	-.222	2	0	1	4	0	0	0	1
17Sophie StephensonOPP	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	12	0	0	0	1
21Ella StowellOH	4	10	8	30	.067	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	10
1Karsyn FetzerL/DS	4	1	0	1	1.000	2	1	1	13	1	0	0	2
5Sofia ZabjekOH	2	4	1	10	.300	0	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	4.5
Team totals		60	27	137	.241	54	7	4	58	3	8	4	95

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 JMU · CO ST 5

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 3 JMUCO ST 4

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 7 JMUCO ST 3

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 2 JMUCO ST 5

Set 4

14-25

Longest run 2 JMUCO ST 4

Bars above the line = Colorado St. leads, below = James Madison leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

James Madison

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%11/16	40%6/15
2	53%9/17	35%6/17
3	60%9/15	25%3/12
4	47%9/19	18%2/11
5	64%9/14	10%1/10
6	62%8/13	47%8/17
All	59%55/94	32%26/82

Colorado St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	65%11/17	38%6/16
2	56%9/16	53%10/19
3	90%9/10	25%3/12
4	90%9/10	50%9/18
5	75%9/12	44%7/16
6	53%9/17	31%4/13
All	68%56/82	41%39/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

176 rallies

Rally log

#	JMU-CO ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	CO ST	JMU	Attack err	Halle Jameson	blk Anna Wilson, Addie Norman	+1.1
2	1-1	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Kekua Richards	set Erin Debiec	+1.0
3	2-1	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Lindsey Large	+1.1
4	2-2	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Eve Wilson	set Erin Debiec	+1.0
5	3-2	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+1.1
6	3-3	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Eve Wilson	set Erin Debiec	+1.0
7	4-3	CO ST	JMU	Attack err	Ella Stowell	blk Ayen Nhial, Ella Grace Holloway	+1.2
8	4-4	JMU	CO ST	Serve err	JMU server		+1.0
9	5-4	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Grace Wenrich	set Kennedy Louisell	+1.2
10	5-5	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Kekua Richards	set Erin Debiec	+1.1
11	6-5	CO ST	JMU×3	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+1.2
12	7-5	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Maria Brun	blk Addie Norman, Anna Wilson	+1.8
13	8-5	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+1.9
14	8-6	JMU	CO ST	Serve err	JMU server		+1.2
15	8-7	CO ST	CO ST	Attack err	Addie Norman	blk Kekua Richards, Halle Jameson	+1.7
16	9-7	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Shelby Davis	+1.5
17	10-7	JMU	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+2.0
18	10-8	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Kekua Richards	set Erin Debiec	+1.3
19	11-8	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+1.6
20	12-8	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Eve Wilson	blk Ayen Nhial	+2.1
21	12-9	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Erin Debiec	+1.3
22	13-9	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+1.7
23	13-10	JMU	CO ST	Serve err	JMU server		+1.3
24	13-11	CO ST	CO ST	Kill	Ella Stowell	set Erin Debiec	+1.9
25	14-11	CO ST	JMU	Attack err	Ella Stowell	blk Ella Grace Holloway, Ayen Nhial	+1.8
26	14-12	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Erin Debiec	set Maria Brun	+1.5
27	15-12	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Grace Wenrich	+1.9
28	15-13	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Ella Stowell	set Erin Debiec	+1.5
29	16-13	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+2.0
30	16-14	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Ella Stowell	set Erin Debiec	+1.5
31	16-15	CO ST	CO ST	Ace	CO ST server	aced Team	+2.3
32	17-15	CO ST	JMU	Serve err	CO ST server		+2.1
33	18-15	JMU	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Sydney Lewis	+2.8
34	18-16	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Kekua Richards	set Erin Debiec	+1.6
35	19-16	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+2.3
36	19-17	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Erin Debiec	+1.7
37	20-17	CO ST	JMU	Serve err	CO ST server		+2.4
38	20-18	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Erin Debiec	+1.7
39	21-18	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+2.6
40	21-19	JMU	CO ST	Serve err	JMU server		+1.7
41	21-20	CO ST	CO ST	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+3.0
42	22-20	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+3.2
43	22-21	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Ella Stowell	set Erin Debiec	+2.4
44	23-21	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+3.7
45	23-22	JMU	CO ST	Serve err	JMU server		+2.5
46	24-22	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+4.4
47	24-23	JMU	CO ST×4	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Erin Debiec	+2.4
48	24-24	CO ST	CO ST×4	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Erin Debiec	+7.0
49	24-25	CO ST	CO ST×4	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+5.7
50	24-26	CO ST	CO ST×4	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Karsyn Fetzer	+4.6
Set 2
1	0-1	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Kekua Richards	set Erin Debiec	+0.6
2	1-1	CO ST	JMU×3	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+0.7
3	2-1	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Sydney Lewis	+1.0
4	3-1	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Halle Jameson	blk Addie Norman, Ayen Nhial	+1.1
5	3-2	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Eve Wilson	set Erin Debiec	+0.7
6	4-2	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Sydney Lewis	+0.9
7	4-3	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Eve Wilson	set Erin Debiec	+0.8
8	4-4	CO ST	CO ST	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell	blk Eve Wilson, Erin Debiec	+1.0
9	5-4	CO ST	JMU	Attack err	Ella Stowell	blk Ella Grace Holloway	+0.8
10	6-4	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Eve Wilson		+1.2
11	6-5	JMU	CO ST	Serve err	JMU server		+0.8
12	7-5	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Sydney Lewis	+1.0
13	7-6	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Erin Debiec	+0.8
14	8-6	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+1.0
15	8-7	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Kekua Richards	set Erin Debiec	+0.9
16	8-8	CO ST	CO ST	Attack err	Anna Wilson		+1.2
17	9-8	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Sydney Lewis	+1.0
18	10-8	JMU	JMU	Ace	JMU server	aced Karsyn Fetzer	+1.4
19	10-9	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Maria Brun	set Erin Debiec	+0.9
20	10-10	CO ST	CO ST	Kill	Eve Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+1.2
21	11-10	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+1.0
22	11-11	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Karsyn Fetzer	set Erin Debiec	+1.0
23	12-11	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+1.1
24	12-12	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Eve Wilson	set Erin Debiec	+1.0
25	13-12	CO ST	JMU	Attack err	Halle Jameson		+1.1
26	13-13	JMU	CO ST×3	Kill	Erin Debiec	set Maria Brun	+1.0
27	13-14	CO ST	CO ST×3	Ace	CO ST server	aced Sydney Lewis	+1.4
28	13-15	CO ST	CO ST×3	Ace	CO ST server	aced Ana Toumazatos	+1.2
29	14-15	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+0.9
30	14-16	JMU	CO ST×3	Kill	Erin Debiec		+0.9
31	14-17	CO ST	CO ST×3	Kill	Kekua Richards	set Erin Debiec	+1.1
32	14-18	CO ST	CO ST×3	Ace	CO ST server	aced Team	+0.8
33	15-18	CO ST	JMU×7	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+0.5
34	16-18	JMU	JMU×7	Attack err	Ella Stowell	blk Addie Norman, Anna Wilson	+1.0
35	17-18	JMU	JMU×7	Attack err	Maria Brun	blk Ana Toumazatos, Anna Wilson	+1.3
36	18-18	JMU	JMU×7	Kill	Addie Norman	set Sydney Lewis	+1.8
37	19-18	JMU	JMU×7	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Lindsey Large	+2.2
38	20-18	JMU	JMU×7	Attack err	Maria Brun		+2.4
39	21-18	JMU	JMU×7	Attack err	Halle Jameson		+2.4
40	21-19	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Kekua Richards	set Erin Debiec	+1.2
41	22-19	CO ST	JMU×4	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+1.9
42	23-19	JMU	JMU×4	Attack err	Halle Jameson	blk Anna Wilson, Addie Norman	+1.9
43	24-19	JMU	JMU×4	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+1.0
44	25-19	JMU	JMU×4	Attack err	Halle Jameson		+0.3
Set 3
1	1-0	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+1.8
2	1-1	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Sofia Zabjek	set Erin Debiec	+1.6
3	1-2	CO ST	CO ST	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Erin Debiec	+2.1
4	2-2	CO ST	JMU	Serve err	CO ST server		+1.7
5	3-2	JMU	JMU	Ace	JMU server	aced Team	+2.5
6	3-3	JMU	CO ST×3	Bad set	Grace Wenrich		+1.7
7	3-4	CO ST	CO ST×3	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Erin Debiec	+2.2
8	3-5	CO ST	CO ST×3	Attack err	Ella Grace Holloway		+2.0
9	4-5	CO ST	JMU	Attack err	Halle Jameson	blk Ella Grace Holloway, Ayen Nhial	+1.6
10	4-6	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Erin Debiec	set Grace Wenrich	+1.5
11	5-6	CO ST	JMU	Attack err	Erin Debiec		+1.6
12	5-7	JMU	CO ST	Serve err	JMU server		+1.6
13	5-8	CO ST	CO ST	Attack err	Grace Wenrich	blk Kekua Richards, Erin Debiec	+1.8
14	6-8	CO ST	JMU	Attack err	Ella Stowell	blk Ella Grace Holloway, Anna Wilson	+1.4
15	7-8	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Ella Stowell	blk Addie Norman, Anna Wilson	+2.2
16	7-9	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Kekua Richards	set Erin Debiec	+1.7
17	7-10	CO ST	CO ST	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+2.0
18	8-10	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+1.5
19	8-11	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Kekua Richards	set Erin Debiec	+1.5
20	9-11	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+1.5
21	9-12	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Kekua Richards	set Erin Debiec	+1.5
22	9-13	CO ST	CO ST	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Erin Debiec	+1.7
23	10-13	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Lindsey Large	+1.2
24	11-13	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Eve Wilson	blk Ayen Nhial	+2.0
25	11-14	JMU	CO ST	Serve err	JMU server		+1.7
26	12-14	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+1.6
27	13-14	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Eve Wilson	blk Ana Toumazatos, Ayen Nhial	+2.8
28	13-15	JMU	CO ST×5	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Erin Debiec	+2.1
29	13-16	CO ST	CO ST×5	Kill	Ella Stowell	set Erin Debiec	+2.5
30	13-17	CO ST	CO ST×5	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Erin Debiec	+1.9
31	13-18	CO ST	CO ST×5	Kill	Eve Wilson	set Erin Debiec	+1.3
32	13-19	CO ST	CO ST×5	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Ella Stowell	+0.9
33	14-19	CO ST	JMU	Serve err	CO ST server		+0.4
34	14-20	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Ella Stowell	set Erin Debiec	+0.6
35	15-20	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Ella Grace Holloway	+0.4
36	16-20	JMU	JMU	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Lindsey Large	+0.9
37	16-21	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Ella Stowell	set Erin Debiec	+0.9
38	17-21	CO ST	JMU	Attack err	Ella Stowell	blk Anna Wilson, Addie Norman	+0.6
39	17-22	JMU	CO ST	Attack err	Addie Norman	blk Sofia Zabjek, Kekua Richards	+0.9
40	18-22	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.5
41	18-23	JMU	CO ST×3	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+0.8
42	18-24	CO ST	CO ST×3	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Karsyn Fetzer	+0.4
43	18-25	CO ST	CO ST×3	Attack err	Addie Norman		+0.1
Set 4
1	0-1	JMU	CO ST×3	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Erin Debiec	+1.1
2	0-2	CO ST	CO ST×3	Attack err	Anna Wilson		+1.4
3	0-3	CO ST	CO ST×3	Ace	CO ST server	aced Kennedy Louisell	+1.2
4	1-3	CO ST	JMU	Attack err	Halle Jameson		+0.9
5	2-3	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Sofia Zabjek	blk Kennedy Louisell, Ayen Nhial	+1.5
6	2-4	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Eve Wilson	set Erin Debiec	+1.1
7	2-5	CO ST	CO ST	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Erin Debiec	+1.3
8	3-5	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+1.0
9	3-6	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Halle Jameson	set Erin Debiec	+1.0
10	3-7	CO ST	CO ST	Kill	Eve Wilson	set Ella Grace Holloway	+1.1
11	4-7	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+0.8
12	4-8	JMU	CO ST	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+0.8
13	4-9	CO ST	CO ST	Attack err	Ella Grace Holloway		+0.9
14	5-9	CO ST	JMU	Attack err	Ella Stowell	blk Ella Grace Holloway, Ayen Nhial	+0.6
15	5-10	JMU	CO ST	Serve err	JMU server		+0.7
16	6-10	CO ST	JMU	Attack err	Kekua Richards		+0.6
17	6-11	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Sofia Zabjek	set Erin Debiec	+0.7
18	7-11	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.6
19	7-12	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Kekua Richards	set Erin Debiec	+0.7
20	8-12	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+0.6
21	9-12	JMU	JMU	Ace	JMU server	aced Team	+1.1
22	9-13	JMU	CO ST	Kill	Sofia Zabjek	set Erin Debiec	+0.9
23	10-13	CO ST	JMU	Attack err	Halle Jameson	blk Addie Norman, Ayen Nhial	+0.9
24	10-14	JMU	CO ST×3	Kill	Eve Wilson	set Erin Debiec	+1.0
25	10-15	CO ST	CO ST×3	Kill	Erin Debiec	set Erin Debiec	+1.0
26	10-16	CO ST	CO ST×3	Kill	Ella Stowell	set Erin Debiec	+0.7
27	11-16	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Grace Wenrich	set Shelby Davis	+0.4
28	11-17	JMU	CO ST×3	Kill	Ella Stowell	set Erin Debiec	+0.5
29	11-18	CO ST	CO ST×3	Bad set	Grace Wenrich		+0.4
30	11-19	CO ST	CO ST×3	Ace	CO ST server	aced Team	+0.2
31	12-19	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+0.1
32	13-19	JMU	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Ana Toumazatos	+0.2
33	13-20	JMU	CO ST	Serve err	JMU server		+0.3
34	13-21	CO ST	CO ST	Ace	CO ST server	aced Sydney Lewis	+0.2
35	14-21	CO ST	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+0.1
36	14-22	JMU	CO ST×4	Kill	Ella Stowell	set Erin Debiec	+0.1
37	14-23	CO ST	CO ST×4	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+0.0
38	14-24	CO ST	CO ST×4	Kill	Sofia Zabjek	set Karsyn Fetzer	+0.0
39	14-25	CO ST	CO ST×4	Attack err	Addie Norman		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, James Madison first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.