Final · 5 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

Western Ky. def. James Madison 3–2

Western Ky. beat visiting James Madison 3-2 (25-17, 16-25, 20-25, 25-22, 16-14) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Kaira Knox led Western Ky. with 15 kills; James Madison's Kennedy Louisell had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set12345Sets
JMU17252522142
W KY25162025163

Win probability

Western Ky. above 50 · James Madison below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+24.9% JMUrally 205 · set 5

Biggest swing: 24.9% to James Madison — set 5, JMU 14-14 W KY. James Madison ace on Tayler Baron. W KY win probability 84% → 59%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

JMU 26.4%73.6% W KY

James Madison wins

3-0
4.8%
3-1
9.1%
3-2
12.5%

Western Ky. wins

3-0
25.9%
3-1
28.2%
3-2
19.5%
JMU break %
38.6% vs this opp
W KY break %
43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    James MadisonAce+24.9%

    James Madison ace on Tayler Baron

    Set 5 · JMU 14-14 W KY · JMU 16% → 41%

  2. 02
    Alivia SkidmoreKill+23.0%

    Kill by Alivia Skidmore (set by Kate Rush)

    Set 5 · JMU 14-16 W KY · W KY 77% → 100%

  3. 03
    James MadisonService error+17.6%

    James Madison service error

    Set 5 · JMU 14-15 W KY · W KY 59% → 77%

  4. 04

    Kill by Kennedy Louisell (set by Lindsey Large)

    Set 5 · JMU 13-14 W KY · JMU 6% → 16%

  5. 05
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+9.5%

    Point Western Ky. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 4 · JMU 21-23 W KY · W KY 43% → 53%

  6. 06

    Anna Wilson stuffed by Izzy Van De Wiele & Kaira Knox

    Set 5 · JMU 2-4 W KY · W KY 68% → 76%

  7. 07
    Shelby DavisKill+8.3%

    Kill by Shelby Davis (set by Ana Toumazatos)

    Set 4 · JMU 20-20 W KY · JMU 56% → 64%

  8. 08
    Kennedy LouisellAttack error+8.3%

    Attack error by Kennedy Louisell

    Set 5 · JMU 0-1 W KY · W KY 60% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518544.295215144132.521.5
58217.3530001018513
56310.30002430052.510.5
57218.278000000007
51011.000111740002
5000–2111300001
512528.2500001004214
54216.125200611648
5001.0004122120001
5002.0002301720000
1000–000000000
Team totals5619137.27053614631432616103
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
515638.237144110031.520.5
512322.40902220031.515.5
511233.2730223002114
55516.000383380031.59.5
55617-.059000000427
5001.000312330001
5001.0003221910002
5000–101520000
32317-.059000101013
3000–00000010.50.5
2308.375000100003
Team totals5325153.1834614165361169102

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 JMU · W KY 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 JMUW KY 5

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 6 JMUW KY 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 6 JMUW KY 4

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 4 JMUW KY 3

Set 5

14-16

Longest run 3 JMUW KY 4

Bars above the line = Western Ky. leads, below = James Madison leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

James Madison

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
50%6/12
2
80%8/10
27%3/11
3
40%8/20
38%5/13
4
58%7/12
47%7/15
5
44%7/16
53%8/15
6
75%6/8
57%8/14
All
56%44/78
46%37/80

Western Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
36%4/11
2
67%8/12
11%1/9
3
53%8/15
56%10/18
4
54%7/13
50%7/14
5
35%7/20
59%10/17
6
50%5/10
22%2/9
All
54%43/80
44%34/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

205 rallies

#JMU-W KYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0W KYJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+1.5
21-1JMUW KYKillKate Rushset Kennedy Cherry+1.4
32-1W KYJMUServe errWestern Ky.+1.6
42-2JMUW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+1.5
52-3W KYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kennedy Cherry+2.1
63-3W KYJMUServe errWestern Ky.+1.5
73-4JMUW KY×4Serve errJames Madison+1.5
83-5W KYW KY×4KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+2.0
93-6W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Sydney Lewis+1.8
103-7W KYW KY×4KillKate Rushset Tayler Baron+1.6
114-7W KYJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+1.0
125-7JMUJMUAttack errFaith Young+1.8
135-8JMUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.3
145-9W KYW KYKillFaith Young+1.7
156-9W KYJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+1.0
166-10JMUW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.2
176-11W KYW KY×3KillAubrey Searsset Kate Rush+1.4
186-12W KYW KY×3KillEliza McKnight+1.1
197-12W KYJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+0.6
207-13JMUW KYBlockedKennedy Louisellblk Kaira Knox, Eliza McKnight+0.7
218-13W KYJMUServe errWestern Ky.+0.6
228-14JMUW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kaira Knox+0.7
239-14W KYJMUServe errWestern Ky.+0.6
249-15JMUW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+0.7
259-16W KYW KYAttack errAddie Norman+0.7
2610-16W KYJMUServe errWestern Ky.+0.3
2710-17JMUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+0.5
2811-17W KYJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+0.3
2911-18JMUW KY×5KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.4
3011-19W KYW KY×5AceWestern Ky.aced Lindsey Large+0.4
3111-20W KYW KY×5KillKaira Knoxset Lindsey Large+0.2
3211-21W KYW KY×5AceWestern Ky.aced Lindsey Large+0.1
3311-22W KYW KY×5Attack errAyen Nhial·
3412-22W KYJMU×3Serve errWestern Ky.·
3513-22JMUJMU×3AceJames Madisonaced Cali Foster·
3614-22JMUJMU×3KillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich·
3714-23JMUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush·
3815-23W KYJMU×3KillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich·
3916-23JMUJMU×3Attack errEliza McKnight·
4017-23JMUJMU×3KillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+0.1
4117-24JMUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+0.1
4217-25W KYW KYKillAlivia Skidmore·
Set 2
11-0JMUJMUKillAyen Nhial+1.8
21-1JMUW KYServe errJames Madison+1.2
32-1W KYJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+1.3
43-1JMUJMUAceJames Madisonaced Kennedy Cherry+1.9
53-2JMUW KYServe errJames Madison+1.2
63-3W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Shelby Davis+1.8
74-3W KYJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+1.3
84-4JMUW KY×3KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+1.3
94-5W KYW KY×3AceWestern Ky.aced Shelby Davis+1.8
104-6W KYW KY×3BlockedAddie Normanblk Alivia Skidmore, Faith Young+1.7
115-6W KYJMU×4KillKennedy Louisellset Sydney Lewis+1.2
126-6JMUJMU×4KillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+1.9
137-6JMUJMU×4KillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+2.0
148-6JMUJMU×4BlockedAlivia Skidmoreblk Addie Norman, Anna Wilson+2.2
158-7JMUW KYServe errJames Madison+1.4
169-7W KYJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+1.6
179-8JMUW KYKillKate Rushset Kaira Knox+1.4
1810-8W KYJMUKillAna Toumazatosset Lindsey Large+1.6
1910-9JMUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.5
2011-9W KYJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+1.7
2111-10JMUW KYKillAubrey Searsset Kate Rush+1.5
2212-10W KYJMUKillElla Grace Hollowayset Sydney Lewis+1.7
2313-10JMUJMUAceJames Madisonaced Kennedy Cherry+2.5
2413-11JMUW KYKillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+1.5
2514-11W KYJMU×4Serve errWestern Ky.+1.8
2615-11JMUJMU×4BlockedAlivia Skidmoreblk Anna Wilson, Addie Norman+2.4
2716-11JMUJMU×4Attack errKaira Knox+2.0
2817-11JMUJMU×4KillAddie Normanset Sydney Lewis+1.6
2917-12JMUW KYServe errJames Madison+0.7
3017-13W KYW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.4
3118-13W KYJMUKillAddie Normanset Tayler Baron+1.4
3218-14JMUW KYServe errJames Madison+0.9
3318-15W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Sydney Lewis+1.9
3419-15W KYJMU×6BlockedFaith Youngblk Ana Toumazatos, Anna Wilson+1.8
3520-15JMUJMU×6AceJames Madisonaced Cali Foster+2.0
3621-15JMUJMU×6KillAddie Normanset Kennedy Louisell+1.3
3722-15JMUJMU×6KillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+0.7
3823-15JMUJMU×6Attack errAubrey Sears+0.3
3924-15JMUJMU×6KillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+0.1
4024-16JMUW KYBlockedAyen Nhialblk Faith Young, Kate Rush·
4125-16W KYJMUServe errWestern Ky.·
Set 3
10-1W KYW KYBad setGrace Wenrich+2.9
21-1W KYJMUServe errWestern Ky.+2.1
31-2JMUW KYServe errJames Madison+2.0
41-3W KYW KYBad setGrace Wenrich+2.8
52-3W KYJMUBlockedKaira Knoxblk Kennedy Louisell, Anna Wilson+1.9
62-4JMUW KY×4KillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+1.9
72-5W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Kennedy Louisell+2.6
82-6W KYW KY×4KillEliza McKnightset Kate Rush+2.3
92-7W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Shelby Davis+1.9
103-7W KYJMU×3KillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+1.2
114-7JMUJMU×3BlockedEliza McKnightblk Anna Wilson+2.1
125-7JMUJMU×3BlockedAubrey Searsblk Anna Wilson, Addie Norman+2.5
135-8JMUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+1.9
146-8W KYJMUBlockedKaira Knoxblk Anna Wilson, Ana Toumazatos+1.8
157-8JMUJMUAttack errEliza McKnight+3.1
167-9JMUW KYAttack errAna Toumazatos+2.2
178-9W KYJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+2.2
189-9JMUJMUKillElla Grace Hollowayset Grace Wenrich+3.7
199-10JMUW KYAttack errElla Grace Holloway+2.5
2010-10W KYJMUBlockedKate Rushblk Ana Toumazatos, Ayen Nhial+2.7
2111-10JMUJMUBlockedKate Rushblk Kennedy Louisell+4.2
2211-11JMUW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+2.8
2312-11W KYJMUKillElla Grace Hollowayset Grace Wenrich+3.1
2412-12JMUW KYServe errJames Madison+2.9
2513-12W KYJMU×3Attack errAubrey Sears+3.2
2614-12JMUJMU×3BlockedFaith Youngblk Anna Wilson, Addie Norman+4.8
2715-12JMUJMU×3KillAnna Wilson+4.7
2815-13JMUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+2.7
2915-14W KYW KYBlockedAddie Normanblk Aubrey Sears+4.5
3016-14W KYJMUServe errWestern Ky.+3.7
3116-15JMUW KYBlockedAna Toumazatosblk Kaira Knox, Eliza McKnight+3.2
3217-15W KYJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+3.9
3317-16JMUW KY×4Serve errJames Madison+3.4
3417-17W KYW KY×4BlockedAddie Normanblk Eliza McKnight, Kate Rush+5.4
3517-18W KYW KY×4AceWestern Ky.aced Kennedy Louisell+5.5
3617-19W KYW KY×4KillEliza McKnight+5.1
3718-19W KYJMU×6KillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+3.2
3819-19JMUJMU×6Attack errKate Rush+5.9
3920-19JMUJMU×6BlockedEliza McKnightblk Ayen Nhial, Ana Toumazatos+7.0
4021-19JMUJMU×6Attack errKaira Knox+7.3
4122-19JMUJMU×6KillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+6.4
4223-19JMUJMU×6KillAna Toumazatosset Kennedy Louisell+4.5
4323-20JMUW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kennedy Cherry+1.3
4424-20W KYJMUKillAna Toumazatosset Sydney Lewis+2.8
4525-20JMUJMUAceJames Madisonaced Kennedy Cherry+1.2
Set 4
10-1JMUW KYKillKate Rushset Tayler Baron+2.6
21-1W KYJMUServe errWestern Ky.+2.7
31-2JMUW KY×3KillSonja Laaksonenset Kate Rush+2.6
41-3W KYW KY×3Attack errAnna Wilson+3.6
51-4W KYW KY×3KillSonja Laaksonenset Kate Rush+3.3
62-4W KYJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+2.2
72-5JMUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+2.3
83-5W KYJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+2.3
93-6JMUW KYServe errJames Madison+2.3
103-7W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Ana Toumazatos+3.0
114-7W KYJMUServe errWestern Ky.+1.9
124-8JMUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+2.1
135-8W KYJMUKillAddie Normanset Ana Toumazatos+1.9
145-9JMUW KYServe errJames Madison+2.1
155-10W KYW KYAttack errAyen Nhial+2.6
166-10W KYJMUKillElla Grace Hollowayset Grace Wenrich+1.5
176-11JMUW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+1.8
187-11W KYJMUServe errWestern Ky.+1.5
198-11JMUJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Shelby Davis+2.8
208-12JMUW KYServe errJames Madison+2.3
219-12W KYJMUKillElla Grace Hollowayset Grace Wenrich+2.0
229-13JMUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+2.3
239-14W KYW KYAttack errKennedy Louisell+2.7
2410-14W KYJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+1.5
2510-15JMUW KYAttack errAddie Norman+1.8
2611-15W KYJMUBlockedEliza McKnightblk Ana Toumazatos, Anna Wilson+1.5
2712-15JMUJMUBlockedKaira Knoxblk Ayen Nhial, Ana Toumazatos+2.9
2812-16JMUW KYServe errJames Madison+2.5
2913-16W KYJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+2.1
3013-17JMUW KYBlockedElla Grace Hollowayblk Alivia Skidmore, Eliza McKnight+2.5
3114-17W KYJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+2.0
3214-18JMUW KYBlockedKennedy Louisellblk Faith Young, Kate Rush+2.5
3315-18W KYJMUBlockedKate Rushblk Kennedy Louisell, Ayen Nhial+2.0
3415-19JMUW KYKillKate Rushset Cali Foster+2.6
3516-19W KYJMUServe errWestern Ky.+1.9
3616-20JMUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+2.6
3717-20W KYJMU×4Serve errWestern Ky.+1.9
3818-20JMUJMU×4Attack errEliza McKnight+4.1
3919-20JMUJMU×4KillAna Toumazatosset Lindsey Large+6.1
4020-20JMUJMU×4KillShelby Davisset Ana Toumazatos+8.3
4120-21JMUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+6.4
4221-21W KYJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+6.5
4321-22JMUW KY×3KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+7.2
4421-23W KY
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+9.5
4521-24W KYW KY×3AceWestern Ky.aced Kennedy Louisell+6.1
4622-24W KYJMUServe errWestern Ky.+1.6
4722-25JMUW KYAttack errKennedy Louisell+2.4
Set 5
10-1W KYW KYAttack errKennedy Louisell+8.3
21-1W KYJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+5.9
31-2JMUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+5.9
42-2W KYJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Grace Wenrich+6.1
52-3JMUW KY×4KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+6.1
62-4W KYW KY×4BlockedAnna Wilsonblk Izzy Van De Wiele, Kaira Knox+8.3
72-5W KYW KY×4KillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+7.3
82-6W KYW KY×4KillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+5.9
93-6W KYJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+3.4
103-7JMUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+4.1
114-7W KYJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+3.3
125-7JMUJMUBlockedKate Rushblk Ana Toumazatos+6.7
135-8JMUW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+5.6
145-9W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Kennedy Louisell+6.2
156-9W KYJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+3.2
166-10JMUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+4.3
177-10W KYJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+3.0
188-10JMUJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+6.8
198-11JMUW KYKillSonja Laaksonenset Tayler Baron+6.3
208-12W KYW KYAceWestern Ky.aced Shelby Davis+6.2
219-12W KYJMUBlockedKaira Knoxblk Ayen Nhial, Kennedy Louisell+2.4
2210-12JMUJMUKillElla Grace Hollowayset Grace Wenrich+6.3
2310-13JMUW KYKillFaith Youngset Kate Rush+6.8
2411-13W KYJMUKillElla Grace Hollowayset Grace Wenrich+3.9
2511-14JMUW KYKillKaira Knoxset Kate Rush+6.8
2612-14W KYJMU×3KillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+2.6
2713-14JMUJMU×3KillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+9.6
2814-14JMUJMU×3AceJames Madisonaced Tayler Baron+24.9
2914-15JMUW KYServe errJames Madison+17.6
3014-16W KYW KYKillAlivia Skidmoreset Kate Rush+23.0

Score shown after each rally, James Madison first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).